Wind Advisory 78, NWS Los Angeles, CA

081 
WWUS76 KLOX 191553
NPWLOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
853 AM PDT WED OCT 19 2016

...GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THURSDSAY MORNING...

.GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS WILL OCCUR ACROSS WIND PRONE AREAS OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES THROUGH THURSDAY.

CAZ039-052-191700-
/O.EXP.KLOX.WI.Y.0077.000000T0000Z-161019T1600Z/
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY SOUTH COAST-SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANTA BARBARA...MONTECITO...
CARPINTERIA...SAN MARCOS PASS...SAN RAFAEL WILDERNESS AREA...
DICK SMITH WILDERNESS AREA
853 AM PDT WED OCT 19 2016

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM PDT THIS MORNING...

ADVISORY-LEVEL WINDS HAVE STOPPED ALONG THE SANTA BARBARA SOUTH
COAST AND SANTA BARBARA MOUNTAINS. ISOLATED GUSTY CONDITIONS MAY
CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER HOUR OR SO IN AREAS COMMONLY AFFECTED BY
NORTH WINDS...BUT SHOULD REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY-STRENGTH

$$

CAZ053-054-200000-
/O.CON.KLOX.WI.Y.0076.000000T0000Z-161020T1900Z/
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOCKWOOD VALLEY...MOUNT PINOS...ACTON...
MOUNT WILSON...SANDBERG
853 AM PDT WED OCT 19 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PDT THURSDAY...

* WINDS AND TIMING...AREAS OF NORTH WINDS 20 TO 35 MPH WITH 
  GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL CONTINUE EARLY THIS MORNING. THE WINDS 
  WILL BE STRONGEST THROUGH THE INTERSTATE 5 CORRIDOR. ISOLATED 
  GUSTS OVER 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR WHITAKER PEAK. WINDS 
  WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHEAST 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 TO 55 
  MPH LATER THIS MORNING. THE WINDS WILL LAST INTO THURSDAY 
  MORNING BUT THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT LULL LATER THIS AFTERNOON 
  AND EARLY EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR DRIVERS OF HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. THE GUSTY WINDS COULD 
  ALSO BRING DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES AS WELL AS POWER 
  OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN DRIVING...USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE PREPARED FOR SUDDEN GUSTY
CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

CAZ088-547-200000-
/O.CON.KLOX.WI.Y.0076.000000T0000Z-161020T1900Z/
SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN FERNANDO VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANTA CLARITA...NEWHALL...VALENCIA...
WOODLAND HILLS...NORTHRIDGE...BURBANK...UNIVERSAL CITY
853 AM PDT WED OCT 19 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PDT THURSDAY...

* WINDS AND TIMING...AREAS OF NORTH WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH 
  GUSTS TO 35 MPH WILL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AND INCREASE TO 15 
  TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. THE WINDS WILL LAST INTO 
  THURSDAY MORNING BUT THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT LULL LATER THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE 
  ACROSS THE SANTA CLARITA VALLEY AS WELL AS THE NORTHERN AND 
  WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE SAN FERNANDO VALLEY. 

* IMPACTS...GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR DRIVERS OF HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. GUSTY WINDS MAY GENERATE 
  REDUCED VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING DUST AND DEBRIS FROM THE 
  RECENT SAND FIRE BURN AREA. THE GUSTY WINDS COULD ALSO BRING 
  DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES AS WELL AS POWER OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN DRIVING...USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE PREPARED FOR SUDDEN GUSTY
CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

CAZ046-200000-
/O.CON.KLOX.WI.Y.0077.000000T0000Z-161020T1900Z/
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-
853 AM PDT WED OCT 19 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PDT THURSDAY...

* WINDS AND TIMING...AREAS OF NORTH WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH 
  GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL BECOME NORTHEAST 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 
  45 TO 55 MPH LATER THIS MORNING. 

