Severe Thunderstorm Warning 211, NWS Paducah, KY

653 
WWUS53 KPAH 102027
SVSPAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
327 PM CDT SAT SEP 10 2016

KYC219-102045-
/O.CON.KPAH.SV.W.0211.000000T0000Z-160910T2045Z/
TODD KY-
327 PM CDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN TODD COUNTY...

AT 327 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF RUSSELLVILLE...OR 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ELKTON...MOVING EAST AT 35
MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GUTHRIE AND ALLENSVILLE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3675 8706 3664 8706 3664 8718 3675 8719
      3680 8706 3677 8705
TIME...MOT...LOC 2027Z 250DEG 46KT 3674 8700 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
225 PM CDT SAT SEP 10 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Monday night)
Issued at 225 PM CDT Sat Sep 10 2016

The cold front is quickly moving across eastern portions of the
PAH forecast area this afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms along
the front were producing quite a bit of lightning, with ground
reports of winds around 35 kts at best. The cold front and
associated convection will clear our region by 00z.

Drier air will filter in behind the front with models quickly
building high pressure into middle Mississippi River valley. Dew
points will drop off into the lower to middle 50s area wide by
late tonight, and will remain in the 50s through early Monday.
Much cooler temperatures are expected tonight into Sunday night
with lows in the middle 50s and highs in the 75 to 80 degree
range. Temperatures will moderate to near seasonal readings for
Monday and Monday night with highs in the lower to middle 80s and
lows around 60s.  By Tuesday into Tuesday night, with the high
well off to our east and a cold front to our northwest, southerly
winds will increase our temperatures and our dew points by several
degrees.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Saturday)
Issued at 225 PM CDT Sat Sep 10 2016

Average confidence in the long term. This discussion will be rather
brief due to ongoing weather.

High pressure at the surface plus lack of moisture and upper support
should keep the region dry through Tuesday night. Small
precipitation chances are expected to sag into the northern and
western portions of our CWA on Wednesday as a weak front moves
across the area. Models not in the best agreement on placement of
precipitation but the deepest moisture is forecast to be over the
two areas mentioned above, so will only have POPs there at this time.

High pressure in the wake of the front should keep the region dry
through Thursday night. With the approach of another frontal system
along with steadily increasing deep layer moisture and upper
support, precipitation chances make their way back into the forecast
on Friday and increase through the end of the period.

Temperatures will remain near normal to just above normal through
the period.

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 225 PM CDT Sat Sep 10 2016

Clearing skies are expected into this evening as a cold front
moves east out of the region this afternoon. Low VFR clouds at
TAF sites should move out from west to east between 23z and 03z.
Areas of ground fog are possible between 09z and 13z, especially
at KCGI. Winds from the northwest at 6 to 12 kts with some higher
gusts will decrease to 4 kts or less this evening and shift to
the northeast.

&&

.PAH Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...RST
LONG TERM...JP
AVIATION...RST

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
339 AM CDT SAT SEP 10 2016

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-111000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
339 AM CDT SAT SEP 10 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED NEAR A COLD FRONT
FROM THE IMMEDIATE WABASH VALLEY SOUTHWEST THROUGH PADUCAH AND
HICKMAN KENTUCKY AROUND MIDDAY. THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME
MORE NUMEROUS...POSSIBLY FORMING A SOLID LINE...THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON AS THEY MOVE THROUGH WEST KENTUCKY AND SOUTHWEST
INDIANA. A FEW SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY ALONG AND EAST OF
A LINE FROM MURRAY TO OWENSBORO KENTUCKY. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERNS. THE ACTIVITY SHOULD BE EAST OF
THE REGION BY 4 OR 5 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST IN THE PERRYVILLE
MISSOURI THROUGH MT VERNON ILLINOIS REGION LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...AND
OVER ALL OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHWEST INDIANA ON WEDNESDAY.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERNS
WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST THROUGHOUT THE
REGION FRIDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE
PRIMARY CONCERNS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS OVER WEST KENTUCKY...TO THE EAST OF A MURRAY TO OWENSBORO
LINE...SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR ACTIVATION THIS AFTERNOON.

DRS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
201 PM CDT SAT SEP 10 2016

KYZ012-016-017-021-022-101945-
HOPKINS KY-MUHLENBERG KY-CHRISTIAN KY-TRIGG KY-TODD KY-
201 PM CDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN HOPKINS...TRIGG...
TODD...CHRISTIAN AND MUHLENBERG COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM CDT...

AT 200 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR CENTRAL CITY TO ENERGY. MOVEMENT WAS
SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOPKINSVILLE...CENTRAL CITY...GREENVILLE...CADIZ...ELKTON...
...LAND BETWEEN THE LAKES AREA...NORTONVILLE...MORTONS
GAP...AND ENERGY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
&&

LAT...LON 3709 8689 3706 8705 3687 8706 3664 8740
      3663 8778 3684 8810 3696 8790 3697 8777
      3702 8771 3712 8769 3739 8729 3738 8722
      3741 8717 3738 8710 3733 8714 3737 8708
      3732 8699 3727 8698 3721 8690 3714 8693
TIME...MOT...LOC 1900Z 311DEG 31KT 3735 8720 3685 8804

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
244 PM CDT SAT SEP 10 2016

KYZ017-021-022-102030-
MUHLENBERG KY-CHRISTIAN KY-TODD KY-
244 PM CDT SAT SEP 10 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR TODD...SOUTHERN CHRISTIAN AND
SOUTHEASTERN MUHLENBERG COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM CDT...

AT 240 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES WEST OF MORGANTOWN TO NEAR BIG
ROCK.
MOVEMENT WAS EAST SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOPKINSVILLE...OAK GROVE...ELKTON...GUTHRIE...PEMBROKE...TRENTON...
HERNDON...ALLEGRE...AND ALLENSVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3711 8691 3709 8689 3706 8705 3664 8706
      3664 8769 3677 8767 3727 8699 3724 8694
      3723 8691 3722 8692 3718 8689 3718 8692
      3714 8693 3711 8689
TIME...MOT...LOC 1941Z 296DEG 31KT 3724 8689 3659 8770