Gale Warning 5, NWS Medford, OR

681 
WHUS76 KMFR 121025
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
225 AM PST TUE JAN 12 2016

...STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

PZZ350-356-130000-
/O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-160112T1800Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.GL.W.0005.160112T1800Z-160113T0600Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SR.W.0001.160113T0000Z-160113T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM-
225 AM PST TUE JAN 12 2016

...STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
PST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A STORM
WARNING WHICH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM PST TUESDAY TO 10 PM PST
TUESDAY. A GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO 10
PM PST TUESDAY.

* WINDS: SOUTH 15 TO 25 KT INCREASING TO GALES 35 TO 45 KT BY LATE
  THIS MORNING. STORM FORCE GUSTS UP TO 60 KT ARE EXPECTED LATE
  THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. WINDS EASE TONIGHT.

* SEAS: COMBINED 10 TO 13 FEET THIS MORNING. VERY STEEP AND
  DANGEROUS SEAS OF 15 TO 20 FEET BUILD THIS AFTERNOON AND
  EVENING. SEAS REMAIN HIGH BUT GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE TONIGHT

* AREAS AFFECTED: ALL AREAS WILL HAVE CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO
  SMALL CRAFT THIS MORNING. GALES DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING WITH
  STORM FORCE GUSTS EXPECTED MAINLY BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE AND NEAR
  CAPE BLANCO THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DANGEROUS SEAS MAY WASH
  OVER JETTIES AT SOUTH-FACING PORTS...INCLUDING PORT ORFORD THIS
  EVENING. SLIGHTLY LOWER WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY
  WITHIN 5 NM OF SHORE NORTH OF COOS BAY AND WITHIN 5 NM OF SHORE
  SOUTH OF BROOKINGS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY
STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A
VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY
EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT
THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE
CONDITIONS.

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ALONG WITH
EXTREMELY STEEP AND DANGEROUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER
UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND CONSIDER
REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES
SUBSIDE.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A
POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS.

&&

$$

PZZ370-376-130000-
/O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-160112T1800Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.GL.W.0005.160112T1200Z-160113T0600Z/
/O.EXT.KMFR.SR.W.0001.160112T2100Z-160113T0600Z/
WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
225 AM PST TUE JAN 12 2016

...STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
PST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A STORM
WARNING WHICH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM PST TUESDAY TO 10 PM PST
TUESDAY. A GALE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO 10
PM PST TUESDAY.

* WINDS: SOUTH INCREASING TO GALES 35 TO 45 KT THIS MORNING. STORM
  FORCE GUSTS UP TO 60 KT THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. WINDS
  EASE TONIGHT.

* SEAS: BUILDING TO VERY A STEEP DANGEROUS OF 16 TO 21 FEET INTO
  THIS EVENING. SEAS REMAIN HIGH BUT GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE TONIGHT.

* AREAS AFFECTED: ALL AREAS WILL BE AFFECTED BY GALES THIS MORNING
  WITH STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS AND VERY DANGEROUS SEAS THIS AFTERNOON
  AND EVENING.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY
STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A
VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY
EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT
THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE
CONDITIONS.

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ALONG WITH
EXTREMELY STEEP AND DANGEROUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER
UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND CONSIDER
REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES
SUBSIDE.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A
POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD

019 
WHUS76 KMFR 121650
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
850 AM PST TUE JAN 12 2016

...STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

PZZ350-356-130600-
/O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-160112T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0005.160112T1800Z-160113T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SR.W.0001.160113T0000Z-160113T0600Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM-
850 AM PST TUE JAN 12 2016

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
10 PM PST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS: SOUTH 15 TO 25 KT INCREASING TO GALES 35 TO 45 KT BY 
  LATE THIS MORNING. STORM FORCE GUSTS UP TO 60 KT ARE EXPECTED 
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. WINDS EASE TONIGHT. 

