Alert archive / Oregon / Flood Watches in 2016

Flood Watch 9, NWS Medford, OR

December 13, 20166 counties in Oregon; Siskiyou County, California

NWS Medford, OR issued this flood watch at Dec 13, 2016, 3:30 PM PST for 6 counties in Oregon; Siskiyou County, California. It took effect at Dec 14, 2016, 1:00 AM PST. It was in force for 41 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 13, 2016, 3:30 PM PST (23:30 UTC)
In effect from
Dec 14, 2016, 1:00 AM PST
Expired
Dec 15, 2016, 6:00 PM PST
In force
41 hr
Issued by
NWS Medford, OR
Flood severity
None

Counties Siskiyou County, CA, Coos County, OR, Curry County, OR, Douglas County, OR, Jackson County, OR, Josephine County, OR, Klamath County, OR

The radar

The Medford radar (KMAX), 65 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Medford/Jackson, OR (KMFR), launched 12:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 36 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Medford/Jackson, OR at 12:00Z on 2016-12-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Medford/Jackson, OR at 12:00Z on 2016-12-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 53 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
473 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
73 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
53 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
194 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

025 
WGUS66 KMFR 132330
FFAMFR

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
330 PM PST TUE DEC 13 2016

...HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY FOR PORTIONS OF
CURRY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTIES AS WELL AS NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...

ORZ021-022-024-028-141300-
/O.NEW.KMFR.FA.A.0009.161214T0900Z-161215T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PORT ORFORD...BROOKINGS...HARBOR...
GOLD BEACH...CAVE JUNCTION
330 PM PST TUE DEC 13 2016

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM PST WEDNESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON AND SOUTHWEST
  OREGON...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...SISKIYOU
  MOUNTAINS...CURRY COUNTY COAST...EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND
  JOSEPHINE COUNTY AND SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST.

* FROM 1 AM PST WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* 2 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED FROM EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE SMALL
  STREAMS AND CREEKS TO RISE RAPIDLY WITH MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE.
  THE HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO CAUSE URBAN FLOODING. LANDSLIDES AND
  DEBRIS FLOWS MAY OCCUR IN SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES.A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

CAZ080>083-141300-
/O.NEW.KMFR.FA.A.0009.161214T1200Z-161216T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY-CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ETNA...FORT JONES...WEED...
MOUNT SHASTA...DUNSMUIR...MCCLOUD...TENNANT
330 PM PST TUE DEC 13 2016

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF SISKIYOU COUNTY IN NORTHERN
  CALIFORNIA.

* FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

* 2 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED FROM EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING
  THROUGH THURSDAY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN OVER WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY
  IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT, WHILE
  HEAVY RAIN IN SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY WILL LAST
  FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS HEAVY RAIN WILL
  CAUSE SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS TO RISE RAPIDLY WITH MINOR
  FLOODING POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO CAUSE URBAN FLOODING.
  PILGRIM CREEK AND THE MUD CREEK BASIN COULD BE ESPECIALLY
  SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING. LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS MAY OCCUR
  IN SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES.A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

CAZ084-085-141300-
/O.NEW.KMFR.FA.A.0010.161215T0600Z-161216T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES-MODOC COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ALTURAS
330 PM PST TUE DEC 13 2016

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTIONS MODOC COUNTY IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA.

* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

* 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE IN A 24 HOUR PERIOD FROM
  WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. THIS IS VERY
  UNCOMMON FOR MODOC COUNTY AND MAY CAUSE FLOODING EITHER FROM
  EXCESSIVE RAIN OR POSSIBLE SNOWMELT FROM EARLY WINTER SNOWPACK.
  THIS HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS TO RISE
  RAPIDLY WITH MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO
  CAUSE URBAN FLOODING. LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS MAY OCCUR IN
  SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES.A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
6 follow-up statements
531 
WGUS66 KMFR 140052
FFAMFR

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
452 PM PST TUE DEC 13 2016

...HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY FOR PORTIONS OF
CURRY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTIES AS WELL AS NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...

CAZ080-140900-
/O.NEW.KMFR.FF.A.0007.161214T1200Z-161215T0600Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0009.161214T1200Z-161216T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ETNA...FORT JONES
452 PM PST TUE DEC 13 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM PST WEDNESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...
...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM PST WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE GAP WILDFIRE BURN SCAR.

