Severe Thunderstorm Warning 16, NWS Memphis, TN

140 
WWUS54 KMEG 272114
SVSMEG

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
414 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2016

MSC003-139-272123-
/O.CAN.KMEG.SV.W.0016.000000T0000Z-160327T2130Z/
ALCORN MS-TIPPAH MS-
414 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHWESTERN ALCORN AND
NORTHERN TIPPAH COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA.THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3504 8838 3500 8846 3500 8890 3529 8857
      3512 8837
TIME...MOT...LOC 2113Z 230DEG 30KT 3501 8868 

$$

TNC069-109-272130-
/O.CON.KMEG.SV.W.0016.000000T0000Z-160327T2130Z/
MCNAIRY TN-HARDEMAN TN-
414 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN MCNAIRY AND SOUTHEASTERN HARDEMAN COUNTIES...

AT 413 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BIG HILL POND
STATE PARK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SELMER...BIG HILL POND STATE PARK...POCAHONTAS...BETHEL SPRINGS...
EASTVIEW...MICHIE...GUYS...RAMER...STANTONVILLE...CYPRESS...PURDY...
CAFFEY...FORTY FORKS...CHAMBERS...MARTIN CAMP...CHEWALLA...TULU...
PEBBLE HILL...ACTON AND NEW LAWTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3504 8838 3500 8846 3500 8890 3529 8857
      3512 8837
TIME...MOT...LOC 2113Z 230DEG 30KT 3501 8868 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

650 
WWUS54 KMEG 272126
SVSMEG

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
426 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2016

TNC069-109-272135-
/O.EXP.KMEG.SV.W.0016.000000T0000Z-160327T2130Z/
MCNAIRY TN-HARDEMAN TN-
426 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN MCNAIRY AND
SOUTHEASTERN HARDEMAN COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 430 PM CDT...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

LAT...LON 3504 8838 3500 8846 3500 8890 3529 8857
      3512 8837
TIME...MOT...LOC 2122Z 230DEG 30KT 3501 8868 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
235 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2016

.DISCUSSION...

CLOUDY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH THIS AFTERNOON
WITH APPROACHING COLD FRONT NOW IN NORTHEAST ARKANSAS. OUT AHEAD
DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 50S TO MID 60S...WITH CU FIELD AND CAPE
VALUES NEAR 1500 J/KG. SHORT TERM MODELS SUGGESTING MID TO LATE
AFTERNOON FOR INITIATION ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. ON RADAR
SHOWERS AND WEAK STORMS WERE EXPANDING NORTH OUT OF MISSISSIPPI.

FOR TONIGHT...BROKEN LINE OF CONVECTION WILL TRANSVERSE EAST
THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS...LIKELY REACHING THE TENNESSEE
RIVER VALLEY BY 9PM. ISOLATED DAMAGING GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL ARE
POSSIBLE. BEHIND THE FRONT A BRIEF PERIOD OF GUSTY WEST
WINDS...ESPECIALLY OVER THE BOOTHEEL OF MISSOURI AND NORTHWEST
TENNESSEE. DRY AIR WILL SURGE IN TONIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE 40S.

MONDAY AND TUESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL WITH LIGHT
NORTH WINDS BECOMING EAST. HIGHS WILL MAINLY BE IN THE 60S WITH
LOWS IN THE 30S TOMORROW...THEN A TAD WARMER TUESDAY.

WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...MODELS STILL IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT A
DEVELOPING UPPER TROUGH IN THE ROCKIES WILL BRING ABUNDANT MOISTURE
NORTHWARD FROM THE WESTERN GULF. RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE
THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY...WITH THE HEAVIEST ACTIVITY EXPECTED
THROUGH THE NIGHT. FOR NOW 36 HOUR QPF AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES
APPEAR CONFINED TO SOUTH OF INTERSTATE FORTY WITH MORE 1-3 INCH
AMOUNTS TO THE NORTH. BELIEVE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING
WILL BE MORE LOCALIZED AND NOT AS WIDESPREAD AS WHAT WAS SEEN A
FEW WEEKS BACK. HIGHS WILL BE NEAR 70F WITH MILDER OVERNIGHT
LOWS. A FEW STRONG OR SEVERE STORMS MAY ALSO FORM ON THURSDAY
ALONG A COLD FRONT...THOUGH MORE DEPENDENT ON LOW LEVEL
INSTABILITY AS MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES ARE NOT IMPRESSIVE.

FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...A BIT COOL FOR EARLY APRIL...BUT DRY AND
PLEASANT. MODELS DUE DIFFER SLIGHTLY FOR FRIDAY...WITH THE EURO
LAGGING THE TROUGH AXIS BACK INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WHICH WOULD
CONFINE MORE PRECIPITATION ALONG THE GULF COAST AND MORE CLOUDS
ACROSS NORTH MISSISSIPPI. THE GFS ON THE OTHER HAND PINCHES OFF
THIS ENERGY AND A STRONG NORTHWEST UPPER FLOW COMPLETELY DRIES
OUT THE REGION. EITHER WAY SUNSHINE WILL RETURN TO THE MIDSOUTH
THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE NORTH
BECOMING MORE WESTERLY BY SUNDAY. COOL OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE EAST
MAY DIP INTO THE MID 30S WITH PATCHY FROST.

JAB

&&

.AVIATION...

LOW CLOUDS COVER AREAS EAST OF THE MS RIVER THIS MORNING. IFR
CONDS PREVAIL AT KTUP WITH OCNL MVFR CONDS AT KMKL AND KMEM. LOW
CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS WHILE A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. THIS FRONT WILL KICK OFF
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHRAS AND TSRAS THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY
THIS EVENING. BEST CHANCE FOR TSRAS ON STATION WILL OCCUR AT KMKL
AND KTUP. FRONT WILL SWEEP EAST THIS EVENING WITH SKIES CLEARING
FROM WEST TO EAST AND WINDS SHIFT FROM S/SSW AT 10-15 KTS TO NW
AND DIMINISHING. VFR CONDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE END OF THE
PERIOD.

SJM

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
233 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2016

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-282145-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-
COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-
DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-
HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-
LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-
PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-
TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
233 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A FEW TO STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND
EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
MID EVENING. THE BEST THREAT FOR A SEVERE STORM CAPABLE OF
DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE ACROSS NORTHWEST TENNESSEE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE FORTY
WHERE RAINFALL TOTALS COULD REACH 5 INCHES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MID
EVENING ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST TENNESSEE.

JAB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
348 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2016

MSZ004-005-TNZ090-091-272130-
TIPPAH MS-ALCORN MS-HARDEMAN TN-MCNAIRY TN-
348 PM CDT SUN MAR 27 2016

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 430 PM CDT FOR...

NORTHERN TIPPAH COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHWESTERN ALCORN COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHEASTERN HARDEMAN COUNTY IN WEST TENNESSEE...
SOUTHERN MCNAIRY COUNTY IN WEST TENNESSEE...

AT 348 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING PEA SIZE HAIL OR
LARGER AND WINDS AT LEAST 40 MPH WAS LOCATED 10 MILES NORTH OF
RIPLEY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ALSO POSSIBLE WITH THIS
THUNDERSTORM.

PEOPLE IN NORTHERN TIPPAH...NORTHWESTERN ALCORN...SOUTHEASTERN
HARDEMAN AND SOUTHERN MCNAIRY COUNTIES SHOULD MONITOR THIS STORM
CLOSELY.

LAT...LON 3503 8838 3475 8888 3489 8902 3527 8854
      3510 8837
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 230DEG 30KT 3488 8888