Lake Wind Advisory 7, NWS Melbourne, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1000 PM EDT SUN MAR 20 2016

.DISCUSSION...LOCATION OF THE COLD FRONT HAS BEEN SOMEWHAT ILL-
DEFINED INTO THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. HOWEVER LATEST OBS
SHOWING A W/NW WIND SHIFT AND SPEED SURGE INDICATES THE BOUNDARY
HAS MOVED SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPE AND ORLANDO. THE FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO PUSH SOUTH AND EAST THROUGH THE AREA OVERNIGHT WITH
WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AND BREEZY AFTER MIDNIGHT. LATEST
ANALYSIS STILL SHOWS MUCH COOLER AIR STILL LAGGING WELL NORTH OF
THE FRONT WITH TEMPS STILL IN THE UPPER 60S/LOW 70S ACROSS EAST
CENTRAL FLORIDA AS OF 10 PM. HOWEVER COLD AIR ADVECTION STILL
LOOKS TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO USHER IN TEMPS AS LOW AS THE MID TO
UPPER 40S OVER LAKE/VOLUSIA COUNTIES AND PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL
INTERIOR BY DAYBREAK MONDAY. FARTHER SOUTH AND ALONG THE BREVARD
AND TREASURE COAST...LOWS IN THE LOW TO MID 50S ARE FORECAST.

A FEW SHOWERS DEVELOPED NEAR THE COAST EARLY THIS EVENING...BUT
HAVE SINCE SHIFTED OFFSHORE AND WEAKENED. ANY ADDITIONAL ISOLATED
SHOWERS LOOK UNLIKELY FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT AS DRIER AIR WILL
CONTINUE TO BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW. BREEZY NW
WINDS WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS UP TO 14-18 KTS AND GUSTS 22-25 KTS
ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT INTO LATE TONIGHT CONTINUING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...AS COLD FRONT CONTINUES SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE WATERS
TONIGHT WINDS WILL SWITCH TO THE NORTHWEST AND QUICKLY INCREASE
TO 20 TO 25 KNOTS NEARSHORE AND AROUND 25 KNOTS WELL OFFSHORE WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS OF 30 TO 34 KNOTS. SEAS WILL RESPOND BY BUILDING
UP TO TO 8 TO 10 FEET OFFSHORE AND IN THE GULF STREAM DUE TO THE
OPPOSING WIND FLOW. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE
WATERS TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW AFT.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM EDT MONDAY FOR FLAGLER BEACH TO
     VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM-FLAGLER BEACH TO
     VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20-60 NM-SEBASTIAN INLET TO
     JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM-SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20-
     60 NM-VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20
     NM-VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20-60 NM.

&&

WEITLICH/LASCODY

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
913 PM EDT SUN MAR 20 2016

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-211000-
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20-60 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20-60 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20-60 NM-INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY-
NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY-
NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
913 PM EDT SUN MAR 20 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 25 TO 30 KNOTS OVER THE GULF STREAM
AND 20 TO 25 KNOTS NEAR SHORE. OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO GALE FORCE WILL
BE POSSIBLE WELL OFFSHORE. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 4 TO 6 FEET NEAR SHORE
AND 6 TO 8 FEET OFFSHORE BY MONDAY MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
STRONG NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS
BOATING CONDITIONS ON MONDAY.

MUCH COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR EARLY THIS WEEK. LOW
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY...GUSTY WINDS AND DRY VEGETATION WILL
PRODUCE A MODERATE TO LOCALLY HIGH FIRE DANGER ON MONDAY.

THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL BECOME UNSETTLED LATE IN THE WEEK AND
ISOLATED LIGHTNING STORMS ARE FORECAST NEXT WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

LASCODY