Alert archive / Illinois / Wind Advisories in 2016
Wind Advisory 3, NWS Chicago, IL
NWS Chicago, IL issued this wind advisory at Mar 15, 2016, 4:06 PM EDT for 5 counties in Indiana; 16 counties in Illinois. It took effect at Mar 16, 2016, 8:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 13 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 15, 2016, 4:06 PM EDT (20:06 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 16, 2016, 8:00 AM EDT
- Expired
- Mar 16, 2016, 8:50 PM EDT
- In force
- 13 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Chicago, IL
All 21 counties
Boone County, IL, DeKalb County, IL, DuPage County, IL, Ford County, IL, Grundy County, IL, Iroquois County, IL, Kane County, IL, Kankakee County, IL, Kendall County, IL, Lake County, IL, LaSalle County, IL, Lee County, IL, Livingston County, IL, McHenry County, IL, Ogle County, IL, Winnebago County, IL, Benton County, IN, Jasper County, IN, Lake County, IN, Newton County, IN, Porter County, IN
The radar
The Chicago radar (KLOT), 15 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 156 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 127 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -165 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 750 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 47 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 170 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 230 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.3
The text
As transmitted.
808 WWUS73 KLOT 152006 NPWLOT URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 306 PM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016 ILZ019-021-160600- /O.UPG.KLOT.HW.A.0001.160316T1200Z-160317T0100Z/ /O.NEW.KLOT.WI.Y.0003.160316T1200Z-160317T0100Z/ LA SALLE-GRUNDY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OTTAWA...MORRIS 306 PM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 8 PM CDT WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 8 PM CDT WEDNESDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING...WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY MAKE FOR DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. WINDS COULD CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE. ANY LIGHT WEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECT SHOULD BE SECURED OR BROUGHT INDOORS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH...ARE LIKELY. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE UNLESS PRECAUTIONS ARE TAKEN. DRIVING MAY BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT AND USE CAUTION. && $$ ILZ023-032-033-039-INZ010-011-019-160600- /O.NEW.KLOT.WI.Y.0003.160316T1200Z-160317T0100Z/ KANKAKEE-LIVINGSTON-IROQUOIS-FORD-NEWTON-JASPER-BENTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KANKAKEE...PONTIAC...WATSEKA...PAXTON... MOROCCO...RENSSELAER...FOWLER 306 PM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016 /406 PM EDT TUE MAR 15 2016/ ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT /8 AM EDT/ TO 8 PM CDT /9 PM EDT/ WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT /8 AM EDT/ TO 8 PM CDT /9 PM EDT/ WEDNESDAY. * TIMING...WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH. GUSTS TO 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE FOR DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. WINDS COULD ALSO CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE. ANY LIGHT WEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECT SHOULD BE SECURED OR BROUGHT INDOORS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH...ARE LIKELY. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE UNLESS PRECAUTIONS ARE TAKEN. DRIVING MAY BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT AND USE CAUTION. && $$ ILZ003>006-008-010>014-020-022-INZ001-002-160600- /O.CON.KLOT.HW.A.0001.160316T1200Z-160317T0100Z/ WINNEBAGO-BOONE-MCHENRY-LAKE IL-OGLE-LEE-DE KALB-KANE-DUPAGE-COOK- KENDALL-WILL-LAKE IN-PORTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCKFORD...BELVIDERE...WOODSTOCK... WAUKEGAN...OREGON...DIXON...DEKALB...AURORA...WHEATON...CHICAGO... OSWEGO...JOLIET...GARY...VALPARAISO 306 PM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016 ...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... * TIMING...WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO AT LEAST 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED AND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY MAKE FOR DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. WINDS COULD CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE. ANY LIGHT WEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECT SHOULD BE SECURED OR BROUGHT INDOORS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ KMD
6 follow-up statements
165 WWUS73 KLOT 152007 CCA NPWLOT URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 307 PM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016 ILZ019-021-160615- /O.UPG.KLOT.HW.A.0001.160316T1200Z-160317T0100Z/ /O.COR.KLOT.WI.Y.0003.160316T1200Z-160317T0100Z/ LA SALLE-GRUNDY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OTTAWA...MORRIS 307 PM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 8 PM CDT WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 8 PM CDT WEDNESDAY. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING...WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE FOR DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. WINDS COULD ALSO CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE. ANY LIGHT WEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECT SHOULD BE SECURED OR BROUGHT INDOORS. ACTS... PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH...ARE LIKELY. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE UNLESS PRECAUTIONS ARE TAKEN. DRIVING MAY BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT AND USE CAUTION. && $$ ILZ023-032-033-039-INZ010-011-019-160615- /O.NEW.KLOT.WI.Y.0003.160316T1200Z-160317T0100Z/ KANKAKEE-LIVINGSTON-IROQUOIS-FORD-NEWTON-JASPER-BENTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KANKAKEE...PONTIAC...WATSEKA...PAXTON... MOROCCO...RENSSELAER...FOWLER 307 PM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016 /407 PM EDT TUE MAR 15 2016/ ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT /8 AM EDT/ TO 8 PM CDT /9 PM EDT/ WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT /8 AM EDT/ TO 8 PM CDT /9 PM EDT/ WEDNESDAY. * TIMING...WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH. GUSTS TO 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE FOR DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. WINDS COULD ALSO CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE. ANY LIGHT WEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECT SHOULD BE SECURED OR BROUGHT INDOORS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH...ARE LIKELY. