Alert archive / Minnesota / Winter Storm Watches in 2016
Winter Storm Watch 6, NWS Twin Cities, MN
NWS Twin Cities, MN issued this winter storm watch at Dec 23, 2016, 3:22 AM CST for 8 counties in Minnesota. It took effect at Dec 25, 2016, 6:00 AM CST. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 23, 2016, 3:22 AM CST (09:22 UTC)
- In effect from
- Dec 25, 2016, 6:00 AM CST
- Expired
- Dec 24, 2016, 3:43 AM CST
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Twin Cities, MN
Counties Benton County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Pope County, MN, Stearns County, MN, Stevens County, MN, Todd County, MN
The radar
The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 142 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 00:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 140 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1988 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 45 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 360 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 427 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
196 WWUS43 KMPX 230922 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 322 AM CST FRI DEC 23 2016 ...ACCUMULATING SNOW EXPECTED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MINNESOTA INTO WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN TODAY... ...SIGNIFICANT ICING POSSIBLE SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA... .SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED TODAY FROM SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA INTO WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. AREAS AFFECTED WILL BE MAINLY THE COUNTIES DUE SOUTH OF THE TWIN CITIES METRO ALONG THE INTERSTATE 35 AND I90 CORRIDOR IN MINNESOTA...AND EASTWARD ALONG THE INTERSTATE 94 CORRIDOR IN WISCONSIN. THESE SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS COULD MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS LEADING UP TO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND. A POWERFUL WINTER STORM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO NORTHERN MINNESOTA BY SUNDAY NIGHT. PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE DEVELOPING SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BECOME STEADIER FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY MORNING WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A QUARTER INCH POSSIBLE BY LATE AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION SHOULD BECOME ALL RAIN BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON...BUT THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHEN EXACTLY THAT WILL HAPPEN. MNZ084-091-092-231730- /O.EXB.KMPX.WW.Y.0017.161223T1200Z-161224T0000Z/ WASECA-MARTIN-FARIBAULT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASECA...FAIRMONT...BLUE EARTH 322 AM CST FRI DEC 23 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING. * EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 6 AM THIS MORNING AND THEN END BY 6 PM THIS EVENING. * THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 9 AM AND 3 PM. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. * LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. * PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE EVENING COMMUTE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1. && $$ MNZ077-078-085-093-231730- /O.EXT.KMPX.WW.Y.0017.161223T1200Z-161224T0000Z/ RICE-GOODHUE-STEELE-FREEBORN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FARIBAULT...RED WING...OWATONNA... ALBERT LEA 322 AM CST FRI DEC 23 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 6 AM THIS MORNING AND THEN DIMINISH AROUND 6 PM THIS EVENING. * THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 9 AM AND 4 PM FRIDAY. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. * LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. * PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE EVENING COMMUTE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1. && $$ WIZ024>028-231730- /O.EXT.KMPX.WW.Y.0017.161223T1600Z-161224T0300Z/ PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RIVER FALLS...PRESCOTT...MENOMONIE... DURAND...CHIPPEWA FALLS...EAU CLAIRE 322 AM CST FRI DEC 23 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... * EXPECT SNOW TO DEVELOP AROUND 10 AM FRIDAY AND THEN DIMINISH BETWEEN 6 AND 9 PM FRIDAY. * THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN NOON AND 6 PM TODAY. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. * LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. * PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE EVENING COMMUTE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1. && $$ MNZ041>044-047>050-231730- /O.NEW.KMPX.WS.A.0006.161225T1200Z-161226T0000Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-BENTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST CLOUD...FOLEY 322 AM CST FRI DEC 23 2016 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. * TIMING...AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BECOME STEADIER FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY MORNING INTO MID AFTERNOON. SOME SNOW OR SLEET MAY ALSO MIX IN AT TIMES. PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO ALL RAIN FOR A TIME LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING BEFORE ENDING. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AROUND 1/4 INCH. * MAIN IMPACTS...DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND SOME POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ BORGHOFF/DWE
5 follow-up statements
