Alert archive / Kentucky / Flash Flood Watches in 2016
Flash Flood Watch 2, NWS Paducah, KY
NWS Paducah, KY issued this flash flood watch at Mar 8, 2016, 3:11 PM CST for 4 states. It took effect at Mar 9, 2016, 12:00 PM CST. It was in force for 29 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 8, 2016, 3:11 PM CST (21:11 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 9, 2016, 12:00 PM CST
- Expired
- Mar 10, 2016, 5:10 PM CST
- In force
- 29 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Paducah, KY
- Flood severity
- None
All 54 counties
Alexander County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Spencer County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Ballard County, KY, Caldwell County, KY, Calloway County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Christian County, KY, Crittenden County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Graves County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hickman County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Livingston County, KY, Lyon County, KY, Marshall County, KY, McCracken County, KY, McLean County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Todd County, KY, Trigg County, KY, Union County, KY, Webster County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Perry County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO
The radar
The Paducah radar (KPAH), 35 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 230 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1587 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 32 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 201 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 168 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
817 WGUS63 KPAH 082111 FFAPAH URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 311 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016 ILZ075-080-084-MOZ076-086-087-100-107>110-090900- /O.NEW.KPAH.FF.A.0002.160309T1200Z-160311T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ JEFFERSON-PERRY IL-JACKSON-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU- WAYNE MO-CARTER-RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...PINCKNEYVILLE... CARBONDALE...PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU... PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD 311 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...JACKSON...JEFFERSON AND PERRY IL. IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...BOLLINGER...BUTLER...CAPE GIRARDEAU... CARTER...PERRY MO...RIPLEY...STODDARD AND WAYNE MO. * FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON * PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BEGIN OVER THE WATCH AREA STARTING EARLY WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM TWO TO FOUR INCHES OVER THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH TO FOUR TO SIX INCHES OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE WATCH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ JP
9 follow-up statements
544 WGUS63 KPAH 090928 FFAPAH URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 328 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016 ILZ076>078-081>083-085>094-KYZ001>005-MOZ111-112-114-092130- /O.EXB.KPAH.FF.A.0002.160309T1800Z-160311T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-WHITE-WILLIAMSON-SALINE- GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC- FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI- NEW MADRID- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FAIRFIELD...ALBION...MOUNT CARMEL... WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO...CARMI...HERRIN...HARRISBURG... SHAWNEETOWN...JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN... CAIRO...MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...HICKMAN...CLINTON...BARDWELL... WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID 328 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS EXPANDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE ALL OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...AS WELL AS BALLARD...CARLISLE... FULTON...HICKMAN AND MCCRACKEN COUNTIES IN WEST KENTUCKY. * FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL WILL SPREAD NORTHEAST THROUGH THE WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND THEN PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY THURSDAY. * RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...AND FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND WEST KENTUCKY. * THE PERSISTENT HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING OR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...AND EVENTUALLY COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING ALONG SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ ILZ075-080-084-MOZ076-086-087-100-107>110-092130- /O.EXT.KPAH.FF.A.0002.160309T1800Z-160311T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ JEFFERSON-PERRY IL-JACKSON-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU- WAYNE MO-CARTER-RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...PINCKNEYVILLE... CARBONDALE...PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU... PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD 328 AM CST WED MAR 9 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * ALL OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. * FROM NOON CST TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON * PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL WILL SPREAD NORTHEAST OVER THE WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...AND THEN PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY THURSDAY. * RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...AND FROM 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. * THE PERSISTENT HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RESULT IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING OR POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...AND EVENTUALLY COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING ALONG SMALLER CREEKS AND STREAMS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ DRS
