Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 556, NWS Norman, OK

June 30, 2016Noble County, Payne County, Oklahoma

NWS Norman, OK issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 30, 2016, 5:16 PM CDT for Noble County, Payne County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 44 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 30, 2016, 5:16 PM CDT (22:16 UTC)
Expired: Jun 30, 2016, 6:00 PM CDT
In force: 44 min
Issued by: NWS Norman, OK
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Noble County, OK, Payne County, OK

The radar

The Vance AFB radar (KVNX), 98 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 292 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 34 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -302 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1393 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -4 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -37 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

295 
WUUS54 KOUN 302216
SVROUN
OKC103-119-302300-
/O.NEW.KOUN.SV.W.0556.160630T2216Z-160630T2300Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
516 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN NOBLE COUNTY IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...
  NORTH CENTRAL PAYNE COUNTY IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 600 PM CDT

* AT 516 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
  PERRY...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE 
           TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  STILLWATER...PERRY AND MORRISON. 

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 35 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 184 AND 185.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3625 9733 3631 9732 3632 9700 3617 9706
TIME...MOT...LOC 2216Z 284DEG 13KT 3627 9726 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

MAD

1 follow-up statement

541 
WWUS54 KOUN 302249
SVSOUN

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
549 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

OKC119-302258-
/O.CAN.KOUN.SV.W.0556.000000T0000Z-160630T2300Z/
PAYNE OK-
549 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL PAYNE COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3624 9714 3620 9714 3625 9733 3628 9732
TIME...MOT...LOC 2248Z 323DEG 7KT 3622 9721 

$$

OKC103-302300-
/O.CON.KOUN.SV.W.0556.000000T0000Z-160630T2300Z/
NOBLE OK-
549 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 600 PM CDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NOBLE COUNTY...

AT 548 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LAKE
MCMURTRY... MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PERRY.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 35 NEAR MILE MARKER 184.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3624 9714 3620 9714 3625 9733 3628 9732
TIME...MOT...LOC 2248Z 323DEG 7KT 3622 9721 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

MAD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 30, 2:36 PM CDT, 2 hours 40 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 30, 2:36 PM CDT, 2 hours 40 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
236 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...
With a frontal boundary lingering around the OK/KS border and
northwest flow in place, convection will be a possibility each day
through the weekend across northern Oklahoma.

For this afternoon and tonight, a few isolated storms are possible
in northern Oklahoma near the boundary, but confidence in this
activity is low. The bigger story is another developing MCS coming
down off of the Rockies through Kansas into northern Oklahoma late
tonight. Hi res models have been trending later and later, keeping
the system out of the CWA till about 7Z now. Latest satellite and
radar shows storms just now beginning to form off the Rockies, which
is more in line with the latest Hi Res models. So, focused the
highest POPs after 06z, with only slight chances before then.
Direction of motion is also a little uncertain. Previous runs had
the MCS moving off to the east along the boundary after it entered
northern Oklahoma, but the most recent TTU WRF shows a slightly
more southerly direction more in line with previous nights and
model Corfidi vectors. Fairly high confidence that most of
northern Oklahoma will see storms overnight. Less confidence in
the possibility of central western Oklahoma seeing convection.

The boundary continues to linger around the OK/KS border Friday and
Saturday. Combined with daytime heating and a strengthening low
level jet, this boundary may serve as a focus for storms Friday
evening. Saturday evening, the front is set to progress slowly into
southwest through north central Oklahoma. A shortwave trough will
come down providing the upper level support needed to bring
thunderstorms to the area once again, this time extending across a
larger portion of Oklahoma.

As the shortwave departs and the ridge begins to move in, there
may be some lingering convection on Sunday. After that the ridge
continues to build through mid week, resulting in warmer
temperatures and a fairly dry forecast. Wednesday and Thursday may
see temperatures approaching the 100 degrees across much of the
area.

Farther out, models hint at another trough coming through the
following weekend, potentially bringing a brief relief from next
weeks heat.

