Areal Flood Warning 24, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

612 
WGUS41 KPHI 301848
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
248 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

DEC005-010400-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0024.000000T0000Z-161001T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SUSSEX DE-
248 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ  HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  SUSSEX COUNTY IN SOUTHERN DELAWARE...

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT SATURDAY

* AT 244 PM EDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED WIDESPREAD FLOODING
  ACROSS THE AREA WITH NUMEROUS ROADS CLOSED DUE TO 12 TO 14 INCHES
  OF RAIN THAT HAS FALLEN OVER THE LAST 48 HOURS. LOCAL CREEKS AND
  STREAMS ARE CRESTING...BUT REMAIN WELL ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AND WILL
  CONTINUE TO REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH TONIGHT. DO NOT DRIVE
  THROUGH FLOODED ROADS. 

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  GEORGETOWN...MILFORD...SEAFORD...MILLSBORO...LAUREL...LEWES...
  MILTON...SELBYVILLE...BRIDGEVILLE...DELMAR...DAGSBORO...
  MILLVILLE...ELLENDALE...HENLOPEN ACRES...SYCAMORE...
  CAPE HENLOPEN STATE PARK...GUMBORO...LONG NECK...
  OCEAN VIEW AND BLADES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO
HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO
FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3846 7569 3882 7572 3884 7568 3883 7562
      3884 7561 3884 7555 3888 7551 3894 7531
      3881 7514 3880 7508 3845 7505

$$

MPS

967 
WGUS41 KPHI 010303
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1103 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

DEC005-020400-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0024.000000T0000Z-161002T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SUSSEX DE-
1103 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ  HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  SUSSEX COUNTY IN SOUTHERN DELAWARE...

* UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT SUNDAY

* AT 1059 PM EDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AND RIVER GAUGES REPORTED
  FLOODING IN SEVERAL LOCATIONS IN SUSSEX COUNTY. UP TO 13 INCHES OF
  RAIN HAVE FALLEN IN SOME LOCATIONS OVER THE LAST 3 DAYS. THOUGH
  THIS AREA SHOULD SEE MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS FRIDAY NIGHT...IT WILL
  TAKE TIME FOR FLOOD WATERS TO RECEDE. IN ADDITION...THERE IS A
  CHANCE FOR ADDITIONAL RAIN ON SATURDAY. WITH ALREADY SATURATED
  GROUND...ANY ADDITIONAL RAIN COULD QUICKLY BECOME RUNOFF AND
  EXACERBATE ONGOING FLOODING.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  GEORGETOWN...MILFORD...SEAFORD...MILLSBORO...LAUREL...LEWES...
  MILTON...SELBYVILLE...BRIDGEVILLE...DELMAR...DAGSBORO...
  MILLVILLE...ELLENDALE...HENLOPEN ACRES...SYCAMORE...
  CAPE HENLOPEN STATE PARK...GUMBORO...LONG NECK...
  OCEAN VIEW AND BLADES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3846 7569 3882 7572 3884 7568 3883 7562
      3884 7561 3884 7555 3888 7551 3894 7531
      3881 7514 3880 7508 3845 7505

$$

SFJ

860 
WGUS81 KPHI 011009
FLSPHI

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
609 AM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

DEC005-020400-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.W.0024.000000T0000Z-161002T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SUSSEX DE-
609 AM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

...A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT SUNDAY FOR
SUSSEX COUNTY...