679 WWUS43 KMPX 231542 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 942 AM CST FRI DEC 23 2016 ...ACCUMULATING SNOW FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA INTO WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN TODAY... ...SIGNIFICANT ICING POSSIBLE SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA... .SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE FORECAST TODAY FROM SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA INTO WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. AREAS AFFECTED WILL BE MAINLY THE COUNTIES DUE SOUTH OF THE TWIN CITIES METRO ALONG THE INTERSTATE 35 AND INTERSTATE 90 CORRIDORS IN MINNESOTA...AS WELL AS EASTWARD ALONG THE INTERSTATE 94 CORRIDOR IN WISCONSIN. THESE SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS COULD MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT TODAY ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM FAIRMONT THROUGH RED WING...MENOMONIE AND CHIPPEWA FALLS. A POWERFUL WINTER STORM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO NORTHERN MINNESOTA BY SUNDAY NIGHT. PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE DEVELOPING SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BECOME A STEADIER FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY MORNING WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A QUARTER INCH POSSIBLE BY LATE AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION SHOULD BECOME ALL RAIN BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON...BUT THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHEN EXACTLY THAT WILL HAPPEN. HENCE...A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM MORRIS THROUGH ST. CLOUD TO MILACA. WIZ024>028-232345- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0017.161223T1600Z-161224T0300Z/ PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RIVER FALLS...PRESCOTT...MENOMONIE... DURAND...CHIPPEWA FALLS...EAU CLAIRE 942 AM CST FRI DEC 23 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... * EXPECT SNOW TO SPREAD ACROSS WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE EARLY THIS EVENING BEFORE ENDING. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. * LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. * PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE EVENING COMMUTE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1. && $$ MNZ077-078-084-085-091>093-232345- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-161224T0000Z/ RICE-GOODHUE-WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FARIBAULT...RED WING...WASECA... OWATONNA...FAIRMONT...BLUE EARTH...ALBERT LEA 942 AM CST FRI DEC 23 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA TODAY THEN DIMINISH QUICKLY THIS EVENING. * THE HEAVIEST SNOWFALL RATES WILL OCCUR BETWEEN 10 AM AND 3 PM. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. * LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. * PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE EVENING COMMUTE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1. && $$ MNZ041>044-047>050-232345- /O.CON.KMPX.WS.A.0006.161225T1200Z-161226T0000Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-BENTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST CLOUD...FOLEY 942 AM CST FRI DEC 23 2016 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... * TIMING...AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BECOME A STEADIER FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY MORNING INTO MID AFTERNOON. SOME SNOW OR SLEET MAY ALSO MIX IN AT TIMES. PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO ALL RAIN FOR A TIME LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING BEFORE ENDING. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AROUND 1/4 INCH. * MAIN IMPACTS...DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND SOME POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$
748 WWUS43 KMPX 232115 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 315 PM CST FRI DEC 23 2016 ...ACCUMULATING SNOW FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA INTO WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN TODAY... ...SIGNIFICANT ICING POSSIBLE SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA... .TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES BY LATE TONIGHT ARE EXPECTED FROM SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA INTO WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. AREAS AFFECTED WILL BE MAINLY FROM ALBERT LEA THROUGH THE EAU CLAIRE AREA AFFECTING PORTIONS OF BOTH I-35 AND I-90. THESE SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS ARE MAKING FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM ALBERT LEA THROUGH RED WING...MENOMONIE AND CHIPPEWA FALLS. A POWERFUL WINTER STORM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO NORTHERN MINNESOTA BY SUNDAY NIGHT. PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE DEVELOPING SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BECOME A STEADIER FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY MORNING WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A QUARTER INCH POSSIBLE BY LATE AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION SHOULD BECOME ALL RAIN BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON...BUT THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHEN EXACTLY THAT WILL HAPPEN. HENCE...A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM MORRIS THROUGH ST. CLOUD TO MILACA. MNZ077-084-091-092-232215- /O.CAN.KMPX.