Alert archive / New York / Coastal Flood Statements in 2016

Coastal Flood Statement 12, NWS New York, NY

May 6, 2016Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region, Connecticut; 4 counties in New York

NWS New York, NY issued this coastal flood statement at May 6, 2016, 3:47 AM EDT for Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region, Connecticut; 4 counties in New York. It took effect at May 6, 2016, 8:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 6, 2016, 3:47 AM EDT (07:47 UTC)
In effect from
May 6, 2016, 8:00 PM EDT
Expired
May 6, 2016, 10:59 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS New York, NY

Counties Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, CT, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region, CT, Bronx County, NY, New York County, NY, Queens County, NY, Suffolk County, NY

The radar

The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 31 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 00:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 31 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2016-05-06Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2016-05-06The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 29 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
517 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
29 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
100 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

637 
WHUS41 KOKX 060747
CFWOKX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
347 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...WIDESPREAD MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING TONIGHT...

NYZ072-062215-
/O.CAN.KOKX.CF.Y.0017.160506T2300Z-160507T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.CF.S.0012.160507T0000Z-160507T0600Z/
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-
347 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE...

* LOCATIONS...MANHATTAN.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 1 1/2 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
  HEIGHTS.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 PM AND
  1 AM.

* IMPACTS...BRIEF MINOR FLOODING OF FDR POSSIBLE. THERE IS NO
  SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE...AND ANY IMPACT ON PROPERTY IS
  MINIMAL.

$$

NYZ075-178-179-062215-
/O.UPG.KOKX.CF.A.0002.160506T2200Z-160507T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.CF.W.0007.160506T2300Z-160507T0300Z/
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
347 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TO 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TO 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING.
THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAYS AND TIDAL STRAITS OF
  SOUTHERN NASSAU...QUEENS...AND BROOKLYN.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 1 1/2 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE 
  HEIGHTS.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE BETWEEN 7 AMD 11 PM.

* IMPACTS...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS AND/OR
  PROPERTIES DUE TO HEIGHT OF STORM TIDE AND/OR WAVE ACTION.
  NUMEROUS ROAD CLOSURES ARE NEEDED. LIVES MAY BE AT RISK FOR
  PEOPLE WHO PUT THEMSELVES IN HARM/S WAY. ISOLATED STRUCTURAL
  DAMAGE MAY BE OBSERVED. THIS TYPE OF EVENT IS COVERED BY A
  COASTAL FLOOD WARNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

&&

...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR THIS EVENING...

COASTAL............TIME OF.......FORECAST TOTAL........FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.......WATER LEVEL.........CATEGORY..
...................................(MLLW/NGVD)...................

FREEPORT GAUGE NY.....902 PM.....5.7-6.1/4.9-5.3.......MODERATE..
POINT LOOKOUT NY......823 PM.....6.2-6.6/..............MODERATE..
JAMAICA BAY NY........904 PM.....8.5-8.9/..............MODERATE..
ROCKAWAY INLET NY.....824 PM.....8.0-8.4/..............MINOR.....
E ROCKAWAY NY.........817 PM.....6.8-7.2/..............MODERATE..

$$

NYZ074-062215-
/O.UPG.KOKX.CF.A.0002.160506T2200Z-160507T0200Z/
/O.EXB.KOKX.CF.Y.0017.160506T2300Z-160507T0300Z/
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
347 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TO 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TO 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING. THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* LOCATIONS...ALONG NEW YORK HARBOR...THE ARTHUR KILL...AND NEWARK
  BAY.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 1 1/2 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE 
  HEIGHTS.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE BETWEEN 7 AND 11 PM.

* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING OF THE MOST VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS
  AND/OR PROPERTIES DUE TO HEIGHT OF STORM TIDE OR WAVE
  SPLASHOVER. MAJORITY OF ROADS REMAIN PASSABLE WITH ONLY ISOLATED
  CLOSURES. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE AND ANY IMPACT
  ON PROPERTY IS MINIMAL. THIS TYPE OF EVENT IS COVERED BY A
  COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

...NY HARBOR WATER LEVELS FOR THIS EVENING...

COASTAL............TIME OF.......FORECAST TOTAL........FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.......WATER LEVEL.........CATEGORY..
...................................(MLLW)........................

THE BATTERY NY........848 PM......7.3-7.7...............MINOR....
BERGEN POINT NY.......850 PM......7.9-8.3...............MINOR....

$$

CTZ009-010-NYZ071-078-177-062215-
/O.EXB.KOKX.CF.Y.0017.160507T0200Z-160507T0600Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN NASSAU-
347 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
2 AM EDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 2 AM EDT
SATURDAY.

