Small Craft Advisory 36, NWS Melbourne, FL

667 
WHUS72 KMLB 211805
MWWMLB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
205 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2016

AMZ570-572-575-221500-
/O.CON.KMLB.SW.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-161022T0000Z/
/O.EXT.KMLB.SC.Y.0036.161022T0000Z-161022T1500Z/
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20-60 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20-60 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20-60 NM-
205 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
11 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WINDS/SEAS...NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 KNOTS WILL INCREASE UP TO
  20 KNOTS OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS TONIGHT. SEAS OF 5 TO 7 FEET
  TODAY WILL INCREASE TO 6 TO 8 FEET OVERNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES ARE
EXPECTED TO BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT. MARINERS SHOULD AVOID
SHOALING AREAS. LONG PERIOD SWELL CAN SHARPEN INTO LARGE BREAKING
WAVES IN SHOALING AREAS. IT IS NOT UNUSUAL FOR WAVES TO BREAK
MUCH FARTHER FROM SHOALING AREAS THAN IS NORMALLY EXPERIENCED.
REMEMBER...BREAKING WAVES CAN EASILY CAPSIZE EVEN LARGER VESSELS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

263 
WHUS72 KMLB 220700
MWWMLB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
300 AM EDT SAT OCT 22 2016

AMZ550-552-555-221400-
/O.EXB.KMLB.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-161022T1400Z/
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM-
300 AM EDT SAT OCT 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MELBOURNE HAS ISSUED A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING.

* WINDS/SEAS...NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 TO 20 KNOTS WILL
  PRODUCE SEAS UP TO 5 TO 7 FEET THROUGH THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

AMZ570-572-575-222000-
/O.EXT.KMLB.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-161022T2000Z/
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20-60 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20-60 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20-60 NM-
300 AM EDT SAT OCT 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS/SEAS...NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS WILL
  PRODUCE SEAS UP TO 6 TO 8 FEET THROUGH THIS MORNING. WINDS WILL
  THEN GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 10 TO 15 KNOTS LATER IN THE DAY BUT
  SEAS UP TO 7 FEET WILL LINGER OFFSHORE INTO THE AFTERNOON. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

696 
WHUS72 KMLB 221422
MWWMLB

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1022 AM EDT SAT OCT 22 2016

AMZ550-552-555-221530-
/O.EXP.KMLB.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-161022T1400Z/
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM-
1022 AM EDT SAT OCT 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

WINDS AND SEAS HAVE DROPPED BELOW 20 KNOTS AND 7 FEET BEHIND THE
INITIAL POST FRONTAL NORTH TO NORTHWEST WIND SURGE. SMALL CRAFT
OPERATORS SHOULD STILL EXERCISE CAUTION, ESPECIALLY THOSE VENTURING
OFFSHORE TOWARD 20 NAUTICAL MILES.

$$

AMZ570-572-575-222000-
/O.CON.KMLB.SC.Y.0036.000000T0000Z-161022T2000Z/
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20-60 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20-60 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20-60 NM-
1022 AM EDT SAT OCT 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS/SEAS...NORTH WINDS AROUND 15 TO 18 KNOTS WILL PRODUCE SEAS
  UP TO 7 FEET IN THE GULF STREAM THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 21 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS...ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

East Central Florida Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
804 PM EDT Thu Oct 20 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Current...Local radar imagery this evening shows some bands of brief
showers moving twd the coast. Have updated the text and digital
forecasts to mention a light shower or sprinkle this evening as well
as a little more cloud cover along the coast before layer winds back
to a NW component area wide by early Friday.

.Previous discussion...

...Cooler temperatures on the way this weekend with lows in the 50s
away from the coast...

Tonight/Friday...No change to the premise of the short range (first
24hr) forecast. Tightening low pressure area centered  northeast of
the Bahamas will lift steadily northward tonight/Friday, with local
winds backing to north and northwest ahead of an approaching cold
front. Resultant continental trajectory of relatively drier air
coupled with minimized low level convergence ahead of the cold front
should negate any threat for precip. With clearing skies tonight and
mostly sunny to partly cloudy tomorrow.

Cooler temps on tap overnight with lower to middle 60s inland and
only upper 60s along the coast. Maxes in the middle to upper 80s.

Modified Previous Discussion...

Sat-Sun...High pressure centered over the lower Mississippi Valley
will extend eastward across the southeast U.S. into the weekend
behind the cold front. This will allow winds to veer from the north
Saturday to northeast into Sunday. The more northerly flow early in
the weekend will continue to transport drier air/cooler temps into
the region. Coolest temperatures expected into Saturday night/early
Sunday with lows in the 50s over much of the area, except low/mid
60s across coastal sections south of the Cape where low level
onshore flow will keep temps a tad warmer. These temperatures will
be some of the lowest seen in the region since early May of this
year. Highs each day will be around 5 degrees below normal ranging
from the mid 70s to around 80 degrees.

