Flash Flood Warning 61, NWS Paducah, KY

132 
WGUS73 KPAH 280041
FFSPAH

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
741 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

KYC107-280230-
/O.CON.KPAH.FF.W.0061.000000T0000Z-160728T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HOPKINS KY-
741 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM CDT FOR
HOPKINS COUNTY...

AT 738 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY
FALLEN NEAR MADISONVILLE. THOUGH RAINFALL INTENSITY HAS DECREASED
SOMEWHAT IN THE PAST 30 TO 45 MINUTES...FLASH FLOODING IS STILL
POSSIBLE. ALSO...IT MAY TAKE AWHILE FOR WATER TO SUBSIDE WHERE ANY
FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING. 

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
MADISONVILLE...DAWSON SPRINGS...EARLINGTON...NORTONVILLE...
MORTONS GAP...OLNEY...WHITE PLAINS...HANSON...ST. CHARLES...
NEBO AND SLAUGHTERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

PLEASE REPORT FLOODING TO YOUR LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY WHEN YOU
CAN DO SO SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 3731 8734 3731 8738 3726 8739 3719 8731
      3717 8732 3713 8737 3713 8749 3710 8752
      3716 8770 3721 8774 3720 8777 3721 8776
      3724 8780 3732 8780 3731 8784 3734 8784
      3749 8750 3757 8737 3743 8735 3739 8730

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
306 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Friday night)
Issued at 301 PM CDT Wed Jul 27 2016

A weak frontal boundary, combined with abundant moisture and upper
level disturbances progressing through the region will result in
precipitation chances every period through the short term.

There are periods that appear to be wetter than others. One of these
occurs tonight into the morning hours tomorrow when an upper
disturbance moves in from the south with the best coverage
expected to be over western Kentucky. Precipitable water values
are forecast to be in the 99th percentile for July, possibly
exceeding 2.3 inches. Therefore, heavy rainfall will be the main
threat with some flooding possible overnight into tomorrow
morning. Some potential of localized flooding developing,
especially over the southern Pennyrile region of western KY
(localized amounts over 2 inches). Went ahead and issued a Flash
Flood watch for tonight for our far southeast counties to match up
with neighboring offices. Overall amounts will taper off to the
north and west of there.

With the amount of instability and moisture present there will
likely be convective development during the afternoon and possibly
lasting into the evening hours on Thursday as an upper level
trough makes passage. There looks to be relative lull in
precipitation coverage overnight Thursday into much of the day on
Friday in the wake of the trough passage. Some guidance depicts
another disturbance impacting the area late in the day Friday into
Friday night with increasing precipitation chances, especially
over the southwest/south sections of the area.

As far as temperatures are concerned, highs will generally average a
bit below normal while lows average above normal. This is due to
clouds and periods of showers and storms helping to lower daytime
temps and keep them elevated at night. Humidity levels will remain
high with dewpoints staying above 70 through the period. Luckily
heat index values should stay below 100 finally on Thursday and
Friday due to lower temperatures. This would be the first time
since July 16th in Paducah.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 301 PM CDT Wed Jul 27 2016

An upper level trof will remain over our region through the weekend
with a surface front bisecting the PAH forecast area from north to
south. This will keep our region unstable, with good chances of
showers and thunderstorms across the entire area Saturday into
Sunday. Models indicate that the upper trof will gradually move off
to our east, and the surface front will lift north and continue to
meander just to our north, or even dip down into our northern
counties at times, into at least Tuesday.  Good chances of showers
and storms will persist into Monday, with gradually decreasing
chances from west to east Tuesday as the front finally lifts and
moves off to our east. By Tuesday night into Wednesday, small
chances will be confined to the eastern half of our area.

With a bit more westerly flow at the surface, temperatures will be a
little below seasonal normals Saturday and Sunday, with dew points
in the upper 60s to lower 70s.  With the front lifting north, winds
will become southerly Sunday into Monday.  This will result in
increasing temperatures and dew points for the first half of the
work week.  Heat indices will creep back up to around 100 degrees
for Tuesday and Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 1240 PM CDT Wed Jul 27 2016

With plenty of moisture and a quasi-stationary frontal boundary
in the vicinity, scattered showers and thunderstorms will be the
rule this afternoon into early evening. Probability of convection
should increase late tonight with the approach of upper level
energy. Could see MVFR cigs/vsbys in TSRA/SHRA/BR. Precipitation
chances will begin to diminish by the end of the period from west
to east. Winds will be variable AOB 6 knots.

&&

.PAH Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...Flash Flood Watch from 1 AM CDT Thursday through late Thursday
     night for KYZ012-017-021-022.

&&

SHORT TERM...SP
LONG TERM...RST
AVIATION...JP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
530 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-281000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
530 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE PRESENT THIS AFTERNOON.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERNS.

MANY LOCATIONS WILL SEE HEAT INDEX READINGS OF 100 TO 105 INTO THE
EARLY EVENING HOURS.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME QUITE WIDESPREAD TONIGHT.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE MORE WIDESPREAD...ESPECIALLY OVER WEST
KENTUCKY...FAR SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. SOME
FLOODING ISSUES MAY DEVELOP IN LOCATIONS THAT EXPERIENCE HEAVY RAIN
THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN TONIGHT.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE
TOMORROW NIGHT FOR THE SOUTHERN PENNYRILE REGION OF WEST KENTUCKY.
SEE PRODUCT FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE EAST OUT OF THE
REGION THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL AND SOME FLOODING
ISSUES WILL BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY OVER WEST KENTUCKY...FAR SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI.

CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST EACH DAY THROUGH THE PERIOD.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERNS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED...BUT ANY REPORTS OF HEAVY
RAINFALL OR FLOODING ISSUES WOULD BE GREATLY APPRECIATED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
146 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

ILZ083-085>094-INZ085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ108>112-114-280100-
WHITE-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION-JOHNSON-POPE-HARDIN-
ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-
HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-
CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-
CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-RIPLEY-BUTLER-
STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARMI...HERRIN...HARRISBURG...
SHAWNEETOWN...JONESBORO...VIENNA...GOLCONDA...ELIZABETHTOWN...
CAIRO...MOUND CITY...METROPOLIS...POSEYVILLE...EVANSVILLE...
BOONVILLE...ROCKPORT...HICKMAN...CLINTON...BARDWELL...WICKLIFFE...
PADUCAH...MAYFIELD...SYMSONIA...LOWES...SMITHLAND...BENTON...
HARRIS GROVE...KIRKSEY...MURRAY...NEW CONCORD...MARION...
EDDYVILLE...CADIZ...CANTON...LINTON...ROCKCASTLE...PRINCETON...
FRYER...MORGANFIELD...DIXON...MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...
HENDERSON...MOSELEYVILLE...OWENSBORO...CALHOUN...GREENVILLE...
ALLEGRE...CLIFTY...ELKTON...GUTHRIE...DONIPHAN...POPLAR BLUFF...
BLOOMFIELD...SIKESTON...CHARLESTON...NEW MADRID
146 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

...HIGH LEVELS OF HUMIDITY RESULTING IN HEAT INDEX READINGS ABOVE
100 TODAY...

TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S COMBINED WITH
DEWPOINTS IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 70S WILL PRODUCE HEAT INDEX
READINGS OF 100 TO 105 THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY PROVIDE TEMPORARY RELIEF
FOR SOME COMMUNITIES THIS AFTERNOON.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
459 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

ILZ086-087-089-090-094-INZ085-272230-
POPE IL-MASSAC IL-JOHNSON IL-SALINE IL-GALLATIN IL-POSEY IN-
459 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL MASSAC...
NORTHWESTERN POPE...SOUTHEASTERN SALINE...CENTRAL GALLATIN...SOUTHERN
JOHNSON AND SOUTHWESTERN POSEY COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

AT 459 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
NEW COLUMBIA...OR NEAR VIENNA...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
VIENNA...EQUALITY...BELKNAP AND SIMPSON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3780 8799 3781 8809 3760 8869 3760 8855
      3769 8838 3760 8838 3759 8871 3734 8871
      3731 8868 3728 8875 3734 8879 3734 8890
      3730 8893 3731 8901 3730 8905 3738 8894
      3760 8871 3784 8803 3785 8806 3786 8804
TIME...MOT...LOC 2159Z 167DEG 8KT 3739 8877

MEFFERT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
504 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

ILZ086-087-089-090-094-INZ085-272230-
POPE IL-MASSAC IL-JOHNSON IL-SALINE IL-GALLATIN IL-POSEY IN-
504 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN JOHNSON COUNTY UNTIL
530 PM CDT...

AT 459 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
NEW COLUMBIA...OR NEAR VIENNA...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
VIENNA...EQUALITY...BELKNAP AND SIMPSON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3780 8799 3781 8809 3760 8869 3760 8855
      3769 8838 3760 8838 3759 8871 3734 8871
      3731 8868 3728 8875 3734 8879 3734 8890
      3730 8893 3731 8901 3730 8905 3738 8894
      3760 8871 3784 8803 3785 8806 3786 8804
TIME...MOT...LOC 2159Z 167DEG 8KT 3739 8877

MEFFERT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
559 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

ILZ089>091-094-KYZ007-010-014-015-018-280000-
POPE IL-HARDIN IL-MASSAC IL-JOHNSON IL-CRITTENDEN KY-HENDERSON KY-
UNION KY-WEBSTER KY-LIVINGSTON KY-
559 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...

AT 556 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A BAND OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORM OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST KENTUCKY AND SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS. THE LINE WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

HALF INCH HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HENDERSON...MORGANFIELD...STURGIS...VIENNA...BRECKINRIDGE CENTER...
SEBREE...CLAY...ROSICLARE...DIXON...CORYDON...GOLCONDA...ROBARDS...
DIXON SPRINGS...CAVE-IN-ROCK...WAVERLY...ELIZABETHTOWN...CYPRESS...
BUNCOMBE...WHEATCROFT AND BELKNAP.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3765 8750 3762 8749 3750 8764 3747 8796
      3755 8802 3747 8809 3742 8843 3729 8852
      3734 8871 3730 8905 3753 8903 3759 8816
      3757 8814 3760 8814 3775 8788 3783 8767
      3778 8755 3767 8742
TIME...MOT...LOC 2256Z 125DEG 3KT 3765 8786

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
612 PM CDT WED JUL 27 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 PM     TSTM WND DMG     VIENNA                  37.41N 88.89W
07/27/2016                   JOHNSON            IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER REPORTS ONE LARGE TREE DOWN, DITCHES BECOMMING
            FULL OF WATER BUT NO FLOODING, ONLY LIGHT RAIN AT THE
            TIME. SAID LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BE CLEARING SOON.

&&

DP