Alert archive / Texas / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

April 8, 2016Culberson County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this special weather statement at Apr 8, 2016, 11:00 PM CDT for Culberson County, Texas. It was in force for 45 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 8, 2016, 11:00 PM CDT (04:00 UTC)
Expired
Apr 8, 2016, 11:45 PM CDT
In force
45 min
Issued by
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

County Culberson County, TX

The radar

The El Paso radar (KEPZ), 222 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 225 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2016-04-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2016-04-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 35 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2456 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
35 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
187 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Apr 8, 6:59 PM CDT, 4 hours 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 8, 6:59 PM CDT, 4 hours 1 minute before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
659 PM CDT FRI APR 8 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Please see the 00Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

A few showers are moving northeast across the area, though
coverage is currently too sparse to include mention in the TAFs
this evening. High-res guidance indicates more widespread
precipitation developing and moving across the area overnight,
thus have included -SHRA mention at terminals where confidence is
highest, with best chance at CNM and HOB. While TS are possible,
have not included mention as storms should remain isolated. VFR
conditions are expected to prevail, with the only caveat being
potential MVFR conditions in rain that may develop late tonight.
Winds will remain breezy out of the southeast through Saturday
morning, and then veer to the southwest with gusts to 20-25kt
possible Saturday afternoon.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 155 PM CDT FRI APR 8 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Upper trough over CA and AZ... shortwaves ejecting off this
trough will help storm chances today and tomorrow. After that a
stronger cut off low rolls ashore the West Coast Saturday but
weakens as it moves east. Have some weak troughs after that which
should not have much impact but then a stronger low move over CA
late next week.

Visible satellite shows widespread cloud cover across the region
extending from South TX westward to CA.  Dewpts still mainly in the
30s with some 40s south... need to moisten up before can expect much
in the way of rainfall.

Temperatures will be moderated in the short term by the increased
clouds but should be warm overall.  There is a decent cold front
expected to blow through late Monday.  Tuesday looks to be the
coolest day of the week with highs in the 60s north of the Pecos
river and mainly 70s south of it.  Warmer temps return Wednesday.

As far as rain chances have storms in the forecast today...
tonight... and tomorrow.  Upper support should help initiate
convection... especially when combined with daytime heating. Looking
at qpf GFS is more generous than other models with bringing precip
across the Permian Basin tonight... some push it northward.

Currently have some light echos on radar mainly along and north of
the Pecos River but not sure how much of this is reaching the ground.
There is a marginal risk for severe storms for the SW part of the
area today and tonight... could see a few strong to severe storms.
Best chance of rain will be tonight with precip moving to eastern
edge of the area Saturday.  Could see a few afternoon/evening storms
east Sunday along a dryline.  Will be dry for a few days with
increasing chances of rain toward next weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     53  77  56  83 /  50  30   0  20
Carlsbad                       51  82  50  82 /  60  10   0  10
Dryden                         59  84  60  89 /  30  10  10  10
Fort Stockton                  55  85  57  87 /  40  10   0  10
Guadalupe Pass                 49  75  52  73 /  70  10   0  10
Hobbs                          50  77  51  81 /  60  20   0  10
Marfa                          45  79  41  79 /  40  10   0  10
Midland Intl Airport           53  80  58  84 /  50  20   0  20
Odessa                         54  80  59  85 /  50  20   0  20
Wink                           53  84  52  86 /  60  10   0  10

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 8, 1:48 PM CDT, 9 hours 12 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
148 PM CDT FRI APR 8 2016

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-091900-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
148 PM CDT FRI APR 8 2016 /1248 PM MDT FRI APR 8 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WESTERN TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Apr 8, 8:12 PM CDT, 2 hours 48 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
812 PM CDT FRI APR 8 2016

TXZ074-075-081-090200-
BIG BEND AREA TX-PECOS TX-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA TX-
812 PM CDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN BREWSTER AND
SOUTHWESTERN PECOS COUNTIES UNTIL 900 PM CDT...

AT 811 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES SOUTHWEST OF MARATHON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MARATHON AND ELEPHANT MOUNTAIN WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN MIDLAND .

&&

LAT...LON 2995 10342 3000 10351 3061 10333 3045 10287
TIME...MOT...LOC 0111Z 204DEG 37KT 3016 10335

44
Local storm report, Apr 8, 8:21 PM CDT, 2 hours 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
821 PM CDT FRI APR 08 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0819 PM     HAIL             2 WSW MARATHON          30.19N 103.27W
04/08/2016  M0.50 INCH       BREWSTER           TX   CO-OP OBSERVER

            VERY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH 1/2 INCH HAIL.

&&

CMR
Special weather statement, Apr 8, 9:07 PM CDT, 1 hour 53 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
907 PM CDT FRI APR 8 2016

TXZ075-090245-
PECOS TX-
907 PM CDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL PECOS COUNTY UNTIL 945 PM
CDT...

AT 907 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13
MILES SOUTHEAST OF BELDING...OR 17 MILES SOUTH OF FORT STOCKTON...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BAKERSFIELD AND SIERRA MADERA.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 264 AND 299.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN MIDLAND .

&&

LAT...LON 3049 10295 3058 10309 3113 10261 3088 10222
TIME...MOT...LOC 0207Z 219DEG 50KT 3063 10290

44
Special weather statement, Apr 8, 9:45 PM CDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
945 PM CDT FRI APR 8 2016

TXZ068-069-075-090330-
CRANE TX-UPTON TX-PECOS TX-
945 PM CDT FRI APR 8 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN CRANE...NORTH
CENTRAL PECOS AND SOUTHWESTERN UPTON COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 PM CDT...

AT 945 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13
MILES EAST OF FORT STOCKTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MCCAMEY...GIRVIN AND UPTON COUNTY AIRPORT.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 267 AND 277.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN MIDLAND .

&&

LAT...LON 3115 10195 3108 10210 3109 10236 3108 10237
      3103 10229 3103 10222 3082 10268 3089 10277
      3133 10245
TIME...MOT...LOC 0245Z 213DEG 34KT 3093 10266

44
Special weather statement, Apr 8, 11:00 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1100 PM CDT FRI APR 8 2016

TXZ057-074-090445-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-
1100 PM CDT FRI APR 8 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL CULBERSON COUNTY...

AT 1100 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS 13 MILES NORTH OF PLATEAU...
OR 22 MILES NORTHEAST OF VAN HORN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN VAN
HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR AND NORTHWESTERN DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS
AREA COUNTIES.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3115 10453 3129 10464 3163 10452 3142 10431
      3124 10419
TIME...MOT...LOC 0400Z 237DEG 20KT 3125 10454

67

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 8, 8:12 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFBrewster48 min
Apr 8, 9:07 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFPecos38 min
Apr 8, 9:45 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFCrane45 min
Apr 8, 11:41 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAF64 min
Apr 8, 11:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFCulberson, Loving, Reeves64 min
Apr 9, 12:18 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLoving, Reeves, Ward57 min
Apr 9, 1:10 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFLoving, Reeves, Ward, Winkler65 min
Apr 9, 1:37 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementMAFCulberson38 min
Apr 9, 12:44 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFEddy61 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Texas, 2016Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.