Gale Warning 15, NWS New York, NY

006 
WHUS71 KOKX 011128
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
628 AM EST TUE MAR 1 2016

...GALE CONDITIONS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-012200-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-160301T1700Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0015.160301T2300Z-160302T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
628 AM EST TUE MAR 1 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTH WINDS TONIGHT 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP
  TO 35 KT...BECOMING WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT WEDNESDAY
  MORNING AND THEN NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS OF 3 TO 5 FT
  IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND ON WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-012200-
/O.CON.KOKX.SC.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-160301T1700Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0015.160301T2300Z-160302T2300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
628 AM EST TUE MAR 1 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...
...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 25
  KT AND SEAS OF 3 TO 6 FT THIS MORNING. SOUTH WINDS TONIGHT 15 TO
  25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT...BECOMING WEST WEDNESDAY MORNING
  AND THEN NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 TO 10 FEET.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

130 
WHUS71 KOKX 011424
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
924 AM EST TUE MAR 1 2016

...GALE CONDITIONS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

ANZ350-353-355-012230-
/O.CAN.KOKX.SC.Y.0031.000000T0000Z-160301T1700Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0015.160301T2300Z-160302T2300Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
924 AM EST TUE MAR 1 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTH WINDS TONIGHT 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP
  TO 40 KT...BECOMING WEST WEDNESDAY MORNING AND THEN NORTHWEST IN
  THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 TO 10 FEET.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-012230-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0015.160301T2300Z-160302T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
924 AM EST TUE MAR 1 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTH WINDS TONIGHT 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP
  TO 35 KT...BECOMING WEST WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 KT WEDNESDAY
  MORNING AND THEN NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS OF 3 TO 5 FT
  IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND ON WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

354 
WHUS71 KOKX 012045
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
345 PM EST TUE MAR 1 2016

...GALE CONDITIONS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-021000-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0015.160301T2300Z-160302T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
345 PM EST TUE MAR 1 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTH WINDS TONIGHT 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP
  TO 40 KT...BECOMING WEST WEDNESDAY MORNING AND THEN NORTHWEST IN
  THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 TO 10 FEET ON THE OCEAN. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT
  ON THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

243 
WHUS71 KOKX 020827
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
327 AM EST WED MAR 2 2016

...GALE CONDITIONS TODAY...

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-022100-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160302T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
327 AM EST WED MAR 2 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT
  EARLY...BECOMING SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT THIS
  MORNING...AND THEN NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE
  AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 TO 10 FEET ON THE OCEAN. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT ON THE
  CENTRAL AND EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

377 
WHUS71 KOKX 021159
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
659 AM EST WED MAR 2 2016

...GALE CONDITIONS TODAY...

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-022200-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160302T2300Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
659 AM EST WED MAR 2 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS AND SEAS...SOUTHWEST WINDS WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT THIS
  MORNING...BECOMING WEST TO NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
  TO 10 FEET ON THE OCEAN. SEAS 3 TO 5 FT ON THE CENTRAL AND
  EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

518 
WHUS71 KOKX 022044
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
344 PM EST WED MAR 2 2016

...GALE CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING AND POSSIBLY ON
FRIDAY...

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-030445-
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160302T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.GL.A.0011.160304T1500Z-160305T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
344 PM EST WED MAR 2 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY
NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH...
WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT.

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.
  SEAS 7 TO 10 FEET THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. ON
  FRIDAY...NORTHEAST WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS 35 TO 40 KT.
  SEAS 5 TO 9 FT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS OF 34 TO
47 KT ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE
CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT
IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE
SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

927 
WHUS71 KOKX 022311
MWWOKX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
611 PM EST WED MAR 2 2016

...ROUGH CONDITIONS TONIGHT WITH GALE CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ON
FRIDAY...