* LOCATIONS...ALONG WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...AROUND 1 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE 
  HEIGHTS.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE BETWEEN 10 PM AND 2 AM TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING OF THE MOST VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS
  AND/OR PROPERTIES DUE TO HEIGHT OF STORM TIDE OR WAVE
  SPLASHOVER. MAJORITY OF ROADS REMAIN PASSABLE WITH ONLY ISOLATED
  CLOSURES. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE AND ANY IMPACT
  ON PROPERTY IS MINIMAL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

...L.I. SOUND WATER LEVELS FOR TONIGHT...

COASTAL............TIME OF......FORECAST TOTAL.....FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.....WATER LEVEL.......CATEGORY.. 
...................................(MLLW)....................

KINGS POINT NY.....1147 PM......10.3-10.7...........MINOR....
STAMFORD CT........1155 PM......10.1-10.5...........MINOR....
BRIDGEPORT CT......1152 PM........9.4-9.8...........MINOR....
NEW HAVEN CT.......1151 PM........8.8-9.2...........MINOR....
GLEN COVE NY.......1125 PM......10.3-10.7...........MINOR....
OLD FIELD NY.......1153 PM........9.3-9.7...........MINOR....

$$

NJZ006-106-108-062215-
/O.EXT.KOKX.CF.Y.0017.160506T2300Z-160507T0300Z/
HUDSON-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-
347 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TO 11 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...

* LOCATIONS...ALONG NEWARK BAY...NY HARBOR...AND THE TIDALLY
  AFFECTED PORTIONS OF THE HACKENSACK AND PASSAIC RIVER.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 1 1/2 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
  HEIGHTS.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE BETWEEN 7 AND 11 PM
  TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING OF VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS AND/OR
  PROPERTIES DUE TO HEIGHT OF STORM TIDE OR WAVE SPLASHOVER.
  MAJORITY OF ROADS REMAIN PASSABLE WITH ONLY ISOLATED CLOSURES.
  THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE AND ANY IMPACT ON
  PROPERTY IS MINIMAL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

...NY HARBOR WATER LEVELS FOR THIS EVENING...

COASTAL............TIME OF.......FORECAST TOTAL........FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.......WATER LEVEL.........CATEGORY..
...................................(MLLW)........................

THE BATTERY NY........848 PM.......7.3-7.7..............MINOR....
BERGEN POINT NY.......850 PM.......7.9-8.3..............MINOR....

$$

NYZ080-062215-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0017.160507T0100Z-160507T0400Z/
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
347 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS
EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAYS AND TIDAL STRAITS OF
  SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK COUNTY.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 1 1/2 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE 
  HEIGHTS.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH BETWEEN 9 PM AND MIDNIGHT
  TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING OF VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS AND/OR
  PROPERTIES DUE TO HEIGHT OF STORM TIDE OR WAVE SPLASHOVER.
  MAJORITY OF ROADS REMAIN PASSABLE WITH ONLY ISOLATED CLOSURES.
  THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE AND ANY IMPACT ON
  PROPERTY IS MINIMAL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR TONIGHT...

COASTAL............TIME OF.......FORECAST TOTAL........FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.......WATER LEVEL.........CATEGORY..
...................................(MLLW/NGVD)...................

LINDENHURST NY.......1045 PM.....3.1-3.5/...............MINOR....

$$

CTZ011-012-NYZ073-079-081-176-062215-
/O.NEW.KOKX.CF.S.0012.160507T0000Z-160507T0600Z/
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-BRONX-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-
347 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE...

* LOCATIONS...VULNERABLE COASTAL AREAS ALONG FAR WESTERN LONG
  ISLAND SOUND...EASTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND...AND THE EASTERN BAYS
  OF LONG ISLAND.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...AROUND 1 FT ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL HEIGHTS

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 PM AND
  2 AM.

* IMPACTS...BRIEF MINOR FLOODING OF SOME SHORE ROADS. THERE IS NO
  SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE... AND ANY IMPACT ON PROPERTY IS
  MINIMAL.

$$
2 follow-up statements
982 
WHUS41 KOKX 062058
CFWOKX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
458 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...WIDESPREAD MINOR TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING EXPECTED WITH
THE HIGH TIDE CYCLES TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

NYZ075-178-179-070600-
/O.NEW.KOKX.CF.Y.0018.160508T0000Z-160508T0400Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.W.0007.160506T2300Z-160507T0300Z/
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
458 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TO 11 PM EDT
THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EDT SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT
SATURDAY NIGHT. THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THIS EVENING REMAINS
IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS...SHORELINES NEAR AND ALONG BAYS AND INLETS OF
  BROOKLYN...SOUTHERN QUEENS AND SOUTHERN NASSAU...INCLUDING
  ROCKAWAY INLET AND JAMAICA BAY. 