* IMPACTS...GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR DRIVERS OF HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. THE GUSTY WINDS COULD 
  ALSO BRING DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES AS WELL AS POWER 
  OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN DRIVING...USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE PREPARED FOR SUDDEN GUSTY
CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

CAZ044-045-200000-
/O.CON.KLOX.WI.Y.0077.000000T0000Z-161020T1900Z/
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANTA PAULA...FILLMORE...OJAI...PIRU...
THOUSAND OAKS...SIMI VALLEY...MOORPARK...NEWBURY PARK
853 AM PDT WED OCT 19 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PDT THURSDAY...

* WINDS AND TIMING...AREAS OF NORTH WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH 
  GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL CONTINUE. THE WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHEAST 
  20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 40 TO 50 MPH LATER THIS MORNING. THE 
  WINDS WILL LAST INTO THURSDAY MORNING BUT THERE WILL BE A 
  SLIGHT LULL LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR DRIVERS OF HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. THE GUSTY WINDS COULD 
  ALSO BRING DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES AS WELL AS POWER 
  OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN DRIVING...USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE PREPARED FOR SUDDEN GUSTY
CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

CAZ040-192200-
/O.CON.KLOX.WI.Y.0076.000000T0000Z-161019T2200Z/
VENTURA COUNTY COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VENTURA...OXNARD...CAMARILLO
853 AM PDT WED OCT 19 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM PDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS AND TIMING...NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH 
  GUSTS TO 45 MPH WILL DEVELOP AROUND DAWN AND WILL THEN PERSIST 
  INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR DRIVERS OF HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN DRIVING...USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE PREPARED FOR SUDDEN GUSTY
CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

CAZ041-192200-
/O.CON.KLOX.WI.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-161019T2200Z/
LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MALIBU...SANTA MONICA...BEVERLY HILLS...
HOLLYWOOD...LONG BEACH
853 AM PDT WED OCT 19 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM PDT THIS
AFTERNOON...

* WINDS AND TIMING...NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH 
  GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL DEVELOP BETWEEN MALIBU AND THE HOLLYWOOD 
  HILLS AND PERSIST INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL THEN 
  DIMINISH SOME. 

* IMPACTS...GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR DRIVERS OF HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. THE GUSTY WINDS COULD 
  ALSO BRING DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES AS WELL AS POWER 
  OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN DRIVING...USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE PREPARED FOR SUDDEN GUSTY
CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

363 
WWUS76 KLOX 192147
NPWLOX

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
247 PM PDT WED OCT 19 2016

...GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THURSDSAY MORNING...

.GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS WILL OCCUR ACROSS WIND PRONE AREAS OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES THROUGH THURSDAY.

CAZ040-192300-
/O.EXP.KLOX.WI.Y.0076.000000T0000Z-161019T2200Z/
VENTURA COUNTY COAST-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VENTURA...OXNARD...CAMARILLO
247 PM PDT WED OCT 19 2016

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 3 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON...

THE POINT MUGU AREA HAS BEEN GUSTING OVER 30 MPH SINCE AROUND 9AM
AND MAY EXPERIENCE OCCASIONAL GUSTS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS, BUT
THE CONDITIONS ARE NOT WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO CONTINUE THE ADVISORY
FOR ALL OF THE VENTURA COUNTY COAST AREA. SEVERAL SITES WILL STILL
SEE GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.

$$

CAZ041-192300-
/O.EXP.KLOX.WI.Y.0078.000000T0000Z-161019T2200Z/
LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MALIBU...SANTA MONICA...BEVERLY HILLS...
HOLLYWOOD...LONG BEACH
247 PM PDT WED OCT 19 2016

...WIND ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 3 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON...

ALL SITES IN THE LOS ANGELES COASTAL AREA HAVE BEEN BELOW
ADVISORY-STRENGTH FOR OVER AN HOUR AND THE ADVISORY WILL END AT
3PM.

$$

CAZ053-054-200600-
/O.CON.KLOX.WI.Y.0076.000000T0000Z-161020T1900Z/
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOCKWOOD VALLEY...MOUNT PINOS...ACTON...
MOUNT WILSON...SANDBERG
247 PM PDT WED OCT 19 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PDT THURSDAY...

* WINDS AND TIMING...ISOLATED GUSTS OVER 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
  NEAR WHITAKER PEAK. WINDS WILL BE NORTHEAST 20 TO 35 MPH WITH
  GUSTS 45 TO 55 MPH. THE WINDS WILL LAST INTO THURSDAY MORNING
  BUT THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT LULL LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY
  EVENING.

