Low Water Advisory 1, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

115 
WHUS71 KPHI 130848
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
348 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016


ANZ450>455-131500-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160113T1500Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.LO.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160113T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
348 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...THE ATLANTIC NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTAL 
  WATERS.

* WINDS...WEST 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

* WATER LEVELS...EXPECTED TO REACH 2 FEET BELOW MEAN LOWER LOW 
  WATER.

* IMPACTS...LOW WATER COULD IMPACT NAVIGATION ALONG THE WATERS 
  AROUND THE TIME OF LOW TIDE.

* OUTLOOK...WIND GUSTS IN THE 25 TO 30 KT RANGE WILL LINGER INTO
  TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$

ANZ431-131500-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160113T1500Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.LO.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160113T1200Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
348 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...THE DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

* WATER LEVELS...EXPECTED TO REACH 2 FEET BELOW MEAN LOWER LOW 
  WATER.

* IMPACTS...LOW WATER COULD IMPACT NAVIGATION ALONG THE WATERS 
  AROUND THE TIME OF LOW TIDE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$

ANZ430-131500-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160113T1500Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.LO.Y.0001.160113T1100Z-160113T1500Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
348 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...THE DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

* SEAS...1 TO 2 FEET.

* WATER LEVELS...EXPECTED TO REACH 2 FEET BELOW MEAN LOWER LOW 
  WATER.

* IMPACTS...LOW WATER COULD IMPACT NAVIGATION ALONG THE WATERS 
  AROUND THE TIME OF LOW TIDE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$

567 
WHUS71 KPHI 131116
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
616 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016


ANZ450>455-131500-
/O.CAN.KPHI.LO.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160113T1200Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160113T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
616 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE LOW
WATER ADVISORY.

* LOCATIONS...THE ATLANTIC NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTAL 
  WATERS.

* WINDS...WEST 25 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...WIND GUSTS IN THE 25 TO 30 KT RANGE WILL LINGER INTO 
  TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ431-131500-
/O.CAN.KPHI.LO.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160113T1200Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160113T1500Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
616 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE LOW
WATER ADVISORY.

* LOCATIONS...THE DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

* SEAS...2 TO 4 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ430-131500-
/O.CON.KPHI.GL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160113T1500Z/
/O.CON.KPHI.LO.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160113T1500Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
616 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...THE DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

* SEAS...1 TO 2 FEET.

* WATER LEVELS...EXPECTED TO REACH 2 FEET BELOW MEAN LOWER LOW 
  WATER.

* IMPACTS...LOW WATER COULD IMPACT NAVIGATION ALONG THE WATERS 
  AROUND THE TIME OF LOW TIDE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A LOW WATER ADVISORY MEANS WATER LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
SIGNIFICANTLY BELOW AVERAGE. MARINERS SHOULD USE EXTREME CAUTION
AND TRANSIT AT THE SLOWEST SAFE NAVIGABLE SPEED TO MINIMIZE
IMPACT.

&&

$$

441 
WHUS71 KPHI 131425
MWWPHI

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
925 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016



ANZ430-140000-
/O.CAN.KPHI.GL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160113T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0004.160113T1425Z-160114T0000Z/
/O.CAN.KPHI.LO.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160113T1500Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
925 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...LOW WATER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING.
THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE LOW WATER ADVISORY HAS
BEEN CANCELLED.

* LOCATIONS...THE DELAWARE BAY.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...1 TO 3 FEET.



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ431-453>455-140000-
/O.CAN.KPHI.GL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160113T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.SC.Y.0004.160113T1425Z-160114T0000Z/
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
925 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING.
THE GALE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

* LOCATIONS...THE ATLANTIC NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTAL 
  WATERS.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

* SEAS...3 TO 5 FEET.

* OUTLOOK...WIND GUSTS IN THE 25 TO 30 KT RANGE WILL LINGER INTO 
  TONIGHT.

* TIMING..

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 25 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ450>452-131800-
/O.EXT.KPHI.GL.W.0004.000000T0000Z-160113T1800Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
925 AM EST WED JAN 13 2016

...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

* LOCATIONS...THE ATLANTIC NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE COASTAL 
  WATERS.