AT 604 AM EDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AND RIVER GAUGES REPORTED
FLOODING IN SEVERAL LOCATIONS IN SUSSEX COUNTY. UP TO 13 INCHES OF
RAIN FELL IN SOME LOCATIONS SINCE WEDNESDAY. THOUGH THERE HAS BEEN
VERY LITTLE IN ADDITIONAL RAINFALL SINCE FRIDAY...IT WILL TAKE TIME
FOR FLOOD WATERS TO RECEDE. IN ADDITION...THERE IS A CHANCE FOR RAIN
TODAY AND TONIGHT. WITH ALREADY SATURATED GROUND...ANY ADDITIONAL
RAIN WILL QUICKLY BECOME RUNOFF AND EXACERBATE ONGOING FLOODING.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
GEORGETOWN...MILFORD...SEAFORD...MILLSBORO...LAUREL...LEWES...
MILTON...SELBYVILLE...BRIDGEVILLE...DELMAR...DAGSBORO...MILLVILLE...
ELLENDALE...HENLOPEN ACRES...SYCAMORE...CAPE HENLOPEN STATE PARK...
GUMBORO...LONG NECK...OCEAN VIEW AND BLADES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3846 7569 3882 7572 3884 7568 3883 7562
      3884 7561 3884 7555 3888 7551 3894 7531
      3881 7514 3880 7508 3845 7505

$$

SFJ

049 
WGUS81 KPHI 011737
FLSPHI

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
137 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

DEC005-020400-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.W.0024.000000T0000Z-161002T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SUSSEX DE-
137 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

...A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT SUNDAY FOR
SUSSEX COUNTY...

AT 132 PM EDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AND RIVER GAUGES REPORTED
FLOODING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO 13 INCHES OF RAIN FELL ACROSS
THE WARNED AREA SINCE WEDNESDAY. ALTHOUGH LITTLE ADDITIONAL RAIN HAS
FALLEN SINCE FRIDAY...IT WILL TAKE SOME TIME FOR THE FLOOD WATERS TO
RECEDE. THERE WILL BE SOME ADDITIONAL RAIN...MAINLY ALONG COASTAL
AREAS...INTO THIS EVENING. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY SATURATED...ANY
ADDITIONAL RAIN WILL QUICKLY BECOME RUNOFF AND EXACERBATE THE
FLOODING. NUMEROUS ROADS ARE STILL CLOSED AS THEY ARE UNDERWATER...
AND SEVERAL ROADS HAVE COLLAPSED AND WASHED OUT. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO
DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED ROADS AND DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE AROUND
BARRICADES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3846 7569 3882 7572 3884 7568 3883 7562
      3884 7561 3884 7555 3888 7551 3894 7531
      3881 7514 3880 7508 3845 7505

$$

MPS

439 
WGUS81 KPHI 012347
FLSPHI

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
747 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

DEC005-020400-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.W.0024.000000T0000Z-161002T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SUSSEX DE-
747 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

...A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FOR SUSSEX
COUNTY...

AT 745 PM EDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AND RIVER GAUGES REPORTED
FLOODING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO 13 INCHES OF RAIN FELL ACROSS
THE WARNED AREA SINCE WEDNESDAY. ALTHOUGH LITTLE ADDITIONAL RAIN HAS
FALLEN SINCE FRIDAY...IT WILL TAKE SOME TIME FOR THE FLOOD WATERS TO
RECEDE. NUMEROUS ROADS REMAIN CLOSED...AND SEVERAL ROADS HAVE
COLLAPSED AND WASHED OUT. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADS AND DO NOT ATTEMPT TO DRIVE AROUND BARRICADES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

&&

LAT...LON 3846 7569 3882 7572 3884 7568 3883 7562
      3884 7561 3884 7555 3888 7551 3894 7531
      3881 7514 3880 7508 3845 7505

$$

MPS

000 
WGUS81 KPHI 020355
FLSPHI

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1155 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

DEC005-020402-
/O.EXP.KPHI.FA.W.0024.000000T0000Z-161002T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SUSSEX DE-
1155 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016

...THE FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1200 AM EDT SUSSEX COUNTY...

LOCAL CREEKS AND STREAMS CONTINUE TO FALL AND FLOOD WATERS HAVE
RECEDED. THEREFORE THE FLOOD WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

THERE REMAINS SEVERAL ROADS CLOSED DUE TO DAMAGE FROM THE FLOOD
WATERS AND THERE COULD REMAIN SOME AREAS OF WATER IN POOR DRAINAGE
AREAS. PLEASE HEED ANY WARNING SIGNS AND DO NOT DRIVE AROUND
BARRICADES.

