Alert archive / Oregon / Gale Warnings in 2016
Gale Warning 61, NWS Medford, OR
NWS Medford, OR issued this gale warning at Nov 21, 2016, 2:27 AM PST. It took effect at Nov 22, 2016, 4:00 AM PST. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 21, 2016, 2:27 AM PST (10:27 UTC)
- In effect from
- Nov 22, 2016, 4:00 AM PST
- Expired
- Nov 22, 2016, 4:00 PM PST
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Medford, OR
The text
As transmitted.
984 WHUS76 KMFR 211027 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 227 AM PST MON NOV 21 2016 ...STRONG FRONT TO BRING SOUTH GALES AGAIN TUESDAY... .THE NEXT IN A SERIES OF STRONG FRONTS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE WATERS ON TUESDAY. THIS FRONT IS LIKELY TO BRING GALES AND VERY STEEP SEAS TO MOST OF THE SOUTHERN OREGON COASTAL WATERS TUESDAY. WIDESPREAD GALES ARE POSSIBLE...BUT THE BEST CHANCE FOR GALES WILL BE ALONG THE COAST IN THE VICINITY OF CAPE BLANCO AS THE FRONT APPROACHES AND A COASTAL JET FORMS. CONFIDENCE IN THE STRENGTH OF THE FRONT IS MODERATE TO HIGH...WITH THE REMAINING UNCERTAINTY BEING IN THE EXACT TIMING OF THE STRONGEST WINDS. PZZ350-356-220000- /O.UPG.KMFR.GL.A.0045.161122T1200Z-161123T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SC.Y.0118.161122T1200Z-161123T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.GL.W.0061.161122T1200Z-161123T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM- 227 AM PST MON NOV 21 2016 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM PST TUESDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM PST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS UPGRADED THE GALE WATCH TO A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM PST TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM PST TUESDAY. * WINDS...SOUTH 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT POSSIBLE. * SEAS...VERY STEEP AND MAINLY WIND DRIVEN 9 TO 12 FEET. * AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING...AREAS NEAR CAPE BLANCO WILL EXPERIENCE GALES AND VERY STEEP SEAS. GALES ARE ALSO EXPECTED MAINLY BEYOND 5 NM FROM SHORE. ELSEWHERE SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED...EXCEPT FOR AREAS SOUTH OF BROOKINGS AND WITHIN 5 NM FROM SHORE. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TONIGHT WITH GALES EXPECTED TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH AFTERNOON. THE WORST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED JUST PRIOR TO FRONTAL PASSAGE...ESPECIALLY NEAR CAPE BLANCO. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. && $$ PZZ370-220000- /O.NEW.KMFR.SC.Y.0118.161122T0600Z-161122T1200Z/ /O.UPG.KMFR.GL.A.0045.161122T1200Z-161123T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.GL.W.0061.161122T1200Z-161123T0000Z/ WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 227 AM PST MON NOV 21 2016 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM PST TUESDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM PST THIS EVENING UNTIL 4 AM PST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS UPGRADED THE GALE WATCH TO GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM PST TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM PST TUESDAY. * WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 30 KT...INCREASING TO 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT POSSIBLE TUESDAY MORNING. * SEAS...VERY STEEP AND MAINLY WIND DRIVEN 9 TO 12 FEET. * AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING...SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT MOST OF ZONE. ALL AREAS WILL EXPERIENCE GALES AND VERY STEEP SEAS ON TUESDAY. THE WORST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED JUST PRIOR TO FRONTAL PASSAGE...ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHEAST PART OF THE ZONE NEAR CAPE BLANCO. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. && $$ PZZ376-220000- /O.UPG.KMFR.GL.A.0045.161122T1200Z-161123T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.GL.W.0061.161122T1200Z-161123T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SC.Y.0118.161122T0600Z-161123T0000Z/ WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 227 AM PST MON NOV 21 2016 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM PST TUESDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM PST THIS EVENING UNTIL 4 AM PST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS UPGRADED THE GALE WATCH TO A GALE WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM PST TUESDAY. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM PST TUESDAY. * WINDS...SOUTH 20 TO 30 KTS...INCREASING TO 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT POSSIBLE TUESDAY MORNING. * SEAS...VERY STEEP AND MAINLY WIND DRIVEN 9 TO 12 FEET. * AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING...SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS WILL AFFECT THE NORTHWEST PART OF THE ZONE NORTH OF BROOKINGS LATER THIS EVENING. GALES WILL AFFECT ALL AREAS TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH AFTERNOON. THE WORST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED JUST PRIOR TO FRONTAL PASSAGE...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTHEAST PART OF THE ZONE NEAR CAPE BLANCO. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. && $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
4 follow-up statements
