Alert archive / Oregon / Gale Warnings in 2016
Gale Warning 62, NWS Medford, OR
NWS Medford, OR issued this gale warning at Nov 23, 2016, 3:04 AM PST. It took effect at Nov 23, 2016, 10:00 PM PST. It was in force for 33 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 23, 2016, 3:04 AM PST (11:04 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 23, 2016, 10:00 PM PST
- Expired
- Nov 25, 2016, 7:00 AM PST
- In force
- 33 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Medford, OR
The text
As transmitted.
781 WHUS76 KMFR 231104 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 304 AM PST WED NOV 23 2016 PZZ350-356-376-240015- /O.EXT.KMFR.SW.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-161124T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SC.Y.0120.161124T0000Z-161124T0600Z/ /O.UPG.KMFR.GL.A.0046.161124T0600Z-161125T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.GL.W.0062.161124T0600Z-161125T1200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM- WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 304 AM PST WED NOV 23 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM PST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS UPGRADED THE GALE WATCH TO A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM PST FRIDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM PST THIS EVENING. * WINDS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING SOUTH 30 TO 40 KT WITH STORM FORCE GUSTS POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * SEAS...WEST 14 TO 16 FEET AT 15 SECONDS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING VERY STEEP AND WIND DRIVEN AT 18 TO 22 FEET TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. * AREAS AFFECTED...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN ALL AREAS THROUGH THIS EVENING...FOLLOWED BY GALES AND VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. && $$ PZZ370-240015- /O.EXT.KMFR.SW.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-161124T0000Z/ /O.UPG.KMFR.GL.A.0046.161124T0300Z-161125T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.GL.W.0062.161124T0600Z-161125T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SC.Y.0120.161124T0000Z-161124T0600Z/ WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 304 AM PST WED NOV 23 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM PST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS UPGRADED THE GALE WATCH TO A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM PST FRIDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM PST THIS EVENING. * WINDS...SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 KT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING SOUTH 35 TO 45 KT WITH STORM FORCE GUSTS POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * SEAS...WEST 14 TO 16 FEET AT 15 SECONDS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING VERY STEEP AND WIND DRIVEN AT 22 TO 25 FEET TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. * AREAS AFFECTED...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN ALL AREAS THROUGH THIS EVENING...FOLLOWED BY GALES AND VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. && $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
8 follow-up statements
573 WHUS76 KMFR 232233 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 233 PM PST WED NOV 23 2016 PZZ350-356-370-376-241145- /O.CON.KMFR.SW.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-161124T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0120.161124T0000Z-161124T0600Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.GL.W.0062.161124T0600Z-161125T0900Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM- WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 233 PM PST WED NOV 23 2016 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM PST FRIDAY... * WINDS...SOUTH INCREASING TO 30 TO 40 KT WITH STORM FORCE GUSTS POSSIBLE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * SEAS...WEST 14 TO 16 FEET AT 15 SECONDS THROUGH THIS EVENING...BECOMING VERY STEEP AND WIND DRIVEN AT 18 TO 22 FEET TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. * AREAS AFFECTED...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN ALL AREAS THROUGH THIS EVENING...FOLLOWED BY GALES AND VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY. THE STRONGEST WIND AND THE HIGHEST SEAS WILL BE FROM FLORENCE THROUGH PORT ORFORD. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. && $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
