Small Craft Advisory 4, NWS Medford, OR

939 
WHUS76 KMFR 042332
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
332 PM PST MON JAN 4 2016

...UNSETTLED CONDITIONS CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY...

A SERIES OF FRONTAL SYSTEMS MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL
BRING PERIODS OF MODERATE SOUTH WINDS AND HEAVY SEAS THROUGH
THURSDAY.

PZZ376-051530-
/O.CAN.KMFR.SW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160105T0600Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0004.160104T2332Z-160105T2100Z/
/O.CAN.KMFR.SW.Y.0002.160105T1200Z-160105T1800Z/
/O.UPG.KMFR.SE.A.0001.160105T1800Z-160106T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.SE.W.0002.160105T2100Z-160106T1500Z/
WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
332 PM PST MON JAN 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST TUESDAY...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 7 AM PST
WEDNESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 1 PM PST
TUESDAY. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A
HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 7
AM PST WEDNESDAY.

* WINDS: SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY AND INCREASE TO 20
  TO 30 KTS PST THIS EVENING WITH GUSTS 30 TO AS HIGH AS 40 KT.
  WINDS ARE MOST LIKELY TO PEAK BETWEEN 7 PM AND 1 AM PST. WINDS
  WILL THEN BE SOUTHERLY 15 TO 25 KT ON TUESDAY UNTIL EARLY
  AFTERNOON...WHEN THEY WILL AGAIN INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 KT THROUGH
  WEDNESDAY.

* SEAS: SOUTHWEST SEAS 10 TO 14 FEET TONIGHT WILL BUILD TO 18 TO
  20 FEET TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS LONG SECOND PERIOD WEST
  SWELL BUILDS AND THEN PEAKS AROUND 17 FEET AT 17 SECONDS. SEAS
  WILL SUBSIDE TO AROUND 15 FEET ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE ANOTHER LONG
  PERIOD WEST SWELL ARRIVES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND PEAKS AROUND 18
  FEET AT 17 SECONDS THURSDAY MORNING.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A
POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEA
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL
VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN
PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

PZZ350-356-051530-
/O.CAN.KMFR.SW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160106T0000Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0004.160104T2332Z-160105T2100Z/
/O.UPG.KMFR.SE.A.0001.160106T0000Z-160106T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.SE.W.0002.160105T2100Z-160106T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM-
332 PM PST MON JAN 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST TUESDAY...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 7 AM PST
WEDNESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 1 PM PST
TUESDAY. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A
HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 7
AM PST WEDNESDAY.

* WINDS: SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY AND INCREASE TO 20
  TO 30 KTS PST THIS EVENING WITH GUSTS 30 TO AS HIGH AS 40 KT.
  WINDS ARE MOST LIKELY TO PEAK BETWEEN 7 PM AND 1 AM PST. WINDS
  WILL THEN BE SOUTHERLY 15 TO 25 KT ON TUESDAY WILL INCREASE TO
  20 TO 30 KT TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

* SEAS: SOUTHWEST SEAS 10 TO 13 FEET TONIGHT WILL BUILD TO 18 TO
  20 FEET TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS LONG SECOND PERIOD WEST
  SWELL BUILDS AND THEN PEAKS AROUND 17 FEET AT 17 SECONDS. SEAS
  WILL SUBSIDE TO AROUND 15 FEET ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE ANOTHER LONG
  PERIOD WEST SWELL ARRIVES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND PEAKS AROUND 18
  FEET AT 17 SECONDS THURSDAY MORNING.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A
POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEA
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL
VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN
PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

PZZ370-051530-
/O.CAN.KMFR.SW.Y.0001.000000T0000Z-160105T1800Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SC.Y.0004.160104T2332Z-160105T2100Z/
/O.UPG.KMFR.SE.A.0001.160105T1800Z-160106T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.SE.W.0002.160105T2100Z-160106T1500Z/
WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
332 PM PST MON JAN 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST TUESDAY...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 7 AM PST
WEDNESDAY...

THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 1 PM PST
TUESDAY. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A
HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO 7
AM PST WEDNESDAY.

