Alert archive / Wisconsin / Winter Storm Watches in 2016

Winter Storm Watch 2, NWS Milwaukee, WI

March 21, 20168 counties in Wisconsin

NWS Milwaukee, WI issued this winter storm watch at Mar 21, 2016, 3:19 PM CDT for 8 counties in Wisconsin. It took effect at Mar 23, 2016, 7:00 PM CDT. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 21, 2016, 3:19 PM CDT (20:19 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 23, 2016, 7:00 PM CDT
Expired
Mar 23, 2016, 4:17 AM CDT
In force
Issued by
NWS Milwaukee, WI

Counties Columbia County, WI, Dodge County, WI, Fond du Lac County, WI, Green Lake County, WI, Marquette County, WI, Sauk County, WI, Sheboygan County, WI, Washington County, WI

The radar

The Milwaukee radar (KMKX), 75 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Green Bay/Straub, WI (KGRB), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 115 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2016-03-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Green Bay/Straub, WI at 12:00Z on 2016-03-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 33 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1177 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
33 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
127 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

111 
WWUS43 KMKX 212019
WSWMKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
319 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2016

...EARLY SPRING SNOWSTORM HEADED FOR WISCONSIN...

.TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WELL NORTH OF
MILWAUKEE AND MADISON...MAINLY FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY...3 TO 4 INCHES IN MADISON AND 2 INCHES IN MILWAUKEE. A
CLASSIC EARLY SPRING STORM SYSTEM WILL GATHER STRENGTH OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY...THEN HEAD NORTHEAST INTO NORTHERN
ILLINOIS BY SUNRISE THURSDAY MORNING. THIS TRACK IS FAVORABLE FOR
THE POTENTIAL OF SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATION NORTH OF MILWAUKEE
AND MADISON...ESPECIALLY FROM SHEBOYGAN WEST THROUGH MARQUETTE
COUNTY. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY BE HIGHER ACROSS PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL WISCONSIN...FROM MANITOWOC WEST TO LA CROSSE.

RAIN WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD INTO SOUTHERN WISCONSIN TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH SNOW LIKELY WELL NORTH OF MADISON AND
MILWAUKEE. COLDER AIR SPILLING SOUTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL CAUSE
THE SNOW AND WINTRY MIX TO SLOWLY SPREAD ACROSS SOUTHERN
WISCONSIN. MOST AREAS SHOULD SEE SNOW THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE IT
TAPERS OFF LATER THURSDAY. IN ADDITION TO THE RAIN AND SNOW...WE
COULD SEE A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET THURSDAY NIGHT.
A RUMBLE OF THUNDER CAN/T BE RULED OUT. 

AGAIN...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
FAVORED SNOW AREA...ONLY AROUND 2 INCHES IN MILWAUKEE AND 3 TO 4
INCHES IN MADISON. THIS IS A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WITH PLENTY OF
UNCERTAINTIES. ADJUSTMENTS TO THESE DETAILS CAN BE EXPECTED PRIOR
TO THE ARRIVAL OF THE STORM.

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>059-220430-
/O.NEW.KMKX.WS.A.0002.160324T0000Z-160324T1800Z/
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTELLO...BERLIN...FOND DU LAC...
SHEBOYGAN...BARABOO...PORTAGE...WISCONSIN DELLS...BEAVER DAM...
WEST BEND
319 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2016

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED A
WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 

* TIMING...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. 

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH AT TIMES
  WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROADS AND A DIFFICULT COMMUTE
  THURSDAY MORNING. THE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CAUSE BLOWING
  AND DRIFTING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ON EAST/WEST ORIENTED
  ROADS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
271 
WWUS43 KMKX 220220
WSWMKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
920 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2016

...EARLY SPRING SNOWSTORM HEADED FOR WISCONSIN...

.TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WELL NORTH OF
MILWAUKEE AND MADISON...MAINLY FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY...3 TO 4 INCHES IN MADISON AND 2 INCHES IN MILWAUKEE. A
CLASSIC EARLY SPRING STORM SYSTEM WILL GATHER STRENGTH OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY...THEN HEAD NORTHEAST INTO NORTHERN
ILLINOIS BY SUNRISE THURSDAY MORNING. THIS TRACK IS FAVORABLE FOR
THE POTENTIAL OF SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATION NORTH OF MILWAUKEE
AND MADISON...ESPECIALLY FROM SHEBOYGAN WEST THROUGH MARQUETTE
COUNTY. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY BE HIGHER ACROSS PORTIONS
OF CENTRAL WISCONSIN...FROM MANITOWOC WEST TO LA CROSSE.

RAIN WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD INTO SOUTHERN WISCONSIN TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH SNOW LIKELY WELL NORTH OF MADISON AND
MILWAUKEE. COLDER AIR SPILLING SOUTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL CAUSE
THE SNOW AND WINTRY MIX TO SLOWLY SPREAD ACROSS SOUTHERN
WISCONSIN. MOST AREAS SHOULD SEE SNOW THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE IT
TAPERS OFF LATER THURSDAY. IN ADDITION TO THE RAIN AND SNOW...WE
COULD SEE A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET THURSDAY NIGHT. A
RUMBLE OF THUNDER CAN/T BE RULED OUT.

AGAIN...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
FAVORED SNOW AREA...ONLY AROUND 2 INCHES IN MILWAUKEE AND 3 TO
4 INCHES IN MADISON. THIS IS A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WITH PLENTY
OF UNCERTAINTIES. ADJUSTMENTS TO THESE DETAILS CAN BE EXPECTED
PRIOR TO THE ARRIVAL OF THE STORM.

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>059-221030-
/O.CON.KMKX.WS.A.0002.160324T0000Z-160324T1800Z/
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTELLO...BERLIN...FOND DU LAC...
SHEBOYGAN...BARABOO...PORTAGE...WISCONSIN DELLS...BEAVER DAM...
WEST BEND
920 PM CDT MON MAR 21 2016

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 

* TIMING...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH AT TIMES 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROADS AND A DIFFICULT COMMUTE 
  THURSDAY MORNING. THE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CAUSE 
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ON EAST/WEST 
  ORIENTED ROADS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

REM
804 
WWUS43 KMKX 220944
WSWMKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
444 AM CDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...EARLY SPRING SNOWSTORM HEADED FOR WISCONSIN...

.TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WELL NORTH OF
MILWAUKEE AND MADISON...MAINLY FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY...WITH 3 TO 4 INCHES IN MADISON AND 1 TO 2 INCHES IN
MILWAUKEE. A CLASSIC EARLY SPRING STORM SYSTEM WILL GATHER
STRENGTH OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY...THEN HEAD
NORTHEAST INTO NORTHERN ILLINOIS BY SUNRISE THURSDAY MORNING. THIS
TRACK IS FAVORABLE FOR POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
NORTH OF MILWAUKEE AND MADISON...ESPECIALLY FROM SHEBOYGAN WEST
THROUGH MARQUETTE COUNTY. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY BE HIGHER
ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL WISCONSIN...FROM MANITOWOC WEST TO LA
CROSSE.

RAIN WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD INTO SOUTHERN WISCONSIN TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY...WITH SNOW LIKELY WELL NORTH OF MADISON AND
MILWAUKEE. COLDER AIR SPILLING SOUTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL CAUSE
THE SNOW AND WINTRY MIX TO SLOWLY SPREAD ACROSS SOUTHERN
WISCONSIN. MOST AREAS SHOULD SEE SNOW THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE IT
TAPERS OFF LATER THURSDAY. IN ADDITION TO THE RAIN AND SNOW...WE
COULD SEE A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT. A RUMBLE OF THUNDER CAN/T BE RULED OUT.

AGAIN...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
FAVORED SNOW AREA...ONLY AROUND 1 TO 2 INCHES IN MILWAUKEE AND 3
TO 4 INCHES IN MADISON. THIS IS A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WITH PLENTY
OF UNCERTAINTIES. ADJUSTMENTS TO THESE DETAILS CAN BE EXPECTED
PRIOR TO THE ARRIVAL OF THE STORM.

