High Wind Watch 11, NWS Medford, OR

657 
WWUS76 KMFR 050541
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
941 PM PST FRI MAR 4 2016

...STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS EXPECTED TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT AT THE COAST AND SATURDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT INLAND...

.A SERIES OF STRONG COLD FRONTS WILL BRING GUSTY SOUTH WINDS TO
SOUTHERN OREGON AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. SOME AREAS COULD SEE
DAMAGING WINDS WITH THIS STORM...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST...THE
SISKIYOUS...THE SOUTHERN ROGUE VALLEY...THE INTERSTATE 5 CORRIDOR
IN THE SHASTA VALLEY... KLAMATH FALLS...AND THE FREMONT AND WARNER
MOUNTAINS. STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY IN
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

ORZ026-051745-
/O.UPG.KMFR.HW.A.0011.160305T1500Z-160306T0600Z/
/O.EXA.KMFR.HW.W.0012.160305T1500Z-160306T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0021.160305T1500Z-160306T0600Z/
JACKSON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDFORD...ASHLAND
941 PM PST FRI MAR 4 2016

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM PST SATURDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM PST
SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM PST SATURDAY. THE
HIGH WIND WATCH HAS BEEN UPGRADED.

* WINDS IN WARNING AREA...SOUTHEAST 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60
  MPH SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING.

* LOCATIONS IN WARNING AREA INCLUDE: INTERSTATE 5 CORRIDOR FROM
  ASHLAND TO PHOENIX...AND SURROUNDING HILLS.

* WINDS IN ADVISORY AREA...SOUTHEAST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 
  50 MPH. 

* LOCATIONS IN ADVISORY AREA INCLUDE: MEDFORD...JACKSONVILLE... 
  SHADY COVE. 

* TIMING...GUSTY WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE TIME FRAME...
  BUT THE HIGHEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE
  EARLY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
  ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE 
  TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES...AND LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BE BLOWN 
  AROUND AND DAMAGED. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

CAZ081-051745-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0012.160305T1500Z-160306T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0021.160305T1500Z-160306T0600Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YREKA...WEED
941 PM PST FRI MAR 4 2016

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM PST
SATURDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM PST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS IN WARNING AREA...SOUTH 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 
  MPH. 

* WINDS IN ADVISORY AREA...30 TO 40 WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH.

* WARNING LOCATIONS INCLUDE: WEED AND INTERSTATE 5 CORRIDOR IN 
  AND AROUND WEED. 

* ADVISORY LOCATIONS INCLUDE: YREKA...GRENADA.

* TIMING: STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
  ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BE 
  BLOWN AROUND AND DAMAGED. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

CAZ084-085-ORZ029>031-051745-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0012.160305T1500Z-160306T0900Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0021.160305T1500Z-160306T0900Z/
NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES-MODOC COUNTY-
KLAMATH BASIN-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TULELAKE...DORRIS...ALTURAS...
ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS...BEATTY...BLY...CHEMULT...
SPRAGUE RIVER...LAKEVIEW
941 PM PST FRI MAR 4 2016

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM
PST SUNDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM PST
SUNDAY...

* WINDS IN WARNING AREA...SOUTH 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 
  MPH. 

* LOCATIONS IN WARNING AREA INCLUDE: KLAMATH FALLS...BONANZA...
  AND PORTIONS OF HIGHWAYS 140...31...AND 97.

* WINDS IN ADVISORY AREA...SOUTH 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 
  MPH. 

* LOCATIONS IN ADVISORY AREA INCLUDE: MACDOEL...TULELAKE...
  CHILOQUIN...AND PORTIONS OF HIGHWAYS 140...31...AND 97.

* TIMING: THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...DOWNED TREES AND POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. LOOSE 
  OBJECTS MAY BE BLOWN AROUND AND DAMAGED. STRONG WINDS WILL 
  MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

ORZ021-022-051745-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0012.000000T0000Z-160306T0600Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANDON...PORT ORFORD...GOLD BEACH
941 PM PST FRI MAR 4 2016

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST SATURDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 40 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. HIGHER WINDS 
  ARE POSSIBLE OVER AREA CAPES AND HEADLANDS. 

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: BANDON...PORT ORFORD.