548 WGUS63 KPAH 092133 FFAPAH FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 333 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016 ILZ075>078-080>094-KYZ001>005-MOZ076-086-087-100-107>112-114- 100900- /O.CON.KPAH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160311T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD- MCCRACKEN-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION... MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO... CARMI...CARBONDALE...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN... JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO... MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...HICKMAN...CLINTON...BARDWELL... WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU... PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD... SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID 333 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...ALEXANDER...EDWARDS...FRANKLIN...GALLATIN... HAMILTON...HARDIN...JACKSON...JEFFERSON...JOHNSON...MASSAC... PERRY IL...POPE...PULASKI...SALINE...UNION IL...WABASH...WAYNE IL...WHITE AND WILLIAMSON. IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...BALLARD... CARLISLE...FULTON...HICKMAN AND MCCRACKEN. IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...BOLLINGER...BUTLER...CAPE GIRARDEAU...CARTER... MISSISSIPPI...NEW MADRID...PERRY MO...RIPLEY...SCOTT... STODDARD AND WAYNE MO. * THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON * PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT...AND THEN PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY THURSDAY. * RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 3 INCHES OVER SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...AND FROM 3 TO 4 INCHES OVER SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND FAR WESTERN KENTUCKY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ JP
151 WGUS63 KPAH 100036 FFAPAH URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 636 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016 KYZ006>009-101030- /O.EXA.KPAH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160311T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ GRAVES-LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...BENTON...MURRAY 636 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS EXPANDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF WESTERN KENTUCKY... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...CALLOWAY...GRAVES...LIVINGSTON AND MARSHALL. * THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON * PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TONIGHT...AND THEN PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY THURSDAY. * RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM 2 TO 5 INCHES ACROSS FAR WESTERN KENTUCKY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ ILZ075>078-080>094-KYZ001>005-MOZ076-086-087-100-107>112-114- 101030- /O.CON.KPAH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160311T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD- MCCRACKEN-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION... MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO... CARMI...CARBONDALE...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN... JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO... MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...HICKMAN...CLINTON...BARDWELL... WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU... PIEDMONT...VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD... SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID 636 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * ALL OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...AND THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...BALLARD...CARLISLE... HICKMAN...FULTON...AND MCCRACKEN. * THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON * PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TONIGHT...AND THEN PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY THURSDAY. * RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 4 INCHES FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE FORECAST ACROSS FAR WESTERN KENTUCKY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
535 WGUS63 KPAH 100713 FFAPAH URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 113 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016 ...HEAVY RAIN TO CONTINUE TO IMPACT PART OF THE QUAD STATE REGION THROUGH TODAY... .HEAVY AND FLASH FLOOD PRODUCING RAINFALL ENTERED THE QUAD STATE REGION WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS RAIN WILL RETURN IN WAVES OVERNIGHT AND DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY. THE FOCUS OF THE HEAVY RAIN HAS MOVED FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST THAN EARLIER FORECASTS...SO ADJUSTMENTS TO THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WERE MADE TO REFLECT THIS CHANGE. ILZ075>078-080>083-100815- /O.CAN.KPAH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160311T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOUNT VERNON...FAIRFIELD...ALBION... MOUNT CARMEL...PINCKNEYVILLE...WEST FRANKFORT...MCLEANSBORO... CARMI 113 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR PERRY...JEFFERSON...WAYNE...EDWARDS...FRANKLIN...HAMILTON AND WHITE COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. THE FOCUS OF HEAVY...FLASH FLOOD PRODUCING RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST LATER TONIGHT AND DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY. ALTHOUGH RAIN IS STILL EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA FORMERLY COVERED BY THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH...THE RAIN SHOULD REMAIN BELOW THRESHOLDS FOR FLASH FLOODING. $$ INZ087-088-KYZ010>022-101800- /O.EXA.KPAH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160311T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WARRICK-SPENCER-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-UNION KY-WEBSTER- HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...MARION... EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...DIXON... MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...CALHOUN... GREENVILLE...ELKTON 113 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PADUCAH HAS EXPANDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...SPENCER AND WARRICK. IN WESTERN KENTUCKY... CALDWELL...CHRISTIAN...CRITTENDEN...DAVIESS...HENDERSON... HOPKINS...LYON...MCLEAN...MUHLENBERG...TODD...TRIGG...UNION KY AND WEBSTER. * THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON * PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TONIGHT...AND THEN PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY THURSDAY. * RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM 1 TO ALMOST 4 INCHES IN A SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ORIENTED BAND THROUGH WEST KENTUCKY AND A SMALL PART OF SOUTHWEST INDIANA. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ ILZ084>094-KYZ001>009-MOZ076-086-087-100-107>112-114-101800- /O.CON.KPAH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160311T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-HARDIN- ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD- MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER- CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT- MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARBONDALE...HERRIN...HARRISBURG... SHAWNEETOWN...JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN... CAIRO...MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...HICKMAN...CLINTON...BARDWELL... WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...BENTON...MURRAY... PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT... VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON... CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID 113 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...ALEXANDER...GALLATIN...HARDIN...JACKSON...JOHNSON... MASSAC...POPE...PULASKI...SALINE...UNION IL AND WILLIAMSON. IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...BALLARD...CALLOWAY...CARLISLE...FULTON... GRAVES...HICKMAN...LIVINGSTON...MARSHALL AND MCCRACKEN. IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...BOLLINGER...BUTLER...CAPE GIRARDEAU... CARTER...MISSISSIPPI...NEW MADRID...PERRY MO...RIPLEY... SCOTT...STODDARD AND WAYNE MO. * THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON * PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TONIGHT...AND THEN PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY THURSDAY. * RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 4 INCHES FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE FORECAST ACROSS FAR WESTERN KENTUCKY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ SMITH
136 WGUS63 KPAH 101340 FFAPAH FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 740 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016 ...HEAVY RAIN TO CONTINUE TO IMPACT PART OF THE QUAD STATE REGION TODAY... .HEAVY AND FLASH FLOOD PRODUCING RAINFALL ENTERED THE QUAD STATE REGION WEDNESDAY EVENING. THIS RAIN WILL RETURN IN WAVES THIS MORNING AND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE MAIN FOCUS OF THE RAIN WILL BE CENTERED ACROSS WEST KENTUCKY. ILZ084-085-088-MOZ076-086-087-100-107-108-101445- /O.CAN.KPAH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160311T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-UNION IL-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU- WAYNE MO-CARTER-RIPLEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARBONDALE...HERRIN...JONESBORO... PERRYVILLE...MARBLE HILL...CAPE GIRARDEAU...PIEDMONT... VAN BUREN...DONIPHAN 740 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL NO LONGER BE IN EFFECT WEST OF A LINE FROM DONIPHAN AND CAPE GIRARDEAU MISSOURI...ONWARD TO MARION ILLINOIS. THE PREVIOUS RAINFALL THAT OCCURRED WEDNESDAY NIGHT...COMBINED WITH THE EXPECTED RAINFALL TODAY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW THRESHOLD CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING. $$ ILZ086-087-089>094-INZ087-088-KYZ001>022-MOZ109>112-114-101800- /O.CON.KPAH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160311T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SALINE-GALLATIN-JOHNSON-POPE-HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...VIENNA... GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS... BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HICKMAN...CLINTON...BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE... PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...BENTON...MURRAY...MARION... EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...DIXON... MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...CALHOUN... GREENVILLE...ELKTON...POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON... CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID 740 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...ALEXANDER...GALLATIN...HARDIN... JOHNSON...MASSAC...POPE...PULASKI AND SALINE. IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...SPENCER AND WARRICK. IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...BALLARD... CALDWELL...CALLOWAY...CARLISLE...CHRISTIAN...CRITTENDEN... DAVIESS...FULTON...GRAVES...HENDERSON...HICKMAN...HOPKINS... LIVINGSTON...LYON...MARSHALL...MCCRACKEN...MCLEAN... MUHLENBERG...TODD...TRIGG...UNION KY AND WEBSTER. IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...BUTLER...MISSISSIPPI...NEW MADRID...SCOTT AND STODDARD. * UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING * PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE WATCH AREA TONIGHT...AND THEN PERSIST THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY THURSDAY. * RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 4 INCHES FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE FORECAST ACROSS FAR WESTERN KENTUCKY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ SMITH
060 WGUS63 KPAH 101800 FFAPAH FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1200 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016 ...HEAVY RAIN TO CONTINUE IMPACTING PART OF THE QUAD STATE REGION THIS AFTERNOON... .PERIODS OF RAIN...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS. THE MAIN FOCUS OF THE RAIN WILL BE ACROSS WEST KENTUCKY. ILZ086-087-089>094-INZ087-088-KYZ001>022-MOZ109>112-114-110000- /O.CON.KPAH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160311T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SALINE-GALLATIN-JOHNSON-POPE-HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...VIENNA... GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...CAIRO...MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS... BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HICKMAN...CLINTON...BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE... PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...BENTON...MURRAY...MARION... EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...DIXON... MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...CALHOUN... GREENVILLE...ELKTON...POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON... CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID 1200 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...ALEXANDER...GALLATIN...HARDIN... JOHNSON...MASSAC...POPE...PULASKI AND SALINE. IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...SPENCER AND WARRICK. IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...BALLARD... CALDWELL...CALLOWAY...CARLISLE...CHRISTIAN...CRITTENDEN... DAVIESS...FULTON...GRAVES...HENDERSON...HICKMAN...HOPKINS... LIVINGSTON...LYON...MARSHALL...MCCRACKEN...MCLEAN... MUHLENBERG...TODD...TRIGG...UNION KY AND WEBSTER. IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...BUTLER...MISSISSIPPI...NEW MADRID...SCOTT AND STODDARD. * UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING * PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON. * RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON ARE FORECAST TO RANGE FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES ARE FORECAST ACROSS WESTERN KENTUCKY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ JP