* SEAS: COMBINED 10 TO 13 FEET THIS MORNING. VERY STEEP AND 
  DANGEROUS SEAS OF 15 TO 20 FEET BUILD THIS AFTERNOON AND 
  EVENING. SEAS REMAIN HIGH BUT GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE TONIGHT 

* AREAS AFFECTED: ALL AREAS WILL HAVE CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS TO 
  SMALL CRAFT THIS MORNING. GALES DEVELOP LATE THIS MORNING WITH 
  STORM FORCE GUSTS EXPECTED MAINLY BEYOND 5NM FROM SHORE AND 
  NEAR CAPE BLANCO THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DANGEROUS SEAS 
  MAY WASH OVER JETTIES AT SOUTH-FACING PORTS...INCLUDING PORT 
  ORFORD THIS EVENING. SLIGHTLY LOWER WINDS AND SEAS ARE 
  EXPECTED TUESDAY WITHIN 5 NM OF SHORE NORTH OF COOS BAY AND 
  WITHIN 5 NM OF SHORE SOUTH OF BROOKINGS. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY
STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A
VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY
EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT
THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE
CONDITIONS.

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ALONG WITH
EXTREMELY STEEP AND DANGEROUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER
UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND CONSIDER
REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES
SUBSIDE.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A
POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS.

&&

$$

PZZ370-376-130600-
/O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160113T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-160112T1800Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SR.W.0001.160112T2100Z-160113T0600Z/
WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
850 AM PST TUE JAN 12 2016

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
10 PM PST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS: SOUTH INCREASING TO GALES 35 TO 45 KT THIS MORNING. 
  STORM FORCE GUSTS UP TO 60 KT THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS 
  EVENING. WINDS EASE TONIGHT. 

* SEAS: BUILDING TO VERY STEEP AND DANGEROUS 16 TO 21 FEET INTO
  THIS EVENING. SEAS REMAIN HIGH BUT GRADUALLY SUBSIDE LATE
  TONIGHT.

* AREAS AFFECTED: ALL AREAS WILL BE AFFECTED BY GALES THIS 
  MORNING WITH STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS AND VERY DANGEROUS SEAS 
  THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY
STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A
VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY
EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT
THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE
CONDITIONS.

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ALONG WITH
EXTREMELY STEEP AND DANGEROUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER
UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND CONSIDER
REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES
SUBSIDE.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A
POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD

681 
WHUS76 KMFR 122314
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
314 PM PST TUE JAN 12 2016

...STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

PZZ350-356-131315-
/O.NEW.KMFR.SE.W.0006.160112T2314Z-160113T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160113T0600Z/
/O.CAN.KMFR.SR.W.0001.160113T0000Z-160113T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.SC.Y.0009.160113T0600Z-160113T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.SW.Y.0008.160113T0600Z-160114T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM-
314 PM PST TUE JAN 12 2016

...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...GALE AND HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNINGS CONTINUE THROUGH 10 PM
TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HAZARDOUS
SEAS WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING. A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM PST
WEDNESDAY. IN ADDITION...A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS
SEAS HAS BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS
SEAS IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM PST THURSDAY.
THE STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* WINDS: SOUTH GALES 35 TO 45 KT. GUSTS UP TO 50 KT ARE EXPECTED
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING EXCEPT NEAR CAPE BLANCO
  WHERE STRONGER WINDS ARE POSSIBLE. WINDS EASE TONIGHT.

* SEAS: COMBINED VERY STEEP WIND DRIVEN SEAS OF 15 TO 20 FEET THIS
  EVENING. SEAS GRADUALLY LOWER TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS
  LATE TONIGHT AND WILL LINGER THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* AREAS AFFECTED: GALES EXPECTED FOR ALL AREAS BEYOND 5 NM EXCEPT
  FOR AREAS AROUND CAPE BLANCO WHICH ARE EXPECTED NEAR THE COAST.
  HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE EXPECTED IN ALL AREAS...AND MAY WASH OVER
  JETTIES AT SOUTH-FACING PORTS...INCLUDING PORT ORFORD THIS
  EVENING.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEA
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL
VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN
PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY
STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A
VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY
EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT
THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE
CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A
POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL
BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS
AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS.

