Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2016
River Flood Warning 12, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued this river flood warning at Feb 22, 2016, 6:17 AM EST for Lenoir County, North Carolina. It took effect at Feb 22, 2016, 7:00 AM EST. It was in force for 13 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 22, 2016, 6:17 AM EST (11:17 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 22, 2016, 7:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Mar 6, 2016, 4:20 AM EST
- In force
- 13 days
- Issued by
- NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Lenoir County, NC
The radar
The Morehead City radar (KMHX), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Neuse River at Kinston (KINN7).
- Action stage
- 13 ft
- Minor stage
- 14 ft
- Moderate stage
- 18 ft
- Major stage
- 21 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02089500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
504
WGUS42 KMHX 221117
FLWMHX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
617 AM EST MON FEB 22 2016
...The National Weather Service in Newport has issued a Flood Warning
for the following rivers in North Carolina...
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks. Flood waters will
weaken the banks making them dangerous.
A followup product will be issued by the National Weather Service a
little later.
&&
NCC107-231117-
/O.NEW.KMHX.FL.W.0012.160222T1200Z-160225T1200Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1200Z.160223T0000Z.160225T0600Z.NO/
617 AM EST MON FEB 22 2016
The National Weather Service in Newport has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until Thursday morning...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 5 AM Monday the stage was 13.98 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this morning and continue to
rise to near 14.1 feet by this evening.the river will fall below
flood stage by early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water will begin to overflow into lowlands
adjacent to the river.
&&
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$27 follow-up statements
456
WGUS82 KMHX 221421
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
921 AM EST MON FEB 22 2016
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC107-231421-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160222T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
921 AM EST MON FEB 22 2016
...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning
extended for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8 AM Monday the stage was 14.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 14.1 feet by this
afternoon then slowly begin falling.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water will begin to overflow into lowlands
adjacent to the river.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu
Kinston 14 14.0 Mon 08 AM 14.1 14.1 14.1
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$975
WGUS82 KMHX 230328
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
1028 PM EST MON FEB 22 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC107-240328-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160227T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1028 PM EST MON FEB 22 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 9 PM Monday the stage was 14.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 14.4 feet by
early Saturday afternoon. Additional rises may be possible
thereafter.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water will begin to overflow into lowlands
adjacent to the river.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8PM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu
Kinston 14 14.1 Mon 09 PM 14.1 14.1 14.1
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$073
WGUS82 KMHX 231612
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
1112 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC107-241612-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160228T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1112 AM EST TUE FEB 23 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will hold nearly steady...and will rise to near
14.2 feet by early Sunday morning. Additional rises may be possible
thereafter.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water will begin to overflow into lowlands
adjacent to the river.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri
Kinston 14 14.1 Tue 11 AM 14.1 14.0 14.0
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$475
WGUS82 KMHX 240125
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
825 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC107-250125-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160225T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
825 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8 PM Tuesday the stage was 14.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 14.2 feet by
early Thursday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water will begin to overflow into lowlands
adjacent to the river.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8PM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri
Kinston 14 14.1 Tue 08 PM 14.1 14.2 14.2
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$257
WGUS82 KMHX 241546
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
1046 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC107-251546-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160223T1246Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1046 AM EST WED FEB 24 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At10 AM Wednesday the stage was 14.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 14.1 feet by this
afternoon. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water will begin to overflow into lowlands
adjacent to the river.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat
Kinston 14 14.1 Wed 11 AM 14.1 14.1 14.1
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$196
WGUS82 KMHX 250130
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
830 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC107-260130-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160229T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
830 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7 PM Wednesday the stage was 14.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 14.4 feet by
early Monday morning. Additional rises may be possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water will begin to overflow into lowlands
