Alert archive / North Carolina / Flash Flood Watches in 2016
Flash Flood Watch 5, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued this flash flood watch at Oct 6, 2016, 3:22 PM EDT for 12 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Oct 7, 2016, 4:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 48 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 6, 2016, 3:22 PM EDT (19:22 UTC)
- In effect from
- Oct 7, 2016, 4:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Oct 9, 2016, 3:46 AM EDT
- In force
- 48 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Beaufort County, NC, Dare County, NC, Duplin County, NC, Greene County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Jones County, NC, Lenoir County, NC, Martin County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pitt County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Washington County, NC
The radar
The Morehead City radar (KMHX), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 12:00Z, 7.4 hours before the alert went out and 77 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 504 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 141 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 205 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
016 WGUS62 KMHX 061922 FFAMHX URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 322 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... .HURRICANE MATTHEW IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTH OF THE REGION THIS WEEKEND. WIDESPREAD AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL DEVELOP FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY. STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO AS MUCH AS 10 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE. THIS HEAVY RAIN FALLING ON WET GROUND WILL LIKELY PRODUCE SOME FLASH FLOODING. NCZ079-090>095-098-070915- /O.NEW.KMHX.FF.A.0005.161008T0000Z-161009T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ GREENE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET-ONSLOW- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SNOW HILL...HOOKERTON...WALSTONBURG... WALLACE...WARSAW...KENANSVILLE...BEULAVILLE...FAISON...KINSTON... LA GRANGE...PINK HILL...MAYSVILLE...POLLOCKSVILLE...TRENTON... NEW BERN...HAVELOCK...VANCEBORO...COVE CITY...ORIENTAL... BAYBORO...ARAPAHOE...VANDEMERE...MOREHEAD CITY...BEAUFORT... NEWPORT...ATLANTIC BEACH...EMERALD ISLE...JACKSONVILLE... RICHLANDS...SWANSBORO...NORTH TOPSAIL BEACH 322 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...CARTERET...CRAVEN...DUPLIN... GREENE...JONES...LENOIR...ONSLOW AND PAMLICO. * FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON * HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY. THIS RAIN FALLING ON WET GROUND WILL INCREASE THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING. * POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING URBAN AREAS ALONG WITH LOCATIONS NEAR CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL BE MOST PRONE TO FLOODING CONDITIONS DURING THIS EVENT. HIGH WATER ON AREA ROADS MAY MAKE THEM IMPASSABLE IN SPOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ NCZ029-044>047-080-081-103-104-070915- /O.NEW.KMHX.FF.A.0005.161008T0600Z-161009T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-BEAUFORT- MAINLAND HYDE-OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILLIAMSTON...ROBERSONVILLE... OAK CITY...JAMESVILLE...GREENVILLE...BETHEL...FARMVILLE... GRIFTON...GRIMESLAND...PLYMOUTH...ROPER...CRESWELL...COLUMBIA... GUM NECK...MANNS HARBOR...STUMPY POINT...EAST LAKE...WASHINGTON... CHOCOWINITY...BELHAVEN...BATH...AURORA...ENGELHARD...FAIRFIELD... PONZER...SCRANTON...SWANQUARTER...KITTY HAWK...NAGS HEAD... MANTEO...RODANTHE...BUXTON...HATTERAS VILLAGE...OCRACOKE 322 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...BEAUFORT...MAINLAND DARE... MAINLAND HYDE...MARTIN...OUTER BANKS DARE...OUTER BANKS HYDE... PITT...TYRRELL AND WASHINGTON. * FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON * HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY. THIS RAIN FALLING ON WET GROUND WILL INCREASE THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING. * POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING URBAN AREAS ALONG WITH LOCATIONS NEAR CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL BE MOST PRONE TO FLOODING CONDITIONS DURING THIS EVENT. HIGH WATER ON AREA ROADS MAY MAKE THEM IMPASSABLE IN SPOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
6 follow-up statements
