Alert archive / Minnesota / Winter Weather Advisories in 2016
Winter Weather Advisory 4, NWS Twin Cities, MN
NWS Twin Cities, MN issued this winter weather advisory at Jan 24, 2016, 2:23 PM CST for 21 counties in Minnesota; 6 counties in Wisconsin. It took effect at Jan 25, 2016, 6:00 AM CST. It was in force for 21 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 24, 2016, 2:23 PM CST (20:23 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 25, 2016, 6:00 AM CST
- Expired
- Jan 26, 2016, 3:00 AM CST
- In force
- 21 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Twin Cities, MN
All 27 counties
Benton County, MN, Chippewa County, MN, Dakota County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Faribault County, MN, Freeborn County, MN, Goodhue County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Kandiyohi County, MN, Lac qui Parle County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Pope County, MN, Rice County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Steele County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Swift County, MN, Todd County, MN, Waseca County, MN, Yellow Medicine County, MN, Chippewa County, WI, Dunn County, WI, Eau Claire County, WI, Pepin County, WI, Pierce County, WI, Saint Croix County, WI
The radar
The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 30 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 28 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 538 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 97 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 122 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
238 WWUS43 KMPX 242023 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 223 PM CST SUN JAN 24 2016 ...SNOW ACROSS WESTERN MN AND A WINTRY MIX IN SOUTHERN MN AND WESTERN WI ON MONDAY... .A BAND OF SNOW WILL DEVELOP ON MONDAY ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED. MEANWHILE...ANOTHER AREA OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND WESTERN WISCONSIN. A LIGHT COATING OF ICE IS POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA. MNZ041>045-047>050-054>057-064-085-092-093-250430- /O.NEW.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.160125T1200Z-160126T0600Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS- BENTON-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI-YELLOW MEDICINE- STEELE-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD... FOLEY...MADISON...BENSON...MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR...GRANITE FALLS... OWATONNA...BLUE EARTH...ALBERT LEA 223 PM CST SUN JAN 24 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST MONDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MIXED WITH FREEZING DRIZZLE...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST MONDAY NIGHT. * EXPECT A WINTRY MIX TO DEVELOP AROUND 6 AM MONDAY AND THEN DIMINISH AROUND MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT. * THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR IN WESTERN MN BETWEEN 6 AM AND NOON MONDAY. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES * A LIGHT COATING OF ICE IS EXPECTED IN SOUTHERN MN AND WESTERN WI. * PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE ON MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...AND FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1. $$ WIZ026>028-250430- /O.NEW.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.160125T1800Z-160126T0900Z/ PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DURAND...CHIPPEWA FALLS...EAU CLAIRE 223 PM CST SUN JAN 24 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 3 AM CST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR A WINTRY MIX...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 3 AM CST TUESDAY. * EXPECT A WINTRY MIX TO DEVELOP AROUND NOON MONDAY AND THEN DIMINISH AROUND 3 AM TUESDAY. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH AND A LIGHT COATING OF ICE IS EXPECTED. * PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1. $$ JRB
7 follow-up statements
409 WWUS43 KMPX 250327 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 927 PM CST SUN JAN 24 2016 ...SNOW ACROSS WESTERN MN AND A WINTRY MIX IN SOUTHERN MN AND WESTERN WI ON MONDAY... .A BAND OF SNOW WILL DEVELOP ON MONDAY ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED. MEANWHILE...ANOTHER AREA OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND WESTERN WISCONSIN. A LIGHT COATING OF ICE IS POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL INTO CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND FAR SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...MONDAY AND MONDAY EVENING. MNZ041>045-047>050-054>057-064-085-092-093-251130- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.160125T1200Z-160126T0600Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS- BENTON-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI-YELLOW MEDICINE- STEELE-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD... FOLEY...MADISON...BENSON...MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR...GRANITE FALLS... OWATONNA...BLUE EARTH...ALBERT LEA 927 PM CST SUN JAN 24 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST MONDAY NIGHT... * EXPECT A WINTRY MIX TO DEVELOP AROUND 6 AM MONDAY AND THEN DIMINISH AROUND MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT. * THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR IN WESTERN MN BETWEEN 6 AM AND NOON MONDAY. