Alert archive / Texas / Special Weather Statements in 2016
Special Weather Statement, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this special weather statement at Feb 22, 2016, 6:49 PM CST for Dawson County, Texas. It was in force for 41 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 22, 2016, 6:49 PM CST (00:49 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 22, 2016, 7:30 PM CST
- In force
- 41 min
- Issued by
- NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
County Dawson County, TX
The radar
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 0.8 hours before the alert went out and 86 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 7 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -289 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1128 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 64 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 157 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 270 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 1.3
The text
As transmitted.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Feb 22, 5:27 PM CST, 1 hour 22 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 22, 5:27 PM CST, 1 hour 22 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
527 PM CST MON FEB 22 2016
.DISCUSSION...
See 00Z Aviation Discussion below.
&&
.AVIATION...
Not much change to current forecast. Area radars show convection
trying to develop omtns, then moving east, and also over the upper
Colorado Rvr Valley. Latest models develop widespread convection
over the next few hours, w/buffer soundings bringing cigs to MVFR
overnight as a warm front approaches KMAF. Winds then back as a
cold front moves thru the region, w/buffer soundings bringing
fropa to KMAF around 02Z. Cigs begin improving Tuesday morning,
lifting to VFR by the end of the forecast period.
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 146 PM CST MON FEB 22 2016/
DISCUSSION...
Surface cyclogenesis is underway in the general vicinity of the
Upper Presidio Valley while surface ridging noses in from the n
into the PB. A warm front slowly lifting n and helping maintaining
an e-se low level component across the Trans Pecos yielding upslope
flow and slowly increasing dewpoints. Meanwhile steep LR's
(7.5-8.5 C/KM in the 7h-5h layer) are present. Lift is increasing
on the nose of a strong mid level jet moving into the Trans Pecos
and as a result tstms are expected to develop. CAPES may near 700
J/KG and with more than sufficient shear there is support for
strong-severe storms this PM, especially from Davis Mtns into the
Lower Trans Pecos. Large hail is the primary concern as storms
may ride along/near the frontal boundary. Also. there is a non-
zero tornadic threat early this evening when the low level jet
increases along with the presence of said warm front.
The jet max has shifted farther s than thought yesterday. Still,
there is expected to be another area of precip that forms from SE
NM into the PB overnight and into Tue PM. This is assocd with the
frontal surge and this area will still be within a steep lapse
rate environment, not to mention in the LFQ of strong jet
(115-120kt 3h), and wrap around moisture. As noted the jet is
farther s and this has lessened the potential for high winds in
the mtns and we have opted to cancell the watch,replacing it with
a wind advisory for Davis-Glass-Chisos Mtns. An advisory may
eventually be needed for Pecos/Terrell Co.. Tue will definitely
have a much colder blustery feel and temps will probably peak as
early as noon and then hold steady/slowly fall in the afternoon.
Daytime temps will mostly be in the 40s/50...60s/70s in the far
s/sw. This will all set up cold mornings Wed/Thur with lows
falling to/below freezing. Thereafter temps will slowly moderate
into the 60s and 70s into the weekend and early next week.
FIRE WEATHER...
Windy conditions will raise fire wx concerns across the Big Bend
and Presidio Valley Tue where the least chances of rain are. The
cooler temps will keep RHs above critical levels.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring 39 46 30 59 / 70 30 0 0
Carlsbad 41 55 29 60 / 20 20 0 0
Dryden 51 68 36 65 / 50 10 0 0
Fort Stockton 47 56 31 58 / 50 10 0 0
Guadalupe Pass 40 51 27 52 / 10 10 0 0
Hobbs 37 48 26 57 / 50 20 0 0
Marfa 43 60 22 55 / 20 10 0 0
Midland Intl Airport 41 50 32 59 / 50 20 0 0
Odessa 41 50 33 59 / 50 20 0 0
Wink 42 55 30 60 / 40 10 0 0
&&
.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...Wind Advisory from 9 PM this evening to noon CST Tuesday for Big
Bend Area-Davis/Apache Mountains Area.
