Alert archive / New York / Wind Chill Watches in 2016

Wind Chill Watch 1, NWS New York, NY

February 11, 20164 counties in New York; 4 counties in Connecticut; Bergen County, Passaic County, New Jersey

NWS New York, NY issued this wind chill watch at Feb 11, 2016, 4:05 PM EST for 4 counties in New York; 4 counties in Connecticut; Bergen County, Passaic County, New Jersey. It took effect at Feb 13, 2016, 4:00 PM EST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 11, 2016, 4:05 PM EST (21:05 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 13, 2016, 4:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 12, 2016, 3:37 PM EST
In force
Issued by
NWS New York, NY

Counties Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Bergen County, NJ, Passaic County, NJ, Orange County, NY, Putnam County, NY, Rockland County, NY, Westchester County, NY

The radar

The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 72 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2016-02-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 2016-02-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -67 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1375 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-67 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
68 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

533 
WWUS41 KOKX 112105
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
405 PM EST THU FEB 11 2016

...ARCTIC COLD AIR MOVING IN THIS WEEKEND...

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-103-NYZ067>070-120945-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WC.A.0001.160213T2300Z-160214T1700Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-
WESTERN BERGEN-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
405 PM EST THU FEB 11 2016

...WIND CHILL WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING.

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...MUCH OF THE LOWER HUDSON
  VALLEY...AND PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY.

* HAZARD TYPES...EXTREME COLD.

* WIND CHILL...DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD TEMPERATURES
  AND STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS...WIND CHILL VALUES WILL BE AS LOW AS
  25 TO 30 BELOW ZERO.

* TIMING...COLDEST WIND CHILLS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
  SUNDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...WIND CHILL VALUES POTENTIALLY REACHING DANGEROUS
  LEVELS. THE COMBINATION OF VERY LOW WIND CHILLS AND FRIGID AIR
  TEMPERATURES HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO RESULT IN FROZEN
  PIPES...FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL WATCH MEANS THE THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A
COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS TO CREATE
DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS
AND WARNINGS FOR UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION.

&&

$$
2 follow-up statements
656 
WWUS41 KOKX 120904
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
404 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

...DANGEROUSLY COLD WINDCHILLS THIS WEEKEND...

CTZ005>008-NJZ002-NYZ067>070-122215-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WC.A.0001.160213T2300Z-160214T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.WC.W.0001.160213T2100Z-160214T1700Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
404 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SATURDAY TO NOON EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SATURDAY TO NOON EST
SUNDAY. THE WIND CHILL WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
  CONNECTICUT...NORTHEASTERN NEW JERSEY...AND MUCH OF THE LOWER
  HUDSON VALLEY.

* HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUS TO POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
  WINDCHILLS.

* TIMING...COLDEST WIND CHILLS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
  SUNDAY MORNING.

* WIND CHILL...AS LOW AS 25 TO 30 BELOW DUE TO TEMPERATURES OF 5
  TO 10 DEGREES BELOW ZERO...AND NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH
  WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

* IMPACTS...THE FRIGID CONDITIONS WILL BE EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO
  THOSE VENTURING OUTSIDE. PROLONGED EXPOSURE WILL CAUSE
  FROSTBITE. THE COMBINATION OF VERY LOW WIND CHILLS AND FRIGID
  AIR TEMPERATURES HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO RESULT IN FROZEN PIPES...
  FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

&&

$$

NJZ004-006-104>108-NYZ072>075-078>081-176>179-122215-
/O.NEW.KOKX.WC.Y.0001.160213T2100Z-160214T1700Z/
EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-
WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
404 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SATURDAY TO NOON EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SATURDAY TO NOON EST
SUNDAY.

* LOCATIONS...METRO NEW YORK CITY AND NEW JERSEY AND LONG ISLAND.

* HAZARD TYPES...POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS WINDCHILLS.

* TIMING...COLDEST WIND CHILLS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
  SUNDAY MORNING.

* WIND CHILL...AS LOW AS 20 TO 25 BELOW DUE TO TEMPERATURES OF 5
  ABOVE TO 5 DEGREES BELOW ZERO...AND NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30
  MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.

* IMPACTS...THE FRIGID CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE
  VENTURING OUTSIDE. PROLONGED EXPOSURE MAY CAUSE FROSTBITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. 
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

&&

$$

NYZ071-122215-
/O.EXB.KOKX.WC.A.0001.160213T2100Z-160214T1700Z/
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
404 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

...WIND CHILL WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING.

* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER.

* HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUS TO POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
  WINDCHILLS.

* TIMING...COLDEST WIND CHILLS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
  SUNDAY MORNING.

* WIND CHILL...AS LOW AS AROUND 25 BELOW ZERO DUE TO TEMPERATURES
  0 TO 5 BELOW ZERO...AND NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS
  UP TO 40 MPH.

* IMPACTS...THE FRIGID CONDITIONS WILL BE EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO
  THOSE VENTURING OUTSIDE. PROLONGED EXPOSURE WILL CAUSE
  FROSTBITE. THE COMBINATION OF VERY LOW WIND CHILLS AND FRIGID
  AIR TEMPERATURES HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO RESULT IN FROZEN PIPES...
  FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL WATCH MEANS THE THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A
COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS TO CREATE
DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS
AND WARNINGS FOR UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION.

&&

$$

CTZ009>012-NJZ103-122215-
/O.EXT.KOKX.WC.A.0001.160213T2100Z-160214T1700Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN BERGEN-
404 AM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

...WIND CHILL WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING...

* LOCATIONS...COASTAL CONNECTICUT...AND WESTERN BERGEN COUNTY.

* HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUS TO POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING
  WINDCHILLS.

* TIMING...COLDEST WIND CHILLS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
  SUNDAY MORNING.

* WIND CHILL...AS LOW AS AROUND 25 BELOW ZERO DUE TO TEMPERATURES
  0 TO 5 BELOW ZERO...AND WINDS NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS
  UP TO 40 MPH.

* IMPACTS...THE FRIGID CONDITIONS WILL BE EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO
  THOSE VENTURING OUTSIDE. PROLONGED EXPOSURE WILL CAUSE
  FROSTBITE. THE COMBINATION OF VERY LOW WIND CHILLS AND FRIGID
  AIR TEMPERATURES HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO RESULT IN FROZEN PIPES...
  FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL WATCH MEANS THE THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A
COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS TO CREATE
DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS
AND WARNINGS FOR UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION.

&&

$$
328 
WWUS41 KOKX 122037
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
337 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

...DANGEROUSLY COLD WIND CHILLS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY
MORNING... 

CTZ012-130445-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WC.A.0001.160213T2100Z-160214T1700Z/
/O.EXA.KOKX.WC.W.0001.160213T2100Z-160214T1700Z/
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
337 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

...WIND CHILL WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SATURDAY TO NOON EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SATURDAY TO NOON EST
SUNDAY. 
* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN NEW LONDON COUNTY.

* HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUS TO POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING 
  WIND CHILLS.

* TIMING...COLDEST WIND CHILLS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY 
  SUNDAY MORNING.

* WIND CHILL...AS LOW AS 25 BELOW DUE TO TEMPERATURES AS LOW AS 5
  BELOW...AND WINDS NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45
  MPH.

* IMPACTS...THE FRIGID CONDITIONS WILL BE EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO 
  THOSE VENTURING OUTSIDE. PROLONGED EXPOSURE WILL CAUSE 
  FROSTBITE. THE COMBINATION OF VERY LOW WIND CHILLS AND FRIGID 
  AIR TEMPERATURES HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO RESULT IN FROZEN 
  PIPES... FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

&&

$$

CTZ005>008-NJZ002-NYZ067>070-130445-
/O.CON.KOKX.WC.W.0001.160213T2100Z-160214T1700Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
337 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

...WIND CHILL WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SATURDAY TO
NOON EST SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...INTERIOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...MUCH OF
  THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY...AND WESTERN PASSAIC COUNTY.

* HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUS TO POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING 
  WIND CHILLS.

* TIMING...COLDEST WIND CHILLS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY 
  SUNDAY MORNING.

* WIND CHILL...FROM 25 TO 30 BELOW ZERO...DUE TO TEMPERATURES AS
  LOW AS 9 BELOW...AND WINDS NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
  TO 40 MPH.

