Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2016
River Flood Warning 32, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued this river flood warning at Oct 8, 2016, 6:13 PM EDT for Martin County, North Carolina. It took effect at Oct 9, 2016, 7:30 AM EDT. It was in force for 55 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 8, 2016, 6:13 PM EDT (22:13 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 9, 2016, 7:30 AM EDT
- Expired
- Oct 11, 2016, 2:00 PM EDT
- In force
- 55 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Martin County, NC
The radar
The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 121 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Roanoke River at Williamston (WLLN7). The gauge peaked at 11.58 ft at Oct 11, 2016, 7:00 PM EDT.
- Action stage
- 10.5 ft
- Minor stage
- 12 ft
- Moderate stage
- 13 ft
- Major stage
- 15 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02081054, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
800
WGUS42 KMHX 082213
FLWMHX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
613 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016
...The National Weather Service in Newport has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in North Carolina...
Roanoke River Near Williamston affecting Martin County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks. Flood waters will
weaken the banks making them dangerous.
A followup product will be issued by the National Weather Service a
little later.
&&
NCC117-092213-
/O.NEW.KMHX.FL.W.0032.161009T1130Z-161011T1800Z/
/WLLN7.1.ER.161009T1130Z.161010T0000Z.161011T0600Z.NO/
613 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016
The National Weather Service in Newport has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Roanoke River Near Williamston.
* from Sunday morning to Tuesday afternoon...Or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 5 PM Saturday the stage was 7.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue
to rise to near 12.7 feet by tomorrow evening.the river will fall
below flood stage by early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Many acres of farmland are flooded. Water
will begin to reach some secondary roads near the river.
&&
LAT...LON 3594 7701 3590 7699 3591 7690 3582 7697
3585 7706 3590 7705
$$4 follow-up statements
786
WGUS82 KMHX 090258
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
1058 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Contentnea Creek Near Hookerton affecting Greene...Lenoir and Pitt
Counties
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
Tar River At Greenville affecting Pitt County
Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin affecting Duplin County
Roanoke River Near Williamston affecting Martin County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC079-107-147-100258-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0026.161009T0256Z-000000T0000Z/
/HOKN7.3.ER.161009T0014Z.161014T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1058 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016
The Flood Warning extended for
The Contentnea Creek Near Hookerton.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10 PM Saturday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 22.0 feet by
Thursday evening. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Numerous homes on the north side of the
creek between Snow Hill and Hookerton will flood. Water will flood
up to Walston and Creek Roads and begin to threaten businesses in
Hookerton. Water will flood low areas on the northeast side of Snow
Hill. Widespread flooding will cause numerous homes and businesses
in Grifton and Tick Bite to flood.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8PM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue
Hookerton 13 13.9 Sat 10 PM 16.2 17.0 18.8
LAT...LON 3549 7768 3542 7744 3535 7741 3535 7747
3539 7756 3544 7771
$$
NCC107-100258-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0027.161009T0315Z-000000T0000Z/
/KINN7.3.ER.161009T0315Z.161014T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1058 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016
The Flood Warning extended for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10 PM Saturday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise
to near 27.3 feet by Thursday evening. Additional rises are
possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet...Disasterous flooding. Comparable to the
flood from Hurricane Floyd. All major roads on the south side of
Kinston will flood. Up to two feet of water will likely be on
Highway 70 in Kinston. Numerous businesses and homes will flood.