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE UNLESS PRECAUTIONS ARE TAKEN. DRIVING MAY BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT AND USE CAUTION. && $$ ILZ003>006-008-010>014-020-022-INZ001-002-160615- /O.CON.KLOT.HW.A.0001.160316T1200Z-160317T0100Z/ WINNEBAGO-BOONE-MCHENRY-LAKE IL-OGLE-LEE-DE KALB-KANE-DUPAGE-COOK- KENDALL-WILL-LAKE IN-PORTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCKFORD...BELVIDERE...WOODSTOCK... WAUKEGAN...OREGON...DIXON...DEKALB...AURORA...WHEATON...CHICAGO... OSWEGO...JOLIET...GARY...VALPARAISO 307 PM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016 ...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... * TIMING...WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO AT LEAST 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED AND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY MAKE FOR DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. WINDS COULD CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE. ANY LIGHT WEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECT SHOULD BE SECURED OR BROUGHT INDOORS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ KMD
061 WWUS73 KLOT 160222 NPWLOT URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 922 PM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016 ILZ019-021-023-032-033-039-INZ010-011-019-161030- /O.CON.KLOT.WI.Y.0003.160316T1200Z-160317T0100Z/ LA SALLE-GRUNDY-KANKAKEE-LIVINGSTON-IROQUOIS-FORD-NEWTON-JASPER- BENTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OTTAWA...MORRIS...KANKAKEE...PONTIAC... WATSEKA...PAXTON...MOROCCO...RENSSELAER...FOWLER 922 PM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016 /1022 PM EDT TUE MAR 15 2016/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT /8 AM EDT/ TO 8 PM CDT /9 PM EDT/ WEDNESDAY... * TIMING...WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL MAKE FOR DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. WINDS COULD ALSO CAUSE MINOR DAMAGE. ANY LIGHT WEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECT SHOULD BE SECURED OR BROUGHT INDOORS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH...ARE LIKELY. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE UNLESS PRECAUTIONS ARE TAKEN. DRIVING MAY BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT AND USE CAUTION. && $$ ILZ003>006-008-010>014-020-022-INZ001-002-161030- /O.CON.KLOT.HW.A.0001.160316T1200Z-160317T0100Z/ WINNEBAGO-BOONE-MCHENRY-LAKE IL-OGLE-LEE-DE KALB-KANE-DUPAGE-COOK- KENDALL-WILL-LAKE IN-PORTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCKFORD...BELVIDERE...WOODSTOCK... WAUKEGAN...OREGON...DIXON...DEKALB...AURORA...WHEATON...CHICAGO... OSWEGO...JOLIET...GARY...VALPARAISO 922 PM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016 ...HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT WEDNESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... * TIMING...WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING. * WINDS...SOUTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO AT LEAST 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED AND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY MAKE FOR DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. WINDS COULD CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE. ANY LIGHT WEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECT SHOULD BE SECURED OR BROUGHT INDOORS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WATCH MEANS THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT. SUSTAINED WINDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH...OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR STRONGER MAY OCCUR. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$
613 WWUS73 KLOT 160858 NPWLOT URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 358 AM CDT WED MAR 16 2016 ILZ003>006-008-010>014-161700- /O.UPG.KLOT.HW.A.0001.160316T1200Z-160317T0100Z/ /O.NEW.KLOT.HW.W.0002.160316T1200Z-160317T0100Z/ WINNEBAGO-BOONE-MCHENRY-LAKE IL-OGLE-LEE-DE KALB-KANE-DUPAGE-COOK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCKFORD...BELVIDERE...WOODSTOCK... WAUKEGAN...OREGON...DIXON...DEKALB...AURORA...WHEATON...CHICAGO 358 AM CDT WED MAR 16 2016 ...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING...THIS MORNING INTO THIS EVENING. * WINDS...WEST WINDS GUSTING TO 60 MPH. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY MAKE FOR DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES ON NORTH TO SOUTH ORIENTED ROADS. WINDS COULD CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE. ANY LIGHT WEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED OR BROUGHT INDOORS. * IMPACTS COULD BE SIMILAR TO THE FEBRUARY 19TH 2016 STRONG WIND EVENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE. && $$ ILZ020-022-INZ001-002-161700- /O.UPG.KLOT.HW.A.0001.160316T1200Z-160317T0100Z/ /O.EXA.KLOT.WI.Y.0003.160316T1200Z-160317T0100Z/ KENDALL-WILL-LAKE IN-PORTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...JOLIET...GARY...VALPARAISO 358 AM CDT WED MAR 16 2016 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING. THE HIGH WIND WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * TIMING...THIS MORNING INTO THIS EVENING. * WINDS...WEST WINDS GUSTING 50 TO 55 MPH. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY MAKE FOR DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES ON NORTH TO SOUTH ORIENTED ROADS. WINDS COULD CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE. ANY LIGHT WEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED OR BROUGHT INDOORS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH...ARE LIKELY. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE UNLESS PRECAUTIONS ARE TAKEN. DRIVING MAY BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT AND USE CAUTION. && $$ ILZ019-021-023-032-033-039-INZ010-011-019-161700- /O.CON.KLOT.WI.Y.0003.160316T1200Z-160317T0100Z/ LA SALLE-GRUNDY-KANKAKEE-LIVINGSTON-IROQUOIS-FORD-NEWTON-JASPER- BENTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OTTAWA...MORRIS...KANKAKEE...PONTIAC... WATSEKA...PAXTON...MOROCCO...RENSSELAER...FOWLER 358 AM CDT WED MAR 16 2016 /458 AM EDT WED MAR 16 2016/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT /8 AM EDT/ THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CDT /9 PM EDT/ THIS EVENING... * TIMING...THIS MORNING INTO THIS EVENING. * WINDS...WEST WINDS GUSTING 50 TO 55 MPH. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY MAKE FOR DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES ON NORTH TO SOUTH ORIENTED ROADS. WINDS COULD CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE. ANY LIGHT WEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED OR BROUGHT INDOORS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH...ARE LIKELY. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE UNLESS PRECAUTIONS ARE TAKEN. DRIVING MAY BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT AND USE CAUTION. && $$ JEE