adjacent to the river.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8PM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat
Kinston 14 14.1 Wed 08 PM 14.2 14.2 14.3
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$612 WGUS82 KMHX 251839 FLSMHX NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-251849- DAILY RIVER AND LAKE SUMMARY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY...NC 1219 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016 .B MHX 0225 DC16022512 DH12/HG/DRH+24/HGIFF/DRH+48/HGIFF/DRH+72/HGIFF : STATION FLOOD 8AM 24-HR 8AM : ID NAME STAGE STAGE CHANGE FORECASTS : FRI SAT SUN : : NORTHEAST CAPE FEAR RIVER CHIN7 :CHINQUAPIN 13.0: 8.82 /: -0.07: M / M / M : : NEW RIVER GUMN7 :GUM BRANCH N/A: 5.09 /: 0.70: M / M / M : : NEUSE RIVER BCKN7 :MAYS STORE N/A: 8.09 /: 1.95: M / M / M KINN7 :KINSTON 14.0: 14.19 /: 0.12: 14.30 / 14.50 / 14.60 FTBN7 :FORT BARNWELL 12.5: 10.19 /: 0.07: M / M / M SWFN7 :STREETS FERRY 4.0: 1.55 /: -0.79: M / M / M : : CONTENTNEA CREEK NAHN7 :SHINE N/A: 8.67 /: 3.56: M / M / M HOKN7 :HOOKERTON 13.0: 12.82 /: 0.46: 12.90 / 12.90 / 12.90 : : TAR RIVER PGVN7 :GREENVILLE 13.0: 10.40 /: 0.00: 11.20 / 12.00 / 12.60 SIMN7 :SIMPSON 10.0: 7.73 /: 0.05: M / M / M PAMN7 :WASHINGTON 4.5: -0.31 /: -2.01: M / M / M : : TRENT RIVER TNTN7 :TRENTON 14.0: 7.29 /: -0.13: M / M / M PLLN7 :POLLOCKSVILLE 5.0: 0.74 /: -1.17: M / M / M : : ROANOKE RIVER OAKN7 :OAK CITY 23.0: 20.53 /: 0.01: M / M / M HMLN7 :HAMILTON 19.0: 17.31 /: 0.05: M / M / M WLLN7 :WILLIAMSTON 12.0: 11.49 /: 0.02: 11.00 / 10.80 / 10.80 JAMN7 :JAMESVILLE N/A: 3.37 /: -0.03: M / M / M WESN7 :WESTOVER N/A: 1.21 /: -0.51: M / M / M : .END $$
982
WGUS82 KMHX 260125
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
825 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC107-270125-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160301T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
825 PM EST THU FEB 25 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7 PM Thursday the stage was 14.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.0 feet by
early Tuesday afternoon. Additional rises may be possible
thereafter.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor low land flooding adjacent to the
river can be expected.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8PM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun
Kinston 14 14.3 Thu 07 PM 14.4 14.6 14.7
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$539
WGUS82 KMHX 261430
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
930 AM EST FRI FEB 26 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC107-271430-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160229T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
930 AM EST FRI FEB 26 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8 AM Friday the stage was 14.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.2 feet by
early Monday afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor low land flooding adjacent to the
river can be expected.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon
Kinston 14 14.5 Fri 08 AM 14.7 14.9 15.1
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$457
WGUS82 KMHX 270233
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
933 PM EST FRI FEB 26 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC107-280233-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160301T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
933 PM EST FRI FEB 26 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 9 PM Friday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.2 feet by
early Tuesday afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor low land flooding adjacent to the
river can be expected.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8PM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon
Kinston 14 14.6 Fri 09 PM 14.8 14.9 15.1
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$154
WGUS82 KMHX 271543
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
1043 AM EST SAT FEB 27 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC107-281543-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160301T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1043 AM EST SAT FEB 27 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10 AM Saturday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.3 feet by
early Tuesday afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...At 15.6 feet...Low land flooding of the campground at the
Nature Center can be expected.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue
Kinston 14 14.6 Sat 10 AM 14.7 14.9 15.2
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$990
WGUS82 KMHX 280152
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
852 PM EST SAT FEB 27 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC107-290152-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160301T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
852 PM EST SAT FEB 27 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8 PM Saturday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.4 feet by
early Wednesday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 15.6 feet...Low land flooding of the campground at the
Nature Center can be expected.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8PM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue
Kinston 14 14.7 Sat 09 PM 14.8 15.1 15.4
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$849
WGUS82 KMHX 281610
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
1110 AM EST SUN FEB 28 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC107-291610-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160302T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1110 AM EST SUN FEB 28 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10 AM Sunday the stage was 14.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.5 feet by
early Wednesday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 15.6 feet...Low land flooding of the campground at the
Nature Center can be expected.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed
Kinston 14 14.8 Sun 11 AM 15.0 15.3 15.5
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$555
WGUS82 KMHX 290132
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
832 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC107-010132-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160301T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
832 PM EST SUN FEB 28 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8 PM Sunday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.5 feet by
Tuesday evening then begin falling.
