Alert archive / Arkansas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2016
Flash Flood Warning 71, NWS Little Rock, AR
NWS Little Rock, AR issued this flash flood warning at Jul 30, 2016, 7:48 PM CDT for Drew County, Arkansas. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 30, 2016, 7:48 PM CDT (00:48 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 30, 2016, 10:45 PM CDT
- In force
- 3 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Little Rock, AR
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
County Drew County, AR
The radar
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 149 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 00:00Z, 0.8 hours before the alert went out and 211 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 865 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -60 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1302 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 14 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -7 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 3 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.2
The text
As transmitted.
418 WGUS54 KLZK 310048 FFWLZK ARC043-310345- /O.NEW.KLZK.FF.W.0071.160731T0048Z-160731T0345Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED FLASH FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 748 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR... CENTRAL DREW COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN ARKANSAS... * UNTIL 1045 PM CDT * AT 747 PM CDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED FLASH FLOODING IN THE TOWN OF MONTICELLO...WITH ROADS UNDERWATER. UP TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAVE ALREADY FALLEN OVER THE LAST HOUR. FLASH FLOODING IS ALREADY OCCURRING. * SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE... MONTICELLO... WILMAR... GREEN HILL... LADELLE... PLANTERSVILLE... PRAIRIE GROVE... ENON... VALLEY... LACEY... FLORENCE... MONTONGO... NEW HOPE IN DREW COUNTY... ROCK SPRINGS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF YOU ENCOUNTER FLOODED ROADS...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN! MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. && LAT...LON 3340 9196 3377 9191 3377 9162 3339 9159 $$ 65
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 30, 2:22 PM CDT, 5 hours 26 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 30, 2:22 PM CDT, 5 hours 26 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion...Update for Aviation National Weather Service Little Rock AR 635 PM CDT JUL 30 2016 .Aviation... Evening convection will affect KLIT, KPBF and KLLQ and will use VCTS and Tempo groups at Taf sites. VFR conditions are forecast overall with MVFR conditions with storms. Have seen heavy rain, gusty winds to around 25 TO 35 knots with storms and a lot of lightning. The storms will continue to drift southeast and gradually weaken through midnight. Overnight, areas of MVFR with isolated showers or thunderstorms may be seen, with some fog and low clouds forming. Winds will be light and variable or less than 10 mph from the south. Sunday will start with patchy MVFR conditions to mainly VFR with ceilings. Then again isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon to evening. (59) && .Prev Discussion.../ Issued 222 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016/ .SHORT TERM...Tonight Through Monday Scattered convection is ongoing/developing across northern and western Arkansas this afternoon. Expect this to fill in somewhat and propagate southward through mostly the western half of the state through the afternoon and early evening hours. Will carry chance PoPs into the eastern parts of the forecast area but it appears western Arkansas will be the focus for showers and thunderstorms today. An upper ridge will begin to build back into the region from the southwest on Sunday. Northwest flow aloft will likely bring one more MCS into the state during the day tomorrow...so will continue with chance PoPs for Sunday across the eastern half of the forecast area. Further west...will hold on to slight chances. The ridge will not be firmly established by tomorrow afternoon just yet so think some isolated storms could pop there. Temperature wise...warm overnight temperatures and highs in the low 90s will be seen. && .LONG TERM...Monday Night Through Saturday There's not much I can say without sounding like a broken record, but here goes. The upper ridge will expand through the week, choking off large-scale moisture, allowing for only isolated/widely scattered diurnal convection. Humidity will remain high, with afternoon heat index values approaching the 100-105 degree range. Fortunately, the ridge's influence will start to diminish in the weekend, bringing a better shot at showers/storms to the area. && .FIRE WEATHER... No significant fire weather issues are expected through the next seven days. Minimum humidity will remain high...generally above the 50th percentile. There will be several chances for isolated to widely scattered afternoon and early evening showers and thunderstorms, with the highest chances in the next 48 hours, and next weekend. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 73 92 75 95 / 30 40 20 20 Camden AR 75 95 76 96 / 20 30 10 20 Harrison AR 69 89 72 93 / 30 40 20 20 Hot Springs AR 75 94 76 95 / 30 30 10 20 Little Rock AR 75 94 76 96 / 30 30 20 20 Monticello AR 76 94 76 94 / 20 30 20 30 Mount Ida AR 74 93 75 94 / 30 30 10 20 Mountain Home AR 70 90 73 94 / 30 40 20 20 Newport AR 73 91 74 94 / 20 40 20 30 Pine Bluff AR 74 93 75 94 / 20 40 20 30 Russellville AR 74 94 75 96 / 30 40 20 20 Searcy AR 74 93 74 95 / 30 40 20 30 Stuttgart AR 74 93 76 94 / 20 40 20 30 && .LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE. && Short Term...57 / Long Term...64
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 30, 3:15 PM CDT, 4 hours 33 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 315 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016 ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-311000- BOONE-MARION-BAXTER-FULTON-SHARP-NEWTON-SEARCY-STONE-IZARD- INDEPENDENCE-JOHNSON-POPE-VAN BUREN-CLEBURNE-JACKSON-LOGAN-CONWAY- FAULKNER-WHITE-WOODRUFF-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-POLK-MONTGOMERY-GARLAND- SALINE-PULASKI-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-MONROE-PIKE-CLARK-HOT SPRING-GRANT- JEFFERSON-ARKANSAS-DALLAS-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-DESHA-OUACHITA-CALHOUN- BRADLEY-DREW- 315 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT SCATTERED TO AT TIMES NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON TO EVENING...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS. THE MAIN THREATS OF THE SEVERE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS. SOME HAIL WILL BE SEEN...WITH ALSO LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS THAT COULD LEAD TO SPOTTY FLASH FLOODING. AFTER SUNSET...THE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY WEAKEN. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL BE IN THE FORECAST ON SUNDAY...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORM. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAY THREATS. THEN HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER ARKANSAS FROM THE PLAINS. UNDER THE RIDGE...TEMPERATURES WILL HEAT UP AND RAIN CHANCES WILL DECREASE. AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES NEXT WEEK WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND 105 DEGREES. HEAT INDICES MAY EXCEED 105 DEGREES IN SPOTS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED BUT REPORTS ARE REQUESTED. && VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LZK. 46/59
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 30, 5:55 PM CDT, 1 hour 53 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
555 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016
ARZ034-302345-
WOODRUFF AR-
555 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN WOODRUFF COUNTY
UNTIL 645 PM CDT...
AT 555 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR HUNTER... OR 15 MILES NORTH OF BRINKLEY. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY
STATIONARY.
WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HUNTER... COTTON PLANT...
BECTON... HOWELL...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
&&
LAT...LON 3501 9125 3513 9126 3518 9118 3517 9112
3509 9108 3501 9112
TIME...MOT...LOC 2255Z 258DEG 3KT 3510 9120
65Special weather statement, Jul 30, 6:07 PM CDT, 1 hour 41 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
607 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016
ARZ056-063-064-068-069-302330-
JEFFERSON AR-BRADLEY AR-LINCOLN AR-DREW AR-CLEVELAND AR-
607 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN BRADLEY...
SOUTHWESTERN JEFFERSON...NORTHWESTERN DREW...WESTERN LINCOLN AND
CLEVELAND COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM CDT...
AT 607 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR LAMONT TO NEAR
ELLISVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.
HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PINE BLUFF... WARREN...
STAR CITY... RISON...
WILMAR... KINGSLAND...
HEBRON... TIPTON...
MADDING... HERBINE...
RICHARDSON... NEBO...
LINWOOD... WHITEFIELD...
CANE CREEK STATE PARK... TOLEDO...
WEEKS... BRANDON...