Numerous creeks in Lenoir County including the Contentnea Creek
will also cause widespread flooding. Numerous evacuations will be
needed countywide.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8PM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue
Kinston 14 13.7 Sat 10 PM 19.6 22.0 23.3
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$
NCC147-100258-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0028.161009T0346Z-000000T0000Z/
/PGVN7.3.ER.161009T0346Z.161012T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1058 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016
The Flood Warning extended for
The Tar River At Greenville.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 9 PM Saturday the stage was 11.2 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tonight and continue to rise
to near 27.3 feet by early Wednesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Water will flood several homes near the
river. Water will begin to flood town commons and adjacent areas in
the city of Greenville. Many acres of farmland flooded.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Devastating flooding for all areas adjacent
to the river and tributaries. Nearly all major roads countywide will
become flooded and impassable.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8PM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue
Greenville 13 11.2 Sat 10 PM 22.9 25.9 26.7
LAT...LON 3577 7751 3565 7736 3564 7729 3556 7733
3559 7742 3573 7757
$$
NCC061-100258-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHIN7.3.ER.161009T0745Z.161012T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1058 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At10 PM Saturday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to
rise to near 22.4 feet by Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Devastating flooding across much of the
county. Numerous evacuations are necessary. Travel will become
nearly impossible with numerous roads countywide becoming
impassable or washed out.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8PM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue
Chinquapin 13 11.1 Sat 10 PM 16.8 20.6 22.2
LAT...LON 3491 7779 3481 7777 3472 7786 3472 7798
3482 7791 3491 7792
$$
NCC117-100258-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0032.161009T1130Z-161011T1800Z/
/WLLN7.1.ER.161009T1130Z.161010T0000Z.161011T0600Z.NO/
1058 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Roanoke River Near Williamston.
* from Sunday morning to Tuesday afternoon...Or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At10 PM Saturday the stage was 8.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow morning and continue
to rise to near 12.7 feet by tomorrow evening.the river is expected
to fall below flood stage by early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Many acres of farmland are flooded. Water
will begin to reach some secondary roads near the river.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8PM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue
Williamston 12 8.4 Sat 10 PM 12.7 12.2 11.4
LAT...LON 3594 7701 3590 7699 3591 7690 3582 7697
3585 7706 3590 7705
$$190
WGUS82 KMHX 090807
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
407 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Roanoke River Near Williamston affecting Martin County
Trent River At Trenton affecting Jones County
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin affecting Duplin County
Contentnea Creek Near Hookerton affecting Greene...Lenoir and Pitt
Counties
Tar River At Greenville affecting Pitt County
Trent River At Pollocksville affecting Jones County
Chicod Creek Near Simpson affecting Pitt County
Swift Creek Near Streets Ferry affecting Craven County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC117-100807-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0032.161010T0600Z-161011T0900Z/
/WLLN7.1.ER.161010T0600Z.161010T1200Z.161010T2100Z.NO/
407 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016
The Flood Warning extended for
The Roanoke River Near Williamston.
* from late tonight to late Monday night...Or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 3 AM Sunday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by after midnight tonight and
continue to rise to near 12.2 feet by tomorrow morning.the river is
expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Widespread low land flooding can be expected
adjacent to the river. Impacts on operations at the water treatment
plant in Williamston will occur.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed
Williamston 12 9.4 Sun 03 AM 12.2 11.7 11.5
LAT...LON 3594 7701 3590 7699 3591 7690 3582 7697
3585 7706 3590 7705
$$
NCC103-100807-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0033.161009T0805Z-000000T0000Z/
/TNTN7.1.ER.161009T0531Z.161011T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
407 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016
The Flood Warning extended for
The Trent River At Trenton.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 3 AM Sunday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.5 feet by
early Tuesday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Water floods the Free Bridge on Little
Chinquapin/Chinquapin Chapel/Free Bridge Road along with several
homes on Plantation Road. Homes near the river in Trenton will
begin to flood.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed
LAT...LON 3510 7744 3509 7737 3505 7741 3505 7746
3506 7748 3509 7748
$$
NCC061-100807-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/CHIN7.3.ER.161009T1022Z.161012T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
407 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Northeast Cape Fear River Near Chinquapin.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 3 AM Sunday the stage was 12.1 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this morning and continue to
rise to near 20.9 feet by early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Widespread flooding over much of the county.
Many evacuations needed along the Northeast Cape Fear River and its
tributaries. Most roads will become flooded and impassable.