* IMPACTS...GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR DRIVERS OF HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. THE GUSTY WINDS COULD 
  ALSO BRING DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES AS WELL AS POWER 
  OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN DRIVING...USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE PREPARED FOR SUDDEN GUSTY
CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

CAZ088-547-200600-
/O.CON.KLOX.WI.Y.0076.000000T0000Z-161020T1900Z/
SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN FERNANDO VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANTA CLARITA...NEWHALL...VALENCIA...
WOODLAND HILLS...NORTHRIDGE...BURBANK...UNIVERSAL CITY
247 PM PDT WED OCT 19 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PDT THURSDAY...

* WINDS AND TIMING...NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
  50 MPH. THE WINDS WILL LAST INTO THURSDAY MORNING BUT THERE WILL
  BE A SLIGHT LULL LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE
  STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE ACROSS THE SANTA CLARITA VALLEY AS WELL
  AS THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE SAN FERNANDO VALLEY.

* IMPACTS...GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR DRIVERS OF HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. GUSTY WINDS MAY GENERATE 
  REDUCED VISIBILITIES DUE TO BLOWING DUST AND DEBRIS FROM THE 
  RECENT SAND FIRE BURN AREA. THE GUSTY WINDS COULD ALSO BRING 
  DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES AS WELL AS POWER OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN DRIVING...USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE PREPARED FOR SUDDEN GUSTY
CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

CAZ046-200600-
/O.CON.KLOX.WI.Y.0077.000000T0000Z-161020T1900Z/
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-
247 PM PDT WED OCT 19 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PDT THURSDAY...

* WINDS AND TIMING...NORTHEAST 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS 45 TO 55.

* IMPACTS...GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR DRIVERS OF HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. THE GUSTY WINDS COULD 
  ALSO BRING DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES AS WELL AS POWER 
  OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN DRIVING...USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE PREPARED FOR SUDDEN GUSTY
CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

CAZ044-045-200600-
/O.CON.KLOX.WI.Y.0077.000000T0000Z-161020T1900Z/
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SANTA PAULA...FILLMORE...OJAI...PIRU...
THOUSAND OAKS...SIMI VALLEY...MOORPARK...NEWBURY PARK
247 PM PDT WED OCT 19 2016

...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON PDT THURSDAY...

* WINDS AND TIMING...NORTHEAST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS 40 TO 50
  MPH. THE WINDS WILL LAST INTO THURSDAY MORNING BUT THERE WILL
  BE A SLIGHT LULL LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

* IMPACTS...GUSTY WINDS WILL MAKE DRIVING DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY 
  FOR DRIVERS OF HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. THE GUSTY WINDS COULD 
  ALSO BRING DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES AS WELL AS POWER 
  OUTAGES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

WHEN DRIVING...USE EXTRA CAUTION. BE PREPARED FOR SUDDEN GUSTY
CROSS WINDS.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
436 AM PDT Wed Oct 19 2016

.SYNOPSIS...

Santa Ana winds will develop by Wednesday morning as surface high
pressure builds into the Great Basin. Hot and dry conditions are
then expected through Friday, with record heat possible on
Thursday. Cooling is likely over the weekend into early next week
as a trough of low pressure approaches and brings a slight chance
of rain.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TDY-FRI)

Clear skies with windy and warm conditions will be the order of
the day today and thursday. North wind event did very well
despite lack of upper air or thermal support. Overnight offshore
gradients were impressive with the BFL-LAX grad bottoming out
-8.3 mb and the SBA-BFL grad at a remarkable -8 mb. All wind
advisories are doing well and the SBA south coast advisory was
extended to 600 am. the transition from a north wind event to a
northeast wind event has started as the grad to KDAG has been
trending offshore for the last several hours. just after sunrise
the north winds will shut off and the northeast winds will
develop. There will be a slight lull in the winds later this
afternoon and early evening but then the winds will increase again
later tonight and last into thursday morning.

