Special Weather Statement, NWS Miami, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
125 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

.AVIATION...Seabreezes have developed and pushed inland on both
coasts with the occasional shra/tsra, mainly along east coast.
Based on current satellite/radar trends, have removed VCTS from
KFXE-KFLL- KOPF-KMIA where the seabreeze is quieter and has pushed
well west. VCTS remains for KPBI, where there is ongoing
convection as the seabreeze interacts with the Lake Okeechobee
breeze, and for KTMB, both through 20Z-21Z. Have also removed VCTS
mention for KAPF as seabreeze is less active and already inland of
site. Ongoing convection will focus over interior after 20Z.
Seabreeze circulations collapse after 30/02Z with light and
variable winds overnight. Similar pattern to today on Monday.
/ALM

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 946 AM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016/

UPDATE...No great revelations with the morning sounding as all
parameters continue to point towards a typical late spring/early
summertime pattern across the region. With no strong synoptic
forcing in place, steering flow is fairly light, allowing for both
seabreezes to develop and move inland early this afternoon. PWATS
are near normal, and temperatures aloft are on the cool side of
normal. All of this points to scattered showers and storms into
the afternoon hours lead by the seabreezes.

For the Gulf coast: Expect the seabreeze to get going early this
afternoon with most storms developing inland from the coastal
areas.

For the east coast: Cu is already developing, bringing the
possibility for a shower or two late this morning before the east
coast seabreeze gets going and better shower and storm chances
shift over the western metro and eventually the interior.

Lightning will be the main concern with ANY storms that develop.
Slow movement may bring some locally heavy rainfall, but this is
more likely out over the interior Everglades. /ALM

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 347 AM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016/

SYNOPSIS...Typical summer will dominate the week, with warm
temperatures and diurnal showers and thunderstorms focusing over
interior sections of the state.

SHORT TERM /Sunday through Tuesday/...Quiet conditions have
prevailed overnight, with modest drainage flow and only a few
clouds. Dry conditions will most likely prevail through the
morning, before sea-breeze boundaries develop and push inland.
Showers and thunderstorms, scattered in nature, are expected to
form along these boundaries, mostly likely over or inland of the
western suburbs of the east coast metropolitan areas (and eastern
sections of Naples metropolitan area). Similar evolution of
convection is expected Memorial Day, with perhaps a slight
reduction in overall coverage of convection. By Tuesday, slightly
drier air moves in, and afternoon rain chances diminish further.

Temperatures through early week will remain near or just slightly
above average. Maxima should be upper 80s to near 90 degrees over
all metropolitan areas, with some low 90s over interior sections
of South Florida.  Minima will be in the 70s.

Moderate risk of rip currents will prevail on Palm Beach County
beaches today due to easterly wind. Lighter wind on Memorial Day
may reduce this threat.

LONG TERM /Tuesday night through Saturday/...
Little in the way of synoptic features to change overall weather
pattern or focus rain/thunderstorm chances through the week. A
weak deep-layer trough over the southeastern United States will
support diurnal convection over the interior, with only low
chances along the coasts through Thursday. Moisture will gradually
increase through the period, leading to better rain chances at
week's end.

MARINE... Winds and seas will generally remain well below
hazardous levels through the week. Although a few afternoon
thunderstorms cant be ruled out along the immediate Gulf and
Atlantic coasts, Lake Okeechobee will have the greatest risk for
hazardous thunderstorms early this week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
West Palm Beach  73  87  73  89 /  10  10  10  10
Fort Lauderdale  75  88  75  89 /  20  20  10  10
Miami            76  89  75  90 /  10  30  10  20
Naples           72  88  72  88 /  10  30  10  20

&&

.MFL Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...None.
AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1034 AM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-GMZ656-657-676-
300000-
LAKE OKEECHOBEE-BISCAYNE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM JUPITER INLET TO DEERFIELD BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DEERFIELD BEACH TO OCEAN REEF FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM
EXCLUDING THE TERRITORIAL WATERS OF BAHAMAS-GLADES-HENDRY-
INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-INLAND COLLIER-
INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI-DADE-METRO MIAMI-DADE-
MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI-
DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI-DADE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO CHOKOLOSKEE FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM CHOKOLOSKEE TO BONITA BEACH FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
1034 AM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER INTERIOR THIS AFTERNOON...
...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT PALM BEACH COUNTY BEACHES...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP JUST INLAND
FROM THE COASTS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON, BECOMING SCATTERED OVER THE
INTERIOR THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. THE
PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
STRIKES.

RIP CURRENTS: THERE WILL BE A MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS ALONG
THE PALM BEACH COUNTY BEACHES TODAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY...MAINLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON HOURS OVER INTERIOR SOUTH FLORIDA. THE PRIMARY THREAT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIGHTNING STRIKES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
213 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

FLZ067-068-071-072-291915-
INLAND PALM BEACH COUNTY FL-INLAND BROWARD COUNTY FL-
METRO BROWARD COUNTY FL-METRO PALM BEACH COUNTY FL-
213 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE
LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL AND 45 TO 55 MPH WINDS FOR CENTRAL PALM BEACH
COUNTY UNTIL 315 PM EDT...

* AT 213 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
  THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF
  NORTH COUNTY AIRPORT TO NEAR LOXAHATCHEE NWR. THESE STORMS WERE
  NEARLY STATIONARY.

* FREQUENT TO EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS FROM 45 TO 55 MPH...
  SMALL HAIL...TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS...OR A COMBINATION OF THESE ARE
  POSSIBLE. LIGHTNING IS THE NUMBER ONE WEATHER RELATED KILLER IN
  FLORIDA. TREES AND OPEN SHELTERS OFFER NO PROTECTION. THESE WINDS
  CAN DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BRANCHES...AND BLOW AROUND UNSECURED
  SMALL OBJECTS. SEEK SHELTER IN A SAFE BUILDING UNTIL THE STORM
  PASSES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WEST PALM BEACH...WELLINGTON...PALM BEACH GARDENS...
  ROYAL PALM BEACH...PARKLAND...LION COUNTRY SAFARI PARK...
  LOXAHATCHEE NWR...THE ACREAGE...LOXAHATCHEE GROVES...MISSION BAY...
  NORTH COUNTY AIRPORT...WHISPER WALK...HAMPTONS AT BOCA RATON...
  SANDALFOOT COVE...JUPITER FARMS...
  SOUTH COUNTY REGIONAL PARK AND CALOOSA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO STREET FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 2634 8019 2630 8047 2696 8052 2696 8020
TIME...MOT...LOC 1813Z 006DEG 1KT 2696 8032 2649 8028

ALM