* FROM 4 AM PST WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* SEVERAL HOURS OF HEAVY RAIN OVER THE BURN SCAR WILL HAVE THE
  POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DEBRIS FLOWS. OF PRIMARY CONCERN ARE U.S.
  FOREST SERVICE ROADS...BAR ROAD...AND HIGHWAY 96 NEAR HORSE
  CREEK.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY.

* FROM 4 AM PST WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON

* 2 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED FROM EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING
  THROUGH THURSDAY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN OVER WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY
  IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT... WHILE
  HEAVY RAIN IN SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY WILL LAST
  FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS HEAVY RAIN WILL
  CAUSE SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS TO RISE RAPIDLY WITH MINOR
  FLOODING POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO CAUSE URBAN FLOODING.
  PILGRIM CREEK AND THE MUD CREEK BASIN COULD BE ESPECIALLY
  SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING. LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS MAY OCCUR
  IN SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES.A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

ORZ021-022-024-028-140900-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0009.161214T0900Z-161215T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PORT ORFORD...BROOKINGS...HARBOR...
GOLD BEACH...CAVE JUNCTION
452 PM PST TUE DEC 13 2016

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM PST WEDNESDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON AND SOUTHWEST OREGON...
  INCLUDING THE SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS...CURRY COUNTY COAST...EASTERN
  CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY AND SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON
  COAST.

* FROM 1 AM PST WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.

* 2 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED FROM EARLY WEDNESDAY 
  MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE 
  SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS TO RISE RAPIDLY WITH MINOR FLOODING 
  POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO CAUSE URBAN FLOODING. 
  LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS MAY OCCUR IN SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES.A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

CAZ081>083-140900-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0009.161214T1200Z-161216T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEED...MOUNT SHASTA...DUNSMUIR...
MCCLOUD...TENNANT
452 PM PST TUE DEC 13 2016

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM PST WEDNESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* SISKIYOU COUNTY.

* FROM 4 AM PST WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

* 2 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED FROM EARLY WEDNESDAY 
  MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN OVER WESTERN 
  SISKIYOU COUNTY IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 
  WEDNESDAY NIGHT... WHILE HEAVY RAIN IN SOUTHERN AND EASTERN 
  SISKIYOU COUNTY WILL LAST FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 
  THURSDAY. THIS HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS 
  TO RISE RAPIDLY WITH MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY RAIN 
  MAY ALSO CAUSE URBAN FLOODING. PILGRIM CREEK AND THE MUD CREEK 
  BASIN COULD BE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING. LANDSLIDES 
  AND DEBRIS FLOWS MAY OCCUR IN SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES.A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

CAZ084-085-140900-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0010.161215T0600Z-161216T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES-MODOC COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ALTURAS
452 PM PST TUE DEC 13 2016

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* MODOC COUNTY.

* FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING.

* 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE IN A 24 HOUR PERIOD FROM
  WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. THIS IS VERY
  UNCOMMON FOR MODOC COUNTY AND MAY CAUSE FLOODING EITHER FROM
  EXCESSIVE RAIN OR POSSIBLE SNOWMELT FROM EARLY WINTER SNOWPACK.
  THIS HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS TO RISE
  RAPIDLY WITH MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO
  CAUSE URBAN FLOODING. LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS MAY OCCUR IN
  SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS.|

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES.A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
004 
WGUS66 KMFR 140857
FFAMFR

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1257 AM PST WED DEC 14 2016

...HEAVY RAIN EXPECTED WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY FOR PORTIONS OF
CURRY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTIES AS WELL AS NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...

CAZ080-150000-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0009.161214T1200Z-161216T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FF.A.0007.161214T1200Z-161215T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ETNA...FORT JONES
1257 AM PST WED DEC 14 2016

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM PST EARLY THIS MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM PST EARLY THIS
MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING...

* A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GAP WILDFIRE BURN
  SCAR.

