Severe Thunderstorm Warning 173, NWS Memphis, TN

676 
WWUS54 KMEG 261637
SVSMEG

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1137 AM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

MSC017-261647-
/O.CAN.KMEG.SV.W.0173.000000T0000Z-160826T1700Z/
CHICKASAW MS-
1137 AM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN CHICKASAW COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE...THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3419 8937 3436 8911 3411 8896 3407 8902
      3407 8914 3402 8914
TIME...MOT...LOC 1637Z 142DEG 7KT 3415 8913 

$$

MSC013-071-115-261700-
/O.CON.KMEG.SV.W.0173.000000T0000Z-160826T1700Z/
LAFAYETTE MS-CALHOUN MS-PONTOTOC MS-
1137 AM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN LAFAYETTE...NORTHEASTERN CALHOUN AND WESTERN PONTOTOC
COUNTIES...

AT 1137 AM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER
RANDOLPH...OR 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PONTOTOC...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10
MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PONTOTOC...RANDOLPH...THAXTON...ALGOMA...TOCCOPOLA...ROBBS...
PANNELL...WALLFIELD...SPRINGVILLE...BUCHANNAN AND MATTHEWS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3419 8937 3436 8911 3411 8896 3407 8902
      3407 8914 3402 8914
TIME...MOT...LOC 1637Z 142DEG 7KT 3415 8913 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

300 
WWUS54 KMEG 261655
SVSMEG

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1155 AM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

MSC013-071-115-261705-
/O.EXP.KMEG.SV.W.0173.000000T0000Z-160826T1700Z/
LAFAYETTE MS-CALHOUN MS-PONTOTOC MS-
1155 AM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN LAFAYETTE...
NORTHEASTERN CALHOUN AND WESTERN PONTOTOC COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT
NOON CDT...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE...THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER GUSTY
WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3419 8937 3436 8911 3411 8896 3407 8902
      3407 8914 3402 8914
TIME...MOT...LOC 1653Z 142DEG 7KT 3415 8913 

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
924 AM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

.UPDATE...
Updated to increase morning rain chances

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Eastern fringe of moist axis surging north through Arkansas will
continue to produce scattered showers across the far northwest
Midsouth counties through 1pm. Have increased pops for late this
morning in this area. Rainfall amounts of up to an inch and half
have fallen over western portions of Randolph county. Localized
flash flooding may become a concern with the training convection.

Elsewhere...patchy mid and high clouds combined with developing
cumulus and later day convection will keep heat indices lower
today as compared to yesterday.

JAB

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 603 AM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016/

DISCUSSION... /issued 347 AM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016/

Primarily a persistence forecast through the next several days,
as the Midsouth remains under the western portion of a 595DM 500MB
height ridge centered over southern Appalachia.

Daytime convective inhibition will remain weak west of the MS
River today and Saturday, nearer the periphery of the midlevel
ridge. Further east, NAM Bufr for Tupelo depicted 700mb temps
still a relatively cool 7-8C, with only weak capping around 850mb.
Inverted-V type soundings suggest some gusty wind potential with
any of the stronger thunderstorms today and Saturday. Given the
weak shear, storms should diminish toward early/mid evening.

GFS and ECMWF retrograde the upper ridge center to the southern
plains by early next week, with limited rain chances and
continued above normal temps for the Midsouth. By the mid to late
portion of next week, the upper ridge will amplify through the
central and northern plains in response to deep upstream height
falls along the west coast. Closer to home, weak northwest flow
will prevail over the middle and southern MS River valley, with a
weak cold frontal passage possibly bringing daytime temps down
near normal by mid to late week.

PWB

&&

.AVIATION...

12Z TAF Set

VFR conditions are generally expected over the next 24 hours.
Although, diurnal convection will develop after 16Z. Thus, cannot
rule out a thunderstorm hitting one of the four TAF sites.
Convection should die out by 1Z. Some patchy fog may develop after
6Z at KMKL and KTUP. Light easterly winds are expected through the
day.

KRM

&&

.MEG Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
306 AM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-271015-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-
COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-
DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-
HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-
LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-
PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-
TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
306 AM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM LATE MORNING
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. STRONG WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY
OCCUR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY DURING THE
AFTERNOON PERIODS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

PWB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
829 AM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

ARZ008-017-261415-
RANDOLPH AR-LAWRENCE AR-
829 AM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 915 AM CDT FOR...

RANDOLPH COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...
NORTHWESTERN LAWRENCE COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...

AT 829 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR
LARGER AND WINDS AT LEAST 40 MPH WAS LOCATED NEAR POCAHONTAS.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

PEOPLE IN RANDOLPH AND NORTHWESTERN LAWRENCE COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR
THIS STORM CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3650 9080 3611 9092 3611 9135 3623 9135
      3623 9133 3624 9133 3624 9126 3633 9126
      3633 9128 3637 9128 3637 9129 3639 9129
      3639 9131 3642 9131 3642 9135 3647 9136
      3648 9140 3649 9141 3650 9141
TIME...MOT...LOC 1329Z 218DEG 14KT 3629 9103

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
959 AM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

ARZ008-261530-
RANDOLPH AR-
959 AM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 1030 AM CDT FOR...

NORTHEASTERN RANDOLPH COUNTY IN EASTERN ARKANSAS...

AT 959 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR
LARGER AND WINDS AT LEAST 40 MPH WAS LOCATED NEAR MAYNARD...OR 9
MILES SOUTH OF DONIPHAN.

VERY HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN RANDOLPH COUNTY SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM
CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3649 9077 3644 9078 3643 9077 3643 9078
      3642 9076 3642 9077 3641 9077 3641 9075
      3638 9075 3638 9105 3650 9096 3650 9079
TIME...MOT...LOC 1459Z 233DEG 14KT 3649 9086