* TIMING...THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. A BREAK IN THE HIGH WINDS IS 
  EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
  ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE 
  TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES. LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BE BLOWN 
  AROUND AND DAMAGED. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

$$

CAZ083-ORZ028-051745-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0012.160305T2000Z-160306T0400Z/
NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
941 PM PST FRI MAR 4 2016

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM PST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE DURING SATURDAY MORNING... 
  REACHING 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH BY THE AFTERNOON. 
  WINDS WILL DECREASE SATURDAY EVENING. 

* LOCATIONS: MOUNT ASHLAND...HIGH TERRAIN ADJACENT TO TENNANT.

* TIMING...SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO EARLY SATURDAY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...DOWNED TREES AND POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. LOOSE 
  OBJECTS MAY BE BLOWN AROUND AND DAMAGED. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED
OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 50 MPH OR GUSTS
OF 75 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL BE
IMPACTED... ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

&&

$$

CAZ082-051745-
/O.CON.KMFR.HW.W.0012.160305T1500Z-160306T0600Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
941 PM PST FRI MAR 4 2016

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM PST
SATURDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTH 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: AREAS NORTH OF MOUNT SHASTA CITY TO INCLUDE 
  BLACK BUTTE SUMMIT ON INTERSTATE 5. 

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...
  ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED NORTH OF MOUNT SHASTA CITY.
TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES DRIVING IN A
WESTERLY OR EASTERLY DIRECTION.

&&

$$

ORZ023>025-051745-
/O.CON.KMFR.WI.Y.0021.160305T1500Z-160306T0600Z/
CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY-EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY-
EASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY FOOTHILLS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DRAIN...GLENDALE...GRANTS PASS...
CAVE JUNCTION...STEAMBOAT...TOKETEE FALLS
941 PM PST FRI MAR 4 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM PST
SATURDAY...

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BE GUSTY THROUGHOUT THE TIME FRAME...BUT THE
  HIGHEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY
  EVENING.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* LOCATIONS INCLUDE: GRANTS PASS...CAVE JUNCTION...ROSEBURG...AND
  TOKETEE FALLS.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE TREE 
  DAMAGE... AND LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BE BLOWN AROUND AND DAMAGED. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED
WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
323 PM PST FRI MAR 4 2016

SHORT TERM...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...A MODERATE TO
HIGH IMPACT WIND EVENT IS LIKELY OVER THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. GUSTY TO STRONG WINDS ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON
INTO TONIGHT AT THE COAST...MOUNTAINS...IN THE SHASTA VALLEY...AND
PORTIONS OF THE EAST SIDE ESPECIALLY NEAR SUMMER LAKE. A HIGH WIND
WARNING AT THE COAST CONTINUES THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT DUE TO
THE FIRST OF A SERIES OF LOWS BRUSHING THE COAST. WIDESPREAD
ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED OTHER LOCATIONS THROUGH
TONIGHT...THOUGH A FEW LOCATIONS LIKE THE SUMMER LAKE AREA COULD
GUST TO 50 MPH.

A 980MB LOW PRESSURE CENTER PER THE GFS AND NAM...APPROACHES THE
COAST TOMORROW AND WILL TIGHTEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT AND BRING VERY
STRONG WINDS ALOFT. WINDS AT 10000 FEET WILL BE SOME OF THE
STRONGEST ONE CAN EXPECT THIS TIME OF YEAR PER NAEFS ENSEMBLE TOOLS.
THIS WILL BRING HIGH WINDS TO THE COAST...SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND
HIGH TERRAIN IN EASTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY...AS WELL AS TO EAST SIDE
AREAS INCLUDING KLAMATH FALLS. IN MID FEBRUARY...KLAMATH FALLS
REGISTERED 60MPH WINDS FOR SEVERAL HOURS...AND MOS GUIDANCE IS
SIMILAR TO THAT EVENT. ADDITIONALLY...VERY STRONG SOUTHERLY FLOW
ALOFT FAVORS THAT AREA SEEING STRONG WINDS. A HIGH WIND WARNING HAS
BEEN ISSUED AT NPWMFR. ONE ADDITIONAL NOTE IS THE LATEST MODEL
TRENDS SHOW THE STRONGEST WINDS ALONG AND EAST OF THE
CASCADES...PARTIALLY DUE TO THE NEGATIVE TILT OF THE UPPER TROUGH
SWINGING THE AXIS OF STRONGEST WINDS EASTWARD.