Day

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  71  91  74  94 /  30  20  10  10
Hobart OK         73  96  75  97 /  20  20  10  10
Wichita Falls TX  73  98  75  97 /  10  10  10   0
Gage OK           69  92  73  94 /  60  20  20  40
Ponca City OK     70  85  71  93 /  40  50  30  20
Durant OK         73  95  74  94 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.OUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

26/14

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 30, 11:55 AM CDT, 5 hours 21 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1155 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-011700-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1155 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAINLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN OKLAHOMA.
A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE WITH A THREAT OF
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS. VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL MAY ALSO LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. THERE IS A
MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING NORTH OF
A LINE FROM CUSHING TO GUTHRIE TO CHEYENNE OKLAHOMA.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ALONG AND
NORTH OF I-40 SHOULD PREPARE FOR SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS LATE
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.
HEAVY RAIN RESULTING IN LOCALIZED FLOODING WILL BE THE BIGGEST
CONCERN EARLY FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND
NORTH OF I40. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED BUT A FEW
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES WITH A THREAT OF
DAMAGING WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 30, 4:05 PM CDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
405 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

OKZ019-302130-
LOGAN OK-
405 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN LOGAN COUNTY UNTIL
430 PM CDT...

AT 402 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CRESCENT...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...

LAT...LON 3580 9763 3584 9767 3595 9767 3610 9750
      3592 9734
TIME...MOT...LOC 2102Z 236DEG 11KT 3592 9759

MAD

Special weather statement, Jun 30, 4:27 PM CDT, 49 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
427 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

OKZ013-302200-
NOBLE OK-
427 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL NOBLE COUNTY UNTIL 500 PM
CDT...

AT 425 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PERRY...MOVING
EAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...

LAT...LON 3645 9709 3625 9708 3625 9714 3623 9714
      3625 9742 3639 9742
TIME...MOT...LOC 2125Z 267DEG 19KT 3633 9733

MAD

Local storm report, Jun 30, 4:57 PM CDT, 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
457 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     TSTM WND GST     5 E ORLANDO             36.15N 97.29W
06/30/2016  M53 MPH          PAYNE              OK   MESONET

&&

DW

Special weather statement, Jun 30, 5:01 PM CDT, 15 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
501 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

OKZ013-020-302230-
NOBLE OK-PAYNE OK-
501 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NOBLE AND
NORTHWESTERN PAYNE COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

AT 500 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LAKE CARL
BLACKWELL...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...

LAT...LON 3611 9731 3613 9733 3619 9733 3626 9712
      3612 9709
TIME...MOT...LOC 2200Z 259DEG 6KT 3616 9726

MAD

Special weather statement, Jun 30, 5:08 PM CDT, 8 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
508 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

OKZ013-302245-
NOBLE OK-
508 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN NOBLE COUNTY UNTIL
545 PM CDT...

AT 505 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER PERRY...MOVING
EAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...

LAT...LON 3637 9714 3625 9711 3624 9714 3625 9734
      3631 9735
TIME...MOT...LOC 2205Z 266DEG 11KT 3628 9729

MAD

Special weather statement, Jun 30, 5:11 PM CDT, 5 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
511 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

OKZ037-038-044-302245-
COMANCHE OK-COTTON OK-TILLMAN OK-
511 PM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN COMANCHE...
NORTHWESTERN COTTON AND SOUTHEASTERN TILLMAN COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM
CDT...

AT 510 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HOLLISTER...
MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO ONE-HALF INCH DIAMETER...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...
MINOR FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GRANDFIELD...CHATTANOOGA...FAXON...HOLLISTER AND LOVELAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

LAT...LON 3426 9894 3451 9893 3452 9851 3420 9850
TIME...MOT...LOC 2210Z 272DEG 3KT 3437 9882

MBS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Norman, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 30, 3:22 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Ellis	38 min
Jun 30, 4:05 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Logan	25 min
Jun 30, 4:27 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Noble	33 min
Jun 30, 4:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Logan	48 min
Jun 30, 5:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Noble	29 min
Jun 30, 5:08 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Noble	37 min
Jun 30, 5:11 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Tillman	34 min
Jun 30, 5:23 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Noble, Payne	112 min
Jun 30, 5:24 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	OUN	Logan	2 hr
Jun 30, 5:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Noble, Payne	50 min
Jun 30, 5:37 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Noble	38 min
Jun 30, 5:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Kingfisher, Logan	46 min
Jun 30, 6:04 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Logan	26 min
Jun 30, 6:13 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Noble	32 min
Jun 30, 6:24 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Canadian	36 min
Jun 30, 6:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Canadian, Kingfisher, Logan, Oklahoma	45 min
Jun 30, 6:40 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Logan	35 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Oklahoma, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.