* WINDS: SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY AND INCREASE TO 20
  TO 30 KTS PST THIS EVENING WITH GUSTS 30 TO AS HIGH AS 40 KT.
  WINDS ARE MOST LIKELY TO PEAK BETWEEN 9 PM AND 3 AM PST. WINDS
  WILL THEN BE SOUTHERLY 20 TO 25 KT ON TUESDAY UNTIL EARLY
  AFTERNOON...WHEN THEY WILL AGAIN INCREASE TO 25 TO 35 KT THROUGH
  WEDNESDAY.

* SEAS: SOUTHWEST SEAS 10 TO 14 FEET TONIGHT WILL BUILD TO 18 TO
  20 FEET TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS LONG SECOND PERIOD WEST
  SWELL BUILDS AND THEN PEAKS AROUND 17 FEET AT 17 SECONDS. SEAS
  WILL SUBSIDE TO AROUND 15 FEET ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE ANOTHER LONG
  PERIOD WEST SWELL ARRIVES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND PEAKS AROUND 18
  FEET AT 17 SECONDS THURSDAY MORNING.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A
POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEA
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL
VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN
PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

BTL

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD

000 
WHUS76 KMFR 050345
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KMFR
745 PM PST MON JAN 4 2016

...UNSETTLED CONDITIONS CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY...

A SERIES OF FRONTAL SYSTEMS MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL
BRING PERIODS OF MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTH WINDS AND HEAVY SEAS
THROUGH THURSDAY.

PZZ356-370-376-051145-
/O.UPG.KMFR.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160105T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.GL.W.0001.160105T0345Z-160105T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.SC.Y.0005.160105T1200Z-160105T2100Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0002.160105T2100Z-160106T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM-
WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
745 PM PST MON JAN 4 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM PST TUESDAY...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO
7 AM PST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST TUESDAY. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS
IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM PST TUESDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WINDS: SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY AND INCREASE TO 30
  TO 35 KTS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT WITH GUSTS OF 40 KT. WINDS
  ARE MOST LIKELY TO PEAK BETWEEN 9 PM AND 1 AM PST. LIGHTER WINDS
  AROUND 20 TO 30 KT ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 5 NM OF SHORE AND NORTH
  OF CAPE ARAGO. ON TUESDAY EXPECT SOUTH WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KT
  INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

* SEAS: SOUTHWEST 10 TO 14 FT STEEP TO VERY STEEP SEAS TONIGHT
  WILL BUILD TO 18 TO 20 FEET LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS
  LONG SECOND PERIOD WEST SWELL BUILDS AND THEN PEAKS AROUND 17
  FEET AT 17 SECONDS. SEAS WILL SUBSIDE TO AROUND 15 FEET ON
  WEDNESDAY BEFORE ANOTHER LONG PERIOD WEST SWELL ARRIVES
  WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND PEAKS AROUND 18 FEET AT 17 SECONDS THURSDAY
  MORNING.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS
  ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY
STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A
VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY
EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT
THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE
CONDITIONS.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEA
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL
VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN
PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A
POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS.

&&

$$

PZZ350-051145-
/O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160105T2100Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0002.160105T2100Z-160106T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM-
745 PM PST MON JAN 4 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM PST
TUESDAY...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO
7 AM PST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS: SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY AND INCREASE TO 20
  TO 30 KTS PST THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KTS.
  LOCALLY GALE FORCE SOUTH WINDS OF 30 KT GUSTING TO 40 KT ARE
  EXPECTED NEAR CAPE BLANCO. WINDS ARE MOST LIKELY TO PEAK BETWEEN
  9 PM AND 1 AM PST. WINDS WILL THEN BE SOUTHERLY 15 TO 25 KT ON
  TUESDAY WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 KT TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
  WEDNESDAY.

* SEAS: SOUTHWEST SEAS 10 TO 13 FEET TONIGHT WILL BUILD TO 18 TO 
  20 FEET TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS LONG SECOND PERIOD WEST 
  SWELL BUILDS AND THEN PEAKS AROUND 17 FEET AT 17 SECONDS. SEAS 
  WILL SUBSIDE TO AROUND 15 FEET ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE ANOTHER 
  LONG PERIOD WEST SWELL ARRIVES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND PEAKS 
  AROUND 18 FEET AT 17 SECONDS THURSDAY MORNING. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A
POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEA
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL
VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN
PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

&&

$$

463 
WHUS76 KMFR 050414
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KMFR
814 PM PST MON JAN 4 2016

...UNSETTLED CONDITIONS CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY...

