Alert archive / Minnesota / Winter Weather Advisories in 2016

Winter Weather Advisory 4, NWS Twin Cities, MN

January 24, 201621 counties in Minnesota; 6 counties in Wisconsin

NWS Twin Cities, MN issued this winter weather advisory at Jan 24, 2016, 2:23 PM CST for 21 counties in Minnesota; 6 counties in Wisconsin. It took effect at Jan 25, 2016, 6:00 AM CST. It was in force for 21 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 24, 2016, 2:23 PM CST (20:23 UTC)
In effect from
Jan 25, 2016, 6:00 AM CST
Expired
Jan 26, 2016, 3:00 AM CST
In force
21 hr
Issued by
NWS Twin Cities, MN
All 27 counties

Benton County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Pope County, MN, Rice County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Steele County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Todd County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Chippewa County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 30 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 28 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2016-01-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2016-01-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 97 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
538 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
97 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
122 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

238 
WWUS43 KMPX 242023
WSWMPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
223 PM CST SUN JAN 24 2016

...SNOW ACROSS WESTERN MN AND A WINTRY MIX IN SOUTHERN MN AND
WESTERN WI ON MONDAY...

.A BAND OF SNOW WILL DEVELOP ON MONDAY ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL
MINNESOTA. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED. MEANWHILE...ANOTHER
AREA OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHERN
MINNESOTA AND WESTERN WISCONSIN. A LIGHT COATING OF ICE IS
POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA.

MNZ041>045-047>050-054>057-064-085-092-093-250430-
/O.NEW.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.160125T1200Z-160126T0600Z/
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI-YELLOW MEDICINE-
STEELE-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE...
LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD...
FOLEY...MADISON...BENSON...MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR...GRANITE FALLS...
OWATONNA...BLUE EARTH...ALBERT LEA
223 PM CST SUN JAN 24 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT
CST MONDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MIXED WITH FREEZING
DRIZZLE...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST
MONDAY NIGHT.

* EXPECT A WINTRY MIX TO DEVELOP AROUND 6 AM MONDAY AND THEN 
  DIMINISH AROUND MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR IN WESTERN MN BETWEEN 6
  AM AND NOON MONDAY.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES

* A LIGHT COATING OF ICE IS EXPECTED IN SOUTHERN MN AND WESTERN
  WI.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE 
  MORNING COMMUTE ON MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...AND
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING
FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1.

$$

WIZ026>028-250430-
/O.NEW.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.160125T1800Z-160126T0900Z/
PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DURAND...CHIPPEWA FALLS...EAU CLAIRE
223 PM CST SUN JAN 24 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 3 AM CST
TUESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR A WINTRY MIX...WHICH IS IN EFFECT
FROM NOON MONDAY TO 3 AM CST TUESDAY.

* EXPECT A WINTRY MIX TO DEVELOP AROUND NOON MONDAY AND THEN 
  DIMINISH AROUND 3 AM TUESDAY. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH AND A LIGHT COATING OF
  ICE IS EXPECTED.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND LIGHT
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING
FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1.

$$

JRB
7 follow-up statements
409 
WWUS43 KMPX 250327
WSWMPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
927 PM CST SUN JAN 24 2016

...SNOW ACROSS WESTERN MN AND A WINTRY MIX IN SOUTHERN MN AND
WESTERN WI ON MONDAY...

.A BAND OF SNOW WILL DEVELOP ON MONDAY ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL
MINNESOTA. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED. MEANWHILE...ANOTHER
AREA OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHERN
MINNESOTA AND WESTERN WISCONSIN. A LIGHT COATING OF ICE IS
POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL INTO CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND FAR SOUTH
CENTRAL MINNESOTA...MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING. 

MNZ041>045-047>050-054>057-064-085-092-093-251130-
/O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.160125T1200Z-160126T0600Z/
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI-YELLOW MEDICINE-
STEELE-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE...
LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD...
FOLEY...MADISON...BENSON...MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR...GRANITE FALLS...
OWATONNA...BLUE EARTH...ALBERT LEA
927 PM CST SUN JAN 24 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO
MIDNIGHT CST MONDAY NIGHT...