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-030715-
/O.EXP.KOKX.GL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160302T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0032.160302T2311Z-160303T0500Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.A.0011.160304T1500Z-160305T1100Z/
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
611 PM EST WED MAR 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT...
...GALE WARNING THAT HAD BEEN IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY THIS EVENING HAS
EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 KT THIS
  EVENING. FOR FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...NORTHEAST TO NORTH WINDS
  10 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

ANZ350-353-355-030715-
/O.EXP.KOKX.GL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160302T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.SC.Y.0032.160302T2311Z-160303T1700Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.GL.A.0011.160304T1500Z-160305T1100Z/
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
611 PM EST WED MAR 2 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST THURSDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
FRIDAY NIGHT...
...GALE WARNING THAT HAD BEEN IN EFFECT UNTIL EARLY THIS EVENING HAS
EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST THURSDAY.

* WINDS AND SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
  KT TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. FOR FRIDAY AND FRIDAY
  NIGHT...NORTHEAST TO NORTH WINDS 20 TO 30 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO
  40 KT. SEAS 4 TO 8 FEET TONIGHT AND 6 TO 11 FEET FRIDAY INTO
  FRIDAY NIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OR
FREQUENT GUSTS OF 25 TO 33 KT AND/OR SEAS OF 5 FT OR HIGHER ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING...AND HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS...SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO
47 KT HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING
AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE
ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER
ALTERING THEIR PLANS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1239 AM EST TUE MAR 1 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS TONIGHT FOLLOWED BY HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDING IN ON TUESDAY. A STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE
SOUTHWEST TUESDAY NIGHT AND MOVES ACROSS THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. A
SECONDARY COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE REGION WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE
NORTHWEST THEN NORTH INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. MEANWHILE...A COASTAL LOW
DEVELOPS NEAR THE MID ATLANTIC COAST BY FRIDAY MORNING...THEN
TRACKS WELL TO THE SOUTHEAST OF LONG ISLAND THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN ON SATURDAY. A CLIPPER SYSTEM
THEN IMPACTS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN SUNDAY NIGHT...THEN SLIDES OFFSHORE ON MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
THERE WILL BE CLEAR SKIES INITIALLY BUT OVERNIGHT A SECONDARY
COLD FRONT MOVES ACROSS WITH SOME ASSOCIATED INCREASE IN CLOUDS.
THE WINDS WILL DECREASE BEHIND THIS FRONT AS HIGH PRESSURE STARTS
TO BUILD IN AGAIN. UNTIL THEN...A BREEZY DRY WESTERLY FLOW WILL
MITIGATE RADIATIONAL COOLING.

LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S INLAND...TO THE MID
AND UPPER 30S CLOSER TO THE COAST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
MIDDLE AND UPPER RIDGING WILL BRIEFLY BUILD OVERHEAD ON TUESDAY WITH
HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE. THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A
SEASONABLY COOL DAY WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND TEMPERATURES IN THE
LOWER AND MIDDLE 40S.

A FAST MOVING STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPS ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY DURING
THE AFTERNOON ASSOCIATED WITH A FAIRLY POTENT H5 SHORTWAVE TROUGH.
UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASES IN THE AFTERNOON AHEAD OF THE
SHORTWAVE SO SHOULD START TO SEE A THICKENING DECK OF CIRRUS CLOUDS.
THESE CLOUDS WILL LOWER AND THICKEN TUESDAY EVENING...ESPECIALLY
TOWARDS MIDNIGHT AS LARGE SCALE LIFT AND MOISTURE DEEPEN. LOW LEVEL
WARM ADVECTION PATTERN TAKES SHAPE TUESDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF THE LOW.
THERMAL PROFILES AND BOTH THE NAM AND GFS WARM FAIRLY RAPIDLY AS THE
SE FLOW INCREASES. WITH NO REAL COLD AIR SOURCE TO THE NORTH...THERE
WILL NOT BE ANY MECHANISM TO LOCK IN ANY RESIDUAL COLDER SURFACE
AIR. AS THE PRECIP BEGINS TO BREAK OUT AFTER AROUND MIDNIGHT...THERE
COULD BE A FEW POCKETS OF BRIEF...LIGHT FREEZING RAIN ACROSS PARTS
OF THE INTERIOR...BUT THIS WILL BE SHORT LIVED. TEMPERATURES SHOULD
BE WELL ABOVE FREEZING AS THE STEADY PRECIPITATION MOVES INTO THE
REGION AFTER MIDNIGHT.

