Alert archive / Oregon / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Pendleton, OR

May 4, 2016Wheeler County, Oregon

NWS Pendleton, OR issued this special weather statement at May 4, 2016, 4:21 PM PDT for Wheeler County, Oregon. It was in force for 24 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 4, 2016, 4:21 PM PDT (23:21 UTC)
Expired
May 4, 2016, 4:45 PM PDT
In force
24 min
Issued by
NWS Pendleton, OR

County Wheeler County, OR

The radar

The Pendleton radar (KPDT), 159 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:22 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Medford/Jackson, OR (KMFR), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 329 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Medford/Jackson, OR at 12:00Z on 2016-05-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 10 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Medford/Jackson, OR at 12:00Z on 2016-05-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 117 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
10 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-247 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
661 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
117 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
177 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pendleton, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 4, 2:30 PM PDT, 1 hour 51 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 4, 2:30 PM PDT, 1 hour 51 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
230 PM PDT WED MAY 4 2016

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...A LARGE AND ROBUST UPPER
TROUGH OFF THE COAST IS PRODUCING A SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE FORECAST
AREA AND REGION. THIS IS BRINGING UP MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY FROM
THE SOUTH INTO THE CWA. SEVERAL STORMS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED ALONG
THE CASCADES AND SOUTH OF THE DESCHUTES COUNTY. SO FAR THESE HAVE
BEEN MODERATE TO STRONG STORMS WHICH REQUIRED A FEW STATEMENTS TO BE
ISSUED BY MFR. ONE STORM IS MOVING INTO DESCHUTES COUNTY AT THIS
TIME AND MAY NEED TO ISSUE A STATEMENT FOR IT. IT DOES NOT LOOK
SEVERE...BUT COULD BE STRONG. MORE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM AND
WILL HAVE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN
AREAS OF THE CWA THIS EVENING AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF STORMS OVER THE
NORTHWEST PORTION WHERE IT WILL NOT BE AS UNSTABLE. CONVECTIVE
PARAMETERS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THUNDERSTORMS SUCH AS PWAT...NEGATIVE
LI AND DEW POINTS. SHEAR IS PRETTY WEAK SO ORGANIZED CONVECTION IS
NOT EXPECTED THIS EVENING. ON THURSDAY THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME
EVEN MORE UNSTABLE IN THIS SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT AND THE ATMOSPHERE
WILL BE MORE MOIST AS WELL. SPC HAS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE STORMS
OVER THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE CWA WHERE THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE
THE MOST UNSTABLE AND MOIST. THE ONLY FLY IN THE OINTMENT IS THAT
THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF CLOUDS AROUND WHICH MAY INHIBIT CONVECTION.
NEVERTHELESS IT STILL LOOKS LIKE A BUSY DAY WITH THUNDERSTORMS. MAY
NEED EXTRA STAFFING DURING THE EVENING SHIFT AS A RESULT. CONDITIONS
WILL BECOME A LITTLE MORE STABLE ON FRIDAY BUT THERE WILL STILL BE A
CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHEAST
HALF OF THE CWA AS A NORTHEAST WRAP AROUND FLOW PULLS MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY INTO THE CWA AROUND A LARGE UPPER LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN
GREAT BASIN WITH NORTHEAST WINDS. THESE ARE NOT TYPICAL WINDS
ASSOCIATED WITH THUNDERSTORMS SO THIS WILL NEED TO BE RE-EVALUATED.
HOWEVER CONVECTIVE INDICES INDICATE THAT THERE WILL BE MORE
CONVECTION ON FRIDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL ON THURSDAY DUE TO MORE
CLOUD COVER BUT THEN WILL WARM BACK UP INTO THE LOWER 80S IN THE
LOWER ELEVATIONS WITH 60S AND 70S IN THE MOUNTAINS IN TIME FOR THE
WEEKEND. 88