424 WHUS76 KMFR 240409 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 809 PM PST WED NOV 23 2016 PZZ350-356-370-376-241715- /O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0120.000000T0000Z-161124T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0062.161124T0600Z-161125T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SR.A.0010.161125T0000Z-161125T0600Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM- WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 809 PM PST WED NOV 23 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST FRIDAY... ...STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON TO LATE THURSDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE THURSDAY EVENING. A GALE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST FRIDAY. * WINDS...SOUTH INCREASING TO 30 TO 40 KT TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. STORM FORCE GUSTS OF 55 KT ARE POSSIBLE FROM LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. * SEAS...WEST 14 TO 16 FEET AT 15 SECONDS THROUGH THIS EVENING... BECOMING VERY STEEP AND WIND DRIVEN AT 18 TO 22 FEET TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. SEAS COULD RISE TO 25 FEET BEYOND 15 NM FROM SHORE. * AREAS AFFECTED...ALL AREAS WILL BE AFFECTED BY GALES AND VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY. THE STRONGEST WIND AND THE HIGHEST SEAS WILL BE FROM FLORENCE THROUGH PORT ORFORD. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. A STORM WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF STORM FORCE WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
425 WHUS76 KMFR 241018 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 218 AM PST THU NOV 24 2016 PZZ350-356-370-376-242330- /O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-161125T0900Z/ /O.UPG.KMFR.SR.A.0010.161125T0000Z-161125T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SR.W.0011.161124T1200Z-161125T0900Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM- WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 218 AM PST THU NOV 24 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST FRIDAY... ...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TODAY UNTIL 1 AM PST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS UPGRADED THE STORM WATCH TO A STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST FRIDAY. * WINDS...SOUTH 35 TO 45 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 KTS POSSIBLE. * SEAS...VERY STEEP WIND DRIVEN SEAS OF 20 TO 25 FEET. * AREAS AFFECTED...STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN NEARLY ALL AREAS NORTH OF PORT ORFORD, AND BETWEEN 5 AND 20 NM FROM SHORE BETWEEN CAPE FERRELO AND PORT ORFORD. ALL OTHER AREAS CAN EXPECT GALES. ALL AREAS WILL BE IMPACTED BY VERY STEEP AND DANGEROUS SEAS. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ALONG WITH EXTREMELY STEEP AND DANGEROUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
992 WHUS76 KMFR 241753 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 953 AM PST THU NOV 24 2016 PZZ350-356-370-376-250700- /O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-161125T0900Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SR.W.0011.000000T0000Z-161125T0900Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM- WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 953 AM PST THU NOV 24 2016 ...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST FRIDAY... * WINDS...SOUTH 35 TO 45 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 KTS POSSIBLE. * SEAS...VERY STEEP WIND DRIVEN SEAS OF 20 TO 25 FEET. * THUNDERSTORMS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING...MOSTLY NORTH OF CAPE BLANCO...WHICH MAY CAUSE ERRATIC WIND DIRECTION CHANGES AND GUSTS. * AREAS AFFECTED...STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN NEARLY ALL AREAS NORTH OF PORT ORFORD...AND BETWEEN 5 AND 20 NM FROM SHORE BETWEEN CAPE FERRELO AND PORT ORFORD. ALL OTHER AREAS CAN EXPECT GALES. ALL AREAS WILL BE IMPACTED BY VERY STEEP AND DANGEROUS SEAS. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ALONG WITH EXTREMELY STEEP AND DANGEROUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. && $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