Mon-Wed...High pressure north of the area will weaken as a back door
front approaches and moves through the area toward mid week. Airmass
remains dry enough to keep PoPs out of the forecast Monday and
Tuesday, but increasing moisture and onshore flow with the weak
boundary will introduce lower end rain chances by Tuesday night and
Wednesday. Onshore flow will allow temperatures to moderate back to
more normal values for this time of year with highs reaching back
into the low 80s and lows in the 60s, except low 70s along the coast
south of the Cape.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
Tonight/Friday...winds will maintain their speeds (13-18KT) as they
back to north tonight and northwest on Friday. Both the WNWAVE and
NWPS model guidance keep seas right at 7FT offshore/over the Gulf
Stream, so will need to extend the "SCA for seas" one more cycle
past tonight (through 18Z/2PM).

Sat-Mon...Northerly wind surge up to 20 knots behind the cold front
will continue into the first half of Saturday, keeping boating
conditions poor especially offshore and in the Gulf Stream. Winds
will gradually veer and develop a slight onshore component by Sunday
while decreasing to around 15 knots. Given the northerly component,
seas will remain choppy, especially in the vicinity of the Gulf
Stream.

Northerly winds then gradually decrease into early next week as they
continue to the veer to the northeast Monday. Wave heights will also
slowly decrease to 4 feet or less.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

The St. Johns River at Astor (2.88ft) remains in Minor Flood Stage
this afternoon while continuing a very gradual fall. The river is
forecast to fall below flood stage (2.8 ft) by Friday, remaining
above Action Stage (2.5ft) through this weekend, possibly falling
below action stage from the early to middle part of next week.

At Geneva/above Lake Harney, the St. Johns River will remain near
7.0ft through this weekend, keeping it in Action Stage.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  65  86  61  77 /  10  10  10   0
MCO  65  86  60  78 /   0  10  10   0
MLB  68  85  65  79 /  10  10  10   0
VRB  66  85  65  80 /  10  10  10   0
LEE  64  86  58  78 /   0  10  10   0
SFB  65  87  60  78 /  10  10  10   0
ORL  65  86  60  79 /   0  10  10   0
FPR  67  85  64  80 /  10  10  10   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas until 2 PM Friday
     from Flagler Beach to Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm offshore.

&&

SHORT TERM/AVIATION...Cristaldi
LONG TERM./IMPACT WX...Ulrich

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
633 PM EDT THU OCT 20 2016

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-210900-
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20-60 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20-60 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20-60 NM-INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY-
NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY-
NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
633 PM EDT THU OCT 20 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
NORTH WINDS UP TO 15 KNOTS AND LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL KEEP SEAS
ELEVATED ACROSS MUCH OF THE LOCAL ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. POOR TO
HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH SEAS UP TO
7 FEET OFFSHORE WHERE A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT.
MARINERS SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION OVER THE NEARSHORE WATERS WHERE
SEAS WILL BE UP TO 4 TO 6 FEET.

.RIVER FLOOD IMPACT...
MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING ALONG THE ST JOHNS RIVER NEAR ASTOR.
THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RECEDE VERY SLOWLY AND DROP BELOW FLOOD
STAGE SOMETIME ON SATURDAY. THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO REMAIN
ELEVATED AT LAKE HARNEY NEAR GENEVA THIS WEEK.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
A COLD FRONT WILL BRING COOLER AND DRIER AIR TO EAST CENTRAL
FLORIDA THIS WEEKEND. BEHIND THE FRONT...HAZARDOUS MARINE
CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY AS WINDS
INCREASE AND BUILD SEAS ACROSS THE OFFSHORE AND GULF STREAM
WATERS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

ULRICH

AMZ550-FLZ041-044>047-053-141-144-147-211100-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
309 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2016

AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL REDUCE VISIBILITIES BELOW ONE HALF MILE AT
TIMES ACROSS PORTIONS OF VOLUSIA...LAKE...SEMINOLE AND ORANGE
COUNTIES EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS INCLUDES THE I 4 CORRIDOR.
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE A COUPLE HOURS AFTER SUNRISE...AROUND 9 AM.

MOTORISTS SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR SUDDEN CHANGES IN VISIBILITY.

&&

&&

Additional details...including graphics are available online at:
http://www.weather.gov/mlb/blog