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-161224T0000Z/ RICE-WASECA-MARTIN-FARIBAULT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FARIBAULT...WASECA...FAIRMONT... BLUE EARTH 315 PM CST FRI DEC 23 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. THE SNOW HAS ENDED AND CONDITIONS HAVE IMPROVED IN THIS AREA. $$ MNZ078-085-093-240000- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-161224T0000Z/ GOODHUE-STEELE-FREEBORN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RED WING...OWATONNA...ALBERT LEA 315 PM CST FRI DEC 23 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING... * SNOW WILL BEGIN TO TAPER LATE THIS AFTERNOON BUT ROADS REMAIN SLIPPERY AND SNOW COVERED. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. * LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. * PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE EVENING COMMUTE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1. && $$ WIZ024>028-240300- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-161224T0300Z/ PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RIVER FALLS...PRESCOTT...MENOMONIE... DURAND...CHIPPEWA FALLS...EAU CLAIRE 315 PM CST FRI DEC 23 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... * EXPECT SNOW TO CONTINUE EARLY THIS EVENING BEFORE ENDING TONIGHT. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. * LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. * PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE EVENING COMMUTE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1. && $$ MNZ041>044-047>050-240515- /O.CON.KMPX.WS.A.0006.161225T1200Z-161226T0000Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-BENTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST CLOUD...FOLEY 315 PM CST FRI DEC 23 2016 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... * TIMING...AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BECOME A STEADIER FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY MORNING INTO MID AFTERNOON. SOME SNOW OR SLEET MAY ALSO MIX IN AT TIMES. PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO ALL RAIN FOR A TIME LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING BEFORE ENDING. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AROUND 1/4 INCH. * MAIN IMPACTS...DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND SOME POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$
005 WWUS43 KMPX 240009 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 609 PM CST FRI DEC 23 2016 ...SNOW WINDING DOWN THIS EVE OVER WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN... SIGNIFICANT ICING POSSIBLE SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA... .SNOW WITH TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES WILL GRADUALLY COME TO AN END THIS EVENING OVER WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EAST OF RIVER FALLS TO EAU CLAIRE WISCONSIN. A POWERFUL WINTER STORM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO NORTHERN MINNESOTA BY SUNDAY NIGHT. PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE DEVELOPING SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BECOME A STEADIER FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY MORNING WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A QUARTER INCH POSSIBLE BY LATE AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION SHOULD BECOME ALL RAIN BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON...BUT THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHEN EXACTLY THAT WILL HAPPEN. HENCE...A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM MORRIS THROUGH ST. CLOUD TO MILACA. MNZ078-085-093-240115- /O.EXP.KMPX.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-161224T0000Z/ GOODHUE-STEELE-FREEBORN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RED WING...OWATONNA...ALBERT LEA 609 PM CST FRI DEC 23 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... SNOW HAS TAPERED OFF SO THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. $$ WIZ024>028-240300- /O.CON.KMPX.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-161224T0300Z/ PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RIVER FALLS...PRESCOTT...MENOMONIE... DURAND...CHIPPEWA FALLS...EAU CLAIRE 609 PM CST FRI DEC 23 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING... * EXPECT SNOW TO CONTINUE EARLY THIS EVENING BEFORE ENDING TONIGHT. * TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED. * LOOK FOR REDUCED VISIBILITIES AT TIMES. * PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROAD CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DURING THE EVENING COMMUTE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. THE LATEST ROAD CONDITIONS FOR THE STATE YOU ARE CALLING FROM CAN BE OBTAINED BY CALLING 5 1 1. && $$ MNZ041>044-047>050-240815- /O.CON.KMPX.WS.A.0006.161225T1200Z-161226T0000Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-BENTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST CLOUD...FOLEY 609 PM CST FRI DEC 23 2016 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... * TIMING...AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BECOME A STEADIER FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY MORNING INTO MID AFTERNOON. SOME SNOW OR SLEET MAY ALSO MIX IN AT TIMES. PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO ALL RAIN FOR A TIME LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING BEFORE ENDING. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AROUND 1/4 INCH. * MAIN IMPACTS...DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND SOME POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$
