Alert archive / Oregon / High Wind Watches in 2016

High Wind Watch 10, NWS Medford, OR

March 3, 2016Modoc County, Siskiyou County, California; 7 counties in Oregon

NWS Medford, OR issued this high wind watch at Mar 3, 2016, 3:29 AM PST for Modoc County, Siskiyou County, California; 7 counties in Oregon. It took effect at Mar 4, 2016, 1:00 PM PST. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 3, 2016, 3:29 AM PST (11:29 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 4, 2016, 1:00 PM PST
Expired
Mar 4, 2016, 4:18 AM PST
In force
Issued by
NWS Medford, OR

Counties Modoc County, CA, Siskiyou County, CA, Coos County, OR, Curry County, OR, Douglas County, OR, Jackson County, OR, Josephine County, OR, Klamath County, OR, Lake County, OR

The radar

The Medford radar (KMAX), 47 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Medford/Jackson, OR (KMFR), launched 00:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 23 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Medford/Jackson, OR at 00:00Z on 2016-03-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Medford/Jackson, OR at 00:00Z on 2016-03-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 215 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1773 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
68 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
215 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
400 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

372 
WWUS76 KMFR 031129
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
329 AM PST THU MAR 3 2016

...STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT...

.A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING GUSTY SOUTH WINDS TO SOUTHERN
OREGON AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. SOME AREAS COULD SEE DAMAGING
WINDS WITH THIS STORM...ESPECIALLY IN THE CASCADES...THE SISKIYOU
AND THE WARNER MOUNTAINS. THE INTERSTATE 5 CORRIDOR IN THE SHASTA
VALLEY WILL ALSO LIKELY SEE VERY STRONG WINDS. THIS WILL MAKE
TRAVEL DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

ORZ030-031-032330-
/O.CAN.KMFR.WI.Y.0020.000000T0000Z-160303T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.HW.A.0010.160305T2200Z-160306T0800Z/
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
329 AM PST THU MAR 3 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT...
...WIND ADVISORY FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT. THE WIND ADVISORY FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT HAS BEEN
CANCELLED.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

* TIMING...SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.
&&

$$

ORZ027-028-032330-
/O.NEW.KMFR.HW.A.0010.160305T2200Z-160306T0800Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRATER LAKE...DIAMOND LAKE...
HOWARD PRAIRIE...SISKIYOU SUMMIT
329 AM PST THU MAR 3 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT.

* TIMING...SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 50 TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH FOR THE MOUNTAIN ZONES MEANS THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT
LEAST 50 MPH...OR GUSTS OF 75 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE
TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

CAZ081-082-032330-
/O.NEW.KMFR.HW.A.0010.160305T2200Z-160306T0800Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YREKA...WEED
329 AM PST THU MAR 3 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT.

* TIMING...SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY
  FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

CAZ085-ORZ029-032330-
/O.NEW.KMFR.HW.A.0010.160305T2200Z-160306T0800Z/
MODOC COUNTY-KLAMATH BASIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS
329 AM PST THU MAR 3 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT.

* TIMING...SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 40 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY
  FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$
FB
2 follow-up statements
108 
WWUS76 KMFR 032251
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
251 PM PST THU MAR 3 2016

...STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT...

.A SERIES OF STRONG COLD FRONTS WILL BRING GUSTY SOUTH WINDS TO
SOUTHERN OREGON AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. SOME AREAS COULD SEE
DAMAGING WINDS WITH THIS STORM...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST...IN
THE CASCADES...THE SISKIYOUS...AND THE FREMONT AND WARNER
MOUNTAINS. THE INTERSTATE 5 CORRIDOR IN THE SHASTA VALLEY WILL
ALSO LIKELY SEE VERY STRONG WINDS. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DIFFICULT
ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

CAZ082-040000-
/O.CAN.KMFR.HW.A.0010.160305T2200Z-160306T0800Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
251 PM PST THU MAR 3 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
WIND WATCH. 

