Alert archive / North Carolina / Beach Hazards Statements in 2016

Beach Hazards Statement 23, NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

October 19, 2016

NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued this beach hazards statement at Oct 19, 2016, 8:16 PM EDT. It was in force for 48 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 19, 2016, 8:16 PM EDT (00:16 UTC)
Expired
Oct 21, 2016, 8:00 PM EDT
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC

The text

As transmitted.

659 
WHUS42 KMHX 200016
CFWMHX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE FOR NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
816 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2016

...HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

.CONTINUED RESIDUAL EAST SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE STRONG
RIP CURRENTS THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES AND EAST
SWELL COULD PRODUCE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ON THE OCEAN SIDE OF
EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA BEACHES THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. IN
ADDITION...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ON THE SOUND SIDE OF
THE OUTER BANKS AS FLOOD WATERS ENTERING PAMLICO SOUND COMBINE
WITH THE HIGHER TIDES TO PRODUCE MINOR WATER LEVEL RISES.

NCZ095-103-104-200730-
/O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0022.000000T0000Z-161020T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0023.161020T0016Z-161021T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-161021T0000Z/
CARTERET-OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
816 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2016

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY HAS ISSUED
A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT...WHICH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING.

* HAZARDS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WITH A HIGH THREAT OF RIP 
  CURRENTS.

* LOCATION...NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT.

* COASTAL FLOODING...WATER LEVELS AROUND 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL FOR 
  AREAS ADJACENT TO PAMLICO SOUND. WATER LEVELS WILL REMAIN 
  ELEVATED ON THE SOUND THROUGH THURSDAY DUE TO LARGE AMOUNTS OF 
  FLOOD WATERS DRAINING INTO THE TIDAL CREEKS FROM MATTHEW'S 
  HEAVY RAINS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES. HIGH 
  ASTRONOMICAL TIDES COMBINED WITH EASTERLY SWELL MAY ALSO 
  RESULT IN MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.

* TIMING AND TIDES...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING EXPECTED THROUGH
  THURSDAY. THE RIP CURRENT RISK IS GREATEST A COUPLE OF HOURS
  EITHER SIDE OF LOW TIDE... WHICH WILL BE AROUND 6 PM THURSDAY.

* IMPACTS...HIGH WATER WILL FLOOD ROADS AND MAY IMPACT SOME 
  PROPERTIES...ESPECIALLY LOW LYING AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT REMAIN CALM. DON'T FIGHT THE CURRENT.
SWIM IN A DIRECTION FOLLOWING THE SHORELINE. WHEN OUT OF THE
CURRENT... SWIM BACK TO SHORE. IF TIRED... FLOAT OR TREAD WATER
UNTIL OUT OF THE RIP CURRENT. IF UNABLE TO ESCAPE...FACE THE
SHORE AND CALL OR WAVE FOR HELP.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.


&&

$$

NCZ098-200130-
/O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0022.000000T0000Z-161020T0000Z/
ONSLOW-
816 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2016

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT HAS EXPIRED...

SWELLS ARE SUFFICIENTLY LOW ENOUGH THAT A HIGH RIP CURRENT THREAT
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. HOWEVER A MODERATE THREAT FOR RIP CURRENTS
EXISTS THROUGH THURSDAY.

$$

NCZ080-081-093-094-200730-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-161021T0000Z/
BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-
816 PM EDT WED OCT 19 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT
THURSDAY...

* LOCATION...LOCATIONS ADJACENT TO THE PAMLICO SOUND...PAMLICO 
  RIVER...NEUSE RIVER...BAY RIVER AND PUNGO RIVER.

* COASTAL FLOODING...WATER LEVELS AROUND 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL FOR 
  AREAS ADJACENT TO THE PAMLICO SOUND AND RIVERS. WATER LEVELS 
  WILL REMAIN ELEVATED ON THE SOUND THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING DUE 
  TO LARGE AMOUNTS OF FLOOD WATERS DRAINING INTO THE TIDAL 
  CREEKS FROM MATTHEWS HEAVY RAINS COMBINED WITH HIGH 
  ASTRONOMICAL TIDES.