041 WGUS62 KMHX 070800 FFAMHX URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 400 AM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016 ...SERIOUS FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE DUE TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM HURRICANE MATTHEW... .HURRICANE MATTHEW IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTH OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS WEEKEND. HEAVY RAIN WILL DEVELOP AS EARLY AS THIS MORNING FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NC, WITH THE MAIN BATCH OF HEAVY RAIN MOVING IN LATE TONIGHT AND LASTING THROUGH AS LATE AS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD RAIN AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. NCZ044-079-080-090>095-098-104-071600- /O.EXT.KMHX.FF.A.0005.161007T0800Z-161009T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ PITT-GREENE-BEAUFORT-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET- ONSLOW-OUTER BANKS HYDE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...BETHEL...FARMVILLE... GRIFTON...GRIMESLAND...SNOW HILL...HOOKERTON...WALSTONBURG... WASHINGTON...CHOCOWINITY...BELHAVEN...BATH...AURORA...WALLACE... WARSAW...KENANSVILLE...BEULAVILLE...FAISON...KINSTON... LA GRANGE...PINK HILL...MAYSVILLE...POLLOCKSVILLE...TRENTON... NEW BERN...HAVELOCK...VANCEBORO...COVE CITY...ORIENTAL... BAYBORO...ARAPAHOE...VANDEMERE...MOREHEAD CITY...BEAUFORT... NEWPORT...ATLANTIC BEACH...EMERALD ISLE...JACKSONVILLE... RICHLANDS...SWANSBORO...NORTH TOPSAIL BEACH...OCRACOKE 400 AM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * A PORTION OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...BEAUFORT...CARTERET...CRAVEN...DUPLIN...GREENE... JONES...LENOIR...ONSLOW...OUTER BANKS HYDE...PAMLICO AND PITT. * THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. * PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TODAY, WITH THE HEAVIEST OF THE RAIN BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT AND LASTING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. * THIS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE A SERIOUS FLOOD EVENT FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA WITH MANY AREAS SEEING UP TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN. SHOULD THESE HIGH RAIN AMOUNTS BE REALIZED, MANY ROADS AND FLOOD PRONE PROPERTIES WOULD BE INUNDATED. THE SATURATED GROUND WILL MAKE TREES MORE SUSCEPTIBLE TO FALLING IN STRONG WINDS SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY, LEADING TO POWER OUTAGES AND IMPASSABLE ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ NCZ029-045>047-081-103-071600- /O.EXT.KMHX.FF.A.0005.161008T1200Z-161009T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MARTIN-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-MAINLAND HYDE- OUTER BANKS DARE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILLIAMSTON...ROBERSONVILLE... OAK CITY...JAMESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...ROPER...CRESWELL...COLUMBIA... GUM NECK...MANNS HARBOR...STUMPY POINT...EAST LAKE...ENGELHARD... FAIRFIELD...PONZER...SCRANTON...SWANQUARTER...KITTY HAWK... NAGS HEAD...MANTEO...RODANTHE...BUXTON...HATTERAS VILLAGE 400 AM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * A PORTION OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...MAINLAND DARE...MAINLAND HYDE...MARTIN...OUTER BANKS DARE...TYRRELL AND WASHINGTON. * FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON * HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY. THIS RAIN FALLING ON WET GROUND WILL INCREASE THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING. * POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING URBAN AREAS ALONG WITH LOCATIONS NEAR CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL BE MOST PRONE TO FLOODING CONDITIONS DURING THIS EVENT. HIGH WATER ON AREA ROADS MAY MAKE THEM IMPASSABLE IN SPOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
631 WGUS62 KMHX 071015 FFAMHX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 615 AM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016 ...POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING FLOODING POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND DUE TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM HURRICANE MATTHEW... .HURRICANE MATTHEW IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTH OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS WEEKEND. THE MAIN BATCH OF HEAVY RAIN WILL MOVE IN LATE TONIGHT AND LAST THROUGH AS LATE AS SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD RAIN AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. IF THESE RAIN AMOUNTS VERIFY...THIS WOULD BE THE WORST FLOODING IN EASTERN NC SINCE HURRICANE FLOYD IN 1999. NCZ044-079-080-090>095-098-104-071815- /O.CON.KMHX.