549 WWUS43 KMPX 240304 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 904 PM CST FRI DEC 23 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT ICING POSSIBLE SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA... .A POWERFUL WINTER STORM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO NORTHERN MINNESOTA BY SUNDAY NIGHT. PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE DEVELOPING SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BECOME A STEADIER FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY MORNING WITH ICE ACCUMULATIONS OF A QUARTER INCH POSSIBLE BY LATE AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION SHOULD BECOME ALL RAIN BY LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON...BUT THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHEN EXACTLY THAT WILL HAPPEN. HENCE...A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM MORRIS THROUGH ST. CLOUD TO MILACA. WIZ024>028-240415- /O.EXP.KMPX.WW.Y.0017.000000T0000Z-161224T0300Z/ PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RIVER FALLS...PRESCOTT...MENOMONIE... DURAND...CHIPPEWA FALLS...EAU CLAIRE 904 PM CST FRI DEC 23 2016 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED... ACCUMULATING SNOW HAS ENDED OVER WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...THEREFORE THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. $$ MNZ041>044-047>050-241115- /O.CON.KMPX.WS.A.0006.161225T1200Z-161226T0000Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-BENTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...PRINCETON...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST CLOUD...FOLEY 904 PM CST FRI DEC 23 2016 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... * TIMING...AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BECOME A STEADIER FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY MORNING INTO MID AFTERNOON. SOME SNOW OR SLEET MAY ALSO MIX IN AT TIMES. PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO ALL RAIN FOR A TIME LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING BEFORE ENDING. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AROUND 1/4 INCH. * MAIN IMPACTS...DANGEROUS DRIVING CONDITIONS AND SOME POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$
865 WWUS43 KMPX 240943 WSWMPX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 343 AM CST SAT DEC 24 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT ICING COUPLED WITH STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES SUNDAY...PARTICULARLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA... .A POWERFUL WINTER STORM WILL TRACK ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO NORTHERN MINNESOTA BY SUNDAY NIGHT. PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE DEVELOPING TONIGHT WILL BECOME A STEADIER FREEZING RAIN SUNDAY MORNING. ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH...WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS EXPECTED NORTH OF MORRIS TO ST CLOUD MINNESOTA WHERE AN ICE STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT. PRECIPITATION SHOULD BECOME ALL RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES WARM THROUGH THE 30S. MNZ041>043-047>049-241800- /O.UPG.KMPX.WS.A.0006.161225T1200Z-161226T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMPX.IS.W.0001.161225T1500Z-161226T0000Z/ DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALEXANDRIA...LONG PRAIRIE... LITTLE FALLS...MORRIS...GLENWOOD...ST CLOUD 343 AM CST SAT DEC 24 2016 ...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM CST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED AN ICE STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM CST SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING...AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE TONIGHT WILL BECOME A STEADIER FREEZING RAIN MID SUNDAY MORNING INTO LATE AFTERNOON. SOME SNOW OR SLEET MAY ALSO MIX IN AT TIMES. PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO ALL RAIN LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE UPPER 30S. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AROUND 1/4 INCH. * WINDS...EAST SOUTHEAST BETWEEN 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. * MAIN IMPACTS...ICING ON POWER LINES COUPLED WITH THE STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN FAIRLY WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. DANGEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE WILL LIKELY BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS WILL LIKELY LEAD TO SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT ADD TO THE DANGER. && $$ MNZ044-050-241800- /O.UPG.KMPX.WS.A.0006.161225T1200Z-161226T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMPX.ZR.Y.0002.161225T1500Z-161225T2100Z/ MILLE LACS-BENTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PRINCETON...FOLEY 343 AM CST SAT DEC 24 2016 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 3 PM CST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 3 PM CST SUNDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING...AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE TONIGHT WILL BECOME A STEADIER FREEZING RAIN MID TO LATE SUNDAY MORNING INTO MID AFTERNOON. SOME SNOW OR SLEET MAY ALSO MIX IN AT TIMES. PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO ALL RAIN LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE UPPER 30S. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...BETWEEN ONE AND TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH. * WINDS...EAST SOUTHEAST BETWEEN 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH. * MAIN IMPACTS...ICING ON POWER LINES COUPLED WITH THE STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES. DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ MNZ054>058-064>067-073>076-082>085-091>093-241800- /O.NEW.KMPX.ZR.Y.0002.161225T1200Z-161225T2100Z/ LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-YELLOW MEDICINE- RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-WATONWAN- BLUE EARTH-WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MADISON...BENSON...MONTEVIDEO... WILLMAR...LITCHFIELD...GRANITE FALLS...OLIVIA...HUTCHINSON... GAYLORD...REDWOOD FALLS...NEW ULM...ST PETER...LE SUEUR... ST JAMES...MANKATO...WASECA...OWATONNA...FAIRMONT...BLUE EARTH... ALBERT LEA 343 AM CST SAT DEC 24 2016 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 3 PM CST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 3 PM CST SUNDAY. * TIMING...AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE TONIGHT WILL BECOME A STEADIER FREEZING RAIN EARLY SUNDAY MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO ALL RAIN BY MID AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE UPPER 30S. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...BETWEEN ONE AND TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH. * WINDS...EAST SOUTHEAST BETWEEN 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. * MAIN IMPACTS...ICING ON POWER LINES COUPLED WITH THE STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES. DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ MNZ045-051>053-059>063-068>070-077-078-WIZ014>016-023>028-241800- /O.NEW.KMPX.ZR.Y.0002.161225T1500Z-161225T2100Z/ KANABEC-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY- WASHINGTON-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-RICE-GOODHUE-POLK-BARRON-RUSK- ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-CHIPPEWA-EAU CLAIRE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MORA...ELK RIVER...CAMBRIDGE... CENTER CITY...MONTICELLO...MINNEAPOLIS...BLAINE...ST PAUL... STILLWATER...CHASKA...SHAKOPEE...HASTINGS...FARIBAULT... RED WING...OSCEOLA...RICE LAKE...LADYSMITH...HUDSON... RIVER FALLS...PRESCOTT...MENOMONIE...DURAND...CHIPPEWA FALLS... EAU CLAIRE 343 AM CST SAT DEC 24 2016 ...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 3 PM CST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN HAS ISSUED A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 3 PM CST SUNDAY. * TIMING...AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE TONIGHT WILL BECOME A STEADIER FREEZING RAIN MID TO LATE SUNDAY MORNING INTO MID AFTERNOON. PRECIPITATION WILL TRANSITION TO ALL RAIN BY MID AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE UPPER 30S. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...AROUND ONE TENTH OF AN INCH. * WINDS...EAST SOUTHEAST BETWEEN 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH. * MAIN IMPACTS...ICING ON POWER LINES COUPLED WITH THE STRONG WINDS MAY RESULT IN POWER OUTAGES. DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ BORGHOFF
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Twin Cities, MN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm watch went out at Dec 22, 10:56 PM CST, 4 hours 26 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 22, 10:56 PM CST, 4 hours 26 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1056 PM CST Thu Dec 22 2016
.UPDATE...For 06z Aviation discussion below
&&
.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday Night)
Issued at 351 PM CST Thu Dec 22 2016
Surface analysis this afternoon shows
a sprawling area of high pressure centered over the Central Plains,
extending over much of the north-central CONUS. Aloft, generally
zonal flow is observed over the central CONUS but the feature of
note is moving onshore the SoCal and Baja coasts: a potent southern
stream shortwave trough. Over the next 24-36 hours, the surface high
pressure will shift east into the Mid-Atlantic states while a weak
area of low pressure develops over WY/SD along a NE-SW oriented
surface trough associated with a stronger low pressure center in
south-central Canada. The upper level trough is expected to shift
northeast into the Central Plains by daybreak Friday morning, on its
way to the Mississippi River by around midnight Friday night. As the
trough catches up to the surface feature, they will work in tandem
bringing Pacific moisture up to the Northern Plains and Upper
Mississippi River Valley regions Friday. Enough cold air will be
present while deep lift is increased significantly due to the
presence of the features at the surface and loft such that light
snow will be produced for much of the day on Friday into early
Friday evening. Using WPC QPF of around 0.30" for much of southern
MN into western WI, snowfall amounts of 2-4" will be commonplace for
much of the coverage area. After collab with WFOs ARX and DMX, have
agreed that over 3" of snow is expected in the I-35 corridor south
of the Twin Cities metro and points east along the I-94 corridor in
WI so have issued a Winter Weather Advisory for those portions of
the WFO MPX coverage area. The heaviest snow looks to come Friday
afternoon and evening, which will be prime traveling time leading up
to the Christmas weekend. The snow will let up late Friday night
into early Saturday morning with improving conditions going into
Christmas Eve morning. Temperatures will have small diurnal
variation, hitting lows in the low-mid 20s tonight followed by highs
in the lower 30s on Friday. With the passage of the cold front
Friday night, slightly lower temperatures are expected with lows
ranging from the upper teens in western MN to the mid 20s in western
WI.