A SERIES OF FRONTAL SYSTEMS MOVING IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL
BRING PERIODS OF MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTH WINDS AND HEAVY SEAS
THROUGH THURSDAY.

PZZ350-051215-
/O.UPG.KMFR.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-160105T2100Z/
/O.EXA.KMFR.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160105T1200Z/
/O.EXA.KMFR.SC.Y.0005.160105T1200Z-160105T2100Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0002.160105T2100Z-160106T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM-
814 PM PST MON JAN 4 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM PST TUESDAY...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO
7 AM PST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST TUESDAY. A SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS
IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM PST TUESDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* WINDS: SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY AND INCREASE TO 20
  TO 30 KTS PST WITH GALE FORCE SOUTH WINDS OF 30 KT GUSTING TO 40
  KT FROM CAPE ARAGO SOUTH. NORTH OF CAPE ARAGO EXPECT LIGHTER
  SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 20 KT. WINDS ARE MOST LIKELY TO PEAK BETWEEN
  9 PM AND 1 AM PST. WINDS WILL THEN BE SOUTHERLY 15 TO 25 KT ON
  TUESDAY WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 KT TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH
  WEDNESDAY.

* SEAS: SOUTHWEST SEAS 10 TO 13 FEET TONIGHT WILL BUILD TO 18 TO 
  20 FEET TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS LONG SECOND PERIOD WEST 
  SWELL BUILDS AND THEN PEAKS AROUND 17 FEET AT 17 SECONDS. SEAS 
  WILL SUBSIDE TO AROUND 15 FEET ON WEDNESDAY BEFORE ANOTHER 
  LONG PERIOD WEST SWELL ARRIVES WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND PEAKS 
  AROUND 18 FEET AT 17 SECONDS THURSDAY MORNING. 

* AREAS AFFECTED...GALES WILL IMPACT AREAS BEYOND 5 NM FROM SHORE
  FROM CAPE ARAGO SOUTH AND BEYOND 10 NM FROM SHORE NORTH OF CAPE
  ARAGO...ELSEWHERE EXPECT SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS TONIGHT. SMALL
  CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITONS WILL IMPACT ALL AREAS TUESDAY MORNING
  WITH HAZARDOUS SEAS DEVELOPING IN ALL AREAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY
STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A
VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY
EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT
THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE
CONDITIONS.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEA
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL
VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN
PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A
POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS.

&&

$$

PZZ356-370-376-051215-
/O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160105T1200Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0005.160105T1200Z-160105T2100Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0002.160105T2100Z-160106T1500Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM-
WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
814 PM PST MON JAN 4 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM PST TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 1 PM PST
TUESDAY...
...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TUESDAY TO
7 AM PST WEDNESDAY...

* WINDS: SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY AND INCREASE TO 
  30 TO 35 KTS THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT WITH GUSTS OF 40 KT. 
  WINDS ARE MOST LIKELY TO PEAK BETWEEN 9 PM AND 1 AM PST. 
  LIGHTER WINDS AROUND 20 TO 30 KT ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 5 NM OF 
  SHORE AND NORTH OF CAPE ARAGO. ON TUESDAY EXPECT SOUTH WINDS 
  OF 15 TO 25 KT INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT TUESDAY NIGHT AND 
  WEDNESDAY. 

* SEAS: SOUTHWEST 10 TO 14 FT STEEP TO VERY STEEP SEAS TONIGHT 
  WILL BUILD TO 18 TO 20 FEET LATE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AS 
  LONG SECOND PERIOD WEST SWELL BUILDS AND THEN PEAKS AROUND 17 
  FEET AT 17 SECONDS. SEAS WILL SUBSIDE TO AROUND 15 FEET ON 
  WEDNESDAY BEFORE ANOTHER LONG PERIOD WEST SWELL ARRIVES 
  WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND PEAKS AROUND 18 FEET AT 17 SECONDS 
  THURSDAY MORNING. 