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-161009T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ PITT-GREENE-BEAUFORT-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET- ONSLOW-OUTER BANKS HYDE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...BETHEL...FARMVILLE... GRIFTON...GRIMESLAND...SNOW HILL...HOOKERTON...WALSTONBURG... WASHINGTON...CHOCOWINITY...BELHAVEN...BATH...AURORA...WALLACE... WARSAW...KENANSVILLE...BEULAVILLE...FAISON...KINSTON... LA GRANGE...PINK HILL...MAYSVILLE...POLLOCKSVILLE...TRENTON... NEW BERN...HAVELOCK...VANCEBORO...COVE CITY...ORIENTAL... BAYBORO...ARAPAHOE...VANDEMERE...MOREHEAD CITY...BEAUFORT... NEWPORT...ATLANTIC BEACH...EMERALD ISLE...JACKSONVILLE... RICHLANDS...SWANSBORO...NORTH TOPSAIL BEACH...OCRACOKE 615 AM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...BEAUFORT...CARTERET...CRAVEN...DUPLIN...GREENE... JONES...LENOIR...ONSLOW...OUTER BANKS HYDE...PAMLICO AND PITT. * THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. * PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TODAY...THOUGH THE HEAVIEST OF THE RAIN WILL BEGIN LATE TONIGHT AND LAST THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. * THIS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE A DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING FLOOD EVENT FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA WITH MANY AREAS SEEING UP TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN, WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. MANY LOW LYING ROADS AND PROPERTIES VULNERABLE TO FLOODING WILL BE INUNDATED. TRAVEL THIS WEEKEND IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. * THE SATURATED GROUND WILL MAKE TREES MORE SUSCEPTIBLE TO FALLING DUE TO STRONG TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY... LEADING TO POWER OUTAGES AND IMPASSABLE ROADS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ NCZ029-045>047-081-103-071815- /O.CON.KMHX.FF.A.0005.161008T1200Z-161009T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MARTIN-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-MAINLAND HYDE- OUTER BANKS DARE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILLIAMSTON...ROBERSONVILLE... OAK CITY...JAMESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...ROPER...CRESWELL...COLUMBIA... GUM NECK...MANNS HARBOR...STUMPY POINT...EAST LAKE...ENGELHARD... FAIRFIELD...PONZER...SCRANTON...SWANQUARTER...KITTY HAWK... NAGS HEAD...MANTEO...RODANTHE...BUXTON...HATTERAS VILLAGE 615 AM EDT FRI OCT 7 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...MAINLAND DARE...MAINLAND HYDE...MARTIN...OUTER BANKS DARE...TYRRELL AND WASHINGTON. * FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON * HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY. THIS RAIN FALLING ON WET GROUND WILL INCREASE THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING. * POOR DRAINAGE AND LOW LYING URBAN AREAS ALONG WITH LOCATIONS NEAR CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL BE MOST PRONE TO FLOODING CONDITIONS DURING THIS EVENT. HIGH WATER ON AREA ROADS MAY MAKE THEM IMPASSABLE IN SPOTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
198 WGUS62 KMHX 080401 FFAMHX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 1201 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING FLOODING POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND DUE TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM HURRICANE MATTHEW... .HURRICANE MATTHEW IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTH OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS WEEKEND. HEAVY RAIN WILL MOVE IN EARLY SATURDAY MORNING AND LAST THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. WIDESPREAD RAIN AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES POSSIBLE. IF THESE RAIN AMOUNTS VERIFY...THIS WOULD BE THE WORST FLOODING IN EASTERN NC SINCE HURRICANE FLOYD IN 1999. NCZ044-079-080-090>095-098-104-081415- /O.CON.KMHX.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-161009T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ PITT-GREENE-BEAUFORT-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET- ONSLOW-OUTER BANKS HYDE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...BETHEL...FARMVILLE... GRIFTON...GRIMESLAND...SNOW HILL...HOOKERTON...WALSTONBURG... WASHINGTON...CHOCOWINITY...BELHAVEN...BATH...AURORA...WALLACE... WARSAW...KENANSVILLE...BEULAVILLE...FAISON...KINSTON... LA GRANGE...PINK HILL...MAYSVILLE...POLLOCKSVILLE...TRENTON... NEW BERN...HAVELOCK...VANCEBORO...COVE CITY...ORIENTAL... BAYBORO...ARAPAHOE...VANDEMERE...MOREHEAD CITY...BEAUFORT... NEWPORT...ATLANTIC BEACH...EMERALD ISLE...JACKSONVILLE... RICHLANDS...SWANSBORO...NORTH TOPSAIL BEACH...OCRACOKE 1201 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...BEAUFORT...CARTERET...CRAVEN...DUPLIN...GREENE... JONES...LENOIR...ONSLOW...OUTER BANKS HYDE...PAMLICO AND