Alert archive / Oklahoma / Flash Flood Warnings in 2016

Flash Flood Warning 27, NWS Norman, OK

May 25, 2016Garfield County, Grant County, Oklahoma

NWS Norman, OK issued this flash flood warning at May 25, 2016, 10:27 PM CDT for Garfield County, Grant County, Oklahoma. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 25, 2016, 10:27 PM CDT (03:27 UTC)
Expired: May 26, 2016, 1:30 AM CDT
In force: 3 hr
Issued by: NWS Norman, OK
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

Counties Garfield County, OK, Grant County, OK

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 00:00Z, 3.5 hours before the alert went out and 157 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 3818 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -70 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1005 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 116 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 154 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 1.6
Supercell composite: 12.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

193 
WGUS54 KOUN 260327
FFWOUN
OKC047-053-260630-
/O.NEW.KOUN.FF.W.0027.160526T0327Z-160526T0630Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1027 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORMAN HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN GRANT COUNTY IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...
  NORTHWESTERN GARFIELD COUNTY IN NORTHERN OKLAHOMA...

* UNTIL 130 AM CDT
    
* AT 1026 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING
  HEAVY RAIN NEAR HILLSDALE AND KREMLIN. UP TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN
  HAVE ALREADY FALLEN.

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
  ENID...POND CREEK...KREMLIN...HILLSDALE...CARRIER AND NORTH ENID. 

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
WARNED AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE. TURN
AROUND... DONT DROWN.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING.

&&

LAT...LON 3667 9775 3644 9779 3644 9810 3662 9811

$$

MAD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at May 25, 6:31 PM CDT, 3 hours 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 25, 6:31 PM CDT, 3 hours 56 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
631 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Aviation discussion for the 00z TAFs is below.

&&

.AVIATION...
Overall...think VFR conditions will occur.

Some MVFR conditions are possible across much of Oklahoma and
north Texas 05-20z. Confidence of occurrence is too low to
mention at this time.

ISO-SCT TSRA may affect parts of Oklahoma and north Texas for the
next 24 hours. Confidence of occurrence at any given TAF site
remains too low to mention at this time.

Non-convective low level wind shear is possible at many sites
06-12z. Did not mention due to low confidence of occurrence.

MBS

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 336 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016/

DISCUSSION...
A sharp dryline will remain in place across the Texas panhandle
for the next few days. Strong moisture advection will continue
ahead of the dry line across our forecast area, with very
unstable air aloft. However, a strong capping inversion in place
could inhibit any TSRA for this evening. Guidance is persistent
with the capping in place, and latest aircraft soundings
indicating the capping strength is even stronger than guidance. As
a result, will keep TSRA pops very low across our west. However,
if anything would develop into the evening hours, isolated
supercell thunderstorms would be possible.

The more likely timing for thunderstorms developing just ahead of
the dryline would be Thursday afternoon. For now, latest NAM
guidance places a weak inversion cap across far northern Oklahoma,
leaving everything to the south un-capped and prime for convection
breaking out. WRF guidance suggesting convection beginning across
western Oklahoma early afternoon, and advance eastward to near
I-35 by late afternoon as we continue to heat. With mu CAPE values
near 4000 j/kg, large damaging hail up to baseballs and severe
wind gusts would be possible under these storm cells. By late
Thursday into Friday, an advancing upper low across the southern
high plains will shift into western Kansas, moving our storms into
southeast Oklahoma toward the early morning hours of Saturday. As
Saturday progresses, the dryline should push across our area and
start drying us out.

In the extended, sfc moisture will make a quick return across our
area beginning Sunday and into next week. A series of shortwave
troughs digging through will reintroduce low pops through day 7.
For now, both GFS and ECMWF keep us quite wet into next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  71  84  66  81 /  20  40  40  30
Hobart OK         69  87  65  84 /  10  60  30  20
Wichita Falls TX  72  88  64  85 /  20  60  60  40
Gage OK           64  89  60  84 /   0  40  20  20
Ponca City OK     72  85  66  80 /  20  50  50  40
Durant OK         72  82  66  78 /  20  50  60  70

&&

.OUN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

25/17

Hazardous weather outlook, May 25, 9:25 PM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
925 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-270230-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-
NOBLE-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-
CLEVELAND-POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-
TILLMAN-COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-
JEFFERSON-CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-
FOARD-WILBARGER-WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
925 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHERN...
WESTERN...CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THERE IS A RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA... MAINLY EAST AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM ALVA AND
WATONGA... TO GUTHRIE AND STILLWATER.

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PARTS OF NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING. THESE STORMS MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF TENNIS BALLS... 70 MPH WIND GUSTS... AND
HEAVY RAIN THE MAIN CONCERNS. THERE IS A LOW POTENTIAL FOR A
TORNADO. THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL LIKELY DIMINISH
TOWARDS OR AFTER 11 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.THUNDERSTORMS...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. STRONG
TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS AT LEAST PARTS OF THE
AREA EACH DAY. HOWEVER...THURSDAY HAS THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER.

.HEAVY RAIN...
HEAVY RAIN THAT COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED OR FLASH FLOODING WILL
ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH AT LEAST THIS WEEKEND.

GET GRAPHICS AND MORE DETAILS AT WEATHER.GOV/NORMAN...AND FOLLOW
OUR WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE ON TWITTER AND FACEBOOK.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 25, 7:32 PM CDT, 2 hours 55 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
732 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

OKZ011-260115-
MAJOR OK-
732 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN MAJOR COUNTY UNTIL 815 PM
CDT...

