Frost Advisory 3, NWS Memphis, TN

144 
WWUS74 KMEG 250433 AAA
NPWMEG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1133 PM CDT THU MAR 24 2016

...FROST MAY DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS LATE
TONIGHT...

.TEMPERATURES MAY DROP INTO THE MID 30S TOWARD DAYBREAK...AS
CLOUDS CLEAR. 

ARZ008-009-017-018-026-251400-
/O.CON.KMEG.FR.Y.0003.160325T0900Z-160325T1400Z/
RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...POCAHONTAS...PIGGOTT...CORNING...
WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO
1133 PM CDT THU MAR 24 2016

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM CDT
FRIDAY...

* TEMPERATURE/FROST COVERAGE...AREAS OF FROST MAY OCCUR AS 
  TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE MID 30S. 

* TIMING...NEAR DAYBREAK FRIDAY.

* IMPACTS...DAMAGE MAY OCCUR TO NEWLY BLOOMED VEGETATION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS POSSIBLE. SENSITIVE OUTDOOR
PLANTS MAY BE KILLED IF LEFT UNCOVERED.

&&

$$

910 
WWUS74 KMEG 250753
NPWMEG

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
253 AM CDT FRI MAR 25 2016

...FROST ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN WARM ENOUGH THIS MORNING TO PREVENT THE
FORMATION OF FROST. 

ARZ008-009-017-018-026-250900-
/O.CAN.KMEG.FR.Y.0003.160325T0900Z-160325T1400Z/
RANDOLPH-CLAY-LAWRENCE-GREENE-CRAIGHEAD-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...POCAHONTAS...PIGGOTT...CORNING...
WALNUT RIDGE...PARAGOULD...JONESBORO
253 AM CDT FRI MAR 25 2016

...FROST ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MEMPHIS HAS CANCELLED THE FROST
ADVISORY. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
306 PM CDT THU MAR 24 2016

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT NOW STRETCHES FROM NEAR GARY INDIANA TO MONROE
LOUISIANA. THERE IS A NARROW LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THAT HAS DEVELOPED RIGHT ALONG THE FRONT FROM SOUTHERN INDIANA TO
WESTERN KENTUCKY. THUS FAR NO PRECIPITATION IS OCCURRING ALONG THE
FRONT IN THE MID-SOUTH. WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE AN ISOLD
SHRA OR TSRA DEVELOP BEFORE THE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE ENTIRE
MIDSOUTH BY 00Z.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN BUILDING INTO THE MIDSOUTH TONIGHT.
WINDS WILL DIE OFF THIS EVENING AND CLOUDS SHOULD AT LEAST CLEAR
MOST OF THE MIDSOUTH. AS A RESULT...TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO
THE MID 30S ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST ARKANSAS. PATCHY FROST
MAY DEVELOP. WILL GO AHEAD AN ISSUE A FROST ADVISORY FOR
RANDOLPH...CLAY...GREENE...LAWRENCE AND CRAIGHEAD COUNTIES.

HIGHS WILL BE COOLER ON SATURDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE LOCATED OVER
THE OHIO VALLEY. FROST MAY BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS AREAS
OF WEST TENNESSEE NEAR THE TENNESSEE RIVER. ALTHOUGH...IT IS NOT
AS CLEAR CUT AS CIRRUS MAY SPREAD INTO THE REGION. FOR NOW WILL
JUST MENTION IT IN THE HWO.

A WARM FRONT WILL BEGIN LIFTING NORTHWARD SATURDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF
A DEVELOPING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM. THE SYSTEM WILL BRING CHANCES
FOR RAIN TO THE MIDSOUTH BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE REST
OF THE WEEKEND. MODELS ARE NOT IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS
SYSTEM. THE NAM AND ECMWF TRACK THE SFC LOW ALONG THE MO/AR
BORDER. AS A RESULT...A WARM AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS MAY BE IN PLACE
ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH AS THE TRAILING COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE
AREA. CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER WOULD OCCUR IF THIS SCENARIO
WOULD OCCUR. HOWEVER...THE GFS NEVER BRINGS THE WARM FRONT
ENTIRELY THROUGH THE MIDSOUTH. AS A RESULT...THE SFC LOW TRACKS
THROUGH NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI. IF ANY SEVERE WEATHER WOULD OCCUR
WITH THIS SCENARIO IT WOULD OCCUR ACROSS NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
FOR NOW WILL CONTINUE MENTION OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ACROSS
THE ENTIRE CWA UNTIL MODELS CONVERGE ON A SIMILAR SOLUTION.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL REBUILD INTO THE MIDSOUTH FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE MIDSOUTH WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.

KRM

&&

.AVIATION...

COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE MIDSOUTH WITH MOST OF THE SHRAS/TSRAS
PUSHING EAST OF THE AREA. A FEW LINGERING SHRAS POSSIBLE AT
KMKL/KTUP OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. AFTER A FEW MORE HOURS OF
OCNL MVFR CIGS AT KMEM/KMKL AND KTUP EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDS THROUGH
THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE WEST THIS AFTERNOON
AND REMAIN GUSTY AND THEN TO THE NW TONIGHT AND DIMINISH. SOME
GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT LOW CLOUDS ARE POSSIBLE AT KMKL AND KTUP
FRIDAY MORNING BUT NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO INTRODUCE INTO THE
FORECAST ATTM.

SJM

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FROST ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 9 AM CDT FRIDAY FOR CLAY-CRAIGHEAD-
     GREENE-LAWRENCE-RANDOLPH.

MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1151 AM CDT THU MAR 24 2016

ARZ008-009-017-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-
MSZ001>017-020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-251900-
ALCORN-BENTON MS-BENTON TN-CALHOUN-CARROLL-CHESTER-CHICKASAW-CLAY-
COAHOMA-CRAIGHEAD-CRITTENDEN-CROCKETT-CROSS-DESOTO-DECATUR-
DUNKLIN-DYER-FAYETTE-GIBSON-GREENE-HARDEMAN-HARDIN-HAYWOOD-
HENDERSON-HENRY-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LAKE-LAUDERDALE-LAWRENCE-
LEE AR-LEE MS-MADISON-MARSHALL-MCNAIRY-MISSISSIPPI-MONROE-OBION-
PANOLA-PEMISCOT-PHILLIPS-POINSETT-PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-
RANDOLPH-SHELBY-ST. FRANCIS-TALLAHATCHIE-TATE-TIPPAH-TIPTON-
TISHOMINGO-TUNICA-UNION-WEAKLEY-YALOBUSHA-
1151 AM CDT THU MAR 24 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EAST ARKANSAS...
THE MISSOURI BOOTHEEL...NORTH MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER ACROSS PORTIONS OF
WEST TENNESSEE NEAR THE TENNESSEE RIVER AND NORTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI. DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREAT. A BRIEF TORNADO
IS ALSO POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WEST
TENNESSEE AND NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.

KRM