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. ISOLATED 4 INCH AMOUNTS IN WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA. * A LIGHT COATING OF ICE IS EXPECTED IN SOUTHERN MN AND WESTERN WI. * PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE ON MONDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...AND FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1. $$ WIZ026>028-251130- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.160125T1800Z-160126T0900Z/ PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DURAND...CHIPPEWA FALLS...EAU CLAIRE 927 PM CST SUN JAN 24 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON MONDAY TO 3 AM CST TUESDAY... * EXPECT A WINTRY MIX TO DEVELOP AROUND NOON MONDAY AND THEN DIMINISH AROUND 3 AM TUESDAY. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH AND A LIGHT COATING OF ICE IS EXPECTED. * PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW AND LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1. $$
216 WWUS43 KMPX 250939 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 339 AM CST MON JAN 25 2016 ...SNOW ACROSS WESTERN MINNESOTA AND A WINTRY MIX IN SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND WESTERN WISCONSIN TODAY INTO TONIGHT... .LIGHT SNOW WILL PERSIST FOR MUCH OF THE DAY INTO THIS EVENING OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA. THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED. MEANWHILE...ANOTHER AREA OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND WESTERN WISCONSIN THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. A LIGHT COATING OF ICE IS POSSIBLE IN THIS AREA. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL INTO CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND FAR SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA. MNZ085-092-093-251800- /O.EXT.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.160125T1800Z-160126T0600Z/ STEELE-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OWATONNA...BLUE EARTH...ALBERT LEA 339 AM CST MON JAN 25 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO MIDNIGHT CST TUESDAY. * EXPECT A WINTRY MIX TO DEVELOP AROUND NOON AND THEN DIMINISH AROUND MIDNIGHT TUESDAY. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES AND ICE ACCRETION OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH ARE EXPECTED. * LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. * PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1. $$ MNZ041>045-047>050-054>057-064-251800- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.160125T1200Z-160126T0600Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS- BENTON-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI-YELLOW MEDICINE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD... FOLEY...MADISON...BENSON...MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR...GRANITE FALLS 339 AM CST MON JAN 25 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT. * EXPECT SNOW TO PERSIST FOR MUCH OF THE DAY INTO THIS EVENING THEN DIMINISH AROUND MIDNIGHT. * THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 6 AM THIS MORNING AND NOON. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. * LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. * PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1. $$ WIZ026>028-251800- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.160125T1800Z-160126T0900Z/ PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DURAND...CHIPPEWA FALLS...EAU CLAIRE 339 AM CST MON JAN 25 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 3 AM CST TUESDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 3 AM CST TUESDAY. * EXPECT A WINTRY MIX TO DEVELOP AROUND NOON AND THEN DIMINISH AROUND 3 AM TUESDAY. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES AND ICE ACCRETION OF A GLAZE ARE EXPECTED. * LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. * PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1. $$