870 WWUS73 KLOT 161554 NPWLOT URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 1054 AM CDT WED MAR 16 2016 ILZ003>006-008-010>014-170000- /O.CAN.KLOT.HW.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160317T0100Z/ /O.EXA.KLOT.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160317T0100Z/ WINNEBAGO-BOONE-MCHENRY-LAKE IL-OGLE-LEE-DE KALB-KANE-DUPAGE-COOK- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCKFORD...BELVIDERE...WOODSTOCK... WAUKEGAN...OREGON...DIXON...DEKALB...AURORA...WHEATON...CHICAGO 1054 AM CDT WED MAR 16 2016 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING... ...HIGH WIND WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS ISSUED A WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING. THE HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. * WINDS...WEST WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY MAKE FOR DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES ON NORTH TO SOUTH ORIENTED ROADS. WINDS COULD CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE. ANY LIGHT WEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED OR BROUGHT INDOORS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH...ARE LIKELY. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE UNLESS PRECAUTIONS ARE TAKEN. DRIVING MAY BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT AND USE CAUTION. && $$ ILZ019>023-032-033-039-INZ001-002-010-011-019-170000- /O.CON.KLOT.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160317T0100Z/ LA SALLE-KENDALL-GRUNDY-WILL-KANKAKEE-LIVINGSTON-IROQUOIS-FORD- LAKE IN-PORTER-NEWTON-JASPER-BENTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OTTAWA...OSWEGO...MORRIS...JOLIET... KANKAKEE...PONTIAC...WATSEKA...PAXTON...GARY...VALPARAISO... MOROCCO...RENSSELAER...FOWLER 1054 AM CDT WED MAR 16 2016 /1154 AM EDT WED MAR 16 2016/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT /9 PM EDT/ THIS EVENING... * TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. * WINDS...WEST WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 50 MPH. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY MAKE FOR DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES ON NORTH TO SOUTH ORIENTED ROADS. WINDS COULD CAUSE PROPERTY DAMAGE. ANY LIGHT WEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED OR BROUGHT INDOORS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH...ARE LIKELY. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE UNLESS PRECAUTIONS ARE TAKEN. DRIVING MAY BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT AND USE CAUTION. && $$ KJB
401 WWUS73 KLOT 162023 NPWLOT URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 323 PM CDT WED MAR 16 2016 ILZ003>006-008-010>014-019>023-032-033-039-INZ001-002-010-011-019- 170100- /O.CON.KLOT.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160317T0100Z/ WINNEBAGO-BOONE-MCHENRY-LAKE IL-OGLE-LEE-DE KALB-KANE-DUPAGE-COOK- LA SALLE-KENDALL-GRUNDY-WILL-KANKAKEE-LIVINGSTON-IROQUOIS-FORD- LAKE IN-PORTER-NEWTON-JASPER-BENTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCKFORD...BELVIDERE...WOODSTOCK... WAUKEGAN...OREGON...DIXON...DEKALB...AURORA...WHEATON...CHICAGO... OTTAWA...OSWEGO...MORRIS...JOLIET...KANKAKEE...PONTIAC... WATSEKA...PAXTON...GARY...VALPARAISO...MOROCCO...RENSSELAER... FOWLER 323 PM CDT WED MAR 16 2016 /423 PM EDT WED MAR 16 2016/ ...WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT /9 PM EDT/ THIS EVENING... * TIMING...THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. * WINDS...WEST WINDS GUSTING 50 TO 55 MPH. * IMPACTS...STRONG WINDS WILL LIKELY MAKE FOR DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY FOR HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES ON NORTH TO SOUTH ORIENTED ROADS. WINDS COULD CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE. ANY LIGHT WEIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS SHOULD BE SECURED OR BROUGHT INDOORS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WIND ADVISORY MEANS THAT SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 TO 39 MPH...OR GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 57 MPH...ARE LIKELY. WINDS THIS STRONG CAN CAUSE MINOR PROPERTY DAMAGE UNLESS PRECAUTIONS ARE TAKEN. DRIVING MAY BE DIFFICULT...ESPECIALLY IN HIGH PROFILE VEHICLES. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT AND USE CAUTION. && $$ KMD
052 WWUS73 KLOT 170050 NPWLOT URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL 750 PM CDT WED MAR 16 2016 ILZ003>006-008-010>014-019>023-032-033-039-INZ001-002-010-011-019- 170200- /O.CAN.KLOT.WI.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-160317T0100Z/ WINNEBAGO-BOONE-MCHENRY-LAKE IL-OGLE-LEE-DE KALB-KANE-DUPAGE-COOK- LA SALLE-KENDALL-GRUNDY-WILL-KANKAKEE-LIVINGSTON-IROQUOIS-FORD- LAKE IN-PORTER-NEWTON-JASPER-BENTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCKFORD...BELVIDERE...WOODSTOCK... WAUKEGAN...OREGON...DIXON...DEKALB...AURORA...WHEATON...CHICAGO... OTTAWA...OSWEGO...MORRIS...JOLIET...KANKAKEE...PONTIAC... WATSEKA...PAXTON...GARY...VALPARAISO...MOROCCO...RENSSELAER... FOWLER 750 PM CDT WED MAR 16 2016 /850 PM EDT WED MAR 16 2016/ ...WIND ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHICAGO HAS CANCELLED THE WIND ADVISORY. SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA...HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS BETWEEN 30 TO 35 MPH MAY PERSIST FOR A FEW MORE HOURS THEN FURTHER DIMINISH OVERNIGHT. $$ BEACHLER
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Chicago, IL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind advisory went out at Mar 15, 3:49 PM EDT, 17 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 15, 3:49 PM EDT, 17 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
249 PM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016
.SHORT TERM...
