Special Weather Statement, NWS Miami, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
525 PM EDT Thu Oct 6 2016

...MAJOR HURRICANE MATTHEW CONTINUES TO IMPACT SOUTH FLORIDA...

.DISCUSSION...

Major hurricane Matthew continues to poss northwestward across
the northwest Bahamas late this afternoon. For the short term,
there could be eye wall fluctuations with changes in intensity,
occasionally weakening but periods of strengthening are possible
as well. Expansions in the wind field may be possible as well.

Hurricane Matthew is expected to move near the Palm Beach county
coast this evening into tonight while remaining a major hurricane,
with the continuing local impacts of winds, storm surge and
extremely hazardous marine candidness. Flooding is also possible
with a Flood Watch in effect for Palm Beach county, where
significant rainfall may lead to local flooding.

As of the 500 PM update from the National Hurricane Center, no
changes were made to the watches and warnings currently in effect
for South Florida and regional coastal waters, including Lake
Okeechobee. Changes to the local watches, warnings and local
impacts may change tonight with additional updates from the
National Hurricane Center forecasts. Continue to monitor products
from the National Hurricane center and updated products from the
National Weather Service in Miami.

Matthew continues to be a dangerous hurricane and will have
significant local impacts, regardless of the exact track. The
primary impacts include wind, storm surge, locally heavy rainfall,
isolated tornadoes, and dangerous marine conditions. For specific
information on potential impacts consult the Hurricane Local
Statement (HLS) product and Hurricane Threats and Impacts graphics
online.

Forecast for the weekend...As hurricane Matthew continues to track northward
of the region on Saturday, regional winds are forecast to
continue decreasing and southwesterly about 10 to 15 knots.
Lingering deep moisture is expected with a chance of isolated to
scattered showers and thunderstorms. A clearing trend is forecast
on Sunday with relatively drier air forecast to move into the
region.

&&

.AVIATION...

Major hurricane Matthew continues to track northwest into the
northwest Bahamas with a strengthening trend possible. Bands of
showers will continue to impact the Atlantic coast terminals,
with brief periods of near IFR conditions possible with the
heaviest bands of showers. As the day progresses, winds and ceiling
and visibility restrictions will continue to deteriorate with
periods of IFR conditions likely. Latest forecast trends indicate
hurricane Matthew is expected to move near the Palm Beach county
coast late this evening and tonight while remaining a major
hurricane.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
West Palm Beach  79  87  77  91 / 100  60  30  30
Fort Lauderdale  74  87  77  90 /  90  60  30  30
Miami            75  88  78  91 /  80  60  30  30
Naples           79  84  80  86 /  60  70  40  20

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Tropical Storm Warning for FLZ063-066-070-073>075-173-174.

     Hurricane Warning for FLZ067-068-071-072-168-172.

     Tropical Storm Watch for FLZ069.

     Flood Watch through Friday afternoon for FLZ067-068-168.

AM...Tropical Storm Warning for AMZ630.

     Hurricane Warning for AMZ610-650-651-670-671.

GM...Tropical Storm Watch for GMZ656-657-676.

&&

DISCUSSION...60/BD
MARINE...60/BD
AVIATION...60/BD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
521 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
070930-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
EXCLUDING THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI-DADE-METRO MIAMI-DADE-
MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI-
DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI-DADE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
521 PM EDT THU OCT 6 2016

...HURRICANE MATTHEW SKIRTING THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA...
...HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

HURRICANE MATTHEW WILL AFFECT SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH FRIDAY. FOR
MORE INFORMATION ON THE IMPACTS FROM MATTHEW, REFER TO THE
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN MIAMI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE LOCAL GULF AND ATLANTIC
WATERS INTO THE WEEKEND. SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION AND HAZARDOUS RIP
CURRENTS ARE LIKELY AT THE BEACHES THROUGH THE WEEKEND. DEPENDING ON
THE EXACT TRACK OF HURRICANE MATTHEW AND TROPICAL STORM NICOLE,
ANOTHER PERIOD OF HAZARDOUS MARINE AND BEACH CONDITIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS HAVE BEEN ACTIVATED FOR TODAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

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