* FROM 4 AM PST EARLY THIS MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON

* SEVERAL HOURS OF HEAVY RAIN OVER THE BURN SCAR WILL HAVE THE
  POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DEBRIS FLOWS. OF PRIMARY CONCERN ARE U.S.
  FOREST SERVICE ROADS...BAR ROAD...AND HIGHWAY 96 NEAR HORSE
  CREEK. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNT

* FROM 4 AM PST EARLY THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS EVENING

* 2 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED FROM EARLY THIS MORNING
  THROUGH THURSDAY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN OVER WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY
  IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING THROUGH TONIGHT... WHILE HEAVY RAIN IN
  SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY WILL LAST FROM THIS MORNING
  THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE SMALL STREAMS AND
  CREEKS TO RISE RAPIDLY WITH MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY
  RAIN MAY ALSO CAUSE URBAN FLOODING. PILGRIM CREEK AND THE MUD
  CREEK BASIN COULD BE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING.
  LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS MAY OCCUR IN SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES.A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

ORZ021-022-024-028-150000-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0009.161214T0900Z-161215T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PORT ORFORD...BROOKINGS...HARBOR...
GOLD BEACH...CAVE JUNCTION
1257 AM PST WED DEC 14 2016

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

* PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON AND SOUTHWEST OREGON...
  INCLUDING THE SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS...CURRY COUNTY COAST...EASTERN
  CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY AND SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON
  COAST.

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* 2 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED FROM EARLY THIS MORNING
  THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE SMALL STREAMS AND
  CREEKS TO RISE RAPIDLY WITH MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY
  RAIN MAY ALSO CAUSE URBAN FLOODING. LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS
  MAY OCCUR IN SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES.A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

CAZ081>083-150000-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0009.161214T1200Z-161216T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEED...MOUNT SHASTA...DUNSMUIR...
MCCLOUD...TENNANT
1257 AM PST WED DEC 14 2016

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM PST EARLY THIS MORNING
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* SISKIYOU COUNTY. 

* FROM 4 AM PST EARLY THIS MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON

* 2 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED FROM EARLY THIS MORNING
  THROUGH THURSDAY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN OVER WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY
  IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING THROUGH TONIGHT... WHILE HEAVY RAIN IN
  SOUTHERN AND EASTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY WILL LAST FROM THIS MORNING
  THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE SMALL STREAMS AND
  CREEKS TO RISE RAPIDLY WITH MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY
  RAIN MAY ALSO CAUSE URBAN FLOODING. PILGRIM CREEK AND THE MUD
  CREEK BASIN COULD BE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLOODING.
  LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS MAY OCCUR IN SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES.A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

CAZ084-085-150000-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0010.161215T0600Z-161216T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES-MODOC COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ALTURAS
1257 AM PST WED DEC 14 2016

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* MODOC COUNTY.

* THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING

* 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE IN A 24 HOUR PERIOD FROM THIS EVENING
  THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. THIS IS VERY UNCOMMON FOR MODOC COUNTY
  AND MAY CAUSE FLOODING EITHER FROM EXCESSIVE RAIN OR POSSIBLE
  SNOWMELT FROM EARLY WINTER SNOWPACK. THIS HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE
  SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS TO RISE RAPIDLY WITH MINOR FLOODING
  POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO CAUSE URBAN FLOODING.
  LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS MAY OCCUR IN SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS.|


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES.A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
029 
WGUS66 KMFR 141926
FFAMFR

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1126 AM PST WED DEC 14 2016

ORZ026-151200-
/O.EXB.KMFR.FA.A.0009.000000T0000Z-161215T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
JACKSON COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MEDFORD...ASHLAND
1126 AM PST WED DEC 14 2016

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF SOUTHWEST OREGON...
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREA...MOST OF JACKSON COUNTY INCLUDING
  MEDFORD AND ASHLAND.

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT, WITH A
  BREAK EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND A RETURN TO HEAVY RAIN THIS
  EVENING. PONDING OF ROADWAYS IS LIKELY. THIS HEAVY RAIN IS
  CAUSING SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS TO RISE RAPIDLY WITH MINOR
  FLOODING POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO CAUSE URBAN FLOODING.
  LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS MAY OCCUR IN SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU COME ACROSS A FLOODED ROADWAY...FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE.
TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN.

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES.A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

ORZ021-022-024-028-151200-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FA.A.0009.000000T0000Z-161215T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PORT ORFORD...BROOKINGS...HARBOR...
GOLD BEACH...GRANTS PASS...CAVE JUNCTION...SISKIYOU SUMMIT
1126 AM PST WED DEC 14 2016

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST OREGON TO INCLUDE CURRY AND JOSEPHINE
  COUNTIES.

* THROUGH LATE TONIGHT

* 2 TO 5 ADDITIONAL INCHES OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.
  HALF INCH PER HOUR RAINFALL RATES ARE EXPECTED. PONDING OF
  ROADWAYS IS LIKELY. THIS HEAVY RAIN IS CAUSING SMALL STREAMS
  AND CREEKS TO RISE RAPIDLY WITH MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE. THE
  HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO CAUSE URBAN FLOODING. LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS
  FLOWS MAY OCCUR IN SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU COME ACROSS A FLOODED ROADWAY...FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE.
TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN.