340 AM CDT
THROUGH THIS EVENING...
A STRONG EARLY SPRING SYSTEM BRINGS WITH IT A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...FOLLOWED BY MUCH HIGHER CHANCES THIS
EVENING WITH SOME POSSIBLE SEVERE STORMS...AND THEN VERY GUSTY
NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
THE MAIN ADJUSTMENTS WITH THE FORECAST WERE USING OBSERVATIONAL DATA
IN TANDEM WITH INCOMING LATEST GUIDANCE FOR 1. FURTHER TIGHTENING OF
THE FORECAST TEMPERATURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE AREA TODAY WITH 40S
NORTHEAST ILLINOIS TO 70 SOUTH...2. FOG POTENTIAL ALONG THE
LAKE INCLUDING DOWNTOWN CHICAGO TODAY...3. LATER ARRIVAL OF
GREATEST STORM COVERAGE TO MAINLY THIS EVENING...4. HIGHEST
INDIVIDUAL SEVERE THREAT ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA BEING HAIL WITH
ALL HAZARDS MAINLY IN THE WEST/SOUTHWEST HALF OF THE CWA...AND 5.
INCREASING THE FORECAST WINDS BEHIND THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. FOR THE FINAL POINT...WE HAVE ISSUED A HIGH
WIND WATCH FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE CWA ON WEDNESDAY.
MUCH OF THE LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR THUNDERSTORMS HAS BEEN WELL-
COVERED IN PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS AND REMAINS GENERALLY ON TRACK.
THE FIRST PUNCH OF THE 110 KT PLUS UPPER JET IS PROGRESSING INTO
IOWA EARLY THIS MORNING WITH A WEAK LEAD SHORT WAVE CONTINUING
SUB-SEVERE STORMS ACROSS THE IA/MO BORDER. THE WARM ADVECTION
REGIME WITH 40-45 KT LOW-LEVEL JET WIND PER VAD PROFILERS SHOULD
HELP THESE STORMS TO FESTER THEIR WAY EASTWARD THROUGH MID-MORNING
WITH A GRADUAL WEAKENING AS THEY RUN EAST OF BETTER FORCING.
ISOLATED DEVELOPMENT FURTHER TO THE EAST IS ALSO POSSIBLE. IN
GENERAL ANY OF THIS SHOULD NOT BE A BIG DEAL...WITH NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS LIKELY TO HAVE A COUPLE HOUR PERIOD OF SHOWERS WITH
EMBEDDED STORMS LATER THIS MORNING.
THE PRIMARY LOW PRESSURE OF 997MB ACROSS EASTERN KS EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL FURTHER BECOME THE DOMINANT LOW AS IT MOVES NORTHEAST
TODAY. THE WARM FRONT IS WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE CWA AND GIVEN THE
LOW REMAINING SOUTH OF OUR CWA LATITUDE MUCH OF TODAY AND WITH
STRATUS SOCKED IN...AM NOT EXPECTING THIS DIABATICALLY-ENHANCED
FRONT TO MOVE QUICKLY NORTHWARD THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD ACCORDINGLY BE SLOW TO RISE ESPECIALLY NORTH
WHERE THEY REMAIN LOCKED AS EASTERLY WINDS INCREASE. WITH THE WARM
FRONT HEADING NORTHWARD THIS AFTERNOON...TEMPERATURES SHOULD THEN
JUMP QUICKLY SOUTH WITH 70 DEGREES ATTAINABLE. AS THE LOW LIFTS TO
NEAR DUBUQUE IOWA BY MIDNIGHT ON A MODEL CONSENSUS...A RAPID
DEEPENING IS FORECAST...WITH THE STRONG PRESSURE FALLS USHERING
WARMING NORTHWARD. SO THE WARMEST READINGS OF THE DAY IN CHICAGO
WILL LIKELY NOT BE REACHED UNTIL JUST PRIOR TO STORMS LATER THIS
EVENING. THIS ADVECTION WILL ALSO STEER MID 50S DEW POINTS
NORTHWARD WITH LIKELY A CORRIDOR OF UPPER 50S GIVEN UPSTREAM
OBSERVATIONS.
WHILE SCATTERED WARM ADVECTION STORMS ARE POSSIBLE NORTH OF THE
WARM FRONT TODAY...THE GREATER HEIGHT FALLS AND MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS IS NORTH INTO WI. THE MAIN
STORM DEVELOPMENT FOR OUR CWA WILL BE TIED TO JUST AHEAD OF THE
LOW/TRIPLE POINT...WITH STORMS LIKELY INITIATING ACROSS SOUTHEAST
IA/NORTHEAST MO/WESTERN IL LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THERE IS VARIANCE
IN CONVECTIVE ALLOWING-GUIDANCE TO JUST HOW FAR WEST...BUT IN THAT
GENERAL REGION. WITH A NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH UPSTAIRS...THE
STORMS SHOULD GROW NORTHEASTWARD LIKELY REMAINING SEMI-DISCRETE
INTO THE WESTERN CWA (I-39 CORRIDOR) EARLY TO MID EVENING GIVEN
THE FORECAST WIND REGIME. THE STORMS SHOULD IN SOME FASHION CONTINUE
NORTHEASTWARD WITH SOME MIXED MODE SHOWN ON CONVECTIVE ALLOWING
MODELS. THE 850MB AND 925MB ANALYSIS FROM LAST EVENING AND
SOUNDINGS FROM LA/AR/MO INDICATED THE MOISTURE TO BE VERY SHALLOW.