* WINDS...WEST 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

* SEAS...4 TO 6 FEET.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
407 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE THE GREAT LAKES AND INTO
SOUTHEASTERN CANADA LATER TODAY. THE STRONG COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS LOW WILL CROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD BACK INTO THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY. COMPLEX LOW
PRESSURE WILL IMPACT THE NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC STATES ON SATURDAY
BEFORE MOVING AWAY ON SUNDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
AT LATE-DAY, A STRENGTHENING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WAS TRACKING FROM
THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES INTO SOUTHEASTERN CANADA, WITH ITS
ASSOCIATED STRONG COLD FRONT PROGRESSING ACROSS CENTRAL PA. AHEAD OF
AND ACCOMPANYING THIS BOUNDARY ARE SOME SCATTERED SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS.
BASED ON TEMPERATURES ACROSS OUR REGION AND HRRR/RAP TIMING OF THE
PRECIP, MUCH OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD OUR AREA
THROUGH LATE-DAY/EARLY EVENING, WITH MAINLY SOME LIGHT SNOW
ACCUMULATING UP TO AROUND AN INCH TO AN INCH AND A HALF ACROSS THE
POCONOS AND NORTHWEST NJ. FARTHER SOUTH AND EAST, UP TO A FEW TENTHS
OF AN INCH OF SNOW MAY ACCUMULATE, DOWN TOWARD THE I-95 CORRIDOR AND
VICINITY, DEPENDING ON HOW QUICKLY SOME OF THE COLD/DRY AIR BEHIND
THE FRONT CAN ADVANCE INTO OUR REGION BEFORE PRECIP ENDS.
HIGHEST/LIKELY POPS FOR OUR REGION CONTINUE TO BE ACROSS OUR
NORTHWEST ZONES WHERE THE BEST ORGANIZATION AND ATMOSPHERIC LIFT
WILL BE FOUND, WITH MOSTLY HIGH CHANCE POPS AROUND THE DELAWARE
VALLEY AND LOW CHANCE ACROSS SOUTHERN NJ TO THE SOUTHERN DELMARVA.

A MORE ORGANIZED LINE OF SNOW SHOWERS IS ADVANCING EAST THROUGH
CENTRAL PA, AND THIS MAY LEAD TO SOME BRIEF SNOW SQUALL CONDITIONS
INTO OUR REGION, WITH A POTENTIAL HEAVIER BURST OF SNOW AND REDUCED
VISIBILITIES, CENTERED AROUND THE 0Z TO 01Z TIMEFRAME. THIS IS ALSO
AROUND THE TIME THAT TEMPERATURES WILL BE EDGING DOWN TO THE
FREEZING MARK ACROSS THE DELAWARE VALLEY REGION AND VICINITY. THE
FALLING SNOW WILL LIKELY MELT ON CONTACT WITH PAVED SURFACES, BUT
WITH FALLING TEMPS AND GUSTY WINDS PICKING UP, A QUICK FREEZE COULD
OCCUR ALONG ROADS AND SIDEWALKS. THOSE TRAVELING THIS EVENING ARE
URGED TO USE CAUTION.

AS THE SURFACE COLD FRONT CLEARS THE AREA, GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WILL
BE PICKING UP IN ITS WAKE. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME SCATTERED
WIND GUSTS ACROSS THE REGION TO REACH BETWEEN 45 TO 50 MPH, AND WITH
THIS IN MIND, WE HAVE ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY THAT RUNS THROUGH THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO
RANGE FROM THE TEENS IN THE NORTH TO THE LOWER/MID 20S ELSEWHERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
A COLD WEST-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL ACROSS OUR REGION
WEDNESDAY AS LOW PRESSURE AND A COLD FRONT DEPART TO THE NORTH AND
EAST AND HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR SOUTHWEST BEGINS TO INFLUENCE THE MID
ATLANTIC. MUCH OF OUR AREA WILL HAVE AMPLE SUN THROUGH THE DAY,
EXCEPT FOR THE POCONOS WHERE THE CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWEST FLOW COULD
ALLOW ENOUGH MOISTURE COMING OFF THE GREAT LAKES TO PRODUCE SOME
SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS, ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING HOURS. WEST-
NORTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST TO AROUND 30 MPH AT TIMES, AND HIGH
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE MAINLY IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER
30S ACROSS THE REGION.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE EXTENDD PD BEGINS WITH HIGH PRES OVER THE SERN CONUS AND A WK
BNDRY NR THE GRTLKS WITH SOME ASSOCD PRECIP. THIS PRECIP SHUD STAY
N AND W OF THE AREA, KEEPING WED NIGHT THRU ERLY FRI DRY.

LOW PRES WILL DEVELOP ACRS THE PLAINS AND COMBINE WITH ANOTHER LOW
EJECTING OUT OF THE GLFMEX. THIS DOUBLE BARRELED LOW PRESSURE SYS
WILL ADVANCE TWD THE AREA ON FRI AND COULD BEGIN TO IMPACT THE
REGION LATER FRI. THERE REMAIN SOME TIMING DIFFS, WITH THE ECMWF
BEING STRONGER WITH THE GLFMEX LOW AND A BIT FASTER.

