Special Weather Statement, NWS Melbourne, FL

East Central Florida Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
924 AM EDT MON JUL 18 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A deep layer onshore flow pattern will continue early this week with
lower than average precipitable water than one would expect in this
regime, especially over the next 24H. The main feature is an apchg
upper TUTT presently moving across the FL Straits toward ECFL. Mid
level drying evident on ltst WV imagery will overspread the forecast
area during the remainder of the day and this combined with a
rapidly onshore moving sea breeze boundary will largely eliminate
the coastal zones from measurable pcpn chcs. The current forecast is
in good shape, reserving the interior zones for iso-sct showers and
some thunderstorm potential from early through mid afternoon.
Isolated showers over the marine area will potentially move through
the hostile sea breeze circulation zone and bring a sprinkle or two
to locations mainly south of Cape Canaveral.

Little change in high temperatures is indicated with mid 90s inland
and around 90 at the coast.

&&

.Climate...Melbourne's low temperature this morning was only 83
degrees. If this holds through 1 AM tonight it will equal the all-
time warm minimum for any date.

&&

.AVIATION...Isolated Atlantic showers will cross the coast mainly S
of KCOF very brief and localized MVFR. Coverage is too low for any
tempo mention. The same goes for interior terminals where small
shower/storm chances exist mainly in the mid-late afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Today-Tonight...(prev disc) High pressure ridge axis to our north
will produce an easterly wind flow. Speeds look to be 5-10 knots
north and 10-15 knots south. Seas will be 2-3 feet and up to 4 feet
well offshore. Westward moving showers or storms will continue to
have a low coverage.

&&

.MLB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...None.
AM...None.

&&

JP/WU

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
400 AM EDT MON JUL 18 2016

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-182000-
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20-60 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20-60 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20-60 NM-INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY-
NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY-
NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
400 AM EDT MON JUL 18 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SLIGHT ATMOSPHERIC DRYING IS FORECAST TODAY BUT A SMALL CHANCE FOR
LIGHTNING STORMS EXISTS, MAINLY OVER INLAND AREAS.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
AN EASTERLY WIND FLOW WAS PRODUCING A FRESH SWELL 2 TO 3 FEET IN
THE ATLANTIC. THIS WILL KEEP A MODERATE RIP CURRENT RISK AT AREA
BEACHES.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS ACROSS
THE ATLANTIC THIS MORNING, THEN OVER INLAND AREAS THIS AFTERNOON.
SHOWER AND STORM MOVEMENT WILL BE TO THE WEST AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
EASTERLY FLOW IS FORECAST THROUGH LATE WEEK, WHICH SHOULD BE
ACCOMPANIED BY OCCASIONAL BANDS OF HIGHER MOISTURE. THIS MAY
INCREASE THE COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHTNING STORMS, ESPECIALLY
OVER THE INTERIOR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

LASCODY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
155 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2016

FLZ045-053-181845-
OSCEOLA FL-ORANGE FL-
155 PM EDT MON JUL 18 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN ORANGE AND
NORTHWESTERN OSCEOLA COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM EDT...

AT 154 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH OVER CELEBRATION
AND JUST WEST OF KISSIMMEE...MOVING WEST AT 20 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
KISSIMMEE...BAY LAKE...INTERCESSION CITY...
CELEBRATION AND FOUR CORNERS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 2844 8138 2825 8146 2824 8155 2826 8156
      2826 8166 2847 8166
TIME...MOT...LOC 1754Z 098DEG 17KT 2834 8150

ULRICH