Max temps will soar today as a East Pac ridge moves into the
area. 588 DM hgts along with the offshore flow will allow max
temps across the coasts and vlys to warm about 10 degrees and most
max temps will end up in the mid 80s to lower 90s.

Low temps tonight will be an interesting patchwork of above and
below normal readings. wind sheltered areas will allow the dry air
to radiate out its heat quickly and these areas (like Ojai) will
see below normal min temps. Windier areas will see lows many
degrees above normal. Oddly there will be plenty of places where
above and below normal low temps will be within a few miles of
each other.

Thursday will be rather kiln like as the ridge expands and pushes
591 DM hgts into the area. Max temps will jump another 6 to 8
degrees and almost all of the coasts and vlys will see max temps
between 90 and 102. People vulnerable to the heat will need to
take precautions. Max temps will be 15 to 20 degrees above
normal.

The ridge and the offshore flow will diminish somewhat on Friday
and while there will be some morning canyon winds they will be
below advisory thresholds and while max temps will still be well
above normal. They will be 3 to 6 degrees cooler than thursdays
values.

.LONG TERM...(SAT-TUE)

The cooling will continue Saturday as the upper level high shifts
further to the east and the pressure gradients relax some more.
Max temps will cool another 4 to 8 degrees but will remain 3 to 6
degrees above normal.

The GFS and EC agree that there will be a big change in the
pattern starting Sunday. Strong SW flow aloft will move in over
the state as another strong storm approaches the PAC NW. Heights
will fall and onshore flow will increase. Skies will turn partly
cloudy as mid level moisture streams in. Afternoon maximum
temperatures will fall to near normal. A small trof will move over
the area later Sunday evening and Monday. This trof will being
mostly cloudy skies and a slight chc of rain to the area late
Sunday and Monday to the area. Right now mdls are showing the best
chc of rain over LA/Orange counties but that could easily change
as we get closer to the weekend.

GFS and EC begin to diverge on Tuesday but either soln will bring
about the same forecast to area with clearer skies and slightly
warmer temps.

Out in fantasy land the EC brings a storm to the area Friday
and/or Saturday while the GFS shows dry conditions.

&&

.AVIATION...19/1120Z...

At 11Z, there was no marine layer near KLAX.

Hi confidence for CAVU tafs over next 24-hours. some local UDDF
and LLWS possible for KBUR, KVNY, KCMA, KOXR through 21z this
today.

KLAX...Hi confidence in the 12Z TAF with VFR conditions expected
at the airfield through Thu evening.

KBUR...Hi confidence in the 12Z TAF with VFR conditions expected
through thu night. 30% chance for no LLWS between through 21z
this afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...19/230 AM.

For the outer waters...good confidence in small craft advisory
level winds will then continue overnight. For the inner
waters... Winds are expected to shift to the northeast for the
nearshore waters south of Point Conception by this morning as
Santa Ana conditions develop. Small Craft Advisory has been issued
for the inner waters...mainly between Ventura and Santa Monica due
to gusty offshore winds below passes and canyons. There will be a
secondary of gusty NE to E winds across the San Pedro Channel to
Avalon Harbor. Winds should a bit weaker in that region this
morning. Offshore NE winds will diminish this afternoon...but
should redevelop late tonight into Thursdsay morning. Winds should
be a bit weaker compared to this morning. There is a 60% chance
that another Small Craft Advisory might be needed for the same area
early Thursday morning.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

18/400 PM

A prolonged period of elevated to critical fire danger is
expected to occur through Friday. Continued strong northerly
gradients will support gusty north to northeast winds through
late tonight. The peak of the northerly winds are expected to
this evening into tonight, with the focus of strongest winds over
the I-5 corridor and SBA county mountains/south coast. The
northerly winds are also expected to filter down into the Santa
Clarita/San Fernando valleys as well as the Santa Monica
mountains. North winds gusting between 35 and 45 mph will be
common across the above mentioned areas, with some stronger gusts
up to 55 mph or higher across the favored areas of the Interstate
5 corridor as well as the Montecito HIlls area in the Santa Ynez
mountains. Peak LAX- Bakersfield and Santa Barbara- Bakersfield
gradients are expected to reach -6 to -7 mb tonight. Significant
drying will continue tonight with humidities generally lowering
to between 10 and 20 percent...except higher elevations could see
humidities lowering into single digits. Red flag warnings
currently in effect reflect the critical fire danger with these
conditions.