124 WWUS43 KMPX 251658 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 1058 AM CST MON JAN 25 2016 ...SNOW ACROSS WESTERN MINNESOTA AND A WINTRY MIX IN SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND WESTERN WISCONSIN THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT... .LIGHT SNOW WILL PERSIST FOR MUCH OF THE DAY AND INTO THIS EVENING OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA. THREE TO FIVE INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED IN THIS AREA BEFORE IT TAPERS OFF. SOUTH CENTRAL...NORTHEAST INTO PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND INTO WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...WILL HAVE A WINTRY MIX OF FREEZING DRIZZLE AND SNOW THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A LIGHT COATING OF ICE IS LIKELY IN THIS AREA BEFORE IT CHANGES OVER TO ALL SNOW THIS EVENING. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL INTO CENTRAL MINNESOTA. IN ADDITION...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT AND HAS BEEN EXPANDED NORTHWARD ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL...EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND INTO WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. THIS AREA IS ROUGHLY SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM BLUE EARTH TO FARIBAULT AND CANNON FALLS MINNESOTA...AND SOUTH FROM RIVER FALLS TO BLOOMER WISCONSIN. MNZ070-077-078-084-WIZ023>025-260100- /O.EXA.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.160125T1800Z-160126T0600Z/ DAKOTA-RICE-GOODHUE-WASECA-ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...FARIBAULT...RED WING... WASECA...HUDSON...PRESCOTT...MENOMONIE 1058 AM CST MON JAN 25 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREEZING DRIZZLE AND LIGHT SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT. * EXPECT A WINTRY MIX TO DEVELOP AND PERSIST THROUGH MIDNIGHT. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A GLAZE ARE EXPECTED. * LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. * PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1. $$ MNZ041>045-047>050-054>057-064-260100- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160126T0600Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS- BENTON-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI-YELLOW MEDICINE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD... FOLEY...MADISON...BENSON...MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR...GRANITE FALLS 1058 AM CST MON JAN 25 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT. * EXPECT SNOW TO CONTINUE...DIMINISHING AROUND MIDNIGHT. * ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. * WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 30 MPH WILL CAUSE PATCHY BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1. $$ MNZ085-092-093-260100- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.160125T1800Z-160126T0600Z/ STEELE-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OWATONNA...BLUE EARTH...ALBERT LEA 1058 AM CST MON JAN 25 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT. * EXPECT A WINTRY MIX TO DEVELOP AND PERSIST THROUGH MIDNIGHT. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 1 INCH AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A GLAZE ARE EXPECTED. * WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 30 MPH WILL CAUSE PATCHY BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1. $$ WIZ026>028-260100- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.160125T1800Z-160126T0900Z/ PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DURAND...CHIPPEWA FALLS...EAU CLAIRE 1058 AM CST MON JAN 25 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST TUESDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST TUESDAY. * EXPECT A WINTRY MIX TO DEVELOP AND PERSIST THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A GLAZE ARE EXPECTED. * LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. * PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1. $$
810 WWUS43 KMPX 252142 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 342 PM CST MON JAN 25 2016 ...STEADY LIGHT SNOW SLOWLY ENDING ACROSS MINNESOTA THIS EVENING... ...WINTRY MIX CHANGING TO LIGHT SNOW IN WESTERN WISCONSIN... .LIGHT SNOW WILL PERSIST FOR THROUGH THE EVENING...BEFORE TAPER OFF TOWARD MIDNIGHT IN MINNESOTA. SOME LIGHT ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED IN MINNESOTA BEFORE IT ENDS. PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE EARLY THIS EVENING IN WESTERN WISCONSIN BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO LIGHT SNOW. THE LIGHT SNOW WILL SLOWLY END AFTER MIDNIGHT. A LIGHT COATING OF ICE IS POSSIBLE WITH THE FREEZING DRIZZLE EARLY IN WESTERN WISCONSIN. MINOR SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL ALSO OCCUR ONCE THE FREEZING DRIZZLE CHANGES OVER TO SNOW. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF WEST CENTRAL INTO CENTRAL MINNESOTA THROUGH MIDNIGHT. IN ADDITION...