895 WGUS63 KPAH 102013 FFAPAH FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 213 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016 ILZ086-087-089-092-093-MOZ109>111-102115- /O.CAN.KPAH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160311T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ SALINE-GALLATIN-JOHNSON-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARRISBURG...SHAWNEETOWN...VIENNA... CAIRO...MOUND CITY...POPLAR BLUFF...BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON 213 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR MOST OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. LIGHT RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THESE AREAS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS BUT NOT ENOUGH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION TO CAUSE ANY FLOODING ISSUES. MOST AREAS NORTH AND WEST OF THE OHIO RIVER WILL SEE RAINFALL TOTALS OF ONLY ONE TO TWO INCHES. $$ ILZ090-091-094-INZ087-088-KYZ001>022-MOZ112-114-110000- /O.CON.KPAH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160311T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ POPE-HARDIN-MASSAC-WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE- BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN- LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON- DAVIESS-MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...METROPOLIS... BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HICKMAN...CLINTON...BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE... PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SMITHLAND...BENTON...MURRAY...MARION... EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...DIXON... MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...CALHOUN... GREENVILLE...ELKTON...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID 213 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...HARDIN...MASSAC AND POPE. IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...SPENCER AND WARRICK. IN WESTERN KENTUCKY... BALLARD...CALDWELL...CALLOWAY...CARLISLE...CHRISTIAN... CRITTENDEN...DAVIESS...FULTON...GRAVES...HENDERSON...HICKMAN... HOPKINS...LIVINGSTON...LYON...MARSHALL...MCCRACKEN...MCLEAN... MUHLENBERG...TODD...TRIGG...UNION KY AND WEBSTER. IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...MISSISSIPPI AND NEW MADRID. * UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING * PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEAST MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN KENTUCKY AND FAR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON. * RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON IN THESE AREAS ARE FORECAST TO TOP OUT IN THE THREE TO FIVE INCH RANGE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ JP
751 WGUS63 KPAH 102149 FFAPAH FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 349 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016 ILZ090-094-KYZ001>006-MOZ112-114-102300- /O.CAN.KPAH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160311T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ POPE-MASSAC-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GOLCONDA...METROPOLIS...HICKMAN... CLINTON...BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD... CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID 349 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR MOST OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...PORTIONS OF WESTERN KENTUCKY...AND ALL OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. LIGHT RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED IN THESE AREAS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS BUT NOT ENOUGH ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION TO CAUSE ANY FLOODING ISSUES. $$ ILZ091-INZ087-088-KYZ007>022-110000- /O.CON.KPAH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160311T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HARDIN-WARRICK-SPENCER-LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN- LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON- DAVIESS-MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETHTOWN...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT... SMITHLAND...BENTON...MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ... PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE... HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ELKTON 349 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...HARDIN. IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA...SPENCER AND WARRICK. IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...CALDWELL...CALLOWAY...CHRISTIAN... CRITTENDEN...DAVIESS...HENDERSON...HOPKINS...LIVINGSTON... LYON...MARSHALL...MCLEAN...MUHLENBERG...TODD...TRIGG...UNION KY AND WEBSTER. * UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING * PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEAST ACROSS WESTERN KENTUCKY AND PARTS OF SOUTHWEST INDIANA THIS AFTERNOON. * RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON IN THESE AREAS ARE FORECAST TO TOP OUT IN THE THREE TO FIVE INCH RANGE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ JP
099 WGUS63 KPAH 102310 FFAPAH FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 510 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016 ILZ091-INZ087-088-KYZ007>022-110015- /O.CAN.KPAH.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-160311T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HARDIN-WARRICK-SPENCER-LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN- LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON- DAVIESS-MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETHTOWN...BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT... SMITHLAND...BENTON...MURRAY...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ... PRINCETON...MORGANFIELD...DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE... HENDERSON...OWENSBORO...CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ELKTON 510 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS... SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. WHILE THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAS SHIFTED EAST OF THE WATCH AREA... RESIDUAL IMPACTS FROM RECENT HEAVY RAINS WILL LIKELY PERSIST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. REFER TO THE ONGOING FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR MORE DETAILS. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Mar 8, 2:40 PM CST, 31 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 8, 2:40 PM CST, 31 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
240 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016
.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday night)
Issued at 240 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016
Better confidence in the short term due to slightly better model
agreement.