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE HEIGHTS
  TONIGHT...AND 1 TO 1/2 FT SATURDAY NIGHT. 

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE BETWEEN 7 AND 11 PM.

* IMPACTS...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF SHORE ROADS AND/OR PROPERTIES
  DUE TO HEIGHT OF STORM TIDE...WITH NUMEROUS ROAD CLOSURES. LIVES
  MAY BE AT RISK FOR PEOPLE WHO PUT THEMSELVES IN HARM/S WAY.
  ISOLATED STRUCTURAL DAMAGE MAY OCCUR. 

* BEACH EROSION...MINOR BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE OCEAN
  BEACHES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS EXPECTED OR
OCCURRING. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

&&

...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR THIS EVENING...

COASTAL............TIME OF.......FORECAST TOTAL........FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.......WATER LEVEL.........CATEGORY..
.............................(MLLW/NGVD FOR FREEPORT)............
..............................(MLLW/MHHW FOR OTHERS).............

FREEPORT GAUGE NY.....902 PM......5.9-6.3/5.1-5.5......NEAR MAJOR
POINT LOOKOUT NY......823 PM......7.1-7.5/.............NEAR MAJOR
JAMAICA BAY NY........904 PM......8.5-8.9/2.6-3.0......MODERATE..
ROCKAWAY INLET NY.....824 PM......8.1-8.5/2.5-2.9......MODERATE..
EAST ROCKAWAY INLET...817 PM......7.2-7.6/2.2-2.6......MODERATE..

...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR SAT NIGHT...

COASTAL............TIME OF.......FORECAST TOTAL........FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.......WATER LEVEL.........CATEGORY..
.............................(MLLW/NGVD FOR FREEPORT)............
..............................(MLLW/MHHW FOR OTHERS).............

FREEPORT GAUGE NY.....952 PM......5.5-5.9/4.7-5.1......MODERATE..
POINT LOOKOUT NY......913 PM......6.1-6.5/.............MINOR.....
JAMAICA BAY NY........954 PM......8.2-8.6/2.3-2.7......MINOR.....
ROCKAWAY INLET NY.....914 PM......7.6-8.0/1.9-2.4......MINOR.....
EAST ROCKAWAY INLET...907 PM......7.2-7.6/2.2-2.6......MODERATE..

&&

$$

NJZ006-106-108-NYZ074-070600-
/O.NEW.KOKX.CF.Y.0018.160508T0000Z-160508T0400Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0017.160506T2300Z-160507T0300Z/
HUDSON-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
458 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TO 11 PM
EDT THIS EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EDT SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT EDT
SATURDAY NIGHT. THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR THIS EVENING REMAINS
IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS...SHORELINES ALONG NEW YORK HARBOR...THE ARTHUR
  KILL...KILL VAN KULL..AND NEWARK BAY. 

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 1 1/2 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE 
  HEIGHTS.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE BETWEEN 7 AND 11 PM.

* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING OF THE SOME SHORE ROADS AND/OR
  PROPERTIES DUE TO HEIGHT OF STORM TIDE. THE MAJORITY OF ROADS
  SHOULD REMAIN PASSABLE...WITH ONLY ISOLATED CLOSURES. THERE IS
  NO SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE...AND ANY IMPACT ON PROPERTY IS
  MINIMAL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

...NY HARBOR WATER LEVELS FOR THIS EVENING...

COASTAL............TIME OF.......FORECAST TOTAL........FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.......WATER LEVEL.........CATEGORY..
...................................(MLLW/MHHW)...................

THE BATTERY NY........848 PM.......7.3-7.7/2.2-2.6.....MINOR.....
BERGEN POINT NY.......850 PM.......8.0-8.4/2.5-2.9.....MINOR.....

...NY HARBOR WATER LEVELS FOR SAT NIGHT...

COASTAL............TIME OF.......FORECAST TOTAL........FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.......WATER LEVEL.........CATEGORY..
...................................(MLLW/MHHW)...................

THE BATTERY NY........938 PM.......6.7-7.1/1.7-2.1.....NONE......
BERGEN POINT NY.......939 PM.......7.3-7.7/1.8-2.2.....MINOR.....

$$

CTZ009-010-NYZ071-078-177-070600-
/O.NEW.KOKX.CF.Y.0018.160508T0300Z-160508T0700Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0017.160507T0200Z-160507T0600Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN NASSAU-
458 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS
EVENING TO 2 AM EDT SATURDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM SATURDAY TO 3 AM
EDT SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM SATURDAY TO 3 AM EDT
SUNDAY. THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THIS EVENING REMAINS IN
EFFECT. 