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL...EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND INTO WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN TONIGHT. MNZ041>045-047>050-054>057-064-070-077-078-084-085-092-093- WIZ023>025-260600- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160126T0600Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS- BENTON-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI-YELLOW MEDICINE- DAKOTA-RICE-GOODHUE-WASECA-STEELE-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-ST. CROIX- PIERCE-DUNN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD... FOLEY...MADISON...BENSON...MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR...GRANITE FALLS... HASTINGS...FARIBAULT...RED WING...WASECA...OWATONNA... BLUE EARTH...ALBERT LEA...HUDSON...PRESCOTT...MENOMONIE 342 PM CST MON JAN 25 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT. * EXPECT A OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW THROUGH THE EVENING...BUT TAPERING OFF TOWARD MIDNIGHT. * ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCH. * WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 35 MPH WILL CAUSE PATCHY BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1. $$ WIZ026>028-260600- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160126T0900Z/ PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DURAND...CHIPPEWA FALLS...EAU CLAIRE 342 PM CST MON JAN 25 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST TUESDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST TUESDAY. * EXPECT A WINTRY MIX THROUGH EARLY EVENING BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO LIGHT SNOW. THE LIGHT SNOW WILL END AFTER MIDNIGHT. * ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A GLAZE ARE EXPECTED. * LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. * PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1. $$ JLT
319 WWUS43 KMPX 260233 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 833 PM CST MON JAN 25 2016 ...SNOW TO CONTINUE FROM SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA ACROSS WESTERN WISCONSIN THIS EVENING... .LIGHT SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. THE LIGHT SNOW WILL SLOWLY END AFTER MIDNIGHT. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 35 MPH WILL ALSO CAUSE PATCHY BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT ACROSS PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL...EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND INTO WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN TONIGHT. MNZ041>045-047>050-054>057-064-260345- /O.CAN.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160126T0600Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS- BENTON-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI-YELLOW MEDICINE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORA...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST. CLOUD... FOLEY...MADISON...BENSON...MONTEVIDEO...WILLMAR...GRANITE FALLS 833 PM CST MON JAN 25 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. ACCUMULATING SNOW HAS TAPERED OFF...THEREFORE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ MNZ070-077-078-084-085-092-093-WIZ023>025-260600- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160126T0600Z/ DAKOTA-RICE-GOODHUE-WASECA-STEELE-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-ST. CROIX- PIERCE-DUNN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...FARIBAULT...RED WING... WASECA...OWATONNA...BLUE EARTH...ALBERT LEA...HUDSON...PRESCOTT... MENOMONIE 833 PM CST MON JAN 25 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT... * EXPECT A OCCASIONAL LIGHT SNOW THROUGH THE EVENING...TAPERING OFF TOWARD MIDNIGHT. * ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS AROUND 1 INCH. * WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 35 MPH WILL CAUSE PATCHY BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. * PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1. $$ WIZ026>028-260900- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160126T0900Z/ PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DURAND...CHIPPEWA FALLS...EAU CLAIRE 833 PM CST MON JAN 25 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST TUESDAY... * LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS...AND TAPER OFF AFTER MIDNIGHT. * ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. * LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. * PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1. $$