* TIMING...THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...HIGH WATER MAY FLOOD ROADS AND MAY IMPACT SOME 
  PROPERTIES...ESPECIALLY LOW LYING AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$
5 follow-up statements
530 
WHUS42 KMHX 200742
CFWMHX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE FOR NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
342 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2016

...HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT THROUGH
THIS EVENING...

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES THROUGH
THIS EVENING...

.CONTINUED RESIDUAL EAST SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE STRONG
RIP CURRENTS THROUGH THIS EVENING. HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES AND
EAST SWELL COULD PRODUCE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ON THE OCEAN SIDE
OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA BEACHES THROUGH THIS EVENING. IN
ADDITION...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ON THE SOUND SIDE OF
THE OUTER BANKS AS FLOOD WATERS ENTERING PAMLICO SOUND COMBINE
WITH THE HIGHER TIDES TO PRODUCE MINOR WATER LEVEL RISES.

NCZ095-103-104-202100-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-161021T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0023.000000T0000Z-161021T0000Z/
CARTERET-OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
342 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

* HAZARDS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WITH A HIGH THREAT OF RIP 
  CURRENTS.

* LOCATION...NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT.

* COASTAL FLOODING...WATER LEVELS AROUND 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL FOR
  AREAS ADJACENT TO PAMLICO SOUND. WATER LEVELS WILL REMAIN
  ELEVATED ON THE SOUND THROUGH TODAY DUE TO LARGE AMOUNTS OF
  FLOOD WATERS DRAINING INTO THE TIDAL CREEKS FROM MATTHEW'S HEAVY
  RAINS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES. HIGH ASTRONOMICAL
  TIDES COMBINED WITH EASTERLY SWELL MAY ALSO RESULT IN MINOR
  COASTAL FLOODING.

* TIMING AND TIDES...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
  EVENING. THE RIP CURRENT RISK IS GREATEST A COUPLE OF HOURS
  EITHER SIDE OF LOW TIDE...WHICH WILL BE AROUND 6 PM THIS
  EVENING.

* IMPACTS...HIGH WATER WILL FLOOD ROADS AND MAY IMPACT SOME 
  PROPERTIES...ESPECIALLY LOW LYING AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT REMAIN CALM. DON'T FIGHT THE CURRENT.
SWIM IN A DIRECTION FOLLOWING THE SHORELINE. WHEN OUT OF THE
CURRENT... SWIM BACK TO SHORE. IF TIRED... FLOAT OR TREAD WATER
UNTIL OUT OF THE RIP CURRENT. IF UNABLE TO ESCAPE...FACE THE
SHORE AND CALL OR WAVE FOR HELP.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

NCZ080-081-093-094-202100-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-161021T0000Z/
BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-
342 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATION...LOCATIONS ADJACENT TO THE PAMLICO SOUND...PAMLICO 
  RIVER...NEUSE RIVER...BAY RIVER AND PUNGO RIVER.

* COASTAL FLOODING...WATER LEVELS AROUND 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL FOR
  AREAS ADJACENT TO THE PAMLICO SOUND AND RIVERS. WATER LEVELS
  WILL REMAIN ELEVATED ON THE SOUND THROUGH THIS EVENING DUE TO
  LARGE AMOUNTS OF FLOOD WATERS DRAINING INTO THE TIDAL CREEKS
  FROM MATTHEWS HEAVY RAINS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...HIGH WATER MAY FLOOD ROADS AND MAY IMPACT SOME 
  PROPERTIES...ESPECIALLY LOW LYING AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$
535 
WHUS42 KMHX 202025
CFWMHX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE FOR NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
425 PM EDT THU OCT 20 2016

...HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

.CONTINUED RESIDUAL EAST SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A HIGH
THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES
AND EAST SWELL COULD PRODUCE MINOR COASTAL FLOODING ON THE OCEAN
SIDE OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA BEACHES THROUGH THIS EVENING. IN
ADDITION...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ON THE SOUND SIDE OF
THE OUTER BANKS AS FLOOD WATERS ENTERING PAMLICO SOUND COMBINE
WITH THE HIGHER TIDES TO PRODUCE MINOR WATER LEVEL RISES.