KEDRON... COTTONDALE...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
&&
LAT...LON 3363 9232 3368 9232 3370 9233 3406 9226
3408 9223 3422 9222 3429 9171 3360 9184
TIME...MOT...LOC 2307Z 272DEG 45KT 3415 9219 3371 9229
226Special weather statement, Jul 30, 6:51 PM CDT, 57 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
651 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016
ARZ056-063-064-068-069-310030-
JEFFERSON AR-BRADLEY AR-LINCOLN AR-DREW AR-CLEVELAND AR-
651 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN BRADLEY...
SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON...DREW...LINCOLN AND EASTERN CLEVELAND
COUNTIES UNTIL 730 PM CDT...
AT 651 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF
FEENYVILLE TO 7 MILES EAST OF HERMITAGE...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.
HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MONTICELLO... WARREN...
STAR CITY... WILMAR...
GRADY... WOODVILLE...
GREEN HILL... HERBINE...
LADELLE... NEBO...
WHITEFIELD... CANE CREEK STATE PARK...
BRANDON... PLANTERSVILLE...
FEENYVILLE... LANGFORD...
LITTLE BAYOU METO PARK... INGALLS...
PRAIRIE GROVE... SUMPTER...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
&&
LAT...LON 3338 9215 3410 9204 3419 9157 3339 9166
3340 9199 3338 9196 3337 9197
TIME...MOT...LOC 2351Z 248DEG 21KT 3406 9198 3349 9204
226Local storm report, Jul 30, 7:02 PM CDT, 46 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
702 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0510 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 ESE PINE HILL ESTATES 34.91N 91.94W
07/30/2016 LONOKE AR TRAINED SPOTTER
A TREE WAS BLOWN OVER WITH NUMEROUS BRANCHES KNOCKED
DOWN AS WELL. SOME SHINGLES WERE REMOVED FROM A HOUSE
AND SOME PLAYGROUND EQUIPMENT WAS BLOWN OVER.
&&
EVENT NUMBER LZK1600084
JHOODSpecial weather statement, Jul 30, 7:08 PM CDT, 40 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 708 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016 ARZ057-310100- ARKANSAS AR- 708 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN ARKANSAS COUNTY UNTIL 800 PM CDT... AT 708 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR DE WITT... OR 12 MILES WEST OF WHITE RIVER NATIONAL WILDLIFE REFUGE... MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... DE WITT... DE LUCE... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. && LAT...LON 3417 9138 3435 9142 3443 9120 3417 9114 TIME...MOT...LOC 0008Z 282DEG 18KT 3427 9128 65
Special weather statement, Jul 30, 7:40 PM CDT, 8 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
740 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016
ARZ064-065-069-310115-
DESHA AR-LINCOLN AR-DREW AR-
740 PM CDT SAT JUL 30 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR DESHA...EASTERN DREW AND SOUTH
CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM CDT...
AT 740 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR OMEGA TO NEAR
SNYDER...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.
HALF INCH HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DUMAS... DERMOTT...
ROHWER... ARKANSAS CITY...
MITCHELLVILLE... TILLAR...
WATSON... WINCHESTER...
MCGEHEE... OMEGA...
LUCCA LANDING... KELSO...
REED... JEROME...
BAXTER... PICKENS IN DESHA COUNTY...
GOURD... MCARTHUR...
MASONVILLE... SELMA...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 15 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
&&
LAT...LON 3396 9097 3398 9109 3393 9101 3384 9107
3378 9099 3379 9113 3373 9115 3368 9103
3370 9122 3361 9113 3352 9125 3357 9145
3339 9146 3340 9168 3390 9159 3394 9116
3401 9116 3407 9091
TIME...MOT...LOC 0040Z 259DEG 33KT 3384 9154 3322 9165
226The office that day
Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 7:08 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Arkansas | 52 min |
| Jul 30, 7:40 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Desha | 35 min |
| Jul 31, 3:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Pope, Yell | 28 min |
| Jul 31, 4:11 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Marion | 49 min |
| Jul 31, 4:42 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Marion | 48 min |
| Jul 31, 5:03 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Baxter, Fulton, Izard | 42 min |
| Jul 31, 5:39 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Conway, Van Buren | 51 min |
| Jul 31, 5:57 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Izard | 48 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 2016Every flash flood warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.