779 WHUS76 KMFR 212221 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 221 PM PST MON NOV 21 2016 PZZ350-356-221200- /O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0061.161122T1200Z-161123T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0118.161122T1200Z-161123T0000Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM- 221 PM PST MON NOV 21 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM PST TUESDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM PST TUESDAY... * WINDS...SOUTH 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT POSSIBLE. * SEAS...VERY STEEP AND MAINLY WIND DRIVEN 9 TO 11 FEET. * AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING...GALES AND VERY STEEP SEAS ARE EXPECTED GENERALLY BEYOND 5 NM FROM SHORE OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS...RIGHT UP TO SHORE NEAR CAPE BLANCO...AND THEN 5 TO 10 NM FROM SHORE OVER THE SOUTHERN WATERS. THE WORST CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR IN THE FEW HOURS PRIOR TO FRONTAL PASSAGE WHEN A COASTAL JET FORMS. THIS IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED NEAR THE COAST BOTH NORTH AND SOUTH OF CAPE BLANCO. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. && $$ PZZ370-221200- /O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0118.161122T0600Z-161122T1200Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0061.161122T1200Z-161123T0000Z/ WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 221 PM PST MON NOV 21 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM PST TUESDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM PST THIS EVENING UNTIL 4 AM PST TUESDAY... * WINDS...SOUTH INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT TONIGHT...THEN INCREASING TO 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT TUESDAY MORNING. * SEAS...BECOMING WIND DRIVEN AND RISING TO 7 TO 10 FEET TONIGHT...THEN VERY STEEP 11 TO 13 FEET ON TUESDAY. * AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING...ALL AREAS WILL BE AFFECTED. HOWEVER...THE WORST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED JUST PRIOR TO FRONTAL PASSAGE...ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHEAST PART OF THE ZONE NEAR CAPE BLANCO. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. && $$ PZZ376-221200- /O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0118.161122T0600Z-161123T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0061.161122T1200Z-161123T0000Z/ WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 221 PM PST MON NOV 21 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM PST TUESDAY... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM PST THIS EVENING UNTIL 4 AM PST TUESDAY... * WINDS...SOUTH INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 KT TONIGHT...THEN INCREASING TO 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT TUESDAY MORNING. * SEAS...BECOMING WIND DRIVEN AND RISING TO 7 TO 10 FEET TONIGHT...THEN VERY STEEP 11 TO 13 FEET ON TUESDAY. * AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING...ALL AREAS WILL BE AFFECTED. HOWEVER...THE WORST CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED JUST PRIOR TO FRONTAL PASSAGE...ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTHEAST PART OF THE ZONE NEAR CAPE BLANCO. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. && $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
880 WHUS76 KMFR 221045 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 245 AM PST TUE NOV 22 2016 PZZ350-356-222345- /O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0061.161122T1200Z-161123T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0118.161122T1200Z-161123T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SW.Y.0118.161123T0000Z-161124T0300Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM- 245 AM PST TUE NOV 22 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST WEDENSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM PST WEDNESDAY. * WINDS...SOUTH 30 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. * SEAS...VERY STEEP AND WIND DRIVEN AT 9 TO 11 FEET THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING 12 TO 15 FEET AT 13 SECONDS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. * AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING...GALES AND VERY STEEP SEAS ARE EXPECTED BEYOND 3 NM FROM SHORE...AND IN THE VICINITY OF CAPE BLANCO...THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL IMPACT ALL OTHER AREAS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...THEN WILL CONTINUE FOR ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. && $$ PZZ370-222345- /O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-161122T1200Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0061.161122T1200Z-161123T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SW.Y.0118.161123T0000Z-161124T0300Z/ WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 245 AM PST TUE NOV 22 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL 7 PM PST WEDENSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM PST WEDNESDAY. * WINDS...SOUTH 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. * SEAS...VERY STEEP AND WIND DRIVEN AT 11 TO 13 FEET THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING 15 TO 17 FEET AT 13 SECONDS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. * AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING...ALL AREAS WILL BE IMPACTED BY GALES AND VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS TODAY...FOLLOWED BY SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. && $$ PZZ376-222345- /O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-161123T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0061.161122T1200Z-161123T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SW.Y.0118.161123T0000Z-161124T0300Z/ WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 245 AM PST TUE NOV 22 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON UNTIL 7 PM PST WEDENSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 PM PST WEDNESDAY. * WINDS...SOUTH 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. * SEAS...VERY STEEP AND WIND DRIVEN AT 11 TO 13 FEET THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING 15 TO 17 FEET AT 13 SECONDS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. * AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING...ALL AREAS WILL BE IMPACTED BY GALES AND VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS TODAY...FOLLOWED BY SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. && $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
