Flash Flood Warning 68, NWS Paducah, KY

612 
WGUS73 KPAH 012107
FFSPAH

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
407 PM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

ILC127-151-KYC083-139-145-157-012245-
/O.CON.KPAH.FF.W.0068.000000T0000Z-160801T2245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MASSAC IL-POPE IL-MARSHALL KY-GRAVES KY-LIVINGSTON KY-MCCRACKEN KY-
407 PM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 545 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN MASSAC...SOUTHEASTERN POPE...NORTHWESTERN MARSHALL...
NORTHERN GRAVES...SOUTHERN LIVINGSTON AND MCCRACKEN COUNTIES...

AT 405 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED WATER OVER SEVERAL
ROADS ACROSS MCCRACKEN COUNTY IN WEST KENTUCKY.

STORMS HAVE DIMINISHED CONSIDERABLY. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN IS NOT
ANTICIPATED. HOWEVER IT WILL TAKE A LITTLE MORE TIME FOR WATER TO
RECEDE ACROSS THE WARNING AREA.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
PADUCAH...CALVERT CITY...REIDLAND...LONE OAK...BROOKPORT...HENDRON...
MASSAC...WEST PADUCAH...WOODLAWN-OAKDALE...LEDBETTER...
GRAND RIVERS...SMITHLAND...HAMLETSBURG AND SYMSONIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNED AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

&&

LAT...LON 3689 8881 3695 8881 3703 8885 3709 8886
      3720 8824 3699 8822 3698 8823 3688 8848

$$

467 
WGUS73 KPAH 012244
FFSPAH

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
544 PM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

ILC127-151-KYC083-139-145-157-012253-
/O.EXP.KPAH.FF.W.0068.000000T0000Z-160801T2245Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MASSAC IL-POPE IL-MARSHALL KY-GRAVES KY-LIVINGSTON KY-MCCRACKEN KY-
544 PM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN MASSAC...SOUTHEASTERN
POPE...NORTHWESTERN MARSHALL...NORTHERN GRAVES...SOUTHERN LIVINGSTON
AND MCCRACKEN COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 545 PM CDT...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED AND FLOOD WATERS HAVE RECEDED IN SEVERAL
LOCATIONS WITHIN THE WARNED AREA. FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO
POSE A THREAT. PLEASE CONTINUE TO HEED ANY REMAINING ROAD CLOSURES.

LAT...LON 3689 8881 3695 8881 3703 8885 3709 8886
      3720 8824 3699 8822 3698 8823 3688 8848

$$

SMITH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
237 PM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Wednesday night)
Issued at 237 PM CDT Mon Aug 1 2016

Convection chances continue through mid week. Heights will slowly
rise and allow for more heat/humidity, with best chances gradually
shifting NE with time. Used a blend of the NAM and ECMWF. In the
short term, used Radar/Sat trends and the HRRR. Persistence was
used for temps along with the latest MOS. Will continue to monitor
closely the possible need for a Heat Advisory. Parts of SEMO will
be close Tuesday. More of the area on Wednesday.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 237 PM CDT Mon Aug 1 2016

An upper level high off to our southwest will keep our region in
northwest flow for the end of the work week.  Shower and
thunderstorm chances will continue on Thursday with diurnal heating,
with any activity waning for Thursday night.  By Friday, models show
an approaching cold front, which will increase our shower and
thunderstorm chances Friday into Friday night.  Models indicate the
front will be draped across our region Saturday into Sunday, and
this will continue showers and thunderstorms through the weekend,
especially during the daylight hours.  The front will continue to
meander in our region into the beginning of next week, and this will
keep us in an unstable pattern through at least Monday.

Southerly winds south of the front will keep our region warm and
muggy through the end of the work week, with just a small drop in
temperatures over the weekend as the front dips a little farther
south.  High temperatures will be in the 90 to 95 degree range
Thursday and Friday, and in the upper 80s to around 90 degrees
Saturday through Monday.  Dew points in the middle 70s will give us
heat indices in the 100 to 105 degree range away from showers and
storms.  Heat indices will drop off a few degrees for next weekend
and into Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 1159 AM CDT Mon Aug 1 2016

Kept TAFs generally VFR with light winds. Some MVFR cigs possible
this afternoon through 20-21z. Band of convection from KEVV to
just east of KCEY will continue east. From 00z on...confidence too
low to include convective chances in the TAFs.