HOWEVER, BY FRI NIGHT ALL AREAS ARE GETTING PRECIP. CONDS WILL BE
COLD ENOUGH FRI NIGHT FOR SOME WINTRY PRECIP IN THE EXTREME NRN
AND WRN AREAS. NEVERTHELESS, AS THE LOWS APPROACH, WARM AIR WILL
BE BROUGHT IN AND MOST LOCATIONS WILL EXPERIENCE PLAIN RAIN, SOME
OF WHICH COULD BE HEAVY AT TIMES, ESPECIALLY FRI NIGHT INTO ERLY
SAT.

BY LATER SAT, THE LOW WILL BE MOVG AWAY, PRECIP SHUD END AS THE
LOW MOVES FURTHER AWAY AND THE CFP OCCURS. STRONG HIGH PRES
BEGINS TO BUILD DOWN FROM CANADA WHICH WILL ALSO CREATE A STRONG
PGRAD FOR MORE GUSTY NW WIND. AGAIN, THERE ARE SOME TIMING DIFFS
WITH THE ECMWF ENDING THE PRECIP SOONER THAN THE GFS. THE CMC LIES
SOMEWHERE IN THE MIDDLE.

MON AND TUE LOOK TO BE COLD WITH NW FLOW WITH CAN HIGH OVER THE
MIDSECTION OF THE COUNTRY. WITH NWLY FLOW, THERE IS AT LEAST SOME
POTENTIAL FOR SNOW SHOWERS, MAINLY N AND W, BUT CAN'T BE RULED OUT
ELSEWHERE....BUT THOSE DETAILS CAN'T BE REFINED AT THIS TIME
SCALE.

AS HAS BEEN THE CASE SO FAR THIS JAN, TEMPS ARE ON A ROLLER
COASTER....WE WILL CLIMB TO NR OR JUST ABV 50 DEGREES, WHICH IS
ABOUT 10 DEGREES ABV NRML BY FRI AND SAT, BEFORE TAKING A NOSE
DIVE BEHIND THE CDFNT ASSOCD WITH THE COMPLEX LOW THAT MOVES BY
OVER THE WEEKEND. TEMPS WILL NOT GET ABV 30 DEGREES IN MANY SPOTS
MON AND TUE.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

THROUGH TONIGHT...MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
ACROSS THE AREA, BUT WE HAVE INCLUDE SUB-VFR AND LOWER CONDITIONS
WITH SCATTERED SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS THAT ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE
REGION LATE-DAY AND THIS EVENING. A BRIEF HEAVIER BURST/SNOW SQUALL
MAY OCCUR ROUGHLY IN THE 0Z TO 03Z TIMEFRAME, AND WE HAVE INCLUDED
IFR VSBYS IN A TEMPO GROUP IN THE AFFECTED TAF SITES. SOUTHWEST
WINDS WILL BECOME WEST FOLLOWING A COLD FRONT PASSAGE, WITH GUSTS
INCREASING UP TO AROUND 35 KNOTS PLUS. STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT.

WEDNESDAY...VFR CONDITIONS. WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 30
KNOTS THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY.

OUTLOOK...
WED NIGHT THRU THU...VFR. GUSTY W WIND 20 TO 25 KT. HIGH
CONFIDENCE.

FRI AND FRI NIGHT...VFR DURG THE DAY. CONDS WILL DETERIORATE TO
MVFR PSBL IFR LATE FRI INTO FRI NIGHT AS LOW PRES APPROACHES FROM
THE S AND W.  MDT CONFIDENCE.

SAT...MVFR/IFR PSBL IN MAINLY SHRA, ESPECIALLY ERLY. SOME WINTRY
PRECIP PSBL ERLY N AND W.  MDT CONFIDENCE.

SAT NIGHT AND SUN...CONDS IMPROVING TO VFR. HIGH CONFIDENCE.

&&

.MARINE...
A GALE WARNING CONTINUES FOR OUR COASTAL WATERS AND FOR DELAWARE BAY
THIS EVENING AND INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. GUSTS OVER THE WATERS ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH AROUND 40 KNOTS DURING THIS PERIOD. SEAS INTO THE
6 TO 9 FOOT RANGE ARE EXPECTED FOR THE COASTAL WATERS, WITH MOSTLY 2
TO 4 FOOT SEAS IN DELAWARE BAY. INTO WEDNESDAY MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON,
A SCA WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED BEFORE GUSTS AND SEAS FALL BELOW 25KT
AND FIVE FEET.

OUTLOOK...
WED NIGHT...A LINGERING SCA MAY STILL BE NEEDED, ESPECIALLY
EARLY.

THU THRU FRI...NO MARINE HEADLINES ARE ANTICIPATED.

SAT THRU SAT NIGHT...INCREASING WIND AND ESPECIALLY SEAS TO SCA
CRITERIA AS LOW PRES MOVES UP FROM THE S AND W AND SOME
REDEVELOPMENT OCCURS OFFSHORE.