LAT...LON 3846 7569 3882 7572 3884 7568 3883 7562
      3884 7561 3884 7555 3888 7551 3894 7531
      3881 7514 3880 7508 3845 7505

$$

ROBERTSON

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
849 AM EDT Fri Sep 30 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A frontal boundary will remain stationary to our south today
through Saturday with high pressure to our north, and an area of
low pressure to our west. The high pressure will begin to break
down Saturday night into Sunday. The low to our west will then
lift through the Great Lakes region and into the northeast over
the weekend, before weakening on Monday. This will pull the
frontal boundary across our area Sunday. High pressure builds to
our north for Tuesday into Thursday with a northeast flow across
the area.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Heaviest rains have basically occurred in the watch area and the
remaining rains will decrease in intensity to drizzle from south
to north later today.

Two day totals since roughly 12z/28.

Harbeson        13.89"
Stockley        11.05
Selbyville       8.62
Georgetown ASOS  8.65

In the process of trimming watches and warnings in a general
clean up after the event.

Will post around noon, a two 48 hour storm total rainfall summary
and a few max wind gusts that occurred between 1 PM yesterday and
5 am this morning...mostly in the 40-44 kt range from Dover DE
then northeastward along the coasts.

Rivers still rising... appears southern DE...highest stream stage
since 1999 will occur...the 10-12" rains were real. DOX STA has a
good handle on the amounts. Legacy STP that most everyone sees is
too low and I'm using for now, a 60 40 blend weighted to the DOX
STA.

Tonight...The mid level flow shifts a bit more southwesterly
overnight, this will decrease the moisture advection somewhat.
Additionally, the pressure gradient will continue to relax,
meaning low level flow will drop off sharply through the overnight
hours. With very limited instability, expect all precip overnight
to be stratiform and light.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY/...
Cloudy and not quite as cool... a bit of drizzle or a few low tip
showers possible.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Unsettled weather continues to be forecast for much of the
extended period, especially into the weekend.

By Sunday, the high to our north begins to move eastward, and the
low to our west will begin lifting back toward the Great Lakes
region. This will eventually pull the frontal boundary to our
south across our area on Sunday. There will continue to be a
chance of showers through Sunday as several short wave/vorticity
impulses move across the area as the closed low aloft begins to
break down and lift to the northeast.

On Monday, the mid-level low will be moving across the area, and
the surface low to our north will weaken as it moves into New
England. As the mid-level low crosses the area, there could be
some scattered showers affecting the area Monday into Monday
night.

For Tuesday into Thursday, high pressure builds to our north and
noses its way across our area. With the high to our north, an
onshore flow will develop again, which may end up leading to more
cloud cover and cooler conditions. The mid-level trough continues
to slowly move across the area Tuesday, which could keep a chance
of showers across the area. By Wednesday and Thursday, the trough
moves eastward, but with the northeasterly flow and continued
moisture, there could be some light rain or drizzle across the
area.

The focus beyond the extended turns to Hurricane Matthew. The
current tracks from the long term guidance is for the system to
make the turn to the right and away from the coast before reaching
our area. We will need to continue monitoring the forecast over
the next several days for adjustments to the forecast track.

&&

.AVIATION /13Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
The following discussion is for KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY and surrounding areas.

Today...MVFR cigs variable IFR conditions in periods of rain and
drizzle. Gusty northeast winds 20 to 30 kt slowly diminishing
later on.

Tonight...Probably mostly IFR cigs with a chance of showers late.
North-northeast wind.

Saturday...IFR cigs should improve MVFR CIGS. mainly north=east
wind.

OUTLOOK...
Saturday night...A prolonged period of MVFR or IFR conditions
with periods of rain is expected to affect the TAF sites through
the period. East to northeast winds are expected to gust 15-20
knots on Saturday.

Sunday-Monday...Some improvement, possibly to VFR. Showers remain
possible.

Monday night-Tuesday...MVFR or IFR conditions likely to return.
Showers remain possible again. East to northeast winds are expected to
gust 15-20 knots on Tuesday.