.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 351 PM CST Thu Dec 22 2016
The focus of the long term is obviously the strong low pressure
system that will bring Christmas rain to the area. The potential
hazards with this storm will be freezing drizzle/freezing rain on
Christmas, and strong winds to follow on the backside of this system.
Confidence in the forecast track of the surface low continues to
rise. The guidance today altered the previous runs very little and
continue to advertise the storm deepening to near 980mb through
South Dakota and tracking to the northeast through northern MN. This
setup means the warm front will lift north through southern MN and
west central WI and bring plenty of warm air to the region to
support rain. But, the initial concern is for threat of freezing
drizzle Saturday night through Sunday morning.
Forecast soundings indicate a dry and warm nose in the 800-900mb
layer lifting north and pushing that layer above freezing. So, low
level saturation under 900mb and weak lift look to support drizzle
formation and even through this part of the sounding is below
freezing, with no ice crystals present from aloft means small water
droplets in the from of freezing drizzle will make it to the
surface. Much of this leans on the GFS forecast as the NAM looks to
have a fast bias in terms of how quickly this system moves through,
so basically focused on a blend of non-NAM guidance at this time. A
couple hundredths to a tenth of an inch of icing is not out of the
question at this time, so we are concerned about travel conditions
Christmas morning.
Deep saturation should begin arriving after 12Z Sunday from southern
MN and pushing north through the region. This could introduce true
freezing rain, most likely in central MN where surface temperatures
could still be below freezing. Surface temps farther south may rise
above freezing before we see much rainfall, but those areas are
still going to deal with the possibility of freezing drizzle Sunday
morning. What we think is the most likely scenario at this time is
for a period of freezing drizzle overnight Saturday into Sunday
morning, then a transition to rain/freezing rain and sleet from
south to north as deep saturation arrives and surface temps warm.
But, if that moisture arrives before surface temps warm, we could
see a period of true freezing rain and if that does happen, amounts
of more than 0.1" would be possible and make for dangerous travel
conditions. Confidence in these type of ice amounts is low at this
time, however. This is why we refrained from issuing a Winter Storm
Watch today in central MN. There is no question most of the QPF from
this system will fall as rain, would like to see more consistent
signals of significant ice accumulation before issuing a Winter
Storm Watch as there will be little to no snow in our forecast area
with this storm. In terms of amounts, the QPF has come down some
across our area since yesterday with generally 0.75-1.00" expected
by Monday. We do not expect to see significant flooding issues from
this and sub-freezing temperatures quickly coming in Sunday night
into Monday, any water should begin to freeze up which would cause
issues on any untreated surfaces.
The next concern is the wind which will be breezy from the southeast
Sunday, but become much stronger after the cold front passage Sunday
night into Monday morning. With a 990mb low departing and a 1030mb
high pushing in from the west, we could see wind advisory strength
winds and gusts over 40mph Monday morning under a strong cold air
advection regime.
Continue to check back for updates on the icing threat for Saturday
night and Sunday.