HIGH WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO CREATE WIDESPREAD IMPACTS IN THIS
AREA. 

$$

ORZ023>026-041100-
/O.EXB.KMFR.HW.A.0010.160305T0900Z-160306T0600Z/
CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY-EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY-
EASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY FOOTHILLS-JACKSON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDFORD...ASHLAND
251 PM PST THU MAR 3 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BE GUSTY THROUGHOUT THE WATCH PERIOD...BUT
  THE HIGHEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH ARE
  POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY
  FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE TREE DAMAGE...AND
  LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BE BLOWN AROUND AND DAMAGED.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

CAZ084-041100-
/O.EXB.KMFR.HW.A.0010.160305T0300Z-160306T0600Z/
NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...DORRIS
251 PM PST THU MAR 3 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING. 

* TIMING...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. STRONGEST
  WINDS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT. 

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

ORZ022-041100-
/O.EXB.KMFR.HW.A.0010.160304T2100Z-160306T0600Z/
CURRY COUNTY COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...GOLD BEACH
251 PM PST THU MAR 3 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING. 

* TIMING...FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

* WINDS...SOUTH 40 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. HIGHER WINDS
  ARE POSSIBLE OVER AREA CAPES AND HEADLANDS. 

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY
  FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE TREE
  DAMAGE...AND LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BE BLOWN AROUND AND DAMAGED.
  POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

ORZ021-041100-
/O.EXB.KMFR.HW.A.0010.160304T2100Z-160306T0600Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANDON...PORT ORFORD
251 PM PST THU MAR 3 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING. 

* TIMING...FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

* WINDS...SOUTH 40 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. HIGHER WINDS
  ARE POSSIBLE OVER AREA CAPES AND HEADLANDS. 

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY
  FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE TREE
  DAMAGE...AND LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BE BLOWN AROUND AND DAMAGED.
  POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

ORZ027-028-041100-
/O.EXT.KMFR.HW.A.0010.160305T0900Z-160306T0600Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRATER LAKE...CRESCENT LAKE...
DIAMOND LAKE...UNION CREEK...HOWARD PRAIRIE...SISKIYOU SUMMIT
251 PM PST THU MAR 3 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

* TIMING...SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 50 TO 60 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH FOR THE MOUNTAIN ZONES MEANS THERE IS THE
POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT
LEAST 50 MPH...OR GUSTS OF 75 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE
TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

CAZ081-041100-
/O.EXT.KMFR.HW.A.0010.160304T2100Z-160306T0600Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...WEED
251 PM PST THU MAR 3 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

* TIMING...SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

* WINDS...SOUTH 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

CAZ085-ORZ029>031-041100-
/O.EXT.KMFR.HW.A.0010.160305T0300Z-160306T0600Z/
MODOC COUNTY-KLAMATH BASIN-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTURAS...ALTAMONT...KLAMATH FALLS...
CHEMULT...LAKEVIEW
251 PM PST THU MAR 3 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY EVENING THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...

* TIMING...SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS
HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF
58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST
FORECASTS.

&&

$$

BPN
241 
WWUS76 KMFR 041218
NPWMFR

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
418 AM PST FRI MAR 4 2016

...STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT...

.A SERIES OF STRONG COLD FRONTS WILL BRING GUSTY SOUTH WINDS TO
SOUTHERN OREGON AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. SOME AREAS COULD SEE
DAMAGING WINDS WITH THIS STORM...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST...IN
THE CASCADES...THE SISKIYOUS...AND THE FREMONT AND WARNER
MOUNTAINS. THE INTERSTATE 5 CORRIDOR IN THE SHASTA VALLEY WILL
ALSO LIKELY SEE VERY STRONG WINDS. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL
DIFFICULT ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES.

ORZ027-028-041330-
/O.CAN.KMFR.HW.A.0010.160305T0900Z-160306T0600Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON CASCADES-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
418 AM PST FRI MAR 4 2016

...HIGH WIND WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
WIND WATCH. 

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW WARNING STRENGTH.

$$

ORZ021-050030-
/O.UPG.KMFR.HW.A.0010.160304T2100Z-160306T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.WI.Y.0021.160305T1500Z-160306T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.HW.W.0012.160304T2100Z-160306T0600Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BANDON...PORT ORFORD
418 AM PST FRI MAR 4 2016

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
PST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
PST SATURDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

* WINDS...SOUTH 40 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. WINDS WILL BE
  STRONGEST THIS AFTERNOON...DECREASING SLIGHTLY TONIGHT...THEN
  INCREASING AGAIN LATE SATURDAY MORNING. HIGHER WINDS ARE
  POSSIBLE OVER AREA CAPES AND HEADLANDS.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE TREE 
  DAMAGE...AND LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BE BLOWN AROUND AND DAMAGED. 
  POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT EXPOSED LOCATIONS ALONG
HIGHWAY 101. 