* IMPACTS...THE FRIGID CONDITIONS WILL BE EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO 
  THOSE VENTURING OUTSIDE. PROLONGED EXPOSURE WILL CAUSE 
  FROSTBITE. THE COMBINATION OF VERY LOW WIND CHILLS AND FRIGID 
  AIR TEMPERATURES HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO RESULT IN FROZEN 
  PIPES... FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL WARNING MEANS THE COMBINATION OF VERY COLD AIR AND
STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE DANGEROUSLY LOW WIND CHILL VALUES. THIS
WILL RESULT IN FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA OR DEATH IF
PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

&&

$$

CTZ009>011-NJZ103-NYZ071-130445-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WC.A.0001.160213T2100Z-160214T1700Z/
/O.EXA.KOKX.WC.Y.0001.160213T2100Z-160214T1700Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN BERGEN-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
337 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SATURDAY TO NOON EST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WIND CHILL
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SATURDAY TO NOON EST
SUNDAY.

* LOCATIONS...MOST OF COASTAL CONNECTICUT...WESTERN BERGEN AND
  SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER COUNTIES.

* HAZARD TYPES...DANGEROUS TO POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING 
  WIND CHILLS.

* TIMING...COLDEST WIND CHILLS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY 
  SUNDAY MORNING.

* WIND CHILL...20 BELOW TO 24 BELOW DUE TO TEMPERATURES AS LOW AS
  4 BELOW...AND WINDS NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40
  MPH.

* IMPACTS...THE FRIGID CONDITIONS WILL BE EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO 
  THOSE VENTURING OUTSIDE. PROLONGED EXPOSURE WILL CAUSE 
  FROSTBITE. THE COMBINATION OF VERY LOW WIND CHILLS AND FRIGID 
  AIR TEMPERATURES HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO RESULT IN FROZEN 
  PIPES... FROSTBITE AND HYPOTHERMIA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. 
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

&&

$$

NJZ004-006-104>108-NYZ072>075-078>081-176>179-130445-
/O.CON.KOKX.WC.Y.0001.160213T2100Z-160214T1700Z/
EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-
WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
337 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM SATURDAY TO
NOON EST SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...NEW YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND AND MOST OF NORTHEAST
  NEW JERSEY.

* HAZARD TYPES...POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS.

* TIMING...COLDEST WIND CHILLS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY 
  SUNDAY MORNING.

* WIND CHILL...18 BELOW TO 23 BELOW DUE TO TEMPERATURES AS LOW AS
  1 BELOW...AND WINDS NORTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45
  MPH.

* IMPACTS...THE FRIGID CONDITIONS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE 
  VENTURING OUTSIDE. PROLONGED EXPOSURE MAY CAUSE FROSTBITE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WINDS
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE LOW WIND CHILLS. THIS WILL RESULT IN
FROST BITE AND LEAD TO HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.
IF YOU MUST VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU WEAR A HAT AND
GLOVES.

&&

$$

MALOIT

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this wind chill watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind chill watch went out at Feb 11, 1:09 PM EST, 2 hours 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 11, 1:09 PM EST, 2 hours 56 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
109 PM EST THU FEB 11 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPR LVL SYS WILL PASS THRU THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH
PRES WILL DRIFT ACROSS THE AREA ON FRI. AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL
APPROACH FRI NIGHT...AND PASS THROUGH LATE FRI NIGHT INTO SAT
MORNING WHILE LOW PRES PASSES SE OF LONG ISLAND. STRONG HIGH PRES
WILL THEN BUILD FROM THE W LATER SAT INTO SUNDAY NIGHT...THEN PASS
E ON MON. A WARM FRONT WILL APPROACH MON AFTERNOON AND
NIGHT...THEN LOW PRES WILL MOVE UP THE COASTAL PLAIN TUE INTO TUE
NIGHT...AND PASS TO THE NE ON WED.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
DUE TO INSTABILITY AND DEEP-LAYERED CYCLONIC FLOW WITH THE UPPER
TROF AXIS MOVING ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON THERE WILL BE
PLENTY OF CLOUDS. IN FACT...LATEST TEMPS TRENDS SUPPORTS LOWERING
HIGHS A FEW DEGREES...WITH MID TO UPPER 20S. SCT SNOW SHOWERS
WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING SFC TROF.

INCREASING MID LVL WINDS WILL ALSO ALLOW FOR GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
BRIEF PERIODS OF HAZARDOUS TRAVEL POSSIBLE IN SNOW AND WIND.