&&

$$

PZZ376-131315-
/O.EXT.KMFR.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160113T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160113T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.SE.W.0006.160113T0300Z-160113T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.SC.Y.0009.160113T0600Z-160113T0900Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.SW.Y.0008.160113T0600Z-160114T1200Z/
WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
314 PM PST TUE JAN 12 2016

...STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HAZARDOUS
SEAS WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TO 10 PM PST THIS
EVENING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS HAS ALSO BEEN
ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS IN EFFECT
FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM PST THURSDAY. IN ADDITION...A
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM PST WEDNESDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH GALES 35 TO 45 KT WITH SOME AREAS SEEING STORM
  FORCE GUSTS UP TO 60 KT THIS EVENING. WINDS EASE TONIGHT.

* SEAS: BUILDING TO VERY STEEP AND DANGEROUS 15 TO 20 FEET INTO
  THIS EVENING. SEAS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
  LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* AREAS AFFECTED: ALL AREAS WILL BE AFFECTED BY GALES WITH STORM
  FORCE WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE BETWEEN 10 AND 30 NM OFF SHORE.
  HAZARDOUS SEAS WILL EFFECT ALL AREAS BUT DIMINISH TO ADVISORY
  LEVELS FROM WEST TO EAST. ADVISORY LEVEL SEAS WILL LINGER
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY
STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A
VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY
EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT
THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE
CONDITIONS.

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ALONG WITH
EXTREMELY STEEP AND DANGEROUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER
UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND CONSIDER
REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES
SUBSIDE.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A
POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEA
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL
VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN
PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL
BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS
AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS.

&&

$$

PZZ370-131315-
/O.EXT.KMFR.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160113T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160113T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.SE.W.0006.160113T0300Z-160113T0600Z/
/O.NEW.KMFR.SW.Y.0008.160113T0600Z-160114T1200Z/
WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
314 PM PST TUE JAN 12 2016

...STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM PST THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A HAZARDOUS
SEAS WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TO 10 PM PST THIS
EVENING. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS HAS ALSO BEEN
ISSUED. THIS SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IS IN EFFECT
FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM PST THURSDAY. 

* WINDS: SOUTH GALES 35 TO 45 KT WITH SOME AREAS SEEING STORM
  FORCE GUSTS UP TO 60 KT THIS EVENING. WINDS EASE TONIGHT.

* SEAS: BUILDING TO VERY STEEP AND DANGEROUS 15 TO 20 FEET INTO
  THIS EVENING. SEAS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
  LEVELS TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* AREAS AFFECTED: ALL AREAS WILL BE AFFECTED BY GALES WITH STORM
  FORCE WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE BETWEEN 10 AND 30 NM OFF SHORE.
  HAZARDOUS SEAS WILL EFFECT ALL AREAS BUT DIMINISH TO ADVISORY
  LEVELS FROM WEST TO EAST. ADVISORY LEVEL SEAS WILL LINGER
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY
STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A
VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY
EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT
THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE
CONDITIONS.

A STORM WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 48 TO 63 KNOTS ALONG WITH
EXTREMELY STEEP AND DANGEROUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER
UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES SUBSIDE. COMMERCIAL VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE
FOR VERY STRONG WINDS AND DANGEROUS SEA CONDITIONS...AND CONSIDER
REMAINING IN PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL WINDS AND WAVES
SUBSIDE.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A
POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEA
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL
VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN
PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL
BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS
AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD

249 
WHUS76 KMFR 130327
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
727 PM PST TUE JAN 12 2016

...STORM FORCE WIND GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

PZZ376-131630-
/O.EXP.KMFR.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160113T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160113T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160113T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0009.160113T0600Z-160113T0900Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SW.Y.0008.160113T0600Z-160114T1200Z/
WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
727 PM PST TUE JAN 12 2016

...STORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM THIS EVENING...

* WINDS: SOUTH GALES 35 TO 45 KT. WINDS EASE TO 15 TO 25 KTS
  TONIGHT BEFORE FURTHER DIMINISHING TOMORROW MORNING.

