Alert archive / Arkansas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2016
Flash Flood Warning 61, NWS Little Rock, AR
NWS Little Rock, AR issued this flash flood warning at Jul 22, 2016, 8:10 PM CDT for Izard County, Arkansas. It was in force for 2 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 22, 2016, 8:10 PM CDT (01:10 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 22, 2016, 10:30 PM CDT
- In force
- 2 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Little Rock, AR
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- None
County Izard County, AR
The radar
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 143 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 1.2 hours before the alert went out and 198 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1603 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -38 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1881 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 13 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -10 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 61 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
258
WGUS54 KLZK 230110
FFWLZK
ARC065-230330-
/O.NEW.KLZK.FF.W.0061.160723T0110Z-160723T0330Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
810 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LITTLE ROCK HAS ISSUED A
* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
EAST CENTRAL IZARD COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
* UNTIL 1030 PM CDT
* AT 807 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS REPEATEDLY DEVELOPING OVER THE SAME AREAS NEAR
MELBOURNE. THE RADAR ESTIMATED 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN AND LOCALLY
MORE IN AND AROUND TOWN. GIVEN THIS MUCH RAIN...FLASH FLOODING IS
LIKELY. WHILE RAIN WILL TAPER OFF DURING THE WARNING PERIOD...IT
WILL TAKE SOME TIME FOR ANY HIGH WATER TO RUNOFF.
* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
MELBOURNE... STELLA...
LACROSSE... SAGE...
ZION... LARKIN...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IF YOU ENCOUNTER FLOODED ROADS...TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN! MOST
FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.
&&
LAT...LON 3611 9175 3598 9180 3603 9198 3614 9193
$$
46What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jul 22, 2:56 PM CDT, 5 hours 14 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 22, 2:56 PM CDT, 5 hours 14 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 256 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016 .Short Term...Tonight through Saturday night Afternoon convection firing up once again but a littke bit later than the past few days. As such, temperatures were able to warm quickly before cloud cover developed. Adams field in Little Rock managed to reach 100 degrees before noon and as of this time has reached 103 degrees. Heat indices over eastern and central sections of the CWA hve exceeded 110 degrees requirubg the issuance of an excessive heat advisory through 8 pm tonight. Hot and humid conditions will continue tonight and into Saturday with overnight lows once again in the 70s to low 80s. Conditions on Saturday will be identical to what was seen on Friday. However the ypper ridge will be supressed slightly by shortwave energy moving through southern parts of Alberta and Saskatchewan and the center of the anticyclone moving to the west. This will result in slightly lower heights and temperatures maybe a degree or two cooler, maybe. Heat advisory criteria will be met easily once again on Satursday but with the temperatures possibly dropping just a touch, will not upgrade to an excessive heat warning but situation watched closely as heat indices will approach criteria. Once again, isolated afternoon convection is expected across the CWA and expected to disipate afrter sunset. Some gusty winds and locally heavy rainfall could be seen with this convection. && .Long Term...Sunday through Friday The long term period looks to be more active...with at least decent chances for showers and thunderstorms over much of the state most afternoons next week. However it will remain quite warm to start off the period. Upper level high pressure will weaken Sunday and into early next week. As such temperatures will be cooler Sunday afternoon but moisture levels will be a little higher so the resultant afternoon heat index values will still rise above 105 degrees for much if not all of the state. The heat advisory has been extended into Sunday afternoon because of this. After Sunday rain chances will go up significantly as a weak boundary moves into the state from the north on Monday...and several weak disturbances move towards Arkansas from the central plains through the rest of the week. Additionally...a plume of +2.00 inch precipitable water values will remain