* AREAS AFFECTED...GALES WILL IMPACT AREAS BEYOND 5 NM FROM SHORE
  FROM CAPE ARAGO SOUTH AND BEYOND 10 NM FROM SHORE NORTH OF CAPE
  ARAGO...ELSEWHERE EXPECT SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS TONIGHT. SMALL
  CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITONS WILL IMPACT ALL AREAS TUESDAY MORNING
  WITH HAZARDOUS SEAS DEVELOPING IN ALL AREAS TUESDAY AFTERNOON
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY
STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A
VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY
EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT
THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE
CONDITIONS.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEA
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL
VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN
PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A
POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
908 PM PST SUN JAN 3 2016

.DISCUSSION...THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT EXPECT LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
PRECIPITATION OVER THE AREA. A WARM FRONT WILL REMAIN NORTH OF THE
AREA AND THE NEXT LOW AND FRONT WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE TO THE
SOUTHWEST. SOME LIGHT PRECIPITATION MAY FALL ALONG COASTAL AREAS.
INLAND EXPECT MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS WITH ONLY ISOLATED
PRECIPITATION. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF FOG
DEVELOPING WEST OF THE CASCADES, ESPECIALLY IN THE UMPQUA VALLEY
AND POTENTIALLY IN THE ROGUE, ILLINOIS AND APPLEGATE VALLEYS.
HAVE LOWERED THE CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION OVERNIGHT AND HAVE
ADDED FOG TO THE WESTERN VALLEYS IN THE FORECAST.

ON MONDAY MORNING A FRONT WILL PUSH INTO NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND
EXPECT LIGHT PRECIPITATION TO SPREAD INTO SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF
THE CWA, MAINLY ALONG THE COAST AND IN PORTIONS OF JOSEPHINE
COUNTY AND SISKIYOU COUNTY BY MID MORNING. ADDITIONAL LIGHT
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INLAND OVER THE AREA MONDAY
AFTERNOON. SOME COLD AIR WILL REMAIN IN WESTERN VALLEYS OVERNIGHT
BUT EXPECT VALLEYS TO WARM ABOVE FREEZING AS LIGHT PRECIPITATION
SPREADS INLAND MONDAY. SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED ABOVE 4000 FEET
WEST OF THE CASCADES BY MONDAY AFTERNOON.

A STRONGER FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT
AND  TUESDAY. THIS FRONT MAY BRING INCREASED PRECIPITATION
INLAND, ESPECIALLY TO THE SISKIYOU COUNTY AREA, AND THERE IS
POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOWFALL ABOVE 4000 FEET ELEVATION
NEAR THE MOUNT SHASTA AREA.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 04/00Z TAF CYCLE...
VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE VALLEYS WITH PARTIAL TERRAIN OBSCURATIONS
WILL GENERALLY CONTINUE THIS EVENING. HOWEVER, SOME IFR TO MVFR
CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE FROM ABOUT ROSEBURG NORTHWARD AND NORTH OF
COOS BAY ACROSS NORTHERN COOS COUNTY AND THROUGH DOUGLAS COUNTY.
OVERNIGHT AREAS OF IFR TO LIFR FOG ARE EXPECTED IN THE VALLEYS WEST
OF THE CASCADES AND EAST OF THE COAST RANGE. THESE AREAS OF FOG ARE
EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AND LIFT LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
SOME SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON. BTL

&&

.MARINE...UPDATED 305 PM PST SUNDAY, 3 JAN 2016... A PERIOD OF
ENHANCED SOUTH WINDS WILL PUSH THROUGH THE WESTERN PORTION OF THE
COASTAL WATERS AREA THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING CAUSING SOUTHWEST
SEAS TO BUILD SLIGHTLY. A RELATIVE LULL IS THEN EXPECTED OVERNIGHT
THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY ANOTHER FRONTAL
SYSTEM WILL BRING MORE RAIN AND SOME ENHANCED SOUTH WIND. HEAVY LONG
PERIOD WEST SWELL WILL ARRIVE TUESDAY...WITH A SECONDARY ROUND OF
HEAVY LONG PERIOD SWELL WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY. HAZARDOUS
SEAS UP TO 20 FEET POSSIBLE TUESDAY EVENING. THE LATEST WAVE MODEL
GUIDANCE INDICATES WEST SWELL PEAKING AT THE COASTAL WATERS BUOYS AT
16-17 FEET AT 18-19 SECONDS TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT,
AND 14-17 FEET AT 17 SECONDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING. BTL