* Impact...At 15.6 feet...Low land flooding of the campground at the
Nature Center can be expected.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8PM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Mon Tue Wed
Kinston 14 15.0 Sun 08 PM 15.4 15.5 15.4
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$376
WGUS82 KMHX 291418
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
918 AM EST MON FEB 29 2016
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Contentnea Creek Near Hookerton affecting Greene...Lenoir and Pitt
Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC079-107-147-011418-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160303T0600Z/
/HOKN7.1.ER.160229T0820Z.160229T1800Z.160303T0000Z.NO/
918 AM EST MON FEB 29 2016
...Flood Warning extended until late Wednesday night...The Flood
Warning extended for
The Contentnea Creek Near Hookerton.
* until late Wednesday night...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 9 AM Monday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 13.1 feet by this
afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood stage
Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Flood stage. Minor flooding of low lying
areas adjacent to creek can be expected.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu
Hookerton 13 13.1 Mon 09 AM 13.1 13.0 12.9
LAT...LON 3549 7768 3542 7744 3535 7741 3535 7747
3539 7756 3544 7771
$$157
WGUS82 KMHX 010130
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
830 PM EST MON FEB 29 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC107-020130-
/O.CON.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160301T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
830 PM EST MON FEB 29 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7 PM Monday the stage was 15.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 15.7 feet by
early Wednesday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 15.6 feet...Low land flooding of the campground at the
Nature Center can be expected.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8PM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Tue Wed Thu
Kinston 14 15.5 Mon 08 PM 15.7 15.6 15.2
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$314
WGUS82 KMHX 011613
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
1113 AM EST TUE MAR 1 2016
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Contentnea Creek Near Hookerton affecting Greene...Lenoir and Pitt
Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC079-107-147-021613-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160304T0600Z/
/HOKN7.1.ER.160229T0820Z.160301T1800Z.160304T0000Z.NO/
1113 AM EST TUE MAR 1 2016
The Flood Warning extended for
The Contentnea Creek Near Hookerton.
* until late Thursday night...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 11 AM Tuesday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 13.2 feet by this
afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Thursday
evening.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Flood stage. Minor flooding of low lying
areas adjacent to creek can be expected.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri
Hookerton 13 13.2 Tue 11 AM 13.1 13.0 12.9
LAT...LON 3549 7768 3542 7744 3535 7741 3535 7747
3539 7756 3544 7771
$$958
WGUS82 KMHX 020210
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
910 PM EST TUE MAR 1 2016
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Contentnea Creek Near Hookerton affecting Greene...Lenoir and Pitt
Counties
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC079-107-147-030210-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160304T1200Z/
/HOKN7.1.ER.160229T0820Z.160301T1646Z.160304T0600Z.NO/
910 PM EST TUE MAR 1 2016
...Flood Warning extended until Friday morning...The Flood Warning
extended for
The Contentnea Creek Near Hookerton.
* until Friday morning...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8 PM Tuesday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Flood stage. Minor flooding of low lying
areas adjacent to creek can be expected.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8PM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri
Hookerton 13 13.1 Tue 08 PM 13.1 13.0 12.8
LAT...LON 3549 7768 3542 7744 3535 7741 3535 7747
3539 7756 3544 7771
$$
NCC107-030210-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160307T0000Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160302T0600Z.160306T1800Z.NO/
910 PM EST TUE MAR 1 2016
The Flood Warning extended for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until Sunday evening...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8 PM Tuesday the stage was 15.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Impact...At 15.6 feet...Low land flooding of the campground at the
Nature Center can be expected.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8PM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Wed Thu Fri
Kinston 14 15.7 Tue 08 PM 15.6 15.3 14.8
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$099
WGUS82 KMHX 021627
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
1127 AM EST WED MAR 2 2016
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC107-031627-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160307T1200Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160302T1800Z.160307T0600Z.NO/
1127 AM EST WED MAR 2 2016
...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...The Flood Warning
extended for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until Monday morning...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10 AM Wednesday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Impact...At 15.6 feet...Low land flooding of the campground at the
Nature Center can be expected.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat
Kinston 14 15.6 Wed 10 AM 15.5 15.1 14.8
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$812
WGUS82 KMHX 030116
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
816 PM EST WED MAR 2 2016
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Contentnea Creek Near Hookerton affecting Greene...Lenoir and Pitt
Counties
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC079-107-147-030146-
/O.CAN.KMHX.FL.W.0013.000000T0000Z-160304T1200Z/
/HOKN7.1.ER.160229T0820Z.160301T1646Z.160302T1900Z.NO/
816 PM EST WED MAR 2 2016
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Contentnea Creek Near Hookerton.
