Lake Wind Advisory 10, NWS Melbourne, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
907 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2016

...HAZARDOUS BOATING/SURF CONDITIONS INTO SUNDAY AND MONDAY...

.UPDATE...NE LOW LVL FLOW CONTINUES TONIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE
INLAND FROM THE MID ATLC AND CLOSED LOW OFFSHORE FROM THE MID ATLC
COAST. GRADUAL DRYING IS EXPECTED FROM THE NE LATE TONIGHT MAINLY
ABOVE 850 MBS BUT ATLC SHOWERS FROM THE CAPE SOUTH WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE SW AND ONSHORE. SHORT RANGE GUIDANCE HINTS AT ANOTHER SURGE OF
NE LOW LVL MOISTURE AFFECTING THE VOLUSIA COAST TOWARD SUNRISE WHEN
ANOTHER PERIOD OF ISOLATED SHOWERS MAY MOVE ONSHORE ALONG THE COAST
INTO SUNDAY MORNING. LAKE WIND ADVISORY EXPIRED AT 8PM BUT BREEZY
CONDITIONS STILL EXPECTED ALONG THE BEACHES THROUGH THE NIGHT WITH
NE FLOW. WILL CONTINUE HIGH SURF INTO SUNDAY MORNING WHICH MAY BE
EXTENDED TONIGHT BASED ON LARGE SWELL SET ARRIVING FROM THE NE
MONDAY FROM THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFFSHORE. FCST LOW WILL BE IN
THE 60S...WARMEST ALONG THE ATLC BEACHES OVERNIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...CIGS WILL BE MAINLY VFR OUTSIDE OF ISOLD SHRA MOVING
ONSHORE FROM THE KMLB-KSUA THRU THE NIGHT AND PSBLY APPROACHING KDAB
VCNTY AROUND 12Z. BREEZY ENE WINDS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY WITH GUSTS TO
25 KNOTS FOR CSTL AND ORLANDO AREA TERMINALS DURING THE DAY.

&&

.MARINE...NE WINDS AROUND 20 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE ATLC
WATERS WITH LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED TO CURRENT FORECAST. SEAS 6-8 FT
NEAR SHORE AND UP TO AROUND 10 FT OFFSHORE AND IN THE GULF STREAM.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONTINUES THROUGH MONDAY AS LARGE SWELLS ARRIVE
FROM THE NE LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  63  76  60  76 /  30  20  20  10
MCO  63  80  61  81 /  20  10  10  10
MLB  66  77  64  77 /  30  10  20  10
VRB  66  78  62  78 /  30  10  20  10
LEE  62  80  59  81 /  20  10  10   0
SFB  62  78  60  80 /  20  10  10  10
ORL  64  79  62  80 /  20  10  10  10
FPR  66  77  62  79 /  30  10  20  10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR COASTAL VOLUSIA
     COUNTY-INDIAN RIVER-MARTIN-NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-SOUTHERN
     BREVARD COUNTY-ST. LUCIE.

AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR FLAGLER BEACH TO
     VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM-FLAGLER BEACH TO
     VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20-60 NM-SEBASTIAN INLET TO
     JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM-SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20-
     60 NM-VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20
     NM-VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20-60 NM.

&&

VOLKMER/SHARP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
800 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2016

AMZ550-552-555-570-572-575-FLZ041-044>047-053-054-058-059-064-141-
144-147-171200-
FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-BREVARD COUNTY LINE 0-20 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 0-20 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 0-20 NM-FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20-60 NM-VOLUSIA-
BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET 20-60 NM-
SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20-60 NM-INLAND VOLUSIA COUNTY-
NORTHERN LAKE COUNTY-ORANGE-SEMINOLE-SOUTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
OSCEOLA-INDIAN RIVER-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE-MARTIN-
COASTAL VOLUSIA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LAKE COUNTY-
NORTHERN BREVARD COUNTY-
800 PM EDT SAT APR 16 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

.HIGH WIND IMPACT...
IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE BREEZY IN MOST PLACES THIS EVENING...AND
OCCASIONALLY WINDY ALONG SECTIONS OF THE COAST. NORTHEAST WINDS
WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE TO 15 MPH OR LESS LATE THIS EVENING...BUT
SLOWEST TO DECREASE ALONG THE TREASURE COAST TO 15 TO 20 MPH
OVERNIGHT.

.COASTAL FLOOD IMPACT...
SIGNIFICANT NORTHEAST SWELLS WILL PRODUCE LARGE BREAKING WAVES
BETWEEN 5 AND 8 FEET IN THE SURF ZONE. MINOR TO LOCALLY MODERATE
BEACH EROSION WILL BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS
ALONG THE COAST AROUND THE TIMES OF HIGH TIDE. THE NEXT HIGH TIDE
WILL TAKE PLACE AROUND 530 AM ON SUNDAY MORNING.

.RIP CURRENT IMPACT...
THERE CONTINUES A HIGH RISK OF STRONG RIP CURRENTS THIS EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT. SURF CONDITIONS WILL ALSO BE ON THE ROUGH SIDE.
ANYONE ENGAGED IN SHORELINE ACTIVITIES TONIGHT OR SUNDAY MORNING
SHOULD FACTOR THE ROUGH SURF INTO THEIR PLANS. BE SURE TO CHECK
WITH AREA BEACH PATROLS OR LIFE GUARDS ABOUT THE LATEST BEACH
CONDITIONS.

.WIND AND SEA IMPACT...
BOATING CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN HAZARDOUS OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT ACROSS
ALL EAST CENTRAL FLORIDA WATERS DUE TO STIFF NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15
TO 25 KNOTS OVER THE ATLANTIC COUPLED WITH A LARGE NORTHEAST
SWELL. COMBINED SEAS OF 7 TO 9 FEET NEAR SHORE AND 10 TO 12 FEET
WELL OFFSHORE OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.
DANGEROUS BEACH AND BOATING CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MONDAY AS STRONG ONSHORE WINDS...HIGH SEA...AND ELEVATED SURF
CONTINUE. EVEN AS STRONG ONSHORE WINDS BEGIN TO DECREASE...A
MODERATE TO LARGE SWELL WILL LINGER OVER THE ATLANTIC THROUGH MID
WEEK. THE THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN HIGH AS
WELL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED OVERNIGHT.

DWS