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>059-221745-
/O.CON.KMKX.WS.A.0002.160324T0000Z-160324T1800Z/
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTELLO...BERLIN...FOND DU LAC...
SHEBOYGAN...BARABOO...PORTAGE...WISCONSIN DELLS...BEAVER DAM...
WEST BEND
444 AM CDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 

* TIMING...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 10 INCHES.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH AT TIMES 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROADS AND A DIFFICULT COMMUTE 
  THURSDAY MORNING. THE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CAUSE 
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ON EAST/WEST 
  ORIENTED ROADS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

SPM
666 
WWUS43 KMKX 221526
WSWMKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1026 AM CDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...EARLY SPRING SNOWSTORM HEADED FOR WISCONSIN...

.THIS UPDATE CONTINUES THE WATCH FOR THE CURRENT AREA...NO MAJOR
CHANGES. SOME OF THE GUIDANCE JUST NOW COMING IN SUPPORTS A MORE
NORTHERN SOLUTION OF THE MAIN SNOW AREA. HOWEVER...ANY
ADJUSTMENTS TO THE WATCH AREA AND SNOW AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY HAVE TO
WAIT UNTIL ABOUT MID AFTERNOON WHEN WE/LL HAVE TIME TO LOOK OVER
THE ENTIRE SUITE OF INFORMATION. IT/S ENTIRELY POSSIBLE WE WILL BE
LOWERING AMOUNTS ACROSS THE NORTH IF THE NORTHERLY TREND CONTINUES
AND IS CONFIRMED BY OTHER GUIDANCE.

PREVIOUS INFO...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE WELL NORTH OF MILWAUKEE AND MADISON...MAINLY FROM
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH 3 TO 4 INCHES IN MADISON
AND 1 TO 2 INCHES IN MILWAUKEE. A CLASSIC EARLY SPRING STORM
SYSTEM WILL GATHER STRENGTH OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON
WEDNESDAY...THEN HEAD NORTHEAST INTO NORTHERN ILLINOIS BY SUNRISE
THURSDAY MORNING. THIS TRACK IS FAVORABLE FOR POTENTIALLY
SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS NORTH OF MILWAUKEE AND
MADISON...ESPECIALLY FROM SHEBOYGAN WEST THROUGH MARQUETTE COUNTY.
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL LIKELY BE HIGHER ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL WISCONSIN...FROM GREEN BAY WEST TO LA CROSSE.

RAIN WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD INTO SOUTHERN WISCONSIN TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY...WITH SNOW LIKELY WELL NORTH OF MADISON AND MILWAUKEE.
COLDER AIR SPILLING SOUTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL CAUSE THE SNOW AND
WINTRY MIX TO SLOWLY SPREAD ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. MOST AREAS
SHOULD SEE SNOW THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE IT TAPERS OFF LATER
THURSDAY. IN ADDITION TO THE RAIN AND SNOW...WE COULD SEE A PERIOD
OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. A
RUMBLE OF THUNDER CAN/T BE RULED OUT.

AGAIN...TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
FAVORED SNOW AREA...ONLY AROUND 1 TO 2 INCHES IN MILWAUKEE AND
3 TO 4 INCHES IN MADISON. THIS IS A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WITH
PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTIES. ADJUSTMENTS TO THESE DETAILS CAN BE
EXPECTED PRIOR TO THE ARRIVAL OF THE STORM.

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>059-222330-
/O.CON.KMKX.WS.A.0002.160324T0000Z-160324T1800Z/
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTELLO...BERLIN...FOND DU LAC...
SHEBOYGAN...BARABOO...PORTAGE...WISCONSIN DELLS...BEAVER DAM...
WEST BEND
1026 AM CDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 

* TIMING...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 10 INCHES.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH AT TIMES 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROADS AND A DIFFICULT COMMUTE 
  THURSDAY MORNING. THE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CAUSE 
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ON EAST/WEST 
  ORIENTED ROADS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$
033 
WWUS43 KMKX 222036
WSWMKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
336 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...EARLY SPRING SNOWSTORM HEADED FOR WISCONSIN...