THIS COULD PLAY INTO HOW ROBUST STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO BE AS THEY
MOVE NORTHEAST THROUGH THIS EVENING OR POSSIBLY EVEN THE
COVERAGE...WITH MAYBE ONLY SCATTERED STORMS BY THE TIME THEY REACH
FAR NORTHEAST ILLINOIS...THOUGH STRONG DYNAMICS COULD COMPENSATE.
EFFECTIVE DEEP LAYER SHEAR IN EXCESS OF 50 KT AND VEERING
PROFILES AHEAD OF THE LOW ARE SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED ROTATING
UPDRAFTS FOR SEVERAL HOURS AFTER INITIATION. STEEPENED LAPSE
RATES AND MARCH SEVERE CLIMATOLOGY FOR OUR AREA POINT TOWARD A
DECENT HAIL THREAT WITH SUPERCELLS. THE FORECAST -10C TO -30C
CAPE IS MARGINAL...SO NOT THINKING A REAL HIGH SIGNIFICANT HAIL
(GOLF BALL OR LARGER) THREAT AT THIS TIME...BUT SUCH A DYNAMIC
SYSTEM CAN OUTPERFORM. ALSO ON THAT NOTE...THE WIND FIELDS LOOK
LIKE THEY WILL BE QUITE STOUT. SO STRONG WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN
ORGANIZED STORMS INTO MAINLY NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...ESPECIALLY
IF THERE ARE ANY RIGHT ON THE FRONT ITSELF. ALSO HIGH EFFECTIVE
HELICITY VALUES OF 300 M2/S2 OR GREATER AND A NARROW CORRIDOR OF
0-3KM CAPE FEEDING INTO THE WESTERN CWA WILL KEEP A THREAT OF
TORNADOES. WHILE THE THREAT IS NON-ZERO FURTHER EAST...THE
THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES BECOME LESS FAVORABLE AND STORMS ARE NOT
LIKELY TO ORGANIZE INTO A COMPLEX TO THE POINT WHERE THEY COULD
SUBSTANTIALLY INFLUENCE THE ENVIRONMENT. SO CONFIDENCE ON
SCATTERED SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL IS HIGHER IN NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS JUST BECAUSE STORMS ARRIVE THEIR EARLIER WHEN THEY ARE
FAVORED TO BE STRONGER AND SUPERCELLULAR WITH HIGHER CONFIDENCE.
FURTHER NORTHEAST TOWARD CHICAGO AND ESPECIALLY NORTHWEST INDIANA
THE COVERAGE OF SEVERE IS LIKELY TO DROP BUT CONFIDENCE ALSO DROPS
IN EXACT EVOLUTION.
MTF
&&
.LONG TERM...
244 PM CDT
THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...
THE EXTENDED FORECAST WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY AN AMPLIFYING
UPPER FLOW PATTERN ACROSS MUCH OF THE COUNTRY WHICH WILL LEAD
TO A STEADY COOLING TREND INTO THE WEEKEND BEFORE REVERSING EARLY
NEXT WEEK. COLDEST DAY TIME TEMPS WILL BE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL
SATURDAY WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS EITHER SIDE OF THAT. THE UPPER
LOW OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES WILL BREAK DOWN THURSDAY ALLOWING
THE SURFACE LOW WHICH WILL BE OVER NORTHERN WISCONSIN AND THE U.P.
OF MICHIGAN TO QUICKLY WEAKEN. THIS WILL LEAVE A BROAD UPPER
TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE U.S. WEAK ENERGY WILL
MOVE DOWN THE WESTERN FLANK OF THE TROUGH WHILE A DEEPER UPPER LOW
PIVOTS SOUTHWARD ACROSS QUEBEC WHICH THEN RE-DEVELOPS ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND FRIDAY. THE DEVELOPING SURFACE LOW OVER NEW ENGLAND WILL
AID IN THE SHARPENING OF THE BAROCLINIC ZONE REMNANT FROM THE OLD
GREAT LAKES LOW THEN DRAW IT SOUTHWARD AS A COLD FRONT. THERE MAY
BE ENOUGH FORCING/MOISTURE TO GENERATE SOME SHOWERS AS THE FRONT
PASSES LATER THURSDAY OR THURSDAY EVENING. COLDER AIR WILL SPREAD
INTO THE REGION FOR FRIDAY. SHOULD SEE HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER
40S FRIDAY. THE UPPER TROUGH SHARPENS OVER THE REGION SATURDAY
WHICH WILL LEAD TO A CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION STARTING EARLY
SATURDAY. A RAIN SNOW MIX COULD OCCUR EARLY BEFORE WARMING INTO
THE LOWER/MID 40S CHANGES ANYTHING TO RAIN INTO SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. THE SIGNAL IS NOT ALL THAT GREAT FOR PRECIP BUT ENOUGH
TO WARRANT LOW CHANCE POPS. THE UPPER TROUGH MEANDERS EAST INTO
EARLY SUNDAY AS SHARP RIDGING BUILDS ACROSS WESTERN NORTH AMERICA.
ANY LINGERING PRECIP WOULD LIKELY CHANGE TO LIGHT SNOW SATURDAY
NIGHT BEFORE ENDING.