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES.A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

CAZ084-085-151215-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FA.A.0010.161215T1200Z-161216T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES-MODOC COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ALTURAS
1126 AM PST WED DEC 14 2016

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...MODOC COUNTY AND NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST 
  MODOC COUNTIES. 

* FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING

* 1 INCH OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE IN AN 18 HOUR PERIOD FROM LATE
  TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. THIS IS VERY UNCOMMON FOR
  MODOC COUNTY AND MAY CAUSE FLOODING EITHER FROM EXCESSIVE RAIN
  OR POSSIBLE SNOWMELT OF EARLY SEASON SNOWPACK. THIS HEAVY RAIN
  WILL CAUSE SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS TO RISE RAPIDLY WITH MINOR
  FLOODING POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO CAUSE URBAN FLOODING.
  LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS MAY OCCUR IN SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS.|

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU COME ACROSS A FLOODED ROADWAY...FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE.
TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN.

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES.A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

CAZ080-151215-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0009.000000T0000Z-161216T0000Z/
/O.CON.KMFR.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-161215T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ETNA...FORT JONES
1126 AM PST WED DEC 14 2016

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS
EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREA...WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY. 

* THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON

* 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY
  AFTERNOON. THIS MAY CAUSE FLOODING EITHER FROM EXCESSIVE RAIN OR
  POSSIBLE SNOWMELT OF EARLY SEASON SNOWPACK. THIS HEAVY RAIN IS
  CAUSING SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS TO RISE RAPIDLY WITH MINOR
  FLOODING POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO CAUSE URBAN FLOODING.
  LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS MAY OCCUR IN SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS.|

* GAP FIRE WILDFIRE BURN SCAR FLOODING: SEVERAL HOURS OF HEAVY
  RAIN OVER THE GAP WILDFIRE BURN SCAR WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
  PRODUCE DEBRIS FLOWS. OF PRIMARY CONCERN ARE U.S. FOREST SERVICE
  ROADS...BAR ROAD...AND HIGHWAY 96 NEAR HORSE CREEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

IF YOU COME ACROSS A FLOODED ROADWAY...FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE.
TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN.

&&

$$

CAZ081>083-151215-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0009.000000T0000Z-161216T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEED...MOUNT SHASTA...DUNSMUIR...
MCCLOUD...TENNANT
1126 AM PST WED DEC 14 2016

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY...NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST 
  SISKIYOU COUNTY AND SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY. 

* THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON

* 1 TO 3 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY.
  THIS HEAVY RAIN IS CAUSING SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS TO RISE
  RAPIDLY WITH MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO
  CAUSE URBAN FLOODING. PILGRIM CREEK AND THE MUD CREEK BASIN ON
  THE SOUTH SIDE OF MOUNT SHASTA COULD BE ESPECIALLY SUSCEPTIBLE
  TO FLOODING. LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS MAY OCCUR IN
  SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES.A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

SK
164 
WGUS66 KMFR 151154
FFAMFR

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
354 AM PST THU DEC 15 2016


ORZ021-022-024-026-028-152000-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FA.A.0009.000000T0000Z-161215T2000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY-JACKSON COUNTY-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PORT ORFORD...BROOKINGS...HARBOR...
GOLD BEACH...GRANTS PASS...CAVE JUNCTION...MEDFORD...ASHLAND...
SISKIYOU SUMMIT
354 AM PST THU DEC 15 2016

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PST TODAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEDFORD HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON PST TODAY

THE FLOOD WATCH IS STILL IN EFFECT FOR

* PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON AND SOUTHWEST OREGON...
  INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON...
  SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES. IN SOUTHWEST
  OREGON...CURRY COUNTY COAST...EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE
  COUNTY...JACKSON COUNTY AND SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST. 

* UP TO AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF RAIN ARE EXPECTED THIS
  MORNING...ESPECIALLY IN JACKSON COUNTY WHERE STEADY RAIN IS
  EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST MID MORNING. ELSEWHERE RAIN HAS ENDED,
  BUT FLOODING ON STREAMS AND CREEKS ARE STILL POSSIBLE UNTIL LATE
  THIS MORNING. PONDING OF ROADWAYS IS LIKELY. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY
  ALSO CAUSE URBAN FLOODING. LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS MAY OCCUR
  IN SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU COME ACROSS A FLOODED ROADWAY...FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE.
TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN.