LATEST MODELS AND ENSEMBLES HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT ON THE
OVERALL TIMING AND STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM. THEY HAVE SPED THE
TIME PERIOD FOR THE BEST LIFT AND MOISTURE HOWEVER OVER PREVIOUS
RUNS. BANDS OF RAIN WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. THERE COULD BE BRIEF PERIODS OF MODERATE
TO HEAVY RAIN...BUT AM NOT ANTICIPATING ANY HYDRO ISSUES WITH FAST
MOVEMENT OF THE SYSTEM. LOW PRESSURE WILL PASS JUST TO OUR
NORTH AND WEST WEDNESDAY MORNING. DRY AIR WILL RAPIDLY MOVE IN
FROM THE WEST AS THE LOW PASSES NORTH PUTTING AN END TO THE
RAINFALL. THE WARM FRONT MAY BRIEFLY MOVE INTO THE REGION...BUT
NOT CONFIDENT THAT IT WILL BE ABLE TO COMPLETELY PASS EARLY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. COLD FRONT WILL QUICKLY SWEEP ACROSS THE
REGION AND BE LOCATED OFFSHORE EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. WARMEST
TEMPERATURES WILL BE FELT IN THE MORNING...UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S.
TEMPERATURES ARE LIKELY FALL IN THE AFTERNOON WITH STRONG COLD
ADVECTION BEHIND THE LOW.

THERE WILL BE A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET...AROUND 70 KT AT 900 MB PASSING
ACROSS LONG ISLAND AND SE CT AHEAD OF THE LOW AROUND THE 12Z TIME
FRAME. LOW LEVEL INVERSION SHOULD PREVENT STRONG WINDS FROM MIXING
DOWN. THE BEST MIXING LOOKS TO OCCUR AFTER THE COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE UNDER STRONG COLD ADVECTION THIS IS THE TIME SURFACE
WINDS GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE STRONGEST. HOWEVER...LOW LEVEL JET
WILL HAVE MOVED WELL TO THE EAST. WE ARE LIKELY TO STAY BELOW WIND
ADVISORY...WITH WINDS GUSTING 30 TO 35 MPH AND A FEW GUSTS
APPROACHING 40 MPH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
ZONAL FLOW SETS UP OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT...AS THE MEAN
TROUGH AXIS LIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST. IT SHOULD BE DRY THEN...WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT FORCING FORECAST OVER THE REGION. LOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT
WERE BASED ON A BLEND OF MAV/MET GUIDANCE AND NAM 2-METER
TEMPERATURES...AND SHOULD RUN AROUND 5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. NOTE
THIS IS 5-10 DEGREES COLDER THAN PREVIOUSLY FORECAST OVER EASTERN
ZONES DUE TO THE NOW EXPECTED QUICK PASSAGE OF THE SURFACE COLD
FRONT...AND STRONG LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION EXPECTED IN ITS WAKE.

WEAK NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE RIDGING BUILDS IN ON THURSDAY...SO IT
SHOULD BE DRY...THOUGH COULD SEE SOME HIGH CLOUDS BUILD IN LATE IN
THE DAY...MAINLY OVER THE SW PORTION OF THE CWA AHEAD OF THE NEXT
SYSTEM.

THERE IS STILL QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY IN THE THURSDAY NIGHT-
FRIDAY NIGHT TIME FRAME. ONCE AGAIN...STILL DEPENDENT ON TIMING OF
ENERGY EJECTING FROM THE ALEUTIAN LOW. ANYTIME YOU ARE RELYING ON
ENERGY INTERACTING WITH/EJECTING FROM A CUTOFF LOW THERE IS A HIGHER
DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY THAN NORMAL. ADDED TO THIS...THIS IS IN A
REGION NOT WELL SAMPLED BY RADIOSONDES...AND THIS INCREASES THE
UNCERTAINTY EVEN FURTHER. IF MODEL TIMING IS ANYWHERE NEAR
CORRECT...THE ENERGY IN QUESTION SHOULD REACH THE WEST COAST
SOMEWHERE IN THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS. CERTAINTY SHOULD BEGIN TO
INCREASE AFTER THAT POINT.