.WE HAVE UPGRADED THE TIER OF COUNTIES FROM MARQUETTE TO SHEBOYGAN 
TO A WINTER STORM WARNING AND KEPT THE SOUTHERN TIER OF THE WATCH
AS IS. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE AREA REMAINING IN A WATCH COULD SEE
LOWER SNOW AMOUNTS DUE TO A LONGER DURATION OF A WINTRY MIX...THUS
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WOULD BE A BETTER OPTION IN THE END. WE
WOULD LIKE ANOTHER FORECAST PERIOD TO ASSESS THIS POTENTIAL BEFORE
COMMITTING ONE WAY OR ANOTHER.

TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS CONTINUE IN THE 6 TO 10 INCH RANGE WITH THE
HIGHEST AMOUNTS NORTH OF A SHEBOYGAN TO ENDEAVOR LINE...MAINLY
FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH 2 TO 3 INCHES IN
MADISON AND AROUND 1 INCH IN MILWAUKEE. IN WISCONSIN...THE AXIS OF
HIGHEST ACCUMULATION WILL RUN FROM GREEN BAY TO JUST NORTH OF LA
CROSSE. 

A CLASSIC EARLY SPRING STORM SYSTEM WILL GATHER STRENGTH OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY...THEN HEAD NORTHEAST INTO NORTHERN
ILLINOIS BY SUNRISE THURSDAY MORNING. 

RAIN WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD INTO SOUTHERN WISCONSIN TONIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY...WITH SNOW BECOMING LIKELY WELL NORTH OF MADISON AND
MILWAUKEE BY WEDNESDAY EVENING. COLDER AIR SPILLING SOUTH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL CAUSE THE SNOW AND WINTRY MIX TO SLOWLY
SPREAD ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. MOST AREAS SHOULD SEE SNOW
THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE IT TAPERS OFF LATER THURSDAY. IN ADDITION
TO THE RAIN AND SNOW...WE COULD SEE A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN AND
SLEET LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. 

THIS REMAINS A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WITH PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTIES.
ADJUSTMENTS TO THESE DETAILS CAN BE EXPECTED PRIOR TO THE ARRIVAL
OF THE STORM.

WIZ046-047-051-052-230445-
/O.UPG.KMKX.WS.A.0002.160324T0000Z-160324T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KMKX.WS.W.0003.160324T0000Z-160324T1800Z/
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTELLO...BERLIN...FOND DU LAC...
SHEBOYGAN
336 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM CDT
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED A
WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7
PM WEDNESDAY TO 1 PM CDT THURSDAY. 

* TIMING...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 10 INCHES.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH AT TIMES 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROADS AND A DIFFICULT COMMUTE 
  THURSDAY MORNING. THE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CAUSE 
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ON EAST/WEST 
  ORIENTED ROADS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN
YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

WIZ056>059-230445-
/O.CON.KMKX.WS.A.0002.160324T0000Z-160324T1800Z/
SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARABOO...PORTAGE...WISCONSIN DELLS...
BEAVER DAM...WEST BEND
336 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 

* TIMING...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 7 INCHES.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH AT TIMES 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROADS AND A DIFFICULT COMMUTE 
  THURSDAY MORNING. THE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CAUSE 
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ON EAST/WEST 
  ORIENTED ROADS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$
462 
WWUS43 KMKX 230253
WSWMKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
953 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...EARLY SPRING SNOWSTORM HEADED FOR WISCONSIN...

.NO CHANGE AT THIS POINT TO HEADLINES WITH COUNTIES FROM
MARQUETTE TO SHEBOYGAN STILL IN A WINTER STORM WARNING AND THE
NEXT TIER OF COUNTIES TO THE SOUTH FROM SAUK TO WASHINGTON IN A
WINTER STORM WATCH. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THE AREA REMAINING IN A
WATCH COULD SEE LOWER SNOW AMOUNTS DUE TO A LONGER DURATION OF A
WINTRY MIX...THUS A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY COULD BE A BETTER
OPTION IN THE END. WILL BE LOOKING AT THE LATEST FORECAST GUIDANCE
TO ASSESS THIS POTENTIAL BEFORE COMMITTING ONE WAY OR ANOTHER.

TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS CONTINUE IN THE 6 TO 10 INCH RANGE WITH THE
HIGHEST AMOUNTS NORTH OF A SHEBOYGAN TO ENDEAVOR LINE...MAINLY
FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH 2 TO 3 INCHES IN
MADISON AND AROUND 1 INCH IN MILWAUKEE. IN WISCONSIN...THE AXIS
OF HIGHEST ACCUMULATION WILL RUN FROM GREEN BAY TO JUST NORTH OF
LA CROSSE.

A CLASSIC EARLY SPRING STORM SYSTEM WILL GATHER STRENGTH OVER THE
CENTRAL PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY...THEN HEAD NORTHEAST INTO NORTHERN
ILLINOIS BY SUNRISE THURSDAY MORNING.

RAIN WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD INTO SOUTHERN WISCONSIN TOWARD
WEDNESDAY MORNING AND DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY...WITH SNOW
BECOMING LIKELY WELL NORTH OF MADISON AND MILWAUKEE BY WEDNESDAY
EVENING. COLDER AIR SPILLING SOUTH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL CAUSE THE
SNOW AND WINTRY MIX TO SLOWLY SPREAD ACROSS SOUTHERN WISCONSIN.
MOST AREAS SHOULD SEE SNOW THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE IT TAPERS OFF
LATER THURSDAY. IN ADDITION TO THE RAIN AND SNOW...WE COULD SEE A
PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY
NIGHT.

THIS REMAINS A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WITH PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTIES.
ADJUSTMENTS TO THESE DETAILS CAN BE EXPECTED PRIOR TO THE ARRIVAL
OF THE STORM.

WIZ046-047-051-052-231100-
/O.CON.KMKX.WS.W.0003.160324T0000Z-160324T1800Z/
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTELLO...BERLIN...FOND DU LAC...
SHEBOYGAN
953 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM WEDNESDAY TO
1 PM CDT THURSDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM WEDNESDAY TO
1 PM CDT THURSDAY. 

* TIMING...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 10 INCHES.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH AT TIMES 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROADS AND A DIFFICULT COMMUTE 
  THURSDAY MORNING. THE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CAUSE 
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ON EAST/WEST 
  ORIENTED ROADS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD...AND WATER IN
YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

WIZ056>059-231100-
/O.CON.KMKX.WS.A.0002.160324T0000Z-160324T1800Z/
SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARABOO...PORTAGE...WISCONSIN DELLS...
BEAVER DAM...WEST BEND
953 PM CDT TUE MAR 22 2016

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. 

* TIMING...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 7 INCHES.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH AT TIMES 
  WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROADS AND A DIFFICULT COMMUTE 
  THURSDAY MORNING. THE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CAUSE 
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ON EAST/WEST 
  ORIENTED ROADS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

REM
768 
WWUS43 KMKX 230917
WSWMKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
417 AM CDT WED MAR 23 2016

...EARLY SPRING SNOWSTORM HEADED FOR WISCONSIN...

.A STRONG EARLY SPRING STORM SYSTEM WILL EXIT THE CENTRAL PLAINS
TODAY AND MOVE INTO NORTHERN ILLINOIS EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

RAIN WILL SPREAD INTO SOUTHERN WISCONSIN THIS MORNING...WITH SNOW
OR A RAIN SNOW MIX BECOMING LIKELY WELL NORTH OF MADISON AND
MILWAUKEE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. COLDER AIR SPILLING SOUTH
TONIGHT WILL CAUSE THE WINTRY MIX TO TRANSITION TO SNOW FROM THE
NORTHWEST. MOST AREAS SHOULD SEE SNOW THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE IT
TAPERS OFF LATER THURSDAY. IN ADDITION TO THE RAIN AND SNOW...WE
COULD SEE BRIEF PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET TONIGHT.