Numerous homes and communities near the river will begin to flood.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed
Chinquapin 13 12.1 Sun 03 AM 17.6 19.9 20.8
LAT...LON 3491 7779 3481 7777 3472 7786 3472 7798
3482 7791 3491 7792
$$
NCC079-107-147-100807-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HOKN7.3.ER.161009T0014Z.161014T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
407 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Contentnea Creek Near Hookerton.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 3 AM Sunday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.9 feet by
Thursday evening then begin falling.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Low areas on the south side of Snow Hill
start to flood. Several homes on the north side of the creek from
Snow Hill to Hookerton will start to flood. Water up to the Highway
188 (Highland Blvd) bridge in Grifton. Widespread flooding in
Grifton and Tick Bite.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed
Hookerton 13 15.4 Sun 03 AM 16.5 17.5 19.0
LAT...LON 3549 7768 3542 7744 3535 7741 3535 7747
3539 7756 3544 7771
$$
NCC147-100807-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PGVN7.3.ER.161009T0652Z.161012T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
407 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Tar River At Greenville.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 2 AM Sunday the stage was 12.9 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early this morning and
continue to rise to near 26.1 feet by early Wednesday afternoon.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed
Greenville 13 12.9 Sun 03 AM 22.6 24.1 25.9
LAT...LON 3577 7751 3565 7736 3564 7729 3556 7733
3559 7742 3573 7757
$$
NCC103-100807-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/PLLN7.3.ER.161008T2200Z.161011T0900Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
407 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Trent River At Pollocksville.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 4 AM Sunday the stage was 6.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 5.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.0 feet by
Tuesday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet...Two-thirds of Pollocksville will flood.
Water will flood past the post office downtown. Widespread flooding
of numerous homes north and south of the river. Comparable to the
flood of September 1999 after Hurricane Floyd.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed
LAT...LON 3506 7723 3504 7716 3501 7718 3498 7720
3499 7725 3501 7727
$$
NCC147-100807-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SIMN7.3.ER.161008T2148Z.161009T0545Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
407 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Chicod Creek Near Simpson.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 1 AM Sunday the stage was 17.8 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Widespread flooding. Flooding of SR 33
between Simpson and Grimesland.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed
LAT...LON 3560 7722 3557 7718 3554 7720 3551 7723
3553 7727 3557 7725
$$
NCC049-100807-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/SWFN7.1.ER.161008T1745Z.161009T0800Z.000000T0000Z.UU/
407 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Swift Creek Near Streets Ferry.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 4 AM Sunday the stage was 5.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 4.0 feet.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...Homes flooded along Streets Ferry Road south
of Swift Creek bridge to Piney Neck Road.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed
LAT...LON 3531 7715 3529 7713 3524 7709 3522 7711
3528 7720 3530 7718
$$108
WGUS82 KMHX 091442
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
1042 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Roanoke River Near Williamston affecting Martin County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC117-101442-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0032.161010T1800Z-161012T0600Z/
/WLLN7.1.ER.161010T1800Z.161011T0000Z.161011T1800Z.NO/
1042 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016
...Flood Warning extended until late Tuesday night for
The Roanoke River Near Williamston.
* from Monday afternoon to late Tuesday night...Or until the warning
is cancelled.
* At10 AM Sunday the stage was 10.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early tomorrow afternoon and
continue to rise to near 12.1 feet by tomorrow evening.the river is
expected to fall below flood stage by early Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Widespread low land flooding can be expected
adjacent to the river. Impacts on operations at the water treatment
plant in Williamston will occur.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8PM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed
Williamston 12 10.2 Sun 10 AM 11.1 12.1 11.9
LAT...LON 3594 7701 3590 7699 3591 7690 3582 7697
3585 7706 3590 7705
$$082
WGUS82 KMHX 101412
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
1012 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2016
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Roanoke River Near Williamston affecting Martin County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC117-101442-
/O.CAN.KMHX.FL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-161012T0600Z/
/WLLN7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1012 AM EDT MON OCT 10 2016
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Roanoke River Near Williamston.
* At 9 AM Monday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 11.7 feet
tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Widespread low land flooding can be expected
adjacent to the river. Impacts on operations at the water treatment
plant in Williamston will occur.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu
Williamston 12 11.1 Mon 09 AM 11.7 11.7 11.7
LAT...LON 3594 7701 3590 7699 3591 7690 3582 7697
3585 7706 3590 7705
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Oct 8, 4:43 PM EDT, 1 hour 30 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 8, 4:43 PM EDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
443 PM EDT Sat Oct 8 2016
.SYNOPSIS...
Hurricane Matthew is forecast to lift along the southeast coast
through this weekend. Please see the latest forecast from the
National Hurricane Center on Hurricane Matthew. Cool high pressure
will build in from the northwest early next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
As of 315 PM Sat...