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES.A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

CAZ080>083-152000-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0009.000000T0000Z-161216T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY-CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ETNA...FORT JONES...WEED...
MOUNT SHASTA...DUNSMUIR...MCCLOUD...TENNANT
354 AM PST THU DEC 15 2016

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY...NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST 
  SISKIYOU COUNTY...SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY AND WESTERN 
  SISKIYOU COUNTY. 

* THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON

* 1 TO 2 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
  THIS MAY CAUSE FLOODING EITHER FROM EXCESSIVE RAIN OR POSSIBLE
  SNOWMELT OF EARLY SEASON SNOWPACK. THIS HEAVY RAIN IS CAUSING
  SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS TO RISE RAPIDLY WITH MINOR FLOODING
  POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY ALSO CAUSE URBAN FLOODING.
  LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS MAY OCCUR IN SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS.|

* GAP FIRE WILDFIRE BURN SCAR FLOODING: SEVERAL HOURS OF HEAVY 
  RAIN OVER THE GAP WILDFIRE BURN SCAR WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL 
  TO PRODUCE DEBRIS FLOWS. OF PRIMARY CONCERN ARE U.S. FOREST 
  SERVICE ROADS...BAR ROAD...AND HIGHWAY 96 NEAR HORSE CREEK. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

IF YOU COME ACROSS A FLOODED ROADWAY...FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE.
TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN.

&&

$$

CAZ084-085-152000-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0010.161215T1200Z-161216T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES-MODOC COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ALTURAS
354 AM PST THU DEC 15 2016

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...MODOC COUNTY AND NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST 
  MODOC COUNTIES. 

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* UP TO AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE INTO THIS EVENING.
  THIS IS VERY UNCOMMON FOR MODOC COUNTY AND MAY CAUSE FLOODING
  EITHER FROM EXCESSIVE RAIN OR POSSIBLE SNOWMELT OF EARLY SEASON
  SNOWPACK. THIS HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS TO
  RISE RAPIDLY WITH MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY
  ALSO CAUSE URBAN FLOODING. LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS MAY OCCUR
  IN SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS.|


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU COME ACROSS A FLOODED ROADWAY...FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE.
TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN.

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES.A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

PETRUCELLI
713 
WGUS66 KMFR 152005
FFAMFR

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
1205 PM PST THU DEC 15 2016

CAZ080-152115-
/O.CAN.KMFR.FA.A.0009.000000T0000Z-161216T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY-
1205 PM PST THU DEC 15 2016

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR WESTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY IN NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

RAIN HAS MOSTLY ENDED IN THE AREA, AND NO ADDITIONAL AREAS OF
FLOODING ARE EXPECTED.

$$

ORZ021-022-024-026-028-152115-
/O.EXP.KMFR.FA.A.0009.000000T0000Z-161215T2000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON COAST-CURRY COUNTY COAST-
EASTERN CURRY COUNTY AND JOSEPHINE COUNTY-JACKSON COUNTY-
SISKIYOU MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN OREGON CASCADES-
1205 PM PST THU DEC 15 2016

...FLOOD WATCH HAS EXPIRED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON AND
SOUTHWEST OREGON HAS EXPIRED. 

RAIN HAS MOSTLY ENDED IN THE AREA, AND NO ADDITIONAL AREAS OF
FLOODING ARE EXPECTED.

A FLOOD ADVISORY CONTINUES FOR AREAS OF JOSEPHINE AND JACKSON
COUNTY FOR HIGH CREEK AND STREAM LEVELS AND URBAN FLOODING.

$$

CAZ081>083-160200-
/O.EXT.KMFR.FA.A.0009.000000T0000Z-161216T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEED...MOUNT SHASTA...DUNSMUIR...
MCCLOUD...TENNANT
1205 PM PST THU DEC 15 2016

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM PST THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR

* A PORTION OF EASTERN SISKIYOU COUNTY IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA.

* UNTIL 6 PM PST THIS EVENING.

* ABOUT A HALF INCH OF ADDITIONAL RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
  AFTERNOON. FLOODING IS STILL POSSIBLE FROM EITHER RECENT HEAVY
  RAINS OR POSSIBLE SNOWMELT OF EARLY SEASON SNOWPACK. SMALL
  STREAMS AND CREEKS ARE SWOLLEN BUT SHOULD START LOWERING THIS
  EVENING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

IF YOU COME ACROSS A FLOODED ROADWAY...FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE.
TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN.