THE AREA WILL BE UNDER NORTHESTERLY UPPER FLOW AS THE TROUGH
DEPARTS TO THE EAST AND RIDGING CONTINUES WEST. THIS WILL BE
FAVORABLE FOR SOME WEAK WAVES TRAVERSING THE FLOW PERHAPS LEADING
TO MINIMAL POPS CHANCES MONDAY. THE RIDGING WILL SHARPEN THE
BAROCLINIC ZONE OVER THE AREA INTO TUESDAY WHICH MAY BRING ANOTHER
CHANCE AT PRECIP. MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE IS IN FAIR AGREEMENT ON A
DEEP UPPER TROUGH PUSHING INTO THE WESTERN U.S. MID NEXT WEEK AND
A SURFACE LOW LIFTING NORTHEAST BUT DETAILS DIFFER QUITE A BIT. A
TREND TOWARD MILDER CONDITIONS FOR AT LEAST A SHORT TIME DOES LOOK
FAVORED FOR MID WEEK.
MDB
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
441 AM CDT
STRONG WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BE IN PLACE OVER THE AREA ON
WEDNESDAY WITH SUSTAINED WINDS WILL IN EXCESS OF 20 MPH AND GUSTS
OF 50 MPH IF NOT SPORADICALLY HIGHER. WITH SUN EXPECTED FOR AT
LEAST SEVERAL HOURS...AND POSSIBLY ALL DAY IN PLACES...MIXING MAY
ALLOW FOR HUMIDITY TO DIP TO AROUND 25 PERCENT. FUEL MOISTURE
VALUES IN EXCESS OF 15 PERCENT SHOULD PREVENT TRUE RED FLAG
CRITERIA...BUT BREEZY AND DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL AT LEAST BE
NEAR THRESHOLDS.
MTF
&&
.AVIATION...
FOR THE 18Z TAFS...
A STORM SYSTEM...CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER MISSOURI...WILL
STRENGTHEN RAPIDLY TONIGHT AS IT SHIFTS NORTH-NORTHEAST INTO
WISCONSIN BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE
SEVERAL WEATHER HAZARDS ACROSS THE AIRSPACE THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD. THESE INCLUDE: CONTINUED LOW MVFR TO IFR CIGS...A PERIOD OF
THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY LATER THIS EVENING...ALONG WITH STRONG
GUSTY WEST-SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ON WEDNESDAY.
CURRENTLY SATELLITE IMAGERY...ALONG WITH A PEEK OUT THE
WINDOW...INDICATES THAT THE CLOUD COVER ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHERN
ILLINOIS IS TRYING TO BREAK SOME. AS A RESULT...THERE LOOKS TO BE A
PERIOD OF IMPROVED CIGS AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...WITH THE
SURFACE FRONT NOT EXPECTED TO LIFT NORTH OF THE AREA UNTIL LATER
THIS EVENING...IT IS LIKELY THAT CIGS AND VSBYS MAY AGAIN
DETERIORATE THIS EVENING. THIS WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO FAVOR
INCREASING EASTERLY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
AS FOR THE THUNDERSTORMS THREAT...THERE IS CURRENTLY A CLUSTER OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS IMPACTING NORTHWESTERN ILLINOIS. THESE STORMS
COULD IMPACT KRFD THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...THE MAIN
THUNDERSTORM THREAT FOR ALL TAF SITES WILL BE THIS EVENING. THE
CURRENT TIMING OF LATE EVENING AFTER 03 UTC THIS EVENING STILL
APPEARS TO BE GOOD FOR THE EASTERN TAF SITES...AND AN HOUR OR TWO
SOONER AT KRFD. BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN AND HAIL WILL BE THE
PRIMARILY THREATS WITH THESE STORMS AS THE MOVE ACROSS THE TERMINALS.
THE WINDS WILL SHIFT OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AROUND OR SHORTLY AFTER 07
UTC TONIGHT AS A SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY LIFTS NORTHWARD OVER THE
AREA. CIGS WILL IMPROVE WITH THE PASSAGE OF THIS FRONT...BUT EXPECT
THESE SOUTHWEST WINDS TO BECOME GUSTY OVERNIGHT AND INTO WEDNESDAY.
DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO GUST
UP IN THE 45 TO 50 KT RANGE AT TIMES AS A STRONG AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE U.P. OF MICHIGAN.
KJB
&&
.MARINE...
217 PM CDT
A STORM SYSTEM...CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER MISSOURI...WILL
STRENGTHEN RAPIDLY TONIGHT AS IT SHIFTS NORTH-NORTHEAST
INTO WISCONSIN BY DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. THIS STORM SYSTEM WILL
PRODUCE A PERIOD OF STRONG EASTERLY WINDS (35 KT GALES)
LATE TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A PERIOD OF STRONG GALE FORCE WEST-
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS ON WEDNESDAY. STORM FORCE GUSTS WILL ALSO
BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE WESTERN SHORES OF THE LAKE ON WEDNESDAY.
THESE WESTERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO
THURSDAY...THOUGH WIND SPEEDS SHOULD GRADUALLY BE ON THE DOWNWARD
TREND. LATER IN THE WEEK EXPECT A COLD FRONT TO DROP SOUTH DOWN
THE LAKE...WITH A PERIOD OF GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS EXPECTED.
KJB
&&
.LOT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...WIND ADVISORY...ILZ019-ILZ021-ILZ023-ILZ032-ILZ033-ILZ039...7 AM
WEDNESDAY TO 8 PM WEDNESDAY.
HIGH WIND WATCH...ILZ003-ILZ004-ILZ005-ILZ006-ILZ008-ILZ010-
ILZ011-ILZ012-ILZ013-ILZ014-ILZ020-ILZ022...7 AM WEDNESDAY
TO 8 PM WEDNESDAY.