WIZ046-047-051-052-231730-
/O.CON.KMKX.WS.W.0003.160324T0000Z-160324T1800Z/
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTELLO...BERLIN...FOND DU LAC...
SHEBOYGAN
417 AM CDT WED MAR 23 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 PM CDT THURSDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 1 PM CDT THURSDAY. 

* TIMING...THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...5 TO 9 INCHES.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH AT TIMES
  THURSDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROADS AND A DIFFICULT COMMUTE 
  THURSDAY MORNING. THE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CAUSE 
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ON EAST/WEST 
  ORIENTED ROADS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN
EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN
EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

WIZ056>059-231730-
/O.UPG.KMKX.WS.A.0002.160324T0000Z-160324T1800Z/
/O.NEW.KMKX.WW.Y.0006.160324T0000Z-160324T1800Z/
SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARABOO...PORTAGE...WISCONSIN DELLS...
BEAVER DAM...WEST BEND
417 AM CDT WED MAR 23 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 PM CDT THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN HAS ISSUED A
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW. THE SNOW WILL BE MIXED WITH
RAIN...AND A BRIEF PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN. THE ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM CDT THURSDAY. THE WINTER
STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES.

* WINDS...NORTHEAST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH AT TIMES
  THURSDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...PLAN ON SLIPPERY ROADS AND A DIFFICULT COMMUTE 
  THURSDAY MORNING. THE STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CAUSE 
  BLOWING AND DRIFTING CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ON EAST/WEST 
  ORIENTED ROADS. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR
FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

HENTZ

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Milwaukee, WI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm watch went out at Mar 21, 11:51 AM CDT, 3 hours 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 21, 11:51 AM CDT, 3 hours 28 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1151 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2016

.UPDATE...

TEMPERATURES ARE ON TRACK TOWARD HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S INLAND FROM
THE LAKE. A LAKE BREEZE WILL KEEP LAKESHORE AREAS COOLER IN THE
LOWER 40S. INLAND WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AND
EVENTUALLY SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS OFF TO THE
EAST. THE SUNSHINE WILL STICK AROUND THROUGH THE DAY WITH THIN HIGH
CLOUDS OVERHEAD.

QUIET WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT. LOOK FOR MILD TEMPERATURES AND
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS TOMORROW. SHOWER CHANCES BEGIN NORTH OF
MILWAUKEE LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON ALONG A COLD FRONT.

&&

.AVIATION/18Z TAFS/...

VFR CONDITIONS TODAY THROUGH MIDDAY TUESDAY WITH SCT-BKN MID TO HIGH
CLOUDS VIA WARM ADVECTION. A 35-45 KT LLJ WILL VEER FROM MN AND IA
EARLY THIS EVENING THROUGH SRN WI LATE TNT...AND EVENTUALLY ENDING
UP ORIENTED FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS IL...IN...AND OHIO. THIS IS A
MARGINAL CASE FOR LLWS. TION/18Z TAFS/...

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 339 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2016/

TODAY AND TONIGHT...FORECAST CONFIDENCE HIGH.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EWD BY AFT WITH SLY WINDS AND WARM
ADVECTION BEGINNING. THE MODELS HAVE BEEN OVERDOING THE MID TO
HIGH CLOUDS WITH THE WARM ADVECTION SO WENT WITH PTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TODAY. 925 MB TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM 1-4C BY LATE IN THE DAY WHICH
YIELDS HIGH TEMPS IN THE MID-UPPER 40S. A LAKE BREEZE IS EXPECTED
ONCE AGAIN DURING THE EARLY TO MIDDLE AFTERNOON.

THE 850-700 MB WARM ADVECTION WILL INTENSIFY TNT AS A 35-45 KT
LLJ VEERS FROM SRN MN...THROUGH SRN WI...AND INTO IL AND IN BY 12Z
MON. THE LLJ IS RESPONDING TO A VORTICITY MAXIMUM AND THE LEFT
FRONT QUAD OF A 90 KT JET STREAK THAT WILL TRACK FROM THE NRN
PLAINS TO OVER SRN WI BY 12Z TUE. AT THE SFC...A WAVE OF LOW
PRESSURE AND WARM FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM THE MIDDLE MO RVR VALLEY
TO CENTRAL WI BY 12 TUE. FCST SOUNDINGS REMAIN FAIRLY DRY SO NO
PCPN IS EXPECTED. SLY FLOW AND WARM ADVECTION WILL KEEP LOW TEMPS
ABOVE FREEZING IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.

TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS MEDIUM.

A FAST AND ACTIVE FLOW PATTERN PREVAILS ALOFT THIS PERIOD. EXPECT
SHORTWAVE ENERGY TO EMERGE ALONG THE COASTAL PACIFIC STATES EARLY
TUESDAY...WITH TROUGHING DIGGING EQUATORWARD INTO THE FOUR CORNERS
REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON. BELT OF STRONG MID TO UPPER CYCLONIC
FLOW WILL ROUND THE TROUGH BASE ON WEDNESDAY...BEFORE EJECTING
NORTHEAST INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. AS THE UPPER WAVE TRANSLATES EAST...ROCKIES LEE
CYCLOGENESIS COMMENCES ON TUESDAY WITH THE DEEPENING SURFACE LOW
TRACKING EAST INTO THE LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY ON WEDNESDAY.
THEREAFTER...THE LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEAST INTO THE
WESTERN GREAT LAKES VICINITY ON THURSDAY.

A FEW WEAK PERTURBATIONS RIPPLE THROUGH THE MEAN FLOW ON
TUESDAY...BUT BY AND LARGE THE BETTER MID TO UPPER LEVEL ENERGY
REMAINS BACK TO OUR WEST OVER THE FOUR CORNERS AND GREAT BASIN
REGIONS AT THIS TIME. ANY SUPPORT FOR LIGHT PRECIPITATION DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOULD COME FROM WEAK FRONTOGENETIC
FORCING ALONG A QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT BISECTING THE AREA.
HOWEVER...THE BEST SHOT OF SEEING ANYTHING MEASURABLE ISN/T UNTIL
TUESDAY NIGHT WHEN ATMOSPHERIC PROFILES MOISTEN. WARM THERMAL
ADVECTION SHOULD ALLOW 925 MB TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB TO AROUND 7 TO
9 DEGREES CELSIUS TUESDAY AFTERNOON...SUPPORTING HIGHS IN THE 50S
TO AROUND 60 ALONG THE ILLINOIS BORDER. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE
CLOUDINESS...ESPECIALLY IN THE MID TO HIGH LEVELS.

MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THE AREA INCREASES TUESDAY NIGHT WITH
QUICK SATURATION UP TO AROUND 10 KFT SUGGESTED BY AREA FORECAST
SOUNDINGS. INITIAL FORCING FOR ASCENT APPEARS TO BE WARM ADVECTION
DRIVEN WITH ADDITIONAL FORCING PROVIDED BY DIFFERENTIAL CYCLONIC
VORTICITY ADVECTION AND INCREASING DIVERGENCE WITHIN THE LEFT EXIT
REGION OF AN UPPER SPEED MAX LATER WEDNESDAY EVENING INTO
THURSDAY. A PRONOUNCED LOW-LEVEL THERMAL GRADIENT PERSISTS
THROUGHOUT THE EVENT WITH MID TO LOW-LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS MAXIMIZED
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY THURSDAY. THE NET RESULT OF ALL THIS
DISCUSSION IS THAT THERE SHOULD BE PLENTY OF UPWARD VERTICAL
MOTION TO WORK WITH OVER A PROLONGED PERIOD. QPF TOTALS ACROSS
SOUTHERN WISCONSIN OF AROUND 1 TO 1.5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