Winds will begin to shift to a more northeast direction later
tonight and Wednesday morning, and remain quite gusty through
Thursday. The offshore flow associated with this Santa Ana wind
event is likely going to be the strongest we have seen so far this
season, with the projected LAX-Daggett gradient in the -6 to -7
mb range on Wednesday morning and Thursday morning. There is
moderate upper level wind support with this Santa Ana wind event
Wednesday into Wednesday night. Northeast winds are expected to
gust between 45 and 55 mph across the mountains of LA/Ventura
counties, with gusts generally in the 35 to 45 mph range for
coastal/valley areas. This Santa Ana wind event will also bring
significant warming and drying to the region. Looking for
widespread and long durations of single digit humidities Wednesday
into Thursday, with some areas seeing values as low as 3 percent.
In addition, there will be very poor overnight humidity
recoveries. Temperatures will climb into the lower to mid 90s
across warmest coastal/valley locations on Wednesday, then between
95 to 100 degrees on Thursday. With the very dry fuels in place,
this Santa Ana wind event will bring a very critical fire weather
pattern to Southern California. Any fire ignitions in wind prone
areas will be capable of very rapid fire spread with long range
spotting potential, as well as extreme fire behavior. Red flag
warnings currently in effect also reflect the expected critical
fire conditions for these areas.

Also of note, a period of gusty offshore winds are expected
across much of SLO county as well as the SBA Central Coast
on Tuesday night and Wednesday morning, where wind gusts up to
35 mph and lowering humidities will bring elevated fire danger
concerns.

Santa Ana winds are expected to diminish some Thursday night into
Friday, however the very warm and dry conditions will
maintain elevated fire danger concerns. Widespread single digit
humidities and temperatures in the 90s to around 100 can be
expected across much of LA/Ventura counties on Friday.

&&

.LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...Wind Advisory in effect until 6 AM PDT early this morning For
      zones 39-52. (See LAXNPWLOX).
     Wind Advisory in effect until 3 PM PDT this afternoon For
      zone 40. (See LAXNPWLOX).
     Wind Advisory in effect until noon PDT today For zone 41. (See LAXNPWLOX).
     Wind Advisory in effect until noon PDT Thursday For zones
      44>46-53-54-547. (See LAXNPWLOX).
     Red Flag Warning in effect until 6 AM PDT early this morning
      For zones 239-252. (See LAXRFWLOX).
     Red Flag Warning in effect from 8 AM this morning to 8 PM PDT
      Thursday For zones 240-241. (See LAXRFWLOX).
     Red Flag Warning in effect until 8 PM PDT Thursday For zones
      244>246-253-254. (See LAXRFWLOX).
PZ...Small Craft Advisory in effect from 8 AM this morning to 3 PM
      PDT this afternoon For zones 650-655. (See LAXMWWLOX).
     Small Craft Advisory in effect until 3 AM PDT Thursday For
      zones 670-673-676. (See LAXMWWLOX).

&&

PUBLIC...Rorke
FIRE...Munroe
AVIATION...Kaplan
MARINE...Kaplan
SYNOPSIS...Sukup

weather.gov/losangeles

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
600 AM PDT WED OCT 19 2016

CAZ034>041-044>046-051>054-059-087-088-547-548-201300-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-SANTA YNEZ VALLEY-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-CUYAMA VALLEY-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY SOUTH COAST-VENTURA COUNTY COAST-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES-
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE-
ANTELOPE VALLEY-CATALINA ISLAND-SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN FERNANDO VALLEY-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN GABRIEL VALLEY-
600 AM PDT WED OCT 19 2016

THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL NO LONGER BE ISSUED BEGINNING
NOVEMBER 14, 2016. PLEASE REFER TO THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
(AFDLOX) FOR HAZARD INFORMATION.

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA.

.DAY ONE... TODAY

WARM AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL BRING EXTREME FIRE DANGER TO THE AREA
TODAY. GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS WILL BRING HAZARDS TO MOTORISTS IN HIGH
PROFILE VEHICLES. VERY WARM CONDITIONS WILL MAKE OUTDOOR ACTIVITY
HAZARDOUS.

