Special Marine Warning 33, NWS Melbourne, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
933 AM EDT SAT APR 2 2016

.UPDATE...

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS THROUGH AFTERNOON...

BAND OF PRE FRONTAL STORMS WILL BE AFFECTING THE AREA TODAY WITH
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 1 PM FOR THE NORTH HALF. DEEP
LAYER SHEAR WILL BE STRONG WITH LOCAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE
IN FAST MOVING STORMS.  CONSIDERABLE DEBRIS CLOUDINESS WILL LIMIT
DAYTIME HEATING...BUT SOUTHERN SECTIONS WILL HAVE THE LONGEST
PERIOD OF NO RAIN. HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES POINT TO
FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS THERE THIS
AFTERNOON ALONG WITH A SMALL POTENTIAL FOR LOCAL DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS. HAVE BUMPED POPS UP FOR ALL BUT THE FAR SOUTH AND ALSO
TWEAKED MAX TEMPS DOWN ACROSS THE NORTH WHERE IT HAS STARTED OFF
OVERCAST.

&&

.AVIATION...
BASED ON RECENT HRRR MODEL...BAND OF STORMS EXPECTED TO REACH
NORTHERN TERMINALS BY MID TO LATE MORNING AND KMCO VCNTY IN THE
EARLY AFTERNOON AND THEN KMLB-KVRB BY MID AFTERNOON AND FURTHER
SOUTH INTO THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. MVFR CIGS/IFR VSBYS
EXPECTED WITH +TSRA AS CONVECTION MOVES ACROSS THE PENINSULA
TODAY.

&&

.MARINE...
TODAY-TONIGHT...TIGHTENING OF PRESSURE GRADIENT IS OCCURRING AHEAD
OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THIS WILL PRODUCE POOR-HAZARDOUS
BOATING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY IN THE OFFSHORE ZONES. A BAND OF
STRONG STORMS WILL BE SWEEPING ACROSS THE COAST NORTH OF CANAVERAL
THIS MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN SOUTH OF THE CAPE TO THE
TREASURE COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MARINERS SHOULD EXPECT
STRONG WIND GUSTS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES WITH SOME
STORMS. A FEW SPECIAL MARINE WARNINGS ARE LIKELY.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR INDIAN
     RIVER-MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-OKEECHOBEE-ORANGE-
     OSCEOLA-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-SOUTHERN LAKE
     COUNTY-ST. LUCIE.

     SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 1 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY-NORTHERN LAKE
     COUNTY-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY.

AM...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH UNTIL 1 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 5 AM TO 5 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR SEBASTIAN
     INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20-60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 5 PM EDT SUNDAY
     FOR FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20-60 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 5 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR VOLUSIA-
     BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20-60 NM.

&&

FORECASTS...LASCODY
IMPACT WX/RADAR...WEITLICH/SEDLOCK

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1240 PM EDT SAT APR 02 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NW HAULOVER CANAL     28.78N 80.80W
04/02/2016  M39 MPH          BREVARD            FL   OTHER FEDERAL

            39 KNOT NON-CONVECTIVE WIND GUST FROM 54-FOOT CAPE TOWER
            0421.

&&

TES

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1259 PM EDT SAT APR 02 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 4 NW HAULOVER CANAL     28.78N 80.80W
04/02/2016  45 MPH           BREVARD            FL   OTHER FEDERAL

            39 KNOT NON-CONVECTIVE WIND GUST FROM 54-FOOT CAPE TOWER
            0421.

&&

TES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
120 PM EDT SAT APR 2 2016

FLZ045-144-021800-
SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY FL-ORANGE FL-
120 PM EDT SAT APR 2 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN LAKE AND SOUTHWESTERN
ORANGE COUNTIES UNTIL 200 PM EDT...

AT 117 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG
THUNDERSTORMSOUTH OF GROVELAND...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

LAKE LOUISA...LAKE BUTLER...WINTER GARDEN...WINDERMERE...ORLANDO AND
WINTER PARK...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE PRIMARY THREATS WILL BE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND STRONG WIND
GUSTS...WHICH CAN CAUSE UNSECURED OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND...SNAP TREE
LIMBS...CAUSE POWER OUTAGES OR CAPSIZE SMALL BOATS. HEAVY RAINFALL
WILL TEMPORARILY REDUCE VISIBILITY. SEEK SHELTER INDOORS UNTIL THE
STORM PASSES.

BOATERS SHOULD BE AWARE THAT STRONG WIND GUSTS SOMETIMES OCCUR WELL
AWAY FROM THE HEAVY RAIN AND LIGHTNING ASSOCIATED WITH STORMS.

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...WHICH WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITY AND MAY LEAD TO TEMPORARY FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR
DRAINAGE AREAS. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 2855 8195 2864 8134 2839 8132 2837 8193
TIME...MOT...LOC 1717Z 263DEG 38KT 2847 8186

CRISTALDI

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