GIVEN THE PROJECTED QPF WITH THIS SYSTEM WOULD EXPECT A BAND OF
ACCUMULATING SNOW /POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT/ SOMEWHERE ACROSS
CENTRAL AND POSSIBLY INTO PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN WISCONSIN ON
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. ONCE AGAIN WE/LL NEED BETTER
AGREEMENT AMONG THE FORECAST MODELS BEFORE WE CAN PINPOINT EXACTLY
WHERE THIS BAND SETS UP. TAKING A LOOK AT SOME RECENT
GUIDANCE...THE 21.00Z DETERMINISTIC GFS IS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT
WITH ITS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS AND IS HOLDING STEADY TO THE NORTHERN
SIDE OF THE GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. THIS SOLUTION WOULD TRACK A 989 MB
SURFACE LOW ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS AROUND 06Z THURSDAY. THE
21.00Z NAM IS SIMILAR IN TRACK...BUT HAS A WEAKER /997 MB/ LOW.
THESE SOLUTIONS WOULD SUPPORT A LONGER PERIOD OF RAIN OR A RAIN-
SNOW MIX IN OUR SOUTHEASTERN AREAS BEFORE A TRANSITION TO SNOW
OCCURS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE 21.00Z ECMWF AND CMC REMAIN ON A
SLOWER AND MORE SOUTHERLY COURSE WHICH WOULD BRING BOTH COLDER
TEMPERATURES AND A LONGER DURATION EVENT WITH PRECIPITATION /IN
THE FORM OF SNOW/ CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY AFTERNOON OR PERHAPS
EVENING. SEVERAL INCHES OF ACCUMULATION WOULD BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS SCENARIO. STAY TUNED AS WE REFINE THIS FORECAST IN THE COMING
DAYS. NOW IS A GOOD TIME TO PREPARE FOR THE POTENTIAL OF WINTRY
WEATHER RETURNING TO AT LEAST PARTS OF THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY
EVENING INTO THURSDAY.

FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS MEDIUM.

LOOK FOR QUIET WEATHER ON FRIDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL.
LOW PRESSURE MOVING THROUGH THE REGION WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR
RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS ON SATURDAY OR SUNDAY.

AVIATION/12Z TAFS/...

VFR CONDITIONS TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH SCT-BKN MID TO HIGH CLOUDS
VIA WARM ADVECTION. A 35-45 KT LLJ WILL VEER FROM MN AND IA EARLY
THIS EVENING THROUGH SRN WI LATE TNT...AND EVENTUALLY ENDING UP
ORIENTED FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS IL...IN...AND OHIO. THIS IS A
MARGINAL CASE FOR LLWS.

&&

.MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WI...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

UPDATE...MRC
TODAY/TONIGHT AND AVIATION/MARINE...GEHRING
TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...SPM
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 21, 4:38 AM CDT, 10 hours 41 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
438 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2016

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-220945-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
438 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST CENTRAL
WISCONSIN...SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN AND SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE WISCONSIN RIVER AT PORTAGE IS RECEDING AND SHOULD DROP FROM
MODERATE FLOOD STAGE TO MINOR FLOOD STAGE BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON
OR EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT PLAINS
TUESDAY NIGHT AND THEN LIKELY TRACK JUST SOUTH AND EAST OF
WISCONSIN FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. MIXED PRECIPITATION
AND SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED OVER SOUTHERN WISCONSIN. AT
THIS TIME SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH OF
A LINE FROM MADISON TO MILWAUKEE WITH MORE RAIN EXPECTED TO THE
SOUTH. HOWEVER...THE DETAILS OF THE STORM TRACK AND EVENTUAL
TEMPERATURES WILL CHANGE...AFFECTING THE PLACEMENT OF SNOW...MIXED
PRECIPITATION...AND RAINFALL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

LMZ643>646-220945-
SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI-
PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI-
NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI-
WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL-
438 AM CDT MON MAR 21 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SOUTHERLY WIND GUSTS MAY APPROACH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS FOR
TUESDAY MORNING.

BRISK EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS...INCLUDING GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS...AND
HIGH WAVES...WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
NIGHT AS STRONG LOW PRESSURE TRACKS JUST SOUTH AND EAST OF
WISCONSIN.

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MKX

The office that day

Everything else NWS Milwaukee, WI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 21, 3:39 PM CDTSmall Craft AdvisoryMKX24 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Watches in Wisconsin, 2016Every winter storm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.