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 449 PM PST SUN JAN 3 2016/

DISCUSSION...TWO FRONTS WILL IMPACT THE AREA MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
THE FIRST FRONT IS FAIRLY WEAK AND WILL PUSH INTO SOUTHWEST
PORTIONS OF THE AREA, BRINGING LIGHT PRECIPITATION INTO THE AREA
WITH LIGHT TO LOCALLY MODERATE PRECIPITATION OVER SISKIYOU
COUNTY. A SECOND STRONGER FRONT WITH MORE MOISTURE WILL MOVE INTO
THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. A SOUTHERLY JET ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS FRONT WILL BRING MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY PRECIPITATION TO
SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY WITH MAINLY LIGHT TO LOCALLY
MODERATE PRECIPITATION ELSEWHERE OVER THE AREA.

FOR MONDAY, SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED ABOVE 4000 FEET WEST OF THE
CASCADES BUT WILL BE LOWER DOWN TO AROUND 3500 FEET IN CENTRAL
SISKIYOU COUNTY AND FROM THE CASCADES EAST. LIGHT SNOW AMOUNTS
ARE EXPECTED OVER THE MOUNTAINS, IN SOME EAST SIDE AREAS AND NEAR
MOUNT SHASTA CITY ON MONDAY.

MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY, EXPECT SNOW LEVELS IN THE 4000 TO 5000
FT RANGE ACROSS MOST THE AREA BUT MODELS INDICATE THERE WILL BE
CONTINUED LOWER SNOW LEVELS DOWN TO 3500 FEET NEAR MOUNT SHASTA.
THESE LOW SNOW LEVELS COMBINED WITH A MODERATE TO STRONG FRONT
MOVING INLAND BRINGING MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION TO
SISKIYOU COUNTY AREA MAY RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
NEAR THE MOUNT SHASTA AREA, ESPECIALLY FOR ELEVATIONS ABOVE 4000
FEET, MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. A WINTER STORM WATCH HAS
BEEN ISSUED FOR HEAVY SNOW ABOVE 4000 FEET FOR THIS AREA. SEE THE
WSWMFR FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS. ELEVATIONS BELOW 4000 FEET AND DOWN
TO AROUND 3500 FEET NEAR MOUNT SHASTA CITY MAY ALSO SEE
SIGNIFICANT BUT LOWER SNOW TOTALS IN THE 3 TO 5 INCH RANGE MONDAY
NIGHT AND TUESDAY. WILL NEED TO MONITOR THIS FRONT AS IT
APPROACHES. OVER OTHER PORTIONS OF THE AREA, EXPECT LIGHTER
PRECIPITATION RATES WITH MAINLY ONLY LIGHT SNOW OVER THE HIGHER
TERRAIN ABOVE 4000 FEET.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 238 PM PST SUN JAN 3 2016/

DISCUSSION...

SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A LOOK AT
SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD SWATH OF WIND SWEPT CLOUDS OVER
THE REGION, AND EXTENDING OUT IN A NARROW BAND INTO THE EASTERN
PACIFIC. THIS IS THE DEFORMATION ZONE BETWEEN THE TWO UPPER LEVEL
LOWS. THE STRONGER NORTHERN LOW IS SLOWLY LIFTING NORTH TOWARDS
CANADA, WHILE THE SOUTHERN LOW IS MAKING ITS RUN TOWARDS THE WEST
COAST, AND EVENTUALLY, IT SHOULD RIDE RIGHT OVER OREGON BY
TOMORROW NIGHT. THIS SOUTHERN LOW WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ONSHORE,
MAINLY AS A RESULT OF BEING SQUISHED BETWEEN THE NORTHERN LOW AND
YET ANOTHER TROUGH THAT WILL PUSH TOWARDS THE WEST COAST EARLY
THIS WEEK. WITHOUT GOING INTO TOO MUCH MORE REPETITIOUS DETAIL,
YET ANOTHER TROUGH, THIS ONE MUCH LARGER IN AREA BUT WEAKER IN
DEPTH, WILL MAKE A RUN FOR THE COAST BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