NCZ095-103-104-210630-
/O.EXT.KMHX.BH.S.0023.000000T0000Z-161022T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-161021T0000Z/
CARTERET-OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
425 PM EDT THU OCT 20 2016

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING
NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT... 
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* HAZARDS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WITH A HIGH THREAT OF RIP 
  CURRENTS.

* LOCATION...NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT.

* COASTAL FLOODING...WATER LEVELS AROUND 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL FOR 
  AREAS ADJACENT TO PAMLICO SOUND. WATER LEVELS WILL REMAIN 
  ELEVATED ON THE SOUND THROUGH TODAY DUE TO LARGE AMOUNTS OF 
  FLOOD WATERS DRAINING INTO THE TIDAL CREEKS FROM MATTHEW'S 
  HEAVY RAINS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES. HIGH 
  ASTRONOMICAL TIDES COMBINED WITH EASTERLY SWELL MAY ALSO 
  RESULT IN MINOR COASTAL FLOODING.

* TIMING AND TIDES...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
  EVENING. THE RIP CURRENT RISK IS GREATEST A COUPLE OF HOURS
  EITHER SIDE OF LOW TIDE...WHICH WILL BE AROUND 9 AM FRIDAY
  MORNING.

* IMPACTS...HIGH WATER WILL FLOOD ROADS AND MAY IMPACT SOME 
  PROPERTIES...ESPECIALLY LOW LYING AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT REMAIN CALM. DON'T FIGHT THE CURRENT.
SWIM IN A DIRECTION FOLLOWING THE SHORELINE. WHEN OUT OF THE
CURRENT... SWIM BACK TO SHORE. IF TIRED... FLOAT OR TREAD WATER
UNTIL OUT OF THE RIP CURRENT. IF UNABLE TO ESCAPE...FACE THE
SHORE AND CALL OR WAVE FOR HELP.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

NCZ080-081-093-094-210000-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0013.000000T0000Z-161021T0000Z/
BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-CRAVEN-PAMLICO-
425 PM EDT THU OCT 20 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

* LOCATION...LOCATIONS ADJACENT TO THE PAMLICO SOUND...PAMLICO 
  RIVER...NEUSE RIVER...BAY RIVER AND PUNGO RIVER.

* COASTAL FLOODING...WATER LEVELS AROUND 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL FOR 
  AREAS ADJACENT TO THE PAMLICO SOUND AND RIVERS. WATER LEVELS 
  WILL REMAIN ELEVATED ON THE SOUND THROUGH THIS EVENING DUE TO 
  LARGE AMOUNTS OF FLOOD WATERS DRAINING INTO THE TIDAL CREEKS 
  FROM MATTHEWS HEAVY RAINS COMBINED WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL 
  TIDES.

* TIMING...THROUGH THIS EVENING.

* IMPACTS...HIGH WATER MAY FLOOD ROADS AND MAY IMPACT SOME 
  PROPERTIES...ESPECIALLY LOW LYING AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$
601 
WHUS42 KMHX 210800
CFWMHX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE FOR NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
400 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2016

...HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT THROUGH
THIS EVENING...

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR SOUNDSIDE FLOODING ALONG THE
OUTER BANKS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY...

.CONTINUED RESIDUAL EAST SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A HIGH
THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE
ON THE SOUND SIDE OF THE OUTER BANKS AS FLOOD WATERS ENTERING
PAMLICO SOUND COMBINE WITH THE HIGHER TIDES AND STRONG NORTHWEST
WINDS TO PRODUCE MINOR WATER LEVEL RISES.

NCZ103-104-212100-
/O.NEW.KMHX.CF.Y.0014.161021T2300Z-161022T2100Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0023.000000T0000Z-161022T0000Z/
OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
400 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2016

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO
5 PM EDT SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY HAS ISSUED
A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 5 PM EDT SATURDAY.

* HAZARDS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WITH A HIGH THREAT OF RIP 
  CURRENTS.

* LOCATION...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT.

* COASTAL FLOODING...WATER LEVELS 1 TO 2 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL FOR
  AREAS ADJACENT TO PAMLICO SOUND. WATER LEVELS WILL REMAIN
  ELEVATED THROUGH SATURDAY DUE TO LARGE AMOUNTS OF FLOOD WATERS
  WHICH HAVE DRAINED INTO THE SOUND OVER THE PAST WEEK COMBINED
  WITH HIGH ASTRONOMICAL TIDES AND STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS. 