Matthews tropical airmass will spread northeastward through the
evening and peak tonight as Matthew makes his closest approach to
E NC to the south of the Crystal Coast. We are still very
concerned for serious flash flooding and then subsequent river
flooding as tremendous rainfall amounts continue to be forecast by
model suite. We have already seen substantial rainfall across the
coastal plain/sand hills region today. Higher res meso models
indicate an area of intense mesoscale banding developing somewhere
across E NC as intense fgen signature develops due to tropical
system becoming more baroclinic in nature. We can actually see
this type of banding along and near Wilmington at this hour. Still
forecasting 5 to 10 inches of rain across a large area of E NC
with locally higher amounts possible depending on where exactly
heavy mesoscale rain bands develop. The exact track of Matthew
will ultimately determine where the additional rain/banding will
occur. The timing for the very heavy rain rates looks to continue
just inland and migrate to the NE as the system parallels the
coast. Travel will be extremely dangerous and potentially life
threatening tonight as combination of darkness and flash flooding
lead to unseen high water across area roadways.
Another threat is isolated tornadoes. This threat has lifted north
across much of the area as we are now in the NW sector of Matthew.
Strong low level shear and very low LCL's in conjunction with the
instability will lead to potential tornado risk lasting through
this evening before winds turn easterly then northerly bringing an
end to the tornado risk for the entire area by late tonight/early
Sunday morning.
Tropical storm force winds are expected ahead of approaching
Matthew, and then through first half of Sunday as Matthew departs
to the east. Strongest winds on Sunday will be due to high
pressure to the west and departing Matthew to the east creating a
strong northerly pres gradient across the area. This will help
push waters along locations adjacent to the Sounds and Coastal
Waters. Surge and coastal flooding will become an increasing
concern starting this afternoon and lasting through much of
Sunday.
&&
.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY/...
As of 315 PM Sat...Heavy rain will end Sunday morning from west
to east as area of deep lift shifts off the coast. Tropical storm
force winds expected with northerly winds continuing threat for
moderate storm surge concerns and coastal flooding issues. With
the north winds, expect water to push ashore at locations
adjacent to the Sounds. River systems will start to take on the
copious amounts of rainfall and begin to rise across the area.
Deep standing water on roads and properties will continue to be a
concern, along with continuing potential for falling trees due to
combination of saturated soils and and strong wind gusts.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 230 AM Sat...Expecting our first touch of fall as high
pressure builds into the area from the north with cooler and drier
conditions...though uncertainty remains regarding the track of
Matthew next week. Latest 00z GFS/ECMWF guidance shows Matthew
pushing back southward toward Florida and the Bahamas Monday into
Tuesday and lingering through late week. Some coastal showers will
be possible through mid week, but did not make sig changes to
previous forecast. Low level thickness values support highs in the
mid 60s to low 70s Monday, then warming into the low to mid 70s
Tue through Fri. Lows Monday/Tuesday mornings will be in the lower
50s inland to low 60s along the coast...some guidance shows lows
getting into the upper 40s inland Monday and Tuesday mornings,
then warming a few degrees mid to late week. The GFS tries to push
a reinforcing front through the area Thu night.
&&
.AVIATION /20Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Short Term /through 18Z Sunday/...
As of 315 PM Saturday, widespread rain will continue to
overspread the region including the TAF sites over the next couple
of hours. Ceilings will be MVFR/IFR and continue through the day
into tonight. Winds will increase as the center of Matthew
advances along the southeast NC coast through the evening with
gusts peaking around 50 knots, mainly KEWN/KOAJ, during the
evening hours. Low-level wind shear will be likely during the
overnight hours as well. Winds will back to the north as Matthew
moves further out to seas tonight. Cigs/vsbys improve early Sunday
as the system begins to exit. Continued gusts on the back end of
the system, gusting upwards of 25-30kts.
Long Term /Sunday through Wednesday/...
As of 230 AM Sat...Widespread sub-VFR conditions early
Sunday...with heavy rain and gusty winds from Hurricane Matthew.
Conditions should gradually improve by Sunday night with
diminishing rain and wind...with pred VFR Mon through Wed.
&&
.MARINE...
Short Term /through Sunday/...
As of 315 PM Sat...Latest buoy obs are showing high seas of 8 to
12 feet. Winds will continue to be southeasterly/easterly and
increase through the afternoon/evening as Matthew approaches.
