Special Weather Statement, NWS Melbourne, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
334 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Tonight-Tue...Weak ridge of high pressure stretches from the
Atlantic across Central Florida and into the Eastern Gulf of Mexico
for the next 2-3 days. Troughing from the remnants of TD Bonnie over
the Carolinas extends as far south as the Yucatan Channel/Cuba the
next 2-3 days. Northwest flow around the base of the above mentioned
trough will keep sea breezes on the east half of the peninsula, push
any west coast sea breezes quickly to the east and help to feed Gulf
and Caribbean moisture into Central Florida. Time height cross
sections are showing sufficient moisture in the 1000mb-700mb layer
impulses of mid level energy rounding the base of the upper trough
to support daytime 30-40 POP. Highs lower 90s interior and upper 80s
at the coast. Lows in the upper 60s mainly interior and coast Cape
Canaveral north and upper 60s/low 70s at the coast south of the Cape.

Previous Extended...

Wed-Sat...Weak mid-upper level troughing still across FL early in
the period, then shortwave ridging builds across the peninsula Fri-
Sat in response to troughing deepening over southeast TX. At the
surface the pressure pattern continues weak and we will see a daily
sea breeze regime with boundary collisions well into the interior.
Will continue CHC afternoon/early evening storm chances with
convection favoring well inland. The storm motion will be fairly
weak with main storm threats of locally heavy downpours, lightning,
and gusty winds. Consistent highs/lows with maxes U80s/L90s degrees
interior and M-U80s at the coast, mins in the U60s/L70s areawide.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR. Tempo VFR ceilings/visibility in scattered afternoon showers
and storms. Showers after 15Z/11AM Mon and storms after 17Z/1PM.
IFR too brief for any tempo beyond 1 hour duration. VCTS best call
until late Memorial Day morning.

&&

.MARINE...
NOAA Buoy 009 and the CMAN sites at Saint Augustine Fishing Pier
and Sebastian Inlet Jetty were recording northeast wind around 10
knots. Buoy 009 was recording 4 foot seas as was buoy 010 at 129nm
east of New Smyrna Beach and the two Scripps buoys at 2 and 4nm
off the beaches were recording 2 foot seas.

Tonight-Memorial Day...The long period swell from Bonnie slowly
diminishes which further decreases sea heights. Sea breeze
circulations die off by midnight and a light to moderate offshore
flow takes over until the sea breezes form again late morning/early
afternoon Mon/Memorial Day. Nearshore boaters should keep an eye to
the west for afternoon/evening storms moving close to the coast that
may drift across the Indian River Lagoon and into the nearshore
waters

Previous Marine Discussion

Tue-Fri...Favorable small craft boating conditions continue as a
persistent weak wind regime remains in place with late night/morning
offshore winds becoming onshore by late morning/early afternoon
surrounding the ECSB. Wind speeds generally 6-12 kts. Isolated
shra/tsra chances at best. Seas generally 2-3 ft near shore and 3
ft to 4 ft (well offshore) over the open Atlc.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  70  90  70  90 /  20  40  20  20
MCO  71  93  70  93 /  30  50  20  30
MLB  71  88  71  89 /  30  50  20  20
VRB  69  88  70  89 /  30  50  20  20
LEE  70  92  72  92 /  20  40  20  30
SFB  71  92  71  93 /  30  40  20  30
ORL  70  92  72  93 /  30  50  20  30
FPR  69  88  68  89 /  30  50  20  20

&&

.MLB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

IMPACT WX/RADAR...Kelly
FORECASTS/AVWX....Wimmer

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1014 AM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-300100-
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20-60 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20-60 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20-60 NM-INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY-
NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY-
NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
1014 AM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORM IMPACT...
SUITABLE MOISTURE WILL COMBINE WITH AFTERNOON HEATING AND LOCAL
BOUNDARIES TO PRODUCE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SLOW MOVING LIGHTNING
STORMS MAINLY SOUTH OF METRO ORLANDO...ALONG THE SPACE AND TREASURE
COASTS AND INLAND TO LAKE OKEECHOBEE. THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE
BRIEF GUSTY WINDS...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN.

.FLOOD IMPACT...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL PRODUCE ONE TO TWO INCHES IN A SHORT
PERIOD OF TIME MAINLY SOUTH OF ORLANDO THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
OCEAN SWELLS AND TIDAL CONDITIONS WILL BRING A MODERATE RISK FOR
STRONG RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES TODAY. RIP RESCUES WERE
REPORTED ON SATURDAY AND THIS IS EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN TODAY. MAKE
SURE TO SWIM NEAR A LIFEGUARD BEACH LOCATION AND NEVER SWIM ALONE.