SUN..SEAS AND WIND WILL SUBSIDE AS LOW PRES MOVES AWAY FROM THE
AREA.  BEST CHC OF SCA IS ERLY.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
WILL KEEP AN EYE ON THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME BLOWOUT TIDES WEDNESDAY
MORNING. DBOFS IS INDICATING THE POSSIBILITY WHILE THE ETSS IS NOT.
LOOKS LIKE A QUICK SHOT IF ANYTHING WITH ONE LOW TIDE POSSIBLY BEING
AFFECTED.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR PAZ054-055-060>062-
     070-071-101>106.
NJ...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR NJZ001-007>010-
     012>025-027.
DE...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR DEZ001>004.
MD...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR MDZ008-012-015-019-
     020.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR ANZ430-431-450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...NIERENBERG
NEAR TERM...KLINE
SHORT TERM...KLINE
LONG TERM...NIERENBERG
AVIATION...KLINE/NIERENBERG
MARINE...KLINE/NIERENBERG
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
407 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

NJZ001-007>010-PAZ054-055-060>062-101-103-105-132115-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-WESTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-
407 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

SNOW SHOWERS MAY PRODUCE A LIGHT ACCUMULATION THROUGH THIS EVENING,
ESPECIALLY NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA INTO FAR NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY.
THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR AN INCH OF SNOW AND SLIPPERY TRAVEL IS
OVER THE POCONOS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ012>025-027-PAZ070-071-102-104-
106-132115-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-EASTERN CHESTER-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-LOWER BUCKS-
407 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ026-132115-
COASTAL OCEAN-
407 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE PROBABILITY OF WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-132115-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
407 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
741 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0737 PM     SNOW             MOUNT POCONO            41.12N  75.36W
01/12/2016  M1.4 INCH        MONROE             PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CORRECTED SOURCE

EVENT NUMBER PHI1600014

STAFF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
748 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0747 PM     SNOW             WANTAGE                 41.24N  74.55W
01/12/2016  M1.0 INCH        SUSSEX             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1600015

STAFF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
817 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012>027-PAZ054-
055-060>062-070-071-101>106-130900-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-
SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-
WESTERN MONTGOMERY-EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...
REHOBOTH BEACH...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...
DENTON...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...
SOMERVILLE...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...
PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...
MOUNT HOLLY...JACKSON...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
CAPE MAY COURT HOUSE...OCEAN CITY...ATLANTIC CITY...
LONG BEACH ISLAND...WHARTON STATE FOREST...JIM THORPE...
STROUDSBURG...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...MEDIA...
PHILADELPHIA...HONEY BROOK...OXFORD...WEST CHESTER...
KENNETT SQUARE...COLLEGEVILLE...POTTSTOWN...NORRISTOWN...
LANSDALE...CHALFONT...PERKASIE...MORRISVILLE...DOYLESTOWN
817 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

...BLACK ICE POSSIBLE ON UNTREATED ROADS THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE REGION TUESDAY
EVENING...TEMPERATURES WILL DROP OFF SHARPLY. THIS...COMBINED WITH
THE RAIN AND SNOW THAT MOVED THROUGH EARLIER COULD LEAD TO THE
DANGEROUS FORMATION OF BLACK ICE ESPECIALLY ON BRIDGES...
OVERPASSES...AND UNTREATED ROADS THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

BLACK ICE IS NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE TO SEE AND ROADWAYS MAY APPEAR
ONLY WET. PLEASE USE EXTREME CAUTION...ESPECIALLY ON
BRIDGES...OVERPASSES AND AROUND CURVES. ALLOW PLENTY OF STOPPING
DISTANCE AND AVOID BRAKING SUDDENLY.

JOHNSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
819 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0818 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG HATBORO                 40.17N  75.11W
01/12/2016                   MONTGOMERY         PA   SOCIAL MEDIA

            LARGE TREE BLOWN OVER ON KAREN LANE IN HATBORO

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1600016

STAFF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
820 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0737 PM     SNOW             MOUNT POCONO            41.12N  75.36W
01/12/2016  M1.4 INCH        MONROE             PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

0747 PM     SNOW             WANTAGE                 41.24N  74.55W
01/12/2016  M1.0 INCH        SUSSEX             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

0818 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG HATBORO                 40.17N  75.11W
01/12/2016                   MONTGOMERY         PA   SOCIAL MEDIA

            LARGE TREE BLOWN OVER ON KAREN LANE IN HATBORO

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1600014 PHI1600015 PHI1600016

STAFF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
824 PM EST TUE JAN 12 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0823 PM     SNOW             TOBYHANNA               41.18N  75.42W
01/12/2016  M1.9 INCH        MONROE             PA   PENNDOT

0823 PM     SNOW             LONG POND               41.05N  75.46W
01/12/2016  M1.6 INCH        MONROE             PA   PENNDOT

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1600017
EVENT NUMBER PHI1600018

STAFF