River Flood Warning 13, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

376 
WGUS82 KMHX 291418
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
918 AM EST MON FEB 29 2016

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...
 
  Contentnea Creek Near Hookerton affecting Greene...Lenoir and Pitt 
  Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur 
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.

&&

NCC079-107-147-011418-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160303T0600Z/
/HOKN7.1.ER.160229T0820Z.160229T1800Z.160303T0000Z.NO/
918 AM EST MON FEB 29 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Wednesday night...The Flood 
Warning extended for
  The Contentnea Creek Near Hookerton.
* until late Wednesday night...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 9 AM Monday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 13.1 feet by this
  afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Flood stage. Minor flooding of low lying 
  areas adjacent to creek can be expected.

&&
                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 8AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Tue   Wed   Thu
  Hookerton       13  13.1 Mon 09 AM   13.1  13.0  12.9

LAT...LON 3549 7768 3542 7744 3535 7741 3535 7747
          3539 7756 3544 7771        

$$

130 
WGUS82 KMHX 010132
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
832 PM EST MON FEB 29 2016

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...
 
  Contentnea Creek Near Hookerton affecting Greene...Lenoir and Pitt 
  Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur 
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.

&&

NCC079-107-147-020132-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160304T1800Z/
/HOKN7.1.ER.160229T0820Z.160301T0600Z.160304T1200Z.NO/
832 PM EST MON FEB 29 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Friday afternoon...The Flood Warning 
extended for
  The Contentnea Creek Near Hookerton.
* until Friday afternoon...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8 PM Monday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 13.2 feet by 
  early tomorrow afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood
  stage Friday morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Flood stage. Minor flooding of low lying 
  areas adjacent to creek can be expected.

&&
                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 8PM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Tue   Wed   Thu
  Hookerton       13  13.1 Mon 08 PM   13.2  13.1  13.0

LAT...LON 3549 7768 3542 7744 3535 7741 3535 7747
          3539 7756 3544 7771        

$$

314 
WGUS82 KMHX 011613
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
1113 AM EST TUE MAR 1 2016

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...
 
  Contentnea Creek Near Hookerton affecting Greene...Lenoir and Pitt 
  Counties 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur 
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.

&&

NCC079-107-147-021613-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160304T0600Z/
/HOKN7.1.ER.160229T0820Z.160301T1800Z.160304T0000Z.NO/
1113 AM EST TUE MAR 1 2016

The Flood Warning extended for
  The Contentnea Creek Near Hookerton.
* until late Thursday night...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 11 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 13.2 feet by this
  afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Thursday
  evening.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Flood stage. Minor flooding of low lying 
  areas adjacent to creek can be expected.

&&
                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 8AM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Wed   Thu   Fri
  Hookerton       13  13.2 Tue 11 AM   13.1  13.0  12.9

LAT...LON 3549 7768 3542 7744 3535 7741 3535 7747
          3539 7756 3544 7771        

$$

958 
WGUS82 KMHX 020210
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
910 PM EST TUE MAR 1 2016

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...
 
  Contentnea Creek Near Hookerton affecting Greene...Lenoir and Pitt 
  Counties 
  Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur 
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.

&&

NCC079-107-147-030210-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160304T1200Z/
/HOKN7.1.ER.160229T0820Z.160301T1646Z.160304T0600Z.NO/
910 PM EST TUE MAR 1 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...The Flood Warning 
extended for
  The Contentnea Creek Near Hookerton.
* until Friday morning...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Flood stage. Minor flooding of low lying 
  areas adjacent to creek can be expected.

&&
                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 8PM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Wed   Thu   Fri
  Hookerton       13  13.1 Tue 08 PM   13.1  13.0  12.8

LAT...LON 3549 7768 3542 7744 3535 7741 3535 7747
          3539 7756 3544 7771        

$$

NCC107-030210-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160307T0000Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160302T0600Z.160306T1800Z.NO/
910 PM EST TUE MAR 1 2016

The Flood Warning extended for
  The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until Sunday evening...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8 PM Tuesday the stage was 15.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Impact...At 15.6 feet...Low land flooding of the campground at the 
  Nature Center can be expected.

&&
                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 8PM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Wed   Thu   Fri
  Kinston         14  15.7 Tue 08 PM   15.6  15.3  14.8

LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
          3522 7759 3522 7764        

$$

812 
WGUS82 KMHX 030116
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
816 PM EST WED MAR 2 2016

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...
 
  Contentnea Creek Near Hookerton affecting Greene...Lenoir and Pitt
  Counties

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...
 
  Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur 
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.

Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.

&&

NCC079-107-147-030146-
/O.CAN.KMHX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160304T1200Z/
/HOKN7.1.ER.160229T0820Z.160301T1646Z.160302T1900Z.NO/
816 PM EST WED MAR 2 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Contentnea Creek Near Hookerton.
* At 8 PM Wednesday the stage was 12.9 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  2:00 PM Wednesday.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 12.5 feet by Friday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Flood stage. Minor flooding of low lying 
  areas adjacent to creek can be expected.