AS EACH SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH, A SERIES OF WEAK FRONTS AND
SURFACE BOUNDARIES WILL PASS OVERHEAD, KEEPING THE AREA UNDER A
NEAR CONSTANT CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION THROUGHOUT THE SHORT TERM.
DUE TO THIS WEAKNESS, PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE GENERALLY
EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT, WITH SNOW LEVELS HOWEVER, THERE IS ONE
POTENTIAL ISSUE THAT PREVENTS THIS FROM BEING A RATHER SLOW
WEATHER PERIOD. WITH THE COLD SNOW PACK AND VERY COLD AIR SEEN
EAST OF THE CASCADES OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS, IT WILL BE TOUGH
TO WARM THE VALLEYS TO ABOVE FREEZING EVEN THOUGH AIR LAYERS ABOVE
THE SURFACE SHOULD EASILY DO SO. IF PRECIPITATION DOES OCCUR, AND
THERE ARE MULTIPLE PERIODS WHERE THIS IS THE CASE, SOME FORM OF
ICE, EITHER AS SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN, COULD EASILY RESULT.
LOCATIONS SUCH AS KLAMATH FALLS, SUMMER LAKE, FORT ROCK, AND
LAKEVIEW WOULD BE SUSCEPTIBLE, MAINLY TOMORROW EVENING AND AGAIN
TUESDAY EVENING, WHEN INDIVIDUAL SURGES OF WARM AIR ALOFT WOULD
LIFT SNOW LEVELS AND PERHAPS FORM SOME PRECIPITATION. CONFIDENCE
IS NOT HIGH WITH THIS SCENARIO, EVEN MUCH LESS SO THAN THE WEST
SIDE EVENT LAST NIGHT AND THIS MORNING, SO NO HAZARD PRODUCTS HAVE
BEEN ISSUED, ALTHOUGH IF CONFIDENCE IMPROVES TONIGHT OR TOMORROW,
SOME FORM OF HEADLINE WILL BE NEEDED.

OTHERWISE, EXPECT SHOWERY WEATHER WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. -BPN

EXTENDED...(THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...THE SPLIT JET STREAM WILL
CARRY THE LOW PRESSURE AND THE WEATHER SYSTEM INTO NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA WITH MAINLY LIGHTER SHOWERS IN SOUTHERN OREGON. DRYING
TREND IS EXPECTED FROM THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AS A RIDGE SETS
UP NEAR 140W ALLOWING NORTHERLY FLOW TO BRING COLDER AND DRIER AIR
TO THE FORECAST AREA. BOTH THE GFS AND THE ECMWF ARE CONSISTENT
WITH THIS FEATURE BUT THE GFS DROPS A STRONGER SHORT WAVE TROUGH
INTO NORTHERN OREGON FRIDAY NIGHT. THE SOUTHERN STREAM OF THE JET
IS EXPECTS TO UNDERCUT THE RIDGE AND BRING THE NEXT FRONT INLAND
AROUND SATURDAY. CONFIDENCE IS HIGHER TODAY ON THIS SCENARIO AS
BOTH MODELS HAVE CONTINUED WITH THE TREND. THERE MAY BE A BREAK ON
SUNDAY BUT LONG RANGE MODELS SHOW STRONG ZONAL JET ACROSS THE
EASTERN PACIFIC BRINGING WET WEATHER INLAND DURING THE 3 WEEK OF
THE MONTH. /FB

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...
CA...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING
     ABOVE 4000 FEET FOR FOR CAZ082.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...HAZARDOUS SEAS WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
     NIGHT FOR PZZ350-356.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 4 PM PST TUESDAY
     FOR PZZ350-356.
     HAZARDOUS SEAS WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
     NIGHT FOR PZZ370-376.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS UNTIL 10 AM PST TUESDAY
     FOR PZZ370-376.

CC