FOR NOW...THE GLOBAL MODELS HAVE ALL TRENDED NORTHWARD WITH THE
COASTAL LOW...WITH SOLUTIONS RANGING FROM A DEFINITE HIT (THE
CANADIAN) TO MISSING WELL TO THE SOUTH (VARIOUS GFS/ECMWF/CMC
ENSEMBLE MEMBERS). THE TWO THINGS THEY ARE CONSISTENT IN...IS THAT
THERE WILL BE A SUFFICIENTLY STRONG HIGH TO THE NW/N OF THE AREA
THAT P-TYPE SHOULD BE ALL SNOW....AND THAT SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
AREA HAVE A HIGHER CHANCE OF BEING IMPACTED THAN NORTHERN PORTIONS.
BASED ON RECENT TRENDS...HAVE CHANCE POPS FOR SNOW OVER THE SW 1/2
OF THE CWA THURSDAY NIGHT...THEN THROUGHOUT ON FRIDAY...AND THEN
OVER THE SE 1/2 OF THE CWA FRIDAY NIGHT. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY...IT
IS TO SOON TO SPECIFY WHAT...IF ANY...IMPACT THIS STORM WILL HAVE ON
THE TRI-STATE.

A NORTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE RIDGE TRANSITS THE AREA ON SATURDAY
KEEPING THINGS DRY.

WHILE THERE ARE SOME DIFFERENCES IN TIMING...THERE IS A GENERAL
CONSENSUS THAT A CLIPPER SYSTEM IMPACTS THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY. ONCE AGAIN LOW CHANCE POPS FOR NOW...AND MAINLY SNOW.
HOWEVER...DEPENDING ON HOW LIGHT THE PRECIPITATION IS...AND IF IT
LINGERS INTO SUNDAY AFTERNOON...PRECIPITATION COULD TURN TO ALL RAIN
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

A SHORTWAVE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO MOVE THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH ON MONDAY. FOR
NOW WENT DRY IN THIS TIME FRAME DUE TO THE RIDGING ON SUNDAY
NIGHT...AND EXPECTED DRY LOW LEVELS ON MONDAY.

FOR TEMPERATURES THURSDAY-MONDAY THE SUPER BLEND WAS USED.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL THURSDAY-SATURDAY...RETURN TO NEAR
OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL SUNDAY...THEN RUN A FEW DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL ON MONDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRES DEPARTS DURING THE DAY TODAY. A COLD FRONT APPROACHES BY
THIS EVENING.

VFR THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY. WEST WINDS 10 KT OR LESS WILL VEER TO THE
NORTH AT 5-7 KT BY DAYBREAK. MOST LOCATIONS WILL BECOME VRB 5 KT OR
LESS FROM AROUND DAYBREAK THROUGH MIDDAY. THEN...S-SE WINDS INCREASE
TO 6-8 KT.