* SEAS: VERY STEEP WIND DRIVEN 18 TO 22 FT INTO THIS EVENING.
  SEAS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS TONIGHT
  AND LINGER THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* AREAS AFFECTED: GALES ARE EXPECTED OUT TO 40 NM FROM SHORE. HAZARDOUS
  SEAS WILL EFFECT ALL AREAS BUT DIMINISH TO ADVISORY LEVELS FROM
  WEST TO EAST. ADVISORY LEVEL SEAS WILL LINGER THROUGH WEDNESDAY
  NIGHT.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY
STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A
VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY
EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT
THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE
CONDITIONS.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEA
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL
VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN
PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A
POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL
BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS
AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS.

&&

$$

PZZ370-131630-
/O.EXP.KMFR.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160113T0300Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160113T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160113T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SW.Y.0008.160113T0600Z-160114T1200Z/
WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
727 PM PST TUE JAN 12 2016

...STORM WARNING HAS EXPIRED...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM THIS EVENING...

* WINDS: SOUTH GALES 35 TO 45 KT. WINDS WILL EASE TONIGHT.

* SEAS: VERY STEEP WIND DRIVEN SEAS 17 TO 20 FT. SEAS WILL
  GRADUALLY LOWER TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LEVELS TONIGHT AND
  LINGER THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* AREAS AFFECTED: GALES ARE EXPECTED OUT TO 40 NM FROM SHORE.
  HAZARDOUS SEAS WILL EFFECT ALL AREAS BUT DIMINISH TO ADVISORY
  LEVELS FROM WEST TO EAST. ADVISORY LEVEL SEAS WILL LINGER
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY
STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A
VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY
EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT
THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE
CONDITIONS.

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEA
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL
VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN
PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL
BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS
AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS.

&&

$$

PZZ350-356-131630-
/O.CON.KMFR.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160113T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160113T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0009.160113T0600Z-160113T0900Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SW.Y.0008.160113T0600Z-160114T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM-
727 PM PST TUE JAN 12 2016

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING...

* WINDS: SOUTH GALES 35 TO 45 KT. WINDS EASE TO 15 TO 25 KTS
  TONIGHT BEFORE FURTHER DIMINISHING TOMORROW MORNING.

* SEAS: COMBINED VERY STEEP WIND DRIVEN SEAS OF 15 TO 18 FEET
  THIS EVENING. SEAS GRADUALLY LOWER TO SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
  LEVELS LATE TONIGHT AND WILL LINGER THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* AREAS AFFECTED: GALES EXPECTED FOR ALL AREAS BEYOND 5 NM EXCEPT
  FOR AREAS AROUND CAPE BLANCO WHICH ARE EXPECTED NEAR THE COAST.
  HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE EXPECTED IN ALL AREAS.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HAZARDOUS SEAS WARNING MEANS VERY STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEA
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. RECREATIONAL BOATERS SHOULD
REMAIN IN PORT...OR TAKE SHELTER UNTIL WAVES SUBSIDE.  COMMERCIAL
VESSELS SHOULD PREPARE FOR ROUGH SEAS AND CONSIDER REMAINING IN
PORT OR TAKING SHELTER IN PORT UNTIL HAZARDOUS SEAS SUBSIDE.

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ALONG WITH VERY
STEEP AND HAZARDOUS SEAS ARE IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. OPERATING A
VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY
EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT
THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE
CONDITIONS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A
POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS.

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL
BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS
AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD

830 
WHUS76 KMFR 130607
MWWMFR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1007 PM PST TUE JAN 12 2016

PZZ350-356-376-131915-
/O.EXP.KMFR.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160113T0600Z/
/O.EXP.KMFR.SE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160113T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SC.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-160113T0900Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-160114T1200Z/
COASTAL WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR OUT 10 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA OUT 10 NM-
WATERS FROM CAPE BLANCO OR TO PT. ST. GEORGE CA FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
1007 PM PST TUE JAN 12 2016

...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

* WINDS: SOUTH 20 TO 25 KTS UNTIL MIDNIGHT BEFORE FURTHER
  DIMINISHING TO 10 TO 15 KTS.

* SEAS: STEEP WIND DRIVEN SEAS OF 16 TO 18 FEET UNTIL MIDNIGHT.
  SEAS GRADUALLY BECOMES SWELL DOMINATED AND SUBSIDE TO AROUND 13
  FEET OVERNIGHT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* AREAS AFFECTED: ALL AREAS WILL BE AFFECTED.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WINDS AND SEAS WILL CREATE A
POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS.