257 WHUS76 KMFR 242254 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 254 PM PST THU NOV 24 2016 PZZ350-356-370-376-251500- /O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-161125T0900Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SR.W.0011.000000T0000Z-161125T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SW.Y.0119.161125T0900Z-161127T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM- WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 254 PM PST THU NOV 24 2016 ...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM FRIDAY TO 4 PM PST SATURDAY. * WINDS...SOUTH 35 TO 45 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 KTS POSSIBLE. FRIDAY MORNING... 10 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KTS. * SEAS...VERY STEEP WIND DRIVEN SEAS OF 20 TO 25 FEET. FRIDAY MORNING... STEEP FRESH SWELL 17 TO 14 FEET. * THUNDERSTORMS...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING...MOSTLY NORTH OF CAPE BLANCO...WHICH MAY CAUSE ERRATIC WIND DIRECTION CHANGES AND GUSTS. * AREAS AFFECTED...STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN NEARLY ALL AREAS NORTH OF PORT ORFORD...AND BETWEEN 5 AND 20 NM FROM SHORE BETWEEN CAPE FERRELO AND PORT ORFORD. ALL OTHER AREAS CAN EXPECT GALES. ALL AREAS WILL BE IMPACTED BY VERY STEEP AND DANGEROUS SEAS. AFTER THE FRONT PASSES THURSDAY NIGHT... ALL AREAS WILL SEE SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ALONG WITH EXTREMELY STEEP AND DANGEROUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. && $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
671 WHUS76 KMFR 250648 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 1048 PM PST THU NOV 24 2016 PZZ356-376-251200- /O.EXT.KMFR.GL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-161125T1500Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SR.W.0011.000000T0000Z-161125T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SE.W.0079.161125T0900Z-161125T1500Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.SW.Y.0119.161125T1500Z-161127T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM- WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 1048 PM PST THU NOV 24 2016 ...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST FRIDAY... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM PST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST FRIDAY. THE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST FRIDAY...FOLLOWED BY THE GALE WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM PST FRIDAY. * WINDS...SOUTH 35 TO 45 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO STORM FORCE OF 60 KTS TONIGHT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE TO 20 TO 30 KT FRIDAY MORNING. * SEAS...VERY STEEP WIND DRIVEN SEAS OF 20 TO 25 FEET. BY FRIDAY MORNING SEAS WILL BE DOMINATED BY VERY STEEP FRESH SWELL. * THUNDERSTORMS...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WHICH MAY CAUSE ERRATIC WIND DIRECTION CHANGES AND GUSTS. * AREAS AFFECTED...STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN NEARLY ALL AREAS NORTH OF PORT ORFORD...AND BETWEEN 5 AND 20 NM FROM SHORE BETWEEN CAPE FERRELO AND PORT ORFORD. ALL OTHER AREAS CAN EXPECT GALES. ALL AREAS WILL BE IMPACTED BY VERY STEEP AND DANGEROUS SEAS. AFTER THE FRONT PASSES LATE TONIGHT...ALL AREAS BETWEEN CAPE BLANCO AND POINT SAINT GEORGE WILL BE IMPACTED BY THE HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ALONG WITH EXTREMELY STEEP AND DANGEROUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE. && $$ PZZ350-370-251200- /O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-161125T0900Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SR.W.0011.000000T0000Z-161125T0900Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SE.W.0079.161125T0900Z-161125T1500Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.SW.Y.0119.161125T1500Z-161127T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM- WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 1048 PM PST THU NOV 24 2016 ...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST FRIDAY... ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM PST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST FRIDAY. THE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM PST FRIDAY. * WINDS...SOUTH 35 TO 45 KT WITH STORM FORCE GUSTS UP TO 60 KTS. FRIDAY MORNING...WINDS WILL DECREASE TO 10 TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 KTS. * SEAS...VERY STEEP WIND DRIVEN SEAS OF 20 TO 25 FEET. FRIDAY MORNING...SEAS WILL BE DOMINATED BY VERY STEEP FRESH SWELL. * THUNDERSTORMS...ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WHICH MAY CAUSE ERRATIC WIND DIRECTION CHANGES AND GUSTS. * AREAS AFFECTED...STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED IN NEARLY ALL AREAS BETWEEN 5 AND 20 NM. ALL OTHER AREAS CAN EXPECT GALES. AFTER THE FRONT PASSES LATE TONIGHT...ALL AREAS BETWEEN FLORENCE AND CAPE BLANCO WILL BE IMPACTED BY THE HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ALONG WITH EXTREMELY STEEP AND DANGEROUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE. && $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