* TIMING AND TIDES...MINOR SOUNDSIDE FLOODING EXPECTED TONIGHT
  THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE RIP CURRENT RISK IS GREATEST A
  COUPLE OF HOURS EITHER SIDE OF LOW TIDE...WHICH WILL BE AROUND 9
  AM THIS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...HIGH WATER MAY FLOOD ROADS AND MAY IMPACT SOME
  PROPERTIES...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT REMAIN CALM. DON'T FIGHT THE CURRENT.
SWIM IN A DIRECTION FOLLOWING THE SHORELINE. WHEN OUT OF THE
CURRENT... SWIM BACK TO SHORE. IF TIRED... FLOAT OR TREAD WATER
UNTIL OUT OF THE RIP CURRENT. IF UNABLE TO ESCAPE...FACE THE
SHORE AND CALL OR WAVE FOR HELP.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE MINOR FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE
SHORE.

&&

$$

NCZ095-212100-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0023.000000T0000Z-161022T0000Z/
CARTERET-
400 AM EDT FRI OCT 21 2016

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

* HAZARDS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WITH A HIGH THREAT OF RIP 
  CURRENTS.

* LOCATION...NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT.

* TIMING AND TIDES...THE RIP CURRENT RISK IS GREATEST A COUPLE OF
  HOURS EITHER SIDE OF LOW TIDE...WHICH WILL BE AROUND 9 AM THIS
  MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT REMAIN CALM. DON'T FIGHT THE CURRENT.
SWIM IN A DIRECTION FOLLOWING THE SHORELINE. WHEN OUT OF THE
CURRENT... SWIM BACK TO SHORE. IF TIRED... FLOAT OR TREAD WATER
UNTIL OUT OF THE RIP CURRENT. IF UNABLE TO ESCAPE...FACE THE
SHORE AND CALL OR WAVE FOR HELP.

&&

$$
271 
WHUS42 KMHX 211835
CFWMHX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE FOR NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
235 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2016

...HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT THROUGH THIS
EVENING...

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR SOUNDSIDE FLOODING ALONG THE
OUTER BANKS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY...

.CONTINUED RESIDUAL EAST SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A HIGH
THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS TODAY. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE
ON THE SOUND SIDE OF THE OUTER BANKS AS FLOOD WATERS ENTERING
PAMLICO SOUND COMBINE WITH THE HIGHER TIDES AND STRONG NORTHWEST
WINDS TO PRODUCE MINOR WATER LEVEL RISES.

NCZ103-104-220245-
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0014.161021T2300Z-161022T2100Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0023.000000T0000Z-161022T0000Z/
OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
235 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2016

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS
EVENING TO 5 PM EDT SATURDAY...

* HAZARDS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WITH A HIGH THREAT OF RIP 
  CURRENTS.

* LOCATION...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT. MINOR
  COASTAL FLOODING ON SOUNDSIDE OF OUTER BANKS.

* COASTAL FLOODING...WATER LEVELS INCREASING TO AROUND 2 FEET
  ABOVE NORMAL FOR SOUNDSIDE LOCATIONS ON THE OUTER BANKS.  

* TIMING AND TIDES...MINOR SOUNDSIDE FLOODING EXPECTED TONIGHT
  THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...HIGH WATER MAY FLOOD ROADS AND MAY IMPACT SOME 
  PROPERTIES...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT REMAIN CALM. DON'T FIGHT THE CURRENT.
SWIM IN A DIRECTION FOLLOWING THE SHORELINE. WHEN OUT OF THE
CURRENT... SWIM BACK TO SHORE. IF TIRED... FLOAT OR TREAD WATER
UNTIL OUT OF THE RIP CURRENT. IF UNABLE TO ESCAPE...FACE THE
SHORE AND CALL OR WAVE FOR HELP.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE MINOR FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE
SHORE.

&&

$$

NCZ095-220000-
/O.CON.KMHX.BH.S.0023.000000T0000Z-161022T0000Z/
CARTERET-
235 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2016

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT...

* HAZARDS...HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS.