A COLD FRONT APPROACHES TONIGHT. CIGS LOWER AND THICKEN...AND RAIN
DEVELOPS TOWARDS THE END OF THE 24 HOUR TAF PERIOD. FOR THE 30 HOURS
TAFS...A PROLONGED PERIOD OF RAIN WITH MVFR/IFR CONDS AND LLWS IS
EXPECTED FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.OUTLOOK FOR 06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
.TONIGHT...IFR AND LOWER CONDS IN RAIN AND FOG. LLWS LIKELY AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SOUTH WINDS INCREASE TO 15-20 KT WITH 20-30 KT GUSTS.
.WEDNESDAY...IFR IN RAIN/FOG WEDNESDAY MORNING...THEN IMPROVING
CONDS. SW WINDS 15-20 KT WITH 20-30 KT GUSTS...BCMG NW LATE.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...VFR WITH DIMINISHING WINDS.
.THURSDAY...VFR.
.FRIDAY...CHANCE OF SNOW WITH IFR CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY NYC
METRO/COASTAL TERMINALS.
.SATURDAY...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
THERE ARE STILL SOME GUSTS TO AROUND 25 KT ON THE OCEAN WITH
OCEAN SEAS OF 5 TO 8 FT...SO FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK WITH SCA
REMAINING IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT. NON-OCEAN WATERS WILL REMAIN
BELOW SCA THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS OVERNIGHT BEHIND A PASSING COLD
FRONT. WINDS ARE LIKELY TO FALL BELOW SCA LEVELS OVERNIGHT...BUT
SEAS WILL BE MUCH SLOWER TO SUBSIDE. SCA SEAS WILL CONTINUE ON THE
OCEAN THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING ON THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
OCEAN. ON THE EASTERN OCEAN...SEAS ARE LIKELY TO STAY ABOVE 5 FT
THROUGH LATE MORNING HOURS. HAVE EXTENDED THE SCA UNTIL 17Z FOR
THE EASTERN OCEAN.

SUB-SCA CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST ON ALL WATERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY EVENING WITH SEAS SUBSIDING BELOW 5 FT ON THE
OCEAN. SE FLOW INCREASES TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH
SCA CONDITIONS BECOMING LIKELY ON ALL WATERS EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING. WIND GUSTS SHOULD STAY BELOW GALES EARLY IN THE MORNING
ON THE OCEAN. A COLD FRONT PASSAGE WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL BRING
BETTER POTENTIAL FOR GALES ON THE OCEAN...WITH A GALE WATCH IN
EFFECT FROM 13Z TO 23Z WEDNESDAY.

A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE REGION AND STRONG LOW LEVEL COLD
ADVECTION WILL HAVE SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS ON ALL WATERS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...AND LINGERING INTO THURSDAY ON THE COASTAL OCEAN
WATERS...EASTERN SOUND/AND THE BAYS OF LONG ISLAND.

FROM THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT SHOULD
BE RELAXED ENOUGH FOR SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15 KT OR LESS ON THE
COASTAL OCEAN WATERS AND 10 KT OR LESS ON THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS.

HOWEVER...THERE IS QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH THE EXACT TRACK
AND STRENGTH OF A COASTAL LOW THAT IS FORECAST TO PASS TO THE S THEN
SE OF LONG ISLAND FRIDAY/FRIDAY NIGHT. IF THE LOW IS STRONGER THAN
EXPECTED...AND TRACKS FARTHER N THAN CURRENTLY PROGGED...THEN SMALL
CRAFT TO EVEN GALE CONDITIONS COULD OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY.
THE CHANCE OF STRONGER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST WINDS OCCURRING IS
HIGHEST ON THE COASTAL OCEAN WATERS. HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IN EVEN
THE OCCURRENCE OF SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS THERE IS TOO LOW TO REFLECT
IN THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR AROUND 1/2-3/4 OF AN INCH OF RAINFALL
FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. NO HYDROLOGIC IMPACTS ARE FORECAST DUE TO
THE FAST MOVEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM.

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME MEASURABLE PRECIPITATION THURSDAY
NIGHT-FRIDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER THERE IS TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY TO
SPECIFY HOW MUCH...IF ANY LIQUID EQUIVALENT PRECIPITATION SHOULD
FALL IN THIS TIME FRAME. HOWEVER...SINCE ALL SNOW IS EXPECTED AT
THIS TIME...NO IMMEDIATE HYDROLOGIC IMPACT IS EXPECTED.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR ANZ350-353-355.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
     ANZ353-355.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR ANZ350.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MALOIT/DS
NEAR TERM...JM/DS
SHORT TERM...DS
LONG TERM...MALOIT
AVIATION...BC/MPS
MARINE...MALOIT/DS
HYDROLOGY...MALOIT/DS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
341 PM EST MON FEB 29 2016

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179-012045-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-
EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-
EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
341 PM EST MON FEB 29 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-012045-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
341 PM EST MON FEB 29 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ350-353-355-012045-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
341 PM EST MON FEB 29 2016

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.