&&
.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 1056 PM CST Thu Dec 22 2016
VFR conditions to start the period then conditions deteriorate
notably between 12z and 15z Friday, when snow begins and
cigs/vsbys reduce to MVFR. Have slowed down onset time by 2-3
hours, as hi-res models look a bit slower. Reductions to IFR are
possible at times when moderate snow is falling during the day.
Snow tapers off around/after 00z Saturday with VFR conditions
returning. Southerly winds around 10 kts will prevail through the
period, with gusts to 20kts at northern sites (KAXN/KSTC) on
Friday. Borderline wind shear is possible tonight through
daybreak, but it does not quite meet criteria for inclusion in the
TAF at most sites (with the exception of KSTC around daybreak
Friday).
KMSP...
Cigs/vsbys are expected to lower to MVFR around 15z Friday, with
Sub-1700ft cigs the most likely between 18z and 21z. Visibilities
down to 1SM are also possible when the snow is falling, but do
not expect snowfall rates to lower down to 1 in/hr. Conditions
then look to improve by the time of the evening push as snow ends,
but cigs around 2000ft will likely linger during the evening.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
Sat...VFR. Wind Vrb 5 knots.
Sun...MVFR with -RA/PL/FZRA likely early, then -RA. Winds SE at
15G25kt.
Mon...MVFR and windy. Wind W at 20G30kt.
&&
.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...Winter Weather Advisory from 6 AM to 9 PM CST Friday for
WIZ024>028.
MN...Winter Weather Advisory from 6 AM to 9 PM CST Friday for MNZ077-
078-085-093.
&&
SHORT TERM...JPC
LONG TERM...SPD
AVIATION...LSHazardous weather outlook, Dec 22, 2:58 PM CST, 12 hours 24 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN 258 PM CST THU DEC 22 2016 MNZ041>045-047>070-073>076-082>084-091-092-WIZ014>016-023-231500- DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS- BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA- KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON- YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA- REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-WASECA-MARTIN- FARIBAULT-POLK-BARRON-RUSK-ST. CROIX- 258 PM CST THU DEC 22 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MINNESOTA...EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA... SOUTHWEST MINNESOTA...WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...NORTHWEST WISCONSIN AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A COLD FRONT WILL SWING THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY. ONE TO THREE INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE COVERAGE AREA WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS OVER EASTERN AND SOUTHERN MINNESOTA. A POWERFUL SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE REGION CHRISTMAS DAY AND CHRISTMAS NIGHT. A WINTRY MIX WILL DEVELOP SUNDAY MORNING WITH ICING POSSIBLE...GRADUALLY TURNING TO ALL RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH DURING THE DAY. PRECIPITATION MAY REMAIN A WINTRY MIX ACROSS FAR WESTERN MINNESOTA WITH SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE. HEAVY RAINFALL AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE HEAVY RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO MINOR URBAN AND RIVER FLOODING. STRONG WEST WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE STORM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. MNZ077-078-085-093-WIZ024>028-231500- RICE-GOODHUE-STEELE-FREEBORN-PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-CHIPPEWA- EAU CLAIRE- 258 PM CST THU DEC 22 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA...SOUTHEAST MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A COLD FRONT WILL SWING THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY. THREE TO FOUR INCHES OF SNOW CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MINNESOTA INTO WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN...MAINLY ALONG THE INTERSTATE 35 CORRIDOR SOUTH OF THE TWIN CITIES AND POINTS EAST ALONG THE INTERSTATE 94 CORRIDOR IN WISCONSIN. A POWERFUL SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE REGION CHRISTMAS DAY AND CHRISTMAS NIGHT. A WINTRY MIX WILL DEVELOP SUNDAY MORNING WITH ICING POSSIBLE...GRADUALLY TURNING TO ALL RAIN FROM SOUTH TO NORTH DURING THE DAY. PRECIPITATION MAY REMAIN A WINTRY MIX ACROSS FAR WESTERN MINNESOTA WITH SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE. HEAVY RAINFALL AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE HEAVY RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO MINOR URBAN AND RIVER FLOODING. STRONG WEST WINDS WILL FOLLOW THE STORM LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
Nearby
Winter Storm Watches in Minnesota, 2016Every winter storm watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.