384 WHUS76 KMFR 250926 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 126 AM PST FRI NOV 25 2016 PZZ356-376-252230- /O.EXP.KMFR.SR.W.0011.000000T0000Z-161125T0900Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-161125T1500Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0079.000000T0000Z-161125T1500Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SW.Y.0119.161125T1500Z-161127T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM- WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 126 AM PST FRI NOV 25 2016 ...STORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED... ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 AM PST TODAY... ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 AM PST TODAY... * WINDS...SOUTH 30 TO 40 KT THIS MORNING FROM THE COAST OUT TO AROUND 40 NM FROM SHORE. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BRIEFLY DECREASE LATE THIS MORNING THEN GALES ARE LIKELY TO RETURN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * SEAS...VERY STEEP WIND DRIVEN SEAS OF 17 TO 22 FEET EARLY THIS MORNING. SEAS WILL BRIEFLY BE DOMINATED BY STEEP FRESH SWELL AND DIMINISH TO AROUND 14 FEET LATE THIS MORNING THEN WIND DRIVEN SEAS WILL BUILD TO 15 TO 18 FEET THIS EVENING. * AREAS AFFECTED...GALES WILL PERSIST OUT TO AROUND 40 NM FROM SHORE WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS NEAR CAPE BLANCO AND ALSO FROM 5 TO 25 NM FROM SHORE ACROSS THE AREA. ALL OF THE AREA WILL BE IMPACTED BY VERY STEEP AND DANGEROUS SEAS. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE. && $$ PZZ350-370-252230- /O.EXP.KMFR.GL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-161125T0900Z/ /O.EXP.KMFR.SR.W.0011.000000T0000Z-161125T0900Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0079.000000T0000Z-161125T1500Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SW.Y.0119.161125T1500Z-161127T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM- WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 126 AM PST FRI NOV 25 2016 ...STORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED... ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 7 AM PST THIS MORNING... * WINDS...VARIABLE AT 5 TO 15 KT EXCEPT SOUTH 20 TO 30 KT BETWEEN CAPE ARAGO AND CAPE BLANCO EARLY THIS MORNING. * SEAS...VERY STEEP SEAS OF 16 TO 18 FEET EARLY THIS MORNING...DOMINATED BY A FRESH SWELL. SEAS WILL BRIEFLY DIMINISH TO AROUND 14 FEET LATE THIS MORNING THEN WIND DRIVEN SEAS WILL BUILD TO 15 TO 18 FEET THIS EVENING. * AREAS AFFECTED...ALL AREAS BETWEEN FLORENCE AND CAPE BLANCO WILL BE IMPACTED BY VERY STEEP HAZARDOUS SEAS EARLY THIS MORNING THEN WIND DRIVEN SEAS WILL BUILD TO A NEW PEAK LATE THIS EVENING. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE. && $$ DW HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
315 WHUS76 KMFR 251226 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 426 AM PST FRI NOV 25 2016 PZZ356-376-260130- /O.EXT.KMFR.SE.W.0079.000000T0000Z-161126T0600Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0062.000000T0000Z-161125T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.GL.W.0063.161125T2200Z-161126T0600Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.SW.Y.0119.161126T0600Z-161127T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM- WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 426 AM PST FRI NOV 25 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM PST THIS MORNING... ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH 10 PM PST THIS EVENING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH 10 PM PST THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM PST THIS EVENING THROUGH 4 PM PST SATURDAY... * WINDS...SOUTH 25 TO 35 KT EARLY THIS MORNING SOUTH OF GOLD BEACH OUT TO AROUND 40 NM FROM SHORE...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 KT. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BRIEFLY DECREASE LATE THIS MORNING THEN GALES WILL RETURN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * SEAS...VERY STEEP WIND DRIVEN SEAS OF 16 TO 20 FEET EARLY THIS MORNING. SEAS WILL BRIEFLY BE DOMINATED BY STEEP FRESH SWELL AND DIMINISH TO AROUND 14 FEET LATE THIS MORNING THEN WIND DRIVEN SEAS WILL BUILD TO 15 TO 18 FEET THIS EVENING. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE BUT SEAS WILL REMAIN HIGH LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. * AREAS AFFECTED...ALL OF THE AREA WILL BE IMPACTED BY VERY STEEP AND DANGEROUS SEAS THROUGH THIS EVENING. GALES WILL PERSIST NEAR SHORE THIS MORNING THEN OVER MOST OF THE WATERS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS FROM 5 TO 25 NM FROM SHORE. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE. && $$ PZZ350-370-260130- /O.EXT.KMFR.SE.W.0079.000000T0000Z-161126T0600Z/ /O.EXT.KMFR.SW.Y.0119.161126T0600Z-161127T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM- WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 426 AM PST FRI NOV 25 2016 ...HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM PST THIS EVENING THROUGH 4 PM PST SATURDAY... * WINDS...VARIABLE AT 10 TO 20 KT EXCEPT SOUTH 20 TO 30 KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO GALE FORCE BETWEEN CAPE ARAGO AND CAPE BLANCO EARLY THIS MORNING AND LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING. * SEAS...VERY STEEP WIND DRIVEN SEAS OF 16 TO 20 FEET EARLY THIS MORNING. SEAS WILL BRIEFLY BE DOMINATED BY STEEP FRESH SWELL AND DIMINISH TO AROUND 14 FEET LATE THIS MORNING THEN WIND DRIVEN SEAS WILL BUILD TO 15 TO 18 FEET THIS EVENING. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE BUT SEAS WILL REMAIN HIGH LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. * AREAS AFFECTED...ALL AREAS BETWEEN FLORENCE AND CAPE BLANCO WILL BE IMPACTED BY VERY STEEP HAZARDOUS SEAS EARLY THIS MORNING THEN WIND DRIVEN SEAS WILL BUILD TO A NEW PEAK LATE THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST BETWEEN CAPE ARAGO AND CAPE BLANCO. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. && $$ DW HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 22, 9:30 PM PST, 5 hours 34 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 22, 9:30 PM PST, 5 hours 34 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Medford OR
930 PM PST Tue Nov 22 2016
.DISCUSSION...An update to the forecast is not necessary. The wind
advisory for central Siskiyou County has expired while the wind
advisory for the higher terrain of the east side and portions of
highway 31 in Lake County continues for another 4 hours. That is
also roughly the expected duration of the moderate intensity snow
over the Cascades and Siskiyou Mountains. The winter weather
advisory above 4000 feet remains in effect through 10 AM PST with
snow tapering to frequent light snow showers overnight into the
morning. While significant accumulation is expected above 4000
feet, an accumulation of snow is possible as low as 3000 feet.
After 10 AM On Wednesday, light showers and snow showers will
diminish in number into the afternoon with not much more than a
dusting of additional snow above 3500 to 4000 feet.
There remains uncertainty in the forecast for Thanksgiving Day
through the weekend into early next week. The 00Z GFS has arrived
and continues to have significant differences with the 12Z ECMWF
and 00Z NAM. The biggest concerns are for high winds and heavy
rain at the coast with each model showing a strong front near or
at the coast. The GFS and NAM paint a much more favorable picture
than the ECMWF for travel in the vicinity of Lake of the Woods,
Diamond Lake, and Crater Lake with the front remaining stalled at
the coast.
The early Thursday into early Saturday forecast will be a focus
for the night shift with heavy coastal rain, strong winds, and
mountain and east side snow possibly making a significant impact.
Please see the previous discussion below for further information.
&&
.AVIATION...23/00Z TAF cycle...Areas of MVFR/IFR cigs/vis will move
into the Umpqua Basin tonight as rain increases. With light wind
near the ground, low level wind shear will be an issue at all 4 of
our TAF locations as short term guidance shows 30-35 knot winds
around 2000 feet AGL. Rain will spread into the Rogue Valley this
evening but MVFR cigs are not expected at KMFR until around 06Z and
at KLMT until around midnight local time. /FB
Note: The ceilometer at FAA site KOTH remains out of service, so
there will be no ceiling observations available generally between
the hours of 04Z and 14Z.
&&
.MARINE...Updated 200 PM PST Tuesday, 22 November 2016...Very stormy
conditions will continue for the PacNW coastal waters, with several
strong frontal systems passing through the area one after another.
There appears to be no significant time period in the next 7 days in
which conditions would decrease below small craft advisory levels
either from wind, wind waves, swell, or some combination thereof.
Widespread gales and very steep seas will continue through this
afternoon then weakens overnight and Wednesday. The front will also
bring with it the possibility of thunderstorms and a 3 to 6 hour
period of heavy rainfall. Winds will diminish as the become west-
southwesterly tonight, but incoming fresh swell will keep seas
elevated through Wednesday.
The next front arrives Wednesday night into Thursday morning, and
appears as if it will be stronger than Tuesday's front. We have
issued a gale watch from Wednesday evening through Thursday night
with storm force winds certainly possible, especially in the coastal
jet near Cape Blanco. In addition to the winds and seas, a
background swell around 20 feet may push combined seas up to 25
feet.