AN ADDITIONAL FOCUS AREA FOR POTENTIAL WIND IMPACTS IS THE ROGUE
VALLEY. HIGH WIND EVENTS ARE NOT COMMON IN THE VALLEY BUT GFS20 AND
NAM BUFR FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW ENOUGH SSE WIND AT 850MB TO SUPPORT
A HIGH WIND WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN ROGUE VALLEY AND ADJACENT HILLS.
A BROAD WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF THE WEST SIDE.

ONCE WINDS DIMINISH SATURDAY NIGHT...ANOTHER ROUND OF GUSTY WINDS IS
POSSIBLE LATE SUNDAY AS A THIRD LOW CENTER DEEPENS AS IT APPROACHES
THE COAST. THIS WOULD FAVOR THE COAST FOR THE STRONGEST WINDS.  WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR WITH FUTURE MODEL RUNS. -SK

IN ADDITION TO THE STRONG WINDS...THESE STORM SYSTEMS WILL ALSO
BRING HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE FORECAST AREA THIS WEEKEND. ALTHOUGH
RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY THIS WEEKEND...THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS
FORECAST TO OCCUR ON SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO BE
QUITE SIGNIFICANT FOR EARLY MARCH...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
(PWATS) AT MEDFORD REACHING ABOUT 0.75 INCHES. THESE PWATS RANK
ABOVE THE 90TH PERCENTILE FOR CLIMATOLOGY. FURTHERMORE...PWATS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE HIGHER NEAR THE COAST. AS A RESULT...THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL WILL BE FOCUSED ALONG THE COAST. HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO
EXPECTED AROUND THE MT. SHASTA AREA DUE TO HIGH PWATS AND EXPECTED
OROGRAPHIC INFLUENCES. HAVE ISSUED AN AREAL FLOOD WATCH FOR THE
COAST AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND SOUTHERN SISKIYOU COUNTY.

FOR THE ROGUE VALLEY...THE VERY HIGH PWATS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE
RECOGNIZED AS DOWNSLOPING WINDS WILL PREVENT RAIN FROM OCCURRING
FOR MUCH OF THE WEEKEND. THIS BEING SAID...SOME RAIN IS STILL
EXPECTED OVER THE ROGUE VALLEY...BUT WILL BE LIMITED AS OPPOSED TO
SURROUNDING AREAS.

MODELS ARE ALSO INDICATING A BIT OF INSTABILITY OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS BEGINNING ON SUNDAY MORNING AND SPREADING INLAND TO THE
CASCADES BY SUNDAY EVENING. THEREFORE A RUMBLE OF THUNDER OR TWO
CANNOT BE RULED OUT ON SUNDAY...BUT CHANCES ARE MOST OF THE
PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN SHOWERY.

SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN HIGH FOR MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION ON
SATURDAY...BUT ARE EXPECTED TO DROP QUICKLY BEHIND THE FRONT.
THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SNOW TO OCCUR ON IN THE CASCADES AND
SISKIYOUS WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF ACCUMULATING SNOW ON INTERSTATE
5 ON SUNDAY NIGHT NEAR MOUNT SHASTA AND DUNSMUIR AS WELL AS FOR
THE HIGHWAYS CROSSING THE CASCADES ON SUNDAY. -SCHAAF