* At 8 PM Wednesday the stage was 12.9 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 2:00 PM Wednesday.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 12.5 feet by Friday
morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Flood stage. Minor flooding of low lying
areas adjacent to creek can be expected.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8PM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat
Hookerton 13 12.9 Wed 08 PM 12.6 12.4 12.4
LAT...LON 3549 7768 3542 7744 3535 7741 3535 7747
3539 7756 3544 7771
$$
NCC107-040116-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160308T0000Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160302T1301Z.160307T1800Z.NO/
816 PM EST WED MAR 2 2016
...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening...The Flood Warning
extended for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until Monday evening...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7 PM Wednesday the stage was 15.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
early Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.6 feet...Low land flooding of the campground at the
Nature Center can be expected.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8PM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Thu Fri Sat
Kinston 14 15.6 Wed 08 PM 15.3 15.0 14.8
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$861
WGUS82 KMHX 031406
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
906 AM EST THU MAR 3 2016
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC107-041406-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160307T1800Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160302T1301Z.160307T1200Z.NO/
906 AM EST THU MAR 3 2016
The Flood Warning extended for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until Monday afternoon...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8 AM Thursday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
Monday morning.
* Impact...At 15.6 feet...Low land flooding of the campground at the
Nature Center can be expected.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8PM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun
Kinston 14 15.4 Thu 08 AM 15.2 15.0 14.8
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$874
WGUS82 KMHX 040157
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
857 PM EST THU MAR 3 2016
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC107-050157-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160307T1500Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160302T1301Z.160307T0900Z.NO/
857 PM EST THU MAR 3 2016
The Flood Warning extended for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until Monday morning...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8 PM Thursday the stage was 15.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
Monday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor low land flooding adjacent to the
river can be expected.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8PM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Fri Sat Sun
Kinston 14 15.1 Thu 09 PM 14.9 14.7 14.3
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$371
WGUS82 KMHX 041303
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
803 AM EST FRI MAR 4 2016
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC107-051303-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160307T0600Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160302T1301Z.160307T0000Z.NO/
803 AM EST FRI MAR 4 2016
The Flood Warning extended for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until late Sunday night...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7 AM Friday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor low land flooding adjacent to the
river can be expected.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon
Kinston 14 15.0 Fri 07 AM 14.7 14.3 13.4
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$811
WGUS82 KMHX 050111
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
811 PM EST FRI MAR 4 2016
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC107-060111-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160307T0800Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160302T1301Z.160307T0200Z.NO/
811 PM EST FRI MAR 4 2016
...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...The Flood Warning
extended for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until late Sunday night...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7 PM Friday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor low land flooding adjacent to the
river can be expected.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8PM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon
Kinston 14 14.7 Fri 07 PM 14.4 14.1 12.8
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$580
WGUS82 KMHX 051509
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
1009 AM EST SAT MAR 5 2016
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC107-061509-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160307T0600Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160302T1301Z.160307T0000Z.NO/
1009 AM EST SAT MAR 5 2016
The Flood Warning extended for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until late Sunday night...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 9 AM Saturday the stage was 14.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water will begin to overflow into lowlands
adjacent to the river.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8AM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue
Kinston 14 14.4 Sat 09 AM 14.2 13.4 11.9
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$735
WGUS82 KMHX 060114
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
814 PM EST SAT MAR 5 2016
...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC107-061500-
/O.EXT.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160306T1500Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160302T1301Z.160306T0900Z.NO/
814 PM EST SAT MAR 5 2016
The Flood Warning extended for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* until Sunday morning...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7 PM Saturday the stage was 14.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water will begin to overflow into lowlands
adjacent to the river.
&&
Fld Observed Forecast 8PM
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sun Mon Tue
Kinston 14 14.1 Sat 07 PM 13.6 12.5 10.8
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$949
WGUS82 KMHX 060920
FLSMHX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY, NC
420 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2016
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Neuse River At Kinston affecting Lenoir County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Do not drive vehicles through flooded areas. Most flood deaths occur
in automobiles when people try to drive through flooded areas.
Stay tuned to developments by listening to NOAA Weather Radio...local
radio...media or cable TV.