&&

$$

CAZ081-050030-
/O.UPG.KMFR.HW.A.0010.160304T2100Z-160306T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.WI.Y.0021.160305T1500Z-160306T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.HW.W.0012.160305T1500Z-160306T0600Z/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YREKA...WEED
418 AM PST FRI MAR 4 2016

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM PST SATURDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM PST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM PST SATURDAY. A
WIND ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WIND ADVISORY IS IN
EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM PST SATURDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING...SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

* WINDS...SOUTH 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH IN THE
  SOUTHERN HALF OF THE SHASTA VALLEY...AND 30 TO 40 WITH GUSTS TO
  50 MPH IN THE NORTHERN HALF.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN THE SOUTHERN SHASTA VALLEY
NEAR WEED. 

&&

$$

CAZ085-ORZ030-031-050030-
/O.UPG.KMFR.HW.A.0010.160305T0300Z-160306T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.WI.Y.0021.160305T1500Z-160306T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.HW.W.0012.160305T1500Z-160306T0900Z/
MODOC COUNTY-
NORTHERN AND EASTERN KLAMATH COUNTY AND WESTERN LAKE COUNTY-
CENTRAL AND EASTERN LAKE COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALTURAS...BEATTY...CHEMULT...
SPRAGUE RIVER...LAKEVIEW
418 AM PST FRI MAR 4 2016

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM PST
SUNDAY...
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM PST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM PST
SUNDAY. A WIND ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS WIND ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM PST SUNDAY. THE HIGH WIND
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING...SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH IN THE
  WARNING AREA AND 30 TO 40 MPH OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION.
  STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE IN THE SUMMER LAKE AREA AND IN THE
  WARNERS INCLUDING HIGHWAY 140.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR
GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. TRAVEL WILL
BE IMPACTED, ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

&&

$$

ORZ022-050030-
/O.UPG.KMFR.HW.A.0010.160304T2100Z-160306T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.HW.W.0012.160304T2100Z-160306T0600Z/
CURRY COUNTY COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...GOLD BEACH
418 AM PST FRI MAR 4 2016

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
PST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
PST SATURDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING...FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

* WINDS...SOUTH 40 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 60 MPH. WINDS WILL BE
  STRONGEST THIS AFTERNOON...DECREASING SLIGHTLY TONIGHT...THEN
  INCREASING AGAIN LATE SATURDAY MORNING. HIGHER WINDS 
  ARE POSSIBLE OVER AREA CAPES AND HEADLANDS. 

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE TREE 
  DAMAGE...AND LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BE BLOWN AROUND AND DAMAGED. 
  POWER OUTAGES ARE POSSIBLE. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED AT EXPOSED LOCATIONS ALONG
HIGHWAY 101. 

&&

$$

CAZ082-050030-
/O.NEW.KMFR.HW.W.0012.160305T1500Z-160306T0600Z/
SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
418 AM PST FRI MAR 4 2016

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM PST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM PST SATURDAY. 

* TIMING...SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

* WINDS...SOUTH 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH NORTH OF
  MOUNT SHASTA CITY...AND 30 TO 40 WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH IN THE
  REMAINING AREA.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED NORTH OF MOUNT SHASTA CITY.
TRAVEL MAY BE DIFFICULT FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES DRIVING IN A
WESTERLY OR EASTERLY DIRECTION.

&&

$$

ORZ023>026-050030-
/O.UPG.KMFR.HW.A.0010.160305T0900Z-160306T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.WI.Y.0021.160305T1500Z-160306T0600Z/
CENTRAL DOUGLAS COUNTY-EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY-
EASTERN DOUGLAS COUNTY FOOTHILLS-JACKSON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DRAIN...GLENDALE...GRANTS PASS...
CAVE JUNCTION...MEDFORD...ASHLAND
418 AM PST FRI MAR 4 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM PST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 10 PM PST SATURDAY.
THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING...WINDS WILL BE GUSTY THROUGHOUT THE TIME FRAME...BUT
  THE HIGHEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY EVENING.