* LOCATIONS...SHORELINES ALONG WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND. 

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 1 1/2 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE 
  HEIGHTS.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE BETWEEN 10 PM AND 2 AM 
  TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING OF THE MOST VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS 
  AND/OR PROPERTIES DUE TO HEIGHT OF STORM TIDE OR WAVE 
  SPLASHOVER. MAJORITY OF ROADS REMAIN PASSABLE WITH ONLY 
  ISOLATED CLOSURES. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE AND 
  ANY IMPACT ON PROPERTY IS MINIMAL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

...L.I. SOUND WATER LEVELS FOR TONIGHT...

COASTAL............TIME OF.......FORECAST TOTAL........FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.......WATER LEVEL.........CATEGORY..
...................................(MLLW/MHHW)...................

KINGS POINT NY.....1147 PM.......10.4-10.8/2.6-3.0.....MODERATE..
STAMFORD CT........1155 PM.......10.2-10.7.............MINOR.....
BRIDGEPORT CT......1152 PM....... 9.7-10.1.............MINOR..... 
NEW HAVEN CT.......1151 PM....... 8.5- 8.9.............MINOR.....
GLEN COVE NY.......1125 PM.......10.4-10.8.............MINOR.....
OLD FIELD NY.......1153 PM....... 9.3- 9.7.............MINOR.....

...L.I. SOUND WATER LEVELS FOR SAT NIGHT...

COASTAL............TIME OF.......FORECAST TOTAL........FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.......WATER LEVEL.........CATEGORY..
...................................(MLLW/MHHW)...................

KINGS POINT NY.....1239 AM.......10.0-10.4/2.2-2.6.....MINOR....
STAMFORD CT........1245 AM....... 9.5- 9.9.............MINOR....
BRIDGEPORT CT......1242 AM....... 9.0- 9.4.............MINOR.... 
NEW HAVEN CT.......1239 AM....... 8.1- 8.5.............NONE.....
GLEN COVE NY.......1249 AM.......10.3-10.7.............MINOR....
OLD FIELD NY.......1244 AM....... 9.3- 9.7.............MINOR....

$$

NYZ080-070400-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0017.160507T0100Z-160507T0400Z/
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
458 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS
EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAYS AND TIDAL STRAITS OF 
  SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK COUNTY.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 1 1/2 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
  HEIGHTS.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH BETWEEN 9 PM AND MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT. 

* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING OF THE MOST VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS 
  AND/OR PROPERTIES DUE TO HEIGHT OF STORM TIDE OR WAVE 
  SPLASHOVER. MAJORITY OF ROADS REMAIN PASSABLE WITH ONLY 
  ISOLATED CLOSURES. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE AND 
  ANY IMPACT ON PROPERTY IS MINIMAL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR TONIGHT...

COASTAL............TIME OF.......FORECAST TOTAL........FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.......WATER LEVEL.........CATEGORY..
...................................(MLLW/NGVD)...................

LINDENHURST..........1045 PM......2.9-3.3/3.1-3.5......MINOR.....

$$

CTZ011-012-NYZ072-073-079-081-176-070600-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.S.0012.160507T0000Z-160507T0600Z/
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-
458 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING POSSIBLE...

* LOCATIONS...MANHATTAN.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 1 1/2 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE 
  HEIGHTS.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE TONIGHT BETWEEN 8 PM AND
  2 AM.

* IMPACTS...BRIEF MINOR FLOODING OF SOME ROADS AND HIGHWAYS NEAR
  SHORELINES. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE...AND ANY
  IMPACT ON PROPERTY IS MINIMAL.

$$

GOODMAN
253 
WHUS41 KOKX 070259
CFWOKX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1059 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

NYZ075-178-179-071100-
/O.CAN.KOKX.CF.W.0007.000000T0000Z-160507T0300Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0018.160508T0000Z-160508T0400Z/
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
1059 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EDT SATURDAY NIGHT...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING.

* LOCATIONS...SHORELINES NEAR AND ALONG BAYS AND INLETS OF 
  BROOKLYN...SOUTHERN QUEENS AND SOUTHERN NASSAU...INCLUDING 
  ROCKAWAY INLET AND JAMAICA BAY.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 1 1/2 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE
  HEIGHTS SATURDAY NIGHT.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE.

* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING OF THE MOST VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS
  AND/OR PROPERTIES. THE MAJORITY OF ROADS SHOULD REMAIN
  PASSABLE... WITH ONLY ISOLATED CLOSURES. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT
  THREAT TO LIFE...AND ANY IMPACT ON PROPERTY IS MINIMAL.


WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF SHORE ROADS AND/OR PROPERTIES 
  DUE TO HEIGHT OF STORM TIDE...WITH NUMEROUS ROAD CLOSURES. 
  LIVES MAY BE AT RISK FOR PEOPLE WHO PUT THEMSELVES IN HARM/S 
  WAY. ISOLATED STRUCTURAL DAMAGE MAY OCCUR.

* BEACH EROSION...MINOR BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE 
  OCEAN BEACHES.

...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR SAT NIGHT...

COASTAL............TIME OF.......FORECAST TOTAL........FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.......WATER LEVEL.........CATEGORY..
.............................(MLLW/NGVD FOR FREEPORT)............
..............................(MLLW/MHHW FOR OTHERS).............

FREEPORT GAUGE NY.....952 PM......5.5-5.9/4.7-5.1......MODERATE..
POINT LOOKOUT NY......913 PM......6.1-6.5/.............MINOR.....
JAMAICA BAY NY........954 PM......8.2-8.6/2.3-2.7......MINOR.....
ROCKAWAY INLET NY.....914 PM......7.6-8.0/1.9-2.4......MINOR.....
EAST ROCKAWAY INLET...907 PM......7.2-7.6/2.2-2.6......MODERATE..

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

NJZ006-106-108-NYZ074-071100-
/O.CAN.KOKX.CF.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-160507T0300Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0018.160508T0000Z-160508T0400Z/
HUDSON-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
1059 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM SATURDAY TO
MIDNIGHT EDT SATURDAY NIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...SHORELINES ALONG NEW YORK HARBOR...THE ARTHUR 
  KILL...KILL VAN KULL..AND NEWARK BAY.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 1 1/2 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE 
  HEIGHTS.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE.

* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING OF THE MOST VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS
  AND/OR PROPERTIES. THE MAJORITY OF ROADS SHOULD REMAIN
  PASSABLE... WITH ONLY ISOLATED CLOSURES. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT
  THREAT TO LIFE...AND ANY IMPACT ON PROPERTY IS MINIMAL.

...NY HARBOR WATER LEVELS FOR SAT NIGHT...

COASTAL............TIME OF.......FORECAST TOTAL........FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.......WATER LEVEL.........CATEGORY..
...................................(MLLW/MHHW)...................

THE BATTERY NY........938 PM.......6.7-7.1/1.7-2.1.....NONE......
BERGEN POINT NY.......939 PM.......7.3-7.7/1.8-2.2.....MINOR.....

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

CTZ011-012-NYZ072-073-079-081-176-070400-
/O.CAN.KOKX.CF.S.0012.000000T0000Z-160507T0600Z/
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-
1059 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

THE THREAT OF MINOR COASTAL FLOODING HAS ENDED.

$$

CTZ009-010-NYZ071-078-177-071100-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-160507T0600Z/
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0018.160508T0300Z-160508T0700Z/
SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN NASSAU-
1059 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT
SATURDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM SATURDAY
TO 3 AM EDT SUNDAY...

* LOCATIONS...SHORELINES ALONG WESTERN LONG ISLAND SOUND.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 1 1/2 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE 
  HEIGHTS.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE BETWEEN 10 PM AND 2 AM 
  TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING OF THE MOST VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS 
  AND/OR PROPERTIES DUE TO HEIGHT OF STORM TIDE OR WAVE 
  SPLASHOVER. MAJORITY OF ROADS REMAIN PASSABLE WITH ONLY 
  ISOLATED CLOSURES. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE AND 
  ANY IMPACT ON PROPERTY IS MINIMAL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

...L.I. SOUND WATER LEVELS FOR TONIGHT...

COASTAL............TIME OF.......FORECAST TOTAL........FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.......WATER LEVEL.........CATEGORY..
...................................(MLLW/MHHW)...................

KINGS POINT NY.....1147 PM.......10.4-10.8/2.6-3.0.....MODERATE..
STAMFORD CT........1155 PM.......10.2-10.7.............MINOR.....
BRIDGEPORT CT......1152 PM....... 9.7-10.1.............MINOR.....
NEW HAVEN CT.......1151 PM....... 8.5- 8.9.............MINOR.....
GLEN COVE NY.......1125 PM.......10.4-10.8.............MINOR.....
OLD FIELD NY.......1153 PM....... 9.3- 9.7.............MINOR.....

...L.I. SOUND WATER LEVELS FOR SAT NIGHT...