&&

.MARINE...
Gale conditions continue on the NJ coastal waters, but winds are
expected to decrease through the day. Once winds drop below gale
conditions, a small craft advisory will replace the GLW through
tonight due to both wind gusts near 25 kt and lingering high
seas.

Otherwise, SCA today DE Bay and SCA DE Atlc waters into Saturday
though mainly for hazardous seas tonight and Saturday.

OUTLOOK...

Saturday night-Sunday...Winds and seas expected to drop below Small
Craft Advisory levels.

Sunday night-Monday night...Conditions expected to remain below
Small Craft Advisory levels.

Tuesday...Small Craft Advisory conditions may return to the waters.

RIP CURRENTS... This mornings forecast was the last of this season.
Thank you for your support, spreading our safety message. We think
lack of awareness of the silent danger of rip currents is why so many
lives are lost. For best chance of safety, swim in the presence of
lifeguards.

There is a high risk for the formation of dangerous rip currents
along the NJ shore and the DE beaches today. Wave heights should
slowly diminish through the day.

Water temps have cooled into the upper 60s to around 70. So for
those who still enjoy swimming in those somewhat cooler waters...
be alert for the potential strong and dangerous rips toward the
end of next week as a by product of the probable distant seaward
passage of Matthew, provided Matthew makes it north of Bermuda.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
The heaviest rains have already occurred. The watch is maintained
for several still rising streams.

Appears southern DE...highest stream stage since 1999 will occur...the
10-14" rains were real. DOX STA has a good handle on the amounts.
Legacy STP that most everyone sees is too low and I'm using for
now, a 70 30 blend weighted to the DOX STA.

Two day totals since roughly 12z/28.

Harbeson        13.89"
Stockley        11.05
Selbyville       8.62
Georgetown ASOS  8.65

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Minor tidal flooding is occuring with this mornings high tide
cycle for all but the tidal Delaware River. B

As for the high tide cycle this evening, tidal flooding concerns
will depend, to a large part on how quickly the winds drop off
through the day today. For now, am forecasting that winds will
drop off quickly by mid day (except along the far northern shore)
which should lessen the threat for this evening's high tide. This
will need to be revisited through the day.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Georgetown broke its daily rainfall record with 6.52 inches. Here
are today's rainfall records.

Sept 30

ACY 1.76 1964
PHL 2.41 2010
ILG 4.32 2010
TTN 1.50 1924
GED 3.15 1964

Updated this morning at 830 AM:

September will be/is a top 10 warmest month through most of our
forecast area, for the 3rd consecutive month!

Also September will be/is enjoying a second consecutive top 5
warmest month in the period of record for PHL and ABE.

We've run the actual numbers through the 29th, then added the
forecast high/low for today.

Philadelphia: The 73.5 degree average is 4.4 degrees above the
monthly normal of 69.1. This will be the #5 warmest September on
record for Philadelphia.

Philadelphia September average temperature rankings

75.4 -1881
74.5 -2015
74.1 -1931 74.1 -1930
73.8 -2005
73.5 -2016
72.9 -2010 72.9 - 1921

Philly ranked #7 warmest July followed by a warmest ever August in
the POR dating back to 1874.

Atlantic City: 71.1 degree monthly average temperature, or nearly 4
degrees above the monthly normal of 67.2. This equates to an 8th
warmest September in the period of record dating back to 1874.
Atlantic City recorded a #7 warmest July and then a warmest ever
August.

73.3 - 1961
72.8 - 1881
72.3 - 1931 and 1930
71.7 - 1921
71.6 - 2015
71.5 - 1933
71.3 - 2005

71.1 - 2016 #8
71.0 - 2010
70.6 - 2011 and 1906

Allentown: 69.1 degrees, or 5.2 degrees above the monthly normal
of 63.9 and a 5th warmest September on record. Allentown ranked
8th warmest July and #2 warmest August in the period of record.