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. STRONG WINDS MAY CAUSE TREE 
  DAMAGE... AND LOOSE OBJECTS MAY BE BLOWN AROUND AND DAMAGED. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS OF 25 TO 39 MPH ARE EXPECTED
WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN MAKE DRIVING
DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. USE EXTRA
CAUTION.

&&

$$

CAZ084-ORZ029-050030-
/O.UPG.KMFR.HW.A.0010.160305T0300Z-160306T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.WI.Y.0021.160305T1500Z-160306T0900Z/
NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES-KLAMATH BASIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TULELAKE...DORRIS...ALTAMONT...
KLAMATH FALLS
418 AM PST FRI MAR 4 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM PST
SUNDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SATURDAY TO 1 AM PST
SUNDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* TIMING...SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 40 TO 50 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 70 MPH.

* IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS MAY MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATER
UPDATES ON THIS SITUATION.

&&

$$
SVEN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this high wind watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this high wind watch went out at Mar 2, 11:12 PM PST, 4 hours 17 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 2, 11:12 PM PST, 4 hours 17 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1112 PM PST WED MAR 2 2016

UPDATED AVIATION AND MARINE SECTIONS

.UPDATE...
UPDATES WERE MADE TO THE COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR TONIGHT AND
TO THE WIND HEADLINES FOR INLAND AREAS BACK AROUND 9 PM PST. BTL

&&

.DISCUSSION...
TODAY'S FRONT ACCELERATED AS IT MOVED ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING AND ALSO HAS WEAKENED AS IT HAS MOVED INLAND.
INTERESTINGLY, SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST DOWNSLOPE AREAS HAVE SEEN THE
LEAST PRECIPITATION FROM THE FRONTAL SYSTEM, THUS FAR, WITH
GREATER AMOUNTS OVER THE EAST SIDE THAN IN THE BEAR CREEK PORTION
OF THE ROGUE VALLEY, FOR INSTANCE. AMOUNTS ALONG THE COAST, IN THE
HIGHER TERRAIN, AND IN UPSLOPE AREAS WERE SIGNIFICANT (OVER AN
INCH AT SOME LOCATIONS) AND HAVE MOSTLY FALLEN IN A SHORT PERIOD
OF TIME. WE EXPECT SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT.

GALES HAVE ENDED IN THE COASTAL WATERS AND HIGH WIND WARNINGS AND
WIND ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN CANCELLED EXCEPT IN THE SUMMER LAKE
AREA.

THE FOCUS TONIGHT WILL SHIFT TO THE NEXT STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEM
FRIDAY AND THEN A VERY WET FRONT SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY THAT WILL
ALSO FINALLY BRING SNOW LEVELS BACK TO ABOUT WHERE THEY SHOULD BE
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. BTL

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 03/06Z TAF CYCLE...SHOWERS WILL LINGER TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. MVFR EXPECTED ACROSS THE WEST SIDE WITH
MAINLY VFR EAST SIDE EXCEPT IN THE MOUNTS SHASTA AREA. TERRAIN
OBSCURATIONS WILL BE PARTIAL TO NEAR TOTAL THROUGH THE NIGHT.
EXPECT IMPROVING CONDITIONS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. BTL

&&

.MARINE...UPDATED 900 PM PST WED 02 MAR 2016... WINDS WILL CONTINUE
TO DIMINISH TONIGHT AS THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE EASTWARD
INLAND. FRESH SOUTHWEST SWELL WILL KEEP SEAS VERY STEEP OVERNIGHT.
SEAS WILL THEN SUBSIDE SOME IN THE MORNING BEFORE BUILDING AGAIN IN
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WEST SWELL WILL BUILD THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY TO NEAR 18 FEET AS ANOTHER STRONG FRONT APPROACHES. SOUTH
GALES AND VERY STEEP COMBINED SEAS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY. STORM FORCE
WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF THE AREA LATE FRIDAY INTO EARLY
SATURDAY AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. THE COMBINATION OF SWELL AND
WIND WAVES MAY PUSH SEAS TO AS HIGH AS 25 FEET FRIDAY EVENING.

