Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 58, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

May 17, 2016Pecos County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 17, 2016, 5:34 PM CDT for Pecos County, Texas. It was in force for 41 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 17, 2016, 5:34 PM CDT (22:34 UTC)
Expired: May 17, 2016, 6:15 PM CDT
In force: 41 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.25 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Pecos County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 111 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
May 17, 2:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	13 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 10.6 hours before the alert went out and 111 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 353 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -286 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2197 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 153 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 138 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

153 
WUUS54 KMAF 172234
SVRMAF
TXC371-172315-
/O.NEW.KMAF.SV.W.0058.160517T2234Z-160517T2315Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
534 PM CDT TUE MAY 17 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIDLAND  HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EAST CENTRAL PECOS COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 615 PM CDT

* AT 533 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 8 MILES NORTHEAST
  OF BAKERSFIELD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE 
           TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

* THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
  EAST CENTRAL PECOS COUNTY.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 300 AND 316.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND .

&&

LAT...LON 3073 10202 3096 10231 3104 10225 3103 10221
      3100 10219 3101 10218 3100 10214 3099 10209
      3100 10205 3098 10201 3099 10199 3096 10195
      3094 10192 3093 10191
TIME...MOT...LOC 2233Z 302DEG 23KT 3099 10221 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

84

1 follow-up statement

513 
WWUS54 KMAF 172254
SVSMAF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
554 PM CDT TUE MAY 17 2016

TXC371-172315-
/O.CON.KMAF.SV.W.0058.000000T0000Z-160517T2315Z/
PECOS TX-
554 PM CDT TUE MAY 17 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 PM CDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL PECOS COUNTY...

AT 553 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 12 MILES EAST OF
BAKERSFIELD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EAST
CENTRAL PECOS COUNTY.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 300 AND 316.
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL SEND YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND .

&&

LAT...LON 3073 10202 3093 10227 3100 10219 3101 10218
      3100 10214 3099 10209 3100 10205 3098 10201
      3099 10199 3096 10195 3094 10192 3093 10191
TIME...MOT...LOC 2253Z 298DEG 20KT 3095 10210 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

84

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 17, 2:55 PM CDT, 2 hours 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 17, 2:55 PM CDT, 2 hours 39 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
255 PM CDT TUE MAY 17 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Looks like unsettled weather is in the offing for west Texas and
southeast New Mexico through Thursday as an upper level low
pressure system slowly makes its way eastward from southern
California. Ahead of this system diffluence and significant and
persistent large scale lift associated with the upper level jet
and low is expected across the region. In addition low level
moisture will be plentiful and persistent from the Gulf of Mexico
due to a stalled 850 millibar low and stationary front along the
Big Bend through Thursday. Went with good chance to likely pops
for showers and thunderstorms Wednesday night across much of the
forecast area in this pattern. A few thunderstorms this evening
could be strong to severe especially across the eastern Permian
Basin and lower Trans Pecos region along and near a cold front
where shear and instability will be maximized. After this evening
the bigger concern appears to be the potential for locally heavy
rainfall across the Permian Basin Wednesday and Wednesday night
due to the slow movement of the system. Later shifts will need to
monitor this potential. Temperatures will be well below normal
through Thursday behind the front with significant clouds and
precipitation.

The upper low will exit the forecast area later Thursday and be
replaced by southwesterly flow aloft associated with the next
Pacific system for the weekend and into early next week. A dryline
is expected to form in this flow with thunderstorms possible ahead
of the dryline across portions of the Permian Basin each afternoon
and evening. Temperatures will warm to near normal values by
Friday through the rest of the forecast.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     53  61  54  71 /  70  70  70  40
Carlsbad                       52  62  51  75 /  70  70  50  20
Dryden                         64  77  62  80 /  70  40  60  30
Fort Stockton                  57  69  55  76 /  70  60  70  20
Guadalupe Pass                 46  57  47  72 /  70  70  40  10
Hobbs                          47  56  49  71 /  70  70  60  20
Marfa                          52  69  50  75 /  60  60  60  20
Midland Intl Airport           53  61  54  74 /  70  70  70  30
Odessa                         52  62  53  74 /  70  70  70  30
Wink                           57  65  53  77 /  70  70  60  20

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...High Wind Warning from 7 PM CDT /6 PM MDT/ this evening to 10 AM
     CDT /9 AM MDT/ Wednesday for Guadalupe Mountains.