.LONG TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM TO OUR SOUTH WILL CONTINUE TO PUMP MOISTURE NORTH AND INTO
OUR AREA THIS WEEKEND. THUS LATE AFTN AND EARLY EVE TSRA SHOULD
DEVELOP FRI AND AGAIN ON SATURDAY MOSTLY OVER OUR EASTERN ZONES. A
FEW SHOWERS LINGER ALONG THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS SUNDAY BUT AS THE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM SLOWLY MOVES AWAY...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
INTO THE TWO STATE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. DRIER CONDITIONS
CAN BE EXPECTED FOR THE ENTIRE REGION NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL ALTHOUGH COOLER TEMPS CAN BE EXPECTED
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST BUT THUNDERSTORMS
WILL DEVELOP INTO THE EVENING AND MAY APPROACH ANY TAF SITE TONIGHT
AND BRIEF WIND GUSTS TO 35 KTS IS POSSIBLE WITH ANY STORM. TSRA
SHOULD DECREASE IN COVERAGE AROUND 06Z. AFTERWARDS SHOWERS SHOULD
PERSIST INTO THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE DAYTIME HEATING THURSDAY AFTN
COULD PRODUCE ISOLD TSRA ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
PDT  54  76  54  81 /  60  50  30  20
ALW  56  76  56  82 /  50  50  40  20
PSC  54  78  54  83 /  50  40  30  10
YKM  51  78  51  84 /  60  30  20  10
HRI  51  76  51  81 /  50  40  30  10
ELN  48  74  48  81 /  60  30  20  10
RDM  42  67  42  74 /  70  60  30  20
LGD  45  71  45  74 /  50  60  60  30
GCD  47  71  47  72 /  50  70  70  30
DLS  51  76  51  84 /  60  40  20  10

&&

.PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...NONE.
WA...NONE.
&&

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION, CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT...
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/PENDLETON

88/97/97

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 4, 2:16 PM PDT, 2 hours 5 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
216 PM PDT WED MAY 4 2016

ORZ511-042215-
CENTRAL OREGON OR-
216 PM PDT WED MAY 4 2016

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 214 PM PDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
TUMALO...OR NEAR BEND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 65 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM AS WELL
AS PEA SIZE HAIL.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BEND...REDMOND...PRINEVILLE...TERREBONNE...POWELL BUTTE AND TUMALO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 4408 12137 4414 12139 4452 12116 4448 12106
      4445 12115 4437 12113 4436 12110 4439 12105
      4435 12105 4434 12100 4439 12097 4440 12091
      4437 12083 4401 12120
TIME...MOT...LOC 2114Z 210DEG 55KT 4413 12125

RSC
Special weather statement, May 4, 2:36 PM PDT, 1 hour 45 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
236 PM PDT WED MAY 4 2016

ORZ511-042230-
CENTRAL OREGON OR-
236 PM PDT WED MAY 4 2016

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 235 PM PDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
BEND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM AS WELL
AS SMALL HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BEND...REDMOND...POWELL BUTTE AND TUMALO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 4400 12126 4403 12134 4416 12141 4437 12130
      4424 12097 4400 12122
TIME...MOT...LOC 2135Z 207DEG 8KT 4410 12130

RSC
Special weather statement, May 4, 4:21 PM PDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
421 PM PDT WED MAY 4 2016

ORZ503-505-508-042345-
JOHN DAY BASIN OR-
FOOTHILLS OF THE SOUTHERN BLUE MOUNTAINS OF OREGON OR-
SOUTHERN BLUE MOUNTAINS OF OREGON OR-
421 PM PDT WED MAY 4 2016

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 421 PM PDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 12
MILES EAST OF ASHWOOD...OR 19 MILES NORTHWEST OF MITCHELL...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FOSSIL...CLARNO AND KINZUA.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 4455 12030 4458 12030 4456 12036 4457 12040
      4467 12036 4468 12043 4462 12045 4469 12057
      4473 12059 4497 12053 4497 12048 4503 12049
      4506 12047 4505 11981 4468 12020
TIME...MOT...LOC 2321Z 212DEG 22KT 4471 12050

JS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pendleton, OR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 4, 2:16 PM PDTSpecial Weather StatementPDTDeschutes59 min
May 4, 2:36 PM PDTSpecial Weather StatementPDTDeschutes54 min
May 4, 4:48 PM PDTSpecial Weather StatementPDTWheeler27 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Oregon, 2016Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.