ANOTHER VERY STRONG FRONT, AT LEAST AS STRONG AS FRIDAY'S FRONT, IS
POSSIBLE SATURDAY. CONFIDENCE IS A LITTLE LOWER AS THE MODELS AREN'T
AS CONSISTENT WITH THE DETAILS OF THIS FRONT, BUT MARINERS SHOULD BE
AWARE OF THE POSSIBILITY OF A VERY STRONG ONE-TWO PUNCH OF STORMS
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. CONFIDENCE IN THE TIMING DETAILS IN THE
EXTENDED FORECAST FROM SUNDAY ONWARD IS LOW, BUT THERE IS HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WITH STRONG FRONTAL SYSTEMS
CONTINUING. BTL

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 247 PM PST WED MAR 2 2016/

SHORT-TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...3 DISTINCT STORM
SYSTEMS WILL AFFECT THE AREA BETWEEN NOW AND SATURDAY...EACH
PROGRESSIVELY STRONGER WITH MORE POTENTIAL FOR IMPACTS. THE FIRST
FRONT IS ARRIVING TODAY WITH GENERALLY MODERATE WINDS...EXCEPT AT
THE COAST WHERE GUSTS TO 60 MPH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING.
A HIGH WIND WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE COAST...AND A WIND ADVISORY
CONTINUES FOR THE SHASTA VALLEY AND SUMMER LAKE AREA EAST OF THE
CASCADES. PRECIPITATION WITH THIS FRONT WILL RANGE FROM OVER AN
INCH AT THE COAST TO VERY LITTLE EAST OF THE CASCADES. IN
BETWEEN...EXPECT A TENTH OF AN INCH IN WEST SIDE VALLEYS LIKE
MEDFORD AND ROSEBURG...WITH ABOUT A HALF INCH OF LIQUID IN THE
CASCADES. SNOW LEVELS WILL BE HIGH THROUGH MUCH OF THE
PRECIPITATION...ABOVE 7000 FEET.

THURSDAY REPRESENTS A GENERAL BREAK IN THE WEATHER...WITH ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS EXCEPT FOR A FEW LINGERING
SHOWERS EAST OF THE CASCADES AND IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. MODELS
DISAGREE SOME ON WHETHER FRIDAY WILL BE DRY OR NOT AND WE HAVE SIDED
WITH THE CONSENSUS...SUGGESTING LESS THAN 50% CHANCE OF RAIN FOR
MOST OF THE AREA AHEAD OF A FRONT ARRIVING AT THE COAST FRIDAY
NIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE FRIDAY AND PEAK FRIDAY EVENING INTO
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SNOW LEVELS WILL AGAIN BE HIGH WITH THIS
SYSTEM...ABOVE 6000 FEET.

ON SATURDAY A STRONG SHORTWAVE WILL BE USHERED INTO THE REGION BY
THE PERSISTENT 170KT+ PACIFIC JET...AND A NEGATIVELY TILTED UPPER
TROUGH WILL IMPACT THE AREA. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 1 INCH
WILL IMPINGE UPON THE COAST. THE 18Z AND 12Z NAM RUNS SUGGEST A SUB-
980MB CLOSED LOW INSIDE 130W BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON WHILE THE EC AND
GFS SHOW AN OPEN WAVE. IN ANY CASE...THE SATURDAY SYSTEM WILL LIKELY
FEATURE MODERATE TO STRONG WINDS OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST
AREA...AND A PERIOD OF HEAVY RAIN FOR NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND THE
COAST AND PERHAPS INLAND. MAIN STEM RIVER FLOODING IS UNLIKELY BUT
URBAN AND SMALL STREAM ADVISORY-LEVEL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.
CONFIDENCE TOOLS SUGGEST SOUTH WINDS ALOFT WILL BE IN THE TOP 5
PERCENT FOR EVENTS THIS TIME OF YEAR...WHICH TRANSLATES TO STRONG
SURFACE WIND POTENTIAL IN PLACES LIKE KLAMATH FALLS. MEX GUIDANCE
SUPPORTS WIDESPREAD GUSTY WINDS AS WELL. THE FORECAST WILL BE
FINE-TUNED AS WE APPROACH THIS STORM AS MODELS COME INTO BETTER
AGREEMENT WITH THE STORM DETAILS. SNOW LEVELS DO DROP SHARPLY
SATURDAY NIGHT...SO SNOW IMPACTS WILL BE A CONCERN WITH THIS
SYSTEM.