* EXPECT A WINTRY MIX TO DEVELOP AROUND 6 AM MONDAY AND THEN 
  DIMINISH AROUND MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT. 

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR IN WESTERN MN BETWEEN 6 
  AM AND NOON MONDAY. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. ISOLATED 4 INCH
  AMOUNTS IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA. 

* A LIGHT COATING OF ICE IS EXPECTED IN SOUTHERN MN AND WESTERN 
  WI. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE 
  MORNING COMMUTE ON MONDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...AND
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING
FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1.

$$

WIZ026>028-251130-
/O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.160125T1800Z-160126T0900Z/
PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DURAND...CHIPPEWA FALLS...EAU CLAIRE
927 PM CST SUN JAN 24 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO
3 AM CST TUESDAY...

* EXPECT A WINTRY MIX TO DEVELOP AROUND NOON MONDAY AND THEN 
  DIMINISH AROUND 3 AM TUESDAY. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH AND A LIGHT COATING OF
  ICE IS EXPECTED.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND LIGHT
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING
FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1.

$$
216 
WWUS43 KMPX 250939
WSWMPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
339 AM CST MON JAN 25 2016

...SNOW ACROSS WESTERN MINNESOTA AND A WINTRY MIX IN SOUTHERN
MINNESOTA AND WESTERN WISCONSIN TODAY INTO TONIGHT...

.LIGHT SNOW WILL PERSIST FOR MUCH OF THE DAY INTO THIS EVENING
OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA. THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW
IS EXPECTED. MEANWHILE...ANOTHER AREA OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL
DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND WESTERN WISCONSIN THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. A LIGHT COATING OF ICE IS
POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL INTO CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND FAR SOUTH
CENTRAL MINNESOTA.

MNZ085-092-093-251800-
/O.EXT.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.160125T1800Z-160126T0600Z/
STEELE-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OWATONNA...BLUE EARTH...ALBERT LEA
339 AM CST MON JAN 25 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
MIDNIGHT CST TUESDAY.

* EXPECT A WINTRY MIX TO DEVELOP AROUND NOON AND THEN DIMINISH
  AROUND MIDNIGHT TUESDAY.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES AND ICE ACCRETION OF
  A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH ARE EXPECTED.

* LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING
FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1.

$$

MNZ041>045-047>050-054>057-064-251800-
/O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.160125T1200Z-160126T0600Z/
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI-YELLOW MEDICINE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE...
LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD...
FOLEY...MADISON...BENSON...MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR...GRANITE FALLS
339 AM CST MON JAN 25 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO PERSIST FOR MUCH OF THE DAY INTO THIS EVENING
  THEN DIMINISH AROUND MIDNIGHT.

* THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 6 AM THIS 
  MORNING AND NOON. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE 
  MORNING COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN
BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1.

$$

WIZ026>028-251800-
/O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.160125T1800Z-160126T0900Z/
PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DURAND...CHIPPEWA FALLS...EAU CLAIRE
339 AM CST MON JAN 25 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
3 AM CST TUESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO
3 AM CST TUESDAY. 

* EXPECT A WINTRY MIX TO DEVELOP AROUND NOON AND THEN DIMINISH 
  AROUND 3 AM TUESDAY. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES AND ICE ACCRETION OF
  A GLAZE ARE EXPECTED.

* LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING
FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1.

$$
124 
WWUS43 KMPX 251658
WSWMPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1058 AM CST MON JAN 25 2016

...SNOW ACROSS WESTERN MINNESOTA AND A WINTRY MIX IN SOUTHERN
MINNESOTA AND WESTERN WISCONSIN THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

.LIGHT SNOW WILL PERSIST FOR MUCH OF THE DAY AND INTO THIS
EVENING OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA. THREE TO FIVE INCHES
OF SNOW IS EXPECTED IN THIS AREA BEFORE IT TAPERS OFF. 