&&
NCC107-060950-
/O.CAN.KMHX.FL.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160306T1500Z/
/KINN7.1.ER.160222T1115Z.160302T1301Z.160306T0616Z.NO/
420 AM EST SUN MAR 6 2016
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
The Neuse River At Kinston.
* At 3 AM Sunday the stage was 13.9 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 1:16 AM Sunday.
* Flood stage is 14.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 13.2 feet by tomorrow
morning.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet...Water will begin to overflow into lowlands
adjacent to the river.
&&
LAT...LON 3528 7763 3527 7757 3526 7753 3522 7754
3522 7759 3522 7764
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 22, 3:49 AM EST, 2 hours 28 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 22, 3:49 AM EST, 2 hours 28 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
349 AM EST MON FEB 22 2016
.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING THEN STALL TO THE
SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL
FORM ON THE FRONT AND MOVE NORTHEAST LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY
NIGHT. DEEP LOW PRESSURE PASSING WELL TO THE NORTHWEST WILL PUSH A
WARM FRONT THROUGH THE AREA WEDNESDAY...FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH
THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
AS OF 3 AM MONDAY...NEAR ZONAL FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN STATES BRINGING ABUNDANT CLOUDS ACROSS THE REGION WHILE A
BACKDOOR COLD FRONT HAS MOVED TO THE NC/VA BORDER EARLY THIS
MORNING. NOT SEEING MUCH IN THE WAY OF RAIN AT THIS TIME...ASIDE
FROM A FEW SHOWERS CONTINUE ALONG THE COAST...AS THERE IS LIMITED
FORCING FOR ASCENT. COULD SEE A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS AS THE COLD
FRONT PUSHES SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH ABOUT 15Z BUT MANY
MODELS KEEPING IT DRY ACROSS EASTERN NC AND LIGHT RAIN THAT WAS
ACCOMPANYING THE FRONT ACROSS SE VA IS DISSIPATING...SO WILL
LIMIT POPS TO SLIGHT CHANCE TROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. THE COLD
FRONT WILL STALL SOUTH OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON WITH MID LEVEL
MOISTURE AND ISENTROPIC LIFT INCREASING LATE FROM THE SOUTH THIS
AFTERNOON BRINGING INCREASING PRECIP CHANCES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
TIER. TEMPS CURRENTLY IN THE MID 50S TO AROUND 60 EARLY THIS
MORNING AND MANY AREAS WILL SEE DAYTIME HIGHS A COUPLE DEGREES
COOLER THAN CURRENT TEMPS. EXPECT TEMPS TO BOTTOM OUT IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S AFTER THE FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS MORNING WITH ONLY A
FEW DEGREES OF WARMING THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS TODAY EXPECTED AROUND
50 ACROSS THE NORTHERN OBX TO UPPER 50S INLAND
&&
.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT/...
AS OF 3 AM MONDAY...ISENTROPIC LIFT CONTINUES TO INCREASE FROM
SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING BRINGING A PERIOD OF
LIGHT RAIN ACROSS THE DISTRICT AND HAVE INCREASED POPS TO
CATEGORICAL COINCIDENT TO BEST LIFT...THEN TREND POPS BACK DOWN TO
CHANCE AFTER MIDNIGHT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT AS THE BEST ISENTROPIC
LIFT MOVES TO THE NORTH. QPF AMOUNTS LOOK LIGHT...GENERALLY LESS
THAN A QUARTER INCH BUT COULD SEE LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO A
HALF INCH. LOWS WILL MAINLY BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 315 AM MONDAY...A POTENT SYSTEM WILL IMPACT EASTERN NC DURING
MID WEEK...
TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...THE FRONT THAT MOVES SOUTH THROUGH
THE REGION EARLY TODAY WILL SETTLE TO THE SOUTH...EVENTUALLY LIFTING
NORTH TUESDAY AS A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS ALONG THIS
BOUNDARY. THIS WEAK SFC LOW WILL LIFT TO OUR NE WITH A WEDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE EXTENDING SOUTH ACROSS THE PIEDMONT OF NC. THIS WILL
PROVIDE SOME ISENTROPIC LIFT ACROSS THE REGION...EVENTUALLY SHIFTING
NORTH OF THE AREA. WITH A DIGGING TROUGH TO OUR WEST AND IMPULSES
RIDING THE GRADIENT...THIS WILL STIMULATE ENOUGH SHOWER ACTIVITY TO
KEEP CHC/LKLY ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. AS THE COASTAL LOW AND
MID/UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT SHIFTS TO THE NORTHEAST...ANTICIPATE A
BRIEF REPRIEVE IN OVERALL PRECIPITATION COVERAGE LATER TUESDAY
NIGHT. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S TO NEAR 60 AREA WIDE...WITH
EXCEPTION TO THE NORTHERN OBX...RUNNING ABOUT 5 DEGREES COOLER.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S INLAND TO LOW 50S ALONG THE OBX.