&&

$$

PZZ370-131915-
/O.EXP.KMFR.GL.W.0005.000000T0000Z-160113T0600Z/
/O.EXP.KMFR.SE.W.0006.000000T0000Z-160113T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.SW.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-160114T1200Z/
WATERS FROM FLORENCE TO CAPE BLANCO OR FROM 10 TO 60 NM-
1007 PM PST TUE JAN 12 2016

...GALE WARNING HAS EXPIRED...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

* SEAS: STEEP AT 15 TO 17 FT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. SEAS WILL
  GRADUALLY SUBSIDE BELOW 10 FEET LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

* AREAS AFFECTED: ALL AREAS ARE AFFECTED.

* VIEW THE HAZARD AREA IN DETAIL AT 
  HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD/HAZARD 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS MEANS THAT WAVES WILL
BE STEEP ENOUGH TO CREATE A POTENTIAL HAZARD TO SMALLER VESSELS
AND INEXPERIENCED MARINERS.

&&

$$


HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MEDFORD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
900 AM PST MON JAN 11 2016

.DISCUSSION...
NO UPDATES WILL BE MADE TO THE FORECAST THIS MORNING, AS ALL
FORECAST ELEMENTS APPEAR TO BE ON TRACK BASED ON OBSERVATIONS.

WE'LL HAVE SOME GUSTY SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST WINDS TODAY AND LIGHT
PRECIPITATION AROUND, PEAKING LATE THIS MORNING, AND THEN
GENERALLY DIMINISHING THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING.

TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A STRONGER STORM SYSTEM WILL PUSH
THROUGH THE AREA WITH STRONGER WINDS AND SOME AREAS OF MODERATE TO
HEAVY PRECIPITATION ALONG AND NEAR THE COAST, IN THE CASCADES, AND
IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. WE'LL BE FOCUSING ON THIS TODAY. BTL

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 11/12Z TAF CYCLE...A FRONT WILL BRING LOWERING
CEILINGS AND LIGHT RAIN WITH OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS TO MUCH OF
THE WEST SIDE THIS MORNING. DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL LIKELY PREVENT RAIN
MUCH OF THE TIME AT KMFR, WITH LITTLE TO NO PRECIPITATION MAKING IT
ACROSS THE CASCADES TO THE EAST SIDE. WIND SHEARS ARE POSSIBLE AT
KOTH THIS MORNING WITH 45-50 KNOT WINDS AT 2000 FT AGL. /FB

&&

.MARINE...UPDATED 230 AM PST MONDAY 9 JAN 2016...GALES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MID MORNING TODAY. SEAS WILL BE QUITE CHAOTIC FROM BOTH WIND
CHOP AND WESTERLY SWELL. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE SLIGHTLY TONIGHT. A
STRONG LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE NORTH ALONG 130 WEST LONGITUDE ON
TUESDAY. STRONG SOUTH WINDS AHEAD OF THIS LOW COULD BRING GALES INTO
THE INNER WATERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH STORM FORCE
GUSTS OVER THE OUTER WATERS. SEAS REMAIN HIGH INTO THURSDAY, BUT
WINDS WILL EASE. A LONG PERIOD WEST SWELL AROUND 19 SECONDS COULD
MOVE INTO THE WATERS NEXT SATURDAY. /FB

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 421 AM PST MON JAN 11 2016/

DISCUSSION...

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY...AN INTERESTING WEEK IS IN
STORE FOR OUR AREA, WITH A RETURN TO A WET AND WINDY PATTERN
BEGINNING WITH A WEAK SYSTEM TODAY, FOLLOWED BY A MUCH STRONGER
SYSTEM TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE MAJOR FOCUS OF EFFORTS THIS
SHIFT WAS CONCENTRATED ON NARROWING DOWN THE BIGGEST WIND THREATS
AND ADJUSTING PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS. MORE DETAILS ON THESE
PARAMETERS LATER.