* LOCATION...NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT REMAIN CALM. DON'T FIGHT THE CURRENT.
SWIM IN A DIRECTION FOLLOWING THE SHORELINE. WHEN OUT OF THE
CURRENT... SWIM BACK TO SHORE. IF TIRED... FLOAT OR TREAD WATER
UNTIL OUT OF THE RIP CURRENT. IF UNABLE TO ESCAPE...FACE THE
SHORE AND CALL OR WAVE FOR HELP.

&&

$$
386 
WHUS42 KMHX 220009
CFWMHX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE FOR NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
809 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2016

...HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT THROUGH
SATURDAY...

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FOR MINOR SOUNDSIDE FLOODING ALONG THE
OUTER BANKS TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY...

.CONTINUED RESIDUAL EAST SWELLS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A HIGH
THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS THROUGH SATURDAY. MINOR COASTAL FLOODING
IS POSSIBLE ON THE SOUND SIDE OF THE OUTER BANKS AS FLOOD WATERS
ENTERING PAMLICO SOUND COMBINE WITH THE HIGHER TIDES AND STRONG
NORTHWEST WINDS TO PRODUCE MINOR WATER LEVEL RISES.

NCZ103-104-221100-
/O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0023.000000T0000Z-161022T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0024.161022T0009Z-161023T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMHX.CF.Y.0014.000000T0000Z-161022T2100Z/
OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
809 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2016

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM EDT
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY HAS ISSUED
A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT...WHICH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING.

* HAZARDS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WITH A HIGH THREAT OF RIP 
  CURRENTS.

* LOCATION...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT. MINOR 
  COASTAL FLOODING ON SOUNDSIDE OF OUTER BANKS.

* COASTAL FLOODING...WATER LEVELS INCREASING TO AROUND 2 FEET 
  ABOVE NORMAL FOR SOUNDSIDE LOCATIONS ON THE OUTER BANKS.

* TIMING AND TIDES...MINOR SOUNDSIDE FLOODING EXPECTED TONIGHT 
  THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...HIGH WATER MAY FLOOD ROADS AND MAY IMPACT SOME 
  PROPERTIES...ESPECIALLY IN LOW LYING AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT REMAIN CALM. DON'T FIGHT THE CURRENT.
SWIM IN A DIRECTION FOLLOWING THE SHORELINE. WHEN OUT OF THE
CURRENT... SWIM BACK TO SHORE. IF TIRED... FLOAT OR TREAD WATER
UNTIL OUT OF THE RIP CURRENT. IF UNABLE TO ESCAPE...FACE THE
SHORE AND CALL OR WAVE FOR HELP.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE MINOR FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE
SHORE.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

NCZ095-221100-
/O.EXP.KMHX.BH.S.0023.000000T0000Z-161022T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KMHX.BH.S.0024.161022T0009Z-161023T0000Z/
CARTERET-
809 PM EDT FRI OCT 21 2016

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY HAS ISSUED
A BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT...WHICH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING.

* HAZARDS...HIGH THREAT OF RIP CURRENTS.

* LOCATION...NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF CAUGHT IN A RIP CURRENT REMAIN CALM. DON'T FIGHT THE CURRENT.
SWIM IN A DIRECTION FOLLOWING THE SHORELINE. WHEN OUT OF THE
CURRENT... SWIM BACK TO SHORE. IF TIRED... FLOAT OR TREAD WATER
UNTIL OUT OF THE RIP CURRENT. IF UNABLE TO ESCAPE...FACE THE
SHORE AND CALL OR WAVE FOR HELP.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this beach hazards statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this beach hazards statement went out at Oct 19, 6:58 PM EDT, 1 hour 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 19, 6:58 PM EDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
658 PM EDT Wed Oct 19 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will continue to extend into the area from the
western Atlantic through Thursday. A cold front with limited
moisture will move through from the west late Friday. Strong high
pressure will build in from the west over the weekend. A dry cold
front will cross the region Monday night followed by high pressure
next Tuesday and Wednesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
As of 7 pm Wednesday...Fair weather conditions again this evening
then some patchy fog expected late tonight with lighter winds than
last night/this morning. Better radiational cooling conditions
will allow temps to drop to near 60 inland with mid-upper 60s
coast.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
As of 330 PM Wednesday...Surface and upper ridge will be squeezed
on Thursday as systems approach from west and southeast. Dry
conditions expected to persist but may see a bit more cloud cover
with easterly winds on coast along with temps a couple of degrees
cooler with highs around 80 coast and 82-85 inland.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 330 PM Wednesday...Based on model consensus, updated late
Thu night through Fri night period for POPs/Wx. Most of moisture
with vigorous short wave moving through from west will be wrung
out coming over mountains, but enough support to keep 30-40% POPs
over area Fri afternoon and NE sections Fri evening. Added slight
chc mention for Tstms as well Fri afternoon with LIs -1 to -2 and
SPC indicating general thunder outlook. No significant changes
rest of period.