&&
                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 8PM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Thu   Fri   Sat
  Hookerton       13  12.9 Wed 08 PM   12.6  12.4  12.4

LAT...LON 3549 7768 3542 7744 3535 7741 3535 7747
          3539 7756 3544 7771        

$$

NCC107-040116-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160308T0000Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160302T1301Z.160307T1800Z.NO/
816 PM EST WED MAR 2 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening...The Flood Warning 
extended for
  The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until Monday evening...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7 PM Wednesday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.6 feet...Low land flooding of the campground at the 
  Nature Center can be expected.

&&
                  Fld  Observed         Forecast 8PM
Location          Stg  Stg  Day Time    Thu   Fri   Sat
  Kinston         14  15.6 Wed 08 PM   15.3  15.0  14.8

LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
          3522 7759 3522 7764        

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
1230 AM EST MON FEB 29 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL EXTEND OVER THE AREA FROM THE SOUTH THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH FROM THE WEST ON
WEDNESDAY WITH A BRIEF PERIOD OF HIGH PRESSURE ON THURSDAY.
DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY FOLLOWED
BY HIGH PRESSURE FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /OVERNIGHT/...
AS OF 1230 AM MON...NO SIG CHANGES NEEDED TO PREVIOUS FORECAST FOR
UPDATE. SURFACE RIDGE REMAINS SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION AND
WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT AWAY FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST
TONIGHT. A DRY/WEAK BOUNDARY AND MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL APPROACH
FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT. CLEAR SKIES ALLOWED A SURFACE BASED
INVERSION TO QUICKLY DEVELOP THIS EVENING DIMINISHING WINDS TO
5-10 MPH. CLEAR SKIES WITH LIGHT BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING WILL YIELD
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S INLAND TO LOW 50S ALONG THE OBX.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY/...
AS OF 245 PM SUNDAY...A WEAK MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE AND SFC
FRONT/BOUNDARY WILL CROSS MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH NOT SO MUCH AS A
THIN LAYER OF MID/HIGH CLOUDS AS IT PASSES. SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD
OF THE FRONT WILL BECOME GUSTY WITH WINDS VEERING EVER SO SLIGHTLY
TO THE WSW BY LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON BEHIND IT. GIVEN THICKNESS
VALUES INCREASING AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND SUSTAINED SW FLOW THROUGH
THE DAY, EXPECT A WARM DAY ON TAP WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S
INLAND TO LOW 60S CLOSER TO THE WATER.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM SUNDAY...STILL SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES IN GUIDANCE
FOR BOTH THE MIDWEEK AND LATE WEEK SYSTEM. OVERALL, ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES WILL PREVAIL FOR MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.

MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF
ONCOMING COLD FRONT LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND ESPECIALLY TUESDAY. THIS
WILL LEAD TO HIGH TEMPERATURES OVER MUCH OF THE CWA IN THE UPPER
60S/LOWER 70S TUESDAY WITH MID 60S OUTER BANKS FOLLOWING MILD LOWS
MAINLY IN THE 40S.

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...TIMING DIFFERENCES
CONTINUE BETWEEN THE GFS AND THE ECMWF/CANADIAN MODELS WITH
REGARDS TO FRONTAL PASSAGE AND PRECIPITATION. THE GFS CONTINUES TO
BE SEVERAL HOURS SLOWER WHILE THE ECMWF/CANADIAN ARE SHOWING A
FASTER SOLUTION. FOR CONSISTENCY, HAVE CONTINUE WITH A BLEND OF
THE FASTER ECMWF/CANADIAN SOLUTIONS SHOWING LOW CHANCE POPS
TUESDAY NIGHT RAMPING UP TO HIGH CHANCE ON WEDNESDAY. SOME WEAK
INSTABILITY WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND HAVE CONTINUED TO SHOW A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER
BUT DO NOT EXPECT ANY WIDESPREAD CONVECTION OR SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT WITH THIS SYSTEM. CONSENSUS OF ALL MODELS IS THAT
PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE WELL OFFSHORE BY LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES ARE QUITE DIFFERENCE WEDS BASED ON MODEL
TIMING AND HAVE OPTED TO LEAN TOWARD THE COOLER ECMWF GUIDANCE
WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.

THURSDAY...THIS WILL BE A QUIET DAY BETWEEN SYSTEMS WITH COOLER
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S UNDER PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES.