AT 728 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTH OF
CANTON LAKE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FAIRVIEW...CLEO SPRINGS...ORIENTA AND ISABELLA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

LAT...LON 3627 9818 3616 9847 3617 9869 3640 9854
      3640 9853 3642 9853 3646 9851
TIME...MOT...LOC 0028Z 212DEG 16KT 3622 9860

MBS

Special weather statement, May 25, 7:36 PM CDT, 2 hours 51 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
736 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

OKZ006-011-012-260115-
ALFALFA OK-MAJOR OK-GARFIELD OK-
736 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN ALFALFA...NORTHEASTERN
MAJOR AND NORTHWESTERN GARFIELD COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM CDT...

AT 736 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF HELENA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CHEROKEE...HELENA...RINGWOOD...CARMEN...CLEO SPRINGS...GOLTRY...MENO...JET...
ALINE...CARRIER...LAMBERT AND GREAT SALT PLAINS LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

LAT...LON 3676 9818 3665 9811 3660 9811 3659 9806
      3649 9799 3626 9823 3644 9854 3675 9853
TIME...MOT...LOC 0031Z 224DEG 16KT 3646 9832

MBS

Special weather statement, May 25, 8:15 PM CDT, 2 hours 12 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
815 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

OKZ006-007-011-012-260200-
GRANT OK-ALFALFA OK-MAJOR OK-GARFIELD OK-
815 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN GRANT...EASTERN
ALFALFA...NORTHEASTERN MAJOR AND NORTHWESTERN GARFIELD COUNTIES UNTIL
900 PM CDT...

AT 815 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR RINGWOOD...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...
MINOR FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ENID...CHEROKEE...HELENA...LAHOMA...RINGWOOD...CLEO SPRINGS...KREMLIN...
GOLTRY...MENO...JET...NASH...HILLSDALE...CARRIER...GREAT SALT PLAINS LAKE
AND NORTH ENID.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

LAT...LON 3630 9830 3641 9844 3689 9831 3650 9772
TIME...MOT...LOC 0112Z 232DEG 27KT 3641 9822

MBS

Special weather statement, May 25, 8:59 PM CDT, 1 hour 28 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
859 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

OKZ006-007-011-012-260245-
GRANT OK-ALFALFA OK-MAJOR OK-GARFIELD OK-
859 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN GRANT...SOUTHEASTERN
ALFALFA...NORTHEASTERN MAJOR AND NORTHWESTERN GARFIELD COUNTIES UNTIL
945 PM CDT...

AT 854 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR GOLTRY...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...
MINOR FLOODING IN AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ENID...HELENA...GOLTRY...JET...HILLSDALE...CARRIER AND SOUTHWESTERN GREAT
SALT PLAINS LAKE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

&&

LAT...LON 3642 9821 3651 9843 3675 9833 3658 9794
      3645 9788
TIME...MOT...LOC 0154Z 222DEG 14KT 3651 9821

MBS

Local storm report, May 25, 9:47 PM CDT, 40 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
947 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0942 PM     TORNADO          3 W CARRIER             36.48N 98.08W
05/25/2016                   GARFIELD           OK   NWS EMPLOYEE

            SEVERAL REPORTS.

&&

NWS NORMAN OK
IRIS SYSTEM

Local storm report, May 25, 10:20 PM CDT, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1020 PM CDT WED MAY 25 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1017 PM     HAIL             HILLSDALE               36.56N 97.99W
05/25/2016  E1.75 INCH       GARFIELD           OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

NWS NORMAN OK
IRIS SYSTEM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Norman, OK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 25, 7:32 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Major	43 min
May 25, 7:36 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Alfalfa	39 min
May 25, 7:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Alfalfa	16 min
May 25, 8:15 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Alfalfa	45 min
May 25, 8:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Alfalfa	46 min
May 25, 9:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Alfalfa, Garfield, Grant	52 min
May 25, 9:26 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OUN	Alfalfa, Garfield	34 min
May 25, 9:43 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OUN	Alfalfa	32 min
May 25, 9:54 PM CDT	Tornado Warning Tornado observed	OUN	Garfield	36 min
May 25, 10:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Alfalfa, Garfield, Major	45 min
May 25, 10:18 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OUN	Garfield, Grant	27 min
May 25, 10:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Garfield, Grant	47 min
May 25, 11:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Garfield, Noble	62 min
May 25, 11:33 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	OUN	Garfield	3 hr
May 26, 12:23 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Noble	21 min
May 26, 12:46 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Noble	29 min
May 26, 4:17 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	OUN	Atoka	8 hr
May 26, 12:38 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Grant	37 min
May 26, 12:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Roger Mills	29 min
May 26, 12:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Grant	27 min
May 26, 12:53 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Harper	37 min
May 26, 1:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Ellis, Roger Mills	48 min
May 26, 1:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Ellis, Harper	50 min
May 26, 1:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Ellis	25 min
May 26, 1:52 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Woodward	23 min
May 26, 1:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Ellis, Roger Mills	31 min
May 26, 2:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Harper	49 min
May 26, 2:19 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	OUN	Harper	26 min
May 26, 2:30 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Ellis	30 min
May 26, 2:56 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	OUN	Woodward	34 min
May 26, 3:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Woodward	41 min
May 26, 6:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	OUN	Jackson, Tillman	45 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Oklahoma, 2016 Every flash flood warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.