&&

72/12

Hazardous weather outlook, May 17, 2:48 PM CDT, 2 hours 46 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
248 PM CDT TUE MAY 17 2016

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-182000-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
248 PM CDT TUE MAY 17 2016 /148 PM MDT TUE MAY 17 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WESTERN TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE
PERMIAN BASIN...LOWER TRANS PECOS....AND BIG BEND AREA. STORMS MAY
BECOME SEVERE...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WIND...AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS
IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING.

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE AND EXPAND OVER MUCH OF THE
FORECAST AREA TONIGHT BEHIND A COLD FRONT. STRONGEST STORMS WILL
BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL...GUSTY WIND...AND BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL.

IN ADDITION...STRONG NORTHEAST GAP WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
IN GUADALUPE PASS TONIGHT...THEREFORE A HIGH WIND WARNING IS IN
EFFECT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT THEN CHANCES DECREASE FROM WEST TO
EAST ON THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE EASTERN PERMIAN
BASIN...LOWER TRANS PECOS...AND BIG BEND AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 17, 3:53 PM CDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
353 PM CDT TUE MAY 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0352 PM     HAIL             9 NNW TEXON             31.35N 101.75W
05/17/2016  E1.25 INCH       REAGAN             TX   PUBLIC

&&

AKL

Local storm report, May 17, 4:35 PM CDT, 59 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
435 PM CDT TUE MAY 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0319 PM     HAIL             7 N RANKIN              31.33N 101.94W
05/17/2016  E1.75 INCH       UPTON              TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

AKL

Local storm report, May 17, 4:37 PM CDT, 57 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
437 PM CDT TUE MAY 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0328 PM     HAIL             9 NE RANKIN             31.32N 101.83W
05/17/2016  E2.50 INCH       UPTON              TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            BROKEN WINDSHIELD ON CAR.

&&

GREGORY.MURDOCH

Special weather statement, May 17, 4:40 PM CDT, 54 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
440 PM CDT TUE MAY 17 2016

TXZ068-069-075-172230-
CRANE TX-UPTON TX-PECOS TX-
440 PM CDT TUE MAY 17 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN CRANE...NORTH
CENTRAL PECOS AND SOUTHWESTERN UPTON COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

AT 440 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 9
MILES NORTHWEST OF GIRVIN...OR 17 MILES WEST OF MCCAMEY...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CRANE...MCCAMEY...CRANE COUNTY AIRPORT...KING MOUNTAIN AND UPTON COUNTY
AIRPORT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3111 10214 3108 10230 3109 10237 3108 10236
      3104 10255 3120 10263 3146 10230
TIME...MOT...LOC 2140Z 246DEG 13KT 3115 10252

82

Local storm report, May 17, 5:11 PM CDT, 23 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
511 PM CDT TUE MAY 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0505 PM     HAIL             8 W MCCAMEY             31.13N 102.35W
05/17/2016  E0.88 INCH       CRANE              TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

AKL

Local storm report, May 17, 5:16 PM CDT, 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
516 PM CDT TUE MAY 17 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0507 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     14 NNW BAKERSFIELD      31.08N 102.39W
05/17/2016                   PECOS              TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            14 MILES NORTH OF BAKERSFIELD.

&&

GREGORY.MURDOCH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 17, 1:08 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Jeff Davis	52 min
May 17, 1:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Presidio	63 min
May 17, 1:56 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Crane	49 min
May 17, 2:09 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF		51 min
May 17, 2:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Crane, Ector, Midland, Upton	60 min
May 17, 2:40 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Reagan	65 min
May 17, 2:52 PM CDT	High Wind Warning	MAF		16 hr
May 17, 2:59 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MAF	Reagan, Upton	31 min
May 17, 3:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Reagan	62 min
May 17, 3:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Reagan, Upton	62 min
May 17, 4:20 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Reagan	3 hr
May 17, 4:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Reagan	32 min
May 17, 4:40 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Crane	50 min
May 17, 4:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Crane, Pecos, Upton	60 min
May 17, 4:51 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MAF	Crane, Pecos, Upton	24 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.