situated over the state from Monday onward...meaning that what showers and thunderstorms are seen should be very efficient rain producers. The presense of more rain and cloud cover means that afternoon temperatures will be down significantly versus the last few days...with highs from the upper 80s to perhaps mid 90s in the warmer parts of Southern Arkansas expected next week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 79 96 78 95 / 20 30 10 30 Camden AR 78 97 77 96 / 20 30 10 30 Harrison AR 76 95 75 94 / 10 30 10 30 Hot Springs AR 79 97 77 95 / 20 30 10 30 Little Rock AR 80 99 78 96 / 20 30 10 30 Monticello AR 78 96 78 94 / 20 30 10 30 Mount Ida AR 77 98 76 95 / 10 30 10 30 Mountain Home AR 77 97 76 95 / 10 30 10 30 Newport AR 79 97 78 95 / 20 30 10 30 Pine Bluff AR 78 97 77 94 / 20 30 10 30 Russellville AR 78 98 77 96 / 10 30 10 30 Searcy AR 79 97 77 96 / 20 30 10 30 Stuttgart AR 79 96 78 95 / 20 30 10 30 && .LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories... Excessive Heat Warning until 8 PM CDT this evening FOR Arkansas- Bradley-Cleburne-Cleveland-Desha-Drew-Faulkner-Grant- Independence-Jackson-Jefferson-Lincoln-Lonoke-Monroe-Prairie- Pulaski-Saline-White-Woodruff. Heat Advisory until 9 PM CDT Sunday FOR Arkansas-Baxter-Boone- Bradley-Calhoun-Clark-Cleburne-Cleveland-Conway-Dallas-Desha- Drew-Faulkner-Fulton-Garland-Grant-Hot Spring-Independence-Izard- Jackson-Jefferson-Johnson-Lincoln-Logan-Lonoke-Marion-Monroe- Montgomery-Newton-Ouachita-Perry-Pike-Polk-Pope-Prairie-Pulaski- Saline-Scott-Searcy-Sharp-Stone-Van Buren-White-Woodruff-Yell. && Short Term...56 / Long Term...64
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 22, 11:10 AM CDT, 9 hours before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 1110 AM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016 ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-231000- BOONE-MARION-BAXTER-FULTON-SHARP-NEWTON-SEARCY-STONE-IZARD- INDEPENDENCE-JOHNSON-POPE-VAN BUREN-CLEBURNE-JACKSON-LOGAN-CONWAY- FAULKNER-WHITE-WOODRUFF-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-POLK-MONTGOMERY-GARLAND- SALINE-PULASKI-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-MONROE-PIKE-CLARK-HOT SPRING-GRANT- JEFFERSON-ARKANSAS-DALLAS-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-DESHA-OUACHITA- CALHOUN-BRADLEY-DREW- 1110 AM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE 90S TO AROUND 100 FOR MOST LOCATIONS THIS AFTERNOON. THESE HOT TEMPERATURES...COMBINED WITH ELEVATED HUMIDITY LEVELS...WILL RESULT IN HEAT INDEX VALUES PEAKING OVER 105 DEGREES FOR MOST AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. AREAS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN ARKANSAS WILL SEE HEAT INDICES NEAR OR OVER 110 DEGREES THIS AFTERNOON. AN EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS OF EASTERN AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS AND A HEAT ADVISORY ELSEWHERE. STAY HYDRATED AND TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS AS THESE CONDITIONS CAN CREATE HEAT ILLNESSES. SOME ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE SEEN...WITH CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING THE PRIMARY THREAT. SOME GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY ALSO BE SEEN. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY THE HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL REMAIN IN THE 90S TO AROUND 100...WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES PEAKING OVER 105 DEGREES THIS WEEKEND. TAKE EXTRA PRECAUTIONS AS THESE CONDITIONS CAN CREATE HEAT ILLNESSES. CHANCES FOR MORE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASE STARTING EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER CONDITIONS EXPECTED. OTHER THAN CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...THE THREAT FOR HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW NEXT WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. && VISIT NWS LITTLE ROCK ON THE WEB. GO TO HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/LZK. 62/66
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 22, 5:01 PM CDT, 3 hours 9 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
501 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016
ARZ044-222230-
PULASKI AR-
501 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL PULASKI COUNTY UNTIL 530
PM CDT...
AT 501 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
CHENAL VALLEY...OR OVER WEST LITTLE ROCK. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY
STATIONARY.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LITTLE ROCK... NORTH LITTLE ROCK...
WEST LITTLE ROCK... MAUMELLE...
SOUTHWEST LITTLE ROCK... CHENAL VALLEY...
STATE FAIRGROUNDS... PINNACLE MOUNTAIN STATE PARK...
CAMMACK VILLAGE... WAR MEMORIAL STADIUM...
FERNDALE... HILLCREST NEIGHBORHOOD...
THE HEIGHTS...