796 WHUS76 KMFR 222226 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 226 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2016 PZZ350-356-376-231130- /O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-161123T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-161123T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SW.Y.0118.161123T0000Z-161124T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.GL.A.0046.161124T0600Z-161125T1200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM- WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 226 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. * WINDS...SOUTH 30 TO 35 KT WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 KT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL THEN DECREASE TO 20 TO 30 KT OVERNIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN TO GALE 35 TO 50 KT WEDNESDAY EVENING AND COULD REACH A STORM FORCE GUST ON THURSDAY. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT BEFORE DECREASING ON FRIDAY. * SEAS...VERY STEEP AND WIND DRIVEN AT 9 TO 11 FEET INTO TONIGHT...THEN INCREASING TO 12 TO 15 FEET AT 13 SECONDS WEDNESDAY. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE FURTHER TO 15 TO 18 FEET BY THURSDAY. * AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING...GALES AND VERY STEEP SEAS ARE EXPECTED BEYOND 3 NM FROM SHORE...AND IN THE VICINITY OF CAPE BLANCO. SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS WILL IMPACT ALL AREAS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. GALES ARE LIKELY TO RETURN WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD * AREAS AFFECTED... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ PZZ370-231130- /O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-161123T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SW.Y.0118.161123T0000Z-161124T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.GL.A.0046.161124T0300Z-161125T1200Z/ WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 226 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2016 ...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A GALE WATCH... WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT. * WINDS...SOUTH GALES 30 TO 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL THEN DECREASE TO 20 TO 30 KT OVERNIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN TO GALE 35 TO 50 KT WEDNESDAY EVENING. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT BEFORE DECREASING ON FRIDAY. * SEAS...VERY STEEP AND WIND DRIVEN AT 11 TO 13 FEET THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...BECOMING 15 TO 17 FEET AT 13 SECONDS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. * AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING...ALL AREAS FROM FLORENCE TO POINT SAINT GEORGE WILL BE IMPACTED BY GALES AND VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS TODAY...FOLLOWED BY SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
638 WHUS76 KMFR 230024 MWWMFR URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR 424 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2016 PZZ356-231330- /O.EXP.KMFR.GL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-161123T0000Z/ /O.EXP.KMFR.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-161123T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KMFR.SC.Y.0119.161123T0024Z-161123T0300Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SW.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-161124T0300Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.GL.A.0046.161124T0600Z-161125T1200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM- 424 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2016 ...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING. A GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. * WINDS...SOUTH 25 TO 30 KT UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL THEN DECREASE TO 20 TO 25 KT. SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN TO GALE 30 TO 40 KT WEDNESDAY EVENING AND LOCALLY COULD REACH A STORM FORCE GUST ON THURSDAY. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT BEFORE DECREASING ON FRIDAY. * SEAS...VERY STEEP AND WIND DRIVEN AT 9 TO 11 FEET INTO TONIGHT...THEN INCREASING TO 12 TO 15 FEET AT 13 SECONDS WEDNESDAY. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE FURTHER TO 15 TO 18 FEET BY THURSDAY. * AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING...SOUTH OF BROOKINGS WILL EXPERIENCE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS FOR BOTH WINDS AND SEAS THROUGH THIS EVENING. BY LATE THIS EVENING WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE...AND THE ENTIRE ZONE FROM CAPE BLANCO TO POINT SAINT GEORGE WILL BE IMPACTED BY STEEP SEAS THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING. GALES ARE LIKELY TO RETURN WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD * AREAS AFFECTED... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ PZZ350-376-231330- /O.EXP.KMFR.GL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-161123T0000Z/ /O.EXP.KMFR.SC.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-161123T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SW.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-161124T0300Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.GL.A.0046.161124T0600Z-161125T1200Z/ COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM- WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 424 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2016 ...