Another very strong front will arrive later Thursday into Friday.
Models are indicating the potential for deepening low pressure along
this front as it approaches the coast, which is an ingredient for
very strong wind storms around here. Confidence in the low pressure
(and intense winds) is still low, but this is something to keep an
eye on. There will likely be a day or so break after this front,
then another system is due on Saturday. /FB
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 312 PM PST Tue Nov 22 2016/
SHORT TERM...Precipitation will continue to spread inland this
afternoon and evening. Snow levels ahead of the front around
4500-5500 feet will drop significantly as the front moves through
this evening, reaching as low as 3000 feet by Wednesday morning.
This will bring snow to the major passes near Lake of the Woods,
Siskiyou Summit and Black Butte/Snowman's Summit near Mount Shasta
City. The best snowfall rates (up to 1"/hr) will likely accompany
the frontal passage this evening in the mountains from about 5 to
10 pm, then snow showers will continue behind it. Winter weather
advisories are out at WSWMFR. Wind advisories also continue
through late this evening for the Shasta Valley and East Side as
gradients tighten with the front moving in. Details can be viewed
at NPWMFR.
Thanksgiving Day through Friday night, Nov 24-25th, 2016...
WINDS, RAIN AND FLOOD POTENTIAL...
Models waver a bit with the details regarding the next storm
system expected to arrive at the coast late Wednesday night, then
move through Thursday into Friday. Models continue to show parent
low pressure offshore of the Queen Charlotte Islands Thursday with
another low developing and deepening rapidly offshore of the
Washington coast by Thursday evening. This would slow the front
down and keep much of the precipitation confined to areas west of
the Cascades through Thursday night. Then, another wave is
expected to develop that will ultimately push the front onshore
Thursday night and then inland Friday. We have favored the 12z
ECMWF/SREF and their depictions of this scenario. This will bring
quite a bit of rain to coastal areas through Friday, which will
result in, at the very least, rapid rises on area creeks, streams
and rivers. We have issued a Hydrologic Outlook at ESFMFR to
highlight rain amounts, the quick rises and the potential for
flooding. Areal flood watches may be necessary soon, but there is
enough uncertainty in the guidance to hold off for now. Winds are
also expected to increase significantly ahead of this system, so
we have issued a high wind watch along the coast late Wednesday
through Thursday night. Local guidance suggests potential wind
gusts to 60 mph. Additional wind headlines may be necessary inland
as well Thursday into Friday. -Spilde
FLOOD POTENTIAL, SNOW...
Confidence remains high for a heavy round of rainfall along and
near the coast during this time period that could result in minor
flooding. Confidence is moderate to high for a period of moderate
to heavy mountain snowfall during this time period for elevations
above 4.5kft that could result in moderate travel impacts.
Confidence is currently moderate on timing of the heaviest
precipitation for inland areas, though it continues to be most
likely to be on Friday.
In summary, we expect that some flooding, even on the main stems
of the Coquille and Chetco Rivers, will be possible Friday into
Sunday in the coastal counties. Current river forecasts, as of
this afternoon, indicate moderate flooding on the South Fork of
the Coquille late Friday and minor flooding on the Coquille at
Coquille on Saturday. We also expect that either a winter storm
watch or winter weather advisories will be needed for elevations
above 4.5kft, and are currently leaning toward a winter storm
watch for that time period (see next paragraph for more info).
Advisories might be needed for elevations between 3.5kft and
4.5kft, but it is at least equally as likely that amounts won't
reach thresholds at these lower elevations.
More specifically, a cold front in the coastal waters early
Thanksgiving Day morning will be accompanied by large swells around
20 feet. The usually favored ECMWF and some SREF members push this
front inland across the West Side and into the Oregon Cascades, but
less aggressively than they did 24 hours ago. Light snowfall in
the 3-6 inch range is, therefore, expected in the Crater and
Diamond Lake areas along portions of highways 62 and 138, as well
as along highway 140 west of Klamath Falls with snow levels
3500-4500 feet. Meanwhile, the NAM12 and GFS20 models remain
drier, further northwest with the precipitation along the frontal
boundary. These solutions show much less precipitation in our
Oregon Cascades as southeast winds increase. Based on fairly good
agreement among the GFS Ensemble members and the ECMWF Ensembles
from earlier model runs, the going forecast for Thanksgiving leans
more toward the ECMWF and SREF solutions.