The big story in the short term continues to be a prolonged period
of moderate to heavy rainfall. The reason for the rainfall is a
closed upper low forecast to drift slowly south southeast from the
gulf of Baja this morning to the southern portions of Old Mexico by
Thursday afternoon.
A frontal boundary dropping southeast out of the northern plains
will become quasi-stationary just to the north and west of our CWA
due to the parallel flow aloft associated with the aforementioned
upper low. The combination of the proximity of the boundary, deep
layer moisture and periodic impulses of energy ejecting northward
from the upper low will produce several rounds of showers and
thunderstorms through the period.
Rainfall is expected to move into the western portions of our CWA
starting this evening and spread eastward through Thursday night. At
this time the periods of heaviest rainfall in the short term appear
to be Wednesday, Wednesday night, and Thursday over the western and
northwestern sections of our CWA.
Latest QPF totals per WPC/HPC still leaning heavily toward the ECMWF
model solution. Based on this input and the CRprecip blend decided
to issue a Flash Flood Watch generally north and west of a line from
Dexter Missouri to Cape Girardeau Missouri to Mount Vernon Illinois
from 6 AM Wednesday through 6 PM Thursday. Areas east of that line
may require a Flash Flood Watch as well but due to timing
differences will be issued (if necessary) tonight or Wednesday.
Please see the Flash Flood Watch for additional information. Will
continue to monitor this situation closely for updates and possible
adjustments.
Temperatures will remain well above normal through the period.
.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 240 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016
High confidence in a wet end of the week and weekend. Low confidence
on exact synoptic scale positioning of cold front after Thursday.
One thing the models are agreeing on is the heaviest rain
transitioning from SEMO Wednesday into the Jackson Purchase area
Thursday. Also the models continue to lower storm totals with
amounts staying below flash flood guidance for any 6 hour period.
The models never did indicate strong or widespread convection but
the latest runs have us a little more stable with positive LI's and
Showalters. The forecast sounding do indicate some instability above
850mb which I suspect is why the K index does reach into the 30s. So
will keep a mention of thunder in especially south. The ECMWF does
not push the front all the way south of the area now as it had the
past few runs. It more closely resembles the GFS by hanging the
front over the area. Finally an upper level closed low will open up
and lift through the area over the weekend. This will keep a chance
of rain in the forecast but rainfall will be light and intermittent.
Finally weak upper level ridging move in early next week finally
bringing an end to the rainy pattern. However another system will be
poised to move out of the Rockies bringing rain chances back about
10 days out. Temperatures will still be above normal by 10 to 15
degrees.
&&
.AVIATION...
Issued at 1200 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016
Expect VFR cigs and vsbys to prevail at all sites until this
evening. However, could see occasional MVFR cigs near KCGI and
KPAH this afternoon as showers approach. MVFR cigs will not become
prevailing until showers enter SE MO and S IL tonight and W KY
during the overnight hours. At this time, cannot completely rule
out TSRA near KCGI tonight. As for the KEVV/KOWB area, VFR
conditions will persist until near sunrise when cigs decrease with
approaching showers. South winds will gust up to around 20 kts
this afternoon with sustained values AOA 10 kts. Wind speeds will
decrease slightly overnight and increase again Wed AM.
&&
.PAH Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
IL...Flash Flood Watch from Wednesday morning through Thursday
afternoon for ILZ075-080-084.
MO...Flash Flood Watch from Wednesday morning through Thursday
afternoon for MOZ076-086-087-100-107>110.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
&&
SHORT TERM...JP
LONG TERM/FIRE WX...KH
AVIATION...BP2Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 8, 3:10 PM CST, 1 minute before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 310 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-092115- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 310 PM CST TUE MAR 8 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST FOR MOST OF THE REGION TONIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERNS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIGHTNING ARE FORECAST WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINS AND SOME FLOODING ISSUES MAINLY WEDNESDAY...WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AND THURSDAY. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFFECT FROM 6 AM WEDNESDAY THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY FOR AREAS GENERALLY WEST OF A LINE FROM DEXTER MISSOURI TO CAPE GIRARDEAU MISSOURI TO MOUNT VERNON ILLINOIS. PLEASE REFER TO THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS. AREAS EAST OF THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL MAINLY WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. PLEASE REFER TO THE HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK FOR DETAILS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...HOWEVER REPORTS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ARE ENCOURAGED AND APPRECIATED. JP
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in Kentucky, 2016Flash Flood Watches in Illinois, 2016Flash Flood Watches in Missouri, 2016Every flash flood watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.