/Previous discussion/
As of 315 AM Wednesday...Quiet, dry and warm weather expected
through Thu night as high pressure offshore extends into the area.
There will be a small chance of light rain showers Friday/Friday
evening as a strong and progressive long wave upper trough and
it's associated surface cold front approaches from the west and
moves through the area Friday night. The front will have limited
moisture thus any precipitation amounts that occur should be very
light mainly a tenth of an inch or less most areas. Another dry
and cool high pressure system is expected to build back over the
area during the weekend followed by the passage of a dry cold
front Monday evening followed by a reinforcing shot of cool/dry
air Tuesday and Wednesday.

Thursday night...Dry and warm high pressure will continue over
the area into Thursday with very warm temperatures expected across
Eastern NC. Highs Thursday should be a couple of degrees cooler
than Wed (upper 70s/lower 80s) as flow becomes more onshore.

Friday and Friday night...Rain chances will be increasing slightly
this period as the aforementioned strong upper trough/surface
cold front move through the region Friday night. Still looks like
most of the moisture with this system will get wrung out west of
the mountains while a developing Tropical/Sub Tropical low
pressure system moving north from vicinity of the Bahamas well off
of the NC coast should intercept moisture inflow into the front
and also limit precipitation amounts. Highs will still be mild Fri
ahead of system with lower to middle 70s.

Saturday through Wednesday...High pressure building into the area
from the west will produce a NW flow of much cooler and drier air
across the area through this weekend. A dry cold front is then
forecast to cross the region monday evening followed by more high
pressure with reinforcing shot of cool/dry air for Tuesday and
Wednesday. Highs will be in the low to mid 60s Saturday and
mid 60s Sunday with lows in the 40s Saturday and Sunday nights.
Highs should moderate into the upper 60s to lower 70s ahead of the
front Monday then cool back into the 60s for Tuesday and
Wednesday. and Tuesday. The GFS continues to run a few degrees
cooler than the ECMWF, showing lows inland dropping into the upper
30s Sat night and Sun morning.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Short Term /through 18Z Thursday/...
As of 7 pm Wednesday...Mostly clear VFR conditions will prevail
into tonight with high pressure extending over area. Guidance
again indicating IFR to LIFR fog/stratus all TAF sites late
tonight and conditions do look more conducive with winds near
calm, thus forecasting period of 2SM BR 09Z-13Z. Conditions
improving to VFR 13Z-15Z Thursday with light winds through the
day.

Long Term /Thursday night through Monday/...
As of 230 AM Wed...VFR conditions and winds under 10 kts will
continue across the area Thu night with high pressure in place.
Scattered showers/isolated tstm possible mainly Friday
afternoon/evening with brief MVFR possible. Chance of showers
with MVFR cigs on Friday then VFR conditions expected over the
weekend. VFR rest of period with gusty NW winds late Friday night
through Sat night.

&&

.MARINE...
Short Term /through Thursday/...
As of 7 pm Wednesday...Surface high extending over area from
offshore tonight will get squeezed from west and southeast Friday,
resulting in coastal winds becoming easterly but speeds mainly 10
KT or less. Seas remaining 2-4 FT with lingering long period
easterly swell.

Long Term /Thursday night through Monday/...
As of 330 PM Wednesday...Updated winds Friday night through Sunday
with Superblend which indicates NW winds 20-25 KT late Friday
night and Saturday.