SOUTH CENTRAL...NORTHEAST INTO PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA
AND INTO WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...WILL HAVE A WINTRY MIX OF
FREEZING DRIZZLE AND SNOW THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A
LIGHT COATING OF ICE IS LIKELY IN THIS AREA BEFORE IT CHANGES OVER
TO ALL SNOW THIS EVENING.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF WEST
CENTRAL INTO CENTRAL MINNESOTA. IN ADDITION...A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT AND HAS BEEN EXPANDED NORTHWARD ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL...EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND INTO WEST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN. THIS AREA IS ROUGHLY SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM BLUE
EARTH TO FARIBAULT AND CANNON FALLS MINNESOTA...AND SOUTH FROM
RIVER FALLS TO BLOOMER WISCONSIN.

MNZ070-077-078-084-WIZ023>025-260100-
/O.EXA.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.160125T1800Z-160126T0600Z/
DAKOTA-RICE-GOODHUE-WASECA-ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...FARIBAULT...RED WING...
WASECA...HUDSON...PRESCOTT...MENOMONIE
1058 AM CST MON JAN 25 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREEZING DRIZZLE AND LIGHT SNOW...WHICH
IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT.

* EXPECT A WINTRY MIX TO DEVELOP AND PERSIST THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES AND ICE 
  ACCUMULATIONS OF A GLAZE ARE EXPECTED. 

* LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING
FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1.

$$

MNZ041>045-047>050-054>057-064-260100-
/O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160126T0600Z/
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI-YELLOW MEDICINE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE...
LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD...
FOLEY...MADISON...BENSON...MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR...GRANITE FALLS
1058 AM CST MON JAN 25 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT. 

* EXPECT SNOW TO CONTINUE...DIMINISHING AROUND MIDNIGHT. 

* ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. 

* WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 30 MPH WILL CAUSE PATCHY BLOWING AND 
  DRIFTING SNOW. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL
CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED
ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.
THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN
BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1.

$$

MNZ085-092-093-260100-
/O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.160125T1800Z-160126T0600Z/
STEELE-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OWATONNA...BLUE EARTH...ALBERT LEA
1058 AM CST MON JAN 25 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT. 

* EXPECT A WINTRY MIX TO DEVELOP AND PERSIST THROUGH MIDNIGHT.

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS 
  OF A GLAZE ARE EXPECTED. 

* WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 30 MPH WILL CAUSE PATCHY BLOWING AND 
  DRIFTING SNOW. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING
FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1.

$$

WIZ026>028-260100-
/O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.160125T1800Z-160126T0900Z/
PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DURAND...CHIPPEWA FALLS...EAU CLAIRE
1058 AM CST MON JAN 25 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST
TUESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST
TUESDAY. 

* EXPECT A WINTRY MIX TO DEVELOP AND PERSIST THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY
  MORNING. 

* TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES AND ICE 
  ACCUMULATIONS OF A GLAZE ARE EXPECTED. 

* LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING
FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1.

$$
810 
WWUS43 KMPX 252142
WSWMPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
342 PM CST MON JAN 25 2016

...STEADY LIGHT SNOW SLOWLY ENDING ACROSS MINNESOTA THIS
EVENING...

...WINTRY MIX CHANGING TO LIGHT SNOW IN WESTERN WISCONSIN...

.LIGHT SNOW WILL PERSIST FOR THROUGH THE EVENING...BEFORE TAPER
OFF TOWARD MIDNIGHT IN MINNESOTA. SOME LIGHT ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED IN MINNESOTA BEFORE IT ENDS.

PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE EARLY THIS EVENING IN WESTERN
WISCONSIN BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO LIGHT SNOW. THE LIGHT SNOW WILL
SLOWLY END AFTER MIDNIGHT. A LIGHT COATING OF ICE IS POSSIBLE WITH
THE FREEZING DRIZZLE EARLY IN WESTERN WISCONSIN. MINOR SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS WILL ALSO OCCUR ONCE THE FREEZING DRIZZLE CHANGES
OVER TO SNOW.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF WEST
CENTRAL INTO CENTRAL MINNESOTA THROUGH MIDNIGHT. IN ADDITION...A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH
CENTRAL...EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND INTO WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN
TONIGHT. 

MNZ041>045-047>050-054>057-064-070-077-078-084-085-092-093-
WIZ023>025-260600-
/O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160126T0600Z/
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI-YELLOW MEDICINE-
DAKOTA-RICE-GOODHUE-WASECA-STEELE-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-ST. CROIX-
PIERCE-DUNN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE...
LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD...
FOLEY...MADISON...BENSON...MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR...GRANITE FALLS...
HASTINGS...FARIBAULT...RED WING...WASECA...OWATONNA...
BLUE EARTH...ALBERT LEA...HUDSON...PRESCOTT...MENOMONIE
342 PM CST MON JAN 25 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT. 

* EXPECT A OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW THROUGH THE EVENING...BUT
  TAPERING OFF TOWARD MIDNIGHT.

* ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCH. 

* WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 35 MPH WILL CAUSE PATCHY BLOWING AND 
  DRIFTING SNOW. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING
FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1.

$$

WIZ026>028-260600-
/O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160126T0900Z/
PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DURAND...CHIPPEWA FALLS...EAU CLAIRE
342 PM CST MON JAN 25 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST
TUESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST
TUESDAY. 

* EXPECT A WINTRY MIX THROUGH EARLY EVENING BEFORE CHANGING OVER
  TO LIGHT SNOW. THE LIGHT SNOW WILL END AFTER MIDNIGHT. 

* ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES AND ICE 
  ACCUMULATIONS OF A GLAZE ARE EXPECTED. 

* LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING
FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1.

$$

JLT
319 
WWUS43 KMPX 260233
WSWMPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
833 PM CST MON JAN 25 2016


...SNOW TO CONTINUE FROM SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA ACROSS
WESTERN WISCONSIN THIS EVENING...

.LIGHT SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEASTERN MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. THE LIGHT
SNOW WILL SLOWLY END AFTER MIDNIGHT. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. WINDS GUSTING AS
HIGH AS 35 MPH WILL ALSO CAUSE PATCHY BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH
CENTRAL...EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND INTO WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN
TONIGHT.

MNZ041>045-047>050-054>057-064-260345-
/O.CAN.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160126T0600Z/
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI-YELLOW MEDICINE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE...
LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD...
FOLEY...MADISON...BENSON...MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR...GRANITE FALLS
833 PM CST MON JAN 25 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS
CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. 

ACCUMULATING SNOW HAS TAPERED OFF...THEREFORE THE WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

$$

MNZ070-077-078-084-085-092-093-WIZ023>025-260600-
/O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160126T0600Z/
DAKOTA-RICE-GOODHUE-WASECA-STEELE-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-ST. CROIX-
PIERCE-DUNN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...FARIBAULT...RED WING...
WASECA...OWATONNA...BLUE EARTH...ALBERT LEA...HUDSON...PRESCOTT...
MENOMONIE
833 PM CST MON JAN 25 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST
TONIGHT...

* EXPECT A OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW THROUGH THE EVENING...TAPERING
  OFF TOWARD MIDNIGHT.

* ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AROUND 1 INCH.

* WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 35 MPH WILL CAUSE PATCHY BLOWING AND 
  DRIFTING SNOW. 

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING
FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1.

$$

WIZ026>028-260900-
/O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160126T0900Z/
PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DURAND...CHIPPEWA FALLS...EAU CLAIRE
833 PM CST MON JAN 25 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST
TUESDAY...

* LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...AND TAPER
  OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT.

* ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING
FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1.

$$
618 
WWUS43 KMPX 260604
WSWMPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1204 AM CST TUE JAN 26 2016

...SNOW TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN WISCONSIN EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...