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY NIGHT... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... * WINDS...SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN TO GALE 35 TO 50 KT WEDNESDAY EVENING AND COULD REACH A STORM FORCE GUST ON THURSDAY. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT BEFORE DECREASING ON FRIDAY. * SEAS...VERY STEEP AND WIND DRIVEN AT 9 TO 11 FEET INTO TONIGHT...THEN INCREASING TO 12 TO 15 FEET AT 13 SECONDS WEDNESDAY. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE FURTHER TO 15 TO 18 FEET BY THURSDAY. * AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING...ALL AREAS WILL BE IMPACTED. GALES ARE LIKELY TO RETURN WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ PZZ370-231330- /O.EXP.KMFR.GL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-161123T0000Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.SW.Y.0118.000000T0000Z-161124T0300Z/ /O.CON.KMFR.GL.A.0046.161124T0300Z-161125T1200Z/ WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM- 424 PM PST TUE NOV 22 2016 ...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL WEDNESDAY EVENING... ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... * SEAS...STEEP AND WIND DRIVEN AT 11 TO 13 FEET TONIGHT. SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE TO VERY STEEP 15 FEET WEDNESDAY...THEN RISE FURTHER TO 20 FEET WEDNESDAY NIGHT. * WINDS...SOUTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE AGAIN TO GALE 35 TO 50 KT WEDNESDAY EVENING AND COULD REACH A STORM FORCE GUST ON THURSDAY. GALE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT BEFORE DECREASING ON FRIDAY. * AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING...ALL AREAS FROM FLORENCE TO POINT SAINT GEORGE BEYOND 10 NM FROM SHORE WILL BE IMPACTED. * VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS. A GALE WATCH IS ISSUED WHEN THE RISK OF GALE FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS HAS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED...BUT THE SPECIFIC TIMING AND/OR LOCATION IS STILL UNCERTAIN. IT IS INTENDED TO PROVIDE ADDITIONAL LEAD TIME FOR MARINERS WHO MAY WISH TO CONSIDER ALTERING THEIR PLANS. && $$ HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 20, 10:40 PM PST, 3 hours 47 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 20, 10:40 PM PST, 3 hours 47 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 1040 PM PST Sun Nov 20 2016 .DISCUSSION...Relatively quiet weather is expected through the next 36 hours or so compared with the cold and wet weather pattern that is expected late Tuesday through the weekend. Some snow showers are expected in the mountains tonight and Monday morning as an upper trough axis swings through, but accumulations should generally be a few inches or less. Temperatures tomorrow should be near normal under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Any showers will diminish by the late afternoon. No significant updates were needed this evening. We are now focusing on holiday travel concerns on Wednesday, and moreso from Thursday through Sunday due to a series of cold and wet storms affecting Northern California and Southern Oregon. Please see the previous discussion below for more details on the upcoming active weather pattern. && .AVIATION...21/06Z TAF cycle...Showers will continue to affect west side terminals through the morning. Early Monday morning will feature the most widespread shower coverage west of the Cascades. Conditions will be generally VFR, but brief MVFR to IFR conditions will be possible in showers. Similar conditions are expected east of the Cascades, however, shower coverage will be much less. Moist, westerly, upslope flow will keep the mountains obscured through Monday morning. Showers will diminish with mostly VFR conditions expected area-wide by Monday afternoon. -Wright/SK Note: The ceilometer at FAA site KOTH is out of service, so there will be no ceiling observations available generally between the hours of 04Z and 14Z. && .MARINE...Updated 800 PM PST Sunday 20 November 2016... Winds will remain light and seas continue to diminish tonight through Monday. Another front will bring south gales and very steep seas Tuesday. The strength of the front and occurrence of gales is fairly certain, but there remains some question as to the exact timing of the strongest winds. While widespread gales are possible, it is likely that the strongest winds occur prior to the frontal passage, especially along the coast as a coastal jet forms. The stormy pattern continues for the foreseeable future with cold fronts roughly every other day all the way through next weekend. In addition, this active storm track will produce large, powerful swells at times, especially Wednesday through Friday. -Wright && .PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 304 PM PST Sun Nov 20 2016/ SHORT TERM...An upper level trough is centered over the Pacific Northwest coast bringing a showery pattern to the area. A shortwave located about 250 miles west of the Southern Oregon coast will track inland tonight bringing additional showers to the area. On Monday, the upper trough will moves inland and gradually east of the area. A shortwave ridge will bring a brief break in the showers Monday evening into Monday night. Then another Pacific Low will move into the southern Gulf of Alaska and bring a front into area on Tuesday. A strong upper level trough will bring numerous showers to the area Tuesday night and Wednesday as well as a chance for thunderstorms to the coastal waters and coast. This evening expect continued numerous to scattered showers over the area. Precipitation in showers is expected to mainly be light, although some moderate showers are possible near and just inland of the coast. Weak instability will also bring a continued slight chance for thunderstorms near and just inland of the coast through early this evening. Tonight, expect additional showers to move into the area as a shortwave moves around the trough and inland. These showers will mainly affect areas from the Cascades west with only isolated to scattered activity east of the Cascades. Snow levels around 5000 feet today will lower slightly to 4000 to 4500 feet tonight. So some light snow showers are possible on the higher passes. Monday, as the upper trough moves overhead, expect lingering showers with cool and cloudy conditions. Showers will taper off in the evening as the trough moves east. Light winds and stable conditions will result in areas of valley fog Monday night into Tuesday morning across inland valleys, mainly west of the Cascades. On Tuesday, another strong front is expected to reach the coast and move inland in the afternoon over western areas then east of the Cascades by Tuesday evening. This front will bring moderate precipitation to the area. Snow levels are forecast near 5000 feet elevation on Tuesday but will lower Tuesday night behind the front in showers. Additionally, as very cold -32 deg C air aloft at 500 mb, steep lapse rates, and instability move into the coastal waters and coast, expect a chance for thunderstorms Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. Have added thunderstorms to the forecast for this period. Will need to monitor model trends for areas just inland of the coast and may need a mention for thunderstorm chances into the coastal mountains and possible portions of Douglas, Josephine and Western Siskiyou County. Wednesday, a deep upper trough will bring showers and cool conditions to the area with snow levels down to 3000 to 4000 feet elevation through the day. This will bring light snow to mountain passes, including in the Cascades and over Siskiyou Summit. Also showers may be moderate to heavy at times, especially near the coast. Tuesday evening through Wednesday evening, travel impacts ahead of Thanksgiving holiday will be a concern, especially over the mountain passes in the Cascades and over Siskiyou Summit. With the frontal passage Tuesday evening, models support around 2 to 5 inches of snow accumulation above 4500 feet elevation in the Cascades with the highest amounts near Crater lake and Diamond Lake. An additional 2 to 5 inches in snow showers is expected in the Cascades Tuesday night through Wednesday evening with 1 to 3 inches possible near Siskiyou Summit. Light snow showers are also possible in valleys east of the Cascades and in the Mount Shasta areas Tuesday night and Wednesday morning. Snow will bring the potential for slippery roads and hazardous conditions. Travelers should be prepared to take extra time and care while driving during this period. LONG TERM...Thursday through Sunday night. There is growing confidence that a couple of strong fronts will have an impact on holiday travel on Thursday and Friday. A few weaker but possibly colder systems may follow Friday night through the weekend. The probability of moderate to locally heavy precipitation has increased for Thursday as the GFS and ECMWF are in good agreement that a cold front will reach the coast late Wednesday night then reach the Cascades around noon on Thanksgiving Day with a snow level around 4000 feet. Although the models are not in complete agreement, there is better than usual agreement on the strength of the front. It is not a stretch to call it a strong front with gales likely in the coastal waters, 1.50 to 3 inches of rain at the coast, around 3 to 6 inches of snow in the Cascades and Siskiyous, 1 to 4 inches of afternoon northern Klamath County snow, and gusty southwest winds that may approach warning strength in the southern Shasta Valley and in Lake County. Beyond Thursday afternoon, there is general agreement on a continued active pattern. But, model differences quickly develop and become significant. The GFS solution more substantially weakens the front on Thursday evening and does not generate nearly as many showers overnight. However, it is wetter and windier with the next cold front on Friday. The ECMWF solution is more of a split flow and a bit closer to westerly aloft while the GFS carves out a deeper trough and tracks it northeast toward Vancouver Island. These model differences will affect, wind speeds, snow levels, and precipitation amounts. We have gone with a model blended solution with a continued high probability of precipitation Thursday night through Friday and snow levels around 3500 to 4500 feet. A broad longwave upper level trough is likely to persist Friday night through the weekend. Lighter precipitation is indicated for Friday night then it is the ECMWF which has the stronger solution for another cold front Saturday into Saturday night. Model differences finally become extreme on Day 7/Sunday with the GFS with another relatively strong front while the ECMWF has a colder pattern of light shortwave created rain and snow showers. && .MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OR...None. CA...None. Pacific Coastal Waters...Gale Watch from late Monday night through Tuesday afternoon for PZZ350-356-370-376. NSK/DW/TRW
The office that day
Everything else NWS Medford, OR issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 7:58 PM PST | Gale Watch | MFR | 6 hr | |
| Nov 21, 2:27 AM PST | Small Craft Advisory | MFR | 38 hr | |
| Nov 21, 1:46 PM PST | Wind Advisory | MFR | Klamath, Lake | 35 hr |
| Nov 21, 2:38 PM PST | Winter Weather Advisory | MFR | Douglas, Jackson, Josephine, Klamath | 43 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.