LAPSE RATES EASE TNGT WITH SUBSIDENCE IN THE WAKE OF THE UPPER
TROUGH. AS A RESULT WILL DRY THINGS OUT QUICKLY THIS EVE WITH
CLEARING SKIES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY/...
FAIR WEATHER TO START WITH A SFC HI PRES RIDGE OVER THE
AREA...THEN THE RIDGE IS WEAKENED BY LOW PRES PASSING OFFSHORE AND
AN APPROACHING ARCTIC FRONT. THE DATA SEEMS TO BE TRENDING FASTER
WITH APPROACHING UPR TROF AND CDFNT...SO WENT CLOSE TO THE 3Z
SREF FOR TIMING ACROSS WRN ZONES. THE GFS PRODUCES SOME LGT SNOW
ACROSS ERN AREAS ON THE PERIPHERY OF THE LOW. BUMPED UP THE DRY
POPS IN THE SREF ACROSS ERN ZONES TOO SLGT CHC FOR THIS. ANY WWD
TREND COULD BRING A DUSTING BY DARK ERN CT AND LI. A BLEND OF
GUIDANCE WAS USED FOR TEMPS WITH READINGS OVER 10F BLW AVG.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT APPROACHES FRIDAY NIGHT ALONG WITH A
SHORTWAVE FROM THE NORTH. AT THE SAME TIME...SHORTWAVE ENERGY
MOVES OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. THE COMBINED ENERGY SHOULD
INITIATE SFC CYCLOGENESIS ALONG A BAROCLINIC ZONE TO OUR SOUTH
WITH THE LOW PASSING WELL SE OF THE 40N/70W BENCHMARK LATE AT
NIGHT. CHANCE OF SNOW DIRECTLY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS LOW LOOKS HIGH
ENOUGH TO RAISE POP TO LIKELY FOR ERN LONG ISLAND...WITH CHANCE
POP ACROSS MOST OF SRN CT AND LONG ISLAND...WITH ONLY MINOR ACCUMS
EXPECTED AS STRONGEST FORCING WITH THE LOW REMAINS WELL OFFSHORE.
ELSEWHERE COULD SEE ISOLD-SCT SNOW SHOWERS WITH THE APPROACHING
ARCTIC FRONT VIA DECREASING STABILITY AND CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT.

AN ANOMALOUSLY COLD AIR MASS THEN POURS IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT FOR
THE WEEKEND...WITH WINDS LIKELY APPROACHING ADVY CRITERIA IN NYC
METRO...LONG ISLAND AND PERHAPS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS INLAND.
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE ARRIVES ALONGSIDE THE CORE OF COLD AIR ALOFT
DURING SAT/SAT EVENING. THE ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN DRIES...HOWEVER
THERE MAY STILL BE A CHANCE OF FLURRIES DURING THIS PERIOD.

AS FOR TEMPS SAT AND SAT NIGHT...THE CALENDAR DAY HIGH TEMP ON
SAT WILL PROBABLY OCCUR AT MIDNIGHT AS TEMPS COOL OFF OVERNIGHT
AND THEN STAY DOWN THROUGH THE DAY VIA STRONG CAA. TEMPS MAY
RECOVER A LITTLE ON SAT TO THE UPPER TEENS AND LOWER 20S...BUT
STRONG NW WINDS DURING THIS TIME SHOULD KEEP WIND CHILLS AT OR
BELOW ZERO THROUGH THE DAY. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW 850MB TEMPS
DROPPING TO -30C DURING THE NIGHT BEFORE RISING A FEW DEGREES
TOWARD DAYBREAK. BASED ON A SIMILAR SYNOPTIC SETUP LAST FEB WITH
WARMER TEMPS ALOFT...WENT NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW THE LOW TEMPS
FCST BY ECMWF MOS...WITH LOWS CLOSE TO ZERO IN NYC AND ZERO TO 5
BELOW ELSEWHERE. THE COLD AIR COMBINED WITH WINDS WOULD PRODUCE
WIND CHILLS THAT WOULD WARRANT AN ADVISORY DURING SAT NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING...AND A WARNING FOR THE NORTHERN SUBURBS AND LONG
ISLAND.

REMAINING COLD BUT DRY SUNDAY/SUNDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN...WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE TEENS...AND LOWS IN THE TEENS
NYC METRO AND SINGLE DIGITS ELSEWHERE.

MODELS THEN IN DISAGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING OF THE NEXT SYSTEM TO
POTENTIALLY AFFECT THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFFSHORE ON
MON...WITH POSSIBILITY OF OVERRUNNING LIGHT SNOWFALL REACHING
PARTS OF THE AREA BY LATE DAY. A LONGWAVE TROUGH THEN SHIFTS
THROUGH THE EASTERN STATES...WITH ITS AXIS PROGGED TO MOVE
THROUGH LATE TUE NIGHT. THIS THEN HELPS STRENGTHEN A SURFACE LOW
MOVING UP THE VICINITY OF THE EASTERN SEABOARD. LOW CONFIDENCE IN
THE EVOLUTION...TRACK AND TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM...AND CONSEQUENTLY
PRECIP TYPE LATE MON NIGHT INTO TUE MORNING. WITH A LEADING WARM
FRONT APPROACHING LATE MON NIGHT AND TEMPS WARMING ALOFT...THINK
SNOW WILL TRANSITION TO MIXED PRECIP LATE MON NIGHT AND THEN RAIN
DURING TUE MORNING. AFTER THAT...HEAVY RAIN LOOKS LIKE A GOOD BET
TUE INTO TUE NIGHT AHEAD OF THE LOW.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

VFR. CHC SUB-VFR WITH -SHSN THIS AFTN...BUT ANY SNOW WOULD LIKELY BE
LIGHT WITH VSBYS AT 6SM OR ABOVE MOST OF THE TIME. ANY SNOW LIKELY
DOES NOT PREVAIL LONG ENOUGH FOR A MENTION IN TAFS...EVEN IN A TEMPO
GROUP.

WNW WINDS...PREVAILING SOUTH OF 310 MAGNETIC...WITH GUSTS AROUND 30
KT TODAY. WINDS SUBSIDE THIS EVENING.

...NY METRO ENHANCED AVIATION WEATHER SUPPORT...

DETAILED INFORMATION...INCLUDING HOURLY TAF WIND COMPONENT FCSTS CAN
BE FOUND AT:  HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ZNY/N90 (LOWER CASE)

KJFK FCSTER COMMENTS: CHC -SHSN WITH BRIEF 3-5SM VSBYS BEFORE 20-
21Z. TIME FRAME. OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 33-35KT POSSIBLE BEFORE 00Z.

KLGA FCSTER COMMENTS: CHC -SHSN WITH BRIEF 3-5SM VSBYS BEFORE 20-
21Z. TIME FRAME. OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 33-35KT POSSIBLE BEFORE 00Z.

KEWR FCSTER COMMENTS: CHC -SHSN WITH BRIEF 3-5SM VSBYS BEFORE 20-
21Z. TIME FRAME. OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 33-35KT POSSIBLE BEFORE 00Z.

KTEB FCSTER COMMENTS: CHC -SHSN WITH BRIEF 3-5SM VSBYS BEFORE 20-
21Z. TIME FRAME. OCCASIONAL GUSTS AROUND 30KT POSSIBLE BEFORE 00Z.

KHPN FCSTER COMMENTS: CHC -SHSN WITH BRIEF 3-5SM VSBYS BEFORE 20-
21Z. TIME FRAME. OCCASIONAL GUSTS AROUND 30KT POSSIBLE BEFORE 00Z.

KISP FCSTER COMMENTS: CHC -SHSN WITH BRIEF 3-5SM VSBYS BEFORE 21-
22Z. TIME FRAME. OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 31-34KT POSSIBLE BEFORE 00Z.

.OUTLOOK FOR 18Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
.FRIDAY...VFR.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY VFR. CHC SUB-VFR POSSIBLE IN BRIEF -SHSN. NW
GUSTS AROUND 35KT.
.SUNDAY...VFR.
.MONDAY...CHC SUB-VFR AND -SN PM.
.TUESDAY...SUB-VFR AND RAIN. CHC MIXED PCPN EARLY. SE-S GUSTS TO
30KT POSSIBLE. CHC LLWS.

&&

.MARINE...
WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE W TODAY WITH GALE COND EXPECTED.
GALE WARNING REMAINS UP THRU TNGT...THEN WINDS DECREASE THRU THE
DAY ON FRI.

WINDS THEN INCREASE TO SCA LEVELS LATE FRI NIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE
PASSES TO THE SE...AND GALES ARE LIKELY SAT INTO SAT NIGHT ON ALL
WATERS AFTER AN ARCTIC COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE...CONTINUING INTO
SUNDAY MORNING ON THE OCEAN. THE GALES COMBINED WITH SST IN THE
LOWER 40S AND AIR TEMPS IN THE 20S ON SAT...SINGLE DIGITS SAT
NIGHT AND TEENS ON SUNDAY WILL LEAD TO FREEZING SPRAY PROBLEMS...
WITH MODERATE TO HEAVY ACCRETION POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY SAT NIGHT
INTO SUNDAY MORNING.

QUIET CONDS EVENTUALLY RETURN SUNDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS IN.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
LIQUID EQUIVALENT OF LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH IS EXPECTED THRU
FRI...AND 1/10 INCH OR LESS FRI NIGHT INTO SAT MORNING.

LOW PRESSURE MOVING UP THE COAST HAS POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE LIQUID
EQUIVALENT QPF AT LEAST 1 TO 2 INCHES. PART OF THIS WILL FALL AS
SNOW INITIALLY...BUT THEN RUNOFF VIA MELTING SNOW AND HEAVY RAIN
TUE INTO TUE NIGHT COULD CAUSE AT LEAST URBAN AND SMALL STREAM
FLOODING PROBLEMS. IT IS TOO EARLY TO SAY IF MAIN STEM RIVERS
WOULD BE AFFECTED.

&&

.CLIMATE...
WITH THE EXTREMELY COLD AIR MASS FORECAST SATURDAY INTO
SUNDAY...RECORD MINIMUMS AND RECORD LOW MAXIMUMS MAY BE REACHED.
HERE ARE THE RECORDS AND FORECASTS...

STATION......RECORD/FCST MINIMUM...RECORD LOW MAXIMUM/FCST HIGH
                 FOR 2/14                    FOR 2/14

NYC...........2 (1916)  /  1.............17 (1979) / 17
LGA...........1 (1979)  /  4.............15 (1979) / 18
JFK...........4 (1979)  /  2.............17 (1979) / 19
ISP...........7 (2015)  / -3.............26 (1987) / 15
EWR...........0 (1979)  /  0.............15 (1979) / 18
BDR...........3 (2015*) / -3.............18 (1979) / 15

*IN 1979 AS WELL

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ330-335-338-340-345-
     350-353-355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JMC/GOODMAN/DW
NEAR TERM...JMC/DW
SHORT TERM...JMC
LONG TERM...GOODMAN
AVIATION...JC
MARINE...JMC/GOODMAN
HYDROLOGY...JMC/GOODMAN
CLIMATE...//
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 11, 7:49 AM EST, 8 hours 16 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
749 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016

CTZ005-006-009-010-NJZ002-103-104-NYZ067>071-121300-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-
SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-
ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
749 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SNOW SHOWERS TODAY COULD BE LOCALLY HEAVY...BRIEFLY REDUCING
VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN A HALF MILE AND PRODUCING A QUICK
COATING OF SLIPPERY ACCUMULATION ON AREA ROADWAYS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

TEMPERATURES FALLING TO ZERO TO 5 BELOW COMBINED WITH SUSTAINED
NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH COULD PRODUCE DANGEROUS WIND
CHILLS OF AROUND 25 BELOW LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING.

LOW PRESSURE MOVING UP THE COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK COULD PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT WINTRY PRECIPITATION MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING...THEN HEAVY RAIN CAPABLE OF CAUSING FLOODING TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NJZ004-006-105>108-121300-
EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-
EASTERN UNION-
749 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SNOW SHOWERS TODAY COULD BE LOCALLY HEAVY...BRIEFLY REDUCING
VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN A HALF MILE AND PRODUCING A QUICK
COATING ON AREA ROADWAYS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

LOW PRESSURE MOVING UP THE COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK COULD PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT WINTRY PRECIPITATION MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY
MORNING...THEN HEAVY RAIN CAPABLE OF CAUSING FLOODING TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ072>075-176-178-121300-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-
NORTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
749 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SNOW SHOWERS TODAY COULD BE LOCALLY HEAVY...BRIEFLY REDUCING
VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN A HALF MILE AND PRODUCING A QUICK
COATING OF SLIPPERY ACCUMULATION ON AREA ROADWAYS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

