Severe Thunderstorm Warning 28, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

118 
WWUS52 KMHX 142351
SVSMHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
751 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016

NCC061-142359-
/O.CAN.KMHX.SV.W.0028.000000T0000Z-160615T0015Z/
DUPLIN NC-
751 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN DUPLIN COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA...THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3475 7755 3479 7761 3484 7766 3494 7764
      3505 7749 3480 7732
TIME...MOT...LOC 2349Z 241DEG 19KT 3485 7756 

$$

NCC103-133-150015-
/O.CON.KMHX.SV.W.0028.000000T0000Z-160615T0015Z/
ONSLOW NC-JONES NC-
751 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN ONSLOW AND WEST CENTRAL JONES COUNTIES...

AT 749 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER
RICHLANDS...OR NEAR HALF MOON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
JACKSONVILLE...HALF MOON...RICHLANDS AND ALBERT J ELLIS AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3475 7755 3479 7761 3484 7766 3494 7764
      3505 7749 3480 7732
TIME...MOT...LOC 2349Z 241DEG 19KT 3485 7756 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

26

972 
WWUS52 KMHX 150005
SVSMHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
805 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016

NCC103-133-150015-
/O.CON.KMHX.SV.W.0028.000000T0000Z-160615T0015Z/
ONSLOW NC-JONES NC-
805 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN ONSLOW AND SOUTHWESTERN JONES COUNTIES...

AT 804 PM EDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR RICHLANDS...OR
NEAR HALF MOON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HALF MOON AND RICHLANDS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3480 7748 3481 7751 3489 7760 3501 7746
      3484 7735
TIME...MOT...LOC 0004Z 241DEG 19KT 3489 7747 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

26

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
702 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A stationary front near the NC/SC border tonight will move north
as a warm front Wednesday. A cold front will approach from the NW
Thursday and move off the coast Friday. Low pressure will develop
just offshore and move away from the area on Saturday. High
pressure will build in from the north this weekend into early next
week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
As of 655 PM Tuesday...cluster of locally strong to severe tstms
continuing along our far southwestern CWA with one warning issued
a short time ago for Duplin County. Think most of this activity
should wane with loss of heating in the next few hours. Additional
showers may occur however as a strong mid-level shortwave crosses
the region overnight. Will continue with slight chance PoPs over
much of the CWA with a chance over Duplin/Onslow counties through
about 02-03z. Warm and humid overnight with lows in the lower to
mid 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
As of 330 pm Tue...Frontal boundary will lift north as a warm
front in response to an upper trof approaching from the west. Deep
supply of moisture in place in the warm sector south of the front,
along with a building theta-e ridge over the area. Will go with
50% PoPs throughout. Highs in the mid to upper 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 330 PM Tue...Long term period will feature hot and humid
through Thursday followed by below normal to near normal temps by
the weekend, then followed by another warming trend early next
week. Latest model suite continues to suggest a potential coastal
low may develop off the East Coast Friday night into Saturday.

Wednesday Night/Thursday: The surface ridge remains off the coast
through Thursday with a weak boundary lingering north of E NC.
Mid/upper flow will remain WNW through this period with quasi-
zonal flow as Eastern NC remains between an upper low over the
Canadian Maritimes and upper ridge over the Deep South. The upper
low over the Canadian Maritimes shifts farther into the North
Atlantic Ocean by Wednesday night as a strong shortwave dives
southeast into the Great Lakes. The evolution of this strong
shortwave will be a player in the potential development of a
coastal low off the East Coast later in the week.

Very warm and muggy air mass continues through Thursday with
potential scattered thunderstorms continuing through the overnight
on Wednesday night, and thus have continued 40-50 pops. Have
tapered pops a bit for Thursday as winds shift more westerly with
subsidence ensuing. Have indicated a 20 pop all zones by afternoon.
Low- level thicknesses increase by about 10 meters Thursday which
will yield maximum temps a few degrees warmer, along with more
sunshine expected. Highs mid 90s inland to 85-90 along the coast.
TD's still oppressive and will produce afternoon heat indices
100-105 degrees.

Friday/Saturday: Long range models continue to indicate a strong
shortwave dropping southeast through the Ohio Valley and
Appalachians, driving a backdoor front through Eastern NC by
Friday night, with surface cyclogenesis more likely off the
Carolina Coast. Better clustering with 14/12Z GFS ensemble MSLP
members clustered southeast of the NC coast, with ECMWF also
deepening the low off of Hatteras late Fri evening. Have indicated
increasing pops on Friday becoming likely across N and E zones
where increasing lift/omega will reside. Risk for thunderstorms as
well with some instability present along with 25+ kt of deep
layer shear. Northeast winds will pick up dramatically along the
coast as the low deepens offshore Friday night. High surf and
minor coastal flooding would be an issue beginning Friday night
and lasting into Saturday as the low slowly moves away from the
area. Gradient begins to relax by later Saturday with winds
diminishing as a result. It now appears like the weekend will be
dry with most guidance pushing the low pres further offshore with
high pres beginning to ridge into E NC. Temps still warm on Friday
with readings around 90 though with N NE flow developing by the
weekend much more comfortable temps/humidity will build in this
weekend with the building high pres from the north. Lows will be
near 60 interior with 65-70 along the beaches/OBX.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Short term /through 00z Thursday/
As of 655 PM Tuesday, VFR conditions should prevail at the TAF
sites into the early morning hours as scattered convection should
wane with loss of heating. With a very moist airmass in place as
warm front pushes north overnight, much of the guidance indicates
a period of lower ceilings toward morning and will continue
previous forecast of MVFR ceilings. A good coverage of scattered
convection for Wednesday and will continue mention of VCTS at all
terminal sites.