PITT. * THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. * PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TODAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN FALLING TONIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. * THIS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE A DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING FLOOD EVENT FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA WITH MANY AREAS SEEING UP TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES OR MORE. MANY LOW LYING ROADS AND PROPERTIES VULNERABLE TO FLOODING WILL BE INUNDATED. TRAVEL THIS WEEKEND IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ NCZ029-045>047-081-103-081415- /O.CON.KMHX.FF.A.0005.161008T1200Z-161009T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MARTIN-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-MAINLAND HYDE- OUTER BANKS DARE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILLIAMSTON...ROBERSONVILLE... OAK CITY...JAMESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...ROPER...CRESWELL...COLUMBIA... GUM NECK...MANNS HARBOR...STUMPY POINT...EAST LAKE...ENGELHARD... FAIRFIELD...PONZER...SCRANTON...SWANQUARTER...KITTY HAWK... NAGS HEAD...MANTEO...RODANTHE...BUXTON...HATTERAS VILLAGE 1201 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...MAINLAND DARE...MAINLAND HYDE...MARTIN...OUTER BANKS DARE...TYRRELL AND WASHINGTON. * FROM 8 AM EDT SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON * PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TODAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN FALLING TONIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. * THIS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE A DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING FLOOD EVENT FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA WITH MANY AREAS SEEING UP TO 12 INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS TO 15 INCHES OR MORE. MANY LOW LYING ROADS AND PROPERTIES VULNERABLE TO FLOODING WILL BE INUNDATED. TRAVEL THIS WEEKEND IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
958 WGUS62 KMHX 080800 FFAMHX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 400 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING FLOODING THIS WEEKEND DUE TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM HURRICANE MATTHEW... .HURRICANE MATTHEW IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTH OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THROUGH TONIGHT. HEAVY RAIN WILL DEVELOP TODAY AND LAST THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. WIDESPREAD RAIN AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 15 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. IF THESE RAIN AMOUNTS ARE REALIZED...THIS WOULD BE THE WORST FLOODING IN EASTERN NC SINCE HURRICANE FLOYD IN 1999. NCZ044-079-080-090>095-098-104-081600- /O.CON.KMHX.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-161009T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ PITT-GREENE-BEAUFORT-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET- ONSLOW-OUTER BANKS HYDE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...BETHEL...FARMVILLE... GRIFTON...GRIMESLAND...SNOW HILL...HOOKERTON...WALSTONBURG... WASHINGTON...CHOCOWINITY...BELHAVEN...BATH...AURORA...WALLACE... WARSAW...KENANSVILLE...BEULAVILLE...FAISON...KINSTON... LA GRANGE...PINK HILL...MAYSVILLE...POLLOCKSVILLE...TRENTON... NEW BERN...HAVELOCK...VANCEBORO...COVE CITY...ORIENTAL... BAYBORO...ARAPAHOE...VANDEMERE...MOREHEAD CITY...BEAUFORT... NEWPORT...ATLANTIC BEACH...EMERALD ISLE...JACKSONVILLE... RICHLANDS...SWANSBORO...NORTH TOPSAIL BEACH...OCRACOKE 400 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...BEAUFORT...CARTERET...CRAVEN...DUPLIN...GREENE... JONES...LENOIR...ONSLOW...OUTER BANKS HYDE...PAMLICO AND PITT. * THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. * PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TODAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN FALLING LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. FLASH FLOODING AT NIGHT IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AS IT WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO SEE INUNDATED OR WASHED OUT ROADS. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED THIS WEEKEND. * THIS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE A DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING FLOOD EVENT FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA WITH MANY AREAS SEEING 8 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. MANY LOW LYING ROADS AND PROPERTIES VULNERABLE TO FLOODING WILL BE INUNDATED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ NCZ029-045>047-081-103-081600- /O.CON.KMHX.FF.A.0005.161008T1200Z-161009T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MARTIN-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-MAINLAND HYDE- OUTER BANKS DARE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILLIAMSTON...ROBERSONVILLE... OAK CITY...JAMESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...ROPER...CRESWELL...COLUMBIA... GUM NECK...MANNS HARBOR...STUMPY POINT...EAST LAKE...ENGELHARD... FAIRFIELD...PONZER...SCRANTON...SWANQUARTER...KITTY HAWK... NAGS HEAD...MANTEO...RODANTHE...BUXTON...HATTERAS VILLAGE 400 AM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...MAINLAND DARE...MAINLAND HYDE...MARTIN...OUTER BANKS DARE...TYRRELL AND WASHINGTON. * THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. * PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TODAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN FALLING LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. FLASH FLOODING AT NIGHT IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AS IT WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO SEE INUNDATED OR WASHED OUT ROADS. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED THIS WEEKEND. * THIS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE A DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING FLOOD EVENT FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA WITH MANY AREAS SEEING 8 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. MANY LOW LYING ROADS AND PROPERTIES VULNERABLE TO FLOODING WILL BE INUNDATED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
624 WGUS62 KMHX 082340 FFAMHX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 740 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING FLOODING THIS WEEKEND DUE TO EXCESSIVE RAINFALL FROM HURRICANE MATTHEW... .HURRICANE MATTHEW IS FORECAST TO TRACK SOUTH OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT. HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AND GRADUALLY DIMINISH SUNDAY. WIDESPREAD RAIN AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 15 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED. IF THESE RAIN AMOUNTS ARE REALIZED...THIS WOULD BE THE WORST FLOODING IN EASTERN NC SINCE HURRICANE FLOYD IN 1999. NCZ044-079-080-090>095-098-104-090945- /O.CON.KMHX.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-161009T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ PITT-GREENE-BEAUFORT-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET- ONSLOW-OUTER BANKS HYDE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...BETHEL...FARMVILLE... GRIFTON...GRIMESLAND...SNOW HILL...HOOKERTON...WALSTONBURG... WASHINGTON...CHOCOWINITY...BELHAVEN...BATH...AURORA...WALLACE... WARSAW...KENANSVILLE...BEULAVILLE...FAISON...KINSTON... LA GRANGE...PINK HILL...MAYSVILLE...POLLOCKSVILLE...TRENTON... NEW BERN...HAVELOCK...VANCEBORO...COVE CITY...ORIENTAL... BAYBORO...ARAPAHOE...VANDEMERE...MOREHEAD CITY...BEAUFORT... NEWPORT...ATLANTIC BEACH...EMERALD ISLE...JACKSONVILLE... RICHLANDS...SWANSBORO...NORTH TOPSAIL BEACH...OCRACOKE 740 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...BEAUFORT...CARTERET...CRAVEN...DUPLIN...GREENE... JONES...LENOIR...ONSLOW...OUTER BANKS HYDE...PAMLICO AND PITT. * THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON * PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. FLASH FLOODING AT NIGHT IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AS IT WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO SEE INUNDATED OR WASHED OUT ROADS. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED THIS WEEKEND. * THIS WILL A DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING FLOOD EVENT FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA WITH MANY AREAS SEEING 8 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. MANY LOW LYING ROADS AND PROPERTIES VULNERABLE TO FLOODING WILL BE INUNDATED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ NCZ029-045>047-081-103-090945- /O.CON.KMHX.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-161009T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MARTIN-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-MAINLAND HYDE- OUTER BANKS DARE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILLIAMSTON...ROBERSONVILLE... OAK CITY...JAMESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...ROPER...CRESWELL...COLUMBIA... GUM NECK...MANNS HARBOR...STUMPY POINT...EAST LAKE...ENGELHARD... FAIRFIELD...PONZER...SCRANTON...SWANQUARTER...KITTY HAWK... NAGS HEAD...MANTEO...RODANTHE...BUXTON...HATTERAS VILLAGE 740 PM EDT SAT OCT 8 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...MAINLAND DARE...MAINLAND HYDE...MARTIN...OUTER BANKS DARE...TYRRELL AND WASHINGTON. * THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON * PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. FLASH FLOODING AT NIGHT IS ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AS IT WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO SEE INUNDATED OR WASHED OUT ROADS. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED THIS WEEKEND. * THIS WILL A DANGEROUS AND LIFE THREATENING FLOOD EVENT FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA WITH MANY AREAS SEEING 8 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. MANY LOW LYING ROADS AND PROPERTIES VULNERABLE TO FLOODING WILL BE INUNDATED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