/Previous discussion/
As of 315 AM Tuesday...Small Craft Advisory conditions are
expected to develop Friday afternoon and continue through Saturday
night. Thursday the surface ridge axis builds back north with low
pres well to the SE...leading to winds becoming more Easterly with
speeds around 10 KT and then veering briefly to the West/Northwest
Friday. The latest guidance is indicating a stronger NW post
frontal surge of 15 to 25 KT behind the front Friday night and
Saturday. The NW flow will then gradually diminish to 15 to 20 KT
Saturday night and 10 to 15 KT late Sunday. Seas will begin to
build to 4 to 6 FT Friday afternoon as swell from Tropical/Sub
Tropical low pressure moves north well off of the coast. Seas will
further build to 6 to 9 FT in the strong NW post frontal flow and
should drop below 6 FT early Sunday morning.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
As of 330 PM Wednesday...Mainstem rivers have all crested and are
slowly receding. Major flooding conts along the Neuse river.
Areal Flood Warning conts for some inland areas as many roads even
well away from the mainstem rivers remain flooded.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
As of 330 PM Wednesday...The Coastal Flood Advisory will continue
through Thursday evening. Gauges adjacent to Pamlico Sound
continue to indicate water levels 1 to 2 feet above normal due to
flood waters moving down rivers and tributaries. Minor coastal
flooding is expected to continue through Thursday due to the flood
waters and high astronomical tides. Additionally, minor coastal
flooding on the ocean side is also possible due to the high
astronomical tides.

&&

.CLIMATE...
RECORD MAX TEMPS FOR 10/19 (WEDNESDAY)

LOCATION	  TEMP/YEAR
New Bern 	   87/2007  (KEWN ASOS)
Cape Hatteras  83/1968  (KHSE ASOS)
Greenville     89/1938  (COOP - NOT KPGV AWOS)
Morehead City  83/1985  (COOP - NOT KMRH ASOS)
Kinston        92/1938  (COOP - NOT KISO AWOS)
Jacksonville   87/2007  (KNCA AWOS)

RECORD MAX TEMPS FOR 10/20(THURSDAY)

LOCATION	  TEMP/YEAR
New Bern 	   88/1984  (KEWN ASOS)
Cape Hatteras  82/1993  (KHSE ASOS)
Greenville     88/1968 (COOP - NOT KPGV AWOS)
Morehead City  85/1979  (COOP - NOT KMRH ASOS)
Kinston        91/1938  (COOP - NOT KISO AWOS)
Jacksonville   89/1984  (KNCA AWOS)

&&

.MHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...Beach Hazards Statement until 8 PM EDT this evening for NCZ095-
     098-103-104.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 8 PM EDT Thursday for NCZ080-081-
     093>095-103-104.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JBM
NEAR TERM...HSA/JBM
SHORT TERM...JBM
LONG TERM...JBM/CQD
AVIATION...HSA/JBM/CQD
MARINE...HSA/JBM/CQD
HYDROLOGY...MHX
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...MHX
CLIMATE...MHX
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 19, 4:22 AM EDT, 15 hours 54 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
422 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2016

NCZ103-104-200830-
OUTER BANKS DARE-OUTER BANKS HYDE-
422 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

   BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ095-200830-
CARTERET-
422 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY...
...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.
   BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ093-200830-
CRAVEN-
422 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ADJACENT TO NEUSE RIVER
AND SWIFT CREEK EARLY THIS WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ098-200830-
ONSLOW-
422 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2016

...BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   BEACH HAZARDS STATEMENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ080-081-094-200830-
BEAUFORT-MAINLAND HYDE-PAMLICO-
422 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2016

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ029-045>047-200830-
MARTIN-WASHINGTON-TYRRELL-MAINLAND DARE-
422 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ044-079-090>092-200830-
PITT-GREENE-DUPLIN-LENOIR-JONES-
422 AM EDT WED OCT 19 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

MINOR TO MODERATE URBAN AND SMALL STREAM FLOODING WILL PERSIST
THROUGH MID WEEK, WITH MOST MAIN STEM RIVERS LIKELY CONTINUING TO
HAVE FLOODING.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Newport/Morehead City, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 20, 3:09 PM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryMHX68 hr

Nearby

Beach Hazards Statements in North Carolina, 2016Every beach hazards statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.