IN...HIGH WIND WATCH...INZ001-INZ002...7 AM WEDNESDAY TO 8 PM
WEDNESDAY.
WIND ADVISORY...INZ010-INZ011-INZ019...7 AM WEDNESDAY TO 8 PM
WEDNESDAY.
LM...GALE WARNING...LMZ740-LMZ741...1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 10 AM WEDNESDAY.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...LMZ740-LMZ741...7 PM TUESDAY TO 1 AM
WEDNESDAY.
STORM WATCH...LMZ740-LMZ741-LMZ742-LMZ743-LMZ744-LMZ745...10 AM
WEDNESDAY TO 7 PM WEDNESDAY.
GALE WARNING...LMZ742-LMZ743-LMZ744-LMZ745...4 AM WEDNESDAY TO
10 AM WEDNESDAY.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY...LMZ742-LMZ743-LMZ744-LMZ745...7 PM
TUESDAY TO 4 AM WEDNESDAY.
DENSE FOG ADVISORY...LMZ777-LMZ779 UNTIL 10 PM TUESDAY.
GALE WARNING...LMZ777-LMZ779...1 AM WEDNESDAY TO 1 AM THURSDAY.
&&
VISIT US AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/CHICAGO (ALL LOWERCASE)
FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
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WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSCHICAGOHazardous weather outlook, Mar 15, 11:57 AM EDT, 4 hours 9 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
1057 AM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016
ILZ003>006-008-010>014-019>023-032-033-039-INZ001-002-010-011-019-
161600-
WINNEBAGO-BOONE-MCHENRY-LAKE ILLINOIS-OGLE-LEE-DE KALB-KANE-
DUPAGE-COOK-LA SALLE-KENDALL-GRUNDY-WILL-KANKAKEE-LIVINGSTON-
IROQUOIS-FORD-LAKE INDIANA-PORTER-NEWTON-JASPER-BENTON-
1057 AM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016 /1157 AM EDT TUE MAR 15 2016/
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS...
NORTHEAST ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST INDIANA.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF WHICH MAY BE SEVERE WITH:
HAIL TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS.
ISOLATED WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
A TORNADO OR TWO.
AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY ALONG AND NORTH
OF THE INTERSTATE 88 CORRIDOR ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS TODAY...
WITH A MINIMAL SEVERE RISK DURING THE DAY. STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS WESTERN
ILLINOIS LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH AROUND SUNSET...AND PROGRESS
QUICKLY NORTHEAST. THESE STORMS SHOULD NEAR THE INTERSTATE 39
CORRIDOR BETWEEN 7 AND 10 PM AND INTO NORTHEAST ILLINOIS AND
NORTHWEST INDIANA MAINLY AFTER 9 PM. STORMS SHOULD LARGELY BE
DONE ACROSS THE AREA BY MIDNIGHT.
DISCUSSION:
AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS PARTS OF FAR
NORTHERN ILLINOIS DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS. THESE WILL MOST LIKELY BE DIMINISHING WITH NO SEVERE
WEATHER ANTICIPATED. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS FAR NORTHERN ILLINOIS...WITH A MINIMAL
SEVERE RISK PRIMARILY LIMITED TO HAIL. STRONG STORMS OVER
WESTERN ILLINOIS LATE TODAY WILL MOVE INTO NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS THIS EVENING AHEAD OF A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.
SOME OF THESE WILL LIKELY BE SUPERCELLS AND THUS BRING
A RISK OF LARGE HAIL...WITH LESSER RISKS BUT STILL POTENTIAL FOR
A TORNADO OR STRONG WINDS. CONFIDENCE IN AT LEAST SCATTERED
SEVERE WEATHER INTO NORTH CENTRAL ILLINOIS IS MEDIUM. AS THE
STORMS MOVE TOWARD AND EAST OF THE INTERSTATE 55 CORRIDOR...
CONFIDENCE DROPS AS THE STORMS COULD BEGIN TO DECREASE IN
INTENSITY LATER THIS EVENING.
THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF A FEW 50 MPH GUSTS BEHIND A STRONG
COLD FRONT LATE TONIGHT.
MINOR RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ALONG PARTS OF THE IROQUOIS
RIVER.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
GUSTY WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS TO AT LEAST 50 MPH ARE LIKELY
WEDNESDAY...AND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED BY AROUND SUNSET ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL
ILLINOIS AND ELSEWHERE AFTER 9 PM.
&&
GENERAL STORM MOTION OF THE DAY:
MOVING FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.
&&
LMZ740>745-161600-
WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR-
WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND-
NORTHERLY ISLAND TO CALUMET HARBOR-CALUMET HARBOR TO GARY-
GARY TO BURNS HARBOR-BURNS HARBOR TO MICHIGAN CITY-
1057 AM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE ILLINOIS NEARSHORE
WATERS OF LAKE MICHIGAN AND THE INDIANA NEARSHORE WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
AREAS OF DENSE FOG ARE LIKELY INTO THIS EVENING.
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WITH
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH HAIL AND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 40
KNOTS...LIKELY LATE THIS EVENING.
WINDS AND WAVES WILL BECOME HAZARDOUS TO SMALL CRAFT THIS
EVENING...AND THEN INCREASE TO GALES LATE TONIGHT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
GALE FORCE GUSTS ARE EXPECTED WEDNESDAY MORNING...AND STORM FORCE
GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE FROM MID MORNING WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY
EVENING.