&&

$$

CAZ084-085-160600-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0010.000000T0000Z-161216T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES-MODOC COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ALTURAS
1205 PM PST THU DEC 15 2016

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* MUCH OF MODOC COUNTY IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA.

* UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING

* UP TO AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE INTO THIS EVENING.
  THIS IS UNCOMMON FOR MODOC COUNTY AND MAY CAUSE FLOODING EITHER
  FROM EXCESSIVE RAIN OR POSSIBLE SNOWMELT OF EARLY SEASON
  SNOWPACK. THIS HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS TO
  RISE RAPIDLY WITH MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY
  ALSO CAUSE URBAN FLOODING. LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS MAY OCCUR
  IN SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU COME ACROSS A FLOODED ROADWAY...FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE.
TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN.

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES.A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$
704 
WGUS66 KMFR 160222
FFAMFR

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
622 PM PST THU DEC 15 2016

CAZ081>083-160330-
/O.EXP.KMFR.FA.A.0009.000000T0000Z-161216T0200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-SOUTH CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY-
NORTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEED...MOUNT SHASTA...DUNSMUIR...
MCCLOUD...TENNANT
622 PM PST THU DEC 15 2016

...FLOOD WATCH HAS EXPIRED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR CENTRAL SISKIYOU COUNTY IN NORTHERN
CALIFORNIA HAS EXPIRED.


$$

CAZ084-085-160600-
/O.CON.KMFR.FA.A.0010.000000T0000Z-161216T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
NORTHEAST SISKIYOU AND NORTHWEST MODOC COUNTIES-MODOC COUNTY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...ALTURAS
622 PM PST THU DEC 15 2016

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF NORTHERN CALIFORNIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
  AREAS...MODOC COUNTY AND NORTHEAST SISKIYOU COUNTY. 

* UNTIL 10 PM PST THIS EVENING

* UP TO AN ADDITIONAL INCH OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE INTO THIS EVENING.
  THIS IS UNCOMMON FOR MODOC COUNTY AND MAY CAUSE FLOODING EITHER
  FROM EXCESSIVE RAIN OR POSSIBLE SNOWMELT OF EARLY SEASON
  SNOWPACK. THIS HEAVY RAIN WILL CAUSE SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS TO
  RISE RAPIDLY WITH MINOR FLOODING POSSIBLE. THE HEAVY RAIN MAY
  ALSO CAUSE URBAN FLOODING. LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS MAY OCCUR
  IN SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF YOU COME ACROSS A FLOODED ROADWAY...FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE.
TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN.

LANDSLIDES AND DEBRIS FLOWS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THIS FLOOD EVENT.
PEOPLE...STRUCTURES AND ROADS LOCATED BELOW STEEP SLOPES...IN
CANYONS AND NEAR THE MOUTHS OF CANYONS MAY BE A SERIOUS RISK FROM
RAPIDLY MOVING LANDSLIDES.A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE
FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Medford, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Dec 13, 9:46 AM PST, 5 hours 44 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 13, 9:46 AM PST, 5 hours 44 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Medford OR
946 AM PST Tue Dec 13 2016

.AVIATION...13/18Z TAF CYCLE...Stratus in the west side valleys
will burn off to VFR by around noon today and that continues
into early evening. Elsewhere, VFR conditions will continue into
the evening. A strong warm front will bring light to moderate rain
to the west side terminals from south to north starting late this
evening and continuing through the remainder of the TAF period.
Cigs/Vis are expected to be generally MVFR although conditions may
worsen tomorrow morning as a cold front begins to push in as well.
On the east side, snow will spread in with similar timing. Flight
conditions are likely to be much worse as a result with IFR to
LIFR Cigs/Vis likely to develop after midnight, including at KLMT,
and significant snow accumulations by dawn Wednesday. Snow will
change to rain from south to north late morning tomorrow. -Wright

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 856 AM PST Tue Dec 13 2016/

DISCUSSION...A relatively quiet weather day today will precede
about two days of high-impact, fairly complex weather, arriving
tonight. A warm front will overrun lingering cold air tonight
and bring snow to most mountain and East Side areas tonight. A
changeover to rain is expected most areas Wednesday morning. Heavy
rain will impact much of the area on Wednesday as snow levels rise
and a plume of moisture, originating from the tropics, surges into
the forecast area. Winds will become strong too on Wednesday over
mountains, portions of Northern California, and the East Side. A
cold front will push south and east out of the forecast area
Thursday, bringing an end to the precipitation and ushering in a
colder, drier period of weather.