COASTAL............TIME OF.......FORECAST TOTAL........FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.......WATER LEVEL.........CATEGORY..
...................................(MLLW/MHHW)...................

KINGS POINT NY.....1239 AM.......10.0-10.4/2.2-2.6.....MINOR....
STAMFORD CT........1245 AM....... 9.5- 9.9.............MINOR....
BRIDGEPORT CT......1242 AM....... 9.0- 9.4.............MINOR....
NEW HAVEN CT.......1239 AM....... 8.1- 8.5.............NONE.....
GLEN COVE NY.......1249 AM.......10.3-10.7.............MINOR....
OLD FIELD NY.......1244 AM....... 9.3- 9.7.............MINOR....

$$

NYZ080-070400-
/O.CON.KOKX.CF.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-160507T0400Z/
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
1059 PM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT
TONIGHT...

* LOCATIONS...ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAYS AND TIDAL STRAITS OF 
  SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK COUNTY.

* TIDAL DEPARTURES...1 TO 1 1/2 FEET ABOVE ASTRONOMICAL TIDE 
  HEIGHTS.

* TIMING...AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH BETWEEN 9 PM AND MIDNIGHT 
  TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...MINOR FLOODING OF THE MOST VULNERABLE SHORE ROADS 
  AND/OR PROPERTIES DUE TO HEIGHT OF STORM TIDE OR WAVE 
  SPLASHOVER. MAJORITY OF ROADS REMAIN PASSABLE WITH ONLY 
  ISOLATED CLOSURES. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO LIFE AND 
  ANY IMPACT ON PROPERTY IS MINIMAL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

...SOUTH SHORE BAYS WATER LEVELS FOR TONIGHT...

COASTAL............TIME OF.......FORECAST TOTAL........FLOOD.....
LOCATION...........HIGH TIDE.......WATER LEVEL.........CATEGORY..
...................................(MLLW/NGVD)...................

LINDENHURST..........1045 PM......2.9-3.3/3.1-3.5......MINOR.....

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this coastal flood statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this coastal flood statement went out at May 6, 1:32 AM EDT, 2 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 6, 1:32 AM EDT, 2 hours 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
132 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE EAST OF NEW ENGLAND WILL MOVE TOWARD NOVA SCOTIA
OVERNIGHT. ANOTHER OFFSHORE LOW WILL MOVE SLOWLY NORTH UP THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. THE LOW WILL BE USHERED OUT
TO SEA BY A COLD FRONT ON SUNDAY. FAIR WEATHER ON MONDAY WILL BE
FOLLOWED BY INCREASING CLOUDS AND SOME RAIN CHANCES THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS A WARM FRONT DEVELOPS.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS MADE TO TEMPS WITH THIS UPDATE. FIRST SIGNS OF
LIGHT RAIN/DRIZZLE AHEAD OF LOW OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST
APPROACHING FROM THE SE. STEADIER RAINS WILL MOVE IN TOWARD
DAYBREAK. EASTERN LI/SE CT MAY BE JUST EAST OF THE MORE ORGANIZED
RAINFALL.

LIKELY POPS FOR RAIN LATE TONIGHT FOR NYC METRO/NE NJ AND NEARBY
AREAS...AND CHANCE FARTHER NORTH/EAST...AS MID LEVEL FORCING WITH
UPPER LOW APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH...AND AS A WEAK OFFSHORE LOW
DEVELOPING OFF HATTERAS PIVOTS BACK IN CLOSER TO THE DELMARVA
COAST IN RESPONSE TO THIS FORCING.

LOWS GENERALLY 45 TO 50.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
RAIN CONTINUES ON FRI AS UPPER LOW AND MID LEVEL FORCING HEAD
RIGHT UP INTO THE AREA...AND AS SFC LOW MOVES SLOWLY UP THE COAST.
ENE FLOW NORTH OF THE SFC LOW WILL BE GUSTY ESPECIALLY IN THE
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...REACHING 35 MPH AT TIMES. WITH H5
COLD POOL ALSO MOVING ACROSS...AND SHOWALTER INDICES FALLING TO
AROUND ZERO...STILL HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE FOR ELEVATED THUNDER
THROUGH THE DAY FRI INTO FRI EVENING. THE SFC LOW SHOULD
RETROGRADE INTO NJ/PA FRI NIGHT...WITH PRECIP BECOMING
LIGHT/SPOTTY ONCE AGAIN.