484 WGUS62 KMHX 090746 FFAMHX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 346 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT FROM MATTHEW HAS ENDED ACROSS EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA... NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>095-098-103-104-090900- /O.CAN.KMHX.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-161009T1800Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-GREENE-BEAUFORT- MAINLAND HYDE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-CARTERET-ONSLOW- OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILLIAMSTON...ROBERSONVILLE... OAK CITY...JAMESVILLE...GREENVILLE...BETHEL...FARMVILLE... GRIFTON...GRIMESLAND...PLYMOUTH...ROPER...CRESWELL...COLUMBIA... GUM NECK...MANNS HARBOR...STUMPY POINT...EAST LAKE...SNOW HILL... HOOKERTON...WALSTONBURG...WASHINGTON...CHOCOWINITY...BELHAVEN... BATH...AURORA...ENGELHARD...FAIRFIELD...PONZER...SCRANTON... SWANQUARTER...WALLACE...WARSAW...KENANSVILLE...BEULAVILLE... FAISON...KINSTON...LA GRANGE...PINK HILL...MAYSVILLE... POLLOCKSVILLE...TRENTON...NEW BERN...HAVELOCK...VANCEBORO... COVE CITY...ORIENTAL...BAYBORO...ARAPAHOE...VANDEMERE... MOREHEAD CITY...BEAUFORT...NEWPORT...ATLANTIC BEACH... EMERALD ISLE...JACKSONVILLE...RICHLANDS...SWANSBORO... NORTH TOPSAIL BEACH...KITTY HAWK...NAGS HEAD...MANTEO... RODANTHE...BUXTON...HATTERAS VILLAGE...OCRACOKE 346 AM EDT SUN OCT 9 2016 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE THREAT OF ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL HAS ENDED. HOWEVER...ONGOING FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE REGION TODAY. VARIOUS FLOOD ORIENTED WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS WILL CONTINUE TO BE ISSUED TO KEEP PEOPLE UPDATED OF THE FLOODING SITUATION FOR SPECIFIC AREAS. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Oct 6, 3:14 PM EDT, 8 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 6, 3:14 PM EDT, 8 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
314 PM EDT Thu Oct 6 2016
.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will extend over the area from the north through the
end of the week with a stationary front offshore. Hurricane
Matthew is forecast to lift along the southeast coast through
the weekend...please see the latest forecast from the National
Hurricane Center on Hurricane Matthew. Cool high pressure will
build in from the northwest early next week.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/...
As of 245 PM Thursday...Light precip is spreading onshore and
that trend shld cont tonight as weak front/trf offshore drifts W.
Will cont prev trends of chc pops N to likely S based on expected
qpf. Winds may diminish a bit as trf shifts toward coast but
still looks like a decent grdnt keeping winds up especially coast.
Dewpts are increasing and expect lows in the upr 60s well inland
to lower 70s cst.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 AM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/...
As of 245 PM Thursday...Deep moisture will continue to spread
north ahead of Matthew in combination with a weak trof over the
area. This will keep sct to numerous showers going and will
continue with high chance north to likely S. Clouds and precip
will keep temps mainly in the 70s poss touching 80 a few spots.
Winds will grad become more E as high to the N slides E and
Matthew approaches.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 245 PM Thu...12z models are similar to prev runs and NHC
track so gaining confidence Matthew will track S of the area over
the weekend...as usual residents of Eastern NC should continue to
monitor the latest forecasts from the National Hurricane Center.
Main change with this forecast is to increase rain amounts over
nrn tier based on guidance from HPC. Based on expected rainfall
and already wet ground will be issuing flash flood watch all
areas starting Fri night through much of Sun...see hydro section
below.
Prev disc...Uncertainty remains regarding the track of Hurricane
Matthew, however latest guidance trends continue to support the
latest official NHC track, keeping the center of Matthew south of
the area. However, impacts are still expected across the area.