WEDNESDAY: A VERY STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED DEEP
TROUGH WILL DIG AND PIVOT THROUGH THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY...BECOMING
NEGATIVELY TILTED AS THE VORT AXIS CROSSES. AS THE SFC LOW LIFTS
NORTH A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVE ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS AND
EVENTUALLY TO EASTERN NC...ARRIVING TO THE COASTAL PLAIN BY LATE
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. THIS WILL GIVE WAY TO INSTABILITY AND
AMPLE SHEAR AHEAD OF THE FRONT. CONFIDENCE IS BUILDING IN REGARDS
TO THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...SOME OF WHICH COULD BECOME SEVERE. WITH
THE SFC LOW TO THE NORTH DROPPING TO UNDER 990MB...THIS
UNDOUBTEDLYPROMOTES CONCERN A BUNDLE OF KEY DYNAMIC/KINEMATIC
FEATURES SEEM TO BE COMING TOGETHER.
LETS DIVE IN SHALL WE...INSTABILITY LOOKING MORE IMPRESSIVE AS CAPE
VALUES NEAR 1500 J/KG...LI VALUES AROUND -6 AND LAPSE RATES CLOSING
IN ON 7.0 C/KM. NOT TO MENTION THE SHEAR...WITH A STRONG LLJ...SRH
AOA 400 M2/S2...WITH STP GREATER THAN 1 AND A SHERB PARAMETER OF
>1. THE STRONG UPPER LEVEL JET PLACEMENT WILL PROVE IDEAL AS
FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL BE COLLOCATED WITH THE LEFT EXIT
REGION...IN ADDITION TO IMPRESSIVE MID LEVEL DPVA. WHILE PWAT
VALUES ARE CLIMBING DURING THIS TIME...THEY DO NOT SEEM TO BE OFF
THE CHARTS. HOWEVER...STILL NOTE A SURGE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
THAT SHOULD NOT BE IGNORED. ONE FACTOR THAT WILL INFLUENCE THE
OVERALL OUTCOME OF THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT AND STRENGTH IS
DESTABILIZATION DURING THE MORNING/AFTERNOON HOURS AHEAD OF THE
ACTUAL FRONT. IF THERE ARE ENOUGH BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS AND THE
FRONT NEARS BY THE LATE AFTERNOON...THIS WILL ALLOW THE SFC TO
WARM AHEAD OF THE BEST LIFT. TIMING IS EVERYTHING AS THEY SAY AND
NO TRUER WORDS WERE SPOKEN IN THIS CASE.
THE PRECIPITATION/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE
WEDNESDAY. EXPECT RAINFALL TOTALS RANGING FROM 1-1.5" FOR THE ENTIRE
EVENT. STRONG GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
EXPECTED...GUSTING TO NEAR 30KTS AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE PRECIP LINE
WILL MOVE OFFSHORE BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. HIGH TEMPS WILL CLIMB
INTO THE 70S INLAND TO MID 60S ALONG THE OBX. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY: GUSTY WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED THURSDAY AS THE
GRADIENT REMAINS FAIRLY TIGHT. CONDITIONS IMPROVE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND AS THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM/FRONT MOVES OUT TO SEA. TROUGHING
WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA WITH HIGH PRESSURE TRYING TO BUILD INTO
THE REGION FROM THE SOUTH... EVENTUALLY SHIFTING OFF THE SOUTHEAST
COAST. THIS WILL LEAD TO SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS. LOW TEMPS IN
THE 30S AND HIGHS IN THE 50S OVERALL FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE
WEEK...AND SLOWLY WARMING EARLY NEXT WEEK.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/...