HIGHS ON FRI SHOULD BE IN THE 50S...STILL 10-15 DEG BELOW AVG.
LOWS FRI NIGHT IN THE UPPER 40S/LOWER 50S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
GENERAL PATTERN IS FOR A WEAKENING UPR LOW TO LINGER ON SAT...THEN
EXIT ON SUN DUE TO COLD FROPA. A BROAD AREA OF HIGH PRES WEDGES
IN FOR MON...THEN A WARM FRONT WILL DEVELOP INVOF THE CWA TUE AND
WED...PERHAPS SINKING SWD ON THU AS A CDFNT.

THERE IS SOME MODEL DISAGREEMENT RIGHT OFF THE BAT SAT WRT THE H5
LOW. THE NAM IS 100-200 MILES FURTHER N THAN THE ECMWF...GFS AND GFS
ENSEMBLES. ALTHOUGH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE PREFERRED THIS FAR
OUT...SOME CONSIDERATION GIVEN TO THE NAM GIVEN POSSIBLE CONVECTIVE
INPUTS NEAR THE UPR LVL FEATURE. AS A RESULT...KEPT CHC POPS IN THE
FCST AND WENT BLW THE WARMER GFS BASED STATISTICAL TEMPS.

THE UPR LOW CONTINUES TO WEAKEN SAT NGT WITH MOISTURE DWINDLING.
ONLY SLGT CHC POPS AS A RESULT FOR MOST OF THE NGT. THE CDFNT THEN
APPROACHES SUN MRNG...AND THE MODELS CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
MEASURABLE PCPN PARTICULARLY NRN ZONES. BASED ON THE CONSISTENCY
HAVE INTRODUCED LIKELY POPS FOR APPROXIMATELY THE NRN 2/3 OF THE
CWA. CURRENT TIMING STILL HAS THE PCPN ENDING BY 18Z...SO A DRY LATE
AFTN IS EXPECTED ATTM.

DRY WX ON MON WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES VIA SUBSIDENCE. DESPITE THE
COOLER AIR MASS...HIGH TEMPS WARMER THAN SUN WITH DEEPER MIXING.

MODEL UNCERTAINTY CREEPS IN AGAIN TUE-THU. WENT WITH THE GENERAL
IDEA OF WARM FRONT BECOMING STATIONARY IN THE REGION...RESULTING IN
AT LEAST BKN-OVC SKIES. POPS CLOSE TO THE PREV OFFICIAL AROUND 30
PERCENT TUE AND WED. THERE IS THE SUGGESTION THAT THE HIGH MAY
REMAIN FIRM AND KEEP THE CWA MAINLY DRY...AT LEAST THRU WED.
HOWEVER...PREV RUNS AND THE SPECTRUM OF DATA ALSO HINTS AT PERIODS
OF RAIN FOR TUE-THU.

TEMPS CLOSE TO THE SUPERBLEND THRU THE LONG TERM...EXCEPT A BLEND OF
THE MET/MAV WAS USED SAT TO REFLECT EXPECTED WARMER READINGS.

&&

.AVIATION /05Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WILL
RETROGRADE WNW TOWARDS THE NEW JERSEY COAST...IMPACT THE AREA
LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRI NIGHT.

EXPECT MAINLY MVFR CIGS FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT WITH OCCASIONAL
VFR CIGS IN AND AROUND THE NYC TERMINALS. CIGS THEN DETERIORATE
TOWARD DAYBREAK WITH WIDESPREAD IFR CONDITIONS FORECAST TO DEVELOP
IN A STEADY RAIN. THERE IS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THE TIMING OF THE
CATEGORY CHANGES.

VFR VSBYS FALL TO MVFR LATE TONIGHT WITH RAIN DEVELOPING AND THEN
LIKELY DROPPING TO IFR FRIDAY MORNING INTO AFTERNOON AS STEADIER
RAIN DISSIPATES AND DRIZZLE REMAINS.

POTENTIAL FOR LIFR CONDS IN -DZ FRI EVE/NIGHT.

NE WINDS OF 15 TO 20 KT WITH GUSTS 25 TO 30 KT LIKELY DEVELOPING FOR
COASTAL TERMINALS MID MORNING AND THEN CONTINUING INTO FRI AFT
WHILE VEERING TO THE E. WINDS AND GUSTS SUBSIDE TO 10 KT OR LESS
FRI EVENING.

.OUTLOOK FOR 06Z SAT THROUGH TUE...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN/DZ/FOG/LOW CLOUDS WITH IFR
OR LOWER CONDITIONS.
.SATURDAY-SATURDAY NIGHT...SUB VFR POSSIBLE WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
.SUNDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT...COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE IN THE MORNING WITH
VFR CONDITIONS AND NW WINDS G20KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON...VFR.
.TUE...MAINLY VFR ALTHOUGH SUB VFR IN RAIN IS POSSIBLE.