Thursday night through Friday night model guidance is well agreed on
the frontal boundary and its associated atmospheric river
progressing eastward across the area with snow levels generally
between 3500 and 4500 feet. There is better agreement among the
models and ensemble members for this time period, and, therefore,
significant snow appears likely above 4500 feet and for some lower
areas. Impacting snow is expected during this time period over the
mountains passes, to include Interstate 5 at Siskiyou Summit and
near Mount Shasta City, as well as along a portions of Highway 140
west of Klamath Falls and east of Medford, plus the Crater and
Diamond Lake areas, so be advised. If you have to travel that day,
stay tuned for more details as we figure them out. Above 5kft, we
currently expect 10-20 inches during this time period, and 3-8
inches appears possible on the mentioned mountain passes. BTL
LONG TERM...Extended 12z Saturday until 00z Tuesday...
The active weather pattern continues after Saturday as a few
smaller scale systems move through the region. For the Sunday
system, a colder air mass will push into southern Oregon resulting
in snow levels around 3000 feet, so almost low enough for the
lower passes along I-5.
Heading into Monday, A warm front will come down from the north west
resulting in a high probability of precipitation in addition to
raising the snow levels up to 4500 to 5000 feet. This is by no
means a major system, but it's look like a high probability of
precipitation with some decent rain accumulations inland and on the
east side.
Finally, we get a brief break on Tuesday before a strong and well
formed cold front pushes inland on the 30th. CZS
&&
.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...Wind Advisory until 1 AM PST Wednesday for ORZ030-031.
High Wind Watch from late Wednesday night through late Thursday
night for ORZ021-022.
Winter Weather Advisory until 10 AM PST Wednesday ABOVE 4500
FEET for for ORZ027-028.
CA...Wind Advisory until 1 AM PST Wednesday for CAZ085.
Winter Weather Advisory until 10 AM PST Wednesday ABOVE 4000
FEET for for CAZ082-083.
Wind Advisory until 9 PM PST this evening for CAZ081.
Pacific Coastal Waters...Gale Watch from Wednesday evening through
late Thursday night for PZZ350-356-376.
Small Craft Advisory for hazardous seas until 7 PM PST Wednesday
for PZZ350-356-370-376.
Gale Watch from Wednesday evening through late Thursday night
for PZZ370.
DW/MAS/FJBIn the hours before
Local storm report, Nov 22, 11:08 PM PST, 3 hours 56 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1108 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1100 PM HEAVY RAIN 2 SSW OBRIEN 42.05N 123.71W
11/22/2016 M1.00 INCH JOSEPHINE OR TRAINED SPOTTER
. THE DURATION OF THE HEAVY RAIN EVENT WAS 9
HOURS.
&&
DWThe office that day
Everything else NWS Medford, OR issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 4:24 PM PST | Small Craft Advisory | MFR | 3 hr | |
| Nov 23, 3:04 AM PST | Small Craft Advisory | MFR | 19 hr | |
| Nov 23, 3:46 AM PST | High Wind Warning | MFR | Coos, Curry, Douglas | 45 hr |
| Nov 23, 1:28 PM PST | Wind Advisory | MFR | Klamath, Lake | 3 days |
| Nov 23, 1:51 PM PST | Flood Watch | MFR | Coos, Curry, Douglas, Josephine | 58 hr |
| Nov 23, 2:20 PM PST | River Flood Watch | MFR | Coos, Curry, Douglas | 20 hr |
| Nov 23, 2:20 PM PST | River Flood Watch | MFR | Coos, Curry, Douglas | 20 hr |
| Nov 23, 3:07 PM PST | Winter Weather Advisory | MFR | Douglas, Jackson, Josephine, Klamath, Lake | 55 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.