We'll be refining the forecast today, focusing on the high-impact
weather through Thursday night.

Please see the previous discussion below which highlights some
hazard products we have issued for the heavy snow, high wind, and
heavy rain.

MARINE...Updated 200 AM PST Tuesday 13 December 2016...Winds and
seas will remain below advisory criteria today. Our next attention
will be late tonight through Wednesday afternoon. A frontal
boundary is expected to move towards the area later this evening
bringing steady precipitation. The models are in pretty good
agreement showing a surface low developing along the frontal
boundary late tonight. However they differ with respect to the
strength and track of the surface low. This is especially
important because it could make a difference between having gale
force winds over the southern waters or nothing at all. The NAM
and ECMWF show a slightly stronger surface low while the GFS is
weaker. The 0z NAM run tracked the surface low far enough north
where the southern waters could get impacted by gales for at least
6 hours. Now the 6z run tracks the surface low further south, so
it remains to be seen if future runs will continue to show this.
The above reasoning leads to low confidence of upgrading the gale
watch to a warning. So for now we'll leave the watch as is and let
the day shift have another look at this. Taking the 6z NAM at face
value would put borderline gale conditions from Brookings south.
Any south winds will quickly shift north as the surface low moves
inland Wednesday afternoon and night, but should remain below
small craft. Note, even with a further south track of the surface
low, fresh south swell could still sneak into the southern waters
Wednesday evening and night. -Petrucelli

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 425 AM PST Tue Dec 13 2016/

SHORT TERM...A very moist warm front will approach the area from
the southwest today then gradually move inland tonight and
Wednesday. Moderate to heavy precipitation is expected with this
warm front. Heavy snow is possible from the Cascades east in
Southern Oregon. Near the coast and into western Siskiyou County,
heavy rain is expected tonight through Wednesday.  A surface low
will track into the extreme southwest Oregon coast by Wednesday
afternoon and will bring a cold front across the area Wednesday
night into Thursday with additional precipitation. Strong gusty
winds are also expected ahead of and with the cold front passage
for locations in the mountains and in the Summer Lake area
Wednesday and Wednesday night.

The 06z and 00z model runs have come into better agreement with
the track of the low and the timing of a warm front moving into
the area tonight and Wednesday, followed by a cold front moving
across the area Wednesday night into Thursday. Models show a plume
of moisture with precipitable water around 1.0 to 1.3 inches
moving into the Northern California and Curry County coasts
tonight into Wednesday. This warm and moist airmass will spread
inland inland tonight into Wednesday bringing overrunning
precipitation to the area. Ahead of this front, expect relatively
cold air in place with snow levels of around 2500 to 3500 ft
elevation in Southern Oregon and around 4000 to 5000 ft elevation
in Northern California. Snow levels are expected to rise
Wednesday morning and afternoon as the warm front lifts northward
into Southern Oregon. Snow levels will rise to 6000 to 7000+ feet
elevation on Wednesday but may remain lower over far northern
Klamath and Lake Counties.

With snow levels starting out low and moderate to heavy
precipitation associated with the front, expect significant
snowfall accumulations in portions of the Southern Oregon
Cascades and east side tonight and Wednesday. Snow is expected to
begin late this evening and tonight and is forecast to become
heavy by Wednesday morning. Snowfall rates up to 1 inch per hour
are possible in the Southern Oregon Cascades and across much of
Klamath and Lake counties Wednesday morning. This will bring
significant impacts these areas. Heavy snowfall may continue over
northern Klamath and northern Lake counties Wednesday afternoon.
However, expect snow levels to rise quickly Wednesday afternoon to
around 6000 feet or more over southern portions of Klamath and
Lake counties. Blowing snow and near whiteout conditions are
possible on Wednesday, especially in the Southern Oregon Cascades,
in the mountains above 6000 feet east of the Cascades and in the
Summer Lake area as strong gusty winds combine with snowfall. By
Wednesday evening expect most areas to transition to rain with
snow levels around 6000 to 7000 feet. However, areas near Fort
Rock and Chemult may see continued lower snow levels around 4500
to 5000 feet.

A winter storm watch is in effect for the Southern Oregon Cascades
and areas to the east in Klamath and Lake counties. See the WSWMFR
for details.