70.8 - 1961
70.3 - 1980
69.7 - 2015
69.4 - 1931
69.1 - 2016
68.7 - 2005

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Flash Flood Watch until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for PAZ070.
NJ...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM EDT this evening for NJZ014-
     024>026.
     Wind Advisory until noon EDT today for NJZ014-025-026.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until noon EDT today for NJZ012>014-
     020>027.
     Flash Flood Watch until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for NJZ016-021-
     023-024.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 1 PM EDT this afternoon for
     NJZ016.
DE...High Rip Current Risk until 6 PM EDT this evening for DEZ004.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until noon EDT today for DEZ002>004.
     Flash Flood Watch until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for DEZ001>004.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 1 PM EDT this afternoon for
     DEZ001.
MD...Flash Flood Watch until 4 PM EDT this afternoon for MDZ008-012-
     015-019-020.
MARINE...Gale Warning until noon EDT today for ANZ452-453.
     Gale Warning until 2 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ450-451.
     Small Craft Advisory until 11 PM EDT this evening for ANZ454-
     455.
     Small Craft Advisory until noon EDT today for ANZ430-431.

&&

Synopsis...Robertson
Near Term...Drag/Johnson  848
Short Term...Johnson
Long Term...Robertson
Aviation...Drag/Johnson/Robertson
Marine...Drag/Johnson/Robertson
Hydrology...848
Tides/Coastal Flooding...
Climate...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
804 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

NJZ001-007>010-015-017>019-PAZ054-055-060>062-071-101>106-011215-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
PHILADELPHIA-WESTERN CHESTER-EASTERN CHESTER-WESTERN MONTGOMERY-
EASTERN MONTGOMERY-UPPER BUCKS-LOWER BUCKS-
804 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT WHICH MAY LEAD
TO POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ002-003-NJZ021-023-011215-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CUMBERLAND-CAPE MAY-
804 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ012-013-020-022-027-011215-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-ATLANTIC-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
804 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MDZ008-012-015-019-020-PAZ070-011215-
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-DELAWARE-
804 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-NJZ016-011215-
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-
804 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ014-025-026-011215-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
804 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.
   HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ004-NJZ024-011215-
DELAWARE BEACHES-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
804 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON...
...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 6 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.
   HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-454-455-011215-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
804 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ452-453-011215-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
804 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ450-451-011215-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
804 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT SATURDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
424 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 PM     FLOOD            BETHANY BEACH           38.54N  75.07W
09/29/2016                   SUSSEX             DE   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROUTE 1 CLOSED BETWEEN BETHANY BEACH AND DEWEY BEACH
            DUE TO WATER ON THE ROADWAY

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1602057

SFJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
430 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1246 PM     FLOOD            1 SSW MISPILLION LIGHT  38.94N  75.32W
09/29/2016                   SUSSEX             DE   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            CEDAR BEACH ROAD...ROUTE 36...CLOSED AT LIGHTHOUSE ROAD
            DUE TO FLOODING

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1602058

SFJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
439 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 AM     FLOOD            1 ESE HOMESTEAD MOBILE  38.60N  75.37W
09/29/2016                   SUSSEX             DE   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            LONG DRAIN ROAD CLOSED BETWEEN ROUTE 20 AND CROSS KEYS
            ROAD DUE TO FLOODING

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1602059

SFJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
453 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 AM     FLOOD            OAK ORCHARD             38.60N  75.17W
09/29/2016                   SUSSEX             DE   911 CALL CENTER

            MINOR STREET FLOODING REPORTED...TIME ESTIMATED FROM
            RADAR

0300 AM     FLOOD            MILTON                  38.78N  75.31W
09/29/2016                   SUSSEX             DE   911 CALL CENTER

            MINOR STREET FLOODING REPORTED...TIME ESTIMATED FROM
            RADAR

0650 AM     FLOOD            1 ESE HOMESTEAD MOBILE  38.60N  75.37W
09/29/2016                   SUSSEX             DE   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            LONG DRAIN ROAD CLOSED BETWEEN ROUTE 20 AND CROSS KEYS
            ROAD DUE TO FLOODING

