Severe Thunderstorm Warning 58, NWS Nashville, TN

878 
WWUS54 KOHX 121801
SVSOHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
101 PM CDT THU MAY 12 2016

TNC083-085-161-121815-
/O.CON.KOHX.SV.W.0058.000000T0000Z-160512T1815Z/
STEWART TN-HUMPHREYS TN-HOUSTON TN-
101 PM CDT THU MAY 12 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 115 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN STEWART...NORTHEASTERN HUMPHREYS AND HOUSTON
COUNTIES...

AT 101 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER TENNESSEE
RIDGE...OR NEAR ERIN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WAVERLY...DOVER...ERIN...TENNESSEE RIDGE...CUMBERLAND CITY AND HOUSTON
COUNTY AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3654 8773 3622 8754 3620 8755 3606 8786
      3609 8788 3614 8790 3617 8792 3622 8795
      3626 8794 3631 8796 3635 8798 3636 8800
TIME...MOT...LOC 1801Z 241DEG 36KT 3634 8780 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

AL

113 
WWUS54 KOHX 121813
SVSOHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
113 PM CDT THU MAY 12 2016

TNC083-085-161-121823-
/O.EXP.KOHX.SV.W.0058.000000T0000Z-160512T1815Z/
STEWART TN-HUMPHREYS TN-HOUSTON TN-
113 PM CDT THU MAY 12 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN STEWART...
NORTHEASTERN HUMPHREYS AND HOUSTON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 115 PM
CDT...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS
ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3654 8773 3622 8754 3620 8755 3606 8786
      3609 8788 3614 8790 3617 8792 3622 8795
      3626 8794 3631 8796 3635 8798 3636 8800
TIME...MOT...LOC 1811Z 241DEG 36KT 3634 8780 

$$

AL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1247 PM CDT THU MAY 12 2016

.UPDATE...
FOR 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Have updated the suite of forecast products to reflect current
regional radar mosiac trends along with the consensus of short
range model solutions for today, thus pushing back the chance of
numerous shwrs and tstms to mainly the afternoon hours, spreading
west to east as the afternoon hours progress, with best heavy
rainfall potential during the afternoon hours also, as sfc front
begins to push into mid state. Updated hrly temp, dewpoint, sky
condition, and wind speed/direction grids also. Remainder of
forecast continues to be on track.

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Tried to reflect passage timing of shwrs/tstms at terminals based
on latest radar mosiac imagery, with a tempo group illustrating
the best 2 hr window for convective impacts at each TAF site.
Some brief temporary gusts associated with convection to 35 to
40kts possible also. Ceilings on the whole are expected to be VFR,
with rain induced vsbys into the MVFR category during greatest
impact. Maybe some lingering convection behind present line moving
across the TN River Valley Region as it pushes ewd, but expect a
general erosion of ceilings 13/02Z W - 13/10Z E, with some MVFR
fog possibly per low level moisture pooling potential at terminals
13/07Z W - 13/15Z E under SKC sky conditions. Expect ridging
influences sfc/aloft to build enough across the region to support
VFR/SKC conditions across entire region with nwly sfc winds of
5-10kts 13/15Z-13/18Z.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through late tonight FOR Cheatham-Clay-
Cumberland-Davidson-De Kalb-Fentress-Jackson-Macon-Montgomery-
Overton-Pickett-Putnam-Robertson-Smith-Sumner-Trousdale-White-
Wilson.

&&

DISCUSSION......21
AVIATION........31

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1011 AM CDT THU MAY 12 2016

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-131000-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-HOUSTON-
HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-SMITH-
JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-WILLIAMSON-
MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-
COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-GILES-
1011 AM CDT THU MAY 12 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE
TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN MIDDLE TENNESSEE
GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF I-40 THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

ANOTHER ROUND OF NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED
ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN AND SOME
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. DUE TO THE HEAVY RAINFALL
YESTERDAY...SOME AREAS IN THE WATCH COULD QUICKLY SEE ADDITIONAL
FLASH FLOODING.

THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY ACROSS
THE VAST MAJORITY OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE...MAINLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS. WITH ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THAT DO DEVELOP...DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN
CONCERN...ALTHOUGH LARGE HAIL CAN NOT TOTALLY BE RULED OUT EITHER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SOME STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY OF NEXT WORK WEEK...ALTHOUGH THIS REMAINS VERY
UNCERTAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SPOTTER THUNDERSTORM REPORTING CRITERIA...
TORNADO
FUNNEL CLOUD
FLOODING
HAIL >= 1/2 INCH
WINDS > 50 MPH
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE
TREES OR POWER LINE DOWN

31

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1223 PM CDT THU MAY 12 2016

TNZ005-121800-
STEWART TN-
1223 PM CDT THU MAY 12 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR STEWART COUNTY UNTIL 100 PM
CDT...

AT 1222 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR MURRAY TO 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF PARIS
LANDING STATE PARK TO 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF PARIS. MOVEMENT WAS
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DOVER...BIG ROCK AND LAND BETWEEN THE LAKES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3666 8785 3663 8785 3663 8771 3643 8772
      3636 8793 3635 8794 3635 8798 3636 8799
      3645 8806 3647 8805 3649 8806 3652 8804
      3656 8803 3668 8807 3668 8802
TIME...MOT...LOC 1722Z 232DEG 38KT 3668 8826 3651 8816 3637 8819

AL

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1228 PM CDT THU MAY 12 2016

TNZ005-023-024-121815-
STEWART TN-HUMPHREYS TN-HOUSTON TN-
1228 PM CDT THU MAY 12 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL STEWART...HUMPHREYS
AND WESTERN HOUSTON COUNTIES UNTIL 115 PM CDT...

AT 1227 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR PARIS TO CAMDEN TO 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF
NATCHEZ TRACE STATE PARK. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 40 MPH.

PEA SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WAVERLY...CAMDEN...ERIN...NEW JOHNSONVILLE...MCEWEN...TENNESSEE RIDGE...
HURRICANE MILLS...HOUSTON COUNTY AIRPORT AND I-40 NEAR THE TENNESSEE
RIVER.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3600 8800 3603 8800 3605 8799 3613 8792
      3617 8792 3622 8795 3626 8794 3631 8796
      3637 8800 3642 8779 3617 8762 3591 8769
      3584 8796 3587 8794 3594 8793 3595 8801
      3597 8802
TIME...MOT...LOC 1727Z 249DEG 34KT 3626 8825 3604 8811 3587 8816

AL