Special Weather Statement, NWS Norman, OK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
254 PM CDT SUN AUG 7 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered to numerous storms expected mainly over northwest and
north-central Oklahoma...north of quasi stationary front. Damaging
wind gusts will be the primary severe weather impact with the
strongest storms through early evening. Heavy rain impacts will
also be monitored over north-central Oklahoma through the evening.
Will spread rain chances over central Oklahoma this evening into
the overnight hours for potential storm development near outflow
boundaries. With the synoptic front slow to exit and residual
outflows tomorrow...will follow model solutions of at least
scattered thunderstorms again Monday afternoon into the evening
hours with higher-end pops from initializations.

Overall decrease in convection chances Tuesday through Thursday
before storm chances increase significantly Thursday night into
next weekend. This will be associated with a more substantial
change in airmass as Northern/Central Plains long wave trough
progresses eastward.

Will not make any changes to going Heat Advisory products.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  75  97  75  97 /  40  30  30  10
Hobart OK         75 100  75 100 /  20  30  30  10
Wichita Falls TX  77 102  78 102 /  10  20  20  10
Gage OK           72  97  74  98 /  50  20  30  20
Ponca City OK     74  93  76  97 /  60  30  20  20
Durant OK         76 100  77 100 /  20  20  20  10

&&

.OUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for OKZ027>032-039>043-
     045>048-050>052.

     Heat Advisory from noon to 7 PM CDT Monday for OKZ031-032-
     041>043-046>048-050>052.

TX...None.
&&

04/11

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1229 PM CDT SUN AUG 7 2016

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-081200-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1229 PM CDT SUN AUG 7 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE MARGINAL RISK COVERS THE NORTHERN
HALF OF OKLAHOMA...THE I-40 CORRIDOR TO THE KANSAS BORDER.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG A
SLOWED SURFACE BOUNDARY AS IT PUSHES SOUTHWARD OUT OF KANSAS. THE
BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. A
FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE... WITH WINDS GUSTS TO 60
MPH THE PRIMARY HAZARD... ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL... AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

.HEAT...
HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
HEAT INDEX VALUES EXCEEDING 105 DEGREES WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SOME
LOCATIONS. A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL...
SOUTH CENTRAL... AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE EACH DAY FOR AT
LEAST PART OF THE AREA THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEK. THE HIGHEST
CHANCES WILL BE MONDAY THEN AGAIN FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. THE RISK
FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS LOW.

.HEAT...
THE HOT CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS WEEK WITH TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT
INDICES... SOME OF WHICH WILL EXCEED 105 DEGREES.. ACROSS PARTS
OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. A HEAT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT
FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA MONDAY.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

EM/KURTZ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
219 PM CDT SUN AUG 7 2016

OKZ009-071945-
ELLIS OK-
219 PM CDT SUN AUG 7 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN ELLIS COUNTY UNTIL
245 PM CDT...

AT 218 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF SHATTUCK TO 5 MILES EAST OF
HIGGINS...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...
MINOR FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SHATTUCK...ARNETT AND GAGE.

LAT...LON 3648 9978 3629 9967 3610 9969 3606 9998
      3622 9995 3636 9997
TIME...MOT...LOC 1918Z 260DEG 7KT 3632 9994 3613 9994

KURTZ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
248 PM CDT SUN AUG 7 2016

OKZ009-010-072015-
ELLIS OK-WOODWARD OK-
248 PM CDT SUN AUG 7 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL ELLIS AND SOUTHWESTERN
WOODWARD COUNTIES UNTIL 315 PM CDT...

AT 247 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG A LINE EXTENDING
FROM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF GAGE TO NEAR ARNETT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
20 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...
MINOR FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SHATTUCK...ARNETT...GAGE...FARGO...HARMON AND TANGIER.

LAT...LON 3659 9961 3633 9948 3604 9950 3600 9981
      3601 9983 3601 9985 3600 9986 3622 9987
      3646 9990
TIME...MOT...LOC 1947Z 237DEG 19KT 3641 9982 3610 9980

KURTZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
310 PM CDT SUN AUG 07 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     TSTM WND GST     ARNETT                  36.14N 99.77W
08/07/2016  E60 MPH          ELLIS              OK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

JPIKE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
316 PM CDT SUN AUG 7 2016

OKZ004-009-010-072045-
HARPER OK-ELLIS OK-WOODWARD OK-
316 PM CDT SUN AUG 7 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL HARPER...NORTH
CENTRAL ELLIS AND WEST CENTRAL WOODWARD COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM CDT...

AT 314 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES SOUTH OF
MAY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH...
MINOR FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FORT SUPPLY.

LAT...LON 3640 9976 3645 9976 3655 9981 3666 9959
      3658 9950 3645 9948
TIME...MOT...LOC 2014Z 242DEG 10KT 3650 9973

KURTZ