Residents of Eastern NC should continue to monitor the latest
forecasts from the National Hurricane Center.
Friday Night through Sunday...The forecast will continue to be
very dependent on the timing and track of Hurricane Matthew which
is currently forecast to track along the SE coast Friday Night and
Sat, then push east off the SC coast Sat night into Sunday pushing
further back to the south Sunday night...though uncertainty
continues regarding the track with run to run model
inconsistencies. The latest 00z GFS/ECMWF guidance tracks Matthew
up the SE coast, and continues to push it eastward off SC coast
Sat night into Sun night. Based on the latest NHC track, Tropical
Storm force winds will still be possible, especially along the
southern coast, widespread heavy rainfall, minor coastal
flooding/erosion, dangerous surf and rip currents. The main change
to the forecast was to increase rainfall amounts across the area,
based on the latest track and model guidance. A Flash Flood Watch
will likely be needed for late Friday night into Sunday morning.
The heaviest rainfall is expected to fall Sat and Sat night...with
storm total rainfall 4-8 inches, locally higher amounts possible,
with highest amounts expected across the southern half of the
area. Please see the latest forecasts from the National Hurricane
Center for the latest on Hurricane Matthew.
Monday through Thursday...Expecting our first touch of fall as
high pressure builds into the area from the north with cooler and
drier conditions...though uncertainty remains regarding the track
of Matthew. Latest 00z GFS/ECMWF guidance shows Matthew lingering
off the SE coast, and pushing back southward toward Florida and
the Bahamas Monday into Tuesday. Did not make sig changes to
previous forecast. Low level thickness values support highs in the
upper 60s to low 70s Monday and Tuesday, then warming into the mid
70s Wed. Lows Monday/Tuesday mornings will be in the lower 50s
inland to low 60s along the coast...some guidance shows lows
getting into the upper 40s inland Monday and Tuesday mornings.
&&
.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Short Term /through Friday Afternoon/...
As of 120 PM Thursday, MVFR/IFR conditions continue as deep low
level moisture stays trapped in across Eastern NC with an inverted
trough offshore. Model guidance is not indicating too much lift
in cigs with reduced vsbys in proximity to light rain as continual
moisture feeds into the region. This trend will continue through
the afternoon/early evening hours, with cigs lowering through the
evening/overnight hours as the chance of rain increases. IFR cigs
may be slow to rise to MVFR through the morning hours, but do
expect MVFR conditions by the afternoon hours Friday. Do not
anticipate widespread fog issues. Gusty NNE winds continue this
afternoon, tapering a bit this evening, staying elevated
throughout the rest of the TAF period.
Long Term /Friday Night through Monday/...
As of 245 PM Thu...Sub-VFR conditions expected through much of
the period. Widespread sub-VFR conditions expected to continue
into Sunday as Hurricane Matthew approaches and impacts the
region. Uncertainty remains regarding the track of Matthew, but
gusty winds and heavy rain likely. Heaviest rain will likely be
Sat into Sunday. Conditions should gradually improve Sunday night
with diminishing rain and wind...with VFR Mon.
&&
.MARINE...
Short Term /through Fri/...
As of 245 PM Thursday...Ne winds 20 to 25 kts this evening will
diminish a bit overnight and become more E at 15 to 20 kt Fri as
high to the N moves E and weak trf offshore shifts inland.
persistent onshore flow will keep seas elevated mainly 6 to 8
feet...poss some 9 footers central and srn waters. As winds slowly
diminish will let the SCA come down sounds and rivers tonight.
Long Term /Friday Night through Monday/...
As of 245 PM Thu...The forecast will continue to be very
dependent on the timing and track of Hurricane Matthew which is
currently forecast to track along the SE coast Friday and
Saturday, then push east off SC Sat night into Sunday. Though
uncertainty remains regarding the track, the latest guidance
continues to support the official NHC track keeping the center of
Matthew south of the waters. Tropical Storm Force winds will
still be possible across mainly the southern and central waters
Sat into Sunday as Matthew moves to the S. Seas will continue to
build through the week with increasing flow and long period swell
from Matthew...building to 6 to 10 FT Friday Night and 10 to 20
FT Saturday and Sunday. Gusty winds and rough seas will continue
into Tue. Mariners are urged to monitor the latest forecasts from
the National Hurricane Center.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
as of 245 pm Thu...Issued Flash Flood Watch for all areas
starting Fri Night and cont into Sun. Currently forecasting
rainfall amounts of 6 to 10 inches...highest S. Given wet ground
expect will see potentially significant flooding if this much rain
does fall.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
As of 245 PM Thursday...Persistent NE flow in combo with already
high water in the Pamlico Sound will lead to minor coastal
flooding for portions of Carteret...Craven and Pamlico counties
thru tonight. Winds and seas are forecast to subside a bit
northern tier overnight so will let high surf advisory come down
N of Hat this evening.
