Fire Weather Watch 2, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1043 PM CST THU JAN 28 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Please see the 06Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail the next 24 hours. Light winds
overnight will increase out of the southwest Friday afternoon,
and could gust to 15-20KT. Gusts are expected to diminish by
30/00Z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 208 PM CST THU JAN 28 2016/

DISCUSSION...

There is an upper level trough over the eastern half of the conus
with upper ridging taking place over the CWA.  Temperatures today
are expected to warm up above normal into the 60s across most of the
area with mostly sunny skies.  The area around Fort Stockton is
expected to stay on the cool side today due to snow remaining on the
ground from a couple of days ago.  The upper flow will become more
zonal on Friday as a shortwave moves over the region.  No
precipitation is expected with this shortwave and surface winds will
increase out of the southwest on Friday aiding in compressional
warming.  Surface winds are expected to increase out of the west
southwest on Saturday resulting in temperatures warming up into the
70s across the area except the higher terrain.  Surface winds on
Sunday are expected to be a little stronger than on Saturday as
another upper trough digs southeastward along the western coast.

This upper trough will begin to move over the region on Monday.  As
upper lift increases due to the approach of this trough,
precipitation chances will increase across mainly western and
northern sections of the CWA.  Winds will also increase out of the
west southwest on Monday as strong winds along the base of the upper
trough mix downward over the area. The GFS is showing some rather
robust winds as a Pacific front moves into the area on Monday so
high winds will be possible in the Guadalupe Mountains. The Pacific
front will cool temperatures on Monday so this will help with fire
weather concerns. The base of the upper trough will proceed to move
over the region on Tuesday followed by a cold front moving into the
area later in the day on Tuesday.  The colder air will bring high
temperatures down into the 40s and 50s across most of the CWA
Tuesday and Wednesday. The forecast looks dry with the exception of
a chance of precipitation across northwestern sections of the CWA on
Monday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     64  33  72  38 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       63  30  72  35 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         68  36  71  40 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  52  36  70  41 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 56  33  62  38 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          64  30  70  35 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          60  23  67  25 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           64  33  72  37 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         65  33  72  37 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           66  29  73  34 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
133 PM CST THU JAN 28 2016

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-291945-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
133 PM CST THU JAN 28 2016 /1233 PM MST THU JAN 28 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WEST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

HIGH WIND WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS BEGINNING
SATURDAY AFTERNOON...AND CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
MONDAY AFTERNOON...THIS HIGH WIND COULD SPREAD ONTO THE ADJACENT
PLAINS OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND