Alert archive / New York / Small Craft Advisories in 2016

Small Craft Advisory 39, NWS New York, NY

March 19, 2016

NWS New York, NY issued this small craft advisory at Mar 19, 2016, 3:46 AM EDT. It took effect at Mar 20, 2016, 2:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 19, 2016, 3:46 AM EDT (07:46 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 20, 2016, 2:00 AM EDT
Expired
Mar 23, 2016, 11:29 AM EDT
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS New York, NY

The text

As transmitted.

367 
WHUS71 KOKX 190746
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
346 AM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

..STRENGTHENING NORTHEAST FLOW LATE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...

ANZ350-353-355-191615-
/O.UPG.KOKX.GL.A.0013.160320T1200Z-160320T2200Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.160320T0600Z-160321T1000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
346 AM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM SUNDAY TO 6 AM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM SUNDAY TO 6 AM EDT
MONDAY. THE GALE WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
15 follow-up statements
674 
WHUS71 KOKX 191912
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
312 PM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE OCEAN WATERS FOR THE START OF THE
WEEK...

ANZ350-353-355-200400-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.160320T0600Z-160321T2200Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
312 PM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM
EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

MPS
074 
WHUS71 KOKX 200109
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
909 PM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE OCEAN WATERS FOR THE START OF THE
WEEK...

ANZ350-353-355-200930-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.160320T0600Z-160321T2200Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
909 PM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM SUNDAY TO
6 PM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 
  KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
817 
WHUS71 KOKX 200731
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
331 AM EDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE OCEAN WATERS FOR THE START OF THE
WEEK...

ANZ350-353-355-202200-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-160321T2200Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
331 AM EDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT MONDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  KT...BECOMING NORTH TONIGHT...THEN NORTHWEST MONDAY. SEAS 4 TO
  7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
349 
WHUS71 KOKX 202002
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
402 PM EDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE WATERS FOR THE START OF THE WEEK...

ANZ335-338-345-210415-
/O.EXB.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.160321T1800Z-160322T0300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
402 PM EDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM EDT MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM EDT MONDAY.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-210415-
/O.EXB.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.160321T2100Z-160322T1200Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
402 PM EDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM MONDAY TO 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM MONDAY TO 8 AM EDT
TUESDAY.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-210415-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-160322T1600Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
402 PM EDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET. WINDS COULD BRIEFLY GUST UP TO 35 KT MON
  EVENING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
033 
WHUS71 KOKX 210136
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
936 PM EDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE WATERS FOR THE START OF THE WEEK...

ANZ350-353-355-210930-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-160322T1600Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
936 PM EDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  KT...BECOMING NORTHWEST. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET. WINDS COULD BRIEFLY
  GUST UP TO 35 KT MON EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ335-338-345-210930-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.160321T1800Z-160322T0300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
936 PM EDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM TO 11 PM EDT
MONDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-210930-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.160321T2100Z-160322T1200Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
936 PM EDT SUN MAR 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM MONDAY TO
8 AM EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
280 
WHUS71 KOKX 210743
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
343 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE WATERS...

ANZ350-353-355-212200-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-160322T2200Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
343 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ335-338-345-212200-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.160321T1800Z-160322T0300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
343 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-212200-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.160321T2100Z-160322T1200Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
343 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
079 
WHUS71 KOKX 211313
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
913 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE WATERS...

ANZ350-353-355-212115-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-160322T2200Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
913 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ335-338-345-212115-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.160321T1800Z-160322T0300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
913 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-212115-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.160321T2100Z-160322T1200Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
913 AM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO 8 AM EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

JMC
989 
WHUS71 KOKX 211953
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
353 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE WATERS...

ANZ335-338-345-220400-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-160322T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
353 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-220400-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-160323T1000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
353 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS TONIGHT BECOMING SOUTHWEST
  TUESDAY 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-340-220400-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.160321T2100Z-160322T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
353 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
125 
WHUS71 KOKX 220112
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
912 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE WATERS...

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-221000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-160322T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
912 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
TUESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-221000-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-160323T1000Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
912 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS TONIGHT BECOMING SOUTHWEST 
  TUESDAY 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
234 
WHUS71 KOKX 220757
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
357 AM EDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE OCEAN WATERS...

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-220900-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-160322T1000Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
357 AM EDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY.

FREQUENT WIND GUSTS SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 25 KT TODAY.

$$

ANZ350-353-355-222200-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-160323T2200Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
357 AM EDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
211 
WHUS71 KOKX 221111
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
711 AM EDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE OCEAN WATERS...

ANZ350-353-355-222200-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-160323T2200Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
711 AM EDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
341 
WHUS71 KOKX 221310
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
910 AM EDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE OCEAN WATERS...

ANZ350-353-355-222200-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-160323T2200Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
910 AM EDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EDT
WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
175 
WHUS71 KOKX 221927
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
327 PM EDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE OCEAN WATERS...

ANZ350-353-355-231000-
/O.EXT.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-160324T0600Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
327 PM EDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  KT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. SEAS 5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
769 
WHUS71 KOKX 230759
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
359 AM EDT WED MAR 23 2016

...ROUGH CONDITIONS ON THE OCEAN WATERS...

ANZ350-353-355-232100-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-160324T0600Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
359 AM EDT WED MAR 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
THURSDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 
  30 KT. SEAS 5 TO 8 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$
033 
WHUS71 KOKX 231529
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1129 AM EDT WED MAR 23 2016

...ROUGH SEAS ON THE OCEAN WATERS...

ANZ350-353-355-232200-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0039.000000T0000Z-160324T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SW.Y.0006.160323T1529Z-160324T0600Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1129 AM EDT WED MAR 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM
EDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
THURSDAY. 

* SEAS...4 TO 7 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT SEAS OF 5 FT
OR HIGHER ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL
CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELLS
CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS
NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS
THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED. REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN
EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Mar 19, 1:37 AM EDT, 2 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 19, 1:37 AM EDT, 2 hours 9 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
137 AM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE MOVES SOUTHEAST TOWARD THE AREA SATURDAY.
LOW PRESSURE TRACKS OFF THE COAST ON SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT AND
NORTHEAST TO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES ON MONDAY. AS THE LOW
INTENSIFIES...IT PULLS IN COLD HIGH PRESSURE FROM THE NORTH FOR
THE START OF THE WEEK. A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AND REMAINS IN THE VICINITY THROUGH
THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT SLOWLY APPROACHES FROM THE WEST BY THE END
OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS MADE TO FORECAST TO ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT
CONDITIONS/TRENDS.

TEMPS WILL BEGIN TO PLUMMET AS CANADIAN HIGH PRES BUILDS SE TOWARD
THE AREA UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVERNIGHT.

LOWS OVER NIGHT ARE NEAR BLENDED MOS WHICH IS ACCEPTED DUE TO
CONSISTENCY AND LITTLE SPREAD.

PREPARE FOR MUCH COLDER TEMPS FOR THE NEXT 4 DAYS THROUGH TUESDAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH MONDAY/...
IN THE UPPER LEVELS...A BROAD QUASI-ZONAL JET EXTENDS FROM SOUTHWEST
TO NORTHEAST FROM THE VICINITY OF THE TENNESSEE VALLEY THROUGH
COASTAL NEW ENGLAND. THIS JET WEAKENS DURING THE DAY SATURDAY AND
THEN INTENSIFIES WITH THE SOUTHERN BRANCH NEAR THE GULF OF MEXICO
SUNDAY. THIS FURTHER INCREASES SUNDAY NIGHT WITH THE JET
STRETCHING FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO THROUGH JUST OFF THE EASTERN
SEABOARD. NEGATIVE TILTING IS NOT EXHIBITED UNTIL LATE SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY.

FOR THE MID LEVELS...THERE WILL BE TWO UPPER LEVEL LOWS SATURDAY.
ONE IS IN THE CANADIAN MARITIMES AND THE OTHER IS IN THE PLAINS.
DURING THE DAY...THESE BOTH MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST. BY SATURDAY
NIGHT...THE ONE IN SOUTHEAST CANADA EXITS FARTHER TO THE EAST WHILE
THE ONE IN THE PLAINS MOVES INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND DEEPENS
WITH DOWNSTREAM AMPLIFICATION. FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...THIS
UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO DIG SOUTHEAST AND STILL EXHIBITS
POSITIVE TILTING. IT IS NOT UNTIL MONDAY MORNING THAT THE TILTING
TRENDS MORE NEGATIVE.

AT THE SURFACE SATURDAY...HIGH PRESSURE FROM ONTARIO BUILDS IN AND
THEN GRADUALLY WEAKENS AS IT TRAVERSES INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
WINDS WILL BE WEAK SATURDAY AND LIMITED MIXING WILL YIELD HIGHS
BELOW NORMAL AND IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S FOR MUCH OF THE
REGION. FOR SATURDAY NIGHT...A LOW MOVES OFF THE COAST OF THE
CAROLINAS. ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDS INCREASE AND
EASTERLY FLOW INCREASES. TOOK A WARMER BLEND OF ECE AND MET GUIDANCE
FOR LOWS...RANGING FROM THE LOWER 20S TO LOWER 30S. THIS LOW
PRESSURE OFFSHORE ON SUNDAY TRACKS SOUTHEAST OF LONG ISLAND WHILE
DEEPENING. IT CONTINUES TRACKING NORTHEAST SUNDAY NIGHT...FARTHER
AWAY FROM LONG ISLAND.

IN TERMS OF THE NUMERICAL WEATHER PREDICTION MODEL SOLUTIONS...THE
SOLUTIONS STILL CONVEY LARGE VARIANCE WITH RESPECT TO THE LOW
PRESSURE CENTER AND ASSOCIATED MOISTURE FIELD. THE ECMWF IS STILL
FARTHER WEST TRACKING RIGHT ACROSS THE 40N/70W BENCHMARK WHILE THE
NAM AND GFS HAVE A SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKER LOW AND FARTHER OFFSHORE.
THE CANADIAN MODEL HAS THE HIGHEST QPF BUT A LOW TRACK THAT IS
FARTHER OFFSHORE COMPARED TO THE ECMWF.

TOOK A CONSENSUS WITH THE FORECAST FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. THE
LOW...SINCE IT HAS TRENDED OVERALL WEAKER COMPARED TO PREVIOUS
FORECASTS...WILL RESULT IN LESS EFFICIENT DYNAMIC COOLING OF THE
ATMOSPHERIC COLUMN. THE TEMPERATURES SUNDAY INCREASE TO THE LOW TO
MID 30S BUT THERE WILL BE SOME DRY AIR AS CONVEYED BY THE
DEWPOINTS IN THE TEENS INITIALLY.

THERE WILL BE A PERIOD OF TIME IT TAKES TO MOISTEN THE BOUNDARY
LAYER SUNDAY AND THEN WITH THE START OF SNOW EXPECTED BY THE
START OF SUNDAY AFTERNOON...IT WILL TAKE AN HOUR OR SO FOR SNOW
TO BECOME STEADY. THEN...THE WET BULB TEMPERATURE DROPS...AND
TEMPERATURES AT THE SURFACE FALL TO FREEZING AND BELOW...ALLOWING
FOR SNOW TO ACCUMULATE. THE OVERALL PRECIPITATION OF THE STORM
SYSTEM HAS TRENDED LOWER WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS AROUND THE EASTERN
COASTAL AREAS AND SOUTHEAST OF LONG ISLAND.

MUCH OF THIS EVENT IS EXPECTED TO BE SNOW...BULK OF IT SUNDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING. SNOW AMOUNTS ARE 4 TO 6 INCHES
TO THE EAST OF NYC AND LESS THAN THAT TO THE NORTH AND WEST.
HOWEVER...STILL WOULD LIKE TO SEE MODEL TRENDS WITH THE 00Z RUNS
TONIGHT AND TO SEE IF THE HIGHER PRECIPITATION TRENDS BACK TO THE
NORTHWEST WITH RESPECT TO THE PREVIOUS RUN. SO UNCERTAINTY OF SNOW
AMOUNTS IS AROUND 2 TO 3 INCHES AND THEREFORE CONFIDENCE IS LOWER.
MODELS HAVE HAD LESS CONSISTENCY FROM RUN TO RUN SO HAVE DECIDED
TO KEEP THE REGION IN A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF HAVING AT LEAST 6
INCHES OF SNOW IN THE HWO.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
ANY SNOW TAPERS OFF FROM WEST TO EAST ON MONDAY AS THE LOW PUSHES
AWAY FROM THE AREA. LITTLE...IF ANY ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS
EXPECTED. IF ANY ACCUMULATIONS DO OCCUR...IT WILL BE ACROSS EASTERN
SECTIONS SUCH AS THE TWIN FORKS OF LONG ISLAND AND SOUTHEAST
CONNECTICUT. UNCERTAINTY CONTINUES DUE TO THE POSSIBLE TRACK OF THE
LOW.

IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE COLD MONDAY...THOUGH WARMER THAN SUNDAY AS
CLEARING WILL ALLOW THE SUN TO COME THROUGH BY THE PEAK HEATING OF
THE DAY. HIGHS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 40S.

IT WILL BE COLD MONDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER...WITH STRONG WINDS
OVERNIGHT...MAXIMUM RADIATIONAL COOLING WILL LIKELY NOT BE
ACHIEVED...AND THUS DESPITE THE POSSIBILITY OF A FRESH SNOW
PACK...COLDER LOWS DO NOT LOOK POSSIBLE. LOWS WILL GENERALLY BE IN
THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 20S...WITH LOWER 30S ACROSS COASTAL AREAS AND IN
THE NYC METRO AREA.

HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST...KEEPING THE AREA DRY
FOR TUESDAY. LOW CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN IN THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES...ALLOWING FOR STRONG WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW OVER THE
AREA...AND THUS CONTINUED BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO UPPER 40S FORECAST FOR TUESDAY.

THEREAFTER...MORE NOTICEABLE INCREASE IN TEMPERATURE IS EXPECTED AS
A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH OF THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
THIS FRONT SHOULD REMAIN IN THE VICINITY THROUGH THURSDAY...THEN
LIFT WELL NORTH OF THE REGION ON FRIDAY AS THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT
SLOWLY APPROACHES BY THE END OF THE WEEK. THERE ARE DIFFERENCES IN
THE EXACT LOCATION OF THESE FRONTS THROUGH THE WEEK DEPENDING ON THE
WHERE AND HOW STRONG THE HIGH PRESSURE IS TO OUR NORTH IN QUEBEC.
ALSO...DEPENDING ON WHICH MODEL...DISTURBANCES WILL RIDE ALONG THE
WARM FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THESE SHOULD RIDE NORTH OF OUR AREA...BUT WE
WILL BE ON THE SOUTHERN FRINGES OF THESE DISTURBANCES. BEST CHANCE
FOR ANY RAIN SHOWERS WOULD BE TUESDAY NIGHT WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE
WARM FRONT...WITH LOWER POSSIBILITIES FOR SHOWERS WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES TO FINISH
OUT THE WEEK AS THE AREA IS WARM SECTORED. BETTER CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS ON SATURDAY AS THE FRONT MOVES CLOSER TO THE AREA.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
WEAK HI PRESSURE REMAINS IN PLACE TODAY..

VFR THRU THE TAF PERIOD. N-NW WINDS AROUND 10KT OR LESS TODAY WITH
SEA BREEZES AT KJFK/KISP/KBDR/KGON THIS AFTN. CHC THAT SEA BREEZES
DO NOT OCCUR IN WHICH CASE N-NW TO VAR WINDS UNDER 10KT WOULD
PREVAIL. WINDS OTHERWISE SHIFT NE THIS EVENING AND INCREASE
OVERNIGHT.

.OUTLOOK FOR 06Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
.SAT NGT...VFR WITH INCREASING NE WINDS.
.SUN...VFR AM. IFR WITH SN LIKELY IN THE AFTN AND NGT. N-NE GUSTS
25-30 KT AT THE COASTAL TERMINALS.
.MON...CHC -SN/IFR EARLY...OTHERWISE VFR. NW GUSTS 25-30KT.
.TUE...VFR. W GUSTS 20-25KT.
.WED...VFR. SW GUSTS 20-25KT.

&&

.MARINE...
TRANQUIL WEATHER IS FORECAST FOR SATURDAY. THE WEAK PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL BE IN PLACE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT WHICH WILL
KEEP CONDITIONS BELOW SCA CRITERIA. THIS CHANGES GOING INTO SUNDAY
WITH THE INCREASE IN EASTERLY FLOW. THE INCREASED FETCH WILL ALLOW
FOR SEAS TO BUILD TO SCA LEVELS ON THE OCEAN. THE SCA SEAS ON THE
OCEAN STAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL EASILY MEET SCA CRITERIA
FOR ALL WATERS WITH GALES POSSIBLE ON THE OCEAN FOR SUNDAY. THESE
GALES COULD LINGER INTO SUNDAY NIGHT WITH SCA WINDS ELSEWHERE ON
OTHER WATERS.

WAVES WILL STAY ABOVE 5 FT ON THE OCEAN WATERS BUT DIMINISH
THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON MONDAY...COMING DOWN BELOW SCA BY TUESDAY.
THE EASTERN OCEAN ZONE MAY STAY ABOVE 5 FT THROUGH TUESDAY. WAVES
BUILD UP ABOVE SCA ONCE AGAIN TUESDAY NIGHT AS A SOUTHERLY FLOW
DEVELOPS. WAVES WILL GENERALLY STAY ABOVE SCA THROUGHOUT THE REST OF
THE LONG TERM ON THE OCEAN WATERS

WINDS WILL ALSO SLOWLY DIMINISH MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...COMING
DOWN BELOW SCA BY TUESDAY. WINDS SHOULD THEN REMAIN BELOW SCA
THROUGH THE REST OF THE LONG TERM.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT.

TOTAL LIQUID EQUIVALENT OF AROUND 0.25 TO 0.5 INCH IS FORECAST
WITH THE STORM SYSTEM SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. WITH MUCH OF THIS
FALLING IN THE FORM OF SNOW...NO HYDROLOGIC PROBLEMS ARE
ANTICIPATED.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE INCREASING AS WE APPROACH A FULL MOON NEXT
WEEK. THE INCREASING EASTERLY FLOW SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT FROM
THE DEVELOPING STORM SYSTEM OFFSHORE MAY PRODUCE WATER LEVELS HIGH
ENOUGH TO REACH MINOR COASTAL FLOODING THRESHOLDS WITH HIGH TIDE
CYCLES LATE SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON FOR
     ANZ350-353-355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TONGUE
NEAR TERM...DW
SHORT TERM...JM
LONG TERM...JP
AVIATION...JC
MARINE...GC
HYDROLOGY...JM/JP
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 19, 12:19 AM EDT, 3 hours 27 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1219 AM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-200430-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-
EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-
EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
1219 AM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR A COASTAL STORM THAT COULD BRING AT
LEAST 6 INCHES OF SNOW TO THE TRI-STATE AREA ALONG WITH STRONG
WINDS AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ350-353-355-200430-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1219 AM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

GALE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-200430-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
1219 AM EDT SAT MAR 19 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

GALE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 19, 3:10 PM EDTWinter Storm WatchOKXSuffolk12 hr
Mar 19, 3:10 PM EDTWinter Weather AdvisoryOKXNassau, Suffolk42 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in New York, 2016Every small craft advisory in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.