AS OF 1 AM MONDAY...A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS
RTES THROUGH ABOUT 14Z AND COULD SEE A FEW VERY LIGHT SHOWERS
ASSOC WITH THE FRONT BUT MOST MODELS KEEPING CONDITIONS DRY
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. EXPECT CIGS TO LOWER TO MVFR BEHIND THE
FRONT AND COULD SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF IFR BETWEEN 10-14Z. GFS MOS
GUIDANCE SEEMS OVERLY PESSIMISTIC AND RELIED HEAVILY ON FORECAST
SOUNDINGS TO DETERMINE CIGS. EXPECT GENERALLY MVFR THROUGH MUCH OF
THE DAY AS THE POST FRONTAL INVERSION STRENGTHENS. INCREASING
ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL BRING WIDESPREAD RAIN ACROSS RTES THIS
EVENING INTO LATE TONIGHT WITH CIGS LOWERING TO IFR/LIFR.
WINDS AROUND 5-10 KT VEER TO NW AFTER FROPA EARLY THIS
MORNING...THEN TO THE NE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS AND
CONTINUING OVERNIGHT. COULD SEE AN OCCASIONAL GUST TO AROUND 15 KT
THIS AFTERNOON.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 315 AM MONDAY...SUB-VFR CONDITIONS MAY PERSIST TUESDAY WITH
NORTH WINDS STILL IN PLACE AND MOISTURE TRAPPED UNDER THE INVERSION.
BETTER CHANCE OF MVFR/IFR CEILINGS/VSBYS IN WIDESPREAD RAIN FROM
TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. CONDITIONS MAY IMPROVE SOME LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY...BUT A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE TO THE
WEST WILL LEAD TO WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND PERHAPS THUNDERSTORMS WITH
GUSTY SOUTH WINDS ON WEDNESDAY EVENING/NIGHT LEADING TO PERIODS OF
SUB-VFR CONDITIONS. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY...WITH VERY GUSTY WEST WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY.
&&
.MARINE...
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 3 AM MONDAY...A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS
THE WATERS THIS MORNING WITH W/SW WINDS AROUND 5-15 KT VEERING TO
NW/N THEN TO THE NE AROUND 10-20 KT LATE THIS MORNING AND
AFTERNOON. W WINDS AROUND 20-25 KT NEAR DIAMOND SHOALS EARLY THIS
MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO AS THE
FRONT APPROACHES. NE WINDS AROUND 10-20 KT CONTINUES OVERNIGHT AND
COULD SEE WINDS SHIFT TO E AFTER MIDNIGHT AS A COASTAL TROUGH
BACKS TOWARD THE COAST. SEAS ARE AROUND 2-4 FT NORTH AND 5-7 FT
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN OUTER WATERS THIS MORNING. EXPECT SEAS TO BUILD
TO 4-6 FT ACROSS THE NORTHERN WATERS TODAY AS WINDS BECOME NE AND
INCREASE. SOUTHERN WATERS ARE EXPECTED TO SEE SEAS SUBSIDE
SLIGHTLY TO 3-5 FT THIS MORNING BUT COULD BUILD BACK TO 4-6 FT
THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE NE SURGE BUT THEN ARE EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE
SOME TONIGHT.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 315 AM MONDAY...POOR BOATING CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE EXTENDED PERIOD AND SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES
ARE LIKELY FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK. A FRONT AND ASSOCIATED WEAK LOW
WILL LIFT NORTH ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY GIVING WAY TO
SHOWERS...BUT SEAS AND WINDS WILL BE BELOW SCA. A STRONG LOW/FRONT
WILL APPROACH WEDNESDAY WITH INCREASING SOUTH WINDS (CLOSE TO GALEBY
LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING) AND BUILDING SEAS...AS HIGH AS 9 FEET THEN
UP TO 12-14 FEET THURSDAY AS LOW EXITS AND GUSTY WEST WINDS
PREVAIL. CONDITIONS LOOK TO IMPROVE FRIDAY AS WINDS SUBSIDE.
&&
.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST TUESDAY FOR AMZ152-154-
156-158.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 AM EST
TUESDAY FOR AMZ150.
&&
SYNOPSIS...SK
NEAR TERM...SK
SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM...LEP
AVIATION...LEP/SK
MARINE...LEP/SKHazardous weather outlook, Feb 22, 4:44 AM EST, 1 hour 33 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 444 AM EST MON FEB 22 2016 NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-230945- MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-GREENE-BEAUFORT- MAINLAND HYDE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET-ONSLOW- OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE- 444 AM EST MON FEB 22 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CAROLINA AND EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.