.LIGHT SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING OVER
PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH
AS 35 MPH WILL ALSO CAUSE PATCHY BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PEPIN...CHIPPEWA
AND EAU CLAIRE COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN UNTIL 3 AM CST.

MNZ070-077-078-084-085-092-093-WIZ023>025-260715-
/O.EXP.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160126T0600Z/
DAKOTA-RICE-GOODHUE-WASECA-STEELE-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-ST. CROIX-
PIERCE-DUNN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...FARIBAULT...RED WING...
WASECA...OWATONNA...BLUE EARTH...ALBERT LEA...HUDSON...PRESCOTT...
MENOMONIE
1204 AM CST TUE JAN 26 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS
ALLOWED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TO EXPIRE FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND FAR WESTERN WISCONSIN.

ACCUMULATING SNOW HAS TAPERED OFF...THEREFORE THE WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

$$

WIZ026>028-260900-
/O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160126T0900Z/
PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DURAND...CHIPPEWA FALLS...EAU CLAIRE
1204 AM CST TUE JAN 26 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST EARLY
THIS MORNING...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST EARLY
THIS MORNING. 

* LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

* ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

* LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.

* PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT
VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO STRONG WINDS BLOWING SNOW
AROUND. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS.
THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN
BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1.

$$
877 
WWUS43 KMPX 260841
WSWMPX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
241 AM CST TUE JAN 26 2016

...ACCUMULATING SNOW NO LONGER EXPECTED OVER WESTERN WISCONSIN...

.ACCUMULATING LIGHT SNOW HAS SHIFTED FURTHER EAST IN WISCONSIN
EARLY THIS MORNING. THEREFORE...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR
PEPIN...CHIPPEWA AND EAU CLAIRE COUNTIES WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE
AT 3 AM CST THIS MORNING.

WIZ026>028-260945-
/O.EXP.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160126T0900Z/
PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DURAND...CHIPPEWA FALLS...EAU CLAIRE
241 AM CST TUE JAN 26 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 3 AM CST EARLY THIS
MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS
ALLOWED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TO EXPIRE FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN WISCONSIN.

ACCUMULATING LIGHT SNOW HAS SHIFTED FURTHER EAST IN WISCONSIN
EARLY THIS MORNING. THEREFORE...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR
PEPIN...CHIPPEWA AND EAU CLAIRE COUNTIES WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE
AT 3 AM CST THIS MORNING.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Twin Cities, MN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Jan 24, 10:57 AM CST, 3 hours 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 24, 10:57 AM CST, 3 hours 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
1057 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2016

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1057 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2016

UPDATED TO INCLUDE 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 401 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2016

EARLY MORNING SFC ANALYSIS DEPICTS A LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR
INTERNATIONAL FALLS WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT SNAKING SWWD OVER
FAR SERN ND INTO N-CENTRAL SD. WITH THE REGION BEING WARM-
SECTORED BY THIS SETUP...NOTICEABLY WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL BE
EXPERIENCED TODAY DESPITE MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN PLACE. A MORE
PROMINENT SFC LOW PRES CENTER IS LOCATED OVER THE TX/OK
PANHANDLES...AND IT IS THIS FEATURE WHICH WILL DOMINATE THE WX
OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HRS. ALOFT...UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL GLIDE
ACROSS THE REGION...MITIGATING ANY APPRECIABLE CHCS FOR
PRECIPITATION TODAY OUTSIDE OF SPOTTY -FZDZ/FLURRIES THIS MORNING.
WHILE THE RIDGE RESIDES OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS...A PROMINENT UPPER
LEVEL TROF WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ROCKIES TODAY. THIS TROF IS
EXPECTED TO PICK UP THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER OVER THE TX/OK
PANHANDLES AND SHIFT IT NEWD TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES THRU TONIGHT.
AS IT DOES SO...THE UPPER TROF WILL SHIFT INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS
AND PIVOT TO A SLIGHTLY NEGATIVE TILT WHICH WILL ENHANCE THE SFC
LOW AND DEEPEN LIFT. WHILE THERE WILL BE SOME PACIFIC MOISTURE
ACCOMPANYING THE TROF...GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE WILL BE DRAGGED
NWD IN ADVANCE OF THE SFC LOW...DEEPENING THE MOISTURE COLUMN INTO
THE UPR MISS RIVER VALLEY. THERE ARE A COUPLE OF MAIN
CONCERNS...PRECIP TIMING AND HOW QUICKLY THE MOISTURE COLUMN
SATURATES TO ALLOW INITIAL P-TYPES OF FZDZ/IP TO CHANGE OVER TO
SNOW. BECAUSE SURFACE DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS ARE ALREADY QUITE SMALL
/IN FACT...ZERO OVER MUCH OF THE WFO MPX CWFA THIS
MORNING/...THERE IS LITTLE DOUBT OF SATURATED LOW LEVELS. IN
ADDITION...UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE ALREADY STREAMING AS EVIDENT ON IR
IMAGERY INDICATES HIGH MOISTURE IS ALSO FAIRLY SUFFICIENT. MODEL
SOUNDINGS DO SHOW THE UPPER RIDGING KEEPING THE MID LEVELS ON THE
DRIER SIDE...BUT AS THE RIDGE MOVES AWAY...THE MOISTURE COLUMN
SHOULD FILL IN FAIRLY EFFICIENTLY OVERNIGHT INTO MON MORNING SO
ALTHOUGH P-TYPE AT THE OUTSET WILL LIKELY BE -FZDZ/-IP...IT WILL
ONLY BE A SHORT DURATION SO AM EXPECTING A CHANGEOVER TO SNOW FOR
MUCH OF WRN AND N-CENTRAL MN PRIOR TO DAYBREAK WHILE ERN AND
S-CENTRAL MN STARTS OUT AS -FZDZ. WHILE THE BULK OF THE PRECIP
WILL OCCUR AFTER DAYBREAK MON...THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR 1-2 INCHES
OF SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION IN WRN MN OVERNIGHT.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 401 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2016

THERE ARE TWO MAIN STORIES FOR THE WEEK AHEAD...THE SNOW FOR
MONDAY WITH THAWING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THE END OF THE
WEEK. ALL IN ALL...CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST OVERNIGHT WERE
PRETTY MINIMAL...WITH THE MAIN CHANGE BEING TO HAVE A BIT MORE
FZDZ/DZ MENTION DURING THE DAY MONDAY FROM SOUTH CENTRAL MN INTO
EAST CENTRAL MN AND WESTERN WI.

FOR MONDAY...AS THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION MENTIONED...WE ARE STILL
SEEING TWO BITS OF FORCING WITH AN ELEVATED FGEN BAND FROM WESTERN
INTO CENTRAL MN AND THE MAIN UPPER WAVE THAT WILL BE COMING ACROSS
IOWA INTO SOUTHERN WI. THIS STILL LOOKS TO BRING A MINIMUM IN QPF
FROM SOUTH CENTRAL MN INTO EASTERN MN AND WESTERN WI...WITH TWO
BANDS OF ENHANCED QPF EXPECTED FROM WESTERN ACROSS CENTRAL MN
AND SECOND AREA FROM EASTERN IOWA THROUGH SOUTHEAST WI.