&&
.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Flash Flood Watch from Friday evening through Sunday afternoon
for NCZ079-090>095-098.
Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 AM EDT Friday for NCZ093>095.
Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ095-
098-103-104.
Flash Flood Watch from late Friday night through Sunday
afternoon for NCZ029-044>047-080-081-103-104.
High Surf Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ103.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for AMZ137.
Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Friday for AMZ130-131-135.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT Tuesday for AMZ150-152-154-
156-158.
&&
SYNOPSIS...RF/CTC
NEAR TERM...RF
SHORT TERM...RF
LONG TERM...RF/CQD
AVIATION...RF/CQD/LEP
MARINE...RF/CQD
HYDROLOGY...MHX
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...MHXHazardous weather outlook, Oct 6, 1:03 PM EDT, 2 hours 19 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 103 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016 NCZ103-071715- OUTER BANKS DARE- 103 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016 ...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT. HIGH SURF ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HURRICANE MATTHEW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, THEN PUSH EAST OFF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. HOWEVER UNCERTAINTY REMAINS IN THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. AT THIS TIME BASED ON THE LATEST OFFICIAL TRACK, TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL IMPACTS INCLUDE HEAVY RAINFALL, MINOR COASTAL FLOODING/EROSION, DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON HURRICANE MATTHEW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ104-071715- OUTER BANKS HYDE- 103 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HURRICANE MATTHEW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, THEN PUSH EAST OFF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. HOWEVER UNCERTAINTY REMAINS IN THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. AT THIS TIME BASED ON THE LATEST OFFICIAL TRACK, TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL IMPACTS INCLUDE HEAVY RAINFALL, MINOR COASTAL FLOODING/EROSION, DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON HURRICANE MATTHEW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ095-071715- CARTERET- 103 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY. BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HURRICANE MATTHEW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, THEN PUSH EAST OFF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. HOWEVER UNCERTAINTY REMAINS IN THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. AT THIS TIME BASED ON THE LATEST OFFICIAL TRACK, TROPICAL STORM FORCE TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL IMPACTS INCLUDE HEAVY RAINFALL, MINOR COASTAL FLOODING/EROSION, DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON HURRICANE MATTHEW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ093-094-071715- CRAVEN-PAMLICO- 103 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016 ...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HURRICANE MATTHEW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, THEN PUSH EAST OFF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. HOWEVER UNCERTAINTY REMAINS IN THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. AT THIS TIME BASED ON THE LATEST OFFICIAL TRACK, TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL IMPACTS INCLUDE HEAVY RAINFALL, MINOR COASTAL FLOODING/EROSION, DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON HURRICANE MATTHEW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ098-071715- ONSLOW- 103 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016 ...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HURRICANE MATTHEW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, THEN PUSH EAST OFF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. HOWEVER UNCERTAINTY REMAINS IN THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. AT THIS TIME BASED ON THE LATEST OFFICIAL TRACK, TROPICAL STORM FORCE TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL IMPACTS INCLUDE HEAVY RAINFALL, MINOR COASTAL FLOODING/EROSION, DANGEROUS SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON HURRICANE MATTHEW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. NCZ029-044>047-079>081-090>092-071715- MARTIN-PITT-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-GREENE-BEAUFORT- MAINLAND HYDE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES- 103 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HURRICANE MATTHEW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, THEN PUSH EAST OFF THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. HOWEVER UNCERTAINTY REMAINS IN THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM. AT THIS TIME BASED ON THE LATEST OFFICIAL TRACK, TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL IMPACTS INCLUDE HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR COASTAL FLOODING. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON HURRICANE MATTHEW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in North Carolina, 2016Every flash flood watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.