Seas will correspondingly increase through the day.
Hurricane Warning continues south of Cape Lookout, while Tropical
Storm Warning remains from north of Cape Lookout. The latest 12Z model
suite keeps track of Matthew just south of the Crystal Coast and
Cape Lookout, though any slight northward shift in the track could
impact the current forecast and expected impacts...mainly a
stronger wind field and subsequent higher seas. Regardless of the
track, high seas of 10-20 feet still expected across the marine
domain with waves of 4 to 6 feet for the sounds.
Long Term /Monday through Wednesday/...
As of 230 AM Sat...Strong winds and dangerous seas continue
Monday. NNE winds 25-35 kt Monday with seas 10-18 feet. Then gusty
winds and rough seas will continue into Wednesday as high pressure
tries to build into the area from the west.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
As of 315 PM Sat...At this time the main threat still looks like
the potential for serious and life threatening flash flooding
mainly across the inland areas. The heaviest rain rates forecast
to fall late this afternoon through tonight, and therefore
combination of darkness and high water across roads, travel will
become dangerous tonight. Storm total rainfall 8-15 inches, with
locally higher amounts possible. WPCs excessive rainfall outlook
has ENC in a HIGH risk. A Flash Flood Watch continues across the
area into Sunday.
Extreme rain amounts and tropical storm force winds will add to
the threat for coastal flooding, which could result in moderate
inundation in some locations. Given the wet ground expect we will
see widespread flooding, especially inland, if this much rain
does fall, which we have already seen across RAH and ILMs CWA. River
flooding will also become a serious concern if these high rainfall
totals materialize...with river forecast points expected to rise
to major levels Sunday into early next week.
&&
.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Tropical Storm Warning for NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-
103-104.
Flash Flood Watch through Sunday afternoon for NCZ029-044>047-
079>081-090>095-098-103-104.
Beach Hazards Statement through Sunday evening for NCZ095-098-
103-104.
Hurricane Watch for NCZ095-098.
MARINE...Tropical Storm Warning for AMZ130-131-135>137-150-152-154-156.
Hurricane Warning for AMZ158.
&&
SYNOPSIS...RF/TL
NEAR TERM...TL/LEP
SHORT TERM...TL/LEP
LONG TERM...CQD
AVIATION...CTC/CQD/LEP
MARINE...CQD/TL/LEP
HYDROLOGY...MHXHazardous weather outlook, Oct 8, 7:21 AM EDT, 10 hours 52 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 721 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 NCZ103-091130- OUTER BANKS DARE- 721 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT. TROPICAL STORM WARNING. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT. TROPICAL STORM WARNING. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ104-091130- OUTER BANKS HYDE- 721 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TROPICAL STORM WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TROPICAL STORM WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ095-091130- CARTERET- 721 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... ...TORNADO WATCH 496 IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT. TORNADO WATCH. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. HURRICANE WATCH. TROPICAL STORM WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. HURRICANE WATCH. TROPICAL STORM WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ093-094-091130- CRAVEN-PAMLICO- 721 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... ...TORNADO WATCH 496 IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. TORNADO WATCH. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TROPICAL STORM WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TROPICAL STORM WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ098-091130- ONSLOW- 721 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... ...TORNADO WATCH 496 IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... ...HURRICANE WATCH IN EFFECT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT. TORNADO WATCH. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. HURRICANE WATCH. TROPICAL STORM WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. HURRICANE WATCH. TROPICAL STORM WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ044-079-080-090-091-091130- PITT-GREENE-BEAUFORT-DUPLIN-LENOIR- 721 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TROPICAL STORM WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TROPICAL STORM WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ029-045>047-081-091130- MARTIN-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-MAINLAND HYDE- 721 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. TROPICAL STORM WARNING. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. TROPICAL STORM WARNING. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ092-091130- JONES- 721 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... ...TORNADO WATCH 496 IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON... ...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. TORNADO WATCH. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TROPICAL STORM WARNING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. TROPICAL STORM WARNING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Oct 8, 1:04 PM EDT, 5 hours 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
104 PM EDT SAT OCT 08 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1151 AM TROPICAL STORM RICHLANDS 34.90N 77.55W
10/08/2016 ONSLOW NC AWOS
OAJ AWOS REPORTED 47 KTS 54 MPH
1158 AM TROPICAL STORM BEAUFORT 34.72N 76.65W
10/08/2016 CARTERET NC ASOS
BEAUFORT ASOS REPORTED A WIND GUST OF 36 KTS 41 MPH
1200 PM TROPICAL STORM CAPE LOOKOUT 34.61N 76.55W
10/08/2016 CARTERET NC C-MAN STATION
CAPE LOOKOUT STATION REPORTED WIND GUST OF 43 KTS 49
MPH
1205 PM FUNNEL CLOUD NEWPORT 34.79N 76.86W
10/08/2016 CARTERET NC 911 CALL CENTER
911 CALL CENTER CALLED TO REPORT FUNNEL CLOUD
1205 PM FUNNEL CLOUD ATLANTIC BEACH 34.70N 76.74W
10/08/2016 CARTERET NC LAW ENFORCEMENT
SHERIFF CALLED TO REPORT FUNNEL CLOUD IN ATLANTIC BEACH
1207 PM FUNNEL CLOUD MOREHEAD CITY 34.72N 76.73W
10/08/2016 CARTERET NC 911 CALL CENTER
SHERIFF CALLED 911 CENTER TO REPORT A FUNNEL CLOUD JUST
OVER THE ATLANTIC BEACH BRIDGE
&&
EVENT NUMBER MHX1600345 MHX1600346 MHX1600347 MHX1600348 MHX1600349
MHX1600350
SAAVEDRALocal storm report, Oct 8, 1:57 PM EDT, 4 hours 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
157 PM EDT SAT OCT 08 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1133 AM TROPICAL STORM WARSAW 35.00N 78.09W
10/08/2016 DUPLIN NC 911 CALL CENTER
TREE DOWN ON LANDFILL ROAD... NEAR WARSAW ELEMENTARY
SCHOOL
1230 PM TROPICAL STORM FRISCO 35.23N 75.61W
10/08/2016 DARE NC ASOS
HATTERAS ASOS REPORTE A WIND GUST OF 40 KTS 45 MPH
1241 PM TROPICAL STORM MOUNT OLIVE 35.58N 76.47W
10/08/2016 HYDE NC 911 CALL CENTER
TREE DOWN NEAR N. DUPLIN HIGH SCHOOL... BLOCKING BOTH
LANES OF TRAFFIC
0130 PM TROPICAL STORM WINTERVILLE 35.53N 77.40W
10/08/2016 PITT NC CO-OP OBSERVER
CWOP WEATHER INSTRUMENT REPORTED 50 KTS 57 MPH
&&
EVENT NUMBER MHX1600351 MHX1600352 MHX1600353 MHX1600354
SAAVEDRALocal storm report, Oct 8, 3:04 PM EDT, 3 hours 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
304 PM EDT SAT OCT 08 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0205 PM TROPICAL STORM OCRACOKE 35.10N 75.98W
10/08/2016 HYDE NC WEATHER FLOW
WEATHER FLOW AT OCRACOKE REPORTED 40 KTS 46 MPH
&&
EVENT NUMBER MHX1600355
SAAVEDRAThe office that day
Everything else NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 11:12 PM EDT | Hurricane Warning | MHX | 36 hr | |
| Oct 8, 11:17 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | MHX | Onslow | 28 min |
| Oct 8, 11:18 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | MHX | Carteret, Craven, Duplin, Greene, Jones, Lenoir and 1 more | 20 hr |
| Oct 8, 11:43 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | MHX | Carteret | 32 min |
| Oct 8, 1:50 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | MHX | Duplin | 12 min |
| Oct 8, 2:24 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | MHX | Carteret | 36 min |
| Oct 8, 3:21 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | MHX | Jones | 9 days |
| Oct 8, 4:22 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | MHX | Pitt | 10 days |
| Oct 8, 4:35 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | MHX | Greene, Lenoir, Martin, Pitt | 14 hr |
| Oct 8, 5:14 PM EDT | River Flood Warning | MHX | Craven | 15 days |
| Oct 8, 5:22 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | MHX | Duplin, Lenoir | 6 hr |
| Oct 8, 5:26 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | MHX | Beaufort, Pamlico | 14 hr |
| Oct 8, 6:27 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | MHX | Dare, Hyde, Tyrrell, Washington | 14 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.