THE WESTERN BAND WILL BE IN RESPONSE TO A FRONTAL BAND THAT WILL
SETUP FROM NORTH CENTRAL NEB INTO WESTERN/CENTRAL MN...WITH FGEN
IN THE H7-H6 LAYER GIVING THE BEST REPRESENTATION FOR THIS
FORCING. THIS FORCING WILL BE STRONGEST MONDAY MORNING AS THE
UPPER LOW LIFTING NORTHEAST OUT OF KANSAS WILL SEND A FAIRLY STOUT
NOSE OF WARM AIR UP ACROSS MN. THIS FRONTAL FORCING THOUGH QUICKLY
FALLS APART DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY AS THE UPPER WAVE MOVES INTO
IOWA...PUSHING THAT WARM NOSE OFF INTO WI AND GREATLY WEAKENING
THE BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS MN. NMM/ARW ARE IN PRETTY GOOD
AGREEMENT THAT THIS EVENT WILL DO MOST OF ITS DAMAGE WITH SNOWFALL
BETWEEN 9Z AND 18Z ON MONDAY. WHERE THIS BAND SETS UP...STILL
EXPECTING A NARROW AXIS WHERE QPF GETS UP AROUND 0.4"...WHICH WHEN
WORKING WITH AN 11 OR 12 TO 1 SNOW RATIO WILL PUT OUT A NARROW
BAND /LIKELY NOT MUCH MORE THAN 50 MILES WIDE/ WHERE SNOWFALL
AMOUNT PUSH INTO THE 4-5 INCH RANGE. STILL SEEING A DECENT SPREAD
WITH ENSEMBLE QPF PLUMES FOR THE SREF AND GEFS...BEST EXAMPLE
WOULD OF THAT WOULD BE FOR ALEXANDRIA...WHERE SREF/GEFS PLUMES
RANGE ANYWHERE FROM UNDER 0.05" TO ALMOST A HALF INCH OF QPF.
MODEL SPREAD FOR WHERE THE BAND SETS UP IS ANYWHERE AS FAR WEST AS
A NE SODAK/FERGUS FALLS/WALKER LINE TO AS FAR EAST AS A REDWOOD
FALLS/MORA LINE. WE CONTINUE TO SPLIT THE DIFFERENCE...WITH
HEAVIEST SNOW CURRENTLY FORECAST TO FALL FROM MADISON TO LITTLE
FALLS. WILL IN ALL LIKELIHOOD NEED AN ADVISORY FOR SOMEWHERE OUT
IN WESTERN/CENTRAL MN...BUT ENOUGH SPREAD STILL EXISTS TO PRECLUDE
THE ISSUANCE OF ANY HEADLINES AT THIS TIME.

FARTHER EAST ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MN...THE TWIN CITIES AND WESTERN
WI...THE BIG ISSUE FOR MONDAY WILL BE THE PRESENCE OF A MID LEVEL
DRY SLOT COMING IN AHEAD OF THE UPPER WAVE. IF ANYTHING...WE
PROBABLY ARE SPREADING POPS IN WAY TO FAST ON MONDAY EAST OF THAT
WESTERN MN SNOW BAND...WITH MUCH OF THIS AREA NOT SEEING DEEP
ENOUGH MOISTURE TO PRODUCE SNOW UNTIL LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON. HAVE
A LOT OF DZ MENTION AS A RESULT OF THE DRY MID LEVELS THROUGH THE
DAY ON MONDAY...BUT HAVE LOW CONFIDENCE ON IF WE WILL ACTUALLY SEE
MUCH DZ BEFORE DEEPER MOISTURE AND LIGHT SNOW ARRIVES. BY THE TIME
THE SNOW GETS INTO EASTERN MN/WESTERN WI...FORCING WILL BE MUCH
MORE BROAD WITH JUST A PROLONGED PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW
EXPECTED...WITH AMOUNTS ONLY GETTING UP TO AROUND AN INCH...SO A
SHOVEL OPTIONAL TYPE SNOW FOR MANKATO...THE TWIN CITIES AND EAU
CLAIRE.

WE WILL SEE A BRIEF COOL DOWN FOR TUESDAY IN THE WAKE OF THIS
SYSTEM...BUT THE PASSAGE OF A CLIPPER WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE
AREA ON WEDNESDAY WILL OPEN UP THE DOOR FOR BRINGING VERY MILD
PACIFIC AIR BACK INTO THE REGION...WHICH LOOKS TO MAXIMIZE ITSELF
ON FRIDAY...WHEN THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW 925-850 TEMPS INCREASING
TO BETWEEN 8C AND 10C. THE ECMWF AND MEX GUIDANCE SHOW HIGHS
GETTING INTO THE LOW 40S PRETTY MUCH AREA WIDE ON FRIDAY...BUT
CONTINUED TO KEEP HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 30S GIVEN SNOW COVER AND
THE FACT THAT IT WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO BE MOSTLY CLOUDY. FRIDAY
NIGHT WILL FEATURE THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT...BUT THE COLD AIR
REALLY OOZES INTO THE AREA AS OPPOSED TO SLAMMING IN...SO EVEN
SATURDAY LOOKS MILD WITH HIGHS MOSTLY ABOVE FREEZING BEFORE
FALLING BACK SUNDAY.

EXPECT THE WEEK TO BE MAINLY DRY. WITH CLIPPER PASSING WELL NORTH
OF US ON WEDNESDAY...IT IS LOOKING INCREASING LIKELY THAT ANY OF
ITS PRECIP WILL MISS US NORTH AS WELL. FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEK...WITH A MORE ZONAL FLOW OVERHEAD...WE MAY SEE THE OCCASIONAL
SPIT OF RAIN OR SNOW...BUT WE REALLY STILL ARE NOT SEEING ANYTHING
OF SIGNIFICANCE FORE PRECIP LOCALLY IN THE MODELS UNTIL THE FIRST
WEEK OF FEBRUARY.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1057 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2016

PATCHY FREEZING FOG AND MIST ARE LIKELY TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD...AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE
OVER OUR AREA. AS A RESULT...IFR/LIFR CIGS AND MVFR/IFR
VISIBILITIES SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. IN ADDITION...AN
AREA OF LIGHT SNOW WILL MOVE IN OVERNIGHT...WITH WESTERN AND
CENTRAL MN LIKELY TO SEE THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL RATES AND MOST
IMPACT TO VISIBILITY FROM THE SNOW. HOWEVER...EASTERN MN AND WEST
CENTRAL WI COULD ALSO SEE SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE AND FLURRIES
OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.

KMSP...PATCHY FREEZING FOG AND MIST WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. AN INITIAL BAND OF SNOW CANNOT BE
RULED OUT BETWEEN 06-09Z OR SO...BUT UNCERTAINTY REMAINS SO LEFT
THIS OUT OF THE TAF FOR NOW. MORE CONFIDENCE IN PRECIPITATION
DEVELOPING MONDAY...WITH FREEZING DRIZZLE POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING
AND LIGHT SNOW LIKELY AFTER 18Z. IFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY
THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD DUE TO LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG/MIST...WITH
LIFR CIGS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND
GENERALLY VARIABLE.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
TUE...MVFR CIGS EXPECTED. NW WIND 10-15 KTS.
WED...VFR. SW WIND 5-10 KTS.
THU...VFR. W WIND 5-10 KTS.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
MN...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...ADL
SHORT TERM...JPC
LONG TERM...MPG
AVIATION...ADL
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 24, 2:13 PM CST, 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
213 PM CST SUN JAN 24 2016

MNZ041>045-047>050-054>057-064-085-092-093-WIZ026>028-252015-
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI-YELLOW MEDICINE-
STEELE-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-PEPIN-EAU CLAIRE-
213 PM CST SUN JAN 24 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SNOW WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA LATE
TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW AND FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE ON
MONDAY...WITH MINOR ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

MNZ051>053-058>063-065>070-073>078-082>084-091-WIZ014>016-023>025-
252015-
SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-
WASHINGTON-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-REDWOOD-
BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-WASECA-
MARTIN-POLK-BARRON-RUSK-ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-
213 PM CST SUN JAN 24 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MINNESOTA...EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...NORTHWEST WISCONSIN
AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

A WINTRY MIX OF LIGHT SNOW AND FREEZING DRIZZLE IS EXPECTED
MONDAY...ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE VERY LIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

JRB

Nearby

Winter Weather Advisories in Minnesota, 2016Winter Weather Advisories in Wisconsin, 2016Every winter weather advisory in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.