Long Term /Wednesday Night through Sunday/...
As of 4 PM Tue...Predominant VFR conditions are expected through
the period. Southwesterly low level flow will prevail through
Thursday. Scattered showers/storms through Friday as the area
remains in warm and humid air mass. Tempo reductions in vsby/cigs
possible with any thunderstorms that impact Eastern NC TAF sites.
May see brief overnight fog each night as dewpoints rise through
the 70s. A better chance of precip on Friday as low pres begins to
organize over the region. The low will strengthen offshore of the
Carolinas Friday night through Saturday with gusty NE winds
expected on Friday night/Saturday. Precip will be well offshore on
Saturday with partly cloudy skies returning through the weekend.

&&

.MARINE...
Short term /through Wed/
As of 7 PM Tuesday, winds currently NE over the Sounds and waters
north of Cape Lookout with SW to the south as a warm front slowly
works its way north slowly over the region through tonight. Wind
speeds should remain in the 5 to 15 knot range with seas 2-3
overnight. As the boundary begins to lift north after midnight,
winds throughout will begin to veer, with SW across all waters
Wednesday. Pressure gradient will remain rather loose, with winds
generally 5-10 knots tonight and 10-15 knots Wednesday, and seas
2-3 feet.

Long Term /Wed night through Sun/...
As of 4 PM Tue...Another back door front will sink near the VA
border/northern waters Thursday with latest guidance indicating
surface flow should remain southwest through late Thursday.
SW winds increase to 20-25 KT late Wed night across the srn/ctrl
waters and a SCA looks likely south of Oregon inlet for the gusty
winds and building seas to 6 feet. The SW gradient will relax on
Thur with winds becoming WSW. Low pressure is forecast to develop
off the coast by late Friday night through Sat, shifting winds
N/NNE and increasing to 20-30 kt late Friday night through
Saturday. Local SWAN/NWPS in good agreement with latest Wavewatch
through the medium range, with Wavewatch appearing reasonable by
late in the extended period given strong N/NE wind field
developing. May be a period of gales late Fri night through Sat
morning as the low is deepening offshore. Seas increase to 10+
feet as a result. Winds should slowly diminish later Sat through
Sun as it appears now the low will be moving well away from the
waters, with seas slowly subsiding as well.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HSA
NEAR TERM...CTC/HSA
SHORT TERM...HSA
LONG TERM...DAG/TL
AVIATION...CTC/HSA/TL
MARINE...CTC/HSA/TL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
525 AM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-150930-
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-GREENE-BEAUFORT-
MAINLAND HYDE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET-ONSLOW-
525 AM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

HIGH TEMPERATURES 90 TO 95 COMBINED WITH HIGH HUMIDITY WILL
PRODUCE AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES AROUND 100 DEGREES ON
WEDNESDAY...AND BETWEEN 100 AND 105 DEGREES THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ103-104-150930-
OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
525 AM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
627 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016

NCZ090-142315-
DUPLIN-
627 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL DUPLIN COUNTY...

AT 626 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER PENDERLEA...OR
NEAR WALLACE...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WALLACE AND TEACHEY.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREES AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...
POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

LAT...LON 3475 7813 3482 7778 3472 7778 3472 7796
      3471 7798 3473 7802 3473 7803 3472 7811
      3471 7813
TIME...MOT...LOC 2226Z 269DEG 11KT 3469 7806

26

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
703 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0643 PM     HAIL             WALLACE                 34.73N  78.00W
06/14/2016  M1.00 INCH       DUPLIN             NC   AMATEUR RADIO

            HAM RADIO REPORT RELAYED BY WFO ILM

&&

EVENT NUMBER MHX1600220

SEK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
716 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016

NCZ090-098-150000-
ONSLOW-DUPLIN-
716 PM EDT TUE JUN 14 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN DUPLIN AND
NORTHWESTERN ONSLOW COUNTIES...

AT 716 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES SOUTH OF
BEULAVILLE...OR 12 MILES EAST OF WALLACE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND HALF INCH HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
JACKSONVILLE...RICHLANDS...RICHLANDS SOUTH AND ALBERT J ELLIS AIRPORT.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREES AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...
POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

LAT...LON 3498 7761 3477 7745 3471 7768 3472 7768
      3472 7786 3482 7793
TIME...MOT...LOC 2316Z 241DEG 19KT 3479 7779

26