LONG TERM...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW
THAT A WET AND ACTIVE PATTERN WILL PERSIST OVER THE REGION THROUGH
EARLY NEXT WEEK. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT ON SUNDAY A COOL AND
SHOWERY PATTERN WILL DEVELOP AS AN UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS INTO THE
REGION. SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER DOWN TO AROUND 3500 TO
4000 FEET SUNDAY. THE TROUGH WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD ON MONDAY...THEN
A COUPLE ADDITIONAL WET AND STRONG FRONTS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. AHEAD OF THESE FRONTS, SNOW LEVELS MAY RISE. HOWEVER
THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN THE DETAILS OF THE SNOW LEVEL AND
TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY DUE TO MODEL
VARIABILITY DURING THIS PERIOD.

ON SUNDAY, AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES INTO THE REGION, MODELS ARE ALSO
SHOWING A SHORTWAVE AT THE BASE OF THE TROUGH MOVING INTO NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA AND SOUTHERN OREGON. THIS WOULD BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS. SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER TO 3500 TO
4000 FEET SUNDAY MORNING AND REMAIN LOW THROUGH THE DAY SUNDAY. WITH
SHOWERS, A FEW INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY IN
THE MOUNTAINS AND OVER HIGHER PASSES AS WELL AS LOCALLY HEAVIER
ACCUMULATIONS IN THE CRATER LAKE AREA AND HIGHER TERRAIN NEAR MOUNT
SHASTA, INCLUDING SNOWMANS SUMMIT.

SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY, MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THAT THE UPPER
TROUGH WILL SHIFT SOUTH OF THE AREA. EXPECT SOME LINGERING SHOWERS
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH THE AMOUNT OF SHOWERS DEPENDENT ON THE
STRENGTH OF A SHORTWAVE MOVING JUST NORTH OF THE AREA.  THEN ON
MONDAY NIGHT, AN UPPER RIDGE IS FORECAST TO NUDGE INTO THE AREA FROM
THE SOUTHWEST.

ON TUESDAY,  MODELS INDICATE THAT A VERY MOIST FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL
APPROACH THE PACNW. MODEL FORECASTS VARY THOUGH ON THE STRENGTH OF
THE RIDGE AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND THE TRACK OF THIS FRONTAL SYSTEM.
THE ECMWF SHOWS A WEAKER RIDGE AND A SLIGHTLY MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK
COMPARED TO THE GFS AND GEFS. AS A RESULT THE ECMWF IS COOLER WITH
LOWER SNOW LEVELS THAN THE GFS, WHICH INDICATES WARM AIR ADVECTION
AHEAD OF THE FRONT ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SO CONFIDENCE
IS LOW CONCERNING THE DETAILS OF THE TEMPERATURE AND SNOW LEVEL
FORECASTS FOR THE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT PERIOD.

LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY, THERE MAY BE LITTLE IF ANY
BREAK. MODELS SHOW  ANOTHER LOW APPROACHING FROM THE WEST AND
BRINGING A SECOND STRONG AND WET FRONTAL SYSTEM INTO THE REGION ON
WEDNESDAY. THE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY EVENTS, SHOW THE POTENTIAL FORA
PROLONGED MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION EVENT OVER WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE CWA, WITH HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION ON THE COAST. SO,
WILL NEED TO MONITOR THIS PERIOD FOR THE POTENTIAL OF SIGNIFICANT
RIVER RISES AND POSSIBLE FLOODING, MAINLY FOR COASTAL RIVERS AND
STREAMS. WINDY CONDITIONS MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE FRONTS TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY. /CC

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM PST THURSDAY FOR ORZ030-031.

CA...NONE.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...
- HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING UNTIL 4 AM PST FRIDAY FOR PZZ370-376.
- GALE WARNING FROM 1 PM FRIDAY TO 4 AM PST SATURDAY FOR
  PZZ356-370-376.
- STORM WATCH FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT FOR
  PZZ350-356-370-376.
- HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING UNTIL 1 PM PST FRIDAY FOR PZZ350-356.

BTL/NSK/CC/TRW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Medford, OR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 3, 8:57 AM PSTHazardous Seas WarningMFR18 hr
Mar 3, 8:57 AM PSTSmall Craft Advisory for Hazardous SeasMFR5 hr
Mar 3, 3:31 PM PSTHigh Surf AdvisoryMFRCoos, Curry, Douglas30 hr

Nearby

High Wind Watches in Oregon, 2016High Wind Watches in California, 2016Every high wind watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.