FIRST, WE MUST DEAL WITH THE WEAKER SYSTEM TODAY. CURRENTLY, AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE RESIDES ALONG THE WEST COAST, BUT A TROUGH OVER
THE FAR EASTERN PACIFIC IS ATTEMPTING TO PUSH ITS WAY INTO THE
COAST. THE RIDGE IS RESILIENT, AND WILL ONLY GIVE IN EASTWARD
SLIGHTLY, DEFLECTING THE INTRUDING TROUGH NORTHWARD AND WEAKENING
IT CONSIDERABLY. PRECIPITATION HAS ALREADY STARTED MOVING IN ALONG
THE COAST AND INTO THE COASTAL RANGE, BUT WITH THE FRONT
WEAKENING, MUCH OF THIS MOISTURE WILL BE HARD PRESSED TO MAKE IT
ANY FARTHER EAST THAN THE CASCADES. TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE
LIGHT, WITH SNOW LEVELS HOVERING BETWEEN ROUGHLY 5000 TO 6000
FEET. DESPITE THE WAVE EXITING TO THE NORTHEAST, AND WEAK ANTI-
CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT, SOUTHWEST ONSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH
MOISTURE INTO THE AREA, AND THIS WILL KEEP SOME LIGHT SHOWERS AND
CLOUDS IN THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

THE MAIN EVENT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TUESDAY, AS THE LARGE SCALE
TROUGH THAT HAS LURKED OVER THE PACIFIC FOR SEVERAL DAYS FINALLY
MAKES ITS RUN FOR THE COAST. PRECIPITATION WILL START AT THE COAST
AND IN THE COASTAL RANGE TUESDAY MORNING, THEN SPREAD EAST THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE A PRIMARY CONCERN, WITH BOTH THE GFS
AND ECMWF PRODUCING A DEEPENING SURFACE LOW JUST OFFSHORE OF
SOUTHERN OREGON. WHILE THE MODELS DO DISAGREE ON THE PLACEMENT AND
DEPTH OF THE LOW, THE LATEST RUNS DO AGREE IN THE EXISTENCE OF THE
FEATURE, AND THIS IS ENOUGH TO WARRANT PLACING STRONG WINDS ALONG
THE COAST. WITH THIS IN MIND, HAVE ISSUED A HIGH WIND WATCH FOR
THE CURRY AND COOS COUNTY COASTLINES. HAVE ALSO ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WATCH FOR THE SHASTA VALLEY AND THE EAST SIDE, AS MODEL 700 MB
WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT APPROACH 65 KT, AND THESE SHOULD
TRANSLATE DOWN TO THE SURFACE AS FREQUENT GUSTS, ESPECIALLY IN THE
SHASTA VALLEY WHERE THE WINDS ARE CHANNELED BETWEEN MT SHASTA AND
THE TRINITY ALPS. WHILE OTHER AREAS, SUCH AS THE ROGUE VALLEY,
SHOULD ALSO SEE GUSTY WINDS, CONFIDENCE IN THIS IS TOO LOW TO
ISSUE A WATCH, BUT ADVISORIES WILL MOST LIKELY BE ISSUED DURING
UPCOMING SHIFTS.

THE INCOMING AIR MASS WILL BE WARMER, AS THE SOURCE AIR MASS IS
ORIGINATING FURTHER SOUTH THAN THE STORMS WE SAW BACK IN DECEMBER.
THIS WILL KEEP SNOW LEVELS AT OR ABOVE 6000 FEET FOR MUCH OF THE
STORM, ONLY DROPPING TO BELOW 5000 FEET ONCE THE COLD FRONT PASSES
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. SNOW AMOUNTS MAY BE HEAVY
FOR THE HIGHER PEAKS AND RIDGES IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA AND ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE CASCADES, BUT ANY SNOW THAT DOES MAKE IT TO PASS
LEVEL BEHIND THE FRONT SHOULD BE LIGHT.