&&

.PAH Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
225 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-021000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
225 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL ACCOMPANY MOST STORMS, WHILE ISOLATED
STRONGER STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS OR HAIL.

PATCHY FOG MAY RESTRICT VISIBILITY EARLY TODAY AND LATE TONIGHT
BUT WILL BURN OFF QUICKLY ONCE DAYLIGHT BEGINS.

THE HEAT INDEX WILL APPROACH AND MAY EXCEED TRIPLE DIGITS ACROSS
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN KENTUCKY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

DAILY CHANCES FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST AND WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. ISOLATED STRONGER
STORMS MIGHT PACK A PUNCH OF GUSTY WIND OR HAIL AS WELL.

THE HEAT INDEX WILL AGAIN APPROACH OR EXCEED TRIPLE DIGITS EACH
AFTERNOON DURING THE WORK WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER REPORTS OF STORM ACTIVITY ARE APPRECIATED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1033 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

KYZ005>013-015>017-020>022-011700-
MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-
TRIGG-CALDWELL-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SYMSONIA...LOWES...
SMITHLAND...BENTON...HARRIS GROVE...KIRKSEY...MURRAY...
NEW CONCORD...MARION...EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...CANTON...LINTON...
ROCKCASTLE...PRINCETON...FRYER...DIXON...MADISONVILLE...
HOPKINSVILLE...CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...ALLEGRE...CLIFTY...ELKTON...
GUTHRIE
1033 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

AT 1030 AM...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WEST KENTUCKY EXTENDED
FROM MARION TO PADUCAH TO MAYFIELD. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AROUND 25
MPH.

THROUGH NOON...AS THE STORMS CONTINUE EAST...SOME OF THE STRONGER
ACTIVITY COULD RESULT IN GUSTY WINDS 30 TO 40 MPH. THE STORMS WILL
PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. HOWEVER WITH THE ACTIVITY MOVING ALONG
FLOODING CONCERNS SEEM MINIMAL.

THE STRONGER STORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS FROM CALVERT CITY TO
BENTON...EDDYVILLE AND EVENTUALLY PRINCETON.

CN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
237 PM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

ILZ090-094-KYZ001>008-011-MOZ109-110-112-114-012030-
POPE IL-MASSAC IL-FULTON KY-HICKMAN KY-CARLISLE KY-GRAVES KY-
BALLARD KY-LYON KY-MARSHALL KY-LIVINGSTON KY-MCCRACKEN KY-
NEW MADRID MO-BUTLER MO-MISSISSIPPI MO-STODDARD MO-
237 PM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 235 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTH OF CALVERT CITY TO NEAR PINHOOK
TO NEAR FISK. MOVEMENT WAS EAST SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...BENTON...NEW MADRID...CALVERT CITY...HICKMAN...
BERNIE...CLINTON...LILBOURN...BARDWELL...REIDLAND...LONE OAK...
PARMA...MARSTON...QULIN...HOWARDVILLE...RISCO...PINHOOK...
LOVELACEVILLE AND CAYCE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH
THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR
VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3663 8996 3663 9015 3660 9018 3655 9018
      3654 9021 3650 9022 3650 9024 3672 9037
      3675 8938 3718 8833 3696 8800 3651 8908
      3649 8996
TIME...MOT...LOC 1935Z 287DEG 16KT 3713 8834 3674 8931 3671 9021

RST

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
247 PM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

KYZ005>008-010-011-012030-
CRITTENDEN KY-LYON KY-MARSHALL KY-LIVINGSTON KY-GRAVES KY-
MCCRACKEN KY-
247 PM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN MARSHALL...NORTHEASTERN
GRAVES...SOUTHEASTERN LIVINGSTON...NORTHERN LYON...SOUTH CENTRAL
CRITTENDEN AND SOUTHEASTERN MCCRACKEN COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM CDT...

AT 246 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES SOUTH OF SALEM TO NEAR LEDBETTER TO
NEAR HENDRON. MOVEMENT WAS EAST SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BENTON...CALVERT CITY...EDDYVILLE...REIDLAND...LEDBETTER...
WOODLAWN-OAKDALE...KUTTAWA...GRAND RIVERS...DYCUSBURG AND SYMSONIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH
FLOODED ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3717 8805 3704 8796 3683 8841 3701 8865
      3704 8848 3718 8826
TIME...MOT...LOC 1946Z 265DEG 18KT 3715 8829 3704 8843 3697 8862

RST