0909 AM     FLOOD            PRESTON                 38.71N  75.91W
09/29/2016                   CAROLINE           MD   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATERSTREET AND SHOPTANK RIVER ROAD CLOSED

0909 AM     FLOOD            AMERICAN CORNER         38.77N  75.82W
09/29/2016                   CAROLINE           MD   EMERGENCY MNGR

            RIVER LANDING ROAD CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING

0909 AM     FLOOD            AMERICAN CORNER         38.77N  75.82W
09/29/2016                   CAROLINE           MD   EMERGENCY MNGR

            RICHARDSON ROAD PARTLY CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.

1246 PM     FLOOD            1 SSW MISPILLION LIGHT  38.94N  75.32W
09/29/2016                   SUSSEX             DE   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            CEDAR BEACH ROAD...ROUTE 36...CLOSED AT LIGHTHOUSE ROAD
            DUE TO FLOODING

0142 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG MILFORD                 38.91N  75.43W
09/29/2016                   SUSSEX             DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1 TREE LIMBS BROKEN OFF

0300 PM     FLOOD            HARBESON                38.72N  75.28W
09/29/2016                   SUSSEX             DE   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            HARBESON ROAD...ROUTE 5...IS CLOSED IN A COUPLE OF
            LOCATIONS. SHOULDERS WASHED OUT BETWEEN ROADS 285 AND
            302.

0510 PM     FLOOD            WOOD BRANCH             38.67N  75.36W
09/29/2016                   SUSSEX             DE   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            ROAD FLOODED

0603 PM     FLOOD            DAGSBORO                38.55N  75.25W
09/29/2016                   SUSSEX             DE   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROUTE 113 FLOODED NEAR RTE 26.

0808 PM     FLOOD            HARBESON                38.72N  75.28W
09/29/2016                   SUSSEX             DE   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            HUDSON ROAD FLOODED

1000 PM     FLOOD            BETHANY BEACH           38.54N  75.07W
09/29/2016                   SUSSEX             DE   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROUTE 1 CLOSED BETWEEN BETHANY BEACH AND DEWEY BEACH
            DUE TO WATER ON THE ROADWAY

1130 PM     FLOOD            MILFORD CROSSING        38.93N  75.44W
09/29/2016                   KENT               DE   911 CALL CENTER

            MINOR FLOODING IN FLOOD PRONE AREAS.

1200 AM     HEAVY RAIN       CAPE MAY                38.94N  74.90W
09/30/2016  M3.74 INCH       CAPE MAY           NJ   CO-OP OBSERVER

            TOTAL FROM MIDNIGHT EDT TO MIDNIGHT EDT. NO SIGNIFICANT
            PONDING OF WATER NOTED

0400 AM     FLOOD            ODESSA                  39.46N  75.66W
09/30/2016                   NEW CASTLE         DE   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            MARL PIT ROAD CLOSED BETWEEN US 13 AND BRICK MILL ROAD
            DUE TO WATER ON ROADWAY

0448 AM     HEAVY RAIN       SUSSEX COUNTY AIRPORT   38.69N  75.36W
09/30/2016  M8.69 INCH       SUSSEX             DE   ASOS

            FROM SEPTEMBER 27 THROUGH 430 AM SEPTEMBER 30

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1601929 PHI1601930 PHI1602059 PHI1601953 PHI1601954
PHI1601955 PHI1602058 PHI1601998 PHI1602056 PHI1602054 PHI1602055
PHI1602051 PHI1602057 PHI1602050 PHI1602052 PHI1602053 PHI1602060

SFJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
628 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0627 AM     HEAVY RAIN       CENTREVILLE             39.04N  76.07W
09/30/2016  M3.88 INCH       QUEEN ANNES        MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            STORM TOTAL AS OF 6 AM

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1602061

SFJ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
640 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0639 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 NNW HARRINGTON        38.98N  75.60W
09/30/2016  M5.76 INCH       KENT               DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1602062

SFJ