&&
44/27/44Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 22, 1:54 PM CST, 4 hours 55 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 154 PM CST MON FEB 22 2016 NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075- 079>082-258-232000- GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS- NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES- DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL- VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS- LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN- DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU- BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS- 154 PM CST MON FEB 22 2016 /1254 PM MST MON FEB 22 2016/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE EVENING MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHERN PERMIAN BASIN AND THE LOWER TRANS PECOS. SOME STORMS MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE...POTENTIALLY PRODUCING HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS. CHANCES FOR A TORNADO IS VERY LOW AT THIS TIME BUT NOT COMPLETELY OUT OF THE QUESTION. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY TUESDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL BRING GUSTY NORTH WINDS TO THE REGION WITH GUSTS NEAR 50 MPH POSSIBLE ACROSS THE DAVIS...GLASS AND CHISOS MOUNTAIN AREAS. A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THESE AREAS LATE TONIGHT THROUGH NOON TUESDAY. ELSEWHERE...WIND SPEEDS OF 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH IS EXPECTED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING ACROSS AREAS MENTIONED ABOVE. THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES... AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/ HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Feb 22, 5:44 PM CST, 1 hour 5 minutes before
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</html>Special weather statement, Feb 22, 6:27 PM CST, 22 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 627 PM CST MON FEB 22 2016 TXZ060-061-067-068-230115- WINKLER TX-WARD TX-ECTOR TX-CRANE TX- 627 PM CST MON FEB 22 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN CRANE...SOUTHEASTERN WINKLER...SOUTHWESTERN ECTOR AND NORTHEASTERN WARD COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM CST... AT 627 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTH OF MONAHANS...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... MONAHANS...WEST ODESSA...MONAHANS SANDHILLS STATE PARK...PENWELL... MONAHANS SAND HILLS STATE PARK...ROY HURD MEMORIAL AIRPORT...CRANE COUNTY AIRPORT AND THORNTONVILLE. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 20 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 75 AND 112. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE. && LAT...LON 3138 10293 3169 10303 3194 10244 3141 10236 TIME...MOT...LOC 0027Z 262DEG 35KT 3149 10286 29
Special weather statement, Feb 22, 6:30 PM CST, 19 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX 630 PM CST MON FEB 22 2016 TXZ075-230115- PECOS TX- 630 PM CST MON FEB 22 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL PECOS COUNTY UNTIL 715 PM CST... AT 629 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR FORT STOCKTON-PECOS COUNTY AIRPORT...OR NEAR FORT STOCKTON...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... FORT STOCKTON AND FORT STOCKTON-PECOS COUNTY AIRPORT. THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 251 AND 289. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE. && LAT...LON 3086 10302 3104 10305 3121 10247 3084 10239 TIME...MOT...LOC 0029Z 262DEG 34KT 3096 10295 29
Special weather statement, Feb 22, 6:49 PM CST, 0 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
649 PM CST MON FEB 22 2016
TXZ045-046-050-051-230130-
ANDREWS TX-MARTIN TX-GAINES TX-DAWSON TX-
649 PM CST MON FEB 22 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN ANDREWS...
SOUTHEASTERN GAINES...NORTHWESTERN MARTIN AND DAWSON COUNTIES UNTIL
730 PM CST...
AT 649 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 13
MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAND...OR 21 MILES NORTHEAST OF ANDREWS...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.
DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LAMESA...LOS YBANEZ...HANCOCK...KEY...THREE LEAGUES...PATRICIA...
SPARENBERG...UNION...TENMILE...LAMESA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT...FRIENDSHIP...
ARVANA...SAND...PUNKIN CENTER...UNION IN DAWSON COUNTY...MIDWAY IN DAWSON
COUNTY AND KLONDIKE.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
&&
LAT...LON 3272 10169 3260 10169 3237 10223 3254 10243
3296 10198 3296 10194
TIME...MOT...LOC 0049Z 235DEG 42KT 3252 10227
29The office that day
Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 6:26 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Crane | 49 min |
| Feb 22, 6:27 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Crane, Ector | 48 min |
| Feb 22, 6:30 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Pecos | 45 min |
| Feb 22, 8:33 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Terrell | 42 min |
| Feb 22, 8:38 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Pecos | 37 min |
| Feb 22, 9:19 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Andrews, Winkler | 41 min |
| Feb 22, 10:00 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Andrews, Crane, Ector, Martin, Ward, Winkler | 45 min |
| Feb 22, 10:39 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Crane, Ector, Martin, Midland, Upton | 36 min |
| Feb 22, 11:21 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Glasscock, Reagan | 39 min |
| Feb 22, 7:46 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | MAF | Eddy | 44 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Texas, 2016Every special weather statement in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.