Wednesday night and Thursday, a cold front will gradually
move inland. Models are showing a strong 700 mb jet with southwest
winds of 65 to 75 kt moving across the area ahead of this front.
So expect south winds to increase and become strong and gusty
over the mountains and into portions of the east side, especially
near the Summer Lake area. A high wind watch has been issued for
late Wednesday afternoon and Wednesday night for these areas. See
the NPWMFR for details.

Also of concern will be the potential for heavy rainfall in
southwestern portions of the area, mainly in Curry and southern
Josephine counties as well as in western and southern Siskiyou
County. Current forecasts call for 3 to 4.5 inches of
precipitation tonight through Thursday over these areas. Heaviest
rain across Curry, Josephine and Western Siskiyou counties is
expected tonight through Wednesday night. In the Southern Siskiyou
county area near Mount Shasta moderate to heavy precipitation is
expected tonight through Thursday. Precipitation may begin as
snow, especially above 4500 feet tonight then transition to rain
as snow levels rise to 6000+ feet Wednesday morning. Heaviest
precipitation is expected in the Mount Shasta area from Wednesday
morning through at least Thursday morning...with moderate rain and
snow showers possible Thursday afternoon and evening.

As the front moves east Thursday afternoon and evening, expect
decreased precipitation for areas west of the Cascades with many
Areas transitioning to isolated or scattered showers. East of the
Cascades, precipitation is expected to decrease by Thursday
evening in Klamath county and by late Thursday night in Lake,
Modoc and eastern Siskiyou counties.

PREV LONG TERM DISCUSSION... /Issued 100 PM PST Mon Dec 12 2016/

Long term...Friday through Monday. The deterministic models and
associated ensembles are in pretty good agreement in the extended
period, and this leads to above average confidence in the overall
pattern, but relatively lower confidence in some specifics. The
period of Friday through Monday could generally be characterized
as chilly and more than likely dry, but with just enough potential
to keep an eye on.

The majority of the precipitation from the mid week system will be
off to our east by Friday. However, the upper trough axis will be
moving through early Friday, and the combination of low snow levels
and residual shower activity could lead to isolated impacts from
snow over the lower elevations. Given that this is 5 days off,
confidence in any specifics is low, but it's worth watching the
tail end of this departing system.

Snow levels will be down near sea level on Saturday, and models are
hinting at a weak shortwave moving through the flow. This could also
give us some snow showers at low elevations, but again, it's way to
far off to get specific. Sunday is the day most likely to be dry,
but there may be a system coming down the PacNW coast that could
bring some rain to the north coast and Umpqua basin by day's end.
Snow levels will be rising, so snow is less of a concern over lower
elevations by Sunday. Snow levels rise further Monday and really
jump up Monday night as a fairly juicy warm front arrives from the
west. -Wright

&&

.MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...High Wind Watch from Wednesday afternoon through late Wednesday
     night for ORZ030-031.
     Winter Storm Watch from this evening through Wednesday afternoon
     for ORZ029>031.
     Winter Storm Watch from this evening through Wednesday afternoon
     for ORZ027-028.

CA...High Wind Watch from Wednesday afternoon through late Wednesday
     night for CAZ085.

Pacific Coastal Waters...Gale Watch from Wednesday afternoon through
     late Wednesday night for PZZ356-376.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Medford, OR issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 12, 4:56 PM PSTFrost AdvisoryMFRCoos, Curry, Douglas16 hr
Dec 12, 6:56 PM PSTGale WatchMFR20 hr
Dec 13, 3:19 AM PSTHigh Wind WatchMFRKlamath, Lake10 hr
Dec 13, 1:42 PM PSTHigh Wind WarningMFRKlamath, Lake41 hr
Dec 13, 1:42 PM PSTWind AdvisoryMFRKlamath, Lake41 hr
Dec 13, 2:43 PM PSTWinter Storm WarningMFRDouglas, Jackson, Josephine, Klamath, Lake25 hr
Dec 13, 2:43 PM PSTWinter Weather AdvisoryMFRDouglas, Jackson, Josephine, Klamath, Lake19 hr
Dec 13, 3:08 PM PSTSmall Craft AdvisoryMFR31 hr
Dec 13, 3:08 PM PSTSmall Craft Advisory for Hazardous SeasMFR24 hr
Dec 13, 3:30 PM PSTFlood WatchMFRModoc, Siskiyou55 hr

Nearby

Flood Watches in Oregon, 2016Flood Watches in California, 2016Every flood watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.