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...CONSIDERABLE MODEL DIFFERENCE
AGAIN IN THE LATE WEEK PERIOD. ECMWF SHOWING A STRONG AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE NOW DEVELOPING AND MOVING NEAR OR JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA.
THIS IS SUPPORTED BY THE CANADIAN WHICH SHOWS A MUCH WEAKER LOW
MOVING ACROSS OR PERHAPS JUST NORTH OF THE AREA. THE GFS CONTINUES
TO BE AN OUTLIER SHOWING NO LOW PRESSURE DURING THIS PERIOD. HAVE
AGAIN FOLLOWED A CONSISTENT PATH AND WILL FORECAST LOW CHANCE POPS
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY TAPER OFF BY FRIDAY NIGHT.
MILDER PACIFIC AIR FOLLOWS THE NEXT SYSTEM AND TEMPERATURES AT
THE END OF THE WEEK REMAIN A BIT ABOVE NORMAL. LATEST 8 TO 14 DAY
FORECASTS FROM THE CPC SHOW ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR MUCH OF
THE NATION.

&&

.AVIATION /05Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 1230 AM MON...PRED VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD. ADDED LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR MENTION THROUGH EARLY THIS
MORNING WITH FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOWING 45-50KT AT 1500-2000FT.
SW WIND GUSTS AROUND 20KT LATE THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON AHEAD
OF AN APPROACHING WEAK FRONT/BOUNDARY. FEW/SCT CLOUDS LATE THIS
MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH BASES 5-10KFT.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM SUNDAY...HIGH LIKELIHOOD OF VFR CONDITIONS MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO HANG ON. INCREASED
MOISTURE AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES WILL LEAD TO PERIODS OF SUB-
VFR CONDITIONS STARTING TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES OFFSHORE...WEAK HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA THURSDAY WITH VFR CONDITIONS
RETURNING. MUCH UNCERTAINTY WITH FRIDAY'S FORECAST BUT A COUPLE OF
THE LONGER-RANGE MODELS SHOWING LOW PRESSURE MOVING NEAR THE CWA
WITH A THREAT OF RAIN AND LOWER CEILINGS/VSBYS LATE THURSDAY NIGHT
AND FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 1230 AM MON...LATEST SURFACE AND BUOY DATA INDICATE S/SSW
WINDS 10-20 KT WITH GUSTS UPWARDS OF 30 KT AT DIAMOND SHOALS BUOY
41025. SEAS HAVE BECOME WIND-WAVE DOMINANT 2-4 FT NORTH TO 4-8 FT
SOUTH, WITH DOMINANT PERIODS FALLING TO 4-5 SECONDS. THE SURFACE
RIDGE SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF EASTERN NC WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OFF THE
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. COAST TONIGHT. A WEAK/DRY FRONT/BOUNDARY WILL
APPROACH FROM THE WEST MONDAY MORNING HELPING TO PRODUCE A
MODERATE SSW PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE WATERS AND PAMLICO
SOUND, WITH WINDS 15-25 KT. SEAS WILL BUILD OVERNIGHT WINDS
INCREASE AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY WHICH WILL CROSS LATE MONDAY. WINDS
WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTHWEST THROUGH MID DAY MONDAY TO AROUND
15-25 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILL MAINTAIN SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
FOR ALL COASTAL WATERS AND THE PAMLICO SOUND. SEAS WILL BUILD TO 8
FT ACROSS THE OUTER CENTRAL/SOUTHERN WATERS THROUGH EARLY
AFTERNOON MONDAY. CONDITIONS START TO IMPROVE LATER MONDAY AS THE
BOUNDARY MOVES OFFSHORE. NO PRECIP EXPECTED WITH THIS WEAK FRONT.

LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM SUNDAY...GUSTY WINDS AND ELEVATED SEAS WILL LIKELY
LEAD TO SCA CONDITIONS ON THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH LATE WEEK.
SEAS WILL SUBSIDE OVERNIGHT MONDAY AND TUESDAY BEFORE WINDS
INCREASE AHEAD OF ONCOMING COLD FRONT TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
LIKELY TO SEE GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS ALONG WITH SEAS BUILDING TO 5-8
FEET ESPECIALLY CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN WATERS WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. WINDS/SEAS SUBSIDE BRIEFLY ON THURSDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS ACROSS THE WATERS...THEN INCREASE AGAIN AHEAD OF THE NEXT
STORM SYSTEM ON FRIDAY. STILL A GREAT DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY
REGARDING THE STRENGTH/PLACEMENT OF THE FRIDAY SYSTEM...BUT THE
POTENTIAL EXIST FOR GUSTY N/NE WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS.

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR AMZ135-
     150.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR AMZ152-
     154-156-158.

&&

SYNOPSIS...LEP
NEAR TERM...CQD/DAG/LEP
SHORT TERM...LEP
LONG TERM...CTC
AVIATION...CTC/CQD
MARINE...CTC/CQD/DAG/LEP

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
159 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2016

NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-291900-
MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-GREENE-BEAUFORT-
MAINLAND HYDE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET-ONSLOW-
OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
159 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.