&&

.MARINE...
SCA CONDS CONTINUE ON THE OCEAN...MAINLY EAST OF FIRE ISLAND
INLET. REST OF WATERS ARE BELOW SCA TONIGHT.

AS SFC LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH ON FRI...ENE WINDS
WILL INCREASE...WITH AT LEAST SCA CONDS EXPECTED ON ALL WATERS.
WINDS ON THE OCEAN COULD GUST AS HIGH AS 35-40 KT...ESPECIALLY IF
STRONGER 12Z GFS SOLN PREVAILS. DUE TO UNCERTAINTY ON THE
TIMING/DURATION/STRENGTH OF PEAK WINDS ON THE OCEAN...A GALE
WATCH REMAINS UP.

SCA SEAS ON THE OCEAN FRI NIGHT INTO SAT...DECREASING SAT NGT BUT
MAY LINGER AROUND 5 FT INTO MON. IMPROVEMENT MON AND TUE WITH HIGH
PRES INFLUENCING THE WATERS. WRT WINDS...SPEEDS GENERALLY BLW SCA
LVLS SAT-TUE. EXCEPTION MAY BE SUN AFTN...WHERE WNW FLOW COULD
APPROACH CRITERIA...ESPECIALLY NEARSHORE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
LATE TONIGHT INTO SAT MORNING...BASIN AVG RAINFALL OF 1/2 TO 3/4
INCH EXPECTED FROM NYC METRO NORTH/WEST...AND 1/4 TO 1/2 INCH
FARTHER EAST. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IN ANY HEAVIER
SHOWERS OR TSTMS. PONDING OF WATER IS POSSIBLE IN AREAS RECEIVING
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

A FEW TENTHS OF AN INCH OF RAIN AT MOST ARE EXPECTED OVER THE
WEEKEND. DRY WX ON MON.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
THE HIGHEST SPRING TIDE OF THE YEAR IS APPROACHING WITH THE NEW
MOON ON FRIDAY. THE THREAT FOR MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE COASTAL
FLOODING WILL INCREASE DURING THE EVENING HIGH TIDES THROUGH
FRIDAY...AND LIKELY CONTINUE INTO THIS WEEKEND.

ASTRONOMICAL TIDES PEAK FRI NIGHT. SURGE LIKELY REMAINS
STEADY...GENERALLY BETWEEN 1/2 TO 1 FT...BUT COULD BE A LITTLE
HIGHER IF STRONGER EASTERLY WINDS PER 12Z GFS MATERIALIZE.
THUS...WIDESPREAD MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING MAY BE POSSIBLE FOR
LOWER NEW YORK BAY/RARITAN BAY/JAMAICA BAY AND THE SOUTH SHORE
BAYS OF NASSAU...WITH ONLY 1 TO 1 1/4 FT SURGE NEEDED..AND A
COASTAL FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED. WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL
FLOODING EXPECTED MOST ELSEWHERE. WILL BE ISSUING HEADLINES FOR
AREAS BORDERING LONG ISLAND SOUND WITH THE 4AM FORECAST PACKAGE.

FOR SAT...WIDESPREAD MINOR COASTAL FLOODING STILL POSSIBLE.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...NONE.
NY...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 7 PM TO 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
     NYZ072.
     COASTAL FLOOD WATCH THIS EVENING FOR NYZ074-075-178-179.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EDT
     TONIGHT FOR NYZ080.
NJ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 7 PM TO 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
     NJZ006-106-108.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EDT THIS
     EVENING FOR ANZ330-335-338-340-345.
     GALE WATCH FROM 7 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
     FOR ANZ350-353-355.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR ANZ350-
     353-355.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 6, 12:49 AM EDT, 2 hours 58 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1249 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-103>105-107-NYZ067>071-073-078-079-081-176-177-
070500-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-
EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-
WESTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-
SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-BRONX-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-
1249 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NJZ006-106-108-NYZ072-070500-
HUDSON-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-
1249 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TO 10 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ074-075-178-179-070500-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
1249 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ080-070500-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
1249 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO
MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ350-353-355-070500-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
1249 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-335-338-340-345-070500-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
1249 AM EDT FRI MAY 6 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

The office that day

Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 5, 10:46 PM EDTCoastal Flood AdvisoryOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region27 hr
May 6, 4:58 PM EDTCoastal Flood AdvisoryOKXGreater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region34 hr
May 6, 3:47 AM EDTCoastal Flood WarningOKXKings, Nassau, Queens19 hr
May 6, 4:51 AM EDTGale WarningOKX13 hr

Nearby

Coastal Flood Statements in New York, 2016Coastal Flood Statements in Connecticut, 2016Every coastal flood statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.