&&
LMZ080-261-362-364-366-563-565-567-669-671-673-675-777-779-868-
870-872-874-876-878-161600-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM MICHIGAN CITY IN TO ST. JOSEPH MI 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SEUL CHOIX POINT TO ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN SOUTH OF A LINE FROM SEUL CHOIX POINT TO THE
MACKINAC BRIDGE AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM CHARLEVOIX MI TO SOUTH
FOX ISLAND 5 NM OFFSHORE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM CHARLEVOIX TO POINT BETSIE MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM POINT BETSIE TO MANISTEE MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ROCK ISLAND PASSAGE TO STURGEON BAY WI-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM STURGEON BAY TO TWO RIVERS WI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM TWO RIVERS TO SHEBOYGAN WI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SHEBOYGAN TO PORT WASHINGTON WI 5 NM OFFSHORE
TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM PORT WASHINGTON TO NORTH POINT LIGHT WI 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM NORTH POINT LIGHT TO WIND POINT WI 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WIND POINT WI TO WINTHROP HARBOR IL 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WINTHROP HARBOR TO WILMETTE HARBOR IL 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WILMETTE HARBOR IL TO MICHIGAN CITY IN 5 NM
OFFSHORE TO MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM PENTWATER TO MANISTEE MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM WHITEHALL TO PENTWATER MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM GRAND HAVEN TO WHITEHALL MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM HOLLAND TO GRAND HAVEN MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM SOUTH HAVEN TO HOLLAND MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO MID
LAKE-
LAKE MICHIGAN FROM ST. JOSEPH TO SOUTH HAVEN MI 5 NM OFFSHORE TO
MID LAKE-
1057 AM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE OPEN WATERS OF LAKE
MICHIGAN.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
AREAS OF FOG ...SOME DENSE...ARE LIKELY ON THE LAKE THROUGH AT
LEAST THIS AFTERNOON.
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THIS EVENING. SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE
THIS EVENING MAINLY OVER THE SOUTHERN END OF THE LAKE.
GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING.
&&
RATZER
VISIT US AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/CHICAGO (ALL LOWERCASE)
FOLLOW US ON FACEBOOK...TWITTER...AND YOUTUBE AT:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSCHICAGO
WWW.TWITTER.COM/NWSCHICAGO
WWW.YOUTUBE.COM/NWSCHICAGOIn the hours before
Special weather statement, Mar 15, 2:10 PM EDT, 1 hour 56 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
110 PM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016
ILZ003-008-151900-
OGLE IL-WINNEBAGO IL-
110 PM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016
...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...
AT 110 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM NEAR GERMAN VALLEY...OR 8 MILES NORTH OF MOUNT MORRIS...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.
HALF INCH HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROCKFORD... BELOIT... LOVES PARK...
MACHESNEY PARK... SOUTH BELOIT... ROCKTON...
MOUNT MORRIS... ROCKFORD AIRPORT... ROSCOE...
BYRON... CHERRY VALLEY... WINNEBAGO...
POLO... PECATONICA... FORRESTON...
DURAND... LAKE SUMMERSET... LEAF RIVER...
ADELINE...
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATE...
I-90 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 2...AND BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 63 AND
76.
THIS INCLUDES...
ROCK CUT STATE PARK...ROCK VALLEY COLLEGE...ROCKFORD SPEEDWAY...AND
WINNEBAGO COUNTY FAIRGROUNDS.
LAT...LON 4250 8896 4226 8896 4193 8961 4193 8965
4220 8967 4220 8940 4250 8940
TIME...MOT...LOC 1810Z 236DEG 28KT 4217 8940
BMDSpecial weather statement, Mar 15, 2:56 PM EDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL 156 PM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016 ILZ003-004-151945- BOONE IL-WINNEBAGO IL- 156 PM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016 ...SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT... AT 155 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM ROCKFORD TO NEAR STILLMAN VALLEY...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. HALF INCH HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... ROCKFORD... BELVIDERE... LOVES PARK... MACHESNEY PARK... ROCKFORD AIRPORT... POPLAR GROVE... CHERRY VALLEY... TIMBERLANE... CALEDONIA... NEW MILLFORD... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATES... I-39 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 115 AND 123. I-90 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 48 AND 69. THIS INCLUDES... BOONE COUNTY FAIRGROUNDS...ROCK CUT STATE PARK...ROCK VALLEY COLLEGE...AND ROCKFORD AVIATORS BASEBALL. LAT...LON 4239 8871 4216 8871 4215 8915 4234 8912 TIME...MOT...LOC 1855Z 249DEG 25KT 4228 8906 4214 8913 BMD
Local storm report, Mar 15, 3:10 PM EDT, 56 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
210 PM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0205 PM HAIL ROCKFORD 42.27N 89.06W
03/15/2016 E0.25 INCH WINNEBAGO IL TRAINED SPOTTER
1 MILE NORTH OF I-39 AND ROUTE 20. HAIL LASTED FOR ABOUT
5 MINUTES.
&&
RCLocal storm report, Mar 15, 3:13 PM EDT, 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO/ROMEOVILLE IL
213 PM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0210 PM HAIL 5 W BELVIDERE 42.25N 88.95W
03/15/2016 E0.50 INCH WINNEBAGO IL TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
RCThe office that day
Everything else NWS Chicago, IL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 4:50 AM EDT | High Wind Watch | LOT | Lake, Porter | 24 hr |
| Mar 15, 3:54 AM EDT | Gale Warning | LOT | 54 hr | |
| Mar 15, 3:54 AM EDT | Small Craft Advisory | LOT | 22 hr | |
| Mar 15, 3:54 AM EDT | Storm Watch | LOT | 24 hr | |
| Mar 15, 2:10 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LOT | Winnebago | 50 min |
| Mar 15, 2:56 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | LOT | Boone | 49 min |
Nearby
Wind Advisories in Illinois, 2016Wind Advisories in Indiana, 2016Every wind advisory in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.