LAT...LON 3472 9229 3467 9248 3468 9250 3480 9259
3487 9241
TIME...MOT...LOC 2201Z 234DEG 2KT 3477 9246
46Special weather statement, Jul 22, 5:21 PM CDT, 2 hours 49 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 521 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016 ARZ007-016-222245- INDEPENDENCE AR-SHARP AR- 521 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016 ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN INDEPENDENCE AND SOUTH CENTRAL SHARP COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM CDT... AT 520 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAVE CITY...OR 14 MILES NORTHEAST OF BATESVILLE. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... AETNA... CHARLOTTE... LAT...LON 3597 9149 3596 9136 3579 9136 3581 9157 TIME...MOT...LOC 2220Z 018DEG 3KT 3591 9145 46
Special weather statement, Jul 22, 5:22 PM CDT, 2 hours 48 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
522 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016
ARZ043-222245-
SALINE AR-
522 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN SALINE COUNTY UNTIL
545 PM CDT...
AT 522 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8
MILES SOUTHWEST OF WILLIAMS JUNCTION...OR 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF HOT
SPRINGS VILLAGE. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
REFORM... PARON...
LAT...LON 3486 9293 3484 9275 3483 9274 3484 9274
3484 9273 3465 9274 3469 9295
TIME...MOT...LOC 2222Z 018DEG 3KT 3477 9284
46Special weather statement, Jul 22, 6:01 PM CDT, 2 hours 9 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
601 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016
ARZ042-222330-
GARLAND AR-
601 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN GARLAND COUNTY UNTIL
630 PM CDT...
AT 600 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
HOT SPRINGS VILLAGE. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOT SPRINGS VILLAGE... MOUNTAIN VALLEY...
LAT...LON 3469 9303 3468 9298 3464 9297 3464 9291
3463 9291 3455 9292 3457 9310
TIME...MOT...LOC 2300Z 014DEG 1KT 3463 9300
46Special weather statement, Jul 22, 6:16 PM CDT, 1 hour 54 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
616 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016
ARZ053-222345-
CLARK AR-
616 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL CLARK COUNTY UNTIL
645 PM CDT...
AT 616 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
RICHWOODS...OR 10 MILES SOUTH OF ARKADELPHIA. THIS STORM WAS NEARLY
STATIONARY.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CURTIS... GRIFFITHTOWN...
LAT...LON 3391 9309 3402 9312 3406 9296 3399 9295
3397 9296 3396 9294 3394 9294
TIME...MOT...LOC 2316Z 341DEG 2KT 3398 9301
46Special weather statement, Jul 22, 6:41 PM CDT, 1 hour 29 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
641 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016
ARZ015-016-230015-
IZARD AR-INDEPENDENCE AR-
641 PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN INDEPENDENCE AND
SOUTHEASTERN IZARD COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM CDT...
AT 640 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A CLUSTER OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR STELLA TO NEAR
CUSHMAN. THE STORMS WERE NEARLY STATIONARY.
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BATESVILLE... MELBOURNE...
CUSHMAN... MOUNT PLEASANT...
MOOREFIELD... LACROSSE...
GID... LUNENBURG...
STELLA... CROKER...
BETHESDA... LAFFERTY...
SAGE... PFEIFFER...
SANDTOWN... GAINESBORO...
ZION...
LAT...LON 3611 9180 3600 9171 3594 9171 3594 9165
3577 9151 3574 9174 3608 9203
TIME...MOT...LOC 2340Z 155DEG 10KT 3604 9183 3588 9170
46The office that day
Everything else NWS Little Rock, AR issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 7:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Independence, Jackson | 24 min |
| Jul 23, 11:27 AM CDT | Excessive Heat Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline, White | 9 hr |
| Jul 23, 1:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Ouachita | 27 min |
| Jul 23, 2:17 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Ouachita | 43 min |
| Jul 23, 2:25 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Perry | 50 min |
| Jul 23, 2:44 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Arkansas | 46 min |
| Jul 23, 2:55 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Woodruff | 50 min |
| Jul 23, 3:19 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Monroe | 26 min |
| Jul 23, 3:25 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | White | 35 min |
| Jul 23, 3:57 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Pulaski | 33 min |
| Jul 23, 4:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, White | 38 min |
| Jul 23, 4:12 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Hot Spring | 33 min |
| Jul 23, 4:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Pulaski | 34 min |
| Jul 23, 5:09 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Faulkner | 36 min |
| Jul 23, 5:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Saline | 43 min |
| Jul 23, 5:37 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | LZK | Jefferson | 23 min |
| Jul 23, 6:06 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Saline | 2 hr |
| Jul 23, 6:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Grant | 43 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Warnings in Arkansas, 2016Every flash flood warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.