618 WWUS43 KMPX 260604 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 1204 AM CST TUE JAN 26 2016 ...SNOW TO CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN WISCONSIN EARLY TUESDAY MORNING... .LIGHT SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING OVER PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. WINDS GUSTING AS HIGH AS 35 MPH WILL ALSO CAUSE PATCHY BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PEPIN...CHIPPEWA AND EAU CLAIRE COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN UNTIL 3 AM CST. MNZ070-077-078-084-085-092-093-WIZ023>025-260715- /O.EXP.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160126T0600Z/ DAKOTA-RICE-GOODHUE-WASECA-STEELE-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-ST. CROIX- PIERCE-DUNN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...FARIBAULT...RED WING... WASECA...OWATONNA...BLUE EARTH...ALBERT LEA...HUDSON...PRESCOTT... MENOMONIE 1204 AM CST TUE JAN 26 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ALLOWED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TO EXPIRE FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND FAR WESTERN WISCONSIN. ACCUMULATING SNOW HAS TAPERED OFF...THEREFORE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. $$ WIZ026>028-260900- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160126T0900Z/ PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DURAND...CHIPPEWA FALLS...EAU CLAIRE 1204 AM CST TUE JAN 26 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING. * LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. * ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. * LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. * PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO STRONG WINDS BLOWING SNOW AROUND. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING...ESPECIALLY IN OPEN AREAS. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1. $$
877 WWUS43 KMPX 260841 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 241 AM CST TUE JAN 26 2016 ...ACCUMULATING SNOW NO LONGER EXPECTED OVER WESTERN WISCONSIN... .ACCUMULATING LIGHT SNOW HAS SHIFTED FURTHER EAST IN WISCONSIN EARLY THIS MORNING. THEREFORE...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PEPIN...CHIPPEWA AND EAU CLAIRE COUNTIES WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 3 AM CST THIS MORNING. WIZ026>028-260945- /O.EXP.KMPX.WW.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160126T0900Z/ PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DURAND...CHIPPEWA FALLS...EAU CLAIRE 241 AM CST TUE JAN 26 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 3 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ALLOWED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TO EXPIRE FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN WISCONSIN. ACCUMULATING LIGHT SNOW HAS SHIFTED FURTHER EAST IN WISCONSIN EARLY THIS MORNING. THEREFORE...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR PEPIN...CHIPPEWA AND EAU CLAIRE COUNTIES WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 3 AM CST THIS MORNING. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter weather advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Twin Cities, MN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter weather advisory went out at Jan 24, 10:57 AM CST, 3 hours 26 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 24, 10:57 AM CST, 3 hours 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 1057 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2016 .UPDATE... ISSUED AT 1057 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2016 UPDATED TO INCLUDE 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW. && .SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT) ISSUED AT 401 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2016 EARLY MORNING SFC ANALYSIS DEPICTS A LOW PRESSURE CENTER NEAR INTERNATIONAL FALLS WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT SNAKING SWWD OVER FAR SERN ND INTO N-CENTRAL SD. WITH THE REGION BEING WARM- SECTORED BY THIS SETUP...NOTICEABLY WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL BE EXPERIENCED TODAY DESPITE MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN PLACE. A MORE PROMINENT SFC LOW PRES CENTER IS LOCATED OVER THE TX/OK PANHANDLES...AND IT IS THIS FEATURE WHICH WILL DOMINATE THE WX OVER THE NEXT 24-36 HRS. ALOFT...UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL GLIDE ACROSS THE REGION...MITIGATING ANY APPRECIABLE CHCS FOR PRECIPITATION TODAY OUTSIDE OF SPOTTY -FZDZ/FLURRIES THIS MORNING. WHILE THE RIDGE RESIDES OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS...A PROMINENT UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL MOVE ACROSS THE ROCKIES TODAY. THIS TROF IS EXPECTED TO PICK UP THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER OVER THE TX/OK PANHANDLES AND SHIFT IT NEWD TOWARD THE GREAT LAKES THRU TONIGHT. AS IT DOES SO...THE UPPER TROF WILL SHIFT INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND PIVOT TO A SLIGHTLY NEGATIVE TILT WHICH WILL ENHANCE THE SFC LOW AND DEEPEN LIFT. WHILE THERE WILL BE SOME PACIFIC MOISTURE ACCOMPANYING THE TROF...GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE WILL BE DRAGGED NWD IN ADVANCE OF THE SFC LOW...DEEPENING THE MOISTURE COLUMN INTO THE UPR