.MARINE THUNDERSTORM GUST IMPACT...
WIND GUSTS BRIEFLY IN EXCESS OF 35 KNOTS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN A FEW
STRONG STORMS MAINLY SOUTH OF METRO ORLANDO THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS ALONG THE INLAND MOVING EAST COAST SEA
BREEZE AND WITH ANY BOUNDARY COLLISIONS OVER THE INTERIOR.
INCOMING SWELLS WILL KEEP THE RIP CURRENT THREAT MODERATE EARLY
THIS WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
552 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

FLZ044>046-292245-
NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY FL-ORANGE FL-SEMINOLE FL-
552 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN ORANGE...CENTRAL
LAKE AND SOUTHWESTERN SEMINOLE COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM EDT...

AT 548 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
OVER SORRENTO...OR NEAR MOUNT PLYMOUTH...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH.
ADDITIONAL STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FARTHER SOUTH INTO
NORTHWESTERN ORANGE AND SOUTHWEST SEMINOLE COUNTIES.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MOUNT PLYMOUTH...FOREST CITY AND ALTAMONTE SPRINGS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND STRONG
WIND GUSTS...WHICH CAN CAUSE UNSECURED OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND...SNAP
TREE LIMBS...CAUSE POWER OUTAGES OR CAPSIZE SMALL BOATS. HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL TEMPORARILY REDUCE VISIBILITY. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS
UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

BOATERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT STRONG WIND GUSTS SOMETIMES OCCUR WELL
AWAY FROM THE HEAVY RAIN AND LIGHTNING ASSOCIATED WITH STORMS.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO OCCUR WITH THESE STORMS...WHICH WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITY AND MAY LEAD TO TEMPORARY FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 2896 8166 2897 8166 2899 8153 2858 8126
      2857 8152 2896 8178
TIME...MOT...LOC 2148Z 326DEG 6KT 2885 8158

WEITLICH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
611 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0602 PM     HAIL             WNW MOUNT PLYMOUTH      28.80N 81.54W
05/29/2016  E1.00 INCH       LAKE               FL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

PG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
702 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

FLZ045-300000-
ORANGE FL-
702 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL ORANGE COUNTY UNTIL
800 PM EDT...

AT 701 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
LOCKHART...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

WINDS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ORLANDO...PINE HILLS...ORLOVISTA...WINTER PARK AND MAITLAND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 2864 8154 2865 8146 2864 8146 2864 8138
      2851 8122 2844 8151
TIME...MOT...LOC 2301Z 331DEG 9KT 2860 8144

WEITLICH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
830 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     RIP CURRENTS     SPESSARD HOLLAND PARK   28.05N 80.55W
05/29/2016                   BREVARD            FL   BROADCAST MEDIA

            *** 1 FATAL *** POSSIBLE RIP CURRENT RELATED DROWNING.
            MALE IN HIS EARLY TWENTIES WENT MISSING IN THE ROUGH
            SURF. BODY WAS RECOVERED FROM THE OCEAN A FEW HOURS
            LATER.

&&

RLL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
839 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0630 PM     TSTM WND DMG     FOREST CITY             28.66N 81.45W
05/29/2016                   SEMINOLE           FL   PUBLIC

            PUBLIC REPORT OF MULTIPLE TREES DOWN IN APOPKA/FOREST
            CITY AREA AS WELL AS PEA SIZED HAIL.

&&

DKW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
849 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

FLZ147-300145-
NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY FL-
849 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY UNTIL 945
PM EDT...

AT 848 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
TITUSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TITUSVILLE...PLAYALINDA BEACH...PORT SAINT JOHN...TITUSVILLE AIRPORT AND
SHARPES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND STRONG
WIND GUSTS...WHICH CAN CAUSE UNSECURED OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND...SNAP
TREE LIMBS...CAUSE POWER OUTAGES OR CAPSIZE SMALL BOATS. HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL TEMPORARILY REDUCE VISIBILITY. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS
UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

BOATERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT STRONG WIND GUSTS SOMETIMES OCCUR WELL
AWAY FROM THE HEAVY RAIN AND LIGHTNING ASSOCIATED WITH STORMS.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO OCCUR WITH THESE STORMS...WHICH WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITY AND MAY LEAD TO TEMPORARY FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 2842 8054 2847 8089 2848 8088 2851 8088
      2851 8091 2853 8093 2853 8094 2856 8093
      2858 8095 2859 8094 2860 8095 2861 8098
      2862 8097 2867 8097 2868 8060 2862 8056
      2844 8050
TIME...MOT...LOC 0048Z 275DEG 14KT 2857 8091

WEITLICH