AN EXTENDED COLD SNAP WILL BEGIN ON FRIDAY...AND LAST INTO MONDAY
MORNING. WIND CHILLS WILL BE AROUND OR BELOW ZERO FOR AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF TIME...FROM DAYBREAK MORNING INTO SUNDAY
MORNING...AND COULD FALL AS LOW AS 20 TO 25 BELOW ZERO LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

LOW PRESSURE MOVING UP THE COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK COULD PRODUCE
WINTRY PRECIPITATION MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING...THEN
COMBINED RUNOFF FROM SNOW MELT AND HEAVY RAIN THAT COULD CAUSE
FLOODING TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

CTZ007-008-011-012-NYZ078>081-177-179-121300-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-
SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN NASSAU-
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
749 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SNOW SHOWERS TODAY COULD BE LOCALLY HEAVY...BRIEFLY REDUCING
VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN A HALF MILE AND PRODUCING A QUICK
COATING OF SLIPPERY ACCUMULATION ON AREA ROADWAYS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

AN EXTENDED COLD SNAP WILL BEGIN ON FRIDAY...AND LAST INTO MONDAY
MORNING. WIND CHILLS COULD FALL AS LOW AS 25 BELOW ZERO LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.

LOW PRESSURE MOVING UP THE COAST EARLY NEXT WEEK COULD PRODUCE
WINTRY PRECIPITATION MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING...THEN
COMBINED RUNOFF FROM SNOW MELT AND HEAVY RAIN THAT COULD CAUSE
FLOODING TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ345-121300-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
749 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

GALES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-350-353-355-121300-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
749 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

GALES ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. MODERATE TO
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY IS ALSO POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY
MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 11, 11:27 AM EST, 4 hours 38 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1127 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-
121630-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-
EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-
WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-
PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-
NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
1127 AM EST THU FEB 11 2016

...MAJOR OUTBREAK OF COLD AIR THIS WEEKEND...

BITTERLY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA THIS WEEKEND.

* TEMPERATURES SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WILL FALL
  CLOSE TO ZERO IN AND AROUND NEW YORK CITY...AND ZERO TO 5 BELOW
  ACROSS LONG ISLAND...INTERIOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...THE LOWER
  HUDSON VALLEY...AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT. WIND CHILL VALUES
  DURING THIS TIME COULD REACH LIFE THREATENING LEVELS AS COLD AS
  20 TO 25 BELOW ZERO.

* HIGH TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL ONLY BE IN THE TEENS.

* COLD SPELLS OF THIS MAGNITUDE BRING A RISK OF FROSTBITE AND
  HYPOTHERMIA FOR ANYONE WHO DOES NOT TAKE PROPER PRECAUTIONS. IN
  ADDITION...FROZEN PIPES AND OVERWORKED FURNACES COULD LEAVE YOUR
  HOUSE WITHOUT HEAT OR RUNNING WATER...AND CAR BATTERIES RUN THE
  RISK OF DYING.

* NEVER VENTURE OUTDOORS WITHOUT WEARING GLOVES...A HAT AND
  SEVERAL LAYERS OF CLOTHING. WIND CHILL VALUES LATE SATURDAY
  NIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING COULD LEAD TO FROSTBITE IN LESS THAN
  30 MINUTES IF PROPER PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN.

* RUN WATER AT A TRICKLE AND KEEP CABINET DOORS OPEN TO PREVENT
  PIPES FROM FREEZING.

* NEVER USE A STOVE OR OVEN TO HEAT YOUR HOME OR USE AN OPEN FLAME
  TO MELT FROZEN PIPES. MANY HOUSE FIRES RESULT FROM THESE
  PRACTICES.

* CHECK TIRE PRESSURE AND YOUR CAR BATTERY. BE SURE YOUR CAR HAS
  A WINTER SAFETY KIT THAT INCLUDES A BLANKET...WARM CLOTHES AND
  GLOVES IN CASE YOUR CAR BREAKS DOWN OR BECOMES STRANDED.

* TAKE EXTRA STEPS TO KEEP YOUR PETS WARM AND KNOW THEIR LIMITS TO
  COLD.

Nearby

Wind Chill Watches in New York, 2016Wind Chill Watches in Connecticut, 2016Wind Chill Watches in New Jersey, 2016Every wind chill watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.