MISS RIVER VALLEY. THERE ARE A COUPLE OF MAIN CONCERNS...PRECIP TIMING AND HOW QUICKLY THE MOISTURE COLUMN SATURATES TO ALLOW INITIAL P-TYPES OF FZDZ/IP TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW. BECAUSE SURFACE DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS ARE ALREADY QUITE SMALL /IN FACT...ZERO OVER MUCH OF THE WFO MPX CWFA THIS MORNING/...THERE IS LITTLE DOUBT OF SATURATED LOW LEVELS. IN ADDITION...UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE ALREADY STREAMING AS EVIDENT ON IR IMAGERY INDICATES HIGH MOISTURE IS ALSO FAIRLY SUFFICIENT. MODEL SOUNDINGS DO SHOW THE UPPER RIDGING KEEPING THE MID LEVELS ON THE DRIER SIDE...BUT AS THE RIDGE MOVES AWAY...THE MOISTURE COLUMN SHOULD FILL IN FAIRLY EFFICIENTLY OVERNIGHT INTO MON MORNING SO ALTHOUGH P-TYPE AT THE OUTSET WILL LIKELY BE -FZDZ/-IP...IT WILL ONLY BE A SHORT DURATION SO AM EXPECTING A CHANGEOVER TO SNOW FOR MUCH OF WRN AND N-CENTRAL MN PRIOR TO DAYBREAK WHILE ERN AND S-CENTRAL MN STARTS OUT AS -FZDZ. WHILE THE BULK OF THE PRECIP WILL OCCUR AFTER DAYBREAK MON...THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR 1-2 INCHES OF SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION IN WRN MN OVERNIGHT. .LONG TERM...(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY) ISSUED AT 401 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2016 THERE ARE TWO MAIN STORIES FOR THE WEEK AHEAD...THE SNOW FOR MONDAY WITH THAWING TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR THE END OF THE WEEK. ALL IN ALL...CHANGES MADE TO THE FORECAST OVERNIGHT WERE PRETTY MINIMAL...WITH THE MAIN CHANGE BEING TO HAVE A BIT MORE FZDZ/DZ MENTION DURING THE DAY MONDAY FROM SOUTH CENTRAL MN INTO EAST CENTRAL MN AND WESTERN WI. FOR MONDAY...AS THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION MENTIONED...WE ARE STILL SEEING TWO BITS OF FORCING WITH AN ELEVATED FGEN BAND FROM WESTERN INTO CENTRAL MN AND THE MAIN UPPER WAVE THAT WILL BE COMING ACROSS IOWA INTO SOUTHERN WI. THIS STILL LOOKS TO BRING A MINIMUM IN QPF FROM SOUTH CENTRAL MN INTO EASTERN MN AND WESTERN WI...WITH TWO BANDS OF ENHANCED QPF EXPECTED FROM WESTERN ACROSS CENTRAL MN AND SECOND AREA FROM EASTERN IOWA THROUGH SOUTHEAST WI. THE WESTERN BAND WILL BE IN RESPONSE TO A FRONTAL BAND THAT WILL SETUP FROM NORTH CENTRAL NEB INTO WESTERN/CENTRAL MN...WITH FGEN IN THE H7-H6 LAYER GIVING THE BEST REPRESENTATION FOR THIS FORCING. THIS FORCING WILL BE STRONGEST MONDAY MORNING AS THE UPPER LOW LIFTING NORTHEAST OUT OF KANSAS WILL SEND A FAIRLY STOUT NOSE OF WARM AIR UP ACROSS MN. THIS FRONTAL FORCING THOUGH QUICKLY FALLS APART DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY AS THE UPPER WAVE MOVES INTO IOWA...PUSHING THAT WARM NOSE OFF INTO WI AND GREATLY WEAKENING THE BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS MN. NMM/ARW ARE IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THIS EVENT WILL DO MOST OF ITS DAMAGE WITH SNOWFALL BETWEEN 9Z AND 18Z ON MONDAY. WHERE THIS BAND SETS UP...STILL EXPECTING A NARROW AXIS WHERE QPF GETS UP AROUND 0.4"...WHICH WHEN WORKING WITH AN 11 OR 12 TO 1 SNOW RATIO WILL PUT OUT A NARROW BAND /LIKELY NOT MUCH MORE THAN 50 MILES WIDE/ WHERE SNOWFALL AMOUNT PUSH INTO THE 4-5 INCH RANGE. STILL SEEING A DECENT SPREAD WITH ENSEMBLE QPF PLUMES FOR THE SREF AND GEFS...BEST EXAMPLE WOULD OF THAT WOULD BE FOR ALEXANDRIA...WHERE SREF/GEFS PLUMES RANGE ANYWHERE FROM UNDER 0.05" TO ALMOST A HALF INCH OF QPF. MODEL SPREAD FOR WHERE THE BAND SETS UP IS ANYWHERE AS FAR WEST AS A NE SODAK/FERGUS FALLS/WALKER LINE TO AS FAR EAST AS A REDWOOD FALLS/MORA LINE. WE CONTINUE TO SPLIT THE DIFFERENCE...WITH HEAVIEST SNOW CURRENTLY FORECAST TO FALL FROM MADISON TO LITTLE FALLS. WILL IN ALL LIKELIHOOD NEED AN ADVISORY FOR SOMEWHERE OUT IN WESTERN/CENTRAL MN...BUT ENOUGH SPREAD STILL EXISTS TO PRECLUDE THE ISSUANCE OF ANY HEADLINES AT THIS TIME. FARTHER EAST ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MN...THE TWIN CITIES AND WESTERN WI...THE BIG ISSUE FOR MONDAY WILL BE THE PRESENCE OF A MID LEVEL DRY SLOT COMING IN AHEAD OF THE UPPER WAVE. IF ANYTHING...WE PROBABLY ARE SPREADING POPS IN WAY TO FAST ON MONDAY EAST OF THAT WESTERN MN SNOW BAND...WITH MUCH OF THIS AREA NOT SEEING DEEP ENOUGH MOISTURE TO PRODUCE SNOW UNTIL LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON. HAVE A LOT OF DZ MENTION AS A RESULT OF THE DRY MID LEVELS THROUGH THE DAY ON MONDAY...BUT HAVE LOW CONFIDENCE ON IF WE WILL ACTUALLY SEE MUCH DZ BEFORE DEEPER MOISTURE AND LIGHT SNOW ARRIVES. BY THE TIME THE SNOW GETS INTO EASTERN MN/WESTERN WI...FORCING WILL BE MUCH MORE BROAD WITH JUST A PROLONGED PERIOD OF LIGHT SNOW EXPECTED...WITH AMOUNTS ONLY GETTING UP TO AROUND AN INCH...SO A SHOVEL OPTIONAL TYPE SNOW FOR MANKATO...THE TWIN CITIES AND EAU CLAIRE. WE WILL SEE A BRIEF COOL DOWN FOR TUESDAY IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM...BUT THE PASSAGE OF A CLIPPER WELL TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY WILL OPEN UP THE DOOR FOR BRINGING VERY MILD PACIFIC AIR BACK INTO THE REGION...WHICH LOOKS TO MAXIMIZE ITSELF ON FRIDAY...WHEN THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW 925-850 TEMPS INCREASING TO BETWEEN 8C AND 10C. THE ECMWF AND MEX GUIDANCE SHOW HIGHS GETTING INTO THE LOW 40S PRETTY MUCH AREA WIDE ON FRIDAY...BUT CONTINUED TO KEEP HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 30S GIVEN SNOW COVER AND THE FACT THAT IT WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO BE MOSTLY CLOUDY. FRIDAY NIGHT WILL FEATURE THE PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT...BUT THE COLD AIR REALLY OOZES INTO THE AREA AS OPPOSED TO SLAMMING IN...SO EVEN SATURDAY LOOKS MILD WITH HIGHS MOSTLY ABOVE FREEZING BEFORE FALLING BACK SUNDAY. EXPECT THE WEEK TO BE MAINLY DRY. WITH CLIPPER PASSING WELL NORTH OF US ON WEDNESDAY...IT IS LOOKING INCREASING LIKELY THAT ANY OF ITS PRECIP WILL MISS US NORTH AS WELL. FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK...WITH A MORE ZONAL FLOW OVERHEAD...WE MAY SEE THE OCCASIONAL SPIT OF RAIN OR SNOW...BUT WE REALLY STILL ARE NOT SEEING ANYTHING OF SIGNIFICANCE FORE PRECIP LOCALLY IN THE MODELS UNTIL THE FIRST WEEK OF FEBRUARY. && .AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY AFTERNOON) ISSUED AT 1057 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2016 PATCHY FREEZING FOG AND MIST ARE LIKELY TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD...AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER OUR AREA. AS A RESULT...IFR/LIFR CIGS AND MVFR/IFR VISIBILITIES SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. IN ADDITION...AN AREA OF LIGHT SNOW WILL MOVE IN OVERNIGHT...WITH WESTERN AND CENTRAL MN LIKELY TO SEE THE HIGHEST SNOWFALL RATES AND MOST IMPACT TO VISIBILITY FROM THE SNOW. HOWEVER...EASTERN MN AND WEST CENTRAL WI COULD ALSO SEE SOME FREEZING DRIZZLE AND FLURRIES OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. KMSP...PATCHY FREEZING FOG AND MIST WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. AN INITIAL BAND OF SNOW CANNOT BE RULED OUT BETWEEN 06-09Z OR SO...BUT UNCERTAINTY REMAINS SO LEFT THIS OUT OF THE TAF FOR NOW. MORE CONFIDENCE IN PRECIPITATION DEVELOPING MONDAY...WITH FREEZING DRIZZLE POSSIBLE IN THE MORNING AND LIGHT SNOW LIKELY AFTER 18Z. IFR CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD DUE TO LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG/MIST...WITH LIFR CIGS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND GENERALLY VARIABLE. /OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ TUE...MVFR CIGS EXPECTED. NW WIND 10-15 KTS. WED...VFR. SW WIND 5-10 KTS. THU...VFR. W WIND 5-10 KTS. && .MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WI...NONE. MN...NONE. && UPDATE...ADL SHORT TERM...JPC LONG TERM...MPG AVIATION...ADL
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 24, 2:13 PM CST, 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 213 PM CST SUN JAN 24 2016 MNZ041>045-047>050-054>057-064-085-092-093-WIZ026>028-252015- DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS- BENTON-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI-YELLOW MEDICINE- STEELE-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-PEPIN-EAU CLAIRE- 213 PM CST SUN JAN 24 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA...EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA... WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT SNOW WILL MOVE INTO WESTERN AND CENTRAL MINNESOTA LATE TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW AND FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY...WITH MINOR ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. MNZ051>053-058>063-065>070-073>078-082>084-091-WIZ014>016-023>025- 252015- SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY- WASHINGTON-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-REDWOOD- BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-WASECA- MARTIN-POLK-BARRON-RUSK-ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN- 213 PM CST SUN JAN 24 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA...EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA... SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA...SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...NORTHWEST WISCONSIN AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY A WINTRY MIX OF LIGHT SNOW AND FREEZING DRIZZLE IS EXPECTED MONDAY...ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE VERY LIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. JRB
Nearby
Winter Weather Advisories in Minnesota, 2016Winter Weather Advisories in Wisconsin, 2016Every winter weather advisory in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.