* RED FLAG WARNING...........SEE WWUS86 KLOX - RFWLOX FOR DETAILS *

* WIND ADVISORY..............SEE WWUS76 KLOX - NPWLOX FOR DETAILS *

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

WARM AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL BRING EXTREME FIRE DANGER TO THE AREA
THURSDAY. GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS WILL BRING HAZARDS TO MOTORISTS IN
HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. HOT CONDITIONS WILL MAKE OUTDOOR ACTIVITY
HAZARDOUS AS WELL AS MAKING IT HAZARDOUS FOR PEOPLE SUSCEPTIBLE TO
HEAT LIVING WITHOUT AIR CONDITIONING.

* RED FLAG WARNING...........SEE WWUS86 KLOX - RFWLOX FOR DETAILS *

* WIND ADVISORY..............SEE WWUS76 KLOX - NPWLOX FOR DETAILS *

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

RORKE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1221 AM PDT WED OCT 19 2016

CAZ034>041-044>046-051>054-059-087-088-547>550-200300-SAN LUIS
OBISPO COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY CENTRAL COAST-SANTA YNEZ VALLEY-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-CUYAMA VALLEY-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY SOUTH COAST-VENTURA COUNTY COAST-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES-
VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS-VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS-
SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS-LOS ANGELES COUNTY
MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE-
ANTELOPE VALLEY-CATALINA AND SANTA BARBARA ISLANDS-
SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN FERNANDO VALLEY-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY SAN GABRIEL VALLEY-
SAN MIGUEL AND SANTA ROSA ISLANDS-SANTA CRUZ AND ANACAPA ISLANDS-
1221 AM PDT WED OCT 19 2016

...UNSEASONABLY HOT WEATHER TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY WITH POTENTIAL
RECORD HEAT FOR THURSDAY...

UNSEASONABLY HOT WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY...AS SANTA
ANA WINDS DEVELOP AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ALOFT. IN ADDITION TO
POTENTIAL HEAT IMPACTS...THE HOT...DRY...AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL
RESULT IN EXTREME FIRE DANGER FOR PORTIONS OF LOS ANGELES AND
VENTURA COUNTIES THAT ARE PRONE TO SANTA ANA WINDS...WHERE NORTHEAST
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GUST BETWEEN 35 AND 55 MPH THIS MORNING AND
ONCE AGAIN LATE THIS EVENING INTO THURSDAY MORNING.

FOR TODAY...TEMPERATURES IN MANY COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS ARE
EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE LOW TO MID 90S. FURTHER WARMING IS
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES AROUND 100 DEGREES IN
THE HOTTEST COASTAL AND VALLEY LOCATIONS. THE BEST CHANCE FOR RECORD
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THURSDAY...WHEN TEMPERATURES WILL BE
RUNNING 15 TO 25 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. SLIGHT COOLING IS EXPECTED ON
FRIDAY...BUT MANY AREAS WILL REMAIN IN THE MID TO UPPER 90S. SOME
RELIEF IS EXPECTED AT NIGHT DUE TO THE DRY AIRMASS...WITH
TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S...BUT THE FOOTHILLS AND
WIND PRONE VALLEY AREAS SHOULD REMAIN IN THE LOW 70S.

THE UNSEASONABLY HOT CONDITIONS DURING THE DAYTIME WILL LIKELY
RESULT IN AN INCREASED RISK OF HEAT RELATED ILLNESSES...ESPECIALLY
FOR THE HOMELESS...ELDERLY...INFANTS...AND ANYONE PARTICIPATING IN
OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES. IF HEADING OUTDOORS...REMEMBER YOUR HEAT SAFETY
TIPS. DRINK PLENTY OF WATER AND WEAR LIGHT-COLORED AND LIGHT-WEIGHT
CLOTHING. STAY OUT OF THE MIDDAY SUN IF POSSIBLE.
NEVER LEAVE ANY PERSON OR PET IN A PARKED VEHICLE...EVEN FOR A
SHORT TIME.

SUKUP/KAPLAN