ONCE THE FRONT PASSES, MODELS ARE DEPICTING A POSSIBLE SECONDARY
LOW FORMING ALONG THE TRIALING END OF THE FRONT, AND THIS COULD
PUSH ONSHORE WEDNESDAY, BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SHOULD THIS VERIFY, SNOW LEVELS
WOULD DROP TO AROUND 4000 FEET OR SLIGHTLY BELOW, AND THIS WOULD
BRING SNOW TO MANY OF THE HIGHER PASSES. AFTER A BRIEF PERIOD OF
HIGH PRESSURE WEDNESDAY NIGHT, THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM IS EXPECTED
THURSDAY, AND THIS COLDER SYSTEM WOULD BRING SNOW LEVELS DOWN TO
AROUND 3000 FEET OR SO. AS THESE TWO FEATURES ARE RELATIVELY NEW
TO THE MODEL SUITES, CONFIDENCE IS LOW, BUT WE SHOULD GET A BETTER
IDEA OF HOW THINGS WILL EVOLVE OVER THE NEXT FEW FORECAST CYCLES.
-BPN

LONG TERM FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...THURSDAY THROUGH
SUNDAY...MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A FAIRLY ACTIVE PATTERN OVER THE
PACNW, ALTERNATING BETWEEN WEAK RIDGING AND SHORTWAVE TROUGHS
MOVING INTO THE AREA. MODEL VARIABILITY FROM RUN TO RUN KEEPS
CONFIDENCE LOW TO MODERATE ON THE DETAILS CONCERNING STRENGTH AND
TIMING FOR EACH OF THESE SYSTEMS DURING THIS PERIOD THOUGH.

ON THURSDAY...MODELS ARE TRENDING LATER AND WEAKER WITH A RIDGE
BUILDING INTO THE AREA AND NOW INDICATE THE RIDGE MAY NOT BUILDING
INTO PLACE UNTIL LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY. AHEAD OF THE
RIDGE, A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INLAND AND BRING
ANOTHER ROUND OF PRECIPITATION ON THURSDAY AND INTO THURSDAY
EVENING. THE GFS, GEFS AND DGEX FAVOR A MORE SOUTHERLY TRACK WITH
THIS SHORTWAVE BRINGING IT INTO OREGON AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA
WHILE THE ECMWF BRINGS THE SHORTWAVE INTO NORTHERN OREGON AS IS
SLIGHTLY SLOWER WITH THE TIMING OF THE SHORTWAVE. HAVE INCREASED
POPS FOR THE THURSDAY PERIOD AND MAY NEED TO CONTINUE TO TREND UP
IF ADDITIONAL MODEL RUNS FAVOR A SHORTWAVE PATTERN ON THURSDAY.
HAVE KEPT SNOW LEVELS IN THE 3000 TO 4000 FT RANGE FOR THIS SYSTEM
BASED ON LATEST FORECASTS.

ON FRIDAY, MAY SEE A BRIEF BREAK IN THE ACTIVE PATTERN WITH A RIDGE
BUILDING INTO THE AREA. HOWEVER, MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE AN
UPPER TROUGH AND FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHING THE AREA LATE FRIDAY.
MODELS RUNS HAVE VARIED QUITE A BIT ON THE TRACK AND TIMING OF THIS
FRONT. OVERALL, EXPECT ANOTHER FRONT TO BRING SOME MODERATE
PRECIPITATION INTO THE AREA BEGINNING LATE FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
SNOW LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE AHEAD OF THIS FRONT TO NEAR 5000
FEET. THE FRONT IS FORECAST TO SHIFT EASTWARD AND THE SHORTWAVE
TROUGH MOVE INLAND LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. SOME GUSTY
WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND ALONG THE
COAST WITH FRONT AS MODELS SHOW WINDS INCREASING ALOFT LATE FRIDAY
AND SATURDAY.

ON SUNDAY...ANOTHER BRIEF PERIOD OF RIDGING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE
DAY THEN THE ACTIVE PATTERN CONTINUES WITH ANOTHER FRONTAL SYSTEM
EXPECTED TO NEAR THE COAST SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS FRONT WILL BRING THE
POTENTIAL FOR MODERATE PRECIPITATION AND SOME GUSTY WINDS. /CC

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR ORZ021-022.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING FOR ORZ021.
     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
     FOR ORZ021-022.
     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
     FOR ORZ029>031.

CA...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
     FOR CAZ083-085.
     HIGH WIND WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
     FOR CAZ081.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING FOR PZZ350-356.
     GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 AM PST THIS MORNING FOR
     PZZ350-356-370-376.
     STORM WATCH FROM TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT FOR
     PZZ370-376.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM PST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     PZZ350-356-370-376.

BTL/BPN/FJB