LONG TERM...THE PATTERN WILL REMAIN RATHER ACTIVE FOR MOST OF
NEXT WEEK. AN UPPER TROUGH REMAINS OVER THE AREA MONDAY BRINGING
SCATTERED RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS AND COOLER THAN NORMAL
TEMPERATURES. WE'LL CATCH A RELATIVE BREAK IN THE WEATHER MONDAY
NIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING WITH WEAK SHORTWAVE RIDGING, BUT THIS
WON'T LAST LONG. ANOTHER IN A SERIES OF STORMS WILL IMPACT THE
REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. CONFIDENCE
IS HIGH WE'LL HAVE ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THE MAIN QUESTION
WILL BE THE TIMING OF EACH OF THESE SYSTEMS. RIGHT NOW THE TIMING
OF THESE STORMS ARE AS FOLLOWS: THE FIRST ARRIVES TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUES INTO TUESDAY NIGHT, THE SECOND WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY MORNING AND THE THIRD THURSDAY NIGHT OR
FRIDAY MORNING. THE STRONGEST OF THESE STORMS IS EXPECTED TO BE
THE SECOND ONE. HOWEVER THE DETAILS ON THE TIMING AND STRENGTH OF
EACH ONE COULD VARY. SO STAY TUNED FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. OF
NOTE, THE AIR MASS IN GENERAL WILL BE COOLER AND THUS SNOW LEVELS
COULD BE LOW ENOUGH FOR ACCUMULATING SNOW OVER THE HIGHER PASSES.
-PETRUCELLI

AVIATION...FOR THE 05/00Z TAF CYCLE...VFR WILL OCCUR AT MOST
LOCATIONS EXCEPT IN THE MOUNT SHASTA AREA WHERE LOCALIZED MVFR IS
POSSIBLE WITH RAIN SHOWERS. GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AND MOUNTAIN WAVE
TURBULENCE WILL DEVELOP OVER ALL AREAS THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT AS
A STRONG FRONT APPROACHES. LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR IS LIKELY AT NORTH
BEND AND ROSEBURG...THEN LATER THIS EVENING AT MEDFORD AND KLAMATH
FALLS. RAIN WILL MOSTLY HOLD OFF UNTIL THE EVENING HOURS. EXPECT
TOTAL TERRAIN OBSCURATIONS ON THE WEST SIDE THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT AS A BAND OF HEAVIER PRECIPITATION MOVES THROUGH.
/FB

MARINE...UPDATED 200 AM PST THU 04 MAR 2016...A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL
SET UP ALONG THE COAST TONIGHT AND REMAIN THERE INTO THIS WEEKEND.
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS WILL RIDE NORTHWARD ALONG THIS FRONT AND BRING
PERIODS OF GALE TO STORM FORCE WINDS AND EXTREMELY STEEP SEAS. ONE
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO PASS FROM SOUTH TO NORTH THIS
EVENING...THEN ANOTHER IN SIMILAR FASHION SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. A THIRD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS NOW EXPECTED TO MOVE ONSHORE
TO THE SOUTH SUNDAY, BUT STILL MAY CAUSE A PERIOD OF GALE FORCE
WINDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN WATERS.

A BACKGROUND WEST TO SOUTHWEST SWELL OF AROUND 15 FEET WILL BE
PRESENT THROUGH THE WEEKEND, AND THIS WILL BE AUGMENTED BY WIND
WAVES AS EACH SYSTEM PASSES. THUS, SEAS WILL BE VERY HIGH NO MATTER
WHAT PATH THESE SYSTEMS TAKE.

THERE WILL ALSO BE TIMES WHEN BOTH WINDS AND SEAS LOWER. BUT,
CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE RAPIDLY AS THE NEXT SYSTEM ARRIVES AND
IT WILL BE EASY TO GET CAUGHT OFF GUARD. SO, MARINERS ARE URGED TO
EXERCISE EXTREME CAUTION OR JUST REMAIN IN PORT THIS WEEKEND. STAY
TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS COMPLEX AND RAPIDLY EVOLVING
WEATHER PATTERN. /FB

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM PST SUNDAY FOR
     ORZ029>031.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST SATURDAY FOR ORZ021-022.
     FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT FOR
     ORZ021-022-024.
     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR ORZ021-022.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM PST SATURDAY FOR ORZ023>026.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM NOON TO 8 PM PST SATURDAY FOR ORZ028.

CA...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM PST SUNDAY FOR
     CAZ084-085.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM NOON TO 8 PM PST SATURDAY FOR CAZ083.
     FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT FOR
     CAZ080.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM PST SATURDAY FOR
     CAZ081-082.
     FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT FOR
     CAZ082-083-085.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...STORM WARNING UNTIL 10 PM PST SATURDAY FOR PZZ350-356-370-376.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL 4 AM PST SATURDAY FOR PZZ350-356-370-376.

BMS/NSK/MAP